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TCU

TCU 48 at Texas 10

TEX
2014 · Week 14 · Nov 27, 2014 · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · TEX
modelTEX aheadTCU aheadconfidence bandkey playTEX scoreTCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD-3.2TEX 1.1%Trevone Boykin 10 Yd Run (JadenOberkrom Kick)AWAY 34 - HOME 10 · Q4 7:01
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:01 · Trevone Boykin 10 Yd Run (Jaden Oberkrom Kick)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+58.0+29.00−29.0−58.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 158Home team on offense−48.7Score differential−28.2Pregame prior−2.0Garbage-time factor−9.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−8.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−6.4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 4:25: Jaden Oberkrom 29 Yd Field Goal — TCU win probability +1.1 pts (now 66%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:34: David Porter 4 Yd pass from Trevone Boykin (Jaden Oberkrom Kick) — TCU win probability +11.4 pts (now 86%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:54: Josh Doctson 22 Yd pass from Trevone Boykin (Jaden Oberkrom Kick) — TCU win probability +4.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:04: Armanti Foreman 73 Yd pass from Tyrone Swoopes (Nick Rose Kick) — TEX win probability +5.5 pts (now 9%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:01: Trevone Boykin 10 Yd Run (Jaden Oberkrom Kick) — TCU win probability +3.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEX made the numbers' call on 5 of 10TCU made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 13:32TEX 4th & 3 at TEX 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.9%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:40TCU 4th & 8 at TEX 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 66.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.8%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.8%
    66% to make
    Punt
    66.4%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:38TEX 4th & 7 at TEX 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.4%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:29TCU 4th & 4 at TEX 38, up 3
    Close callPunted · 65.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    65.2%−0.2
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    65.2%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:25TCU 4th & 12 at TEX 12, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.6%−0.5
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.1%
    86% to make
    Punt
    62.0%−2.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:02TEX 4th & 1 at TEX 39, down 13
    Close callPunted · 30.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.5%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:44TCU 4th & 5 at TEX 44, up 13
    Close callPunted · 72.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    70.7%−1.6
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    71.9%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:56TEX 4th & 6 at TCU 30, down 13
    Close callKicked a field goal · 28.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.9%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    27.3%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:03TCU 4th & 6 at TCU 29, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.7%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.1%
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:59TEX 4th & 4 at TEX 30, down 10
    Close callPunted · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.5%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:36TCU 4th & 23 at TEX 35, up 17
    Close callPunted · 84.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.2%−2.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    85.4%
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    84.5%−0.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:22TEX 4th & 2 at TEX 26, down 17
    Close callPunted · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.5%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:17TEX 4th & 3 at TEX 9, down 17
    Close callPunted · 11.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.8%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.4%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:36TCU 4th & 5 at TEX 45, up 17
    Close callPunted · 91.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    90.4%−1.6
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    91.6%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:46TCU 4th & 7 at TCU 45, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.7%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:51TEX 4th & 11 at TEX 47, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%−0.9
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:14TCU 4th & 28 at TCU 36, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.6%−1.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:06TEX 4th & 14 at TEX 21, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:00TEX 4th & 8 at TEX 26, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEX made the numbers' call on 1 of 1TCU made the numbers' call on 2 of 5
  1. Q2 1:34TCU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 14:54TCU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 14:04TEX Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 7:01TCU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:53TCU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:19TCU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEXDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2333% → 33%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
32.8%
Malcolm Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 24Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
33.0%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:15
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+8
33.0%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Malcolm Brown for 8 yds to the Texas 32Similar
Q1 13:32
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+53
33.3%
Michael Davidson punt for 48 yds , Cameron Echols-Luper returns for 53 yds to the Texas 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 2FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4567% → 67%
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
33.2%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Kolby ListenbeeSimilar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+2
33.3%
Aaron Green run for 2 yds to the Texas 25Similar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 8
OPP 25
0
33.5%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Kolby ListenbeeSimilar
Q1 12:40
4TH & 8
OPP 25
+42
33.5%
Jaden Oberkrom 42 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:3734% → 34%
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-2
33.7%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Daje Johnson for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 16Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 12
OWN 16
-2
33.8%
Johnathan Gray run for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 14Similar
Q1 11:15
3RD & 14
OWN 14
+7
33.8%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 7 yds to the Texas 21Similar
Q1 10:38
4TH & 7
OWN 21
0
33.9%
William Russ punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Cameron Echols-Luper at the TCU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 3:0166% → 65%
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
33.9%
Trevone Boykin run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 6
50
-1
34.0%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Aaron Green for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 49Similar
Q1 9:30
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+7
34.4%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Ty Slanina for 7 yds to the Texas 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
34.3%
Trevone Boykin pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
34.2%
Aaron Green run for no gain to the Texas 44Similar
Q1 8:15
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+6
34.6%
Aaron Green run for 6 yds to the Texas 38Similar
Q1 7:29
4TH & 4
OPP 38
0
35.0%
Ethan Perry punt for 29 yds, downed at the Texas 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 5INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:3335% → 35%
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
35.0%
Malcolm Brown run for 2 yds to the Texas 11Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 8
OWN 11
0
35.1%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:42
3RD & 8
OWN 11
+1
34.9%
Tyrone Swoopes pass intercepted Sam Carter return for 1 yd to the Texas 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 6FG
6 plays · 12 yds · 2:0566% → 66%
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
34.5%
Trevone Boykin run for 5 yds to the Texas 19Similar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+13
34.5%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Deante' Gray for 13 yds to the Texas 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
34.6%
Aaron Green run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 7Similar
Q1 5:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
34.7%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Kolby ListenbeeSimilar
Q1 5:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
35.1%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Aaron Green for a loss of 5 yards to the Texas 12Similar
Q1 4:25
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+29
34.0%
Jaden Oberkrom 29 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 7FUMBLE TD
10 plays · 18 yds · 3:5035% → 30%
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
34.7%
Johnathan Gray run for 3 yds to the Texas 25Similar
Q1 3:45
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+13
34.9%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Johnathan Gray for 13 yds to the Texas 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
35.3%
Johnathan Gray run for 3 yds to the Texas 41Similar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+7
36.0%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to John Harris for 7 yds to the Texas 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
36.0%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to John Harris for 4 yds to the TCU 48Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+9
36.4%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Armanti Foreman for 9 yds to the TCU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
36.5%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-10
36.5%
Johnathan Gray run for a loss of 10 yards to the TCU 49Similar
Q1 0:20
3RD & 20
OPP 49
+40
30.1%
Terrell Lathan 40 Yd Fumble Return (Jaden Oberkrom Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:0130% → 30%
Q1 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
30.2%
Tyrone Swoopes run for a loss of 5 yards to the Texas 25Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 15
OWN 25
+5
30.1%
Malcolm Brown run for 5 yds to the Texas 30Similar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+9
29.6%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Malcolm Brown for 9 yds to the Texas 39Similar
Q2 14:02
4TH & 1
OWN 39
0
30.3%
Michael Davidson punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Cameron Echols-Luper at the TCU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 36 yds · 3:1271% → 72%
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+20
28.9%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Josh Doctson for 20 yds to the TCU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
28.0%
Kyle Hicks run for 8 yds to the TCU 48Similar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+3
27.9%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Kyle Hicks for 3 yds to the Texas 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
27.8%
Desmon White run for no gain to the Texas 49Similar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-1
27.6%
Trevone Boykin run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:15
3RD & 11
50
+6
27.7%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Josh Doctson for 6 yds to the Texas 44Similar
Q2 10:44
4TH & 5
OPP 44
+9
27.9%
Ethan Perry punt for 24 yds TCU Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (-15 Yards) to the Texas 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 10FG
10 plays · 35 yds · 2:3429% → 30%
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
29.2%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Armanti Foreman for 5 yds to the Texas 40Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+15
29.8%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 15 yds to the TCU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
30.1%
Johnathan Gray run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 46Similar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+8
29.5%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Johnathan Gray for 8 yds to the TCU 38Similar
Q2 9:19
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+4
29.6%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Johnathan Gray for 4 yds to the TCU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-2
30.5%
Tyrone Swoopes run for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 36Similar
Q2 8:33
2ND & 12
OPP 36
0
29.4%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:30
3RD & 12
OPP 36
+11
28.8%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 11 yds to the TCU 25Similar
Q2 8:14
4TH & 1
OPP 25
-5
28.8%
TEXAS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TCU 30Similar
Q2 7:56
4TH & 6
OPP 30
+47
29.5%
Nick Rose 47 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:4271% → 70%
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
29.5%
Aaron Green run for 1 yd to the TCU 26Similar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
29.6%
Aaron Green run for no gain to the TCU 26Similar
Q2 6:45
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+3
30.0%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to David Porter for 3 yds to the TCU 29Similar
Q2 6:03
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
30.3%
Ethan Perry punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Quandre Diggs at the Texas 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5629% → 28%
Q2 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
28.9%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Marcus JohnsonSimilar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+4
28.8%
Malcolm Brown run for 4 yds to the Texas 28Similar
Q2 5:15
3RD & 6
OWN 28
+2
28.3%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 2 yds to the Texas 30Similar
Q2 4:59
4TH & 4
OWN 30
0
27.9%
William Russ punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Cameron Echols-Luper at the TCU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 13TD
11 plays · 67 yds · 3:1871% → 86%
Q2 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
28.6%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Ty SlaninaSimilar
Q2 4:45
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+1
28.9%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Ja'Juan Story for 1 yd to the TCU 34Similar
Q2 4:15
3RD & 9
OWN 34
+14
29.5%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Cameron Echols-Luper for 14 yds to the TCU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
27.7%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Josh Doctson for 3 yds to the Texas 49Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+5
27.6%
Aaron Green run for 5 yds to the Texas 44Similar
Q2 3:02
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+38
27.9%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Josh Doctson for 38 yds to the Texas 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
27.2%
Trevone Boykin run for 1 yd to the Texas 5Similar
Q2 2:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
26.9%
Trevone Boykin run for 1 yd to the Texas 4Similar
Q2 1:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
14.1%
David Porter 4 Yd pass from Trevone Boykin (Jaden Oberkrom Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 14END OF HALF
9 plays · 59 yds · 1:3020% → 20%
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
19.7%
Johnathan Gray run for 5 yds to the Texas 30Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
19.9%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Armanti ForemanSimilar
Q2 0:47
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+5
19.3%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Johnathan Gray for 5 yds to the Texas 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
18.9%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to John HarrisSimilar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
18.5%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to John Harris for 5 yds to the Texas 40Similar
Q2 0:07
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+17
18.7%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 17 yds to the TCU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+27
19.6%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 27 yds to the TCU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 15PUNT
13 plays · 40 yds · 4:1783% → 85%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
17.1%
Trevone Boykin run for 13 yds to the TCU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
16.0%
Trevone Boykin run for 4 yds to the TCU 42Similar
Q3 13:45
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+2
16.2%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Kolby Listenbee for 2 yds to the TCU 44Similar
Q3 13:07
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+12
15.6%
Boykin, Trevone pass incomplete, PENALTY TEXAS pass interference 12 yards to the TEXAS44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TCU. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
15.1%
Aaron Green run for 1 yd to the Texas 43Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+21
14.9%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Josh Doctson for 21 yds to the Texas 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-5
14.1%
TCU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Texas 27Similar
Q3 11:56
1ST & 15
OPP 27
0
14.4%
Trevone Boykin pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 15
OPP 27
-3
14.1%
Trevone Boykin sacked by Jordan Hicks for a loss of 3 yards to the Texas 30Similar
Q3 11:13
3RD & 18
OPP 30
-5
14.2%
TCU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Texas 35Similar
Q3 10:46
3RD & 23
OPP 35
0
14.0%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Aaron GreenSimilar
Q3 10:36
4TH & 23
OPP 35
0
15.3%
Ethan Perry punt for 32 yds, downed at the Texas 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 16INT
9 plays · 31 yds · 3:4916% → 14%
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
15.6%
Malcolm Brown run for 3 yds to the Texas 6Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 7
OWN 6
+2
14.8%
Malcolm Brown run for 2 yds to the Texas 8Similar
Q3 9:15
3RD & 5
OWN 8
+11
14.5%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to John Harris for 11 yds to the Texas 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
14.8%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Marcus Johnson for 1 yd Marcus Johnson fumbled, recovered by Texas Marcus JohnsonSimilar
Q3 8:10
2ND & 13
OWN 16
+10
14.5%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Malcolm Brown for 10 yds to the Texas 26Similar
Q3 7:45
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+3
14.5%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 3 yds to the Texas 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
14.5%
Malcolm Brown run for 5 yds to the Texas 34Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 5
OWN 34
0
14.8%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:41
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+21
14.4%
Tyrone Swoopes pass intercepted Sam Carter return for 21 yds to the Texas 18 Sam Carter fumbled, recovered by Texas Tyrone SwoopesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:3814% → 13%
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-4
13.8%
Tyrone Swoopes run for a loss of 4 yards to the Texas 14Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 14
OWN 14
0
13.3%
Johnathan Gray run for no gain to the Texas 14Similar
Q3 5:00
3RD & 14
OWN 14
+12
12.9%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Jacorey Warrick for 12 yds to the Texas 26Similar
Q3 4:22
4TH & 2
OWN 26
+6
12.9%
Michael Davidson punt for 46 yds , Cameron Echols-Luper returns for 6 yds to the TCU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 18INT
3 plays · 44 yds · 0:4389% → 90%
Q3 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+40
11.0%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Kolby Listenbee for 40 yds to the Texas 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
9.7%
Kyle Hicks run for 4 yds to the Texas 22Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 6
OPP 22
0
9.6%
Trevone Boykin pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:5312% → 11%
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
12.1%
Malcolm Brown run for 1 yd to the Texas 3Similar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 9
OWN 3
-1
11.9%
TEXAS Penalty, False Start (-1 Yards) to the Texas 2Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+2
11.7%
Malcolm Brown run for 2 yds to the Texas 4Similar
Q3 1:40
3RD & 8
OWN 4
0
11.5%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:27
4TH & 8
OWN 4
+5
11.4%
Russ, William punt 40 yards to the TEXAS44, Echols-Luper, Cameron return 2 yards to the TEXAS42, PENALTY TCU running into kicker 5 yards to the TEXAS9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:17
4TH & 3
OWN 9
0
11.4%
William Russ punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Cameron Echols-Luper at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:3492% → 92%
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
50
+5
7.8%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Josh Doctson for 5 yds to the Texas 45Similar
Q3 0:50
2ND & 5
OPP 45
0
7.6%
Trevone Boykin pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:45
3RD & 5
OPP 45
0
7.8%
Trevone Boykin pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:36
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
8.4%
Ethan Perry punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Quandre Diggs at the Texas 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 21INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0610% → 10%
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
10.4%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:24
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+2
10.3%
Tyrone Swoopes pass intercepted Paul Dawson return for 2 yds to the Texas 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 22TD
3 plays · 18 yds · 0:1693% → 98%
Q3 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
7.0%
Aaron Green run for 1 yd to the Texas 17Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 17
-5
7.0%
TCU Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Texas 22Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 14
OPP 22
+22
2.3%
Josh Doctson 22 Yd pass from Trevone Boykin (Jaden Oberkrom Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 23TD
3 plays · 73 yds · 0:263% → 9%
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
3.1%
Johnathan Gray run for no gain to the Texas 27Similar
Q4 14:04
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+73
8.7%
Armanti Foreman 73 Yd pass from Tyrone Swoopes (Nick Rose Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:0993% → 93%
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
7.2%
Aaron Green run for 17 yds to the TCU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
6.5%
Aaron Green run for 3 yds to the TCU 45Similar
Q4 13:01
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
6.3%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Aaron GreenSimilar
Q4 12:53
3RD & 7
OWN 45
0
6.5%
Trevone Boykin pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:46
4TH & 7
OWN 45
0
7.2%
Ethan Perry punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Quandre Diggs at the Texas 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 27 yds · 1:468% → 6%
Q4 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+28
7.6%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 28 yds to the Texas 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-11
7.8%
Tyrone Swoopes sacked by Kevin White for a loss of 11 yards to the Texas 37Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 21
OWN 37
+6
6.8%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Malcolm Brown for 6 yds to the Texas 43Similar
Q4 11:30
3RD & 15
OWN 43
+4
6.6%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Armanti Foreman for 4 yds to the Texas 47Similar
Q4 10:51
4TH & 11
OWN 47
0
5.8%
William Russ punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Cameron Echols-Luper at the TCU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 26FUMBLE
6 plays · 12 yds · 2:3194% → 95%
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+30
5.8%
Aaron Green run for 30 yds to the Texas 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-10
5.0%
Boykin, Trevone rush for no gain to the TEXAS46, PENALTY TCU holding 10 yards to the TCU44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 20
OWN 44
0
5.1%
Trevone Boykin pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 20
OWN 44
-3
5.0%
Aaron Green run for a loss of 3 yards to the TCU 41Similar
Q4 9:00
3RD & 23
OWN 41
-5
4.9%
Trevone Boykin sacked by Cedric Reed for a loss of 5 yards to the TCU 36Similar
Q4 8:14
4TH & 28
OWN 36
-7
4.8%
Ethan Perry punt for 38 yds , Quandre Diggs returns for a loss of 7 yards to the Texas 19 Quandre Diggs fumbled, recovered by TCUSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 27TD
3 plays · 19 yds · 0:5996% → 99%
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
4.4%
Aaron Green run for 4 yds to the Texas 15Similar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+5
4.4%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Kolby Listenbee for 5 yds to the Texas 10Similar
Q4 7:01
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+10
1.1%
Trevone Boykin 10 Yd Run (Jaden Oberkrom Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:241% → 1%
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-11
1.2%
Tyrone Swoopes sacked by James McFarland for a loss of 11 yards to the Texas 14Similar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 21
OWN 14
-5
1.1%
Tyrone Swoopes sacked by James McFarland for a loss of 5 yards to the Texas 9Similar
Q4 5:30
3RD & 26
OWN 9
+12
1.0%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to John Harris for 12 yds to the Texas 21Similar
Q4 5:06
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
1.0%
William Russ punt for 39 yds, downed at the TCU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 29TD
5 plays · 60 yds · 2:0799% → 100%
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+32
0.8%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Desmon White for 32 yds to the Texas 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
0.8%
Aaron Green run for 2 yds to the Texas 26Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+17
0.7%
Trevone Boykin run for 17 yds to the Texas 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
0.6%
Trevone Boykin run for 4 yds to the Texas 5Similar
Q4 2:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
0.1%
Aaron Green 5 Yd Run (Jaden Oberkrom Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 30INT TD
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:110% → 0%
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
0.1%
Malcolm Brown run for 6 yds to the Texas 41Similar
Q4 2:19
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+33
0.1%
Josh Carraway 33 Yd Interception Return (Jaden Oberkrom Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 31PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 2:000% → 0%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
0.1%
Johnathan Gray run for 2 yds to the Texas 26Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 8
OWN 26
-1
0.1%
Johnathan Gray run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 25Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 9
OWN 25
+1
0.1%
Johnathan Gray run for 1 yd to the Texas 26Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 8
OWN 26
0
0.1%
William Russ punt for 50 yds, downed at the TCU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:34
David Porter 4 Yd pass from Trevone Boykin (Jaden Oberkrom Kick)
-11.4
TD · Q4 14:04
Armanti Foreman 73 Yd pass from Tyrone Swoopes (Nick Rose Kick)
+5.5
TD · Q4 14:54
Josh Doctson 22 Yd pass from Trevone Boykin (Jaden Oberkrom Kick)
-4.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com