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OKST

Oklahoma State 9 at TCU 42

TCU
2014 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2014 · Amon G. Carter Stadium
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Win probability · TCU
modelTCU aheadOKST aheadconfidence bandkey playTCU scoreOKST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:43 · Kip Smith punt for 55 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 172Home team on offense+35.7Pregame prior+2.5Score differential+30.9Garbage-time factor+10.5Blowout margin+16.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:42: Josh Doctson 77 Yd pass from Trevone Boykin (Jaden Oberkrom Kick) — TCU win probability +2.2 pts (now 78%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 4:41: Josh Doctson 84 Yd pass from Trevone Boykin (Jaden Oberkrom Kick) — TCU win probability +4.0 pts (now 81%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 13:26: Ben Grogan 27 Yd Field Goal — OKST win probability +4.0 pts (now 22%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:53: B.J. Catalon 35 Yd Run (Jaden Oberkrom Kick) — TCU win probability +6.8 pts (now 91%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:49: Deante' Gray 22 Yd pass from Trevone Boykin (Jaden Oberkrom Kick) — TCU win probability +3.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TCU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8OKST made the numbers' call on 9 of 12
  1. Q1 12:03OKST 4th & 13 at OKST 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.8%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:29TCU 4th & 18 at TCU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.2%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:54OKST 4th & 11 at OKST 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:20OKST 4th & 11 at TCU 13, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.6%−0.5
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.1%
    85% to make
    Punt
    18.4%−2.7
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:17OKST 4th & 10 at OKST 25, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.1%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:26OKST 4th & 5 at TCU 10, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.3%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.4%
    88% to make
    Punt
    10.6%−5.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:33TCU 4th & 2 at TCU 20, up 15
    Close callPunted · 81.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.2%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:36OKST 4th & 4 at TCU 11, down 15
    Close callKicked a field goal · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.1%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.9%−0.2
    87% to make
    Punt
    15.0%−3.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:24TCU 4th & 2 at TCU 22, up 12
    Close callPunted · 82.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.7%−0.2
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:56OKST 4th & 2 at OKST 48, down 12
    Close callPunted · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.5%−0.8
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:53TCU 4th & 1 at OKST 35, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    83.3%−1.8
    45% to make
    Punt
    82.5%−2.6
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:57OKST 4th & 10 at OKST 15, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%−1.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.2%
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:23TCU 4th & 3 at OKST 31, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.3%−0.4
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.7%
    54% to make
    Punt
    91.0%−1.7
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:33OKST 4th & 7 at midfield, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  15. Q3 1:15OKST 4th & 2 at OKST 33, down 33
    Close callPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:31TCU 4th & 1 at OKST 4, up 33
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    65% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.6
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:23OKST 4th & 15 at OKST 5, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:18TCU 4th & 1 at OKST 46, up 33
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−0.3
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%−0.2
    average punt
  19. Q4 7:49TCU 4th & 11 at TCU 24, up 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  20. Q4 5:43OKST 4th & 7 at OKST 45, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TCU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 9:23TCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:42TCU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:41TCU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:53TCU Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:49TCU Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:41TCU Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OKSTDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:4425% → 25%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
75.1%
Desmond Roland run for 9 yds to the OKSt 34Similar
Q1 14:24
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+9
75.0%
Desmond Roland run for 9 yds to the OKSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-8
74.8%
Tyreek Hill run for a loss of 8 yards to the OKSt 35Similar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 18
OWN 35
+4
74.8%
Tyreek Hill run for 4 yds to the OKSt 39Similar
Q1 12:40
3RD & 14
OWN 39
+1
74.7%
Desmond Roland run for 1 yd to the OKSt 40Similar
Q1 12:03
4TH & 13
OWN 40
0
74.6%
Kip Smith punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Cameron Echols-Luper at the TCU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:2175% → 74%
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
74.5%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to B.J. Catalon for 4 yds to the TCU 24Similar
Q1 11:34
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+10
74.4%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Ty Slanina for 10 yds to the TCU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
74.4%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to David PorterSimilar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 10
OWN 34
-8
74.3%
Trevone Boykin sacked by Emmanuel Ogbah for a loss of 8 yards to the TCU 26Similar
Q1 10:39
3RD & 18
OWN 26
0
74.0%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to David PorterSimilar
Q1 10:29
4TH & 18
OWN 26
+3
73.9%
Ethan Perry punt for 45 yds , Tyreek Hill returns for 3 yds to the OKSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 3INT
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:2226% → 26%
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
74.0%
Desmond Roland run for 4 yds to the OKSt 36Similar
Q1 9:53
2ND & 6
OWN 36
0
73.7%
Daxx Garman pass intercepted Kevin White return for no gain to the OKSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 4TD
2 plays · 48 yds · 0:2575% → 76%
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+14
74.5%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Deante' Gray for 14 yds to the OKSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
76.1%
B.J. Catalon 34 Yd Run (Jaden Oberkrom Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:0625% → 24%
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
75.5%
Tyreek Hill run for 2 yds to the OKSt 21Similar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 8
OWN 21
0
75.5%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Jeremy SeatonSimilar
Q1 8:15
3RD & 8
OWN 21
-3
75.8%
Daxx Garman sacked by Davion Pierson for a loss of 3 yards to the OKSt 18Similar
Q1 7:54
4TH & 11
OWN 18
0
76.0%
Kip Smith punt for 59 yds, downed at the TCU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 6TD
1 play · 77 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q1 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+77
78.2%
Josh Doctson 77 Yd pass from Trevone Boykin (Jaden Oberkrom Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 7FG
7 plays · 62 yds · 2:1622% → 24%
Q1 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
77.7%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Tyreek Hill for 6 yds to the OKSt 31Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+57
77.8%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Brandon Sheperd for 57 yds to the TCU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-2
77.2%
Desmond Roland run for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 14Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 12
OPP 14
+1
77.4%
Desmond Roland run for 1 yd to the TCU 13Similar
Q1 5:40
3RD & 11
OPP 13
0
77.8%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Blake JarwinSimilar
Q1 5:20
4TH & 11
OPP 13
+30
76.1%
Ben Grogan 30 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 8TD
3 plays · 85 yds · 0:1977% → 81%
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
76.7%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Deante' Gray for 1 yd to the TCU 16Similar
Q1 4:41
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+84
80.7%
Josh Doctson 84 Yd pass from Trevone Boykin (Jaden Oberkrom Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:2019% → 19%
Q1 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
80.8%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to David Glidden, broken up by Davion PiersonSimilar
Q1 4:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
80.9%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to James Washington, broken up by Ranthony TexadaSimilar
Q1 4:25
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
81.0%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Marcell Ateman, broken up by Chris HackettSimilar
Q1 4:17
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
81.2%
Kip Smith punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Cameron Echols-Luper at the TCU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 10INT
5 plays · 25 yds · 1:1081% → 82%
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-4
81.1%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Kyle Hicks for a loss of 4 yards to the TCU 30Similar
Q1 3:39
2ND & 14
OWN 30
+15
81.1%
Trevone Boykin run for 15 yds to the TCU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
81.8%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Josh Doctson for 6 yds to the OKSt 49Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+8
81.9%
B.J. Catalon run for 8 yds to the OKSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
82.4%
Trevone Boykin pass intercepted James Castleman return for no gain to the OKSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 11FG
10 plays · 48 yds · 3:5418% → 22%
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
81.6%
Desmond Roland run for 12 yds to the TCU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
81.4%
Desmond Roland run for 5 yds to the TCU 41Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+11
81.5%
Daxx Garman pass complete to David Glidden for 11 yds to the TCU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-6
81.5%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Marcell Ateman for a loss of 6 yards to the TCU 36Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 16
OPP 36
+4
82.8%
Desmond Roland run for 4 yds to the TCU 32Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 12
OPP 32
+17
82.7%
Daxx Garman pass complete to David Glidden for 17 yds to the TCU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
81.8%
Desmond Roland run for 3 yds to the TCU 12Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 7
OPP 12
0
82.0%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Jhajuan Seales, broken up by Chris HackettSimilar
Q2 13:55
3RD & 7
OPP 12
+2
82.4%
Daxx Garman run for 2 yds to the TCU 10Similar
Q2 13:26
4TH & 5
OPP 10
+27
78.4%
Ben Grogan 27 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:3781% → 81%
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+8
81.4%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Ty Slanina for 8 yds to the TCU 20Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 2
OWN 20
0
81.6%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Deante' GraySimilar
Q2 12:41
3RD & 2
OWN 20
0
81.3%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to B.J. CatalonSimilar
Q2 12:33
4TH & 2
OWN 20
0
80.9%
Ethan Perry punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 13FG
11 plays · 59 yds · 4:5020% → 20%
Q2 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+16
80.5%
Daxx Garman pass complete to David Glidden for 16 yds to the OKSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
80.2%
Daxx Garman pass complete to David Glidden for 9 yds to the TCU 45Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+4
79.8%
Desmond Roland run for 4 yds to the TCU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
80.2%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Tyreek Hill, broken up by Chris HackettSimilar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+6
80.3%
Desmond Roland run for 6 yds to the TCU 35Similar
Q2 10:23
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+5
80.1%
Tyreek Hill run for 5 yds to the TCU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+13
80.2%
Tyreek Hill run for 13 yds to the TCU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
80.0%
Tyreek Hill run for 3 yds to the TCU 14Similar
Q2 8:55
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+3
80.1%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 3 yds to the TCU 11Similar
Q2 8:10
3RD & 4
OPP 11
0
81.0%
Desmond Roland run for no gain to the TCU 11Similar
Q2 7:36
4TH & 4
OPP 11
+28
80.3%
Ben Grogan 28 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:5682% → 82%
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
82.3%
B.J. Catalon run for 2 yds to the TCU 16Similar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+7
82.5%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Ty Slanina for 7 yds to the TCU 23Similar
Q2 6:35
3RD & 1
OWN 23
-1
82.1%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to B.J. Catalon for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 22Similar
Q2 6:24
4TH & 2
OWN 22
0
81.6%
Ethan Perry punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Tyreek Hill at the OKSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:1919% → 19%
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
81.1%
Desmond Roland run for no gain to the OKSt 27Similar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+13
81.7%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Jeremy Seaton for 13 yds to the OKSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
81.2%
Daxx Garman pass complete to David Glidden for 6 yds to the OKSt 46Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 4
OWN 46
0
80.7%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Jhajuan SealesSimilar
Q2 4:40
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+2
80.8%
Desmond Roland run for 2 yds to the OKSt 48Similar
Q2 3:56
4TH & 2
OWN 48
+4
81.5%
Kip Smith punt for 41 yds , Cameron Echols-Luper returns for 4 yds to the TCU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 16TD
7 plays · 85 yds · 1:5683% → 91%
Q2 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+19
83.2%
B.J. Catalon run for 19 yds to the TCU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+10
83.5%
Deante' Gray run for 10 yds to the TCU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+12
84.2%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Cameron Echols-Luper for 12 yds to the OKSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
84.7%
Kyle Hicks run for no gain to the OKSt 44Similar
Q2 2:23
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
84.8%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Josh DoctsonSimilar
Q2 2:16
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+9
84.2%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to David Porter for 9 yds to the OKSt 35Similar
Q2 1:53
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+35
91.1%
B.J. Catalon 35 Yd Run (Jaden Oberkrom Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 0:3311% → 11%
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
88.8%
Tyreek Hill run for 3 yds to the OKSt 18Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 7
OWN 18
-3
89.0%
Desmond Roland run for a loss of 3 yards to the OKSt 15Similar
Q2 1:06
3RD & 10
OWN 15
0
88.6%
Tyreek Hill run for no gain to the OKSt 15Similar
Q2 0:57
4TH & 10
OWN 15
+9
88.6%
Kip Smith punt for 37 yds , Cameron Echols-Luper returns for 9 yds to the OKSt 24 OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (NA) to the OKSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 18MISSED FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:2794% → 93%
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-2
93.5%
B.J. Catalon run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 40Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 12
OPP 40
+9
93.7%
Trevone Boykin run for 9 yds to the OKSt 31Similar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 3
OPP 31
0
93.4%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to B.J. CatalonSimilar
Q2 0:23
4TH & 3
OPP 31
+48
92.9%
Jaden Oberkrom 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 19END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
87.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 20TD
18 plays · 79 yds · 4:5793% → 98%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
92.7%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Kolby ListenbeeSimilar
Q3 14:42
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
92.7%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Ty SlaninaSimilar
Q3 14:30
3RD & 10
OWN 21
+15
92.6%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Josh Doctson for 15 yds to the TCU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
93.2%
Kyle Hicks run for 4 yds to the TCU 40Similar
Q3 13:55
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+5
93.4%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Josh Doctson for 5 yds to the TCU 45Similar
Q3 13:18
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+21
93.2%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Deante' Gray for 21 yds to the OKSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
93.8%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Kolby Listenbee, broken up by Kevin PetersonSimilar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+10
93.8%
Trevone Boykin run for 10 yds to the OKSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-10
93.8%
Boykin, Trevone pass incomplete to Doctson, Josh, PENALTY TCU holding (Vaitai, Halapoulivaati) 10 yards to the OKLAST34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 20
OPP 34
+9
94.0%
B.J. Catalon run for 9 yds to the OKSt 25Similar
Q3 11:38
2ND & 11
OPP 25
+14
94.2%
Kolby Listenbee run for 14 yds to the OKSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
94.4%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Cameron Echols-Luper for 3 yds to the OKSt 8Similar
Q3 10:53
2ND & 7
OPP 8
0
94.4%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete, broken up by Tre FlowersSimilar
Q3 10:50
3RD & 7
OPP 8
+3
94.3%
Boykin, Trevone pass incomplete to Doctson, Josh (Richards, Ramon), PENALTY OKLAST pass interference (Richards, Ramon) 3 yards to the OKLAST5, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TCU. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-10
94.5%
Catalon, B.J. rush for 2 yards to the OKLAST3, PENALTY TCU holding (Murphy, Cliff) 10 yards to the OKLAST15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
-7
94.8%
Trevone Boykin sacked by Emmanuel Ogbah for a loss of 7 yards to the OKSt 22Similar
Q3 9:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 22
+22
98.3%
Deante' Gray 22 Yd pass from Trevone Boykin (Jaden Oberkrom Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 1:131% → 1%
Q3 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.7%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Tyreek HillSimilar
Q3 9:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+22
98.7%
Tyreek Hill run for 22 yds to the OKSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
98.7%
Tyreek Hill run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 7
50
0
98.7%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Jhajuan SealesSimilar
Q3 8:40
3RD & 7
50
0
98.7%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Austin Hays, broken up by Derrick KindredSimilar
Q3 8:33
4TH & 7
50
0
98.8%
Kip Smith punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Cameron Echols-Luper at the TCU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 22TD
13 plays · 88 yds · 5:2998% → 100%
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
98.4%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to David Porter for 4 yds to the TCU 16Similar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 6
OWN 16
-5
98.5%
B.J. Catalon run for a loss of 5 yards to the TCU 11Similar
Q3 7:30
3RD & 11
OWN 11
+16
98.6%
Trevone Boykin run for 16 yds to the TCU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
98.7%
B.J. Catalon run for no gain to the TCU 27Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+8
98.8%
Trevone Boykin run for 8 yds to the TCU 35Similar
Q3 5:36
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+3
98.9%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Cameron Echols-Luper for 3 yds to the TCU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
99.1%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Ja'Juan Story for 5 yds to the TCU 43Similar
Q3 4:39
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+23
99.1%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Ty Slanina for 23 yds to the OKSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
99.2%
Aaron Green run for 7 yds to the OKSt 27Similar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+2
99.1%
Aaron Green run for 2 yds to the OKSt 25Similar
Q3 3:17
3RD & 1
OPP 25
-5
99.1%
TCU Penalty, False Start (Halapoulivaati Vaitai) to the OKSt 30Similar
Q3 2:57
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+26
99.2%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Josh Doctson for 21 yds to the OKSt 9 OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Sideline Interference (NA) to the OKSt 4Similar
Q3 2:41
4TH & -20
OPP 4
+4
99.6%
Aaron Green 4 Yd Run (Jaden Oberkrom Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:150% → 0%
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.7%
Tyreek Hill run for 5 yds to the OKSt 30Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
99.7%
Desmond Roland run for 4 yds to the OKSt 34Similar
Q3 1:30
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-1
99.7%
Desmond Roland run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 33Similar
Q3 1:15
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
99.7%
Kip Smith punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Cameron Echols-Luper at the TCU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 24DOWNS
10 plays · 70 yds · 3:29100% → 100%
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.7%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to David Porter for 5 yds to the TCU 25Similar
Q3 0:20
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+2
99.7%
B.J. Catalon run for 2 yds to the TCU 27Similar
Q4 14:45
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+39
99.7%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Kyle Hicks for 39 yds to the OKSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
99.8%
Trevone Boykin run for 4 yds to the OKSt 30Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 6
OPP 30
0
99.8%
Trevone Boykin pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:06
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+17
99.8%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Josh Doctson for 17 yds to the OKSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
99.8%
Aaron Green run for 6 yds to the OKSt 7Similar
Q4 13:18
2ND & 4
OPP 7
0
99.8%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Josh Doctson, broken up by Ryan SimmonsSimilar
Q4 13:05
3RD & 4
OPP 7
+3
99.8%
Aaron Green run for 3 yds to the OKSt 4Similar
Q4 12:31
4TH & 1
OPP 4
-6
99.8%
Trevone Boykin run for a loss of 6 yards to the OKSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:520% → 0%
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
99.9%
Desmond Roland run for 2 yds to the OKSt 12Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 8
OWN 12
-8
99.9%
Daxx Garman sacked by Chucky Hunter for a loss of 8 yards to the OKSt 4Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 16
OWN 4
0
99.9%
Daxx Garman run for no gain to the OKSt 4Similar
Q4 10:23
4TH & 15
OWN 5
0
99.9%
Kip Smith punt for 40 yds , Cameron Echols-Luper returns for no gain to the OKSt 45 TCU Penalty, Illegal Block (Sammy Douglas) to the TCU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:42100% → 100%
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
99.9%
Trevorris Johnson run for 4 yds to the TCU 49Similar
Q4 9:53
2ND & 6
OWN 49
0
99.9%
Matt Joeckel pass incomplete to Cameron Echols-LuperSimilar
Q4 9:30
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+5
99.9%
Matt Joeckel pass complete to Emanuel Porter for 5 yds to the OKSt 46Similar
Q4 9:18
4TH & 1
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Ethan Perry punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 27INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Daxx Garman pass intercepted Derrick Kindred return for no gain to the TCU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 28PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:11100% → 100%
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.9%
Trevorris Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 23Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Matt Joeckel pass incomplete to Charlie ReidSimilar
Q4 8:25
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+1
99.9%
Matt Joeckel run for 1 yd to the TCU 24Similar
Q4 7:49
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Ethan Perry punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 29PUNT
7 plays · 24 yds · 1:470% → 0%
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
99.9%
Desmond Roland run for 6 yds to the OKSt 27Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+2
99.9%
Desmond Roland run for 2 yds to the OKSt 29Similar
Q4 6:44
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+13
99.9%
Desmond Roland run for 13 yds to the OKSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
99.9%
Desmond Roland run for 3 yds to the OKSt 45Similar
Q4 5:57
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Chris LacySimilar
Q4 5:51
3RD & 7
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q4 5:43
4TH & 7
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Kip Smith punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 30END OF GAME
9 plays · 64 yds · 5:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
99.9%
Trevorris Johnson run for 3 yds to the TCU 23Similar
Q4 4:57
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+13
99.9%
Trevorris Johnson run for 13 yds to the TCU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
99.9%
Trevorris Johnson run for 7 yds to the TCU 43Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+6
99.9%
Kyle Hicks run for 6 yds to the TCU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
99.9%
Kyle Hicks run for 3 yds to the OKSt 48Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+10
99.9%
Trevorris Johnson run for 10 yds to the OKSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+16
100.0%
Trevorris Johnson run for 16 yds to the OKSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
100.0%
Kyle Hicks run for 5 yds to the OKSt 17Similar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+1
100.0%
Kyle Hicks run for 2 yd to the OKSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:53
B.J. Catalon 35 Yd Run (Jaden Oberkrom Kick)
+6.8
TD · Q1 4:41
Josh Doctson 84 Yd pass from Trevone Boykin (Jaden Oberkrom Kick)
+4
FG · Q2 13:26
Ben Grogan 27 Yd Field Goal
-4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com