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BAY

Baylor 27 at West Virginia 41

WVU
2014 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2014 · Milan Puskar Stadium
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Win probability · WVU
modelWVU aheadBAY aheadconfidence bandkey playWVU scoreBAY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:24 · Nick O'Toole punt for 34 yds , Levi Norwood returns for 1 yd to the WVirg 8 BAYLOR Penalty, Illegal Block (NA) to the 50 yard line
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 209Pregame prior−2.0Home team on offense+26.7Garbage-time factor+14.2Score differential+11.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+4.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:56: Andrew Buie run for 1 yd for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK) — WVU win probability +7.5 pts (now 38%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:21: Dreamius Smith run for 9 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK) — WVU win probability +12.2 pts (now 44%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:38: Shock Linwood run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chris Callahan KICK) — BAY win probability +23.7 pts (now 62%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:36: Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 12 yds for a TD BAYLOR Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Xavien Howard) declined, (Josh Lambert KICK) — WVU win probability +25.4 pts (now 82%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:35: Clint Trickett pass complete to Mario Alford for 39 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK) — WVU win probability +9.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WVU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7BAY made the numbers' call on 9 of 13
  1. Q1 11:04BAY 4th & 7 at BAY 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.3%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:39WVU 4th & 13 at WVU 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.1%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:29BAY 4th & 10 at WVU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.2%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.4%
    74% to make
    Punt
    67.3%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:33BAY 4th & 12 at WVU 17, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.0%−0.6
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.6%
    80% to make
    Punt
    65.4%−2.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:12WVU 4th & 6 at WVU 35, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.6%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:51BAY 4th & 7 at BAY 34, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.7%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:40BAY 4th & 7 at WVU 26, up 6
    Close callWent for it · 70.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.8%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    70.1%
    64% to make
    Punt
    67.5%−2.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:36WVU 4th & 7 at WVU 33, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.7%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:57BAY 4th & 10 at BAY 22, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.6%−1.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.4%
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:56BAY 4th & 8 at BAY 22, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.0%−1.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:30BAY 4th & 13 at BAY 40, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.9%−2.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:28WVU 4th & 5 at BAY 8, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.2%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.3%
    90% to make
    Punt
    45.8%−9.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:35BAY 4th & 7 at WVU 43, down 7
    Close callPunted · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    38.5%−1.8
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    40.0%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:29WVU 4th & 18 at WVU 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.4%−4.6
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:25WVU 4th & 19 at WVU 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.3%−7.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.5%
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:43BAY 4th & 16 at BAY 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.0%−7.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:57BAY 4th & 10 at BAY 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.5%−2.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.2%
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:28BAY 4th & 8 at BAY 45, down 14
    Close callPunted · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%−0.4
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:24WVU 4th & 11 at WVU 7, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.8%−1.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.0%
    average punt
  20. Q4 2:36BAY 4th & 18 at WVU 18, down 14
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.2 ptsWent for it · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.3%−1.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    4.5%
    79% to make
    Punt
    2.6%−1.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WVU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5BAY made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 14:01BAY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 12:02WVU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:56WVU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:25BAY Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:21WVU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:38BAY Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.9%−0.3
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:36WVU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.9%−0.8
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 7:35WVU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.2%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1FUMBLE
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:5124% → 25%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
24.4%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Mario AlfordSimilar
Q1 14:40
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+1
24.6%
Rushel Shell run for 1 yd to the WVirg 10Similar
Q1 14:04
3RD & 9
OWN 10
-7
24.8%
Clint Trickett sacked by Andrew Billings for a loss of 7 yards to the WVirg 7 Clint Trickett fumbled, forced by Andrew Billings, recovered by Bayl Shawn Oakman , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 2TD
1 play · 7 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q1 14:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
24.6%
Bryce Petty pass complete to Corey Coleman for 7 yds for a TD, (Chris Callahan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3TD
9 plays · 81 yds · 1:5325% → 26%
Q1 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-4
24.7%
Rushel Shell run for 6 yds to the WVirg 25 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (NA) to the WVirg 15Similar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 14
OWN 15
0
24.7%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Jordan ThompsonSimilar
Q1 13:25
2ND & 14
OWN 15
0
24.7%
Wendell Smallwood run for no gain to the WVirg 15Similar
Q1 13:15
3RD & 14
OWN 15
+23
24.7%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Wendell Smallwood for 23 yds to the WVirg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
24.9%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Jordan Thompson for 5 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+6
25.0%
Rushel Shell run for 6 yds to the WVirg 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
25.2%
Trickett, Clint pass incomplete to Shorts, Daikiel, PENALTY BAYLOR pass interference (Howard, Xavien) 15 yards to the BAYLOR36, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTVIR. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:02
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+36
26.2%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 36 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:5174% → 74%
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+13
25.9%
Bryce Petty pass complete to Antwan Goodley for 13 yds to the Bayl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
25.8%
Shock Linwood run for 3 yds to the Bayl 43Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
25.9%
Bryce Petty pass incomplete to Antwan GoodleySimilar
Q1 11:16
3RD & 7
OWN 43
0
26.0%
Bryce Petty pass incomplete to Clay FullerSimilar
Q1 11:04
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
26.3%
Spencer Roth punt for 56 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WVirg 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 2:2526% → 27%
Q1 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
26.3%
Wendell Smallwood run for 3 yds to the WVirg 4Similar
Q1 10:35
2ND & 7
OWN 4
+2
26.5%
Wendell Smallwood run for 2 yds to the WVirg 6Similar
Q1 10:15
3RD & 5
OWN 6
+5
26.5%
Andrew Buie run for 5 yds to the WVirg 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+15
27.0%
Trickett, Clint pass incomplete to White, Kevin, PENALTY BAYLOR pass interference (Howard, Xavien) 15 yards to the WESTVIR26, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTVIR. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
27.1%
Andrew Buie run for 8 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 2
OWN 34
-6
27.6%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Andrew Buie for a loss of 6 yards to the WVirg 28Similar
Q1 8:53
3RD & 8
OWN 28
0
27.1%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Kevin WhiteSimilar
Q1 8:46
4TH & 8
OWN 28
-5
27.0%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (NA) to the WVirg 23Similar
Q1 8:39
4TH & 13
OWN 23
0
27.0%
Nick O'Toole punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Levi Norwood at the Bayl 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 6FG
10 plays · 41 yds · 2:1073% → 72%
Q1 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
27.1%
Shock Linwood run for 1 yd to the Bayl 39Similar
Q1 8:17
2ND & 9
OWN 39
-5
27.3%
BAYLOR Penalty, False Start (NA) to the Bayl 34Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 14
OWN 34
+15
27.7%
Petty, Bryce pass incomplete to Coleman, Corey, PENALTY WESTVIR pass interference (Dillon, KJ) 15 yards to the BAYLOR49, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BAYLOR. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+20
27.2%
Shock Linwood run for 5 yds to the WESTVIR 46 for a 1ST down WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Illegal Use of Hands (NA) to the WVirg 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
27.0%
Bryce Petty pass incomplete to KD CannonSimilar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+10
27.1%
Shock Linwood run for 10 yds to the WVirg 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
27.1%
Bryce Petty pass incomplete to Corey ColemanSimilar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
27.2%
Bryce Petty run for no gain to the WVirg 21Similar
Q1 6:40
3RD & 10
OPP 21
0
27.8%
Bryce Petty pass incomplete to Antwan GoodleySimilar
Q1 6:29
4TH & 10
OPP 21
+38
27.8%
Chris Callahan 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7INT
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:2728% → 29%
Q1 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
27.8%
Dreamius Smith run for 10 yds to the WVirg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
27.8%
Dreamius Smith run for 4 yds to the WVirg 39Similar
Q1 5:40
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+3
28.6%
Dreamius Smith run for 3 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
Q1 5:02
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+15
28.7%
Clint Trickett pass intercepted Xavien Howard return for 15 yds to the WVirg 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 8FG
9 plays · 20 yds · 2:2972% → 73%
Q1 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+12
27.7%
Bryce Petty pass complete to Corey Coleman for 12 yds to the WVirg 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
27.5%
Bryce Petty pass incomplete to Antwan GoodleySimilar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+2
27.7%
Shock Linwood run for 2 yds to the WVirg 23Similar
Q1 4:30
3RD & 8
OPP 23
+8
28.1%
Bryce Petty pass complete to Antwan Goodley for 8 yds to the WVirg 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-2
27.7%
Shock Linwood run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 17Similar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 12
OPP 17
+5
28.0%
Bryce Petty run for 5 yds to the WVirg 12Similar
Q1 2:56
3RD & 7
OPP 12
-5
28.4%
BAYLOR Penalty, False Start (NA) to the WVirg 17Similar
Q1 2:45
3RD & 12
OPP 17
0
28.6%
Bryce Petty pass incomplete to Corey ColemanSimilar
Q1 2:33
4TH & 12
OPP 17
+34
27.3%
Chris Callahan 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:1328% → 28%
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-2
28.0%
Jordan Thompson run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 29Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 12
OWN 29
+8
27.9%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Jordan Thompson for 8 yds to the WVirg 37Similar
Q1 1:40
3RD & 4
OWN 37
-2
28.4%
Wendell Smallwood run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 35Similar
Q1 1:12
4TH & 6
OWN 35
0
27.7%
Nick O'Toole punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Levi Norwood at the Bayl 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 10FUMBLE
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2173% → 72%
Q1 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-3
27.4%
Shock Linwood run for a loss of 3 yards to the Bayl 28 Shock Linwood fumbled, recovered by Bayl Bryce Petty WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Personal Foul (NA) to the Bayl 28Similar
Q1 0:45
2ND & 13
OWN 28
+2
28.0%
Shock Linwood run for 2 yds to the Bayl 30Similar
Q1 0:10
3RD & 11
OWN 30
+4
28.4%
Bryce Petty pass complete to Levi Norwood for 4 yds to the Bayl 34Similar
Q2 14:51
4TH & 7
OWN 34
+36
28.5%
Spencer Roth punt for 36 yds , Daryl Worley returns for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 29 Daryl Worley fumbled, recovered by Bayl Jimmy LandesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 11DOWNS
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1173% → 73%
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
26.7%
Shock Linwood run for 6 yds to the WVirg 23Similar
Q2 14:20
2ND & 4
OPP 23
0
26.8%
Bryce Petty pass incomplete to Levi NorwoodSimilar
Q2 14:00
3RD & 4
OPP 23
-3
27.1%
Shock Linwood run for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 26Similar
Q2 13:40
4TH & 7
OPP 26
0
27.3%
Bryce Petty pass incomplete to Antwan GoodleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 12TD
9 plays · 74 yds · 2:4429% → 38%
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+37
28.7%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 37 yds to the Bayl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+10
30.4%
Wendell Smallwood run for 10 yds to the Bayl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+15
31.3%
Trickett, Clint pass incomplete to White, Kevin, PENALTY BAYLOR pass interference (Howard, Xavien) 15 yards to the BAYLOR12, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTVIR. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
31.4%
Wendell Smallwood run for no gain to the Bayl 12Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+3
30.8%
Wendell Smallwood run for 3 yds to the Bayl 9Similar
Q2 11:50
3RD & 7
OPP 9
+7
29.4%
Trickett, Clint pass incomplete to White, Kevin, PENALTY BAYLOR pass interference 7 yards to the BAYLOR2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTVIR. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
30.3%
Andrew Buie run for 1 yd to the Bayl 1Similar
Q2 10:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
37.7%
Andrew Buie run for 1 yd for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 13TD
8 plays · 90 yds · 2:3165% → 73%
Q2 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
35.0%
Bryce Petty pass complete to Corey Coleman for 9 yds to the Bayl 34Similar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+1
34.1%
Shock Linwood run for 1 yd to the Bayl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
34.8%
Bryce Petty run for 1 yd to the Bayl 36Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+15
35.0%
Petty, Bryce pass incomplete to Coleman, Corey, PENALTY BAYLOR pass interference 15 yards to the BAYLOR6, NO PLAY, PENALTY WESTVIR personal foul 15 yards to the BAYLOR36, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BAYLOR. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
35.1%
Bryce Petty run for 4 yds to the Bayl 40Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 6
OWN 40
-3
34.5%
Shock Linwood run for a loss of 3 yards to the Bayl 37Similar
Q2 8:25
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+63
27.3%
Bryce Petty pass complete to Antwan Goodley for 63 yds for a TD, (Chris Callahan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:4528% → 26%
Q2 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
28.2%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Andrew BuieSimilar
Q2 8:10
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+3
27.2%
Dreamius Smith run for 3 yds to the WVirg 33Similar
Q2 7:50
3RD & 7
OWN 33
0
27.0%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Mario AlfordSimilar
Q2 7:36
4TH & 7
OWN 33
0
26.3%
Nick O'Toole punt for 55 yds, downed at the Bayl 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 1:3973% → 72%
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+10
26.9%
Bryce Petty pass complete to KD Cannon for 10 yds to the Bayl 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-7
26.8%
Bryce Petty sacked by Shaquille Riddick for a loss of 7 yards to the Bayl 15Similar
Q2 6:45
2ND & 17
OWN 15
0
27.3%
Bryce Petty pass incomplete to KD CannonSimilar
Q2 6:40
3RD & 17
OWN 15
+7
27.6%
Bryce Petty pass complete to Corey Coleman for 7 yds to the Bayl 22Similar
Q2 5:57
4TH & 10
OWN 22
0
28.2%
Spencer Roth punt for 44 yds, downed at the WVirg 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 16TD
7 plays · 66 yds · 1:3628% → 44%
Q2 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+10
27.5%
Trickett, Clint pass incomplete to Alford, Mario, PENALTY BAYLOR holding (Reid, Ryan) 10 yards to the WESTVIR44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTVIR. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
28.8%
Dreamius Smith run for 11 yds to the Bayl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+22
29.8%
Dreamius Smith run for 7 yds to the Bayl 38 for a 1ST down BAYLOR Penalty, Illegal Use of Hands (NA) to the Bayl 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
30.8%
Dreamius Smith run for 6 yds to the Bayl 17Similar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 4
OPP 17
+8
30.8%
Dreamius Smith run for 8 yds to the Bayl 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
44.1%
Dreamius Smith run for 9 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:2561% → 58%
Q2 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
39.1%
Shock Linwood run for 1 yd to the Bayl 21Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+1
39.6%
Shock Linwood run for 1 yd to the Bayl 22Similar
Q2 3:20
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
41.0%
Bryce Petty pass incomplete to Clay FullerSimilar
Q2 2:56
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
42.3%
Spencer Roth punt for 69 yds, downed at the WVirg 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 18END OF HALF
12 plays · 54 yds · 2:5641% → 50%
Q2 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-2
41.0%
Dreamius Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 7Similar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 12
OWN 7
+1
40.8%
Dreamius Smith run for 1 yd to the WVirg 8Similar
Q2 2:18
3RD & 11
OWN 8
+18
41.5%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 18 yds to the WVirg 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+18
42.6%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Andrew Buie for 3 yds to the WVirg 29 for a 1ST down BAYLOR Penalty, Illegal Use of Hands (Shawn Oakman) to the WVirg 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
44.9%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 5 yds to the WVirg 49Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 5
OWN 49
-10
45.5%
Clint Trickett sacked by Taylor Young for a loss of 10 yards to the WVirg 39Similar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 15
OWN 39
+24
42.6%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Andrew Buie for 24 yds to the Bayl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
46.7%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Kevin WhiteSimilar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
46.7%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Mario AlfordSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+54
50.4%
Josh Lambert 54 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:3055% → 51%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
45.1%
Bryce Petty run for 3 yds to the Bayl 28 for a 1ST down WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Personal Foul (Dravon Henry) to the Bayl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-3
43.3%
Bryce Petty pass complete to Antwan Goodley for a loss of 3 yards to the Bayl 40Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 13
OWN 40
+5
45.5%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Noble Nwachukwu) to the Bayl 45Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+4
42.9%
Bryce Petty pass complete to Antwan Goodley for 4 yds to the Bayl 49Similar
Q3 13:15
3RD & 4
OWN 49
-9
43.0%
Bryce Petty sacked by Shaquille Riddick for a loss of 9 yards to the Bayl 40Similar
Q3 12:30
4TH & 13
OWN 40
+18
48.6%
Spencer Roth punt for 33 yds BAYLOR Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (NA) to the WVirg 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 20FG
9 plays · 50 yds · 3:0250% → 61%
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
49.6%
Wendell Smallwood run for 5 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+5
50.3%
Wendell Smallwood run for 5 yds to the Bayl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
51.2%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Jordan Thompson for 5 yds to the Bayl 43Similar
Q3 11:10
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+15
51.8%
Trickett, Clint pass incomplete to Alford, Mario, PENALTY BAYLOR pass interference (Burt, Terrell) 15 yards to the BAYLOR28, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTVIR. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+15
55.9%
Trickett, Clint pass incomplete to White, Kevin, PENALTY BAYLOR pass interference (Howard, Xavien) 15 yards to the BAYLOR13, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTVIR. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
56.2%
Andrew Buie run for 3 yds to the Bayl 10Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+3
56.6%
Andrew Buie run for 3 yds to the Bayl 7Similar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 4
OPP 7
-1
55.6%
Andrew Buie run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 8Similar
Q3 9:28
4TH & 5
OPP 8
+24
61.1%
Josh Lambert 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 1:5344% → 43%
Q3 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
56.5%
Devin Chafin run for 4 yds to the Bayl 37Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+17
56.0%
Bryce Petty run for 2 yds to the WVirg 39 for a 1ST down WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Personal Foul (Brandon Golson) to the WVirg 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
54.6%
Antwan Goodley run for 3 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 7
OPP 43
0
54.9%
Seth Russell pass incomplete to Antwan GoodleySimilar
Q3 7:50
3RD & 7
OPP 43
0
54.4%
Bryce Petty pass incomplete to Antwan GoodleySimilar
Q3 7:35
4TH & 7
OPP 43
0
57.5%
Spencer Roth punt for 28 yds, downed at the WVirg 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 22PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 3:0663% → 63%
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
62.7%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Mario AlfordSimilar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+13
62.4%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Mario Alford for 13 yds to the WVirg 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
63.9%
Dreamius Smith run for no gain to the WVirg 28Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
63.8%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Dreamius Smith for no gain to the WVirg 28Similar
Q3 6:00
3RD & 10
OWN 28
+15
62.9%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 15 yds to the WVirg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
67.9%
Andrew Buie run for 2 yds to the WVirg 45Similar
Q3 5:15
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+2
68.3%
Andrew Buie run for 2 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q3 4:55
3RD & 6
OWN 47
-12
67.0%
Clint Trickett sacked by Taylor Young for a loss of 12 yards to the WVirg 35Similar
Q3 4:29
4TH & 18
OWN 35
+57
62.9%
Nick O'Toole punt for 49 yds BAYLOR Penalty, Offensive Holding (NA) to the Bayl 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 23TD
11 plays · 92 yds · 3:5137% → 62%
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
62.7%
Devin Chafin run for 3 yds to the Bayl 11Similar
Q3 4:20
2ND & 7
OWN 11
+12
62.9%
Bryce Petty pass complete to Antwan Goodley for 12 yds to the Bayl 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+12
62.6%
Bryce Petty pass complete to Antwan Goodley for 12 yds to the Bayl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+42
61.1%
Bryce Petty pass complete to Corey Coleman for 42 yds to the WVirg 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
55.6%
Devin Chafin run for 8 yds to the WVirg 15Similar
Q3 2:50
2ND & 2
OPP 15
+4
55.9%
Devin Chafin run for 4 yds to the WVirg 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
56.3%
Petty, Bryce pass incomplete to Cannon, KD, PENALTY WESTVIR pass interference (Henry, Dravon) 9 yards to the WESTVIR2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BAYLOR. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
56.7%
Shock Linwood run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 3Similar
Q3 1:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
58.7%
Shock Linwood run for 2 yds to the WVirg 1Similar
Q3 1:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
61.5%
Linwood, Shock rush for no gain to the WESTVIR1, PENALTY WESTVIR offside (Dillon, KJ) 0 yards to the WESTVIR1, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
37.8%
Shock Linwood run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chris Callahan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:0648% → 46%
Q3 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+23
48.0%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 8 yds to the Bayl 36 for a 1ST down BAYLOR Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Xavien Howard) to the Bayl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
53.0%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Wendell SmallwoodSimilar
Q3 0:08
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+2
52.3%
Wendell Smallwood run for 2 yds to the Bayl 47Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 47
-5
51.3%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (NA) to the WVirg 48Similar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 13
OWN 48
-6
47.9%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Mario Alford for a loss of 6 yards to the WVirg 42Similar
Q4 14:25
4TH & 19
OWN 42
+1
45.6%
Nick O'Toole punt for 45 yds , Levi Norwood returns for 1 yd to the Bayl 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:4256% → 52%
Q4 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
44.4%
Devin Chafin run for 4 yds to the Bayl 18Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 6
OWN 18
+14
44.4%
Bryce Petty pass complete to Antwan Goodley for 14 yds to the Bayl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
42.5%
Bryce Petty pass incomplete to KD CannonSimilar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
43.7%
Bryce Petty pass incomplete to Levi NorwoodSimilar
Q4 13:20
3RD & 10
OWN 32
-6
45.9%
Bryce Petty sacked by Brandon Golson for a loss of 6 yards to the Bayl 26Similar
Q4 12:43
4TH & 16
OWN 26
+2
48.4%
Spencer Roth punt for 44 yds , Jordan Thompson returns for 2 yds to the WVirg 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 26TD
4 plays · 68 yds · 1:0750% → 82%
Q4 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+12
49.9%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 12 yds to the WVirg 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+42
54.0%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Andrew Buie for 42 yds to the Bayl 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
56.8%
Wendell Smallwood run for 2 yds to the Bayl 12Similar
Q4 11:36
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+12
82.2%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 12 yds for a TD BAYLOR Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Xavien Howard) declined, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 27PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 1:3926% → 22%
Q4 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
74.5%
Devin Chafin run for 3 yds to the Bayl 23Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+9
75.2%
Bryce Petty pass complete to Antwan Goodley for 9 yds to the Bayl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
74.0%
Devin Chafin run for 5 yds to the Bayl 37Similar
Q4 10:20
2ND & 5
OWN 37
0
72.6%
Bryce Petty pass incomplete to Antwan GoodleySimilar
Q4 10:10
3RD & 5
OWN 37
0
74.5%
Bryce Petty pass incomplete to Antwan GoodleySimilar
Q4 10:05
4TH & 5
OWN 37
-5
76.1%
BAYLOR Penalty, Delay of Game (NA) to the Bayl 32Similar
Q4 9:57
4TH & 10
OWN 32
0
77.7%
Spencer Roth punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jordan Thompson at the WVirg 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 28TD
9 plays · 78 yds · 2:2280% → 95%
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
80.4%
Wendell Smallwood run for 3 yds to the WVirg 25Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+7
80.6%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Mario Alford for 7 yds to the WVirg 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
81.3%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 8 yds to the WVirg 40Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+4
83.7%
Wendell Smallwood run for 4 yds to the WVirg 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
83.8%
Wendell Smallwood run for 3 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+14
83.9%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 14 yds to the Bayl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
85.3%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Daikiel ShortsSimilar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
85.2%
Dreamius Smith run for no gain to the Bayl 39Similar
Q4 7:35
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+39
94.8%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Mario Alford for 39 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 29PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 1:5910% → 8%
Q4 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-3
90.4%
Corey Coleman run for a loss of 3 yards to the Bayl 24Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 13
OWN 24
+19
91.8%
Levi Norwood run for 4 yds to the Bayl 28 for a 1ST down WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Personal Foul (Brandon Golson) to the Bayl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
90.6%
Bryce Petty pass incomplete to Levi NorwoodSimilar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-15
91.2%
BAYLOR Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Jay Lee) to the Bayl 28Similar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 25
OWN 28
+17
92.5%
Shock Linwood run for 17 yds to the Bayl 45Similar
Q4 5:45
3RD & 8
OWN 45
0
91.6%
Bryce Petty pass incomplete to KD CannonSimilar
Q4 5:28
4TH & 8
OWN 45
0
92.2%
Spencer Roth punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Jordan Thompson at the WVirg 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 30PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:0495% → 96%
Q4 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-1
95.4%
Wendell Smallwood run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 7Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 11
OWN 7
0
95.9%
Wendell Smallwood run for no gain to the WVirg 7Similar
Q4 4:39
3RD & 11
OWN 7
0
96.6%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Kevin WhiteSimilar
Q4 4:24
4TH & 11
OWN 7
+1
96.3%
Nick O'Toole punt for 34 yds , Levi Norwood returns for 1 yd to the WVirg 8 BAYLOR Penalty, Illegal Block (NA) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 31DOWNS
8 plays · 32 yds · 1:484% → 3%
Q4 4:24
1ST & 10
50
+5
96.2%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive Offside (NA) to the WVirg 45Similar
Q4 4:24
1ST & 5
OPP 45
+24
95.9%
Shock Linwood run for 24 yds to the WVirg 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
95.8%
Bryce Petty run for 6 yds to the WVirg 15Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+5
95.9%
Shock Linwood run for 5 yds to the WVirg 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
96.0%
Shock Linwood run for no gain to the WVirg 10Similar
Q4 3:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
96.0%
Bryce Petty pass incomplete to Jay LeeSimilar
Q4 3:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
-8
96.5%
Bryce Petty sacked by Shaquille Riddick for a loss of 8 yards to the WVirg 18Similar
Q4 2:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 18
0
97.0%
Bryce Petty pass incomplete to Jay LeeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 32END OF GAME
7 plays · 16 yds · 1:5198% → 99%
Q4 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-9
97.8%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (KJ Dillon) to the WVirg 9Similar
Q4 2:36
1ST & 19
OWN 9
+3
97.7%
Wendell Smallwood run for 3 yds to the WVirg 12Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 16
OWN 12
+13
98.2%
Wendell Smallwood run for 13 yds to the WVirg 25Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+6
98.5%
Wendell Smallwood run for 6 yds to the WVirg 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
98.6%
Wendell Smallwood run for 5 yds to the WVirg 36Similar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 5
OWN 36
-2
98.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:36
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 12 yds for a TD BAYLOR Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Xavien Howard) declined, (Josh Lambert KICK)
+25.4
TD · Q3 0:38
Shock Linwood run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chris Callahan KICK)
-23.7
TD · Q2 4:21
Dreamius Smith run for 9 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)
+12.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com