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Oklahoma 42 at Texas Tech 30

TTU
2014 · Week 12 · Nov 15, 2014 · Jones AT&T Stadium
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Win probability · TTU
modelTTU aheadOU aheadconfidence bandkey playTTU scoreOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:24 · Taylor Symmank punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Zack Sanchez at the Okla 13
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 121Pregame prior−14.5Home team on offense+8.6Score differential+2.2Garbage-time factor+3.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:41: Samaje Perine run for 2 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK) — OU win probability +12.5 pts (now 73%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 13:35: Devin Lauderdale 47 Yd pass from Patrick Mahomes (Ryan Bustin Kick) — TTU win probability +12.4 pts (now 65%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:04: Samaje Perine run for 64 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK) — OU win probability +14.4 pts (now 51%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:01: Cody Thomas pass complete to Durron Neal for 3 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK) — OU win probability +17.8 pts (now 65%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:06: Cody Thomas run for 4 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK) — OU win probability +29.2 pts (now 80%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TTU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8OU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 11:08OU 4th & 10 at TTU 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.2%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    76.1%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    76.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:50TTU 4th & 6 at OU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    25.5%−0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    25.6%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:36OU 4th & 22 at OU 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.4%−1.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:53TTU 4th & 15 at OU 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.7%−0.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    32.9%−0.5
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    33.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:00TTU 4th & 17 at OU 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.7%−1.5
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:48TTU 4th & 5 at OU 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.4%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.8%
    56% to make
    Punt
    48.2%−2.5
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:24TTU 4th & 16 at OU 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.1%−2.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    58.6%−2.0
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    60.6%
    average punt
  8. Q4 14:11TTU 4th & 9 at OU 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.0%−2.4
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.4%
    88% to make
    Punt
    33.2%−16.2
    average punt
  9. Q4 9:33TTU 4th & 17 at TTU 28, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.5%−3.9
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.4%
    average punt
  10. Q4 4:38TTU 4th & 2 at TTU 33, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.9%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 2:44OU 4th & 1 at TTU 25, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    93.2%−0.7
    66% to make
    Punt
    91.3%−2.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TTU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3OU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 4:03TTU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:41OU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:17TTU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 13:35TTU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:04OU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:01OU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:06OU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 5:18OU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.0%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.2%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 1:33OU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OUDrive 1PUNT
11 plays · 31 yds · 3:4082% → 80%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
18.4%
Cody Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:44
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+8
18.4%
Samaje Perine run for 8 yds to the Okla 31Similar
Q1 13:57
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+10
18.8%
Samaje Perine run for 10 yds to the Okla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
19.0%
Samaje Perine run for 2 yds to the Okla 43Similar
Q1 12:57
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+5
19.2%
Cody Thomas pass complete to Durron Neal for 5 yds to the Okla 48Similar
Q1 12:27
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+6
19.4%
Cody Thomas pass complete to Aaron Ripkowski for 6 yds to the TexTc 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
19.6%
Samaje Perine run for no gain to the TexTc 46Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
19.8%
Cody Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:19
3RD & 10
OPP 46
0
20.0%
Cody Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:08
4TH & 10
OPP 46
0
20.2%
Jed Barnett punt for 33 yds, downed at the TexTc 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 2TD
21 plays · 87 yds · 6:5820% → 28%
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
20.3%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Devin Lauderdale for 7 yds to the TexTc 20Similar
Q1 10:55
2ND & 3
OWN 20
0
20.4%
Patrick Mahomes pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:46
3RD & 3
OWN 20
+26
20.3%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Bradley Marquez for 26 yds to the TexTc 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
21.0%
Patrick Mahomes run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 44Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 12
OWN 44
+8
21.1%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Ian Sadler for 8 yds to the Okla 48Similar
Q1 9:08
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+4
21.7%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Quinton White for 4 yds to the Okla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
21.9%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Dylan Cantrell for 8 yds to the Okla 36Similar
Q1 8:32
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+1
22.0%
DeAndre Washington run for 1 yd to the Okla 35Similar
Q1 8:25
3RD & 1
OPP 35
-5
22.1%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Okla 40Similar
Q1 8:07
3RD & 6
OPP 40
0
22.2%
Patrick Mahomes pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:50
4TH & 6
OPP 40
+17
22.1%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Quinton White for 17 yds to the Okla 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-15
22.6%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Okla 38Similar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 25
OPP 38
+19
22.4%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 19 yds to the Okla 19Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+4
22.9%
Patrick Mahomes run for 4 yds to the Okla 15Similar
Q1 6:30
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+2
23.2%
DeAndre Washington run for 2 yds to the Okla 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
23.8%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Okla 8Similar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 5
OPP 8
0
24.0%
DeAndre Washington run for no gain to the Okla 8Similar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+7
24.3%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Kenny Williams for 7 yds to the Okla 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
24.8%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Okla 6Similar
Q1 4:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
28.1%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 6 yds for a TD, (Ryan Bustin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · -12 yds · 1:0973% → 71%
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
27.2%
Keith Ford run for 2 yds to the Okla 27 OKLAHOMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Okla 17Similar
Q1 3:15
1ST & 18
OWN 17
+1
27.7%
Keith Ford run for 1 yd to the Okla 18Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 17
OWN 18
0
28.1%
Cody Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:54
3RD & 17
OWN 18
-5
28.4%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Okla 13Similar
Q1 2:47
3RD & 22
OWN 13
0
28.5%
Cody Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:36
4TH & 22
OWN 13
0
28.7%
Jed Barnett punt for 33 yds, downed at the Okla 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 4PUNT
11 plays · 2 yds · 1:2830% → 30%
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
29.5%
DeAndre Washington run for 2 yds to the Okla 44Similar
Q1 1:56
2ND & 8
OPP 44
0
29.8%
Patrick Mahomes pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:43
3RD & 8
OPP 44
-10
29.6%
Mahomes, Patrick pass complete to Sadler, Ian for 44 yards to the OKLAHOMA0, PENALTY TEXASTECH holding 10 yards to the TEXASTECH46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:37
3RD & 18
OWN 46
+5
28.9%
Mahomes, Patrick pass incomplete, PENALTY OKLAHOMA offside 5 yards to the OKLAHOMA49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:20
3RD & 13
OPP 49
+10
29.3%
Mahomes, Patrick pass incomplete, PENALTY OKLAHOMA holding 10 yards to the OKLAHOMA39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASTECH. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:17
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
30.6%
Patrick Mahomes pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:11
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
30.6%
Patrick Mahomes pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:05
3RD & 10
OPP 39
0
30.1%
Patrick Mahomes pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:05
4TH & 10
OPP 39
-5
29.6%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Okla 44Similar
Q1 0:53
4TH & 15
OPP 44
0
29.5%
Taylor Symmank punt for 37 yds, downed at the Okla 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 5INT
7 plays · 81 yds · 2:1070% → 70%
Q1 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+7
30.5%
Keith Ford run for 7 yds to the Okla 14Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 14
-7
31.1%
Ford, Keith rush for 1 yard to the OKLAHOMA15, PENALTY OKLAHOMA holding 7 yards to the OKLAHOMA7, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+9
31.5%
Alex Ross run for 9 yds to the Okla 16Similar
Q2 14:21
3RD & 1
OWN 16
+3
32.2%
Aaron Ripkowski run for 3 yds to the Okla 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+24
32.2%
Cody Thomas pass complete to K.J. Young for 24 yds to the Okla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+45
31.4%
Cody Thomas pass complete to Durron Neal for 45 yds to the TexTc 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
29.9%
Cody Thomas pass intercepted Sam Eguavoen return for 5 yds to the TexTc 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 6PUNT
12 plays · 44 yds · 4:1233% → 35%
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-1
32.6%
Justin Stockton run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 7Similar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 11
OWN 7
+12
32.8%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Justin Stockton for 12 yds to the TexTc 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
33.6%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Bradley Marquez for 7 yds to the TexTc 26Similar
Q2 12:12
2ND & 3
OWN 26
+19
34.1%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 19 yds to the TexTc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
34.7%
Patrick Mahomes pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:19
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+9
34.4%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Devin Lauderdale for 9 yds to the Okla 46Similar
Q2 10:46
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+5
35.2%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Dylan Cantrell for 5 yds to the Okla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
36.6%
DeAndre Washington run for 3 yds to the Okla 38Similar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 7
OPP 38
-10
37.4%
Patrick Mahomes sacked by Dominique Alexander for a loss of 10 yards to the Okla 48 Patrick Mahomes fumbled, recovered by TexTc Patrick Mahomes , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 9:09
3RD & 17
OPP 48
0
35.8%
Patrick Mahomes pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:00
4TH & 17
OPP 48
0
35.1%
Taylor Symmank punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Zack Sanchez at the Okla 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 7TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 4:0363% → 73%
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
37.3%
Keith Ford run for 2 yds to the Okla 22Similar
Q2 8:25
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
37.8%
Cody Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+16
38.8%
Cody Thomas pass complete to Michiah Quick for 16 yds to the Okla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+31
38.1%
Cody Thomas pass complete to K.J. Young for 16 yds to the TEXASTECH 46 for a 1ST down TEXAS TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the TexTc 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
37.5%
Samaje Perine run for no gain to the TexTc 31Similar
Q2 6:36
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+5
38.1%
Samaje Perine run for 5 yds to the TexTc 26Similar
Q2 6:01
3RD & 5
OPP 26
+8
39.2%
Cody Thomas pass complete to K.J. Young for 8 yds to the TexTc 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
38.5%
Samaje Perine run for 3 yds to the TexTc 15Similar
Q2 5:01
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+13
39.1%
Cody Thomas run for 13 yds to the TexTc 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
26.6%
Samaje Perine run for 2 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 8TD
5 plays · 72 yds · 1:0734% → 47%
Q2 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
34.0%
Patrick Mahomes pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+9
34.0%
Patrick Mahomes run for 9 yds to the TexTc 37Similar
Q2 3:44
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+4
35.4%
DeAndre Washington run for 4 yds to the TexTc 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+59
47.2%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Ian Sadler for 59 yds for a TD, (Ryan Bustin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 9INT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:1754% → 50%
Q2 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
46.3%
Keith Ford run for 4 yds to the Okla 31Similar
Q2 1:51
2ND & 6
OWN 31
-4
47.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Okla 27 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Okla Keith FordSimilar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 10
OWN 27
0
50.2%
Cody Thomas pass intercepted Tevin Madison return for no gain to the Okla 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 10MISSED FG
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:4550% → 50%
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+14
50.1%
Patrick Mahomes run for 14 yds to the Okla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
51.5%
DeAndre Washington run for 5 yds to the Okla 30Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 5
OPP 30
0
52.0%
Patrick Mahomes pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:53
3RD & 5
OPP 30
0
51.0%
Patrick Mahomes pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:48
4TH & 5
OPP 30
+48
49.5%
Ryan Bustin 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 11INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:4250% → 48%
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
50.2%
Cody Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+1
51.0%
Samaje Perine run for 1 yd to the Okla 32Similar
Q2 0:01
3RD & 9
OWN 32
+37
52.0%
Cody Thomas pass intercepted Keenon Ward return for 37 yds to the Okla 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 12TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:1049% → 65%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
48.9%
DeAndre Washington run for 6 yds to the TexTc 31Similar
Q3 14:35
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+20
50.1%
DeAndre Washington run for 20 yds to the Okla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
52.0%
DeAndre Washington run for 2 yds to the Okla 47Similar
Q3 13:45
2ND & 8
OPP 47
0
52.7%
Patrick Mahomes pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:35
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+47
65.1%
Devin Lauderdale 47 Yd pass from Patrick Mahomes (Ryan Bustin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 13TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:2336% → 51%
Q3 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
63.8%
K.J. Young run for 9 yds to the Okla 34Similar
Q3 13:06
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
62.0%
Keith Ford run for no gain to the Okla 34Similar
Q3 12:30
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
63.9%
Aaron Ripkowski run for 2 yds to the Okla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+64
49.5%
Samaje Perine run for 64 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 14PUNT
12 plays · 30 yds · 3:2652% → 57%
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
52.3%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Devin Lauderdale for 13 yds to the TexTc 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
55.0%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, 12 Men on the Field (5 Yards) to the TexTc 43Similar
Q3 10:47
1ST & 5
OWN 43
0
56.5%
Patrick Mahomes pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:39
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+2
56.6%
DeAndre Washington run for 2 yds to the TexTc 45Similar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+16
56.0%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Bradley Marquez for 16 yds to the Okla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
60.3%
Patrick Mahomes pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:22
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
60.3%
Patrick Mahomes pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:11
3RD & 10
OPP 39
-10
59.0%
Mahomes, Patrick pass complete to Marquez, Bradley for 39 yards to the OKLAHOMA0, PENALTY TEXASTECH holding 10 yards to the OKLAHOMA49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:53
3RD & 20
OPP 49
+9
57.7%
Justin Stockton run for 9 yds to the Okla 40Similar
Q3 8:40
4TH & 11
OPP 40
-5
56.9%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Okla 45Similar
Q3 8:24
4TH & 16
OPP 45
0
56.6%
Taylor Symmank punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Zack Sanchez at the Okla 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 15TD
11 plays · 87 yds · 5:0745% → 65%
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
55.4%
Alex Ross run for 3 yds to the Okla 16Similar
Q3 7:38
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+4
56.1%
Cody Thomas pass complete to Durron Neal for 4 yds to the Okla 20Similar
Q3 7:07
3RD & 3
OWN 20
+9
57.9%
Samaje Perine run for 9 yds to the Okla 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
56.4%
Samaje Perine run for 9 yds to the Okla 38Similar
Q3 5:47
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+35
54.6%
Cody Thomas run for 35 yds to the TexTc 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+26
50.1%
Samaje Perine run for 26 yds to the TexTc 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
51.3%
Samaje Perine run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 2Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
51.7%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 7Similar
Q3 3:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
52.5%
Keith Ford run for 4 yds to the TexTc 3Similar
Q3 3:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
34.6%
Cody Thomas pass complete to Durron Neal for 3 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 16FG
11 plays · 65 yds · 3:3644% → 60%
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
43.6%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Ian Sadler for 13 yds to the TexTc 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
46.3%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Devin Lauderdale for 7 yds to the TexTc 45Similar
Q3 1:51
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+34
49.6%
Justin Stockton run for 19 yds to the TEXASTECH 36 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Okla 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
51.0%
Patrick Mahomes pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:05
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+7
51.5%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 7 yds to the Okla 14Similar
Q3 0:35
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+3
50.0%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Cameron Batson for 3 yds to the Okla 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-2
52.2%
Kenny Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 13Similar
Q4 14:44
2ND & 12
OPP 13
+3
52.7%
Patrick Mahomes run for 3 yds to the Okla 10Similar
Q4 14:16
3RD & 9
OPP 10
0
51.4%
Patrick Mahomes pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:11
4TH & 9
OPP 10
+27
59.6%
Ryan Bustin 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 17TD
9 plays · 64 yds · 3:5447% → 80%
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
53.2%
Cody Thomas run for 16 yds to the TexTc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
49.6%
Keith Ford run for 5 yds to the TexTc 43Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+3
49.8%
Samaje Perine run for 3 yds to the TexTc 40Similar
Q4 12:10
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+13
50.5%
Cody Thomas run for 13 yds to the TexTc 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
48.7%
Samaje Perine run for 6 yds to the TexTc 21Similar
Q4 11:02
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+17
49.0%
Samaje Perine run for 17 yds to the TexTc 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
49.3%
Samaje Perine run for no gain to the TexTc 4Similar
Q4 10:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
20.0%
Cody Thomas run for 4 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:2633% → 28%
Q4 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
33.1%
Patrick Mahomes pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:51
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
32.7%
Patrick Mahomes pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:38
3RD & 10
OWN 35
-7
29.9%
Patrick Mahomes sacked by Eric Striker for a loss of 7 yards to the TexTc 28 TEXAS TECH Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 9:33
4TH & 17
OWN 28
0
27.9%
Taylor Symmank punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Zack Sanchez at the Okla 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 19TD
10 plays · 64 yds · 4:0176% → 94%
Q4 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
23.8%
Alex Ross run for 11 yds to the Okla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+14
21.7%
Cody Thomas run for 14 yds to the TexTc 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
20.6%
Samaje Perine run for 15 yds to the TexTc 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:59
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
18.6%
Cody Thomas run for 6 yds to the TexTc 18Similar
Q4 7:28
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+7
17.8%
Samaje Perine run for 7 yds to the TexTc 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
17.2%
Samaje Perine run for 2 yds to the TexTc 9Similar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+6
16.9%
Cody Thomas pass complete to Aaron Ripkowski for 6 yds to the TexTc 3Similar
Q4 5:44
3RD & 2
OPP 3
+2
17.4%
Samaje Perine run for 2 yds to the TexTc 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
6.5%
Aaron Ripkowski run for 1 yd for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 20DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:337% → 7%
Q4 5:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
7.3%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to DeAndre Washington for 8 yds to the TexTc 33Similar
Q4 4:57
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
7.5%
Patrick Mahomes pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:49
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
7.3%
Patrick Mahomes pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:38
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+1
6.8%
Patrick Mahomes run for 1 yd to the TexTc 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 21TD
7 plays · 34 yds · 2:4494% → 99%
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
6.5%
Samaje Perine run for 3 yds to the TexTc 31Similar
Q4 3:28
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+4
5.2%
Alex Ross run for 4 yds to the TexTc 27Similar
Q4 3:02
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+2
4.7%
Cody Thomas run for 2 yds to the TexTc 25Similar
Q4 2:44
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+5
4.7%
Aaron Ripkowski run for 5 yds to the TexTc 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
4.1%
Samaje Perine run for 9 yds to the TexTc 11Similar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+11
0.9%
Samaje Perine run for 11 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 22END OF GAME
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:281% → 3%
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.7%
Patrick Mahomes pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
0.6%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Ian Sadler for 9 yds to the TexTc 34Similar
Q4 0:58
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+9
0.6%
DeAndre Washington run for 9 yds to the TexTc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
0.7%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Brad Pearson for 11 yds to the Okla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
0.7%
Patrick Mahomes pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:15
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+7
0.7%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to DeAndre Washington for 7 yds to the Okla 39Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+39
2.6%
Dylan Cantrell 39 Yd pass from Patrick Mahomes Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:06
Cody Thomas run for 4 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK)
-29.2
TD · Q3 3:01
Cody Thomas pass complete to Durron Neal for 3 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK)
-17.8
TD · Q3 12:04
Samaje Perine run for 64 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK)
-14.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com