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TCU

TCU 31 at West Virginia 30

WVU
2014 · Week 10 · Nov 1, 2014 · Milan Puskar Stadium
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Win probability · WVU
modelWVU aheadTCU aheadconfidence bandkey playWVU scoreTCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:20 · Nick O'Toole punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Cameron Echols-Luper at the TCU 49
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 165Home team on offense+15.3Pregame prior−1.7Garbage-time factor+9.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.4Score differential+2.3Blowout margin−1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 9:27: Trevone Boykin 2 Yd Run (Jaden Oberkrom Kick) — TCU win probability +18.1 pts (now 59%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:51: Dreamius Smith 5 Yd Run (Josh Lambert Kick) — WVU win probability +18.3 pts (now 72%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:25: B.J. Catalon 23 Yd Run (Jaden Oberkrom Kick) — TCU win probability +15.9 pts (now 34%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:33: B.J. Catalon 6 Yd Run (Jaden Oberkrom Kick) — TCU win probability +26.3 pts (now 43%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Jaden Oberkrom 37 Yd Field Goal — TCU win probability +68.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WVU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10TCU made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 10:36TCU 4th & 10 at TCU 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.6%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:19WVU 4th & 3 at TCU 4, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 47.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.4%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.1%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    45.4%−1.9
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:52WVU 4th & 6 at TCU 26, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.6%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.7%
    64% to make
    Punt
    46.4%−3.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:22WVU 4th & 7 at WVU 28, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.9%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:40TCU 4th & 3 at TCU 45, down 6
    Close callPunted · 50.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.8%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:42TCU 4th & 13 at WVU 46, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.0%−1.0
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    47.8%−1.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    48.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:24TCU 4th & 25 at WVU 36, down 6
    Close callPunted · 46.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.5%−1.8
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    46.3%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    45.8%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:50WVU 4th & 8 at WVU 32, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.3%−1.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:46TCU 4th & 2 at TCU 45, down 6
    Close callPunted · 44.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.0%−0.9
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:04WVU 4th & 4 at WVU 41, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.0%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:58WVU 4th & 18 at WVU 21, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.6%−5.1
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:55TCU 4th & 8 at TCU 31, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.0%−2.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:39TCU 4th & 3 at TCU 31, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%−0.3
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:56WVU 4th & 4 at TCU 6, up 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 74.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.3%−0.7
    91% to make
    Punt
    59.9%−14.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:10TCU 4th & 6 at WVU 46, down 9
    Close callPunted · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    17.7%−3.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    20.4%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:20WVU 4th & 12 at WVU 6, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.9%−3.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:59WVU 4th & 13 at WVU 25, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.8%−10.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.2%
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:46TCU 4th & 3 at WVU 43, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    31.8%−2.3
    28% to make
    Punt
    28.6%−5.5
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:07WVU 4th & 12 at WVU 41, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.4%−4.5
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WVU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3TCU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 11:00WVU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:44TCU Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 9:27TCU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:51WVU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:36WVU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:25TCU Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:33TCU Touchdown, down 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.6%−1.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:5041% → 44%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
41.1%
Wendell Smallwood run for 2 yds to the WVirg 27Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
41.3%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Jordan Thompson for 7 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
41.5%
Wendell Smallwood run for 1 yd to the WVirg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
41.6%
Wendell Smallwood run for 3 yds to the WVirg 38Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+6
41.8%
Wendell Smallwood run for 6 yds to the WVirg 44Similar
Q1 12:23
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+6
42.1%
Wendell Smallwood run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
50
-2
42.4%
Rushel Shell run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 48Similar
Q1 11:30
2ND & 12
OWN 48
+6
42.4%
Rushel Shell run for 6 yds to the TCU 46Similar
Q1 11:10
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+23
42.6%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 23 yds to the TCU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
44.3%
Mario Alford 23 Yd pass from Clint Trickett (Josh Lambert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:1556% → 56%
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
43.8%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Josh DoctsonSimilar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
43.9%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Kolby Listenbee, broken up by Daryl WorleySimilar
Q1 10:44
3RD & 10
OWN 15
0
44.1%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to B.J. Catalon, broken up by KJ DillonSimilar
Q1 10:36
4TH & 10
OWN 15
0
44.2%
Ethan Perry punt for 40 yds, downed at the WVirg 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3KICKOFF
14 plays · 51 yds · 4:1145% → 48%
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
44.6%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Kevin WhiteSimilar
Q1 10:20
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+11
44.6%
Wendell Smallwood run for 11 yds to the TCU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
45.1%
Wendell Smallwood run for 3 yds to the TCU 41Similar
Q1 9:39
2ND & 7
OPP 41
0
45.4%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Mario AlfordSimilar
Q1 9:30
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+8
45.3%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 8 yds to the TCU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
45.8%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Jordan Thompson for 3 yds to the TCU 30Similar
Q1 8:54
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+8
45.5%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Rushel Shell for 8 yds to the TCU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-5
45.7%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Jordan Thompson for 5 yds to the TCU 17 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Mario Alford) to the TCU 27Similar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 15
OPP 27
+14
46.3%
Rushel Shell run for 14 yds to the TCU 13Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 1
OPP 13
+2
46.7%
Rushel Shell run for 2 yds to the TCU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
46.9%
Rushel Shell run for 6 yds to the TCU 5Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 4
OPP 5
+2
47.5%
Dreamius Smith run for 2 yds to the TCU 3Similar
Q1 6:45
3RD & 2
OPP 3
-1
47.4%
Dreamius Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 4 Dreamius Smith fumbled, forced by Derrick Kindred, recovered by WVirgSimilar
Q1 6:19
4TH & 3
OPP 4
+21
47.9%
Josh Lambert 21 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 4FG
5 plays · 4 yds · 2:0849% → 54%
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
48.9%
Clint Trickett run for 2 yds to the TCU 28Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+5
50.1%
Wendell Smallwood run for 5 yds to the TCU 23Similar
Q1 4:25
3RD & 3
OPP 23
-3
49.9%
Clint Trickett run for a loss of 3 yards to the TCU 26Similar
Q1 3:52
4TH & 6
OPP 26
+44
53.8%
Josh Lambert 44 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 5TD
7 plays · 83 yds · 1:4646% → 52%
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+8
54.5%
Trevone Boykin run for 8 yds to the TCU 25Similar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 2
OWN 25
0
54.6%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Kolby ListenbeeSimilar
Q1 2:58
3RD & 2
OWN 25
+7
54.8%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Kolby Listenbee for 7 yds to the TCU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+19
54.9%
B.J. Catalon run for 19 yds to the WVirg 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
53.6%
B.J. Catalon run for 2 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q1 1:44
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+47
48.0%
Deante' Gray 47 Yd pass from Trevone Boykin , (Jaden Oberkrom KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:0850% → 49%
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
49.5%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Jordan Thompson for 4 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
49.9%
Wendell Smallwood run for 2 yds to the WVirg 31Similar
Q1 0:30
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-3
49.8%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 28Similar
Q1 0:22
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
49.0%
Nick O'Toole punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Cameron Echols-Luper at the TCU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:2050% → 49%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
49.8%
B.J. Catalon run for no gain to the TCU 38Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+7
50.0%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to B.J. Catalon for 7 yds to the TCU 45Similar
Q2 14:47
3RD & 3
OWN 45
0
49.3%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Josh DoctsonSimilar
Q2 14:40
4TH & 3
OWN 45
0
50.6%
Ethan Perry punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WVirg 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 8FUMBLE
5 plays · 23 yds · 1:2551% → 52%
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
50.7%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Jordan Thompson for 6 yds to the WVirg 26Similar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+10
50.9%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Mario Alford for 10 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
51.6%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Kevin WhiteSimilar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+3
51.8%
Rushel Shell run for 3 yds to the WVirg 39Similar
Q2 13:05
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+4
52.1%
Rushel Shell run for 4 yds to the WVirg 43 Rushel Shell fumbled, forced by James McFarland, recovered by TCU Chris BradleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:1350% → 47%
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
49.8%
Trevone Boykin run for 3 yds to the WVirg 40Similar
Q2 12:27
2ND & 7
OPP 40
0
50.2%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Josh DoctsonSimilar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 7
OPP 40
-1
50.6%
Trevone Boykin sacked by Edward Muldrow for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 41Similar
Q2 11:56
4TH & 8
OPP 41
-5
52.2%
TCU Penalty, False Start (Deante' Gray) to the WVirg 46Similar
Q2 11:42
4TH & 13
OPP 46
0
53.4%
Ethan Perry punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Vernon Davis at the WVirg 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 10INT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:3953% → 53%
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
52.9%
Andrew Buie run for 7 yds to the WVirg 17Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 3
OWN 17
+5
53.1%
Andrew Buie run for 5 yds to the WVirg 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
53.4%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Kevin WhiteSimilar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
53.5%
Clint Trickett run for no gain to the WVirg 22Similar
Q2 10:24
3RD & 10
OWN 22
-5
52.8%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (Andrew Buie) to the WVirg 17Similar
Q2 9:51
3RD & 15
OWN 17
+29
53.2%
Clint Trickett pass intercepted Chris Hackett return for 29 yds to the WVirg 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -15 yds · 1:1150% → 44%
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-15
49.9%
Boykin, Trevone pass complete to Gray, Deante' for no gain to the WESTVIR21, PENALTY TCU crackback (Foltz, Brady) 15 yards to the WESTVIR36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:27
1ST & 25
OPP 36
0
52.3%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Kolby Listenbee, broken up by Daryl WorleySimilar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 25
OPP 36
-1
52.6%
Trevone Boykin run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 37Similar
Q2 8:55
3RD & 26
OPP 37
+1
54.4%
Zach Allen run for 1 yd to the WVirg 36Similar
Q2 8:24
4TH & 25
OPP 36
0
55.9%
Ethan Perry punt for 20 yds, downed at the WVirg 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:2555% → 55%
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
55.3%
Wendell Smallwood run for 8 yds to the WVirg 24Similar
Q2 7:58
2ND & 2
OWN 24
+6
56.6%
Wendell Smallwood run for 6 yds to the WVirg 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
56.7%
Wendell Smallwood run for 2 yds to the WVirg 32Similar
Q2 7:09
2ND & 8
OWN 32
0
57.0%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Jordan ThompsonSimilar
Q2 7:00
3RD & 8
OWN 32
0
56.3%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Daikiel Shorts, broken up by Chris HackettSimilar
Q2 6:50
4TH & 8
OWN 32
0
55.4%
Nick O'Toole punt for 55 yds , Cameron Echols-Luper returns for no gain to the TCU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 1:5443% → 43%
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+12
56.8%
B.J. Catalon run for 12 yds to the TCU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
56.9%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Kolby Listenbee, broken up by Daryl WorleySimilar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
57.3%
Trevone Boykin run for 8 yds to the TCU 33Similar
Q2 5:40
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+2
56.7%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Josh Doctson for 2 yds Josh Doctson fumbled, forced by Karl Joseph, recovered by TCU for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
56.4%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Josh DoctsonSimilar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+8
57.0%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Deante' Gray for 8 yds to the TCU 45Similar
Q2 4:54
3RD & 2
OWN 45
0
55.6%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Ja'Juan StorySimilar
Q2 4:46
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
57.3%
Ethan Perry punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Vernon Davis at the WVirg 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 14FUMBLE
3 plays · 15 yds · 0:3659% → 59%
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+8
58.5%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Wendell Smallwood for 8 yds to the WVirg 23Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 2
OWN 23
+2
59.0%
Rushel Shell run for 2 yds to the WVirg 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
59.1%
Wendell Smallwood run for 5 yds to the WVirg 23 Wendell Smallwood fumbled, forced by Chris Hackett, recovered by TCU Derrick Kindred , return for 7 yds to the WVirg 23 Derrick Kindred fumbled, recovered by TCUSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 15INT
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:2646% → 45%
Q2 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-5
53.7%
TCU Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the WVirg 28Similar
Q2 3:40
1ST & 15
OPP 28
+2
55.1%
B.J. Catalon run for 2 yds to the WVirg 26Similar
Q2 3:28
2ND & 13
OPP 26
0
55.0%
Trevone Boykin pass intercepted KJ Dillon return for no gain to the WVirg 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 2:1160% → 60%
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
59.6%
Andrew Buie run for 3 yds to the WVirg 27Similar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+2
59.5%
Andrew Buie run for 2 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
Q2 2:40
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+6
58.8%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Jordan Thompson for 6 yds to the WVirg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
60.1%
Buie, Andrew rush for 7 yards to the WESTVIR42, PENALTY WESTVIR holding (Spain, Quinton) 10 yards to the WESTVIR25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 20
OWN 25
+12
59.8%
Andrew Buie run for 12 yds to the WVirg 37Similar
Q2 1:35
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+4
61.2%
Andrew Buie run for 4 yds to the WVirg 41Similar
Q2 1:13
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
61.5%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Kevin WhiteSimilar
Q2 1:04
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
59.7%
Nick O'Toole punt for 59 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 17END OF HALF
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:5040% → 39%
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
60.2%
Aaron Green run for 2 yds to the TCU 22Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+1
60.9%
B.J. Catalon run for 1 yd to the TCU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:5142% → 40%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
58.3%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to B.J. CatalonSimilar
Q3 14:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
59.0%
B.J. Catalon run for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 23 B.J. Catalon fumbled, recovered by TCU Halapoulivaati VaitaiSimilar
Q3 14:05
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+11
60.3%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Desmon White for 11 yds to the TCU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 1:0263% → 60%
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
62.5%
Wendell Smallwood run for 1 yd to the WVirg 30Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+3
62.4%
Wendell Smallwood run for 3 yds to the WVirg 33Similar
Q3 12:15
3RD & 6
OWN 33
-12
61.6%
Clint Trickett sacked by Paul Dawson for a loss of 12 yards to the WVirg 21Similar
Q3 11:58
4TH & 18
OWN 21
0
59.8%
Nick O'Toole punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Cameron Echols-Luper at the TCU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5540% → 38%
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
59.6%
B.J. Catalon run for 2 yds to the TCU 31Similar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 8
OWN 31
0
59.7%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Josh DoctsonSimilar
Q3 11:03
3RD & 8
OWN 31
0
61.3%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Josh DoctsonSimilar
Q3 10:55
4TH & 8
OWN 31
0
62.2%
Ethan Perry punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Vernon Davis at the WVirg 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 21FUMBLE
1 play · -6 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q3 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-6
63.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the WVirg 27 TEAM fumbled, recovered by TCU Mike TuauaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 22TD
6 plays · 27 yds · 1:0341% → 59%
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+15
58.9%
B.J. Catalon run for 15 yds to the WVirg 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+9
58.9%
Aaron Green run for 9 yds to the WVirg 3Similar
Q3 10:19
2ND & 1
OPP 3
+1
59.0%
Aaron Green run for 1 yd to the WVirg 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
59.4%
B.J. Catalon run for no gain to the WVirg 2Similar
Q3 9:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
41.3%
Trevone Boykin 2 Yd Run (Jaden Oberkrom Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 23TD
8 plays · 79 yds · 2:0948% → 72%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
48.3%
Dreamius Smith run for 4 yds to the WVirg 25Similar
Q3 8:50
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+8
49.0%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Jordan Thompson for 8 yds to the WVirg 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+50
49.1%
Dreamius Smith run for 50 yds to the TCU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+8
55.1%
Dreamius Smith run for 8 yds to the TCU 9Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 2
OPP 9
-2
55.3%
Dreamius Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 11Similar
Q3 7:02
3RD & 4
OPP 11
+6
53.4%
Clint Trickett run for 6 yds to the TCU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
71.7%
Dreamius Smith 5 Yd Run (Josh Lambert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 24FUMBLE RETURN TD
2 plays · 10 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q3 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-35
82.4%
Terrell Chestnut 35 Yd Fumble Return (Josh Lambert Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 1:3617% → 16%
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+8
82.9%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Cliff Murphy for 8 yds to the TCU 19Similar
Q3 5:47
2ND & 2
OWN 19
+5
82.5%
Aaron Green run for 5 yds to the TCU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
83.4%
Aaron Green run for 7 yds to the TCU 31Similar
Q3 4:52
2ND & 3
OWN 31
0
82.7%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Kolby ListenbeeSimilar
Q3 4:48
3RD & 3
OWN 31
0
83.3%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to David PorterSimilar
Q3 4:39
4TH & 3
OWN 31
0
84.1%
Ethan Perry punt for 35 yds, downed at the WVirg 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 26INT
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:4387% → 86%
Q3 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
86.5%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Mario Alford, broken up by Torrance MosleySimilar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+1
86.7%
Dreamius Smith run for 1 yd to the WVirg 35Similar
Q3 3:49
3RD & 9
OWN 35
+1
86.3%
Clint Trickett pass intercepted Paul Dawson return for 1 yd to the WVirg 36 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive Holding (Marquis Lucas) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 27TD
3 plays · 28 yds · 1:0519% → 34%
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
81.3%
Aaron Green run for 5 yds to the WVirg 23Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 5
OPP 23
0
81.6%
Aaron Green run for no gain to the WVirg 23Similar
Q3 2:25
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+23
65.8%
B.J. Catalon 23 Yd Run (Jaden Oberkrom Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 28FG
7 plays · 52 yds · 2:0177% → 82%
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+46
76.7%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Mario Alford for 46 yds to the TCU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
78.5%
Andrew Buie run for 2 yds to the TCU 10Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+1
78.8%
Andrew Buie run for 1 yd to the TCU 9Similar
Q3 0:44
3RD & 7
OPP 9
-5
77.7%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (Adam Pankey) to the TCU 14Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 12
OPP 14
+8
77.5%
Andrew Buie run for 8 yds to the TCU 6Similar
Q4 14:56
4TH & 4
OPP 6
+23
82.0%
Josh Lambert 23 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 29PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 1:3621% → 19%
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
79.2%
Boykin, Trevone pass complete to Green, Aaron for 12 yards to the TCU47, PENALTY TCU holding (Naff, Jamelle) 10 yards to the TCU25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:30
1ST & 20
OWN 25
+25
80.4%
Aaron Green run for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
50
+3
77.4%
Aaron Green run for 3 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+1
77.7%
B.J. Catalon run for 1 yd to the WVirg 46Similar
Q4 13:17
3RD & 6
OPP 46
0
78.6%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Desmon WhiteSimilar
Q4 13:10
4TH & 6
OPP 46
0
80.6%
Ethan Perry punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Vernon Davis at the WVirg 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 30PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:4083% → 83%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
82.9%
Dreamius Smith run for no gain to the WVirg 8Similar
Q4 12:27
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+1
83.9%
Dreamius Smith run for 1 yd to the WVirg 9Similar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 9
OWN 9
+2
83.5%
Dreamius Smith run for 2 yds to the WVirg 11Similar
Q4 11:29
4TH & 7
OWN 11
-5
82.9%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (Al-Rasheed Benton) to the WVirg 6Similar
Q4 11:20
4TH & 12
OWN 6
0
82.9%
Nick O'Toole punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Cameron Echols-Luper at the TCU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 31TD
10 plays · 51 yds · 3:3919% → 43%
Q4 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
81.2%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Josh Doctson for 15 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
80.8%
Kolby Listenbee run for 5 yds to the WVirg 31Similar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+6
81.7%
B.J. Catalon run for 6 yds to the WVirg 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
82.1%
B.J. Catalon run for 3 yds to the WVirg 22Similar
Q4 9:28
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+5
82.0%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Encroachment (Christian Brown) to the WVirg 17Similar
Q4 9:09
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+8
82.2%
B.J. Catalon run for 8 yds to the WVirg 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
82.2%
TCU Penalty, False Start (Jamelle Naff) to the WVirg 14Similar
Q4 8:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 14
+4
82.7%
Aaron Green run for 4 yds to the WVirg 10Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
83.1%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Desmon White for 4 yds to the WVirg 6Similar
Q4 7:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
56.9%
B.J. Catalon 6 Yd Run (Jaden Oberkrom Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 32PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:0167% → 68%
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
66.8%
Dreamius Smith run for no gain to the WVirg 28Similar
Q4 6:41
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
66.1%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Kevin White, broken up by Kevin WhiteSimilar
Q4 6:15
3RD & 10
OWN 28
-3
69.2%
Clint Trickett sacked by Mike Tuaua for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 25 Clint Trickett fumbled, forced by Mike Tuaua, recovered by WVirg Wendell Smallwood , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 5:59
4TH & 13
OWN 25
-6
67.7%
Nick O'Toole punt for 40 yds , Cameron Echols-Luper returns for a loss of 6 yards to the TCU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 33DOWNS
5 plays · 28 yds · 1:5437% → 38%
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+21
62.6%
Trevone Boykin run for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
50
0
56.9%
B.J. Catalon run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:44
2ND & 10
50
+5
59.4%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Aaron Green for 5 yds to the WVirg 45Similar
Q4 4:15
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+2
59.9%
Aaron Green run for 2 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
Q4 3:46
4TH & 3
OPP 43
0
62.2%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to B.J. CatalonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 34PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:5379% → 76%
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
78.7%
Andrew Buie run for no gain to the WVirg 43Similar
Q4 2:40
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+1
78.0%
Andrew Buie run for 1 yd to the WVirg 44Similar
Q4 2:20
3RD & 9
OWN 44
-3
76.5%
Andrew Buie run for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 41Similar
Q4 2:07
4TH & 12
OWN 41
0
76.3%
Nick O'Toole punt for 35 yds, downed at the TCU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 35END OF GAME
9 plays · 56 yds · 1:5530% → 95%
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
70.3%
Trevone Boykin run for 3 yds to the TCU 27Similar
Q4 1:28
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+40
69.6%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Kolby Listenbee for 40 yds to the WVirg 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
61.2%
Trevone Boykin run for 6 yds to the WVirg 27Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+3
62.8%
B.J. Catalon run for 3 yds to the WVirg 24Similar
Q4 0:30
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+2
65.9%
B.J. Catalon run for 2 yds to the WVirg 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
65.6%
B.J. Catalon run for 2 yds to the WVirg 20Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+37
5.0%
Jaden Oberkrom 37 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:00
Jaden Oberkrom 37 Yd Field Goal
-68
TD · Q4 7:33
B.J. Catalon 6 Yd Run (Jaden Oberkrom Kick)
-26.3
TD · Q3 6:51
Dreamius Smith 5 Yd Run (Josh Lambert Kick)
+18.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com