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KSU

Kansas State 31 at Oklahoma 30

OU
2014 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2014 · Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
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Win probability · OU
modelOU aheadKSU aheadconfidence bandkey playOU scoreKSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 0:00 · Nick Walsh punt for 32 yds, downed at the Okla 7
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+30.0+15.00−15.0−30.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 131Pregame prior+8.0Home team on offense−15.4Score differential−4.0Garbage-time factor−4.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:36: Sterling Shepard 47 Yd pass from Trevor Knight (Michael Hunnicutt Kick) — OU win probability +7.0 pts (now 76%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 11:48: Matthew McCrane 27 Yd Field Goal — KSU win probability +6.1 pts (now 49%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:32: Blake Bell 4 Yd pass from Trevor Knight (Michael Hunnicutt Kick) — OU win probability +15.0 pts (now 74%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:57: Jake Waters 4 Yd Run (Matthew McCrane Kick) — KSU win probability +17.5 pts (now 58%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:35: Durron Neal 9 Yd pass from Trevor Knight (Michael Hunnicutt PAT blocked) — OU win probability +21.3 pts (now 62%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4KSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 12:58OU 4th & 7 at OU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:58KSU 4th & 8 at KSU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:12OU 4th & 1 at OU 29, tied
    Close callPunted · 75.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.3%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:12KSU 4th & 6 at OU 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 26.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    26.1%−0.3
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    26.1%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:24OU 4th & 9 at KSU 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.1%−1.0
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.1%
    74% to make
    Punt
    55.1%−6.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:34KSU 4th & 24 at KSU 21, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%−4.1
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.1%
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:48KSU 4th & 8 at OU 10, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.9%−1.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.0%
    88% to make
    Punt
    30.0%−10.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 0:00KSU 4th & 7 at OU 39, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 64.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    64.6%−1.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    64.7%−1.0
    average punt
  9. Q4 9:32KSU 4th & 6 at KSU 19, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.7%−2.0
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.7%
    average punt
  10. Q4 3:53OU 4th & 2 at KSU 2, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.5%−3.1
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.7%
    94% to make
    Punt
    32.8%−28.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4KSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 4:58OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:01KSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:04KSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:36OU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 9:33KSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:32OU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:57KSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 10:35OU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    56.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OUDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:5280% → 79%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
79.8%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 8 yds to the Okla 33Similar
Q1 14:40
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
79.8%
Samaje Perine run for 4 yds to the Okla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
79.7%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 8 yds to the Okla 45Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 2
OWN 45
-3
79.7%
Trevor Knight run for a loss of 3 yards to the Okla 42Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 5
OWN 42
-2
79.5%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Samaje Perine for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 40Similar
Q1 12:58
4TH & 7
OWN 40
0
79.3%
Jed Barnett punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Tyler Lockett at the KanSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 12 yds · 1:3221% → 21%
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+10
79.2%
Jake Waters pass complete to Curry Sexton for 10 yds to the KanSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
79.1%
Jake Waters pass incomplete to Tyler LockettSimilar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-3
79.0%
Jake Waters run for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 36Similar
Q1 11:30
3RD & 13
OWN 36
+5
79.0%
Jake Waters pass complete to Curry Sexton for 5 yds to the KanSt 41Similar
Q1 10:58
4TH & 8
OWN 41
0
78.9%
Nick Walsh punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Sterling Shepard at the Okla 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 3TD
13 plays · 79 yds · 5:4779% → 80%
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
78.8%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Michiah Quick for 4 yds to the Okla 25Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+5
78.7%
Trevor Knight run for 5 yds to the Okla 30Similar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+2
78.6%
Blake Bell run for 2 yds to the Okla 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
78.3%
Alex Ross run for 5 yds to the Okla 37Similar
Q1 8:44
2ND & 5
OWN 37
-15
78.4%
Knight, Trevor rush right for 3 yards to the OKLAHOMA40, PENALTY OKLAHOMA player disqualification (Ripkowski, Aaron) 15 yards to the OKLAHOMA22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:21
2ND & 20
OWN 22
+42
78.0%
Alex Ross run for 42 yds to the KanSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
78.4%
Cody Thomas pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 8 yds to the KanSt 28Similar
Q1 7:24
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+2
78.5%
Alex Ross run for 2 yds to the KanSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
78.2%
Cody Thomas pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 9 yds to the KanSt 17Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 1
OPP 17
+2
78.2%
Samaje Perine run for 2 yds to the KanSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
78.1%
Samaje Perine run for 8 yds to the KanSt 7Similar
Q1 5:11
2ND & 2
OPP 7
+5
78.0%
Cody Thomas run for 5 yds to the KanSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
80.4%
Samaje Perine 2 Yd Run (Michael Hunnicutt Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 4TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:5020% → 24%
Q1 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
79.6%
Jake Waters pass incomplete to Tyler Lockett, broken up by Zack SanchezSimilar
Q1 4:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
79.7%
Charles Jones run for 13 yds to the KanSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+62
76.2%
Glenn Gronkowski 62 Yd pass from Jake Waters (Matthew McCrane Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:3377% → 76%
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
76.6%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Samaje Perine for 9 yds to the Okla 29Similar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 1
OWN 29
0
77.0%
Samaje Perine run for no gain to the Okla 29Similar
Q1 2:45
3RD & 1
OWN 29
0
76.2%
Samaje Perine run for no gain to the Okla 29Similar
Q1 2:12
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
75.6%
Jed Barnett punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KanSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:3826% → 26%
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
74.3%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 7 yds to the Okla 47Similar
Q1 1:23
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+4
73.8%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 4 yds to the Okla 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
73.5%
Jake Waters pass complete to Tyler Lockett for 3 yds to the Okla 40Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 40
-7
73.4%
Jake Waters sacked by Dominique Alexander for a loss of 7 yards to the Okla 47Similar
Q2 14:45
3RD & 14
OPP 47
+8
74.4%
Jake Waters pass complete to Curry Sexton for 8 yds to the Okla 39Similar
Q2 14:12
4TH & 6
OPP 39
0
73.7%
Nick Walsh punt for 37 yds, downed at the Okla 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 7INT TD
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0575% → 69%
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 2
-1
74.8%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Delay of Game (NA) to the Okla 1Similar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 11
OWN 1
+5
68.9%
Danzel McDaniel 5 Yd Interception Return (Matthew McCrane Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 8TD
3 plays · 69 yds · 0:1669% → 76%
Q2 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+22
69.4%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Blake Bell for 22 yds to the KanSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+47
76.4%
Sterling Shepard 47 Yd pass from Trevor Knight (Michael Hunnicutt Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 9TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:5726% → 37%
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
74.1%
Jake Waters pass complete to Tyler Lockett for 4 yds to the KanSt 29Similar
Q2 12:44
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
73.4%
Charles Jones run for 6 yds to the KanSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+38
73.1%
Jake Waters pass complete to Tyler Lockett for 38 yds to the OKLAHOMA 27 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Eric Striker) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
70.9%
Charles Jones run for 2 yds to the Okla 25Similar
Q2 11:11
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+5
70.5%
Charles Jones run for 5 yds to the Okla 20Similar
Q2 11:01
3RD & 3
OPP 20
-5
71.0%
Waters, Jake pass complete to Lockett, Tyler for 20 yards to the OKLAHOMA0, PENALTY KANSASST ineligible downfield on pass (Whitehair, Cody) 5 yards to the OKLAHOMA25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:54
3RD & 8
OPP 25
+16
71.3%
Jake Waters pass complete to Tyler Lockett for 16 yds to the Okla 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
70.0%
Charles Jones run for no gain to the Okla 9Similar
Q2 9:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
69.3%
Jake Waters pass incomplete to Tyler Lockett, broken up by Zack SanchezSimilar
Q2 9:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
63.4%
Tyler Lockett 9 Yd pass from Jake Waters (Matthew McCrane Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 10FG
15 plays · 49 yds · 4:5566% → 65%
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
65.7%
Knight, Trevor rush for loss of 2 yards to the OKLAHOMA28, PENALTY KANSASST face mask (Johnson, Dakorey) 15 yards to the OKLAHOMA45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAHOMA. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
66.8%
Sterling Shepard run for 7 yds to the KanSt 48Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+4
67.1%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 4 yds to the KanSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
66.1%
Alex Ross run for 3 yds to the KanSt 41Similar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+2
65.4%
Samaje Perine run for 2 yds to the KanSt 39Similar
Q2 6:55
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+6
65.0%
Trevor Knight run for 6 yds to the KanSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
66.0%
Samaje Perine run for no gain to the KanSt 33Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 10
OPP 33
-1
65.6%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Sterling Shepard for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 34Similar
Q2 5:40
3RD & 11
OPP 34
+12
63.5%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 12 yds to the KanSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
64.8%
Samaje Perine run for 1 yd to the KanSt 21Similar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 9
OPP 21
0
64.4%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete, broken up by Dakorey JohnsonSimilar
Q2 4:29
3RD & 9
OPP 21
0
63.2%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Sterling ShepardSimilar
Q2 4:24
4TH & 9
OPP 21
+38
65.3%
Michael Hunnicutt 38 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 11PUNT
10 plays · -4 yds · 3:2636% → 36%
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
64.5%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 3 yds to the KanSt 28Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-1
63.8%
DeMarcus Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 27Similar
Q2 2:58
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+8
63.8%
Jake Waters run for 8 yds to the KanSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
61.3%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 2 yds to the KanSt 37Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 8
OWN 37
-5
61.4%
Jake Waters sacked by Geneo Grissom for a loss of 5 yards to the KanSt 32Similar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 13
OWN 32
-11
63.2%
Jake Waters sacked by Geneo Grissom for a loss of 11 yards to the KanSt 21Similar
Q2 0:34
4TH & 24
OWN 21
0
64.5%
Nick Walsh punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Zack Sanchez at the Okla 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 12DOWNS
6 plays · 42 yds · 0:2963% → 66%
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
62.8%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Austin BennettSimilar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+19
61.5%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Austin Bennett for 19 yds to the KanSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
64.0%
Trevor Knight pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+23
63.7%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Michiah Quick for 23 yds to the KanSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
65.8%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+32
65.7%
Michael Hunnicutt 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 13FG
9 plays · 65 yds · 3:0138% → 49%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+53
61.7%
Jake Waters run for 53 yds to the Okla 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
57.6%
Jake Waters run for 5 yds to the Okla 17Similar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+5
57.1%
Charles Jones run for 5 yds to the Okla 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-2
57.9%
Charles Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 14Similar
Q3 12:25
2ND & 12
OPP 14
+4
57.6%
Jake Waters pass complete to Curry Sexton for 4 yds to the Okla 10Similar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 8
OPP 10
0
57.5%
Jake Waters pass incomplete to Deante BurtonSimilar
Q3 11:48
4TH & 8
OPP 10
+27
51.4%
Matthew McCrane 27 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 14TD
8 plays · 64 yds · 1:5855% → 74%
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
54.9%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Dimitri Flowers for 16 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+28
57.7%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 28 yds to the KanSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
59.5%
Samaje Perine run for 6 yds to the KanSt 14Similar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+3
59.2%
Samaje Perine run for 3 yds to the KanSt 11Similar
Q3 10:30
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+5
57.4%
Samaje Perine run for 5 yds to the KanSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
58.9%
Samaje Perine run for 2 yds to the KanSt 4Similar
Q3 9:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
73.9%
Blake Bell 4 Yd pass from Trevor Knight (Michael Hunnicutt Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 15TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:2334% → 58%
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+38
65.8%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 38 yds to the Okla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
61.8%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 9 yds to the Okla 28Similar
Q3 8:07
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+3
60.2%
Charles Jones run for 3 yds to the Okla 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+21
60.0%
Jake Waters pass complete to Curry Sexton for 21 yds to the Okla 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
42.5%
Jake Waters 4 Yd Run (Matthew McCrane Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 16INT
10 plays · 42 yds · 3:3152% → 53%
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
52.4%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Sterling ShepardSimilar
Q3 6:36
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+11
51.0%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 11 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
53.7%
Samaje Perine run for 4 yds to the KanSt 44Similar
Q3 5:45
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+8
53.6%
Alex Ross run for 8 yds to the KanSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
53.0%
Trevor Knight run for 2 yds to the KanSt 34Similar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 8
OPP 34
-3
54.5%
Alex Ross run for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 37Similar
Q3 4:11
3RD & 11
OPP 37
+18
49.9%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Durron Neal for 18 yds to the KanSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
53.6%
Alex Ross run for 2 yds to the KanSt 17Similar
Q3 3:09
2ND & 8
OPP 17
0
53.2%
Durron Neal pass intercepted, touchback. Morgan Burns return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 41 yds · 3:0258% → 64%
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
41.7%
Charles Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 19Similar
Q3 2:20
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+5
41.5%
Jake Waters pass complete to Curry Sexton for 5 yds to the KanSt 24Similar
Q3 1:59
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+16
41.4%
Jake Waters pass complete to Tyler Lockett for 16 yds to the KanSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+18
37.0%
Jake Waters pass complete to Curry Sexton for 18 yds to the Okla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
35.6%
Charles Jones run for 3 yds to the Okla 39Similar
Q3 0:15
2ND & 7
OPP 39
0
34.7%
Jake Waters pass incomplete to Kody CookSimilar
Q3 0:09
3RD & 7
OPP 39
0
35.1%
Jake Waters pass incomplete to Judah JonesSimilar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 7
OPP 39
0
36.4%
Nick Walsh punt for 32 yds, downed at the Okla 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 18TD
13 plays · 93 yds · 4:2540% → 62%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-3
39.6%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (Blake Bell) to the Okla 4Similar
Q4 14:48
1ST & 13
OWN 4
+14
39.4%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 14 yds to the Okla 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
39.6%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 7 yds to the Okla 25Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+5
40.6%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Alex Ross for 5 yds to the Okla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+16
39.6%
Alex Ross run for 16 yds to the Okla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
42.0%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Blake Bell for 5 yds to the KanSt 49Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+6
43.1%
Samaje Perine run for 6 yds to the KanSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
39.5%
Samaje Perine run for no gain to the KanSt 43Similar
Q4 11:40
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+5
38.6%
Trevor Knight run for 5 yds to the KanSt 38Similar
Q4 11:06
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+6
38.1%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Durron Neal for 6 yds to the KanSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+23
40.9%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 23 yds to the KanSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
62.2%
Durron Neal 9 Yd pass from Trevor Knight (Michael Hunnicutt PAT blocked)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:2849% → 48%
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
50.6%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 4 yds to the KanSt 19Similar
Q4 9:47
2ND & 6
OWN 19
0
50.4%
Jake Waters pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:40
3RD & 6
OWN 19
0
50.3%
Jake Waters pass incomplete to Curry SextonSimilar
Q4 9:32
4TH & 6
OWN 19
0
52.2%
Nick Walsh punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Sterling Shepard at the Okla 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 20MISSED FG
13 plays · 68 yds · 5:0753% → 52%
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
53.3%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 7 yds to the Okla 37Similar
Q4 8:55
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+12
57.1%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 12 yds to the Okla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
58.3%
Samaje Perine run for 6 yds to the KanSt 45Similar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+17
59.1%
Samaje Perine run for 17 yds to the KanSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
60.9%
Samaje Perine run for 6 yds to the KanSt 22Similar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+3
60.8%
Durron Neal run for 3 yds to the KanSt 19Similar
Q4 7:12
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+2
57.7%
Trevor Knight run for 2 yds to the KanSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
60.0%
Samaje Perine run for 4 yds to the KanSt 13Similar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+9
59.5%
Samaje Perine run for 9 yds to the KanSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
59.2%
Samaje Perine run for 2 yds to the KanSt 2Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
59.0%
Samaje Perine run for 1 yd to the KanSt 1Similar
Q4 4:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
56.0%
Samaje Perine run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 2Similar
Q4 3:53
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
52.1%
Michael Hunnicutt 19 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 21END OF GAME
9 plays · 22 yds · 3:2063% → 85%
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
37.4%
Jake Waters run for 1 yd to the KanSt 21Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+6
35.0%
Jake Waters run for 6 yds to the KanSt 27Similar
Q4 2:18
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+6
37.3%
Jake Waters pass complete to Curry Sexton for 6 yds to the KanSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
30.8%
Charles Jones run for 3 yds to the KanSt 36Similar
Q4 1:39
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+9
26.7%
Charles Jones run for 9 yds to the KanSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
21.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 44Similar
Q4 0:25
2ND & 11
OWN 44
-2
15.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:35
Durron Neal 9 Yd pass from Trevor Knight (Michael Hunnicutt PAT blocked)
+21.3
TD · Q3 6:57
Jake Waters 4 Yd Run (Matthew McCrane Kick)
-17.5
TD · Q3 9:32
Blake Bell 4 Yd pass from Trevor Knight (Michael Hunnicutt Kick)
+15
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com