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TEX

Texas 34 at Texas Tech 13

TTU
2014 · Week 10 · Nov 1, 2014 · Jones AT&T Stadium
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Win probability · TTU
modelTTU aheadTEX aheadconfidence bandkey playTTU scoreTEX score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:01 · Taylor Symmank punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jaxon Shipley at the Texas 7
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+54.0+27.00−27.0−54.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 20Home team on offense−0.1Pregame prior−14.4Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:12: Malcolm Brown run for 3 yds for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK) — TEX win probability +7.5 pts (now 64%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:34: Kenny Williams run for 6 yds for a TD, (Ryan Bustin KICK) — TTU win probability +12.4 pts (now 52%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:59: Johnathan Gray run for 17 yds for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK) — TEX win probability +14.7 pts (now 66%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 12:02: Nick Rose 42 yd FG GOOD — TEX win probability +6.2 pts (now 71%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:16: Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Jaxon Shipley for 4 yds for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK) — TEX win probability +11.9 pts (now 92%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TTU made the numbers' call on 8 of 11TEX made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 13:54TTU 4th & 2 at TTU 33, tied
    Close callPunted · 38.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:31TEX 4th & 7 at TTU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.4%
    58% to make
    Punt
    60.1%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:01TTU 4th & 3 at TEX 49, down 3
    Close callPunted · 40.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.2%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:03TEX 4th & 1 at TEX 16, up 3
    Close callPunted · 59.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.0%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:20TTU 4th & 8 at TTU 49, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.6%
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:01TEX 4th & 6 at TEX 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.1%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.4%
    average punt
  7. Q1 0:28TTU 4th & 12 at TEX 12, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.3%−0.7
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.0%
    86% to make
    Punt
    41.0%−3.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:24TEX 4th & 3 at TTU 20, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 54.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.8%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.4%−0.3
    75% to make
    Punt
    51.1%−3.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 11:58TTU 4th & 8 at TTU 23, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.2%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.0%
    average punt
  10. Q2 10:22TEX 4th & 5 at TEX 43, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.3%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.6%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:25TTU 4th & 3 at TTU 32, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%−0.3
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.6%
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:17TEX 4th & 1 at TTU 47, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    61.1%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 12:02TEX 4th & 10 at TTU 25, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.7%−1.0
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.7%
    66% to make
    Punt
    52.2%−8.4
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:54TTU 4th & 2 at TEX 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    32.1%−3.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    31.8%−3.5
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:44TTU 4th & 6 at TTU 49, down 7
    Close callPunted · 32.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q3 4:12TEX 4th & 5 at TEX 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.5%−1.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.0%
    average punt
  17. Q3 3:08TTU 4th & 7 at TTU 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.9%−1.6
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.5%
    average punt
  18. Q3 0:41TEX 4th & 1 at TTU 14, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    71.4%−2.5
    84% to make
    Punt
    63.8%−10.2
    average punt
  19. Q4 13:17TTU 4th & 6 at TTU 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.9%
    average punt
  20. Q4 6:12TEX 4th & 15 at TEX 21, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%
    average punt
  21. Q4 4:00TTU 4th & 2 at TEX 2, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    1.9%−0.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−1.4
    average punt
  22. Q4 1:42TEX 4th & 5 at TEX 7, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TTU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1TEX made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q2 7:12TEX Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:34TTU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:59TEX Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:16TEX Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:47TEX Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TTUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:0134% → 35%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
34.3%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to DeAndre Washington for 2 yds to the TexTc 27Similar
Q1 14:22
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
34.5%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Devin Lauderdale for 6 yds to the TexTc 33Similar
Q1 14:02
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
34.6%
Patrick Mahomes pass incomplete to Jakeem GrantSimilar
Q1 13:54
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+5
34.7%
Taylor Symmank punt for 37 yds , Jaxon Shipley returns for 5 yds to the Texas 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 2FG
7 plays · 36 yds · 2:0965% → 65%
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
34.8%
Malcolm Brown run for 2 yds to the Texas 37Similar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 8
OWN 37
-5
34.9%
Tyrone Swoopes sacked by Micah Awe for a loss of 5 yards to the Texas 32Similar
Q1 12:50
3RD & 13
OWN 32
+36
35.2%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to John Harris for 36 yds to the TexTc 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
35.0%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Marcus JohnsonSimilar
Q1 12:13
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+3
35.0%
Malcolm Brown run for 3 yds to the TexTc 29Similar
Q1 11:36
3RD & 7
OPP 29
0
35.3%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Marcus JohnsonSimilar
Q1 11:31
4TH & 7
OPP 29
+46
35.3%
Nick Rose 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 26 yds · 2:2735% → 36%
Q1 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
35.4%
Patrick Mahomes pass incomplete to Ian SadlerSimilar
Q1 11:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
35.4%
DeAndre Washington run for 6 yds to the TexTc 31Similar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+13
35.4%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Bradley Marquez for 13 yds to the TexTc 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
36.0%
Quinton White run for 2 yds to the TexTc 46Similar
Q1 10:09
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+3
36.3%
DeAndre Washington run for 3 yds to the TexTc 49Similar
Q1 9:31
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+2
36.4%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Quinton White for 2 yds to the Texas 49Similar
Q1 9:01
4TH & 3
OPP 49
0
36.4%
Taylor Symmank punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jaxon Shipley at the Texas 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4864% → 63%
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+7
36.3%
Johnathan Gray run for 7 yds to the Texas 14Similar
Q1 8:20
2ND & 3
OWN 14
+1
36.3%
D'Onta Foreman run for 1 yd to the Texas 15Similar
Q1 7:35
3RD & 2
OWN 15
+1
36.7%
Malcolm Brown run for 1 yd to the Texas 16Similar
Q1 7:03
4TH & 1
OWN 16
0
37.1%
William Russ punt for 48 yds , Cameron Batson returns for no gain to the TexTc 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 2:3637% → 37%
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
36.9%
Patrick Mahomes pass incomplete to Bradley MarquezSimilar
Q1 6:44
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+6
36.8%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Reginald Davis for 6 yds to the TexTc 42Similar
Q1 6:17
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+5
37.3%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Brad Pearson for 5 yds to the TexTc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
37.5%
DeAndre Washington run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:46
2ND & 7
50
-15
37.7%
Mahomes, Patrick pass complete to Sadler, Ian for 9 yards to the TEXAS41, PENALTY TEXASTECH pass interference 15 yards to the TEXASTECH35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 22
OWN 35
+6
36.7%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to DeAndre Washington for 6 yds to the TexTc 41Similar
Q1 4:41
3RD & 16
OWN 41
+8
36.7%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Devin Lauderdale for 8 yds to the TexTc 49Similar
Q1 4:20
4TH & 8
OWN 49
0
36.9%
Taylor Symmank punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jaxon Shipley at the Texas 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 6FUMBLE TD
1 play · -15 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
40.0%
Tyrone Swoopes sacked by Jackson Richards for a loss of 15 yards Tyrone Swoopes fumbled, forced by Jackson Richards, recovered by TexTc Branden Jackson , return for 0 yards for a TD, (Ryan Bustin PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:0160% → 59%
Q1 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
40.0%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Johnathan Gray for 8 yds to the Texas 33Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-4
39.6%
Johnathan Gray run for a loss of 4 yards to the Texas 29Similar
Q1 3:12
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
40.7%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to John HarrisSimilar
Q1 3:01
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
41.4%
William Russ punt for 39 yds, downed at the TexTc 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 8MISSED FG
11 plays · 56 yds · 2:2240% → 41%
Q1 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
40.4%
DeAndre Washington run for 8 yds to the TexTc 40Similar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 2
OWN 40
0
41.3%
Patrick Mahomes pass incomplete to Dylan CantrellSimilar
Q1 2:30
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+12
40.7%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Ian Sadler for 12 yds to the Texas 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+29
41.6%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Bradley Marquez for 14 yds to the Texas 34 for a 1ST down TEXAS Penalty, Personal Foul (Jason Hall) to the Texas 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-15
42.0%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Illegal Block (Alfredo Morales) to the Texas 34Similar
Q1 1:57
1ST & 25
OPP 34
0
41.8%
Patrick Mahomes pass incomplete to Ian SadlerSimilar
Q1 1:49
2ND & 25
OPP 34
+25
41.5%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Bradley Marquez for 15 yds to the Texas 19 for a 1ST down TEXAS Penalty, Face Mask (10 yards) (Steve Edmond) to the Texas 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
42.3%
Kenny Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 10Similar
Q1 1:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
42.6%
Patrick Mahomes pass incomplete to Dylan CantrellSimilar
Q1 0:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
-2
42.2%
Patrick Mahomes sacked by Steve Edmond for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 12Similar
Q1 0:28
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+29
40.9%
Ryan Bustin 29 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 9MISSED FG
10 plays · 60 yds · 2:5658% → 58%
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
41.6%
Malcolm Brown run for 3 yds to the Texas 23Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-11
41.8%
Tyrone Swoopes sacked by Pete Robertson for a loss of 11 yards to the Texas 12Similar
Q2 14:45
3RD & 18
OWN 12
+19
42.7%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to John Harris for 19 yds to the Texas 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+28
41.7%
Malcolm Brown run for 28 yds to the TexTc 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
40.5%
Malcolm Brown run for 8 yds to the TexTc 33Similar
Q2 13:45
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+6
39.9%
Malcolm Brown run for 6 yds to the TexTc 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
40.1%
Malcolm Brown run for no gain to the TexTc 27Similar
Q2 12:47
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+7
40.5%
Johnathan Gray run for 7 yds to the TexTc 20Similar
Q2 12:29
3RD & 3
OPP 20
0
41.1%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to John HarrisSimilar
Q2 12:24
4TH & 3
OPP 20
+37
42.1%
Nick Rose 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:2043% → 42%
Q2 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
42.7%
Patrick Mahomes pass incomplete to Jakeem GrantSimilar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
42.6%
Patrick Mahomes pass incomplete to Bradley MarquezSimilar
Q2 12:14
3RD & 10
OWN 21
-5
41.8%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, False Start (Devin Lauderdale) to the TexTc 16Similar
Q2 12:06
3RD & 15
OWN 16
+7
41.9%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Bradley Marquez for 7 yds to the TexTc 23Similar
Q2 11:58
4TH & 8
OWN 23
0
41.5%
Taylor Symmank punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jaxon Shipley at the Texas 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:2858% → 56%
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-3
42.4%
Johnathan Gray run for a loss of 3 yards to the Texas 35Similar
Q2 11:20
2ND & 13
OWN 35
+3
43.7%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Johnathan Gray for 3 yds to the Texas 38Similar
Q2 10:46
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+5
43.9%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Marcus Johnson for 5 yds to the Texas 43Similar
Q2 10:22
4TH & 5
OWN 43
0
44.3%
William Russ punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Cameron Batson at the TexTc 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 12FUMBLE
3 plays · 14 yds · 0:5244% → 44%
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
43.6%
DeAndre Washington run for 1 yd to the TexTc 12Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 9
OWN 12
+13
43.6%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Ian Sadler for 13 yds to the TexTc 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
44.4%
Patrick Mahomes run for no gain to the TexTc 25 Patrick Mahomes fumbled, forced by Quandre Diggs, recovered by Texas Shiro DavisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 13TD
6 plays · 25 yds · 1:4859% → 64%
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+10
41.4%
Malcolm Brown run for 10 yds to the TexTc 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
41.5%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Jaxon Shipley for 5 yds to the TexTc 10Similar
Q2 8:17
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+5
42.5%
Malcolm Brown run for 5 yds to the TexTc 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
43.1%
Malcolm Brown run for 2 yds to the TexTc 3Similar
Q2 7:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
35.6%
Malcolm Brown run for 3 yds for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 14TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:1642% → 52%
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+22
42.4%
Vincent Testaverde pass complete to DeAndre Washington for 37 yds to the TEXASTECH 38 for a 1ST down TEXAS TECH Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jared Kaster) to the TexTc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+18
40.9%
DeAndre Washington run for 18 yds to the Texas 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
42.5%
DeAndre Washington run for 6 yds to the Texas 29Similar
Q2 5:36
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+1
42.9%
Quinton White run for 1 yd to the Texas 28Similar
Q2 5:15
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+10
41.6%
Vincent Testaverde pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 10 yds to the Texas 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
43.1%
Vincent Testaverde pass incomplete to Dylan CantrellSimilar
Q2 4:31
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+2
43.3%
Vincent Testaverde pass complete to Bradley Marquez for 2 yds to the Texas 16Similar
Q2 4:08
3RD & 8
OPP 16
-5
41.0%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, False Start (Jared Kaster) to the Texas 21Similar
Q2 3:58
3RD & 13
OPP 21
+15
39.3%
DeAndre Washington run for 15 yds to the Texas 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
51.7%
Kenny Williams run for 6 yds for a TD, (Ryan Bustin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 15TD
3 plays · 85 yds · 0:1852% → 66%
Q2 3:17
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+68
48.4%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to John Harris for 68 yds to the TexTc 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
33.7%
Johnathan Gray run for 17 yds for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:1538% → 35%
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
38.0%
Vincent Testaverde pass complete to Kenny Williams for 4 yds to the TexTc 29Similar
Q2 2:01
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
38.5%
DeAndre Washington run for 3 yds to the TexTc 32Similar
Q2 1:32
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
35.9%
Vincent Testaverde pass incomplete to Jakeem GrantSimilar
Q2 1:25
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
35.3%
Taylor Symmank punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jaxon Shipley at the Texas 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 17DOWNS
5 plays · 22 yds · 1:0065% → 66%
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+13
35.1%
Daje Johnson run for 13 yds to the Texas 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
33.6%
Malcolm Brown run for 2 yds to the Texas 46Similar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+7
33.7%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 7 yds to the TexTc 47Similar
Q2 0:22
3RD & 1
OPP 47
0
32.8%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Jaxon ShipleySimilar
Q2 0:17
4TH & 1
OPP 47
0
34.3%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Jacorey WarrickSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 18END OF HALF
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
39.0%
Justin Stockton run for 1 yd to the TexTc 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 19FG
10 plays · 40 yds · 2:4764% → 71%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
36.3%
Malcolm Brown run for 2 yds to the Texas 37Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+4
36.1%
Malcolm Brown run for 4 yds to the Texas 41Similar
Q3 13:55
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+7
35.5%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to John Harris for 7 yds to the Texas 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
35.1%
Malcolm Brown run for 4 yds to the TexTc 48Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+23
34.6%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 23 yds to the TexTc 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
33.6%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to John HarrisSimilar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
34.0%
Malcolm Brown run for no gain to the TexTc 25Similar
Q3 12:07
3RD & 10
OPP 25
0
35.5%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:02
4TH & 10
OPP 25
+42
29.3%
Nick Rose 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 20DOWNS
8 plays · 44 yds · 2:5631% → 33%
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+23
31.1%
DeAndre Washington run for 8 yds to the TexTc 27 for a 1ST down TEXAS Penalty, Personal Foul (Duke Thomas) to the TexTc 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
33.3%
Vincent Testaverde pass complete to Bradley Marquez for 4 yds to the TexTc 46Similar
Q3 11:09
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+9
34.0%
DeAndre Washington run for 9 yds to the Texas 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
34.8%
Vincent Testaverde pass complete to Brad Pearson for 2 yds to the Texas 43Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+4
34.9%
Vincent Testaverde pass complete to Devin Lauderdale for 4 yds to the Texas 39Similar
Q3 9:20
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+2
34.6%
DeAndre Washington run for 2 yds to the Texas 37Similar
Q3 8:54
4TH & 2
OPP 37
0
33.0%
Vincent Testaverde pass incomplete to Tyler ScalziSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 21FUMBLE
4 plays · 28 yds · 0:5972% → 74%
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
28.4%
Johnathan Gray run for 1 yd to the Texas 38Similar
Q3 8:14
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+13
27.9%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to M.J. McFarland for 13 yds to the TexTc 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
26.0%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Jaxon ShipleySimilar
Q3 7:41
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+14
26.0%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Jaxon Shipley for 14 yds Jaxon Shipley fumbled, forced by J.J. Gaines, recovered by TexTc Justis NelsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:5131% → 31%
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
31.4%
Vincent Testaverde pass incomplete to Bradley MarquezSimilar
Q3 7:24
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+4
31.2%
DeAndre Washington run for 4 yds to the TexTc 39Similar
Q3 6:55
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+6
31.2%
Vincent Testaverde pass complete to Devin Lauderdale for 6 yds to the TexTc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
33.4%
DeAndre Washington run for 4 yds to the TexTc 49Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 6
OWN 49
0
34.3%
Vincent Testaverde pass incomplete to Ian SadlerSimilar
Q3 5:51
3RD & 6
OWN 49
0
32.9%
Vincent Testaverde pass incomplete to Bradley MarquezSimilar
Q3 5:44
4TH & 6
OWN 49
0
30.7%
Taylor Symmank punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jaxon Shipley at the Texas 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:2571% → 70%
Q3 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+10
28.7%
Malcolm Brown run for 10 yds to the Texas 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
28.2%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 2 yds to the Texas 19Similar
Q3 4:40
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+3
28.0%
Malcolm Brown run for 3 yds to the Texas 22Similar
Q3 4:23
3RD & 5
OWN 22
0
28.6%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Marcus JohnsonSimilar
Q3 4:12
4TH & 5
OWN 22
+18
29.7%
William Russ punt for 58 yds , Cameron Batson returns for 18 yds to the TexTc 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4431% → 29%
Q3 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
31.4%
DeAndre Washington run for 3 yds to the TexTc 41Similar
Q3 3:37
2ND & 7
OWN 41
0
32.7%
Vincent Testaverde pass incomplete to Dylan CantrellSimilar
Q3 3:15
3RD & 7
OWN 41
0
30.5%
Vincent Testaverde run for no gain to the TexTc 41Similar
Q3 3:08
4TH & 7
OWN 41
-4
29.1%
Taylor Symmank punt for 44 yds , Jaxon Shipley returns for a loss of 4 yards to the Texas 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 25TD
11 plays · 89 yds · 3:4373% → 92%
Q3 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+15
27.0%
Swoopes, Tyrone pass incomplete to Johnson, Marcus, PENALTY TEXASTECH pass interference (Bethel II, Nigel) 15 yards to the TEXAS26, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXAS. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+35
26.4%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to John Harris for 35 yds to the TexTc 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+16
23.8%
Johnathan Gray run for 16 yds to the TexTc 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
23.1%
Johnathan Gray run for 8 yds to the TexTc 15Similar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 2
OPP 15
+1
21.6%
Johnathan Gray run for 1 yd to the TexTc 14Similar
Q3 1:35
3RD & 1
OPP 14
0
22.1%
Johnathan Gray run for no gain to the TexTc 14Similar
Q3 0:41
4TH & 1
OPP 14
+4
23.3%
Johnathan Gray run for 4 yds to the TexTc 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+7
21.0%
Johnathan Gray run for 7 yds to the TexTc 3Similar
Q4 14:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
20.0%
Johnathan Gray run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 4Similar
Q4 14:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
8.2%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Jaxon Shipley for 4 yds for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:4312% → 12%
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
12.2%
Vincent Testaverde pass complete to Devin Lauderdale for no gain to the TexTc 25Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
11.9%
DeAndre Washington run for 4 yds to the TexTc 29Similar
Q4 13:26
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
12.0%
Vincent Testaverde pass incomplete to Ian SadlerSimilar
Q4 13:17
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+17
11.5%
Taylor Symmank punt for 49 yds , Jaxon Shipley returns for 17 yds to the Texas 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 27TD
5 plays · 61 yds · 1:2092% → 98%
Q4 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+30
8.3%
Daje Johnson run for 30 yds to the TexTc 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+10
7.2%
Malcolm Brown run for 10 yds to the TexTc 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+11
7.0%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Lorenzo Joe for 11 yds to the TexTc 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
6.8%
Malcolm Brown run for 9 yds to the TexTc 1Similar
Q4 11:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
1.8%
Malcolm Brown run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 28INT
7 plays · 29 yds · 2:133% → 3%
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-9
2.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 9 yards to the TexTc 16Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 19
OWN 16
+5
2.3%
Vincent Testaverde pass complete to Ian Sadler for 5 yds to the TexTc 21Similar
Q4 10:30
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+26
2.2%
Vincent Testaverde pass complete to Quinton White for 26 yds to the TexTc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
2.4%
Vincent Testaverde pass complete to D.J. Polite-Bray for 4 yds D.J. Polite-Bray fumbled, forced by Bryson Echols, recovered by TexTcSimilar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+3
2.5%
Vincent Testaverde pass complete to Brad Pearson for 3 yds to the Texas 46Similar
Q4 9:22
3RD & 3
OPP 46
0
2.5%
Vincent Testaverde pass intercepted Mykkele Thompson return for no gain to the Texas 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 29PUNT
9 plays · 6 yds · 3:0298% → 99%
Q4 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
1.6%
Johnathan Gray run for 5 yds to the Texas 20Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 5
OWN 20
-5
1.5%
TEXAS Penalty, False Start (Andrew Beck) to the Texas 15Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+7
1.5%
Johnathan Gray run for 7 yds to the Texas 22Similar
Q4 8:00
3RD & 3
OWN 22
+4
1.5%
Johnathan Gray run for 4 yds to the Texas 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
1.3%
Tyrone Swoopes run for a loss of 5 yards to the Texas 21Similar
Q4 6:28
2ND & 15
OWN 21
0
0.9%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Andrew BeckSimilar
Q4 6:26
3RD & 15
OWN 21
0
0.9%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Daje JohnsonSimilar
Q4 6:12
4TH & 15
OWN 21
+12
0.9%
William Russ punt for 50 yds , Cameron Batson returns for 12 yds to the TexTc 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 30DOWNS
7 plays · 57 yds · 2:001% → 1%
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+31
1.2%
Justin Stockton run for 31 yds to the Texas 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+19
1.5%
Justin Stockton run for 19 yds to the Texas 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
1.4%
Justin Stockton run for 2 yds to the Texas 7Similar
Q4 4:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
1.4%
Quinton White run for 5 yds to the Texas 2Similar
Q4 4:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
1.4%
Vincent Testaverde pass incomplete to Dylan CantrellSimilar
Q4 4:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
1.1%
Vincent Testaverde pass incomplete to Ian SadlerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 31PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:48100% → 100%
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+6
0.5%
D'Onta Foreman run for 6 yds to the Texas 9Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 4
OWN 9
+1
0.5%
D'Onta Foreman run for 1 yd to the Texas 10Similar
Q4 2:35
3RD & 3
OWN 10
-5
0.5%
TEXAS Penalty, Delay of Game (Tyrone Swoopes) to the Texas 5Similar
Q4 2:26
3RD & 7
OWN 5
+2
0.5%
D'Onta Foreman run for 2 yds to the Texas 7Similar
Q4 1:42
4TH & 5
OWN 7
0
0.4%
William Russ punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Texas 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 32END OF GAME
5 plays · 13 yds · 1:301% → 1%
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
0.8%
Justin Stockton run for 2 yds to the Texas 30Similar
Q4 1:00
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+1
0.8%
Justin Stockton run for 1 yd to the Texas 29Similar
Q4 0:45
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+9
0.7%
Vincent Testaverde pass complete to Devin Lauderdale for 9 yds to the Texas 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
0.8%
Vincent Testaverde pass complete to Reginald Davis for no gain to the Texas 20Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+1
0.7%
Quinton White run for 1 yd to the Texas 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:59
Johnathan Gray run for 17 yds for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK)
-14.7
TD · Q2 3:34
Kenny Williams run for 6 yds for a TD, (Ryan Bustin KICK)
+12.4
TD · Q4 14:16
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Jaxon Shipley for 4 yds for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK)
-11.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com