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WVU

West Virginia 16 at Texas 33

TEX
2014 · Week 11 · Nov 8, 2014 · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · TEX
modelTEX aheadWVU aheadconfidence bandkey playTEX scoreWVU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDSAFETYTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 12:36 · Nick O'Toole punt for 45 yds for a touchback TEXAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (Mykkele Thompson)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+30.0+15.00−15.0−30.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 10Home team on offense−0.1Score differential−0.2Pregame prior−13.4Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Time remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:56: Johnathan Gray run for 39 yds for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK) — TEX win probability +9.9 pts (now 58%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:19: Johnathan Gray run for 2 yds for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK) — TEX win probability +9.4 pts (now 70%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 1:12: Nick Rose 39 yd FG GOOD — TEX win probability +10.0 pts (now 88%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:25: Dreamius Smith run for 9 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK) — WVU win probability +13.4 pts (now 16%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:38: Wendell Smallwood run for 3 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — WVU win probability +7.5 pts (now 16%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEX made the numbers' call on 7 of 10WVU made the numbers' call on 7 of 12
  1. Q1 12:36WVU 4th & 18 at TEX 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.8%−0.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    61.8%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    61.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:10WVU 4th & 5 at TEX 5, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.6%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.6%
    92% to make
    Punt
    52.2%−2.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:10TEX 4th & 10 at TEX 25, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.1%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:00WVU 4th & 9 at TEX 36, down 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 56.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.2%
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.1%−0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    55.9%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:04TEX 4th & 7 at WVU 40, up 4
    Close callPunted · 45.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    45.1%−0.5
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    45.2%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:13WVU 4th & 8 at WVU 20, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.7%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:14WVU 4th & 1 at WVU 34, down 11
    Close callPunted · 41.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.2%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:37WVU 4th & 1 at WVU 34, down 18
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.6%−1.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:18TEX 4th & 2 at WVU 28, up 18
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 73.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.9%−1.3
    60% to make
    Punt
    66.1%−7.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:12TEX 4th & 9 at WVU 21, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.2%−1.5
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.6%
    74% to make
    Punt
    68.7%−6.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:45TEX 4th & 8 at WVU 39, up 21
    Close callPunted · 89.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    89.7%−0.3
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.8%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:38WVU 4th & 7 at TEX 8, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.8%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    8.1%
    90% to make
    Punt
    2.3%−5.9
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:33TEX 4th & 9 at TEX 26, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.7%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.4%
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:35WVU 4th & 2 at TEX 41, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    4.1%−1.6
    32% to make
    Punt
    4.4%−1.3
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:02WVU 4th & 7 at TEX 23, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.2%
    70% to make
    Punt
    1.3%−3.9
    average punt
  16. Q3 3:02TEX 4th & 5 at TEX 28, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.4%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.7%
    average punt
  17. Q3 2:15WVU 4th & 1 at WVU 34, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.2%−0.7
    average punt
  18. Q3 0:00WVU 4th & 1 at TEX 26, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    1.8%−1.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    -1.2%−4.2
    average punt
  19. Q4 10:41TEX 4th & 10 at TEX 34, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.8%−1.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.0%
    average punt
  20. Q4 9:15TEX 4th & 3 at WVU 31, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    94.4%−0.7
    54% to make
    Punt
    93.7%−1.3
    average punt
  21. Q4 5:13TEX 4th & 13 at TEX 48, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.3%−0.9
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.2%
    average punt
  22. Q4 3:11WVU 4th & 9 at WVU 15, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.5%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEX made the numbers' call on 4 of 4WVU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 6:35TEX Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:56TEX Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:19TEX Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 13:25WVU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:38WVU Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    10.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    10.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:06TEX Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 1:5464% → 63%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+14
36.3%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 14 yds to the WVirg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
36.3%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Wendell Smallwood for 1 yd to the WVirg 39Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+3
36.4%
Wendell Smallwood run for 3 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+21
36.6%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 21 yds to the Texas 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-2
36.6%
Wendell Smallwood run for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 39Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 12
OPP 39
-1
36.7%
Wendell Smallwood run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 40Similar
Q1 12:42
3RD & 13
OPP 40
0
36.9%
Clint Trickett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:42
4TH & 13
OPP 40
-5
37.0%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Texas 45Similar
Q1 12:36
4TH & 18
OPP 45
+55
37.1%
Nick O'Toole punt for 45 yds for a touchback TEXAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (Mykkele Thompson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 2TD
13 plays · 90 yds · 5:4537% → 43%
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+14
37.1%
Malcolm Brown run for 14 yds to the Texas 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
37.3%
Malcolm Brown run for 5 yds to the Texas 29Similar
Q1 11:34
2ND & 5
OWN 29
-5
37.5%
TEXAS Penalty, False Start (Sedrick Flowers) to the Texas 24Similar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 10
OWN 24
-5
37.5%
Tyrone Swoopes run for a loss of 5 yards to the Texas 19Similar
Q1 10:35
3RD & 15
OWN 19
+15
37.6%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Jaxon Shipley for 15 yds to the Texas 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
38.1%
Malcolm Brown run for 12 yds to the Texas 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
38.8%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Marcus Johnson for 7 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+29
39.1%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to John Harris for 29 yds to the WVirg 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
39.4%
Malcolm Brown run for 2 yds to the WVirg 16Similar
Q1 7:56
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+14
39.7%
Swoopes, Tyrone pass incomplete to Harris, John (Chestnut, Terrell), PENALTY WESTVIR pass interference (Chestnut, Terrell) 14 yards to the WESTVIR2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXAS. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
39.8%
Malcolm Brown run for no gain to the WVirg 2Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
40.1%
Malcolm Brown run for no gain to the WVirg 2Similar
Q1 6:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
43.1%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Geoff Swaim for 2 yds for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3FG
11 plays · 40 yds · 3:1058% → 58%
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+11
41.6%
Rushel Shell run for 11 yds to the Texas 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+19
41.4%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 19 yds to the Texas 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
41.4%
Rushel Shell run for 1 yd to the Texas 14Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+8
41.7%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 8 yds to the Texas 6Similar
Q1 4:47
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+4
42.5%
Rushel Shell run for 4 yds to the Texas 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
42.2%
Wendell Smallwood run for 1 yd to the Texas 1Similar
Q1 4:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
42.4%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Kevin WhiteSimilar
Q1 3:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
43.1%
Wendell Smallwood run for no gain to the Texas 1Similar
Q1 3:24
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-4
43.9%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (Russell Haughton-James) to the Texas 5Similar
Q1 3:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
41.7%
Josh Lambert 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:5042% → 41%
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
42.3%
Johnathan Gray run for no gain to the Texas 25Similar
Q1 2:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
42.2%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to John HarrisSimilar
Q1 2:20
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
41.8%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Marcus JohnsonSimilar
Q1 2:10
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
41.4%
William Russ punt for 23 yds, downed at the Texas 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5MISSED FG
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:5559% → 57%
Q1 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
41.2%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Mario Alford for 11 yds to the Texas 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-1
41.3%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 38Similar
Q1 1:20
2ND & 11
OPP 38
+2
41.4%
Andrew Buie run for 2 yds to the Texas 36Similar
Q1 1:06
3RD & 9
OPP 36
0
41.7%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Mario AlfordSimilar
Q1 1:00
4TH & 9
OPP 36
+53
42.8%
Josh Lambert 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 2:5244% → 45%
Q1 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
43.5%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Malcolm BrownSimilar
Q1 0:45
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+2
43.4%
Malcolm Brown run for 2 yds to the Texas 38Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+9
43.4%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Marcus Johnson for 9 yds to the Texas 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
44.8%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Jaxon Shipley for 10 yds to the WVirg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
45.4%
Malcolm Brown run for 2 yds to the WVirg 41Similar
Q2 13:55
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+1
45.6%
Malcolm Brown run for 1 yd to the WVirg 40Similar
Q2 13:12
3RD & 7
OPP 40
0
45.7%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to John HarrisSimilar
Q2 13:04
4TH & 7
OPP 40
0
44.5%
Michael Davidson punt for 39 yds, downed at the WVirg 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:3255% → 52%
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+7
44.9%
Wendell Smallwood run for 7 yds to the WVirg 8Similar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 3
OWN 8
+10
45.3%
Wendell Smallwood run for 10 yds to the WVirg 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
45.0%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Jordan Thompson for 6 yds to the WVirg 24Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 4
OWN 24
-12
44.7%
Smallwood, Wendell rush for 2 yards to the WESTVIR26, PENALTY WESTVIR illegal block (Pankey, Adam) 12 yards to the WESTVIR12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:20
2ND & 16
OWN 12
0
45.6%
Dreamius Smith run for no gain to the WVirg 12Similar
Q2 10:40
3RD & 16
OWN 12
+8
46.8%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Dreamius Smith for 8 yds to the WVirg 20Similar
Q2 10:13
4TH & 8
OWN 20
0
47.6%
Nick O'Toole punt for 32 yds, downed at the Texas 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 8TD
3 plays · 52 yds · 1:0448% → 58%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
47.7%
Johnathan Gray run for 4 yds to the WVirg 48Similar
Q2 9:33
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+9
48.4%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to M.J. McFarland for 9 yds to the WVirg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
58.3%
Johnathan Gray run for 39 yds for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3144% → 42%
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
55.7%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Wendell Smallwood for 4 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
Q2 8:20
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
55.6%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 4 yds to the WVirg 33Similar
Q2 7:55
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
56.4%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Dreamius Smith for 1 yd to the WVirg 34Similar
Q2 7:14
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
57.8%
Nick O'Toole punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jaxon Shipley at the Texas 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 10TD
4 plays · 78 yds · 0:4859% → 70%
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+25
58.6%
Malcolm Brown run for 25 yds to the Texas 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+40
60.3%
Johnathan Gray run for 40 yds to the WVirg 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+11
60.6%
Swoopes, Tyrone pass incomplete to Shipley, Jaxon, PENALTY WESTVIR pass interference (Banks, Ishmael) 11 yards to the WESTVIR2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXAS. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
70.0%
Johnathan Gray run for 2 yds for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2831% → 30%
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
68.8%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Mario Alford for 3 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
Q2 5:35
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
69.1%
Rushel Shell run for 5 yds to the WVirg 33Similar
Q2 5:10
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
69.3%
Rushel Shell run for 1 yd to the WVirg 34Similar
Q2 4:37
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+7
70.4%
Nick O'Toole punt for 42 yds , Jaxon Shipley returns for 7 yds to the Texas 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 12MISSED FG
8 plays · 41 yds · 2:1172% → 75%
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+22
72.1%
Daje Johnson run for 22 yds to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
74.3%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to D'Onta Foreman for 7 yds to the WVirg 40Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+4
74.5%
D'Onta Foreman run for 4 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
75.0%
D'Onta Foreman run for 7 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
Q2 3:20
2ND & 3
OPP 29
+1
75.3%
D'Onta Foreman run for 1 yd to the WVirg 28Similar
Q2 2:55
3RD & 2
OPP 28
0
75.4%
D'Onta Foreman run for no gain to the WVirg 28Similar
Q2 2:18
4TH & 2
OPP 28
+46
74.9%
Nick Rose 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 13FG
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5077% → 88%
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
76.5%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Andrew BeckSimilar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+1
77.6%
D'Onta Foreman run for 1 yd to the WVirg 21Similar
Q2 1:15
3RD & 9
OPP 21
0
77.6%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Marcus JohnsonSimilar
Q2 1:12
4TH & 9
OPP 21
+39
87.6%
Nick Rose 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 1:0015% → 14%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
84.8%
Andrew Buie run for 3 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+7
86.0%
Wendell Smallwood run for 7 yds to the WVirg 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 36 yds · 3:0088% → 90%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.9%
Malcolm Brown run for no gain to the Texas 25Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+16
88.6%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to John Harris for 16 yds to the Texas 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
89.3%
Malcolm Brown run for 7 yds to the Texas 48Similar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+11
89.9%
Malcolm Brown run for 11 yds to the WVirg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
90.4%
Malcolm Brown run for 2 yds to the WVirg 39Similar
Q3 12:03
2ND & 8
OPP 39
0
90.9%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to John HarrisSimilar
Q3 11:56
3RD & 8
OPP 39
0
90.8%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to John Harris, broken up by Terrell ChestnutSimilar
Q3 11:45
4TH & 8
OPP 39
+16
90.2%
Michael Davidson punt for 28 yds for a 1ST down , Vernon Davis returns for 16 yds to the WVirg 23 for a 1ST down TEXAS Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Caleb Bluiett) to the WVirg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 16DOWNS
12 plays · 49 yds · 2:5712% → 9%
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
88.5%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 11 yds to the Texas 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
88.8%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Dreamius Smith for no gain to the Texas 47Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+10
89.2%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Jordan Thompson for 10 yds to the Texas 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
89.3%
Dreamius Smith run for 4 yds to the Texas 33Similar
Q3 10:05
2ND & 6
OPP 33
-5
88.6%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (Adam Pankey) to the Texas 38Similar
Q3 9:49
2ND & 11
OPP 38
+15
90.0%
Trickett, Clint pass incomplete to White, Kevin, PENALTY TEXAS pass interference (Diggs, Quandre) 15 yards to the TEXAS23, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTVIR. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
88.8%
Andrew Buie run for 6 yds to the Texas 17Similar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 4
OPP 17
+6
89.6%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Andrew Buie for 6 yds to the Texas 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
89.8%
Andrew Buie run for 1 yd to the Texas 10Similar
Q3 8:51
2ND & 9
OPP 10
0
89.9%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Daikiel ShortsSimilar
Q3 8:45
3RD & 9
OPP 10
+2
90.9%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Mario Alford for 2 yds to the Texas 8Similar
Q3 8:38
4TH & 7
OPP 8
-1
91.3%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:5293% → 94%
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
92.5%
Johnathan Gray run for 3 yds to the Texas 12Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 7
OWN 12
+13
92.5%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Jaxon Shipley for 13 yds to the Texas 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
93.2%
Johnathan Gray run for 1 yd to the Texas 26Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
93.4%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Jaxon ShipleySimilar
Q3 6:33
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+7
94.0%
Michael Davidson punt for 45 yds , Vernon Davis returns for 7 yds to the WVirg 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 18MISSED FG
10 plays · 41 yds · 2:188% → 6%
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
92.0%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Jordan Thompson for 5 yds to the WVirg 41Similar
Q3 5:55
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+10
92.3%
Wendell Smallwood run for 10 yds to the Texas 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
92.3%
Wendell Smallwood run for 2 yds to the Texas 47Similar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+6
92.5%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Cody Clay for 6 yds to the Texas 41Similar
Q3 4:40
3RD & 2
OPP 41
0
93.4%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Mario AlfordSimilar
Q3 4:35
4TH & 2
OPP 41
+15
93.8%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Jordan Thompson for 15 yds to the Texas 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
92.9%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 3 yds to the Texas 23Similar
Q3 4:13
2ND & 7
OPP 23
0
92.9%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Jordan Thompson, broken up by Quandre DiggsSimilar
Q3 4:07
3RD & 7
OPP 23
0
93.6%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Mario Alford WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Quinton Spain) declinedSimilar
Q3 4:02
4TH & 7
OPP 23
+40
93.9%
Josh Lambert 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 19FUMBLE
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5595% → 96%
Q3 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
94.6%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Jacorey WarrickSimilar
Q3 3:33
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+5
96.1%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 4 yds to the Texas 28Similar
Q3 3:11
3RD & 5
OWN 28
0
96.3%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Marcus Johnson, broken up by Terrell ChestnutSimilar
Q3 3:02
4TH & 5
OWN 28
+2
96.0%
Michael Davidson punt for 49 yds , Vernon Davis returns for 2 yds to the WVirg 25 Vernon Davis fumbled, recovered by WVirg Paul MillardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 20TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 4:305% → 16%
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
94.9%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 7 yds to the WVirg 32Similar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
94.7%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Wendell Smallwood for 2 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q3 2:30
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
94.9%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Andrew BuieSimilar
Q3 2:15
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+18
95.4%
Andrew Buie run for 18 yds to the Texas 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
95.4%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 8 yds to the Texas 40Similar
Q3 1:35
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+5
95.5%
Dustin Garrison run for 5 yds to the Texas 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
95.5%
Dustin Garrison run for 2 yds to the Texas 33Similar
Q3 0:33
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+7
96.2%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Mario Alford for 7 yds to the Texas 26Similar
Q3 0:19
3RD & 1
OPP 26
0
96.4%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Mario AlfordSimilar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+3
96.7%
Dustin Garrison run for 3 yds to the Texas 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
96.5%
Clint Trickett run for 9 yds to the Texas 14Similar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 1
OPP 14
+8
96.5%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Mario Alford for 8 yds to the Texas 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-3
97.0%
Dreamius Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the Texas 9Similar
Q4 13:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
83.6%
Dreamius Smith run for 9 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 2:1492% → 93%
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
91.5%
Malcolm Brown run for 4 yds to the Texas 27Similar
Q4 12:33
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+5
91.9%
Malcolm Brown run for 5 yds to the Texas 32Similar
Q4 12:10
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+2
92.3%
Malcolm Brown run for 2 yds to the Texas 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
92.8%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
93.1%
Malcolm Brown run for no gain to the Texas 34Similar
Q4 10:53
3RD & 10
OWN 34
0
93.1%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Jaxon ShipleySimilar
Q4 10:41
4TH & 10
OWN 34
+64
92.7%
Michael Davidson punt for 63 yds, downed at the TEXAS 3 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Al-Rasheed Benton) to the WVirg 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 22SF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q4 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 2
-2
92.9%
Clint Trickett sacked by Cedric Reed for a loss of 2 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 23DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:0595% → 95%
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
95.2%
Daje Johnson run for 2 yds to the WVirg 36Similar
Q4 10:10
2ND & 8
OPP 36
-2
95.2%
Johnathan Gray run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 38Similar
Q4 9:45
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+7
95.1%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Marcus Johnson for 7 yds to the WVirg 31Similar
Q4 9:15
4TH & 3
OPP 31
0
94.9%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Johnathan GraySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 24FUMBLE
3 plays · -6 yds · 0:207% → 6%
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
92.6%
Wendell Smallwood run for 1 yd to the WVirg 33Similar
Q4 8:52
2ND & 9
OWN 33
0
92.8%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Kevin WhiteSimilar
Q4 8:45
3RD & 9
OWN 33
-7
93.6%
Clint Trickett sacked by Cedric Reed for a loss of 7 yards to the WVirg 26 Clint Trickett fumbled, recovered by Texas Paul Boyette Jr. , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 25INT
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:3296% → 96%
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-2
95.8%
Malcolm Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 28Similar
Q4 7:59
2ND & 12
OPP 28
0
95.8%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to John Harris, broken up by Daryl WorleySimilar
Q4 7:48
3RD & 12
OPP 28
+9
95.8%
Tyrone Swoopes pass intercepted Daryl Worley return for 9 yds to the WVirg 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 26TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 0:526% → 16%
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+62
93.9%
Dreamius Smith run for 62 yds to the Texas 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+11
91.8%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Dreamius Smith for 11 yds to the Texas 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
91.9%
Wendell Smallwood run for 4 yds to the Texas 3Similar
Q4 6:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
84.4%
Wendell Smallwood run for 3 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:5792% → 90%
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-1
91.5%
Johnathan Gray run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:55
2ND & 11
50
-2
91.3%
Malcolm Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 48Similar
Q4 5:30
3RD & 13
OWN 48
0
90.8%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Marcus JohnsonSimilar
Q4 5:13
4TH & 13
OWN 48
0
90.2%
Michael Davidson punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Vernon Davis at the WVirg 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 28DOWNS
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:499% → 6%
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
90.8%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for no gain to the WVirg 14Similar
Q4 4:35
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+3
91.0%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Wendell Smallwood for 3 yds to the WVirg 17Similar
Q4 3:55
3RD & 7
OWN 17
+3
91.8%
Clint Trickett run for 3 yds to the WVirg 20Similar
Q4 3:32
4TH & 4
OWN 20
-5
92.7%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (Adam Pankey) to the WVirg 15Similar
Q4 3:11
4TH & 9
OWN 15
0
94.1%
Clint Trickett pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 29TD
1 play · 15 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
98.3%
Johnathan Gray run for 15 yds for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 30END OF GAME
12 plays · 74 yds · 2:502% → 3%
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.7%
Dreamius Smith run for 5 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
97.6%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Wendell SmallwoodSimilar
Q4 2:15
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
97.7%
Dreamius Smith run for 6 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
97.6%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 11 yds to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
97.7%
Dreamius Smith run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 7
50
+21
97.7%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 21 yds to the Texas 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
97.2%
Dreamius Smith run for 7 yds to the Texas 22Similar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+7
97.2%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Jordan Thompson for 7 yds to the Texas 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
97.3%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 7 yds to the Texas 8Similar
Q4 0:10
2ND & 3
OPP 8
+6
97.3%
Dreamius Smith run for 6 yds to the Texas 1 Dreamius Smith fumbled, forced by Dylan Haines, recovered by WVirg Quinton Spain for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
97.4%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for no gain to the Texas 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 13:25
Dreamius Smith run for 9 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)
-13.4
FG · Q2 1:12
Nick Rose 39 yd FG GOOD
+10
TD · Q2 8:56
Johnathan Gray run for 39 yds for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK)
+9.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com