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ISU

Iowa State 14 at Kansas 34

KU
2014 · Week 11 · Nov 8, 2014 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · KU
modelKU aheadISU aheadconfidence bandkey playKU scoreISU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 13:48 · Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Nigel King
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 117Home team on offense+9.4Score differential+1.5Pregame prior−4.9Garbage-time factor+4.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.8Time remaining−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:24: Michael Cummings pass complete to Jimmay Mundine for 20 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wyman KICK) — KU win probability +7.2 pts (now 53%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:25: Tony Pierson run for 6 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wyman KICK) — KU win probability +15.4 pts (now 84%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:13: Grant Rohach pass complete to E.J. Bibbs for 3 yds for a TD, (Cole Netten KICK) — ISU win probability +10.1 pts (now 29%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 13:53: Grant Rohach pass complete to D'Vario Montgomery for 35 yds for a TD, (Cole Netten KICK) — ISU win probability +13.6 pts (now 39%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:49: Michael Cummings run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew Wyman KICK) — KU win probability +14.6 pts (now 92%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9ISU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00KU 4th & 1 at ISU 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    40.7%−0.3
    27% to make
    Punt
    40.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:21ISU 4th & 20 at ISU 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.4%−0.4
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:24ISU 4th & 8 at ISU 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.5%−0.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:41KU 4th & 10 at ISU 18, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.3%−1.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.4%
    79% to make
    Punt
    51.2%−6.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:34ISU 4th & 10 at ISU 42, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%−1.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00KU 4th & 3 at KU 45, up 17
    Close callPunted · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.1%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:04ISU 4th & 9 at midfield, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.1%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:25ISU 4th & 9 at ISU 26, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.7%−1.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:54KU 4th & 5 at ISU 38, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    84.7%−0.7
    38% to make
    Punt
    84.2%−1.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:48KU 4th & 11 at ISU 29, up 10
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.3 ptsWent for it · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.5%−1.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    65.8%
    58% to make
    Punt
    59.0%−6.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:35ISU 4th & 10 at KU 19, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.5%−1.8
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.3%
    77% to make
    Punt
    17.0%−9.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:13KU 4th & 5 at ISU 20, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.1%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.3%
    75% to make
    Punt
    90.2%−4.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:13ISU 4th & 2 at ISU 49, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.2%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.7%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:13ISU 4th & 4 at KU 9, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.1%−0.1
    43% to convert
    Field goal
    2.2%
    89% to make
    Punt
    -1.4%−3.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:41KU 4th & 5 at KU 14, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:43ISU 4th & 6 at KU 6, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.9%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    2.3%
    91% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−2.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:13KU 4th & 2 at KU 14, up 20
    Close callPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:21KU 4th & 3 at KU 27, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4ISU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 9:21KU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:24KU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:25KU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:13ISU Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 13:53ISU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:49KU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KUDrive 1TD
13 plays · 81 yds · 5:3940% → 45%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+11
39.8%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Jimmay Mundine for 11 yds to the Kans 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
39.8%
Michael Cummings run for 9 yds to the Kans 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+8
39.8%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Jimmay Mundine for 8 yds to the Kans 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
39.8%
Tony Pierson run for 5 yds to the IowSt 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+4
39.8%
Tony Pierson run for 4 yds to the IowSt 44Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 44
0
39.8%
Michael Cummings run for no gain to the IowSt 44Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+12
39.8%
Corey Avery run for 12 yds to the IowSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-2
39.8%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Tony Pierson for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 34
0
39.8%
Tony Pierson run for no gain to the IowSt 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 34
+21
39.8%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Nigel King for 21 yds to the IowSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-1
39.8%
Corey Avery run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 14Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 11
OPP 14
+14
44.6%
Corey Avery run for 14 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wyman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-3
43.8%
Grant Rohach pass complete to E.J. Bibbs for a loss of 3 yards to the IowSt 24Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 13
OWN 24
+2
43.9%
Aaron Wimberly run for 2 yds to the IowSt 26Similar
Q1 9:21
3RD & 11
OWN 26
-6
44.1%
Grant Rohach sacked by Michael Reynolds for a loss of 6 yards to the IowSt 17 Grant Rohach fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 9:21
4TH & 20
OWN 17
0
44.3%
Colin Downing punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kans 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 3TD
9 plays · 58 yds · 3:2446% → 53%
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
45.6%
Tony Pierson run for 2 yds to the Kans 44Similar
Q1 7:48
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+3
45.6%
Tony Pierson run for 3 yds to the Kans 47Similar
Q1 7:48
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+5
45.4%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Justin McCay for 5 yds to the IowSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
45.7%
IOWA ST Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the IowSt 43Similar
Q1 7:48
1ST & 5
OPP 43
+3
45.8%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Justin McCay for 3 yds to the IowSt 40Similar
Q1 7:48
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+16
45.8%
Tony Pierson run for 16 yds to the IowSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
45.8%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Nigel KingSimilar
Q1 7:48
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+4
45.8%
Tony Pierson run for 4 yds to the IowSt 20Similar
Q1 4:24
3RD & 6
OPP 20
+20
53.0%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Jimmay Mundine for 20 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wyman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
51.0%
Grant Rohach pass complete to Jarvis West for 7 yds to the IowSt 34Similar
Q1 4:24
2ND & 3
OWN 34
0
50.6%
Grant Rohach pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:24
3RD & 3
OWN 34
-5
50.9%
IOWA ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the IowSt 29Similar
Q1 4:24
3RD & 8
OWN 29
0
51.2%
Grant Rohach pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:24
4TH & 8
OWN 29
0
51.5%
Colin Downing punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kans 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 5FG
8 plays · 43 yds · 2:5854% → 60%
Q1 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
54.0%
Montell Cozart run for 5 yds to the Kans 44Similar
Q1 3:39
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+9
54.2%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Rodriguez Coleman for 9 yds to the IowSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+29
54.3%
Tony Pierson run for 29 yds to the IowSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
55.1%
Darious Crawley run for 1 yd to the IowSt 17Similar
Q1 2:04
2ND & 9
OPP 17
-1
55.1%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Tre' Parmalee for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 18Similar
Q1 2:04
3RD & 10
OPP 18
0
54.6%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Corey AverySimilar
Q1 0:41
4TH & 10
OPP 18
+35
59.5%
Matthew Wyman 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0043% → 42%
Q1 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
57.5%
Grant Rohach pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:34
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
57.7%
Grant Rohach pass incomplete to E.J. BibbsSimilar
Q1 0:34
3RD & 10
OWN 42
0
58.1%
Grant Rohach pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:34
4TH & 10
OWN 42
0
58.5%
Colin Downing punt for 53 yds, downed at the Kans 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 40 yds · 0:0859% → 60%
Q1 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+1
59.3%
Corey Avery run for 1 yd to the Kans 6Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 6
+32
59.4%
Corey Avery run for 32 yds to the Kans 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
61.3%
Corey Avery run for 2 yds to the Kans 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
61.3%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Nigel KingSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+5
60.6%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Nick Harwell for 5 yds to the Kans 45Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 45
0
60.1%
Trevor Pardula punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
62.2%
Aaron Wimberly run for 3 yds to the IowSt 23Similar
Q2 13:04
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-11
62.3%
Rohach, Grant pass complete to Lazard, Allen for 59 yards to the KU18 (Shepherd, J.), PENALTY ISU pass interference (Lazard, Allen) 11 yards to the ISU12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:04
2ND & 18
OWN 12
+10
62.6%
Grant Rohach pass complete to D'Vario Montgomery for 10 yds to the IowSt 22Similar
Q2 13:04
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+27
62.6%
Grant Rohach pass complete to E.J. Bibbs for 27 yds to the IowSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
60.8%
Grant Rohach pass complete to Allen Lazard for 3 yds to the Kans 48Similar
Q2 13:04
2ND & 7
OPP 48
0
60.4%
Grant Rohach pass incomplete to Allen Lazard, broken up by JaCorey ShepherdSimilar
Q2 13:04
3RD & 7
OPP 48
-2
61.2%
Grant Rohach sacked by Jake Love for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 13:04
4TH & 9
50
0
61.8%
Colin Downing punt for 41 yds, downed at the Kans 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 9TD
13 plays · 91 yds · 5:1166% → 84%
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+9
66.2%
Michael Cummings run for 9 yds to the Kans 18Similar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 1
OWN 18
+6
67.4%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Nigel King for 6 yds to the Kans 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+12
67.4%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Corey Avery for 12 yds to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
67.9%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Nick Harwell for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
50
+7
68.8%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Nick Harwell for 7 yds to the IowSt 43Similar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+4
68.7%
Darious Crawley run for 4 yds to the IowSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+10
68.7%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Ben Johnson for 10 yds to the IowSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
68.7%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Tony PiersonSimilar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
68.7%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Justin McCay, broken up by T.J. MutchersonSimilar
Q2 10:36
3RD & 10
OPP 29
+15
68.2%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Nigel King for 15 yds to the IowSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+8
68.7%
Corey Avery run for 8 yds to the IowSt 6Similar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 2
OPP 6
0
68.7%
Michael Cummings run for no gain to the IowSt 6Similar
Q2 5:25
3RD & 2
OPP 6
+6
84.2%
Tony Pierson run for 6 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wyman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
80.3%
DeVondrick Nealy run for 1 yd to the IowSt 26Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
80.3%
Grant Rohach pass incomplete to E.J. Bibbs, broken up by Courtney ArnickSimilar
Q2 5:25
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
80.5%
Grant Rohach pass incomplete to Allen Lazard, broken up by JaCorey ShepherdSimilar
Q2 5:25
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
80.5%
Colin Downing punt for 31 yds, downed at the Kans 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 11DOWNS
8 plays · 19 yds · 1:5385% → 86%
Q2 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
85.3%
Darious Crawley run for 4 yds to the Kans 47Similar
Q2 4:47
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+10
85.2%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Jimmay Mundine for 10 yds to the IowSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
85.4%
IOWA ST Penalty, Defensive offside (Cory Morrissey) to the IowSt 38Similar
Q2 4:47
1ST & 5
OPP 38
0
85.0%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Rodriguez ColemanSimilar
Q2 4:47
2ND & 5
OPP 38
0
85.0%
Darious Crawley run for no gain to the IowSt 38Similar
Q2 4:47
3RD & 5
OPP 38
0
84.9%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Corey AverySimilar
Q2 2:54
4TH & 5
OPP 38
0
86.3%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Rodriguez Coleman, broken up by Nigel TribuneSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 12TD
8 plays · 62 yds · 1:3818% → 29%
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+32
82.5%
Grant Rohach pass complete to Allen Lazard for 32 yds to the Kans 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+12
80.6%
Grant Rohach pass complete to Aaron Wimberly for 12 yds to the Kans 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
80.4%
Rohach, Grant pass incomplete to Montgomery, D. (Shepherd, J.), PENALTY KU offside (Reynolds, M.) 5 yards to the KU13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 5
OPP 13
+7
80.4%
Rohach, Grant pass incomplete to Bibbs, E.J., PENALTY KU holding (Sendish,Cassius) 7 yards to the KU6, 1ST DOWN ISU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
80.4%
Grant Rohach run for 4 yds to the Kans 2Similar
Q2 2:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
80.4%
Aaron Wimberly run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 3Similar
Q2 1:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
70.7%
Grant Rohach pass complete to E.J. Bibbs for 3 yds for a TD, (Cole Netten KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 13END OF HALF
5 plays · 11 yds · 0:5781% → 77%
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-7
80.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the Kans 28 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Kans Michael CummingsSimilar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 17
OWN 28
+16
80.3%
Corey Avery run for 16 yds to the Kans 44Similar
Q2 0:16
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+2
77.3%
Corey Avery run for 2 yds to the Kans 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 14TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:0723% → 39%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
77.1%
Aaron Wimberly run for 13 yds to the IowSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+20
76.2%
Aaron Wimberly run for 20 yds to the Kans 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
74.8%
Aaron Wimberly run for 7 yds to the Kans 35Similar
Q3 13:53
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+35
61.2%
Grant Rohach pass complete to D'Vario Montgomery for 35 yds for a TD, (Cole Netten KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 15DOWNS
13 plays · 49 yds · 0:0067% → 66%
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
67.2%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Nick Harwell for 6 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q3 13:48
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+2
67.7%
Tony Pierson run for 2 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q3 13:48
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+2
66.7%
Corey Avery run for 2 yds to the Kans 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+10
67.6%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Jimmay Mundine for 10 yds to the Kans 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
68.8%
Tony Pierson run for 2 yds to the Kans 44Similar
Q3 13:48
2ND & 8
OWN 44
0
68.8%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Jimmay MundineSimilar
Q3 13:48
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+11
67.4%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Justin McCay for 11 yds to the IowSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+17
69.2%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Nigel King for 17 yds to the IowSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
69.4%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Darious CrawleySimilar
Q3 13:48
2ND & 10
OPP 28
-1
69.3%
Tony Pierson run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 29Similar
Q3 13:48
3RD & 11
OPP 29
0
68.1%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Nick HarwellSimilar
Q3 13:48
4TH & 11
OPP 29
0
66.1%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Nigel KingSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 16MISSED FG
12 plays · 52 yds · 3:1430% → 27%
Q3 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
70.4%
Aaron Wimberly run for 3 yds to the IowSt 32Similar
Q3 9:49
2ND & 7
OWN 32
0
70.2%
Grant Rohach pass incomplete to D'Vario MontgomerySimilar
Q3 9:49
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+17
71.3%
Grant Rohach pass complete to D'Vario Montgomery for 17 yds to the IowSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
68.6%
Aaron Wimberly run for 3 yds to the Kans 48Similar
Q3 9:49
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+16
68.2%
Aaron Wimberly run for 16 yds to the Kans 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
66.9%
Aaron Wimberly run for 1 yd to the Kans 31Similar
Q3 9:49
2ND & 9
OPP 31
0
67.0%
Grant Rohach pass incomplete to Allen LazardSimilar
Q3 9:49
3RD & 9
OPP 31
+12
68.5%
Grant Rohach run for 12 yds to the Kans 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
66.4%
Grant Rohach pass incomplete to Allen Lazard, broken up by JaCorey ShepherdSimilar
Q3 9:49
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
66.9%
Grant Rohach pass incomplete to Allen LazardSimilar
Q3 9:49
3RD & 10
OPP 19
0
68.5%
Grant Rohach pass incomplete to Allen LazardSimilar
Q3 6:35
4TH & 10
OPP 19
+37
73.2%
Cole Netten 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 17TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 3:4675% → 92%
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
74.6%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Justin McCay, broken up by Darius WhiteSimilar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+31
74.4%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Nick Harwell for 31 yds to the IowSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+13
76.5%
Tony Pierson run for 13 yds to the IowSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
76.7%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Justin McCay for 5 yds to the IowSt 31Similar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 5
OPP 31
-5
76.9%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (Mike Smithburg) to the IowSt 36Similar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-9
76.6%
Michael Cummings sacked by Devlyn Cousin for a loss of 9 yards to the IowSt 45Similar
Q3 6:35
3RD & 19
OPP 45
+42
74.5%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Nigel King for 42 yds to the IowSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
76.9%
Corey Avery run for no gain to the IowSt 3Similar
Q3 6:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
76.9%
Michael Cummings run for 2 yds to the IowSt 1Similar
Q3 2:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
91.5%
Michael Cummings run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew Wyman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 18FUMBLE
4 plays · 10 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
89.8%
Grant Rohach pass complete to E.J. Bibbs for 2 yds to the IowSt 39Similar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+18
89.8%
Grant Rohach pass complete to Allen Lazard for 18 yds to the Kans 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-7
89.6%
Grant Rohach sacked by Victor Simmons for a loss of 7 yards to the IowSt 47 Grant Rohach fumbled, recovered by Kans Victor Simmons , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 19FG
9 plays · 27 yds · 3:3792% → 98%
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
92.4%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Jimmay Mundine, broken up by Nigel TribuneSimilar
Q3 1:50
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-5
92.3%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Tony Pierson for a loss of 5 yards to the Kans 48Similar
Q3 1:50
3RD & 15
OWN 48
+16
91.6%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Jimmay Mundine for 16 yds to the IowSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
92.4%
Tony Pierson run for 6 yds to the IowSt 30Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+5
93.4%
Tony Pierson run for 5 yds to the IowSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
93.4%
Tony Pierson run for 3 yds to the IowSt 22Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+2
93.4%
Tony Pierson run for 2 yds to the IowSt 20Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 20
0
93.3%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Nigel KingSimilar
Q4 13:13
4TH & 5
OPP 20
+37
97.9%
Matthew Wyman 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 20DOWNS
18 plays · 66 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.0%
Grant Rohach pass complete to Aaron Wimberly for 9 yds to the IowSt 34Similar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
97.9%
Grant Rohach pass incomplete to Allen Lazard, broken up by JaCorey ShepherdSimilar
Q4 13:13
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
97.9%
Aaron Wimberly run for 3 yds to the IowSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
97.9%
Grant Rohach pass incomplete to D'Vario MontgomerySimilar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-11
97.9%
Grant Rohach sacked by Victor Simmons for a loss of 11 yards to the IowSt 26Similar
Q4 13:13
3RD & 21
OWN 26
+15
98.1%
Rohach, Grant pass incomplete to Lazard, Allen, PENALTY KU personal foul (Goodman,Ben) 15 yards to the ISU41, 1ST DOWN ISU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
97.9%
Grant Rohach pass incomplete to Jarvis WestSimilar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
97.9%
Grant Rohach pass incomplete to Aaron WimberlySimilar
Q4 13:13
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+8
98.0%
Grant Rohach pass complete to D'Vario Montgomery for 8 yds to the IowSt 49Similar
Q4 13:13
4TH & 2
OWN 49
+15
97.9%
Grant Rohach pass complete to D'Vario Montgomery for 15 yds to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+11
97.9%
Grant Rohach pass complete to D'Vario Montgomery for 11 yds to the Kans 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
97.6%
Grant Rohach pass complete to E.J. Bibbs for 5 yds to the Kans 20Similar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+5
97.6%
Aaron Wimberly run for 5 yds to the Kans 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-3
97.6%
Grant Rohach pass complete to Jarvis West for a loss of 3 yards to the Kans 18Similar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 13
OPP 18
+9
97.7%
Grant Rohach pass complete to D'Vario Montgomery for 9 yds to the Kans 9Similar
Q4 13:13
3RD & 4
OPP 9
0
97.7%
Grant Rohach pass incomplete to D'Vario Montgomery, broken up by Victor SimmonsSimilar
Q4 13:13
4TH & 4
OPP 9
0
97.8%
Grant Rohach pass incomplete to D'Vario Montgomery, broken up by Dexter McDonaldSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0099% → 98%
Q4 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
98.5%
Darious Crawley run for 5 yds to the Kans 14Similar
Q4 8:41
2ND & 5
OWN 14
0
98.5%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Nick HarwellSimilar
Q4 8:41
3RD & 5
OWN 14
0
98.5%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Nigel King, broken up by Kamari Cotton-MoyaSimilar
Q4 8:41
4TH & 5
OWN 14
0
98.4%
Trevor Pardula punt for 51 yds , Jarvis West returns for no gain to the IowSt 33 Jarvis West fumbled, forced by Justin McCay,Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 22DOWNS
11 plays · 61 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+25
98.7%
Grant Rohach pass complete to D'Vario Montgomery for 25 yds to the Kans 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
98.7%
Aaron Wimberly run for 11 yds to the Kans 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
98.5%
Grant Rohach pass incomplete to Aaron Wimberly, broken up by Jake LoveSimilar
Q4 7:43
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+3
98.6%
Grant Rohach pass complete to E.J. Bibbs for 3 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q4 7:43
3RD & 7
OPP 28
+7
98.7%
Grant Rohach pass complete to Allen Lazard for 7 yds to the Kans 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
98.5%
Aaron Wimberly run for 8 yds to the Kans 13Similar
Q4 7:43
2ND & 2
OPP 13
+4
98.5%
Grant Rohach run for 4 yds to the Kans 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
98.5%
Aaron Wimberly run for 3 yds to the Kans 6Similar
Q4 7:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
98.5%
Grant Rohach pass incomplete to D'Vario Montgomery, broken up by JaCorey ShepherdSimilar
Q4 7:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
98.6%
Grant Rohach pass incomplete to Jarvis West, broken up by Isaiah JohnsonSimilar
Q4 7:43
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
0
98.6%
Grant Rohach pass incomplete to Allen Lazard, broken up by Dexter McDonaldSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:1999% → 99%
Q4 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
99.1%
Corey Avery run for 1 yd to the Kans 7Similar
Q4 4:25
2ND & 9
OWN 7
+5
99.3%
Corey Avery run for 5 yds to the Kans 12Similar
Q4 4:20
3RD & 4
OWN 12
+2
99.3%
Corey Avery run for 2 yds to the Kans 14Similar
Q4 4:13
4TH & 2
OWN 14
0
99.3%
Trevor Pardula punt for 33 yds, downed at the Kans 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 24INT
6 plays · 29 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
99.8%
Grant Rohach pass complete to Jarvis West for 4 yds to the Kans 43Similar
Q4 4:03
2ND & 6
OPP 43
0
99.8%
Grant Rohach pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:03
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+10
99.8%
Grant Rohach pass complete to Allen Lazard for 10 yds to the Kans 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
99.7%
Grant Rohach pass complete to Jarvis West for 9 yds to the Kans 24Similar
Q4 4:03
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+6
99.6%
Tyler Brown run for 6 yds to the Kans 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
99.7%
Grant Rohach pass intercepted, touchback. JaCorey Shepherd return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:08100% → 100%
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.5%
Corey Avery run for 5 yds to the Kans 25Similar
Q4 2:29
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+1
99.5%
Corey Avery run for 1 yd to the Kans 26Similar
Q4 2:29
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+1
99.5%
Corey Avery run for 1 yd to the Kans 27Similar
Q4 0:21
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
99.7%
Trevor Pardula punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jarvis West at the IowSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
99.8%
Tyler Brown run for 6 yds to the IowSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:25
Tony Pierson run for 6 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wyman KICK)
+15.4
TD · Q3 2:49
Michael Cummings run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew Wyman KICK)
+14.6
TD · Q3 13:53
Grant Rohach pass complete to D'Vario Montgomery for 35 yds for a TD, (Cole Netten KICK)
-13.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com