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KU

Kansas 14 at Baylor 60

BAY
2014 · Week 10 · Nov 1, 2014 · McLane Stadium
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Win probability · BAY
modelBAY aheadKU aheadconfidence bandkey playBAY scoreKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGFGTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+0.8BAY 99.4%Devin Chafin 1 Yd Run (Chris CallahanKick)AWAY 7 - HOME 36 · Q2 3:28
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 3:28 · Devin Chafin 1 Yd Run (Chris Callahan Kick)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 90Pregame prior+36.0Home team on offense+23.5Score differential+18.9Blowout margin+5.6Garbage-time factor+6.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:52: Michael Cummings pass complete to Nick Harwell for 28 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wyman KICK) — KU win probability +0.5 pts (now 3%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  2. TD · Q1 3:16: Shock Linwood run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chris Callahan KICK) — BAY win probability +0.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 11:16: Chris Callahan 33 yd FG GOOD — BAY win probability +0.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 8:31: Chris Callahan 33 yd FG GOOD — BAY win probability +0.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 3:28: Devin Chafin 1 Yd Run (Chris Callahan Kick) — BAY win probability +0.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BAY made the numbers' call on 3 of 6KU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 13:13BAY 4th & 1 at BAY 30, tied
    Close callPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.2%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:40KU 4th & 8 at KU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:38KU 4th & 9 at KU 37, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:25BAY 4th & 4 at KU 10, up 13
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.5%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.4%−0.1
    88% to make
    Punt
    95.4%−1.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:16BAY 4th & 4 at KU 16, up 16
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.7%−<0.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    96.1%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:31BAY 4th & 8 at KU 16, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.2%
    81% to make
    Punt
    96.3%−0.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:54KU 4th & 16 at KU 26, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:28BAY 4th & 1 at KU 1, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.1%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    97.8%−0.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    97.2%−0.9
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:25KU 4th & 8 at KU 27, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:02BAY 4th & 6 at KU 20, up 29
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.5%
    75% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:46KU 4th & 2 at BAY 33, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:40KU 4th & 13 at KU 18, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:43KU 4th & 2 at BAY 2, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BAY made the numbers' call on 7 of 7KU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:29BAY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:37BAY Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:52KU Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 3:16BAY Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:28BAY Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:26BAY Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:24BAY Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 2:12KU Touchdown, down 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 13:56BAY Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BAYDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2998% → 98%
Q1 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
97.8%
Shock Linwood run for 5 yds to the Bayl 26Similar
Q1 14:23
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+3
97.8%
Shock Linwood run for 3 yds to the Bayl 29Similar
Q1 13:55
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+1
97.7%
Bryce Petty pass complete to KD Cannon for 1 yd to the Bayl 30Similar
Q1 13:13
4TH & 1
OWN 30
0
97.6%
Spencer Roth punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Johnson at the Kans 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:232% → 3%
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
97.6%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Nigel King for 3 yds to the Kans 33Similar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+4
97.6%
Tony Pierson run for 4 yds to the Kans 37Similar
Q1 12:20
3RD & 3
OWN 37
-5
97.5%
KANSAS Penalty, False Start (Larry Mazyck) to the Kans 32Similar
Q1 11:53
3RD & 8
OWN 32
0
97.5%
Michael Cummings pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:40
4TH & 8
OWN 32
+7
97.4%
Trevor Pardula punt for 47 yds , Levi Norwood returns for 7 yds to the Bayl 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 3TD
1 play · 72 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+72
97.5%
Bryce Petty pass complete to Corey Coleman for 72 yds for a TD, (Chris Callahan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 4FUMBLE
4 plays · -10 yds · 0:203% → 3%
Q1 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-2
97.5%
Corey Avery run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 26Similar
Q1 10:47
2ND & 12
OWN 26
0
97.4%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Nigel King, broken up by Orion StewartSimilar
Q1 10:41
3RD & 12
OWN 26
-8
97.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 8 yards to the Kans 18 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Bayl Shawn OakmanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 5TD
4 plays · 18 yds · 0:5898% → 98%
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
97.5%
Devin Chafin run for 8 yds to the Kans 10Similar
Q1 10:06
2ND & 2
OPP 10
+1
97.4%
Devin Chafin run for 1 yd to the Kans 9Similar
Q1 9:47
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+8
97.4%
Devin Chafin run for 8 yds to the Kans 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.6%
Devin Chafin run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chris Callahan PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 6TD
7 plays · 77 yds · 2:403% → 3%
Q1 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
97.5%
Tony Pierson run for 2 yds to the Kans 25Similar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+1
97.4%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Tony Pierson for 1 yd to the Kans 26Similar
Q1 8:21
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+36
97.4%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Corey Avery for 36 yds to the Bayl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
97.3%
Tony Pierson run for 5 yds to the Bayl 33Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+5
97.2%
BAYLOR Penalty, Defensive Offside (Taylor Young) to the Bayl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
96.7%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Nick Harwell for 28 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wyman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 7TD
11 plays · 67 yds · 3:2397% → 97%
Q1 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
96.9%
Shock Linwood run for 11 yds to the Bayl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
97.0%
Bryce Petty pass incomplete to KD Cannon, broken up by Tevin ShawSimilar
Q1 6:05
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+4
96.9%
Shock Linwood run for 4 yds to the Bayl 48Similar
Q1 5:35
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+39
96.9%
Shock Linwood run for 39 yds to the Kans 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
96.9%
Shock Linwood run for 3 yds to the Kans 10Similar
Q1 4:44
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+7
96.8%
Bryce Petty run for 7 yds to the Kans 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
96.8%
Shock Linwood run for 2 yds to the Kans 1Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
96.7%
Shock Linwood run for no gain to the Kans 1Similar
Q1 3:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.4%
Shock Linwood run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chris Callahan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:193% → 3%
Q1 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
97.2%
Corey Avery run for 3 yds to the Kans 25Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 7
OWN 25
0
97.1%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Justin McCaySimilar
Q1 2:20
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+11
97.1%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Jimmay Mundine for 11 yds to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-3
97.0%
Corey Avery run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kans 33Similar
Q1 1:16
2ND & 13
OWN 33
+4
97.0%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Corey Avery for 4 yds to the Kans 37Similar
Q1 0:51
3RD & 9
OWN 37
0
97.0%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Nigel KingSimilar
Q1 0:38
4TH & 9
OWN 37
0
97.0%
Trevor Pardula punt for 61 yds , Levi Norwood returns for no gain to the Bayl 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 9FG
12 plays · 88 yds · 3:0897% → 97%
Q1 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
97.2%
Bryce Petty pass incomplete to Corey ColemanSimilar
Q1 0:26
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+14
97.2%
Devin Chafin run for 14 yds to the Bayl 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
97.2%
Bryce Petty pass incomplete to Antwan GoodleySimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+11
97.2%
Devin Chafin run for 11 yds to the Bayl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
97.2%
Bryce Petty pass complete to Antwan Goodley for 3 yds to the Bayl 30Similar
Q2 14:34
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+5
97.2%
Shock Linwood run for 5 yds to the Bayl 35Similar
Q2 14:19
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+3
97.2%
Shock Linwood run for 3 yds to the Bayl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+46
97.2%
Bryce Petty pass complete to Corey Coleman for 46 yds to the Kans 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
97.3%
Bryce Petty run for 3 yds to the Kans 13Similar
Q2 13:18
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+2
97.3%
Shock Linwood run for 2 yds to the Kans 11Similar
Q2 12:54
3RD & 5
OPP 11
+1
97.2%
Bryce Petty run for 1 yd to the Kans 10Similar
Q2 12:25
4TH & 4
OPP 10
+27
97.2%
Chris Callahan 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 10FG
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:5497% → 98%
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
97.3%
Devin Chafin run for 2 yds to the Kans 20Similar
Q2 11:43
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+4
97.3%
Bryce Petty pass complete to Devin Chafin for 4 yds to the Kans 16Similar
Q2 11:21
3RD & 4
OPP 16
0
97.3%
Bryce Petty pass incomplete to Antwan GoodleySimilar
Q2 11:16
4TH & 4
OPP 16
+33
97.7%
Chris Callahan 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 11FUMBLE
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:563% → 3%
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
97.4%
Tony Pierson run for 1 yd to the Kans 28Similar
Q2 10:28
2ND & 9
OWN 28
-10
97.4%
Cummings, Michael pass complete to Harwell, Nick for 5 yards to the KANSAS33, PENALTY KANSAS holding (Mazyck, Larry) 10 yards to the KANSAS18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:42
2ND & 19
OWN 18
+14
97.4%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Jimmay Mundine for 14 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q2 9:14
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+8
97.4%
Michael Cummings sacked by K.J. Smith for a loss of 6 yards to the Kans 18 Michael Cummings fumbled, forced by K.J. Smith, recovered by Bayl Byron Bonds, returned for 8 yds to the Kans 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 12FG
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:3898% → 99%
Q2 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
97.9%
Bryce Petty pass complete to KD Cannon for 2 yds to the Kans 16Similar
Q2 8:42
2ND & 8
OPP 16
0
97.9%
Bryce Petty pass incomplete to Antwan GoodleySimilar
Q2 8:36
3RD & 8
OPP 16
0
97.9%
Bryce Petty pass incomplete to KD Cannon, broken up by Cassius SendishSimilar
Q2 8:31
4TH & 8
OPP 16
+33
98.6%
Chris Callahan 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:162% → 2%
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
98.1%
Tony Pierson run for no gain to the Kans 32Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-6
98.2%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Justin McCay for a loss of 6 yards to the Kans 26Similar
Q2 7:08
3RD & 16
OWN 26
0
98.3%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Justin McCaySimilar
Q2 6:54
4TH & 16
OWN 26
+2
98.3%
Trevor Pardula punt for 47 yds , Levi Norwood returns for 2 yds to the Bayl 28 BAYLOR Penalty, Illegal Block (Travon Blanchard) to the Bayl 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 14TD
12 plays · 81 yds · 3:1999% → 99%
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
98.6%
Bryce Petty run for 6 yds to the Bayl 25Similar
Q2 6:22
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+3
98.6%
Corey Coleman run for 3 yds to the Bayl 28Similar
Q2 6:07
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+15
98.6%
Devin Chafin run for 15 yds to the Bayl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
98.6%
Bryce Petty pass incomplete to Jay LeeSimilar
Q2 5:50
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+8
98.6%
Devin Chafin run for 8 yds to the Kans 49Similar
Q2 5:41
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+16
98.7%
Devin Chafin run for 16 yds to the Kans 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
98.7%
Bryce Petty pass incomplete to Antwan GoodleySimilar
Q2 5:02
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+29
98.7%
Bryce Petty pass complete to KD Cannon for 29 yds to the Kans 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
98.7%
Shock Linwood run for 1 yd to the Kans 3Similar
Q2 4:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
98.7%
Shock Linwood run for 2 yds to the Kans 1Similar
Q2 4:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.6%
Devin Chafin run for no gain to the Kans 1Similar
Q2 3:28
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.4%
Devin Chafin 1 Yd Run (Chris Callahan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 1:400% → 0%
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.6%
Corey Avery run for 4 yds to the Kans 29Similar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
99.6%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Corey Avery for 3 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q2 2:07
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-5
99.6%
KANSAS Penalty, False Start (Jordan Shelley-Smith) to the Kans 27Similar
Q2 1:33
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
99.7%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Jimmay Mundine for no gain to the Kans 27Similar
Q2 1:25
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
99.7%
Trevor Pardula punt for 26 yds, downed at the Bayl 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 16FG
8 plays · 33 yds · 1:17100% → 100%
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.5%
Bryce Petty pass incomplete to Clay FullerSimilar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+9
99.5%
Devin Chafin run for 9 yds to the Kans 44Similar
Q2 0:58
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+5
99.5%
Bryce Petty pass complete to Levi Norwood for 5 yds to the Kans 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
99.6%
Petty, Bryce pass incomplete to Lee, Jay, PENALTY KANSAS pass interference (Johnson, Isaiah) 15 yards to the KANSAS24, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BAYLOR. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
99.6%
Bryce Petty pass incomplete to KD CannonSimilar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+4
99.6%
Bryce Petty pass complete to Antwan Goodley for 4 yds to the Kans 20Similar
Q2 0:07
3RD & 6
OPP 20
0
99.6%
Bryce Petty run for no gain to the Kans 20Similar
Q2 0:02
4TH & 6
OPP 20
+37
99.6%
Chris Callahan 37 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 18DOWNS
9 plays · 47 yds · 4:021% → 1%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
99.4%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Jimmay Mundine for 6 yds to the Kans 26Similar
Q3 14:26
2ND & 4
OWN 26
-1
99.5%
Tony Pierson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 25Similar
Q3 13:40
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+18
99.5%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Nick Harwell for 18 yds to the Kans 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+16
99.5%
Tony Pierson run for 16 yds to the Bayl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-2
99.5%
Corey Avery run for a loss of 2 yards to the Bayl 43Similar
Q3 12:01
2ND & 12
OPP 43
+7
99.6%
Corey Avery run for 7 yds to the Bayl 36Similar
Q3 11:28
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+3
99.5%
Corey Avery run for 3 yds to the Bayl 33Similar
Q3 10:46
4TH & 2
OPP 33
0
99.4%
Ben Heeney run for no gain to the Bayl 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 19TD
2 plays · 67 yds · 0:14100% → 100%
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+18
99.7%
Devin Chafin run for 18 yds to the Kans 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+49
99.8%
Corey Coleman 49 Yd pass from Bryce Petty (Chris Callahan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:250% → 0%
Q3 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
99.8%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Darious Crawley for 7 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q3 9:29
2ND & 3
OWN 28
0
99.7%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Nigel KingSimilar
Q3 9:10
3RD & 3
OWN 28
-10
99.8%
Michael Cummings sacked by K.J. Smith for a loss of 10 yards to the Kans 18 Michael Cummings fumbled, forced by K.J. Smith, recovered by Kans Michael Cummings , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 8:40
4TH & 13
OWN 18
0
99.8%
Trevor Pardula punt for 41 yds, downed at the Bayl 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 21TD
9 plays · 59 yds · 2:06100% → 100%
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
99.8%
Bryce Petty pass complete to Davion Hall for 10 yds to the Kans 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
99.8%
Johnny Jefferson run for 3 yds to the Kans 46Similar
Q3 8:02
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+8
99.8%
Bryce Petty pass complete to Clay Fuller for 8 yds to the Kans 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
99.8%
Bryce Petty pass incomplete to Levi NorwoodSimilar
Q3 7:48
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+19
99.8%
Bryce Petty pass complete to Levi Norwood for 19 yds to the Kans 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+15
99.8%
Bryce Petty pass complete to Clay Fuller for 15 yds to the Kans 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
99.8%
Bryce Petty run for 3 yds to the Kans 1Similar
Q3 6:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-9
99.8%
Bryce Petty run for a loss of 9 yards to the Kans 10 Bryce Petty fumbled, forced by Michael Reynolds, recovered by Bayl Levi NorwoodSimilar
Q3 6:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
99.9%
Levi Norwood 10 Yd pass from Bryce Petty (Chris Callahan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 22TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:060% → 0%
Q3 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Tony Pierson run for 2 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Nick HarwellSimilar
Q3 5:32
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+22
99.9%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Nick Harwell for 22 yds to the Kans 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
99.9%
Tony Pierson run for 2 yds to the Bayl 49Similar
Q3 4:58
2ND & 8
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Nigel King, broken up by Ryan ReidSimilar
Q3 4:40
3RD & 8
OPP 49
-10
99.9%
Cummings, Michael rush for 24 yards to the BAYLOR25, PENALTY KANSAS holding (Mazyck, Larry) 10 yards to the KANSAS41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:21
3RD & 18
OWN 41
+15
99.9%
Cummings, Michael pass incomplete to King, Nigel, PENALTY BAYLOR pass interference (Reid, Ryan) 15 yards to the BAYLOR44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN KANSAS. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-8
99.9%
Michael Cummings sacked by Shawn Oakman for a loss of 8 yards to the Kans 48 Michael Cummings fumbled, forced by Shawn Oakman, recovered by Kans Pat Lewandowski , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 18
OWN 48
+49
99.9%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Corey Avery for 49 yds to the Bayl 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
99.8%
Corey Avery run for 2 yds to the Bayl 1Similar
Q3 2:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Nick Harwell 1 Yd pass from Michael Cummings (Matthew Wyman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 23TD
13 plays · 83 yds · 3:00100% → 100%
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
99.9%
Johnny Jefferson run for 4 yds to the Bayl 21Similar
Q3 1:35
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+15
99.9%
Seth Russell pass complete to Jay Lee for 15 yds to the Bayl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
99.9%
Seth Russell pass complete to KD Cannon for 13 yds to the Bayl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
99.9%
BAYLOR Penalty, False Start (Jordan Feuerbacher) to the Bayl 44Similar
Q3 0:42
1ST & 15
OWN 44
0
99.9%
Seth Russell pass incomplete to Jay LeeSimilar
Q3 0:35
2ND & 15
OWN 44
+17
99.9%
Seth Russell run for 17 yds to the Kans 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
99.9%
Seth Russell pass complete to KD Cannon for 8 yds to the Kans 31Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+2
99.9%
Johnny Jefferson run for 2 yds to the Kans 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+20
99.9%
Seth Russell pass complete to Jay Lee for 20 yds Jay Lee fumbled, forced by Jake Love, recovered by Bayl for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.9%
Seth Russell pass incomplete to Jay LeeSimilar
Q4 14:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
99.9%
Johnny Jefferson run for 5 yds to the Kans 4Similar
Q4 13:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
Seth Russell 4 Yd Run (Chris Callahan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 24DOWNS
14 plays · 95 yds · 5:560% → 0%
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+4
99.9%
Corey Avery run for 4 yds to the Kans 7Similar
Q4 13:05
2ND & 6
OWN 7
+2
99.9%
Corey Avery run for 2 yds to the Kans 9Similar
Q4 12:48
3RD & 4
OWN 9
+27
99.9%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Nigel King for 27 yds to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-4
99.9%
Michael Cummings run for a loss of 4 yards to the Kans 32Similar
Q4 11:04
2ND & 14
OWN 32
+10
99.9%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Nick Harwell for 10 yds to the Kans 42Similar
Q4 10:39
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+33
99.9%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Nigel King for 33 yds to the Bayl 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
99.9%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Nigel King for 5 yds to the Bayl 20Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+14
99.9%
Cummings, Michael pass incomplete to McCay, Justin, PENALTY BAYLOR pass interference (Wright, Tion) 14 yards to the BAYLOR6, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN KANSAS. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
99.9%
Darious Crawley run for 3 yds to the Bayl 3Similar
Q4 9:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-15
99.9%
Cummings, Michael pass incomplete to King, Nigel (Levels, Patrick), PENALTY KANSAS personal foul (Mazyck, Larry) 15 yards to the BAYLOR18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 18
+16
99.9%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Justin McCay for 16 yds to the Bayl 2Similar
Q4 8:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.9%
Corey Avery run for no gain to the Bayl 2Similar
Q4 7:43
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
99.9%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Jimmay MundineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 25END OF GAME
14 plays · 89 yds · 7:37100% → 100%
Q4 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
100.0%
Seth Russell pass incomplete to Lynx HawthorneSimilar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+7
100.0%
Johnny Jefferson run for 7 yds to the Bayl 9Similar
Q4 6:49
3RD & 3
OWN 9
+8
99.9%
Johnny Jefferson run for 8 yds to the Bayl 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
99.9%
Seth Russell pass complete to Quan Jones for 9 yds to the Bayl 26Similar
Q4 5:53
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+4
100.0%
Seth Russell run for 4 yds to the Bayl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
100.0%
Seth Russell pass complete to Lynx Hawthorne for 1 yd to the Bayl 31Similar
Q4 4:51
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+23
100.0%
Johnny Jefferson run for 23 yds to the Kans 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
100.0%
Silas Nacita run for 9 yds to the Kans 37Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 1
OPP 37
+3
100.0%
Anthony Webb run for 3 yds to the Kans 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+28
100.0%
Silas Nacita run for 28 yds to the Kans 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
100.0%
Anthony Webb run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 7Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
100.0%
BAYLOR Penalty, Delay of Game (Chris Johnson) to the Kans 12Similar
Q4 0:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+5
100.0%
Silas Nacita run for 5 yds to the Kans 7Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:28
Devin Chafin 1 Yd Run (Chris Callahan Kick)
+0.8
FG · Q2 8:31
Chris Callahan 33 yd FG GOOD
+0.7
TD · Q1 3:16
Shock Linwood run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chris Callahan KICK)
+0.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com