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KU

Kansas 21 at Texas Tech 34

TTU
2014 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2014 · Jones AT&T Stadium
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Win probability · TTU
modelTTU aheadKU aheadconfidence bandkey playTTU scoreKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 9:57 · Trevor Pardula punt for 41 yds , Cameron Batson returns for no gain to the TexTc 10 Cameron Batson fumbled, recovered by TexTc Justis Nelson
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.5+15.80−15.8−31.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 63Pregame prior+21.2Home team on offense+5.0Score differential+1.3Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:31: Justin McCay 16 Yd pass from Michael Cummings (Matthew Wyman Kick) — KU win probability +7.4 pts (now 20%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:34: Jimmay Mundine 21 Yd pass from Michael Cummings (Matthew Wyman Kick) — KU win probability +13.8 pts (now 28%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:10: Ian Sadler 6 Yd pass from Davis Webb (Ryan Bustin Kick) — TTU win probability +10.2 pts (now 92%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:03: Michael Cummings 1 Yd Run (Matthew Wyman Kick) — KU win probability +19.0 pts (now 31%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:21: Justin Stockton 21 Yd Run (Ryan Bustin Kick) — TTU win probability +10.5 pts (now 95%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TTU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9KU made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 12:53TTU 4th & 2 at KU 17, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 81.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.3%−0.1
    80% to make
    Punt
    80.9%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:16KU 4th & 17 at KU 41, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%−0.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:48TTU 4th & 4 at TTU 14, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.9%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:54KU 4th & 1 at TTU 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    19.7%−0.5
    47% to make
    Punt
    19.6%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:28KU 4th & 8 at TTU 20, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.3%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.6%
    75% to make
    Punt
    16.3%−2.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:34TTU 4th & 12 at KU 42, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.0%−0.4
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    81.0%−0.4
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    81.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:57KU 4th & 24 at KU 39, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.0%−1.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:23KU 4th & 3 at KU 32, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.4%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:52TTU 4th & 2 at KU 31, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    89.3%−0.8
    54% to make
    Punt
    88.1%−2.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:04KU 4th & 6 at KU 22, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.5%−0.7
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:11TTU 4th & 3 at KU 21, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.4%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.0%−0.5
    74% to make
    Punt
    79.0%−5.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:11TTU 4th & 1 at KU 5, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.8%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    76.8%−2.9
    92% to make
    Punt
    68.9%−10.9
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:50KU 4th & 14 at KU 21, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.7%−1.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.6%
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:39TTU 4th & 4 at TTU 42, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.8%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:12TTU 4th & 11 at TTU 32, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.1%−1.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:43KU 4th & 11 at KU 32, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:05TTU 4th & 1 at TTU 41, up 13
    Close callPunted · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.7%−0.7
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:44KU 4th & 14 at KU 29, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.4%
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.2%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TTU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4KU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 2:39TTU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:57TTU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:31KU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:34KU Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:10TTU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:03KU Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:21TTU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TTUDrive 1FG
8 plays · 58 yds · 1:5381% → 80%
Q1 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
80.6%
Davis Webb pass complete to Kenny Williams for 9 yds to the TexTc 34Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+41
80.5%
Davis Webb pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 41 yds to the Kans 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:56
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
80.5%
Davis Webb pass complete to Bradley Marquez for 8 yds to the Kans 17Similar
Q1 13:45
2ND & 2
OPP 17
-5
80.5%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, False Start (Jared Kaster) to the Kans 22Similar
Q1 13:12
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+5
80.4%
Davis Webb pass complete to Reginald Davis for 5 yds to the Kans 17Similar
Q1 12:58
3RD & 2
OPP 17
0
80.3%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Devin LauderdaleSimilar
Q1 12:53
4TH & 2
OPP 17
+34
80.3%
Ryan Bustin 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 2MISSED FG
11 plays · 0 yds · 3:1420% → 20%
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
80.2%
Tony Pierson run for 5 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q1 12:18
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
80.1%
Tony Pierson run for 4 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q1 11:40
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
80.0%
Corey Avery run for 2 yds to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
79.9%
Corey Avery run for 6 yds to the Kans 42Similar
Q1 10:56
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+6
79.6%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Jimmay Mundine for 6 yds to the Kans 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-17
79.5%
Cummings, Michael pass complete to Avery, Corey for 2 yards to the 50 yardline, PENALTY KANSAS illegal block 17 yards to the KANSAS33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:57
1ST & 25
OWN 33
-5
79.7%
KANSAS Penalty, False Start (NA) to the Kans 28Similar
Q1 9:57
1ST & 30
OWN 28
0
79.7%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Corey AverySimilar
Q1 9:39
2ND & 30
OWN 28
+13
79.7%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Jimmay Mundine for 13 yds to the Kans 41Similar
Q1 9:26
3RD & 17
OWN 41
0
79.7%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Nigel KingSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 3PUNT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q1 9:16
4TH & 17
OWN 41
+8
79.8%
Trevor Pardula punt for 52 yds , Cameron Batson returns for 8 yds to the TexTc 49 TEXAS TECH Penalty, Illegal Block (NA) to the TexTc 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:2180% → 79%
Q1 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
79.5%
Davis Webb pass complete to Justin Stockton for 2 yds to the TexTc 10Similar
Q1 8:54
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+4
79.3%
DeAndre Washington run for 4 yds to the TexTc 14Similar
Q1 8:23
3RD & 4
OWN 14
0
79.1%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to TEAMSimilar
Q1 7:48
4TH & 4
OWN 14
+5
78.8%
Taylor Symmank punt for 34 yds , Derrick Neal returns for 5 yds to the TexTc 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 5DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3621% → 21%
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
78.7%
De'Andre Mann run for 1 yd to the TexTc 42Similar
Q1 7:07
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+6
78.6%
De'Andre Mann run for 6 yds to the TexTc 36Similar
Q1 6:22
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+2
78.4%
Corey Avery run for 2 yds to the TexTc 34Similar
Q1 5:54
4TH & 1
OPP 34
0
78.6%
Corey Avery run for no gain to the TexTc 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 6TD
12 plays · 66 yds · 2:4979% → 82%
Q1 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
78.7%
Justin Stockton run for 9 yds to the TexTc 43Similar
Q1 5:23
2ND & 1
OWN 43
0
79.2%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Bradley MarquezSimilar
Q1 5:17
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+1
79.0%
Kenny Williams run for 1 yd to the TexTc 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
79.1%
DeAndre Washington run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:37
2ND & 4
50
+11
79.1%
Davis Webb pass complete to Ian Sadler for 11 yds to the Kans 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
79.2%
Jakeem Grant run for 7 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q1 3:56
2ND & 3
OPP 32
0
79.3%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Bradley MarquezSimilar
Q1 3:47
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+8
78.9%
Quinton White run for 8 yds to the Kans 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
79.2%
Davis Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:33
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+16
79.2%
Davis Webb pass complete to DeAndre Washington for 16 yds to the Kans 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
79.2%
Davis Webb pass complete to Jakeem Grant for a loss of 5 yards to the Kans 13Similar
Q1 2:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+13
81.6%
Reginald Davis 13 Yd pass from Davis Webb (Ryan Bustin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 7MISSED FG
7 plays · 55 yds · 2:0219% → 20%
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
80.7%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Nigel King for 16 yds to the Kans 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+37
80.3%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Nick Harwell for 37 yds to the TexTc 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
79.5%
De'Andre Mann run for 2 yds to the TexTc 20Similar
Q1 1:23
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+2
79.4%
De'Andre Mann run for 2 yds to the TexTc 18Similar
Q1 0:57
3RD & 6
OPP 18
-2
79.8%
Michael Cummings run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 20Similar
Q1 0:28
4TH & 8
OPP 20
+37
80.5%
Matthew Wyman 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 38 yds · 1:4181% → 80%
Q1 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
80.8%
Davis Webb pass complete to Justin Stockton for 12 yds to the TexTc 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+28
80.9%
DeAndre Washington run for 28 yds to the Kans 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
81.5%
Jakeem Grant run for 2 yds to the Kans 38Similar
Q2 14:29
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+1
81.5%
Davis Webb pass complete to Bradley Marquez for 1 yd to the Kans 37Similar
Q2 13:58
3RD & 7
OPP 37
0
81.2%
Davis Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:42
4TH & 7
OPP 37
-5
80.6%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Illegal Formation (NA) to the Kans 42Similar
Q2 13:34
4TH & 12
OPP 42
0
80.2%
Taylor Symmank punt for 28 yds, downed at the Kans 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 9FUMBLE
9 plays · 25 yds · 3:3019% → 18%
Q2 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+17
81.1%
Corey Avery run for 17 yds to the Kans 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
80.8%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Corey Avery for 3 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+9
80.7%
Corey Avery run for 9 yds to the Kans 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
80.4%
Corey Avery run for 6 yds to the Kans 49Similar
Q2 12:37
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+4
80.1%
Michael Cummings run for 4 yds to the TexTc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
79.9%
Michael Cummings pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:41
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
80.0%
De'Andre Mann run for no gain to the TexTc 47Similar
Q2 11:12
3RD & 10
OPP 47
-14
80.4%
Michael Cummings sacked by Sam Eguavoen for a loss of 14 yards to the Kans 39 Michael Cummings fumbled, recovered by Kans Larry Mazyck , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 9:57
4TH & 24
OWN 39
0
81.9%
Trevor Pardula punt for 41 yds , Cameron Batson returns for no gain to the TexTc 10 Cameron Batson fumbled, recovered by TexTc Justis NelsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 10TD
9 plays · 90 yds · 2:5381% → 89%
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+13
80.8%
Davis Webb pass complete to Dylan Cantrell for 13 yds to the TexTc 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
80.9%
Kenny Williams run for no gain to the TexTc 23Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
80.8%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Bradley MarquezSimilar
Q2 9:04
3RD & 10
OWN 23
+28
80.3%
Davis Webb pass complete to Bradley Marquez for 28 yds to the Kans 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+13
81.8%
Davis Webb pass complete to Bradley Marquez for 13 yds to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
81.9%
Jakeem Grant run for 2 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+22
82.5%
Davis Webb pass complete to Dylan Cantrell for 10 yds to the Kans 24 for a 1ST down KANSAS Penalty, Face Mask (12 yards) (NA) to the Kans 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
82.6%
DeAndre Washington run for 4 yds to the Kans 8Similar
Q2 6:57
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+8
89.3%
Bradley Marquez 8 Yd pass from Davis Webb (Ryan Bustin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2812% → 12%
Q2 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.6%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Jimmay MundineSimilar
Q2 6:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
87.8%
De'Andre Mann run for 9 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q2 6:09
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-2
87.4%
De'Andre Mann run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 32Similar
Q2 5:23
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+2
88.1%
Trevor Pardula punt for 55 yds , Cameron Batson returns for 2 yds to the TexTc 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 12INT
6 plays · 54 yds · 2:1789% → 90%
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+12
89.4%
Davis Webb pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 12 yds to the TexTc 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+34
89.7%
DeAndre Washington run for 34 yds to the Kans 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-10
90.2%
Davis Webb pass complete to Davis Webb for a loss of 10 yards to the Kans 49Similar
Q2 4:00
2ND & 20
OPP 49
+15
90.1%
Davis Webb pass complete to Ian Sadler for 15 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q2 3:23
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+3
90.1%
Davis Webb pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 3 yds to the Kans 31Similar
Q2 2:52
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+37
89.7%
Davis Webb pass intercepted Ben Heeney return for 37 yds to the TexTc 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 13TD
8 plays · 39 yds · 2:1312% → 20%
Q2 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
87.7%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Nick Harwell for 1 yd to the TexTc 38Similar
Q2 2:12
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+7
87.9%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Corey Avery for 7 yds to the TexTc 31Similar
Q2 1:49
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+3
87.2%
Michael Cummings run for 3 yds to the TexTc 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
86.7%
De'Andre Mann run for 3 yds to the TexTc 25Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+2
86.8%
Michael Cummings run for 2 yds to the TexTc 23Similar
Q2 0:43
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+7
87.8%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Nick Harwell for 7 yds to the TexTc 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
80.3%
Justin McCay 16 Yd pass from Michael Cummings (Matthew Wyman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
84.2%
DeAndre Washington run for no gain to the TexTc 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:3318% → 16%
Q3 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
82.1%
De'Andre Mann run for 3 yds to the Kans 21Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+6
82.3%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Jimmay Mundine for 6 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q3 13:37
3RD & 1
OWN 27
-5
83.3%
De'Andre Mann run for a loss of 5 yards to the Kans 22Similar
Q3 13:04
4TH & 6
OWN 22
0
84.5%
Trevor Pardula punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kans 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 16FG
8 plays · 23 yds · 1:4385% → 88%
Q3 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
85.0%
DeAndre Washington run for 8 yds to the Kans 36Similar
Q3 12:39
2ND & 2
OPP 36
0
85.0%
Davis Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:32
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+8
84.4%
Quinton White run for 8 yds to the Kans 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
85.2%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Devin LauderdaleSimilar
Q3 12:01
2ND & 10
OPP 28
-5
85.2%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, False Start (Jared Kaster) to the Kans 33Similar
Q3 11:57
2ND & 15
OPP 33
0
84.8%
Davis Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:46
3RD & 15
OPP 33
+12
83.9%
Davis Webb pass complete to Bradley Marquez for 12 yds to the Kans 21Similar
Q3 11:11
4TH & 3
OPP 21
+38
87.9%
Ryan Bustin 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 17INT
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:1812% → 13%
Q3 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
88.0%
Corey Avery run for 4 yds to the Kans 29Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
87.4%
Michael Cummings pass intercepted J.J. Gaines return for no gain to the TexTc 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 18FUMBLE
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:2089% → 89%
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
88.9%
Justin Stockton run for 4 yds to the TexTc 34Similar
Q3 10:08
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+6
89.1%
DeAndre Washington run for 6 yds to the TexTc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
89.7%
Davis Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:26
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
89.6%
Davis Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:17
3RD & 10
OWN 40
-13
89.1%
Davis Webb sacked by Michael Reynolds for a loss of 13 yards to the TexTc 27 Davis Webb fumbled, forced by Michael Reynolds, recovered by Kans Victor Simmons , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 19TD
2 plays · 27 yds · 0:3314% → 28%
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
85.7%
Corey Avery run for 6 yds to the TexTc 21Similar
Q3 8:34
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+21
71.9%
Jimmay Mundine 21 Yd pass from Michael Cummings (Matthew Wyman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 20TD
10 plays · 63 yds · 3:0680% → 92%
Q3 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
79.5%
DeAndre Washington run for 11 yds to the TexTc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
80.7%
DeAndre Washington run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 7:35
2ND & 8
50
+36
80.7%
Davis Webb pass complete to Ian Sadler for 36 yds to the Kans 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
81.2%
DeAndre Washington run for 2 yds to the Kans 12Similar
Q3 7:03
2ND & 8
OPP 12
0
81.2%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Ian SadlerSimilar
Q3 6:43
3RD & 8
OPP 12
+7
80.4%
Davis Webb pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 7 yds to the Kans 5Similar
Q3 6:11
4TH & 1
OPP 5
+2
79.3%
Kenny Williams run for 2 yds to the Kans 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-3
81.3%
DeAndre Washington run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kans 6Similar
Q3 5:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
91.5%
Ian Sadler 6 Yd pass from Davis Webb (Ryan Bustin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:1211% → 10%
Q3 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.9%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Nigel KingSimilar
Q3 4:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
89.3%
De'Andre Mann run for 1 yd to the Kans 26Similar
Q3 4:10
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-5
89.6%
KANSAS Penalty, False Start (Pat Lewandowski) to the Kans 21Similar
Q3 4:01
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
89.8%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Nick HarwellSimilar
Q3 3:50
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
90.0%
Trevor Pardula punt for 43 yds, downed at the TexTc 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0192% → 91%
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
91.5%
DeAndre Washington run for 1 yd to the TexTc 37Similar
Q3 3:09
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+5
91.5%
Davis Webb pass complete to Brad Pearson for 5 yds to the TexTc 42Similar
Q3 2:47
3RD & 4
OWN 42
0
91.8%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Ian SadlerSimilar
Q3 2:39
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
91.3%
Taylor Symmank punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Derrick Neal at the Kans 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 23TD
7 plays · 81 yds · 2:2410% → 31%
Q3 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
89.6%
Corey Avery run for 4 yds to the Kans 23Similar
Q3 2:07
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+11
89.7%
Michael Cummings run for 11 yds to the Kans 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+24
89.2%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Jimmay Mundine for 24 yds to the TexTc 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
88.9%
Michael Cummings run for 5 yds to the TexTc 37Similar
Q3 0:55
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+35
88.7%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Nigel King for 35 yds to the TexTc 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
88.0%
Corey Avery run for 1 yd to the TexTc 1Similar
Q3 0:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
69.0%
Michael Cummings 1 Yd Run (Matthew Wyman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 24TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 1:3482% → 95%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
81.5%
Davis Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+18
81.2%
DeAndre Washington run for 18 yds to the TexTc 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
83.5%
Davis Webb pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 15 yds to the Kans 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
83.8%
DeAndre Washington run for 4 yds to the Kans 35Similar
Q4 13:44
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+14
84.2%
DeAndre Washington run for 14 yds to the Kans 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
94.6%
Justin Stockton 21 Yd Run (Ryan Bustin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 25FUMBLE
11 plays · 38 yds · 3:069% → 6%
Q4 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-4
91.5%
Michael Cummings sacked by Rika Levi and Keland McElrath for a loss of 4 yards to the Kans 25Similar
Q4 12:23
2ND & 13
OWN 25
+18
92.2%
Michael Cummings run for 18 yds to the Kans 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
91.1%
Corey Avery run for 2 yds to the Kans 45Similar
Q4 11:28
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+3
91.0%
Corey Avery run for 3 yds to the Kans 48Similar
Q4 10:41
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+12
94.2%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Jimmay Mundine for 12 yds to the TexTc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
94.5%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Justin McCaySimilar
Q4 10:12
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+8
94.5%
Corey Avery run for 8 yds to the TexTc 32Similar
Q4 9:52
3RD & 2
OPP 32
-1
93.9%
Corey Avery run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 33 Corey Avery fumbled, forced by Branden Jackson, recovered by TexTc Branden JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:2896% → 96%
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-3
95.9%
DeAndre Washington run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexTc 30Similar
Q4 9:36
2ND & 13
OWN 30
+4
95.7%
Davis Webb pass complete to DeAndre Washington for 4 yds to the TexTc 34Similar
Q4 8:58
3RD & 9
OWN 34
-2
96.0%
Davis Webb pass complete to Reginald Davis for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 32Similar
Q4 8:12
4TH & 11
OWN 32
+6
96.0%
Taylor Symmank punt for 51 yds , Derrick Neal returns for 6 yds to the Kans 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 27PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:185% → 4%
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
95.4%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Jimmay Mundine for no gain to the Kans 23Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+10
95.6%
De'Andre Mann run for 10 yds to the Kans 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
95.1%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Nick HarwellSimilar
Q4 7:03
2ND & 10
OWN 33
-5
95.4%
Michael Cummings pass complete to De'Andre Mann for a loss of 5 yards to the Kans 28Similar
Q4 6:35
3RD & 15
OWN 28
+4
95.9%
Michael Cummings pass complete to De'Andre Mann for 4 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q4 5:43
4TH & 11
OWN 32
-3
96.3%
Trevor Pardula punt for 57 yds , Cameron Batson returns for a loss of 3 yards to the TexTc 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 28PUNT
10 plays · 33 yds · 3:1897% → 98%
Q4 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+13
96.8%
DeAndre Washington run for 13 yds to the TexTc 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
97.0%
DeAndre Washington run for 2 yds to the TexTc 23Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+5
97.2%
Kenny Williams run for 5 yds to the TexTc 28Similar
Q4 4:13
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+4
97.9%
DeAndre Washington run for 4 yds to the TexTc 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
98.2%
DeAndre Washington run for 5 yds to the TexTc 37Similar
Q4 3:30
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+1
98.4%
DeAndre Washington run for 1 yd to the TexTc 38Similar
Q4 2:48
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+3
98.4%
DeAndre Washington run for 3 yds to the TexTc 41Similar
Q4 2:05
4TH & 1
OWN 41
0
98.4%
Taylor Symmank punt for 58 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kans 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 29DOWNS
8 plays · 28 yds · 1:161% → 1%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+11
98.6%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Ben Johnson for 11 yds to the Kans 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+7
98.6%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Justin McCay for 7 yds to the Kans 19Similar
Q4 1:35
2ND & 3
OWN 19
+14
98.5%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Ben Johnson for 14 yds to the Kans 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
98.4%
Michael Cummings pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:18
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
98.5%
Michael Cummings pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:58
3RD & 10
OWN 33
-4
98.7%
Michael Cummings sacked by Pete Robertson for a loss of 4 yards to the Kans 29Similar
Q4 0:44
4TH & 14
OWN 29
0
98.7%
Michael Cummings pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 30END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
99.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:03
Michael Cummings 1 Yd Run (Matthew Wyman Kick)
-19
TD · Q3 8:34
Jimmay Mundine 21 Yd pass from Michael Cummings (Matthew Wyman Kick)
-13.8
TD · Q4 13:21
Justin Stockton 21 Yd Run (Ryan Bustin Kick)
+10.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com