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TEX

Texas 0 at Kansas State 23

KSU
2014 · Week 9 · Oct 25, 2014 · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
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Win probability · KSU
modelKSU aheadTEX aheadconfidence bandkey playKSU scoreTEX score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:35 · William Russ punt for 53 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 88Pregame prior+15.6Home team on offense+10.0Score differential+4.6Garbage-time factor+1.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:18: DeMarcus Robinson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK) — KSU win probability +6.9 pts (now 86%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:55: Timeout TEXAS, clock 00:55 — KSU win probability +2.9 pts (now 86%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 7:15: Jake Waters pass complete to Tyler Lockett for 4 yds to the Texas 48 — KSU win probability +3.5 pts (now 90%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 13:05: Jake Waters pass complete to Tyler Lockett for 23 yds to the KanSt 37 for a 1ST down — KSU win probability +2.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:31: Charles Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK) — KSU win probability +2.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 8TEX made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 13:27TEX 4th & 16 at TEX 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.2%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:14KSU 4th & 2 at TEX 2, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 79.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.9%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    78.1%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:44TEX 4th & 5 at TEX 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.2%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:59KSU 4th & 2 at TEX 12, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 78.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.7%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.4%−0.3
    86% to make
    Punt
    76.5%−2.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:21TEX 4th & 3 at KSU 44, down 6
    Close callPunted · 21.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    20.6%−0.9
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    21.1%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:22KSU 4th & 25 at KSU 2, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.3%−1.8
    5% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:15TEX 4th & 29 at KSU 36, down 6
    Close callPunted · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.1%−1.0
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    21.1%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    21.0%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:19KSU 4th & 9 at KSU 9, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.6%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:10TEX 4th & 5 at midfield, down 6
    Close callPunted · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.4%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:35TEX 4th & 18 at TEX 47, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%−0.6
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:10KSU 4th & 11 at TEX 41, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.3%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    88.2%−0.4
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    88.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:36KSU 4th & 1 at TEX 30, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    88.8%−2.0
    56% to make
    Punt
    87.6%−3.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:49KSU 4th & 2 at TEX 21, up 13
    Close callKicked a field goal · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.4%−0.8
    74% to make
    Punt
    85.1%−6.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:12TEX 4th & 1 at KSU 14, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    6.0%−1.3
    84% to make
    Punt
    2.4%−4.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:27TEX 4th & 3 at TEX 24, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:10KSU 4th & 5 at KSU 48, up 23
    Close callPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:32TEX 4th & 9 at TEX 21, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 2:18KSU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 9:31KSU Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEXDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · -6 yds · 1:2821% → 21%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
79.2%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to M.J. McFarlandSimilar
Q1 14:40
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
79.2%
Malcolm Brown run for 5 yds to the Texas 30Similar
Q1 14:40
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-5
79.2%
TEXAS Penalty, False Start (Marcus Hutchins) to the Texas 25Similar
Q1 14:20
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-1
79.1%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Johnathan Gray for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 24Similar
Q1 13:44
4TH & 11
OWN 24
-5
79.0%
TEXAS Penalty, False Start (Peter Jinkens) to the Texas 19Similar
Q1 13:27
4TH & 16
OWN 19
+6
78.9%
William Russ punt for 56 yds , Tyler Lockett returns for 6 yds to the KanSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 2FG
13 plays · 67 yds · 6:0179% → 78%
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
78.8%
Jake Waters pass complete to Tyler Lockett for 11 yds to the KanSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
78.8%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 3 yds to the KanSt 45Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+23
78.7%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 23 yds to the Texas 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
78.8%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 6 yds to the Texas 26Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 4
OPP 26
+1
78.7%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 1 yd to the Texas 25Similar
Q1 10:28
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+5
78.5%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 5 yds to the Texas 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
78.5%
Charles Jones run for 4 yds to the Texas 16Similar
Q1 9:26
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+14
78.4%
Waters, Jake pass incomplete to Lockett, Tyler, PENALTY TEXAS pass interference (Thomas, Duke) 14 yards to the TEXAS2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN KANSAS ST.Similar
Q1 9:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
78.4%
Glenn Gronkowski run for no gain to the Texas 2Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
78.1%
Charles Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 4Similar
Q1 7:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
77.9%
Charles Jones run for 2 yds to the Texas 2Similar
Q1 7:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
77.8%
Matthew McCrane 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:2622% → 22%
Q1 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
77.8%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Jaxon Shipley for 5 yds to the Texas 30Similar
Q1 6:53
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
77.5%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Marcus JohnsonSimilar
Q1 6:50
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
77.7%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Johnathan GraySimilar
Q1 6:44
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
78.1%
William Russ punt for 12 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Texas 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 4FG
9 plays · 30 yds · 3:3878% → 79%
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+12
78.2%
Jake Waters run for 12 yds to the Texas 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
78.2%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 3 yds to the Texas 27Similar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+3
78.1%
Jake Waters pass complete to Zach Trujillo for 3 yds to the Texas 24Similar
Q1 4:43
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+4
77.9%
Jake Waters pass complete to Tyler Lockett for 4 yds to the Texas 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
78.1%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 8 yds to the Texas 12Similar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 2
OPP 12
0
78.1%
Jake Waters pass incomplete to Tyler LockettSimilar
Q1 3:35
3RD & 2
OPP 12
0
77.8%
Jake Waters run for no gain to the Texas 12Similar
Q1 2:59
4TH & 2
OPP 12
+30
78.8%
Matthew McCrane 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 31 yds · 2:1922% → 23%
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
77.8%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to John Harris for 11 yds to the Texas 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
77.2%
Malcolm Brown run for 2 yds to the Texas 38Similar
Q1 1:56
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
77.0%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Jaxon ShipleySimilar
Q1 1:35
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+11
77.2%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Geoff Swaim for 11 yds to the Texas 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
76.4%
Malcolm Brown run for 6 yds to the KanSt 45Similar
Q1 1:02
2ND & 4
OPP 45
0
76.0%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to John HarrisSimilar
Q1 0:50
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+1
76.3%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Jaxon Shipley for 1 yd to the KanSt 44Similar
Q1 0:21
4TH & 3
OPP 44
0
76.6%
William Russ punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Tyler Lockett at the KanSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -15 yds · 1:5178% → 77%
Q1 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
78.2%
Jake Waters pass complete to Curry Sexton for 4 yds to the KanSt 21Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 6
OWN 21
-8
78.0%
Jake Waters sacked by Hassan Ridgeway for a loss of 8 yards to the KanSt 13Similar
Q2 14:00
3RD & 14
OWN 13
-11
77.4%
Jake Waters sacked by Caleb Bluiett for a loss of 11 yards to the KanSt 2Similar
Q2 13:22
4TH & 25
OWN 2
0
77.0%
Nick Walsh punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jaxon Shipley at the KanSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 4 yds · 3:0025% → 23%
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+12
75.4%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 12 yds to the KanSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
74.5%
Johnathan Gray run for 3 yds to the KanSt 25Similar
Q2 12:15
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+8
74.4%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 8 yds to the KanSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
74.2%
Johnathan Gray run for 1 yd to the KanSt 16Similar
Q2 11:09
2ND & 9
OPP 16
-10
74.1%
Swoopes, Tyrone pass incomplete to Harris, John, PENALTY TEXAS holding (Perkins, Kent) 10 yards to the KANSASST26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:03
2ND & 19
OPP 26
0
75.1%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Jaxon ShipleySimilar
Q2 10:40
3RD & 19
OPP 26
-10
76.0%
Tyrone Swoopes sacked by Elijah Lee for a loss of 10 yards to the KanSt 36Similar
Q2 10:15
4TH & 29
OPP 36
0
77.0%
William Russ punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Tyler Lockett at the KanSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:5078% → 77%
Q2 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
77.7%
Jake Waters pass incomplete to Curry SextonSimilar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+1
77.5%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 1 yd to the KanSt 9Similar
Q2 9:27
3RD & 9
OWN 9
0
77.0%
Jake Waters pass incomplete to Deante BurtonSimilar
Q2 9:19
4TH & 9
OWN 9
0
76.5%
Nick Walsh punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jaxon Shipley at the Texas 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0025% → 24%
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
74.9%
Malcolm Brown run for 3 yds to the Texas 48Similar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+2
75.0%
Malcolm Brown run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 8:14
3RD & 5
50
0
75.2%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Geoff SwaimSimilar
Q2 8:10
4TH & 5
50
0
76.4%
William Russ punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KanSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 10TD
13 plays · 85 yds · 5:4279% → 86%
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
78.5%
Charles Jones run for a loss of 5 yards to the KanSt 10Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 15
OWN 10
+2
78.3%
Charles Jones run for 2 yds to the KanSt 12Similar
Q2 6:49
3RD & 13
OWN 12
+24
77.8%
Jake Waters pass complete to Curry Sexton for 24 yds to the KanSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
79.1%
Charles Jones run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
50
-1
80.1%
Charles Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 49Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+10
79.4%
Jake Waters pass complete to Tyler Lockett for 10 yds to the Texas 41Similar
Q2 4:36
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+3
79.7%
Charles Jones run for 3 yds to the Texas 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
80.3%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 3 yds to the Texas 35Similar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+7
80.4%
Waters, Jake pass incomplete to Lockett, Tyler, PENALTY TEXAS pass interference (Thomas, Duke) 7 yards to the TEXAS28, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN KANSASST. Similar
Q2 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-4
80.4%
Jake Waters run for a loss of 4 yards to the Texas 32 Jake Waters fumbled, recovered by KanSt Jake WatersSimilar
Q2 2:53
2ND & 14
OPP 32
0
79.4%
Jake Waters pass incomplete to DeMarcus RobinsonSimilar
Q2 2:40
3RD & 14
OPP 32
+29
78.6%
Jake Waters pass complete to Tyler Lockett for 29 yds to the Texas 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
85.5%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 11PUNT
12 plays · 33 yds · 1:3016% → 13%
Q2 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+14
84.3%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 14 yds to the Texas 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+13
84.2%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to John Harris for 13 yds to the Texas 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
83.8%
Johnathan Gray run for 8 yds to the Texas 49Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 2
OWN 49
0
82.8%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to John HarrisSimilar
Q2 1:05
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+6
83.1%
Johnathan Gray run for 6 yds to the KanSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-8
83.3%
Tyrone Swoopes sacked by Ryan Mueller for a loss of 8 yards to the Texas 47Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 18
OWN 47
0
86.2%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Jaxon ShipleySimilar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 18
OWN 47
0
86.4%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Jaxon ShipleySimilar
Q2 0:35
4TH & 18
OWN 47
0
86.6%
William Russ punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
86.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 13PUNT
12 plays · 34 yds · 4:4087% → 88%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
86.7%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 2 yds to the KanSt 27Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-1
86.8%
DeMarcus Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 26Similar
Q3 13:40
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+17
86.9%
Jake Waters pass complete to Kody Cook for 17 yds to the KanSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
88.2%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 2 yds to the KanSt 45Similar
Q3 12:26
2ND & 8
OWN 45
-10
88.4%
Waters, Jake pass complete to Lockett, Tyler for 50 yards to the TEXAS5, PENALTY KANSASST holding (Kleinsorge, Matt) 10 yards to the KANSASST35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:57
2ND & 18
OWN 35
+10
88.0%
Jake Waters pass complete to Deante Burton for 10 yds to the KanSt 45Similar
Q3 11:34
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+15
88.1%
Waters, Jake pass incomplete to Cook, Kody, PENALTY TEXAS personal foul (Hughes, Naashon) 15 yards to the TEXAS40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN KANSASST. Similar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-6
88.0%
DeMarcus Robinson run for a loss of 6 yards to the Texas 46Similar
Q3 10:58
2ND & 16
OPP 46
0
88.0%
Jake Waters pass incomplete to Tyler LockettSimilar
Q3 10:35
3RD & 16
OPP 46
+5
88.3%
Jake Waters pass complete to Curry Sexton for 5 yds to the Texas 41Similar
Q3 10:10
4TH & 11
OPP 41
0
87.8%
Nick Walsh punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Jaxon Shipley at the Texas 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 14FUMBLE
6 plays · 39 yds · 2:2712% → 14%
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
88.0%
Malcolm Brown run for 3 yds to the Texas 16Similar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+16
88.1%
D'Onta Foreman run for 16 yds to the Texas 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
87.3%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Geoff Swaim for 4 yds to the Texas 36Similar
Q3 8:30
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+3
87.2%
D'Onta Foreman run for 3 yds to the Texas 39Similar
Q3 7:50
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+18
87.1%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to John Harris for 18 yds to the KanSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-5
86.5%
D'Onta Foreman run for a loss of 5 yards to the KanSt 48 D'Onta Foreman fumbled, recovered by KanSt Valentino ColemanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 15FG
13 plays · 31 yds · 4:2690% → 94%
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
90.0%
Jake Waters pass complete to Tyler Lockett for 4 yds to the Texas 48Similar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+9
90.3%
Jake Waters pass complete to Deante Burton for 9 yds to the Texas 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
90.9%
Jake Waters run for 9 yds to the Texas 30Similar
Q3 5:45
2ND & 1
OPP 30
-5
91.0%
KANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (Zach Trujillo) to the Texas 35Similar
Q3 5:14
2ND & 6
OPP 35
0
91.3%
Jake Waters pass incomplete to Deante BurtonSimilar
Q3 4:55
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+5
91.2%
Jake Waters pass complete to Curry Sexton for 5 yds to the Texas 30Similar
Q3 4:36
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+1
90.8%
Jake Waters run for 1 yd to the Texas 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-10
91.7%
Waters, Jake pass complete to Sexton, Curry for 24 yards to the TEXAS5, PENALTY KANSASST holding (Whitehair, Cody) 10 yards to the TEXAS39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:31
1ST & 20
OPP 39
0
91.7%
Jake Waters pass incomplete to Tyler LockettSimilar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 20
OPP 39
0
91.6%
Jake Waters pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:16
3RD & 20
OPP 39
+18
91.2%
Jake Waters pass complete to Deante Burton for 18 yds to the Texas 21Similar
Q3 2:49
4TH & 2
OPP 21
+38
93.6%
Matthew McCrane 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 16DOWNS
12 plays · 57 yds · 4:139% → 7%
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
91.1%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Armanti Foreman for 1 yd to the Texas 30Similar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 9
OWN 30
-1
91.2%
Johnathan Gray run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 29Similar
Q3 1:15
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+21
92.3%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Marcus Johnson for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:50
1ST & 10
50
0
90.9%
Johnathan Gray run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 0:20
2ND & 10
50
+15
91.0%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Jaxon Shipley for 15 yds to the KanSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+12
90.3%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 12 yds to the KanSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
89.7%
Johnathan Gray run for 5 yds to the KanSt 18Similar
Q4 14:25
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+3
89.8%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Geoff Swaim for 3 yds to the KanSt 15Similar
Q4 13:45
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+1
91.1%
Johnathan Gray run for 1 yd to the KanSt 14Similar
Q4 13:12
4TH & 1
OPP 14
0
93.1%
Johnathan Gray run for no gain to the KanSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 17TD
10 plays · 86 yds · 3:3496% → 99%
Q4 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+23
95.7%
Jake Waters pass complete to Tyler Lockett for 23 yds to the KanSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
96.4%
Jake Waters pass incomplete to Tyler LockettSimilar
Q4 12:34
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+6
96.4%
Jake Waters pass complete to Tyler Lockett for 6 yds to the KanSt 43Similar
Q4 12:09
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+18
96.5%
Jake Waters pass complete to Deante Burton for 18 yds to the Texas 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
96.7%
Jake Waters pass incomplete to Deante BurtonSimilar
Q4 11:26
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
96.7%
Jake Waters pass incomplete to Tyler LockettSimilar
Q4 11:05
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+16
96.6%
Jake Waters pass complete to Tyler Lockett for 16 yds to the Texas 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+14
96.8%
Charles Jones run for 14 yds to the Texas 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
96.9%
Charles Jones run for 8 yds to the Texas 1Similar
Q4 9:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.4%
Charles Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:481% → 1%
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
99.0%
Tyrone Swoopes run for no gain to the Texas 17Similar
Q4 8:40
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+4
99.1%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Jaxon Shipley for 4 yds to the Texas 21Similar
Q4 7:50
3RD & 6
OWN 21
+3
99.1%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 3 yds to the Texas 24Similar
Q4 7:27
4TH & 3
OWN 24
+16
99.2%
William Russ punt for 49 yds , Tyler Lockett returns for 16 yds to the KanSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 2:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-3
99.5%
DeMarcus Robinson run for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 40Similar
Q4 6:35
2ND & 13
OWN 40
0
99.5%
DeMarcus Robinson run for no gain to the KanSt 40Similar
Q4 5:50
3RD & 13
OWN 40
+8
99.6%
Jake Waters pass complete to Kody Cook for 8 yds to the KanSt 48Similar
Q4 5:10
4TH & 5
OWN 48
0
99.6%
Nick Walsh punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:331% → 1%
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
99.4%
Johnathan Gray run for 1 yd to the Texas 21Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
99.4%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Marcus JohnsonSimilar
Q4 4:39
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
99.4%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Geoff SwaimSimilar
Q4 4:32
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
99.4%
Michael Davidson punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Tyler Lockett at the KanSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 21END OF GAME
7 plays · 55 yds · 3:47100% → 100%
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
99.7%
Charles Jones run for 9 yds to the KanSt 49Similar
Q4 3:50
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+5
99.7%
Joe Hubener run for 5 yds to the Texas 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
99.7%
Joe Hubener run for 6 yds to the Texas 40Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+7
99.7%
Joe Hubener run for 7 yds to the Texas 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
99.8%
Joe Hubener run for 8 yds to the Texas 25Similar
Q4 1:05
2ND & 2
OPP 25
0
99.8%
Charles Jones run for no gain to the Texas 25Similar
Q4 0:23
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+20
99.8%
Joe Hubener run for 20 yds to the Texas 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:18
DeMarcus Robinson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)
+6.9
KEY PLAY · Q3 7:15
Jake Waters pass complete to Tyler Lockett for 4 yds to the Texas 48
+3.5
KEY PLAY · Q2 0:55
Timeout TEXAS, clock 00:55
+2.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com