Try the model
TEX

Texas 28 at Oklahoma State 7

OKST
2014 · Week 12 · Nov 15, 2014 · Boone Pickens Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · OKST
modelOKST aheadTEX aheadconfidence bandkey playOKST scoreTEX score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGTDTDEnd of GameTD+7OKST 10.5%Daxx Garman pass complete to JamesWashington for 8 yds for a TD, (BenGrogan KICK)AWAY 22 - HOME 7 · Q4 9:02
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:02 · Daxx Garman pass complete to James Washington for 8 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingTime remaining
+54.5+27.30−27.3−54.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 138Home team on offense−23.6Score differential−16.1Garbage-time factor−12.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−4.9Time remaining−1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:33: Johnathan Gray run for 6 yds for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK) — TEX win probability +6.5 pts (now 58%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 9:33: Nick Rose 51 yd FG GOOD — TEX win probability +8.7 pts (now 68%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 12:19: Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to John Harris for 14 yds to the Texas 34 for a 1ST down — TEX win probability +7.2 pts (now 85%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 7:37: Nick Rose 44 yd FG GOOD — TEX win probability +5.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:02: Daxx Garman pass complete to James Washington for 8 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK) — OKST win probability +7.0 pts (now 11%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OKST made the numbers' call on 8 of 9TEX made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00OKST 4th & 19 at OKST 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.1%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:07OKST 4th & 7 at OKST 35, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.1%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:33OKST 4th & 11 at OKST 29, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.3%−0.6
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:33TEX 4th & 21 at OKST 34, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.6%−2.5
    9% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.1%
    47% to make
    Punt
    57.3%−0.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:33OKST 4th & 5 at OKST 30, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.9%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:34TEX 4th & 4 at OKST 4, up 16
    Close callKicked a field goal · 73.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.4%−0.9
    93% to make
    Punt
    62.7%−9.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:00OKST 4th & 18 at OKST 12, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.1%−3.1
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:43TEX 4th & 5 at OKST 17, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.4%−1.3
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.8%
    80% to make
    Punt
    68.6%−8.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00TEX 4th & 5 at TEX 15, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.5%−0.8
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:13OKST 4th & 5 at TEX 45, down 19
    Close callPunted · 23.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    22.1%−1.5
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    23.3%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:37TEX 4th & 7 at OKST 27, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.8%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.2%
    62% to make
    Punt
    81.4%−6.9
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:37OKST 4th & 10 at OKST 26, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%−2.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:25TEX 4th & 12 at midfield, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.8%−0.7
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.5%
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:23OKST 4th & 12 at OKST 15, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−2.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00TEX 4th & 7 at TEX 29, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.7%
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:09OKST 4th & 3 at TEX 29, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    3.2%−0.6
    58% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−3.8
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:28TEX 4th & 10 at TEX 15, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OKST made the numbers' call on 0 of 1TEX made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 8:07TEX Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    46.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    46.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:33TEX Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 9:02OKST Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.1%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.2%
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 4:31TEX Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OKSTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
50.4%
Desmond Roland run for 1 yd to the OKSt 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-2
50.4%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Desmond Roland for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 24Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-8
50.4%
Daxx Garman sacked by Malcom Brown for a loss of 8 yards to the OKSt 16Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 19
OWN 16
0
50.4%
Kip Smith punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jaxon Shipley at the Texas 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 2TD
10 plays · 57 yds · 5:1050% → 50%
Q1 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
50.5%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Jaxon Shipley for 11 yds to the OKSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
50.5%
Daje Johnson run for 7 yds to the OKSt 39Similar
Q1 13:17
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+2
50.4%
Malcolm Brown run for 2 yds to the OKSt 37Similar
Q1 13:17
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+6
50.4%
Malcolm Brown run for 6 yds to the OKSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
50.4%
Malcolm Brown run for 4 yds to the OKSt 27Similar
Q1 13:17
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+4
50.4%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Jaxon Shipley for 4 yds to the OKSt 23Similar
Q1 13:17
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+4
50.5%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to M.J. McFarland for 4 yds to the OKSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-6
50.4%
Tyrone Swoopes sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the OKSt 30 Tyrone Swoopes fumbled, recovered by Texas Tyrone Swoopes , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 13:17
2ND & 21
OPP 30
+11
50.5%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Jacorey Warrick for 11 yds to the OKSt 19Similar
Q1 8:07
3RD & 10
OPP 19
+19
49.6%
John Harris 19 Yd pass from Tyrone Swoopes (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q1 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
50.1%
Desmond Roland run for 2 yds to the OKSt 34Similar
Q1 8:07
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+1
50.1%
Tyreek Hill run for 1 yd to the OKSt 35Similar
Q1 8:07
3RD & 7
OWN 35
0
49.9%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Blake JarwinSimilar
Q1 8:07
4TH & 7
OWN 35
0
49.7%
Kip Smith punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jaxon Shipley at the Texas 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 4TD
9 plays · 81 yds · 3:5850% → 58%
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
49.9%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Jaxon ShipleySimilar
Q1 6:31
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+5
50.0%
Johnathan Gray run for 5 yds to the Texas 24Similar
Q1 6:31
3RD & 5
OWN 24
+19
50.0%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to John Harris for 19 yds to the Texas 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
49.2%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 1 yd to the Texas 44Similar
Q1 6:31
2ND & 9
OWN 44
+22
49.2%
Johnathan Gray run for 22 yds to the OKSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+17
49.0%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Johnathan Gray for 17 yds to the OKSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+9
49.0%
Daje Johnson run for 9 yds to the OKSt 8Similar
Q1 6:31
2ND & 1
OPP 8
+2
49.0%
Johnathan Gray run for 2 yds to the OKSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
42.5%
Johnathan Gray run for 6 yds for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 5:3447% → 43%
Q1 8:07
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
+10
46.5%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the OKSt 9Similar
Q1 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+21
43.8%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Brandon Sheperd for 21 yds to the OKSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-15
44.1%
Hill, Tyreek rush for 5 yards to the OSU35 (Haines, Dylan), PENALTY OSU personal foul (Koenig, Daniel) 15 yards to the OSU15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:33
1ST & 25
OWN 15
+10
43.9%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 10 yds to the OKSt 25Similar
Q1 2:33
2ND & 15
OWN 25
0
43.8%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Marcell AtemanSimilar
Q1 2:33
3RD & 15
OWN 25
+4
43.5%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Jhajuan Seales for 4 yds to the OKSt 29Similar
Q1 2:33
4TH & 11
OWN 29
+5
43.4%
Kip Smith punt for 41 yds , Jaxon Shipley returns for 5 yds to the Texas 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 6FG
13 plays · 31 yds · 5:2759% → 68%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
41.1%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+9
41.2%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Jaxon Shipley for 9 yds to the Texas 44Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+3
40.8%
Malcolm Brown run for 3 yds to the Texas 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
40.6%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to John HarrisSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+15
40.6%
Malcolm Brown run for 15 yds to the OKSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
40.5%
Malcolm Brown run for 2 yds to the OKSt 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+4
40.6%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Johnathan Gray for 4 yds to the OKSt 32Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+9
40.6%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to John Harris for 9 yds to the OKSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-5
40.4%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Daje Johnson for a loss of 5 yards to the OKSt 28Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 15
OPP 28
-1
40.6%
Malcolm Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 29Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 16
OPP 29
-5
41.0%
TEXAS Penalty, false start (Kent Perkins) to the OKSt 34Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 21
OPP 34
0
41.0%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to John Harris, broken up by Jordan SternsSimilar
Q2 9:33
4TH & 21
OPP 34
+51
32.3%
Nick Rose 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
35.9%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to David GliddenSimilar
Q2 9:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
35.8%
Tyreek Hill run for 2 yds to the OKSt 27Similar
Q2 9:33
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+3
35.4%
Daxx Garman pass complete to James Washington for 3 yds to the OKSt 30Similar
Q2 9:33
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
35.6%
Kip Smith punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jaxon Shipley at the Texas 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 8MISSED FG
12 plays · 60 yds · 5:3270% → 75%
Q2 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-15
30.1%
Swoopes, Tyrone pass incomplete to Harris, John, PENALTY UT illegal cut (Hutchins, Marcu) 15 yards to the UT21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:06
1ST & 25
OWN 21
+8
30.7%
Johnathan Gray run for 8 yds to the Texas 29Similar
Q2 8:06
2ND & 17
OWN 29
+24
30.8%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Jaxon Shipley for 9 yds to the OKSt 38 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, roughing passer (Ofa Hautau) to the OKSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
29.4%
Johnathan Gray run for no gain to the OKSt 47Similar
Q2 8:06
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+9
29.4%
Johnathan Gray run for 9 yds to the OKSt 38Similar
Q2 8:06
3RD & 1
OPP 38
+4
29.5%
Johnathan Gray run for 4 yds to the OKSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+12
29.3%
Johnathan Gray run for 12 yds to the OKSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+14
29.3%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Johnathan Gray for 14 yds to the OKSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
29.3%
Johnathan Gray run for a loss of 5 yards to the OKSt 13Similar
Q2 8:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+9
29.4%
Johnathan Gray run for 9 yds to the OKSt 4Similar
Q2 8:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
29.5%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Jaxon ShipleySimilar
Q2 2:34
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
24.8%
Nick Rose 21 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · -8 yds · 0:3430% → 29%
Q2 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
29.7%
Tyreek Hill run for 3 yds to the OKSt 23Similar
Q2 2:34
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-6
29.6%
Daxx Garman sacked by Caleb Bluiett for a loss of 6 yards to the OKSt 17Similar
Q2 2:05
3RD & 13
OWN 17
-5
29.2%
Daxx Garman sacked by Hassan Ridgeway for a loss of 5 yards to the OKSt 12Similar
Q2 2:00
4TH & 18
OWN 12
0
28.7%
Kip Smith punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jaxon Shipley at the OKSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 10FG
7 plays · 29 yds · 1:0978% → 82%
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
22.5%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to John Harris for 11 yds to the OKSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
22.2%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Jacorey Warrick for 8 yds to the OKSt 27Similar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+5
21.8%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to John Harris for 5 yds to the OKSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
21.8%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 5 yds to the OKSt 17Similar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 5
OPP 17
0
21.8%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to John HarrisSimilar
Q2 1:52
3RD & 5
OPP 17
0
21.9%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Armanti Foreman, broken up by Ryan SimmonsSimilar
Q2 0:43
4TH & 5
OPP 17
+34
18.1%
Nick Rose 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 11INT
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:3924% → 25%
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
23.8%
Tyreek Hill run for 1 yd to the OKSt 26Similar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+25
23.7%
Daxx Garman pass complete to David Glidden for 25 yds to the Texas 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-1
26.3%
Daxx Garman sacked by Jordan Hicks for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:04
2ND & 11
50
0
24.7%
Daxx Garman pass intercepted Dylan Haines return for no gain to the Texas 0Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0083% → 82%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-6
17.4%
Malcolm Brown run for a loss of 6 yards to the Texas 4Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 4
+1
16.3%
Malcolm Brown run for 1 yd to the Texas 5Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 5
+10
16.7%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to John Harris for 10 yds to the Texas 15Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 15
0
18.1%
Michael Davidson punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
50
0
22.0%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 10
50
+5
21.7%
Desmond Roland run for 5 yds to the Texas 45Similar
Q3 13:13
3RD & 5
OPP 45
0
22.1%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q3 13:13
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
21.8%
Kip Smith punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 14FG
12 plays · 53 yds · 4:4285% → 94%
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
14.6%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to John Harris for 14 yds to the Texas 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-10
14.5%
Gray, Johnathan rush for 3 yards to the UT37 (Sterns, Jordan), PENALTY UT holding (Flowers, Sedric) 10 yards to the UT24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:19
1ST & 20
OWN 24
+15
14.7%
Gray, Johnathan rush for no gain to the UT24 (Hautau, Ofa), PENALTY OSU face mask (Hautau, Ofa) 15 yards to the UT39, 1ST DOWN UT, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
13.9%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Daje Johnson, broken up by James CastlemanSimilar
Q3 12:19
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+2
14.0%
Johnathan Gray run for 2 yds to the Texas 41Similar
Q3 10:18
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+29
12.0%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Armanti Foreman for 29 yds to the OKSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
11.5%
Johnathan Gray run for 1 yd to the OKSt 29Similar
Q3 10:18
2ND & 9
OPP 29
-5
11.5%
TEXAS Penalty, false start (Camrhon Hughes) to the OKSt 34Similar
Q3 10:18
2ND & 14
OPP 34
+2
11.5%
Johnathan Gray run for 2 yds to the OKSt 32Similar
Q3 10:18
3RD & 12
OPP 32
+5
11.6%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 5 yds to the OKSt 27Similar
Q3 7:37
4TH & 7
OPP 27
+44
5.8%
Nick Rose 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
8.1%
Daxx Garman pass complete to David Glidden for 1 yd to the OKSt 27Similar
Q3 7:37
2ND & 9
OWN 27
-2
8.0%
Tyreek Hill run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 25Similar
Q3 7:37
3RD & 11
OWN 25
+1
7.9%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Jhajuan Seales for 1 yd to the OKSt 26Similar
Q3 7:37
4TH & 10
OWN 26
0
7.9%
Kip Smith punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Quandre Diggs at the Texas 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 1:5996% → 97%
Q3 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
3.9%
Malcolm Brown run for no gain to the Texas 39Similar
Q3 5:24
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+2
4.0%
Malcolm Brown run for 2 yds to the Texas 41Similar
Q3 5:24
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+11
4.0%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Malcolm Brown for 11 yds to the OKSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-8
2.8%
Tyrone Swoopes sacked by Josh Furman for a loss of 8 yards to the Texas 44Similar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 18
OWN 44
+2
2.9%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 2 yds to the Texas 46Similar
Q3 3:25
3RD & 16
OWN 46
+4
2.8%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line TEXAS Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 3:25
4TH & 12
50
0
3.1%
Michael Davidson punt for 48 yds, downed at the OKSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+15
4.8%
Desmond Roland run for 15 yds to the OKSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
5.0%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Brandon SheperdSimilar
Q3 1:23
2ND & 10
OWN 17
-2
4.9%
Desmond Roland run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 15Similar
Q3 1:23
3RD & 12
OWN 15
0
4.9%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Brandon SheperdSimilar
Q3 1:23
4TH & 12
OWN 15
-2
4.9%
Kip Smith punt for 57 yds , Quandre Diggs returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
2.4%
Johnathan Gray run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 25Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+5
2.3%
Johnathan Gray run for 5 yds to the Texas 30Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 30
-1
2.4%
Tyrone Swoopes sacked by Ryan Simmons for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 29Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 29
+9
2.4%
Michael Davidson punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 39 , Tyreek Hill returns for 9 yds to the OKSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 19TD
10 plays · 61 yds · 4:073% → 11%
Q4 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
3.2%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Tyreek Hill for 4 yds to the OKSt 43Similar
Q4 13:09
2ND & 6
OWN 43
0
3.3%
Tyreek Hill run for no gain to the OKSt 43Similar
Q4 13:09
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+8
3.2%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Blake Jarwin for 8 yds to the Texas 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
3.4%
Daxx Garman run for 5 yds to the Texas 44Similar
Q4 13:09
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+8
3.6%
Daxx Garman pass complete to James Washington for 8 yds to the Texas 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
3.5%
Tyreek Hill run for 2 yds to the Texas 34Similar
Q4 13:09
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+2
3.8%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Jeremy Seaton for 2 yds to the Texas 32Similar
Q4 13:09
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+3
3.7%
Rennie Childs run for 3 yds to the Texas 29Similar
Q4 13:09
4TH & 3
OPP 29
+21
3.5%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Blake Jarwin for 21 yds to the Texas 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
10.5%
Daxx Garman pass complete to James Washington for 8 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 20TD
10 plays · 91 yds · 4:3196% → 100%
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-4
4.4%
TEXAS Penalty, false start (Kent Perkins) to the Texas 5Similar
Q4 9:02
1ST & 14
OWN 5
+1
4.4%
Malcolm Brown run for 1 yd to the Texas 6Similar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 13
OWN 6
+7
4.5%
Malcolm Brown run for 7 yds to the Texas 13Similar
Q4 9:02
3RD & 6
OWN 13
+17
4.4%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Marcus Johnson for 17 yds to the Texas 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
4.0%
Malcolm Brown run for 2 yds to the Texas 32Similar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+24
4.0%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to John Harris for 24 yds to the OKSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-7
3.6%
Malcolm Brown run for a loss of 7 yards to the Texas 49Similar
Q4 9:02
2ND & 17
OWN 49
+6
3.7%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to John Harris for 6 yds to the OKSt 45Similar
Q4 4:31
3RD & 11
OPP 45
+45
0.5%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Armanti Foreman for 45 yds for a TD, (Nick Rose PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 21FUMBLE
11 plays · 54 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
1.2%
Tyreek Hill run for 9 yds to the OKSt 43Similar
Q4 4:31
2ND & 1
OWN 43
0
1.3%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Blake JarwinSimilar
Q4 4:31
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+4
1.3%
Rennie Childs run for 4 yds to the OKSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
1.3%
Daxx Garman pass complete to David Glidden for 5 yds to the Texas 48Similar
Q4 4:31
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+7
1.3%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Brandon Sheperd for 7 yds to the Texas 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-15
1.3%
Garman, Daxx pass complete to Sheperd, B. for 14 yards to the UT27, PENALTY OSU personal foul (Lundblade, Brad) 15 yards to the OSU44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:31
1ST & 25
OWN 44
+32
1.3%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Kameron Doolittle for 32 yds to the Texas 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
1.6%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Kameron DoolittleSimilar
Q4 4:31
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
1.5%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Kameron DoolittleSimilar
Q4 4:31
3RD & 10
OPP 24
+3
1.4%
Daxx Garman sacked by Malcom Brown for a loss of 3 yards to the Texas 15 Daxx Garman fumbled, recovered by Texas Dylan Haines , return for 0 yards , return for 3 yds to the Texas 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:16100% → 100%
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-6
0.4%
Steve Edmond run for a loss of 6 yards to the Texas 9Similar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 16
OWN 9
+6
0.5%
Steve Edmond run for 6 yds to the Texas 15Similar
Q4 1:28
4TH & 10
OWN 15
0
0.4%
Michael Davidson punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Tyreek Hill at the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:28
3RD & 10
OWN 15
0
0.4%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 23END OF GAME
3 plays · -7 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
50
0
0.7%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 10
50
-2
0.7%
Daxx Garman sacked by Naashon Hughes and Paul Boyette Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 48Similar
Q4 1:15
3RD & 12
OWN 48
-5
0.6%
Daxx Garman sacked by Shiro Davis for a loss of 5 yards to the OKSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q2 9:33
Nick Rose 51 yd FG GOOD
-8.7
KEY PLAY · Q3 12:19
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to John Harris for 14 yds to the Texas 34 for a 1ST down
-7.2
TD · Q4 9:02
Daxx Garman pass complete to James Washington for 8 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)
+7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com