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TTU

Texas Tech 27 at TCU 82

TCU
2014 · Week 9 · Oct 25, 2014 · Amon G. Carter Stadium
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Win probability · TCU
modelTCU aheadTTU aheadconfidence bandkey playTCU scoreTTU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDFGFGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG—TCU 89.2%Ryan Bustin 28 Yd Field GoalAWAY 10 - HOME 7 · Q1 11:48
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 11:48 · Ryan Bustin 28 Yd Field Goal
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+40.5+20.30−20.3−40.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 15Pregame prior+38.8Home team on offense−0.4Score differential−0.2Blowout margin+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:04: Josh Doctson 5 Yd pass from Trevone Boykin (Jaden Oberkrom Kick) — TCU win probability +2.0 pts (now 91%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:42: Devin Lauderdale 56 Yd pass from Davis Webb (Ryan Bustin Kick) — TTU win probability +3.1 pts (now 13%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 12:42: Deante' Gray 24 Yd pass from Trevone Boykin (Jaden Oberkrom Kick) — TCU win probability +4.1 pts (now 91%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 12:00: Jaden Oberkrom 27 Yd Field Goal — TCU win probability +3.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:14: Cliff Murphy 8 Yd pass from Trevone Boykin (Jaden Oberkrom Kick) — TCU win probability +2.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TCU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6TTU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 11:48TTU 4th & 9 at TCU 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.9%
    87% to make
    Punt
    10.4%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:31TTU 4th & 1 at TCU 1, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.1%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    11.7%−0.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    10.9%−1.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:21TCU 4th & 7 at TTU 28, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.5%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.5%
    60% to make
    Punt
    86.8%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:35TTU 4th & 4 at TCU 21, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.1%−0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    7.7%−2.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:36TCU 4th & 12 at TTU 40, up 11
    Close callPunted · 88.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.3%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    88.3%
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    88.3%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:48TCU 4th & 12 at TTU 26, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.7%−0.7
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.4%
    64% to make
    Punt
    87.3%−2.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:00TCU 4th & 10 at TTU 30, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.9%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.1%
    56% to make
    Punt
    90.8%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:00TCU 4th & 3 at TTU 10, up 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 93.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.4%
    49% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.0%−0.4
    88% to make
    Punt
    89.0%−4.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:06TTU 4th & 10 at TTU 30, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:28TTU 4th & 11 at TTU 21, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:12TCU 4th & 1 at TTU 43, up 41
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.2
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:42TTU 4th & 10 at TTU 11, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:34TTU 4th & 1 at TTU 34, down 48
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TCU made the numbers' call on 10 of 10TTU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 14:09TTU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 13:46TCU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 9:54TCU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 2:04TCU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q1 0:42TTU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 12:42TCU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 11:14TCU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 9:41TCU Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 7:51TCU Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 3:13TTU Touchdown, down 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q3 1:14TCU Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 10:09TCU Touchdown, up 47 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  13. Q4 1:16TCU Touchdown, up 54 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TTUDrive 1TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:4610% → 10%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
90.2%
Davis Webb pass complete to Dylan Cantrell for 7 yds to the TexTc 32Similar
Q1 14:44
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+11
90.2%
Davis Webb pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 11 yds to the TexTc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
90.0%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Bradley MarquezSimilar
Q1 14:09
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+57
89.9%
Kenny Williams 57 Yd pass from Davis Webb (Ryan Bustin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 2TD
3 plays · 77 yds · 0:1790% → 90%
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+15
89.9%
Boykin, Trevone pass incomplete to Listenbee, Kolby (Ward, Keenon), PENALTY TEXASTECH pass interference (Ward, Keenon) 15 yards to the TCU38, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TCU. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+62
89.9%
Aaron Green 62 Yd Run (Jaden Oberkrom Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 3FG
7 plays · 64 yds · 1:4710% → 11%
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+48
89.9%
DeAndre Washington run for 48 yds to the TCU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+15
89.6%
Davis Webb pass complete to Devin Lauderdale for 15 yds to the TCU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
89.5%
DeAndre Washington run for 1 yd to the TCU 11Similar
Q1 11:58
2ND & 9
OPP 11
0
89.2%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Bradley MarquezSimilar
Q1 11:53
3RD & 9
OPP 11
0
89.3%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Bradley MarquezSimilar
Q1 11:48
4TH & 9
OPP 11
+28
89.2%
Ryan Bustin 28 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 4TD
7 plays · 67 yds · 1:3889% → 89%
Q1 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
89.2%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Kolby Listenbee for 5 yds to the TCU 38Similar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+9
89.2%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Ty Slanina for 9 yds to the TCU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
88.9%
B.J. Catalon run for 2 yds to the TCU 49Similar
Q1 10:07
2ND & 8
OWN 49
0
88.8%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Kolby ListenbeeSimilar
Q1 9:54
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+51
89.1%
Josh Doctson 51 Yd pass from Trevone Boykin (Jaden Oberkrom Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 5DOWNS
11 plays · 74 yds · 3:1111% → 12%
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+59
89.0%
Davis Webb pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 59 yds to the TCU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
88.6%
Patrick Mahomes run for 4 yds to the TCU 12Similar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 6
OPP 12
-2
88.3%
DeAndre Washington run for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 14Similar
Q1 8:02
3RD & 8
OPP 14
+7
88.2%
TCU Penalty, Defensive Holding (Ranthony Texada) to the TCU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
88.1%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Dylan CantrellSimilar
Q1 7:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
88.0%
DeAndre Washington run for 3 yds to the TCU 4Similar
Q1 7:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
88.3%
Webb, Davis pass incomplete to Davis, Reginald, PENALTY TCU offside (White, Kevin) 2 yards to the TCU2, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
88.2%
DeAndre Washington run for 1 yd to the TCU 1Similar
Q1 6:31
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
88.3%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to DeAndre WashingtonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 6FG
9 plays · 71 yds · 2:0188% → 89%
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
88.2%
B.J. Catalon run for 3 yds to the TCU 4Similar
Q1 5:57
2ND & 7
OWN 4
+54
88.1%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Kolby Listenbee for 54 yds to the TexTc 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
88.5%
B.J. Catalon run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 43Similar
Q1 5:18
2ND & 11
OPP 43
+12
88.4%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Josh Doctson for 12 yds to the TexTc 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
88.4%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Ja'Juan Story for 3 yds to the TexTc 28Similar
Q1 4:31
2ND & 7
OPP 28
0
88.4%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to David PorterSimilar
Q1 4:26
3RD & 7
OPP 28
0
88.2%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Jordan MooreSimilar
Q1 4:21
4TH & 7
OPP 28
+45
88.8%
Jaden Oberkrom 45 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 7INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:1712% → 12%
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
88.4%
Davis Webb pass complete to Justin Stockton for 3 yds to the TexTc 20Similar
Q1 3:38
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+7
88.4%
Davis Webb pass intercepted Chris Hackett return for 7 yds to the TexTc 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 8TD
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:2589% → 91%
Q1 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
88.9%
B.J. Catalon run for 7 yds to the TexTc 9Similar
Q1 3:09
2ND & 3
OPP 9
0
88.8%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Josh Doctson, broken up by Justis NelsonSimilar
Q1 3:00
3RD & 3
OPP 9
+4
88.7%
Trevone Boykin run for 4 yds to the TexTc 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
88.6%
B.J. Catalon run for no gain to the TexTc 5Similar
Q1 2:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
88.6%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Josh Doctson, broken up by Justis NelsonSimilar
Q1 2:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
90.5%
Josh Doctson 5 Yd pass from Trevone Boykin (Jaden Oberkrom Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 9TD
7 plays · 95 yds · 1:099% → 13%
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+2
90.6%
DeAndre Washington run for 2 yds to the TexTc 7Similar
Q1 1:22
2ND & 8
OWN 7
+25
90.6%
Davis Webb pass complete to Dylan Cantrell for 10 yds to the TexTc 17 for a 1ST down TCU Penalty, Roughing Passer (Terrell Lathan) to the TexTc 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
90.3%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Jakeem GrantSimilar
Q1 1:03
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
90.4%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Devin LauderdaleSimilar
Q1 0:56
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+12
90.5%
Davis Webb pass complete to Bradley Marquez for 12 yds to the TexTc 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+56
87.4%
Devin Lauderdale 56 Yd pass from Davis Webb (Ryan Bustin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 10TD
9 plays · 86 yds · 2:1888% → 91%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+9
87.5%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Deante' Gray for 9 yds to the TCU 23Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 1
OWN 23
+10
87.6%
Aaron Green run for 10 yds to the TCU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+26
87.5%
Aaron Green run for 26 yds to the TexTc 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
88.0%
Aaron Green run for 1 yd to the TexTc 40Similar
Q2 13:37
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+2
87.9%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to B.J. Catalon for 2 yds to the TexTc 38Similar
Q2 12:56
3RD & 7
OPP 38
0
87.6%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Kolby Listenbee, broken up by Nigel Bethel IISimilar
Q2 12:50
4TH & 7
OPP 38
+14
87.2%
Perry, Ethan pass incomplete to Doctson, Josh, PENALTY TEXASTECH pass interference (Nelson, Justis) 14 yards to the TEXASTECH24, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TCU. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
91.3%
Deante' Gray 24 Yd pass from Trevone Boykin (Jaden Oberkrom Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 11FG
13 plays · 54 yds · 3:5810% → 12%
Q2 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
90.5%
Davis Webb pass complete to Kenny Williams for 13 yds to the TexTc 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
90.4%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Jakeem GrantSimilar
Q2 12:10
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+13
90.4%
DeAndre Washington run for 13 yds to the TCU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
89.9%
Justin Stockton run for 3 yds to the TCU 46Similar
Q2 11:12
2ND & 7
OPP 46
-5
89.8%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, False Start (Devin Lauderdale) to the TexTc 49Similar
Q2 10:54
2ND & 12
OWN 49
0
90.4%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to D.J. Polite-BraySimilar
Q2 10:45
3RD & 12
OWN 49
+14
90.5%
Davis Webb pass complete to Bradley Marquez for 14 yds to the TCU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+10
89.7%
Davis Webb pass complete to Devin Lauderdale for 10 yds to the TCU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-2
89.5%
DeAndre Washington run for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 29Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 12
OPP 29
0
89.8%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Ian SadlerSimilar
Q2 9:12
3RD & 12
OPP 29
+8
90.2%
Davis Webb pass complete to Bradley Marquez for 8 yds to the TCU 21Similar
Q2 8:35
4TH & 4
OPP 21
+38
88.2%
Ryan Bustin 38 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 12PUNT
19 plays · 35 yds · 5:5189% → 90%
Q2 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
88.9%
Aaron Green run for 2 yds to the TCU 27Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+10
88.6%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Kolby Listenbee for 10 yds to the TCU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
89.1%
Trevorris Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 35Similar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+4
88.7%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Aaron Green for 4 yds to the TCU 39Similar
Q2 6:44
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+9
88.8%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Aaron Green for 9 yds to the TCU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
89.3%
Aaron Green run for 4 yds to the TexTc 48Similar
Q2 5:57
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+4
89.3%
Kyle Hicks run for 4 yds to the TexTc 44Similar
Q2 5:27
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+3
89.0%
Kyle Hicks run for 3 yds to the TexTc 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
89.4%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Kyle Hicks for 2 yds to the TexTc 39Similar
Q2 4:29
2ND & 8
OPP 39
-9
89.3%
Trevone Boykin sacked by Sam Atoe for a loss of 9 yards to the TexTc 48Similar
Q2 4:05
3RD & 17
OPP 48
-5
88.9%
TCU Penalty, False Start (Tayo Fabuluje) to the TCU 47Similar
Q2 3:43
3RD & 22
OWN 47
0
88.7%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Josh DoctsonSimilar
Q2 3:35
4TH & 22
OWN 47
+15
89.6%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Roughing the Kicker (Kenny Williams) to the TexTc 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
90.8%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Josh Doctson, broken up by Justis NelsonSimilar
Q2 3:21
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-2
90.7%
Trevone Boykin sacked by Pete Robertson for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 40Similar
Q2 2:47
3RD & 12
OPP 40
0
90.4%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Kolby ListenbeeSimilar
Q2 2:36
4TH & 12
OPP 40
+12
89.9%
Ethan Perry punt for 22 yds, fair catch by Cameron Batson at the TexTc 18 TCU Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (James Power) to the TexTc 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 13FUMBLE
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:0411% → 11%
Q2 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
89.0%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Jakeem GrantSimilar
Q2 2:28
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-4
89.3%
Davis Webb run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexTc 24 Davis Webb fumbled, recovered by TCU Chucky HunterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 14FG
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:3291% → 92%
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-10
91.0%
Green, Aaron rush for 9 yards to the TEXASTECH15, PENALTY TCU holding (Foltz, Brady) 10 yards to the TEXASTECH34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 20
OPP 34
+1
91.1%
Trevone Boykin run for 1 yd to the TexTc 33Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 19
OPP 33
0
91.0%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Josh DoctsonSimilar
Q2 0:57
3RD & 19
OPP 33
+7
90.6%
Trevone Boykin run for 7 yds to the TexTc 26Similar
Q2 0:48
4TH & 12
OPP 26
+43
92.0%
Jaden Oberkrom 43 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 15FUMBLE
3 plays · -8 yds · 0:099% → 10%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
90.8%
Davis Webb pass complete to Bradley Marquez for 11 yds to the TexTc 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-19
90.1%
Davis Webb sacked by Terrell Lathan for a loss of 19 yards to the TexTc 30 Davis Webb fumbled, forced by Terrell Lathan, recovered by TCU Josh Carraway , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 16END OF HALF
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:1892% → 94%
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
92.3%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Josh Doctson, broken up by Justis NelsonSimilar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
92.5%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Josh Doctson, broken up by Justis NelsonSimilar
Q2 0:04
3RD & 10
OPP 30
0
93.0%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Ty SlaninaSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 10
OPP 30
+47
93.8%
Jaden Oberkrom 47 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 17KICKOFF
11 plays · 71 yds · 2:5393% → 97%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
92.9%
B.J. Catalon run for 5 yds to the TCU 24Similar
Q3 14:27
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+21
92.9%
Trevone Boykin run for 21 yds to the TCU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
93.3%
B.J. Catalon run for 3 yds to the TCU 48Similar
Q3 13:41
2ND & 7
OWN 48
-5
93.1%
B.J. Catalon run for a loss of 5 yards to the TCU 43Similar
Q3 13:10
3RD & 12
OWN 43
+40
93.5%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Deante' Gray for 40 yds to the TexTc 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
94.0%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Deante' GraySimilar
Q3 12:49
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
94.0%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Kolby ListenbeeSimilar
Q3 12:41
3RD & 10
OPP 17
+7
93.8%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Kolby Listenbee for 7 yds to the TexTc 10Similar
Q3 12:00
4TH & 3
OPP 10
+27
97.3%
Jaden Oberkrom 27 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 18TD
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:3998% → 100%
Q3 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
97.6%
B.J. Catalon run for 4 yds to the TexTc 16Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 6
OPP 16
0
97.3%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Josh DoctsonSimilar
Q3 11:27
3RD & 6
OPP 16
+8
97.3%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Josh Doctson for 8 yds to the TexTc 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.5%
Cliff Murphy 8 Yd pass from Trevone Boykin (Jaden Oberkrom Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 0:561% → 1%
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+14
99.4%
Davis Webb pass complete to Reginald Davis for 14 yds to the TexTc 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.5%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Reginald DavisSimilar
Q3 10:31
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
99.5%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Bradley MarquezSimilar
Q3 10:31
3RD & 10
OWN 30
-5
99.5%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, False Start (Alfredo Morales) to the TexTc 25Similar
Q3 10:26
3RD & 15
OWN 25
+5
99.5%
TCU Penalty, Defensive Offside (Terrell Lathan) to the TexTc 30Similar
Q3 10:21
3RD & 10
OWN 30
0
99.5%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Dylan CantrellSimilar
Q3 10:06
4TH & 10
OWN 30
0
99.5%
Taylor Symmank punt for 54 yds , Cameron Echols-Luper returns for no gain to the TCU 30 TCU Penalty, Illegal Block (Nick Orr) to the TCU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 20TD
2 plays · 92 yds · 0:18100% → 100%
Q3 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
99.5%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Kolby ListenbeeSimilar
Q3 9:41
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+92
99.6%
Deante' Gray 92 Yd pass from Trevone Boykin (Jaden Oberkrom Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:080% → 0%
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-5
99.6%
DeAndre Washington run for a loss of 5 yards to the TexTc 17Similar
Q3 9:07
2ND & 15
OWN 17
+4
99.6%
Patrick Mahomes run for 4 yds to the TexTc 21Similar
Q3 8:36
3RD & 11
OWN 21
0
99.7%
Patrick Mahomes pass incomplete to Bradley MarquezSimilar
Q3 8:28
4TH & 11
OWN 21
0
99.7%
Taylor Symmank punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Cameron Echols-Luper at the TCU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 22TD
2 plays · 63 yds · 0:22100% → 100%
Q3 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
99.7%
Trevone Boykin run for 6 yds to the TCU 43Similar
Q3 7:51
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+57
99.7%
Ty Slanina 57 Yd pass from Trevone Boykin (Jaden Oberkrom Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 23TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 4:330% → 0%
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.8%
DeAndre Washington run for 3 yds to the TexTc 28Similar
Q3 7:09
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
99.8%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Bradley Marquez for 6 yds to the TexTc 34Similar
Q3 6:15
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
99.8%
Patrick Mahomes run for 1 yd to the TexTc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.8%
Patrick Mahomes pass incomplete to D.J. Polite-BraySimilar
Q3 5:57
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+12
99.8%
Kenny Williams run for 12 yds to the TexTc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
99.8%
Patrick Mahomes run for 11 yds to the TCU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
99.8%
DeAndre Washington run for 7 yds to the TCU 35Similar
Q3 4:48
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+14
99.8%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Bradley Marquez for 14 yds to the TCU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
99.8%
Patrick Mahomes run for 1 yd to the TCU 20Similar
Q3 3:57
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+18
99.8%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Ian Sadler for 18 yds to the TCU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
99.8%
Patrick Mahomes run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 3Similar
Q3 3:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.8%
Patrick Mahomes pass incomplete to Reginald DavisSimilar
Q3 3:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.8%
Dylan Cantrell 3 Yd pass from Patrick Mahomes (Ryan Bustin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 24TD
5 plays · 74 yds · 1:43100% → 100%
Q3 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+24
99.8%
Trevorris Johnson run for 24 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:22
1ST & 10
50
+28
99.8%
Trevorris Johnson run for 28 yds to the TexTc 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+10
99.8%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Emanuel Porter for 10 yds to the TexTc 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
99.9%
Emanuel Porter 12 Yd pass from Trevone Boykin (Jaden Oberkrom Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 25INT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:550% → 0%
Q3 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
DeAndre Washington run for 3 yds to the TexTc 28Similar
Q3 0:38
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
99.9%
DeAndre Washington run for 5 yds to the TexTc 33Similar
Q3 0:08
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+13
99.9%
Patrick Mahomes pass intercepted Sam Carter return for 13 yds to the TCU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:48100% → 100%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Trevorris Johnson run for no gain to the TCU 48Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Matt Joeckel pass incomplete to Ja'Juan StorySimilar
Q4 14:35
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+9
99.9%
Matt Joeckel pass complete to Desmon White for 9 yds to the TexTc 43Similar
Q4 14:12
4TH & 1
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Ethan Perry punt for 32 yds, downed at the TexTc 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:140% → 0%
Q4 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
99.9%
Justin Stockton run for 2 yds to the TexTc 13Similar
Q4 13:25
2ND & 8
OWN 13
-2
99.9%
Patrick Mahomes run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 11Similar
Q4 12:55
3RD & 10
OWN 11
0
99.9%
Patrick Mahomes pass incomplete to Quinton WhiteSimilar
Q4 12:42
4TH & 10
OWN 11
0
99.9%
Taylor Symmank punt for 37 yds, downed at the TexTc 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 28TD
6 plays · 48 yds · 2:24100% → 100%
Q4 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Trevorris Johnson run for no gain to the TexTc 48Similar
Q4 12:08
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+16
99.9%
Matt Joeckel pass complete to Ja'Juan Story for 16 yds to the TexTc 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+17
99.9%
Trevorris Johnson run for 17 yds to the TexTc 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+9
99.9%
Matt Joeckel run for 9 yds to the TexTc 6Similar
Q4 10:44
2ND & 1
OPP 6
+2
99.9%
Zach Allen run for 2 yds to the TexTc 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
Trevorris Johnson 4 Yd Run (Jaden Oberkrom Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 29PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:310% → 0%
Q4 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
100.0%
Patrick Mahomes pass incomplete to Dylan CantrellSimilar
Q4 9:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
100.0%
Quinton White run for 5 yds to the TexTc 30Similar
Q4 9:10
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+4
100.0%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Cameron Batson for 4 yds to the TexTc 34Similar
Q4 8:34
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
100.0%
Taylor Symmank punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Cameron Echols-Luper at the TCU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 30TD
12 plays · 82 yds · 6:58100% → 100%
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
99.9%
Kyle Hicks run for 9 yds to the TCU 27Similar
Q4 7:42
2ND & 1
OWN 27
+5
99.9%
Zach Allen pass complete to Cameron Echols-Luper for 5 yds to the TCU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
99.9%
TCU Penalty, False Start (Joseph Noteboom) to the TCU 27Similar
Q4 6:55
1ST & 15
OWN 27
+5
99.9%
Kyle Hicks run for 5 yds to the TCU 32Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+12
100.0%
Zach Allen pass complete to Cameron Echols-Luper for 12 yds to the TCU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
100.0%
Kyle Hicks run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:59
2ND & 4
50
+7
100.0%
Kyle Hicks run for 7 yds to the TexTc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
100.0%
Bram Kohlhausen pass complete to Daniel Walsh for 5 yds to the TexTc 38Similar
Q4 3:47
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+10
100.0%
Trevorris Johnson run for 10 yds to the TexTc 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-1
100.0%
Trevorris Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 29Similar
Q4 2:12
2ND & 11
OPP 29
+4
100.0%
Kyle Hicks run for 4 yds to the TexTc 25Similar
Q4 1:16
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+25
100.0%
Trevorris Johnson 25 Yd Run (Jaden Oberkrom Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 31END OF GAME
3 plays · 7 yds · 1:030% → 0%
Q4 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
100.0%
Justin Stockton run for 3 yds to the TexTc 28Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
100.0%
Justin Stockton run for 4 yds to the TexTc 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 12:42
Deante' Gray 24 Yd pass from Trevone Boykin (Jaden Oberkrom Kick)
+4.1
FG · Q3 12:00
Jaden Oberkrom 27 Yd Field Goal
+3.6
TD · Q1 0:42
Devin Lauderdale 56 Yd pass from Davis Webb (Ryan Bustin Kick)
-3.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com