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OKST

Oklahoma State 14 at Kansas State 48

KSU
2014 · Week 10 · Nov 1, 2014 · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
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Win probability · KSU
modelKSU aheadOKST aheadconfidence bandkey playKSU scoreOKST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 3:44 · Nick Walsh punt for 30 yds, downed at the OKSt 41
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 72Home team on offense+11.1Pregame prior+17.9Score differential+5.3Garbage-time factor+2.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.2Blowout margin−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 11:36: Kip Smith kickoff for 51 yds , Morgan Burns return for 86 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK) — KSU win probability +0.9 pts (now 79%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 4:16: Charles Jones 6 Yd Run (Matthew McCrane Kick) — KSU win probability +2.9 pts (now 81%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 12:46: Jake Waters pass complete to Curry Sexton for 17 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK) — KSU win probability +4.4 pts (now 85%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:19: Jake Waters pass complete to Tyler Lockett for 20 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK) — KSU win probability +7.0 pts (now 96%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:28: Charles Jones run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK) — KSU win probability +1.0 pts (now 100%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7OKST made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 8:32OKST 4th & 10 at KSU 32, tied
    Close callWent for it · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.5%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    21.6%
    51% to make
    Punt
    21.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:56OKST 4th & 11 at OKST 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.7%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.3%
    average punt
  3. Q2 9:15OKST 4th & 13 at OKST 41, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.6%−1.3
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:12KSU 4th & 5 at KSU 23, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.6%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:10OKST 4th & 23 at OKST 47, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.4%−1.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:44KSU 4th & 1 at KSU 29, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 85.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.8%−1.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:06OKST 4th & 7 at OKST 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.7%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:20KSU 4th & 9 at KSU 40, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.2%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:34OKST 4th & 16 at OKST 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−1.0
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:32KSU 4th & 2 at KSU 42, up 21
    Close callPunted · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.6%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:01OKST 4th & 8 at OKST 18, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:13KSU 4th & 10 at OKST 20, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.9%
    75% to make
    Punt
    96.2%−1.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:27OKST 4th & 21 at OKST 27, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:04OKST 4th & 8 at OKST 27, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:49KSU 4th & 8 at OKST 36, up 31
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:48OKST 4th & 3 at OKST 32, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:32KSU 4th & 1 at OKST 27, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    62% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6OKST made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:48OKST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:36KSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:16KSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:46KSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:19KSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:28KSU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:28KSU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 7:48OKST Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OKSTDrive 1TD
9 plays · 84 yds · 2:5720% → 22%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
80.3%
Tyreek Hill run for 1 yd to the OKSt 17Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+10
80.2%
Tyreek Hill run for 10 yds to the OKSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
80.1%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 9 yds to the OKSt 36Similar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 1
OWN 36
+12
79.8%
Tyreek Hill run for 12 yds to the OKSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+34
79.7%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Tyreek Hill for 34 yds to the KanSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
79.4%
Daxx Garman pass complete to James Washington for 5 yds to the KanSt 13Similar
Q1 11:53
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+11
79.2%
Tyreek Hill run for 11 yds to the KanSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
78.5%
Tyreek Hill run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 3INT
9 plays · 44 yds · 2:4921% → 22%
Q1 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
79.4%
Rennie Childs run for 6 yds to the OKSt 30Similar
Q1 10:53
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+11
79.1%
Daxx Garman pass complete to James Washington for 11 yds to the OKSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+16
78.8%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Jhajuan Seales for 16 yds to the KanSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+11
78.6%
Tyreek Hill run for 11 yds to the KanSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
78.4%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Jhajuan SealesSimilar
Q1 9:24
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
78.3%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q1 9:01
3RD & 10
OPP 32
0
78.4%
Daxx Garman run for no gain to the KanSt 32Similar
Q1 8:32
4TH & 10
OPP 32
+3
78.5%
Daxx Garman pass intercepted Dante Barnett return for 3 yds to the KanSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 4TD
11 plays · 73 yds · 4:1179% → 81%
Q1 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
78.6%
Jake Waters pass incomplete to Curry SextonSimilar
Q1 8:21
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+11
78.5%
Jake Waters pass complete to Curry Sexton for 11 yds to the KanSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
78.5%
Jake Waters run for 2 yds to the KanSt 40Similar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+6
78.4%
Jake Waters pass complete to Tyler Lockett for 6 yds to the KanSt 46Similar
Q1 6:18
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+8
78.3%
Jake Waters pass complete to Curry Sexton for 8 yds to the OKSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
78.5%
Jake Waters run for 9 yds to the OKSt 37Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 1
OPP 37
+16
78.4%
Jake Waters run for 16 yds to the OKSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
78.3%
Jake Waters pass incomplete to Deante BurtonSimilar
Q1 4:20
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
78.3%
Jake Waters pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:16
3RD & 10
OPP 21
+15
78.0%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Kevin Peterson) to the OKSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
80.9%
Charles Jones 6 Yd Run (Matthew McCrane Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:1320% → 20%
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
80.0%
Daxx Garman pass complete to David Glidden for 10 yds to the OKSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
79.8%
Tyreek Hill run for 1 yd to the OKSt 36Similar
Q1 3:10
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+6
79.7%
Tyreek Hill run for 6 yds to the OKSt 42Similar
Q1 2:26
3RD & 3
OWN 42
-8
79.1%
Daxx Garman sacked by Travis Britz for a loss of 8 yards to the OKSt 34Similar
Q1 1:56
4TH & 11
OWN 34
0
80.1%
Kip Smith punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KanSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 6TD
10 plays · 69 yds · 3:5980% → 85%
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+13
80.0%
Jake Waters pass complete to Zach Trujillo for 13 yds to the KanSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
80.6%
Jake Waters pass complete to Tyler Lockett for 8 yds to the OKSt 48Similar
Q1 0:42
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+8
80.7%
Charles Jones run for 8 yds to the OKSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
80.7%
Charles Jones run for 6 yds to the OKSt 34Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+7
80.8%
Jake Waters pass complete to Curry Sexton for 7 yds to the OKSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
80.8%
Jake Waters run for 6 yds to the OKSt 21Similar
Q2 13:51
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+3
80.8%
Charles Jones run for 3 yds to the OKSt 18Similar
Q2 13:24
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+1
80.5%
Jake Waters run for 1 yd to the OKSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
80.9%
Jake Waters pass incomplete to Deante BurtonSimilar
Q2 12:46
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+17
85.2%
Jake Waters pass complete to Curry Sexton for 17 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 3:1616% → 16%
Q2 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
83.6%
Tyreek Hill run for 1 yd to the OKSt 12Similar
Q2 12:03
2ND & 9
OWN 12
+8
83.7%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 8 yds to the OKSt 20Similar
Q2 11:51
3RD & 1
OWN 20
+4
83.7%
Tyreek Hill run for 4 yds to the OKSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+20
83.7%
Tyreek Hill run for 20 yds to the OKSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-7
83.3%
Daxx Garman sacked by Travis Britz for a loss of 7 yards to the OKSt 37Similar
Q2 10:06
2ND & 17
OWN 37
+4
84.0%
Daxx Garman run for 4 yds to the OKSt 41Similar
Q2 9:27
3RD & 13
OWN 41
0
84.3%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Marcell AtemanSimilar
Q2 9:15
4TH & 13
OWN 41
+12
84.5%
Kip Smith punt for 43 yds , Tyler Lockett returns for 12 yds to the KANSASST 47 KANSAS ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the KanSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5485% → 84%
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
85.3%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 5 yds to the KanSt 23Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 5
OWN 23
0
85.4%
Jake Waters pass incomplete to Tyler LockettSimilar
Q2 8:19
3RD & 5
OWN 23
0
85.1%
Jake Waters pass incomplete to Curry SextonSimilar
Q2 8:12
4TH & 5
OWN 23
0
84.0%
Nick Walsh punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Tyreek Hill at the OKSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 10 yds · 2:5316% → 14%
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
84.3%
Rennie Childs run for 5 yds to the OKSt 42Similar
Q2 7:42
2ND & 5
OWN 42
0
83.9%
Daxx Garman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:31
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+17
85.2%
Daxx Garman pass complete to James Washington for 17 yds to the KanSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-10
84.7%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Daniel Koenig) to the OKSt 49Similar
Q2 7:01
1ST & 20
OWN 49
-7
85.5%
Daxx Garman run for a loss of 7 yards to the OKSt 42 Daxx Garman fumbled, recovered by OKSt Rennie ChildsSimilar
Q2 6:21
2ND & 27
OWN 42
-2
85.8%
Tyreek Hill run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 40Similar
Q2 5:48
3RD & 30
OWN 40
+7
86.1%
Tyreek Hill run for 7 yds to the OKSt 47Similar
Q2 5:10
4TH & 23
OWN 47
0
86.2%
Kip Smith punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:1887% → 86%
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
86.5%
Jake Waters pass complete to Tyler Lockett for 9 yds to the KanSt 29Similar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 1
OWN 29
0
86.8%
Jake Waters pass incomplete to Zach TrujilloSimilar
Q2 4:24
3RD & 1
OWN 29
0
86.4%
Jake Waters run for no gain to the KanSt 29Similar
Q2 3:44
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
86.0%
Nick Walsh punt for 30 yds, downed at the OKSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:2814% → 13%
Q2 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
85.9%
Daxx Garman run for 6 yds to the OKSt 47Similar
Q2 3:31
2ND & 4
OWN 47
-10
85.3%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (Zac Veatch) to the OKSt 37Similar
Q2 2:44
2ND & 14
OWN 37
0
86.7%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q2 2:34
3RD & 14
OWN 37
+7
86.9%
Tyreek Hill run for 7 yds to the OKSt 44Similar
Q2 2:06
4TH & 7
OWN 44
+11
87.3%
Kip Smith punt for 43 yds , Tyler Lockett returns for 11 yds to the KanSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 1:3688% → 88%
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
88.0%
DeMarcus Robinson run for no gain to the KanSt 24Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+15
88.1%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Roughing Passer (Jimmy Bean) to the KanSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
88.7%
Jake Waters pass incomplete to Glenn GronkowskiSimilar
Q2 0:44
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+3
88.6%
Jake Waters run for 3 yds to the KanSt 42Similar
Q2 0:31
3RD & 7
OWN 42
-2
88.4%
Jake Waters pass complete to DeMarcus Robinson for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 40Similar
Q2 0:20
4TH & 9
OWN 40
0
87.7%
Nick Walsh punt for 22 yds, downed at the OKSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 13INT
4 plays · 13 yds · 0:1313% → 13%
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
87.1%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Tyreek HillSimilar
Q2 0:08
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+13
87.3%
Rennie Childs run for 13 yds to the KanSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
87.2%
Daxx Garman pass intercepted, touchback. Dylan Schellenberg return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 14TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:3688% → 96%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
87.8%
Jake Waters pass complete to Curry Sexton for 9 yds to the KanSt 34Similar
Q3 14:21
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+6
88.1%
Jake Waters pass complete to Deante Burton for 6 yds to the KanSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
88.5%
Jake Waters pass complete to Deante Burton for 2 yds to the KanSt 42Similar
Q3 13:32
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+7
88.6%
Jake Waters pass complete to Curry Sexton for 7 yds to the KanSt 49Similar
Q3 13:01
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+3
88.4%
Charles Jones run for 3 yds to the OKSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
89.0%
KANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (Boston Stiverson) to the KanSt 47Similar
Q3 11:55
1ST & 15
OWN 47
+9
89.1%
Charles Jones run for 9 yds to the OKSt 44Similar
Q3 11:21
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+7
89.3%
Charles Jones run for 7 yds to the OKSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+17
89.5%
Jake Waters pass complete to Tyler Lockett for 17 yds to the OKSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
96.4%
Jake Waters pass complete to Tyler Lockett for 20 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 2:344% → 4%
Q3 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
95.6%
Rennie Childs run for 4 yds to the OKSt 19Similar
Q3 9:34
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+12
95.8%
Daxx Garman pass complete to David Glidden for 12 yds to the OKSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-9
95.7%
Daxx Garman sacked by Jordan Willis for a loss of 9 yards to the OKSt 22Similar
Q3 8:29
2ND & 19
OWN 22
+3
96.1%
Rennie Childs run for 3 yds to the OKSt 25Similar
Q3 7:45
3RD & 16
OWN 25
0
96.3%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q3 7:34
4TH & 16
OWN 25
+4
96.3%
Kip Smith punt for 45 yds , Tyler Lockett returns for 4 yds to the KanSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:5097% → 97%
Q3 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-3
96.6%
DeMarcus Robinson run for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 31Similar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 13
OWN 31
-4
96.7%
Jake Waters sacked by Emmanuel Ogbah for a loss of 4 yards to the KanSt 27Similar
Q3 6:01
3RD & 17
OWN 27
+15
96.7%
Jake Waters pass complete to Deante Burton for 15 yds to the KanSt 42Similar
Q3 5:32
4TH & 2
OWN 42
-2
96.8%
Nick Walsh punt for 40 yds , Tyreek Hill returns for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:274% → 3%
Q3 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
96.5%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Brandon SheperdSimilar
Q3 5:01
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+2
97.0%
Tyreek Hill run for 2 yds to the OKSt 18Similar
Q3 4:50
3RD & 8
OWN 18
0
97.1%
Daxx Garman run for no gain to the OKSt 18Similar
Q3 4:01
4TH & 8
OWN 18
+43
97.2%
Kip Smith punt for 43 yds , Tyler Lockett returns for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 18FG
6 plays · 42 yds · 2:3298% → 98%
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
97.6%
Jake Waters pass complete to Curry Sexton for 8 yds to the KanSt 46Similar
Q3 3:09
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+34
97.8%
Jake Waters pass complete to Tyler Lockett for 34 yds to the OKSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
97.8%
Charles Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 21Similar
Q3 2:14
2ND & 11
OPP 21
+1
97.9%
Jake Waters run for 1 yd to the OKSt 20Similar
Q3 1:18
3RD & 10
OPP 20
0
98.3%
Jake Waters pass incomplete to Tyler LockettSimilar
Q3 1:13
4TH & 10
OPP 20
+37
98.3%
Matthew McCrane 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 19FUMBLE
5 plays · 28 yds · 1:152% → 2%
Q3 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
98.1%
Rennie Childs run for 3 yds to the OKSt 37Similar
Q3 0:39
2ND & 7
OWN 37
0
98.2%
Rennie Childs run for no gain to the OKSt 37Similar
Q3 0:07
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+10
98.4%
Daxx Garman pass complete to David Glidden for 10 yds to the OKSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+25
98.4%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Brandon Sheperd for 15 yds Brandon Sheperd fumbled, forced by Dakorey Johnson, recovered by KanSt Jonathan Truman , return for 25 yds to the OKSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 20TD
3 plays · 37 yds · 0:3799% → 100%
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
98.8%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 6 yds to the OKSt 31Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+28
98.8%
Jake Waters pass complete to Curry Sexton for 28 yds to the OKSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.8%
Charles Jones run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 2:440% → 0%
Q4 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Tyreek Hill run for 5 yds to the OKSt 30Similar
Q4 12:41
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+8
99.8%
Tyreek Hill run for 8 yds to the OKSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-4
99.9%
Tyreek Hill run for a loss of 4 yards to the OKSt 34Similar
Q4 11:49
2ND & 14
OWN 34
+1
99.9%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Jhajuan Seales for 1 yd to the OKSt 35Similar
Q4 11:12
3RD & 13
OWN 35
-8
99.9%
Daxx Garman sacked by Jordan Willis for a loss of 8 yards to the OKSt 27Similar
Q4 10:27
4TH & 21
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Kip Smith punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Tyler Lockett at the KanSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 22TD
4 plays · 64 yds · 0:56100% → 100%
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Curry SextonSimilar
Q4 10:19
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-1
99.9%
Charles Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 35Similar
Q4 9:35
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+64
99.9%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Curry Sexton for 64 yds to the OKSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Joe Hubener run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:130% → 0%
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Rennie Childs run for no gain to the OKSt 25Similar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Brandon SheperdSimilar
Q4 8:38
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Rennie Childs run for 2 yds to the OKSt 27Similar
Q4 8:04
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Kip Smith punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Tyler Lockett at the KanSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 24INT TD
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:11100% → 100%
Q4 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
99.9%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Kevin Peterson) to the KanSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+38
99.9%
Joe Hubener pass intercepted for a TD Ramon Richards return for 38 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 25FG
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:52100% → 100%
Q4 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
99.9%
Jarvis Leverett Jr. run for 1 yd to the KanSt 45Similar
Q4 7:01
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+4
99.9%
Jarvis Leverett Jr. run for 4 yds to the KanSt 49Similar
Q4 6:14
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+13
99.9%
Joe Hubener run for 13 yds to the OKSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
99.9%
Jarvis Leverett Jr. run for 2 yds to the OKSt 36Similar
Q4 4:55
2ND & 8
OPP 36
0
99.9%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Judah JonesSimilar
Q4 4:51
3RD & 8
OPP 36
0
99.9%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to Steven WestSimilar
Q4 4:49
4TH & 8
OPP 36
+53
99.9%
Matthew McCrane 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:310% → 0%
Q4 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.9%
Raymond Taylor run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 24Similar
Q4 4:01
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+10
99.9%
Raymond Taylor run for 10 yds to the OKSt 34Similar
Q4 3:24
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-2
99.9%
Raymond Taylor run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 32Similar
Q4 2:48
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Kip Smith punt for 24 yds, fair catch by Curry Sexton at the KanSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 27DOWNS
5 plays · 28 yds · 1:53100% → 100%
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+20
100.0%
Jesse Ertz run for 20 yds to the OKSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
100.0%
Jesse Ertz run for 2 yds to the OKSt 34Similar
Q4 1:28
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+3
100.0%
Jarvis Leverett Jr. run for 3 yds to the OKSt 31Similar
Q4 1:01
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+4
100.0%
Jesse Ertz run for 4 yds to the OKSt 27Similar
Q4 0:32
4TH & 1
OPP 27
-1
100.0%
Jarvis Leverett Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 28END OF HALF
1 play · -3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-3
100.0%
Raymond Taylor run for a loss of 3 yards to the OKSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:19
Jake Waters pass complete to Tyler Lockett for 20 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)
+7
TD · Q2 12:46
Jake Waters pass complete to Curry Sexton for 17 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)
+4.4
TD · Q1 4:16
Charles Jones 6 Yd Run (Matthew McCrane Kick)
+2.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com