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Oklahoma 59 at Iowa State 14

ISU
2014 · Week 10 · Nov 1, 2014 · Jack Trice Stadium
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Win probability · ISU
modelISU aheadOU aheadconfidence bandkey playISU scoreOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG—ISU 3.0%Michael Hunnicutt 44 yd FG GOODAWAY 38 - HOME 7 · Q3 11:20
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 11:20 · Michael Hunnicutt 44 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+58.5+29.30−29.3−58.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 128Home team on offense−37.7Pregame prior−20.3Score differential−17.4Garbage-time factor−10.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:52: Trevor Knight pass complete to K.J. Young for 16 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK) — OU win probability +0.7 pts (now 86%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 2:42: Trevor Knight pass complete to Blake Bell for 5 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK) — OU win probability +3.1 pts (now 90%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 14:18: Sam B. Richardson run for 18 yds for a TD, (Cole Netten KICK) — ISU win probability +4.8 pts (now 15%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 6:44: Samaje Perine run for 7 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK) — OU win probability +4.9 pts (now 92%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:14: Sam B. Richardson pass complete to D'Vario Montgomery for 59 yds for a TD, (Cole Netten KICK) — ISU win probability +0.8 pts (now 2%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ISU made the numbers' call on 10 of 12OU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 14:12ISU 4th & 7 at ISU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.8%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:34ISU 4th & 4 at OU 45, down 7
    Close callPunted · 16.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    16.0%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    16.1%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:14ISU 4th & 10 at ISU 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.8%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:04ISU 4th & 11 at ISU 21, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.7%−0.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:26OU 4th & 1 at midfield, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    83.8%−1.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:14ISU 4th & 10 at OU 48, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.4%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:54ISU 4th & 2 at OU 40, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    10.4%−0.6
    34% to make
    Punt
    10.4%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:13ISU 4th & 6 at ISU 39, down 28
    Close callPunted · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:20OU 4th & 6 at ISU 27, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.3%
    62% to make
    Punt
    97.0%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:56ISU 4th & 4 at ISU 25, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:39OU 4th & 9 at OU 26, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:33ISU 4th & 10 at ISU 19, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:48OU 4th & 7 at ISU 41, up 38
    Close callPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    99.3%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:01ISU 4th & 9 at OU 47, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:38ISU 4th & 3 at OU 11, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−<0.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:13ISU 4th & 11 at ISU 24, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:09OU 4th & 10 at ISU 20, up 45
    Close callWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%
    75% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ISU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2OU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 13:38OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 9:52OU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:42OU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:18ISU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 6:44OU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 4:03OU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:43OU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 6:14ISU Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 2:55OU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 5:12OU Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ISUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:3813% → 14%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
13.3%
Aaron Wimberly run for 3 yds to the IowSt 28Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
13.4%
Sam B. Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:25
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
13.5%
Sam B. Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:12
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
13.5%
Colin Downing punt for 49 yds, downed at the Okla 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 2TD
2 plays · 77 yds · 0:2586% → 87%
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+46
13.6%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 46 yds to the IowSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
13.5%
Trevor Knight run for 31 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 0:5914% → 14%
Q1 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
13.6%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to Aaron WimberlySimilar
Q1 13:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
13.6%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to D'Vario MontgomerySimilar
Q1 13:23
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+24
13.6%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to Allen Lazard for 24 yds to the IowSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
13.8%
Sam B. Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:06
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+6
13.8%
Aaron Wimberly run for 6 yds to the Okla 45Similar
Q1 12:43
3RD & 4
OPP 45
0
14.0%
Sam B. Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:34
4TH & 4
OPP 45
0
13.9%
Holden Kramer punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Okla 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 4TD
11 plays · 82 yds · 2:3686% → 86%
Q1 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+12
13.9%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Durron Neal for 12 yds to the Okla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
13.9%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Michiah QuickSimilar
Q1 12:12
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+16
14.0%
Trevor Knight run for 16 yds to the Okla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
13.9%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Michiah Quick for 8 yds to the IowSt 46Similar
Q1 11:42
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+4
13.9%
Samaje Perine run for 4 yds to the IowSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+10
14.0%
Trevor Knight pass complete to K.J. Young for 10 yds to the IowSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
14.1%
Samaje Perine run for no gain to the IowSt 32Similar
Q1 10:17
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+16
14.2%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Durron Neal for 16 yds to the IowSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
14.3%
Trevor Knight pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:57
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
14.3%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Durron NealSimilar
Q1 9:52
3RD & 10
OPP 16
+16
13.6%
Trevor Knight pass complete to K.J. Young for 16 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:2114% → 14%
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
13.8%
DeVondrick Nealy run for no gain to the IowSt 25Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
13.8%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to E.J. BibbsSimilar
Q1 9:21
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
13.8%
Sam B. Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:14
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
13.8%
Colin Downing punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Zack Sanchez at the Okla 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 6INT
7 plays · 43 yds · 1:4587% → 87%
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
13.1%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Durron Neal for 9 yds to the IowSt 47Similar
Q1 8:47
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+13
13.1%
Alex Ross run for 13 yds to the IowSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+12
13.0%
Alex Ross run for 12 yds to the IowSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
13.3%
Alex Ross run for 4 yds to the IowSt 18Similar
Q1 8:05
2ND & 6
OPP 18
-2
13.3%
Trevor Knight run for 8 yds to the IowSt 10 OKLAHOMA Penalty, Illegal Block (-10 Yards) to the IowSt 20Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+7
13.3%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Samaje Perine for 7 yds to the IowSt 13Similar
Q1 7:10
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+5
13.4%
Trevor Knight pass intercepted Sam E. Richardson return for 5 yds to the IowSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:5814% → 14%
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+13
14.0%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to Allen Lazard for 13 yds to the IowSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
14.0%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to Allen LazardSimilar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 10
OWN 22
-1
14.1%
Aaron Wimberly run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 21Similar
Q1 6:12
3RD & 11
OWN 21
0
14.0%
Sam B. Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:04
4TH & 11
OWN 21
0
14.0%
Colin Downing punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Zack Sanchez at the Okla 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 8TD
9 plays · 62 yds · 3:0987% → 90%
Q1 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
13.4%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Alex Ross for 5 yds to the Okla 43Similar
Q1 5:28
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+10
13.4%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Michiah Quick for 10 yds to the IowSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
13.4%
Alex Ross run for 2 yds to the IowSt 45Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+9
13.4%
Trevor Knight run for 9 yds to the IowSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
13.4%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Michiah Quick for 7 yds to the IowSt 29Similar
Q1 4:18
2ND & 3
OPP 29
+3
13.4%
Alex Ross run for 3 yds to the IowSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
13.4%
Trevor Knight run for 5 yds to the IowSt 7 for a 1ST down Dimitri Flowers for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
13.4%
Samaje Perine run for 2 yds to the IowSt 5Similar
Q1 2:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
10.3%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Blake Bell for 5 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 9TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:2011% → 15%
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
11.0%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to Jarvis West for 5 yds to the IowSt 30Similar
Q1 2:08
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+10
11.0%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to Allen Lazard for 4 yds to the IowSt 34, Aaron Wimberly for 6 yds to the IowSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
11.1%
Aaron Wimberly run for no gain to the IowSt 40Similar
Q1 1:25
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+5
10.9%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to Jarvis West for 5 yds to the IowSt 45Similar
Q1 1:17
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+11
11.1%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to Allen Lazard for 11 yds to the Okla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
11.2%
Sam B. Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:45
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+15
11.1%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to Jarvis West for 15 yds to the Okla 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
11.3%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to E.J. BibbsSimilar
Q1 0:15
2ND & 10
OPP 29
-10
11.1%
IOWA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Okla 39Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 20
OPP 39
0
10.7%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to Jarvis WestSimilar
Q2 14:47
3RD & 20
OPP 39
+21
10.5%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to Aaron Wimberly for 21 yds to the Okla 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
15.3%
Sam B. Richardson run for 18 yds for a TD, (Cole Netten KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 10DOWNS
8 plays · 37 yds · 2:2986% → 87%
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
13.6%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Michiah Quick for 3 yds to the Okla 14Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 7
OWN 14
+7
13.6%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Michiah Quick for 7 yds to the Okla 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+20
13.6%
Samaje Perine run for 20 yds to the Okla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
13.2%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Samaje Perine for 3 yds to the Okla 44Similar
Q2 12:15
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+5
13.2%
Trevor Knight run for 5 yds to the Okla 49Similar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+1
13.4%
Samaje Perine run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:26
4TH & 1
50
-2
13.3%
Samaje Perine run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:4615% → 14%
Q2 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
14.8%
DeVondrick Nealy run for no gain to the Okla 48Similar
Q2 10:35
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
14.8%
Sam B. Richardson run for no gain to the Okla 48Similar
Q2 10:21
3RD & 10
OPP 48
0
14.6%
Sam B. Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:14
4TH & 10
OPP 48
0
14.2%
Holden Kramer punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Zack Sanchez at the Okla 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 12TD
9 plays · 90 yds · 3:2187% → 92%
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
13.5%
Alex Ross run for 6 yds to the Okla 16Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 4
OWN 16
+38
13.3%
Alex Ross run for 38 yds to the IowSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
12.6%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Durron NealSimilar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+9
12.6%
Trevor Knight run for 9 yds to the IowSt 37Similar
Q2 8:30
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+3
12.7%
Samaje Perine run for 3 yds to the IowSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
13.0%
Samaje Perine run for 5 yds to the IowSt 29Similar
Q2 7:37
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+11
12.7%
Samaje Perine run for 11 yds to the IowSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+11
12.7%
Samaje Perine run for 11 yds to the IowSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
7.7%
Samaje Perine run for 7 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 13DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:2210% → 10%
Q2 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
10.0%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to D'Vario Montgomery for 8 yds to the Okla 40Similar
Q2 6:04
2ND & 2
OPP 40
0
10.1%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to D'Vario MontgomerySimilar
Q2 6:00
3RD & 2
OPP 40
0
10.1%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to E.J. BibbsSimilar
Q2 5:54
4TH & 2
OPP 40
0
9.9%
Holden Kramer pass incomplete to Qujuan FloydSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 14TD
5 plays · 60 yds · 1:4692% → 92%
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
7.8%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Blake BellSimilar
Q2 5:43
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+16
7.9%
Trevor Knight run for 16 yds to the IowSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+36
7.5%
Alex Ross run for 36 yds to the IowSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
7.2%
Alex Ross run for no gain to the IowSt 8Similar
Q2 4:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
7.7%
Trevor Knight run for 8 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 1:2510% → 6%
Q2 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
10.4%
Sam B. Richardson run for 1 yd to the IowSt 22Similar
Q2 3:18
2ND & 9
OWN 22
-2
6.7%
Sam B. Richardson sacked by Eric Striker for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 20Similar
Q2 3:00
3RD & 11
OWN 20
+15
6.6%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the IowSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
6.8%
Sam B. Richardson run for 4 yds to the IowSt 39Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
6.3%
Sam B. Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:25
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
6.3%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to Allen LazardSimilar
Q2 2:13
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
6.1%
Colin Downing punt for 43 yds, downed at the Okla 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 16INT
5 plays · 34 yds · 0:4792% → 95%
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
8.0%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Samaje Perine for 5 yds to the Okla 23Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+29
7.3%
Trevor Knight run for 14 yds to the Okla 37 for a 1ST down IOWA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the IowSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
6.2%
Trevor Knight pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
5.2%
Trevor Knight pass intercepted Sam E. Richardson return for no gain to the IowSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 17END OF HALF
8 plays · 62 yds · 1:044% → 3%
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
4.4%
Sam B. Richardson run for a loss of 3 yards to the IowSt 22Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+6
4.1%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to Allen Lazard for 6 yds to the IowSt 28Similar
Q2 0:18
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+11
4.0%
Sam B. Richardson run for 11 yds to the IowSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
2.8%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Okla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
3.0%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to D'Vario MontgomerySimilar
Q2 0:02
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
2.8%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to D'Vario MontgomerySimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+33
2.8%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to E.J. Bibbs for 33 yds to the Okla 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 18FG
12 plays · 50 yds · 3:2995% → 97%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+12
4.7%
Alex Ross run for 12 yds to the Okla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
4.7%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the Okla 30Similar
Q3 14:08
1ST & 15
OWN 30
0
4.6%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Michiah QuickSimilar
Q3 13:58
2ND & 15
OWN 30
+5
3.8%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Michiah Quick for 5 yds to the Okla 35Similar
Q3 13:26
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+15
3.9%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Durron Neal for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
50
+7
3.4%
Alex Ross run for 7 yds to the IowSt 43Similar
Q3 12:36
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+12
2.8%
Trevor Knight run for 12 yds to the IowSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
3.0%
Samaje Perine run for 4 yds to the IowSt 27Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 6
OPP 27
0
2.9%
Trevor Knight pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:25
3RD & 6
OPP 27
0
3.0%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Michiah QuickSimilar
Q3 11:20
4TH & 6
OPP 27
+44
3.0%
Michael Hunnicutt 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:004% → 4%
Q3 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
3.9%
Aaron Wimberly run for 6 yds to the IowSt 25Similar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 4
OWN 25
-5
3.9%
IOWA ST Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the IowSt 20Similar
Q3 10:36
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+5
3.7%
Sam B. Richardson run for 5 yds to the IowSt 25Similar
Q3 10:03
3RD & 4
OWN 25
0
3.6%
Sam B. Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:56
4TH & 4
OWN 25
0
3.5%
Colin Downing punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Okla 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 20TD
10 plays · 55 yds · 3:0198% → 99%
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
2.3%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Durron Neal for 8 yds to the IowSt 47Similar
Q3 9:13
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+7
2.0%
Samaje Perine run for 7 yds to the IowSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:01
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
2.2%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Durron NealSimilar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
2.2%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Michiah QuickSimilar
Q3 8:47
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+15
2.3%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Michiah Quick for 15 yds to the IowSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
1.5%
Trevor Knight run for 7 yds to the IowSt 18Similar
Q3 7:43
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+4
1.6%
Samaje Perine run for 4 yds to the IowSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:06
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-3
1.5%
Trevor Knight run for a loss of 3 yards to the IowSt 17Similar
Q3 6:43
2ND & 13
OPP 17
+17
1.0%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Blake Bell for 17 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 21TD
3 plays · 61 yds · 0:131% → 2%
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
0.9%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to Jauan Wesley for 2 yds to the IowSt 41Similar
Q3 6:14
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+59
1.7%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to D'Vario Montgomery for 59 yds for a TD, (Cole Netten KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:2499% → 99%
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
1.5%
Trevor Knight run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 24Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+1
1.3%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Michiah Quick for 1 yd to the Okla 25Similar
Q3 4:52
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+1
1.3%
Trevor Knight run for 1 yd to the Okla 26Similar
Q3 4:39
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+47
1.4%
Jed Barnett punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jarvis West at the IOWAST 37 IOWA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the IowSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 23FUMBLE
3 plays · -12 yds · 0:431% → 1%
Q3 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
1.4%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to E.J. Bibbs for 6 yds to the IowSt 33Similar
Q3 4:03
2ND & 4
OWN 33
-4
1.3%
DeVondrick Nealy run for a loss of 4 yards to the IowSt 29Similar
Q3 3:38
3RD & 8
OWN 29
-14
1.3%
Sam B. Richardson sacked by Charles Tapper for a loss of 14 yards to the IowSt 15 Sam B. Richardson fumbled, forced by Charles Tapper, recovered by Okla Jordan Evans , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 24TD
2 plays · 15 yds · 0:1099% → 100%
Q3 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
0.7%
Samaje Perine run for 6 yds to the IowSt 9Similar
Q3 2:55
2ND & 4
OPP 9
+9
0.5%
Trevor Knight run for 9 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:070% → 0%
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
0.4%
Aaron Wimberly run for no gain to the IowSt 19Similar
Q3 2:17
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
0.4%
Sam B. Richardson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:50
3RD & 10
OWN 19
0
0.4%
Sam B. Richardson run for no gain to the IowSt 19Similar
Q3 1:33
4TH & 10
OWN 19
0
0.4%
Colin Downing punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Zack Sanchez at the Okla 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 26PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:34100% → 100%
Q3 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
0.5%
Cody Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:12
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+9
0.5%
Alex Ross run for 9 yds to the IowSt 46Similar
Q3 0:55
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+2
0.5%
Alex Ross run for 2 yds to the IowSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
0.5%
Cody Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:10
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+3
0.5%
Samaje Perine run for 3 yds to the IowSt 41Similar
Q4 14:56
3RD & 7
OPP 41
0
0.5%
Cody Thomas pass incomplete to Taylor McNamaraSimilar
Q4 14:48
4TH & 7
OPP 41
0
0.5%
Jed Barnett punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the IowSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 27PUNT
8 plays · 44 yds · 1:410% → 0%
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
0.3%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to D'Vario MontgomerySimilar
Q4 14:30
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+15
0.3%
Tyler Brown run for 15 yds to the IowSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
0.3%
Tyler Brown run for 7 yds to the IowSt 31Similar
Q4 13:58
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+21
0.3%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to D'Vario Montgomery for 21 yds to the Okla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
0.3%
Tyler Brown run for 1 yd to the Okla 47Similar
Q4 13:18
2ND & 9
OPP 47
0
0.3%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to E.J. BibbsSimilar
Q4 13:13
3RD & 9
OPP 47
0
0.3%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to Dondre DaleySimilar
Q4 13:01
4TH & 9
OPP 47
0
0.3%
Colin Downing punt for 23 yds, downed at the Okla 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 28INT
4 plays · 14 yds · 1:06100% → 100%
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
0.4%
Cody Thomas run for 5 yds to the Okla 29Similar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+9
0.4%
Cody Thomas run for 9 yds to the Okla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
0.3%
Cody Thomas pass incomplete to Durron NealSimilar
Q4 11:43
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+15
0.3%
Cody Thomas pass intercepted Luke Knott return for 15 yds to the Okla 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 29DOWNS
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:580% → 0%
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+12
0.3%
Aaron Wimberly run for 12 yds to the Okla 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
0.3%
Grant Rohach pass complete to Jauan Wesley for 3 yds to the Okla 15Similar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 7
OPP 15
-1
0.2%
Aaron Wimberly run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 16Similar
Q4 10:15
3RD & 8
OPP 16
+5
0.2%
Grant Rohach pass complete to Tad Ecby for 5 yds to the Okla 11Similar
Q4 9:38
4TH & 3
OPP 11
0
0.2%
Grant Rohach pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 30TD
9 plays · 89 yds · 4:17100% → 100%
Q4 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+24
0.2%
Samaje Perine run for 24 yds to the Okla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
0.2%
David Smith run for 17 yds to the IowSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
0.2%
David Smith run for 4 yds to the IowSt 44Similar
Q4 7:56
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+11
0.2%
David Smith run for 11 yds to the IowSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
0.2%
David Smith run for 6 yds to the IowSt 27Similar
Q4 6:36
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+11
0.2%
Cody Thomas pass complete to Dimitri Flowers for 11 yds to the IowSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
0.2%
David Smith run for 5 yds to the IowSt 11Similar
Q4 5:31
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+3
0.1%
David Smith run for 3 yds to the IowSt 8Similar
Q4 5:12
3RD & 2
OPP 8
+8
0.2%
David Smith run for 8 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 31PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:490% → 0%
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
0.1%
Tyler Brown run for 2 yds to the IowSt 27Similar
Q4 4:40
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-3
0.1%
Jauan Wesley run for a loss of 3 yards to the IowSt 24Similar
Q4 4:20
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
0.1%
Grant Rohach pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:13
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
0.1%
Colin Downing punt for 18 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the IowSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 32DOWNS
6 plays · 28 yds · 1:52100% → 100%
Q4 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
0.1%
David Smith run for 11 yds to the IowSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+11
0.1%
David Smith run for 11 yds to the IowSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
0.1%
Cody Thomas pass incomplete to Grant BothunSimilar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
0.1%
David Smith run for no gain to the IowSt 20Similar
Q4 2:17
3RD & 10
OPP 20
0
0.1%
Cody Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:09
4TH & 10
OPP 20
+6
0.1%
Cody Thomas run for 6 yds to the IowSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 33END OF GAME
5 plays · 39 yds · 1:500% → 0%
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
0.1%
Tyler Brown run for 3 yds to the IowSt 17Similar
Q4 1:36
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+3
0.1%
Tyler Brown run for 3 yds to the IowSt 20Similar
Q4 0:57
3RD & 4
OWN 20
+13
0.1%
Tyler Brown run for 13 yds to the IowSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+16
0.1%
Grant Rohach run for 1 yd to the IowSt 34 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the IowSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
0.1%
Tyler Brown run for 4 yds to the Okla 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:44
Samaje Perine run for 7 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK)
-4.9
TD · Q2 14:18
Sam B. Richardson run for 18 yds for a TD, (Cole Netten KICK)
+4.8
TD · Q1 2:42
Trevor Knight pass complete to Blake Bell for 5 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK)
-3.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com