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OKST

Oklahoma State 27 at Kansas 20

KU
2014 · Week 7 · Oct 11, 2014 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · KU
modelKU aheadOKST aheadconfidence bandkey playKU scoreOKST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of GameFG+2KU 15.0%Matthew Wyman 21 yd FG GOODAWAY 20 - HOME 10 · Q3 3:08
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 3:08 · Matthew Wyman 21 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+40.5+20.30−20.3−40.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 136Pregame prior−16.9Home team on offense−13.7Garbage-time factor−5.6Score differential−6.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:26: Daxx Garman pass complete to Jhajuan Seales for 7 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK) — OKST win probability +5.5 pts (now 91%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 14:13: Corey Avery 23 Yd Run (Matthew Wyman Kick) — KU win probability +20.0 pts (now 38%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  3. TD · Q4 14:13: KANSAS Penalty, Offensive Offside (-5 Yards) to the Kans 30 — OKST win probability +4.8 pts (now 67%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 6:55: Matthew Wyman 35 yd FG GOOD — KU win probability +18.0 pts (now 52%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:43: Tyreek Hill 99 Yd Kickoff Return (Ben Grogan Kick) — OKST win probability +33.8 pts (now 82%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KU made the numbers' call on 8 of 12OKST made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 14:00OKST 4th & 11 at OKST 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.4%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:28KU 4th & 11 at KU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.1%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:36OKST 4th & 4 at KU 26, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 87.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.6%−<0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    87.2%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:49KU 4th & 21 at KU 10, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%−0.7
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:50OKST 4th & 1 at KU 17, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    82.4%−0.7
    80% to make
    Punt
    80.4%−2.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:55OKST 4th & 5 at KU 7, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.8%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    79.2%−2.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:19KU 4th & 9 at OKST 34, down 6
    Close callWent for it · 17.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.4%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    17.4%
    47% to make
    Punt
    17.0%−0.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:56OKST 4th & 15 at OKST 23, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.6%−1.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:24KU 4th & 6 at KU 37, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.1%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:13OKST 4th & 4 at KU 16, up 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 82.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.4%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.2%−0.3
    81% to make
    Punt
    78.8%−3.6
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:25KU 4th & 20 at KU 10, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.0%−2.1
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:35KU 4th & 3 at KU 27, down 13
    Close callPunted · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.7%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:27KU 4th & 7 at OKST 46, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.2%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    13.4%−0.8
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    14.2%
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:38OKST 4th & 8 at OKST 5, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.7%−1.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.4%
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:54KU 4th & 10 at OKST 25, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.9%
    66% to make
    Punt
    10.9%−3.0
    average punt
  16. Q3 3:08KU 4th & 4 at OKST 4, down 13
    Close callKicked a field goal · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.7%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    9.9%−4.2
    average punt
  17. Q3 0:17OKST 4th & 4 at KU 48, up 10
    Close callPunted · 84.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.5%−0.7
    average punt
  18. Q4 11:51OKST 4th & 19 at OKST 49, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.3%−5.0
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.2%
    average punt
  19. Q4 7:50KU 4th & 2 at OKST 44, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    30.4%−5.0
    27% to make
    Punt
    30.8%−4.7
    average punt
  20. Q4 6:55KU 4th & 1 at OKST 18, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 36.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.7%−1.0
    79% to make
    Punt
    18.9%−17.8
    average punt
  21. Q4 4:59KU 4th & 15 at KU 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.6%−1.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.9%
    average punt
  22. Q4 2:04OKST 4th & 2 at OKST 46, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 88.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.8%−1.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2OKST made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 5:10KU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:48OKST Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:26OKST Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:13KU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:43OKST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OKSTDrive 1DOWNS
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:4291% → 90%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
9.5%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Marcell AtemanSimilar
Q1 14:35
2ND & 10
OWN 34
-1
9.6%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Jhajuan Seales for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 33Similar
Q1 14:08
3RD & 11
OWN 33
0
9.8%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Jhajuan SealesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 2PUNT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q1 14:00
4TH & 11
OWN 33
0
9.9%
Kip Smith punt for 41 yds, downed at the Kans 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:1710% → 10%
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
10.0%
De'Andre Mann run for 3 yds to the Kans 29Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+6
10.1%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Nick Harwell for 6 yds to the Kans 35Similar
Q1 13:06
3RD & 1
OWN 35
-5
10.2%
KANSAS Penalty, False Start (Mike Smithburg) to the Kans 30Similar
Q1 12:48
3RD & 6
OWN 30
0
10.3%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Nick HarwellSimilar
Q1 12:48
4TH & 6
OWN 30
-5
10.3%
KANSAS Penalty, False Start (Ben Heeney) to the Kans 25Similar
Q1 12:28
4TH & 11
OWN 25
0
10.4%
Trevor Pardula punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Tyreek Hill at the OKSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 4FG
8 plays · 52 yds · 2:3990% → 89%
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
10.5%
Desmond Roland run for no gain to the OKSt 22Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+24
10.7%
Daxx Garman pass complete to David Glidden for 24 yds to the OKSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
10.7%
Daxx Garman run for 7 yds to the Kans 47Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+15
10.9%
Garman, Daxx pass incomplete to Hill, Tyreek, PENALTY KANSAS pass interference (Boateng, Matthew) 15 yards to the KANSAS32, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAST. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-3
11.0%
Desmond Roland run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kans 35Similar
Q1 10:25
2ND & 13
OPP 35
0
11.1%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Tyreek HillSimilar
Q1 10:15
3RD & 13
OPP 35
+9
11.3%
Desmond Roland run for 9 yds to the Kans 26Similar
Q1 9:36
4TH & 4
OPP 26
+43
11.5%
Ben Grogan 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 5TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:0512% → 15%
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
11.7%
Tony Pierson run for 4 yds to the Kans 29Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
11.8%
Tony Pierson run for 5 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q1 8:26
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
12.0%
De'Andre Mann run for 2 yds to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
12.2%
Tony Pierson run for 9 yds to the Kans 45Similar
Q1 7:40
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+2
12.6%
Tony Pierson run for 2 yds to the Kans 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+51
12.7%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Nick Harwell for 51 yds to the OKSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
13.1%
KANSAS Penalty, False Start (Nigel King) to the OKSt 7Similar
Q1 6:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
13.3%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Ofa Hautau) to the OKSt 3Similar
Q1 6:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
13.6%
Michael Cummings run for 2 yds to the OKSt 1Similar
Q1 5:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
13.8%
De'Andre Mann run for no gain to the OKSt 1Similar
Q1 5:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
15.0%
Michael Cummings run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew Wyman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 6TD
6 plays · 48 yds · 1:1786% → 86%
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
14.1%
Daxx Garman pass complete to David Glidden for 7 yds to the Kans 41Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+4
14.2%
Desmond Roland run for 4 yds to the Kans 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
14.6%
Desmond Roland run for 4 yds to the Kans 33Similar
Q1 3:55
2ND & 6
OPP 33
0
14.5%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Jhajuan Seales, broken up by Matthew BoatengSimilar
Q1 3:48
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+33
13.6%
Desmond Roland run for 33 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 2:3114% → 15%
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
14.0%
Tony Pierson run for 7 yds to the Kans 17Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 3
OWN 17
+4
14.1%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Tony Pierson for 4 yds to the Kans 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-11
14.1%
Tony Pierson run for a loss of 11 yards to the Kans 10 Tony Pierson fumbled, recovered by KansSimilar
Q1 2:13
2ND & 21
OWN 10
+5
14.4%
Michael Cummings run for 5 yds to the Kans 15Similar
Q1 1:45
3RD & 16
OWN 15
-5
14.4%
Michael Cummings sacked by TEAM for a loss of 5 yards to the Kans 10 Michael Cummings fumbled, recovered by Kans Pat Lewandowski , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 0:49
4TH & 21
OWN 10
+12
14.6%
Trevor Pardula punt for 45 yds , Tyreek Hill returns for 12 yds to the Kans 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 8FG
15 plays · 36 yds · 4:5085% → 85%
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-5
14.6%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Kans 48Similar
Q1 0:25
1ST & 15
OPP 48
0
14.9%
Daxx Garman pass complete to David Glidden for no gain to the Kans 48Similar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 15
OPP 48
+6
15.0%
Desmond Roland run for 6 yds to the Kans 42Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 42
+16
14.8%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Brandon Sheperd for 16 yds to the Kans 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
14.6%
Desmond Roland run for 2 yds to the Kans 24Similar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 8
OPP 24
-5
14.7%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, False Start (Chris Grisbhy) to the Kans 29Similar
Q2 13:52
2ND & 13
OPP 29
-5
15.0%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Substitution Infraction (David Glidden) to the Kans 34Similar
Q2 13:35
2ND & 18
OPP 34
0
15.3%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to James Washington, broken up by JaCorey ShepherdSimilar
Q2 13:15
3RD & 18
OPP 34
+17
15.7%
Desmond Roland run for 17 yds to the Kans 17Similar
Q2 12:50
4TH & 1
OPP 17
+5
15.9%
Daxx Garman run for 5 yds to the Kans 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-5
15.2%
Desmond Roland run for a loss of 5 yards to the Kans 17Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 15
OPP 17
0
15.6%
Rennie Childs run for no gain to the Kans 17Similar
Q2 10:55
4TH & 5
OPP 7
+25
14.7%
Ben Grogan 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 9DOWNS
8 plays · 43 yds · 2:1116% → 16%
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+24
15.6%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Tony Pierson for 24 yds to the OKSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
16.9%
De'Andre Mann run for 9 yds to the OKSt 38Similar
Q2 9:58
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+3
16.8%
De'Andre Mann run for 3 yds to the OKSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
17.5%
Tony Pierson run for no gain to the OKSt 35Similar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+1
17.7%
De'Andre Mann run for 1 yd to the OKSt 34Similar
Q2 8:30
3RD & 9
OPP 34
0
17.3%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Nigel KingSimilar
Q2 8:19
4TH & 9
OPP 34
+6
16.3%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Nigel King for 6 yds to the OKSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:1085% → 83%
Q2 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
15.0%
Daxx Garman run for 1 yd to the OKSt 29Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 9
OWN 29
-6
15.2%
Daxx Garman sacked by Ben Heeney for a loss of 6 yards to the OKSt 23Similar
Q2 7:05
3RD & 15
OWN 23
0
16.2%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Face Mask (0 yards) (Paul Lewis) declinedSimilar
Q2 6:56
4TH & 15
OWN 23
0
16.6%
Kip Smith punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Derrick Neal at the Kans 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2116% → 16%
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
16.3%
Tony Pierson run for no gain to the Kans 33Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+4
16.5%
Michael Cummings run for 4 yds to the Kans 37Similar
Q2 5:35
3RD & 6
OWN 37
0
16.6%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to De'Andre MannSimilar
Q2 5:24
4TH & 6
OWN 37
+7
16.3%
Trevor Pardula punt for 41 yds , Tyreek Hill returns for 7 yds to the OKSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 12MISSED FG
8 plays · 55 yds · 3:0484% → 84%
Q2 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
15.8%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Austin Hays for 11 yds to the OKSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
15.2%
Desmond Roland run for 1 yd to the OKSt 41Similar
Q2 4:04
2ND & 9
OWN 41
-1
15.5%
Desmond Roland run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 40Similar
Q2 4:00
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+38
16.0%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Tyreek Hill for 38 yds to the Kans 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
14.9%
Daxx Garman pass complete to David Glidden for 5 yds to the Kans 17Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+1
15.0%
Desmond Roland run for 1 yd to the Kans 16Similar
Q2 2:20
3RD & 4
OPP 16
0
15.4%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Marcell AtemanSimilar
Q2 2:13
4TH & 4
OPP 16
+33
16.3%
Ben Grogan 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · -10 yds · 0:3518% → 18%
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
17.6%
Corey Avery run for 2 yds to the Kans 22Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+3
17.7%
Corey Avery run for 3 yds to the Kans 25Similar
Q2 1:32
3RD & 5
OWN 25
-15
18.2%
Michael Cummings sacked by Emmanuel Ogbah for a loss of 15 yards to the Kans 10Similar
Q2 1:25
4TH & 20
OWN 10
0
17.6%
Trevor Pardula punt for 20 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kans 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 14TD
5 plays · 30 yds · 0:5485% → 91%
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
15.0%
Rennie Childs run for 5 yds to the Kans 25Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+16
14.9%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Tyreek Hill for 16 yds to the Kans 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
15.0%
Rennie Childs run for 2 yds to the Kans 7Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
15.0%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Brandon SheperdSimilar
Q2 0:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
9.5%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Jhajuan Seales for 7 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 15END OF HALF
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:1514% → 13%
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
13.5%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Nick Harwell for 7 yds to the Kans 36Similar
Q2 0:08
2ND & 3
OWN 36
0
13.9%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Nick Harwell, broken up by Kevin PetersonSimilar
Q2 0:01
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+2
13.4%
Corey Avery run for 2 yds to the Kans 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2013% → 13%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
13.0%
Tony Pierson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 18Similar
Q3 14:23
2ND & 12
OWN 18
0
13.0%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Nick HarwellSimilar
Q3 14:00
3RD & 12
OWN 18
+9
12.6%
De'Andre Mann run for 9 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q3 13:35
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
12.9%
Trevor Pardula punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Tyreek Hill at the OKSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 17INT
9 plays · 33 yds · 2:4889% → 89%
Q3 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
11.5%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 7 yds to the OKSt 29Similar
Q3 13:05
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+5
11.3%
Desmond Roland run for 5 yds to the OKSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
11.2%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to David Glidden, broken up by Cassius SendishSimilar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+10
11.2%
Garman, Daxx pass incomplete to Ateman, Marcell, PENALTY KANSAS holding (Shepherd, JaCorey) 10 yards to the OKLAST44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAST. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
10.6%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Jhajuan SealesSimilar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+5
10.7%
Desmond Roland run for 5 yds to the OKSt 49Similar
Q3 11:50
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+9
10.8%
Daxx Garman pass complete to James Washington for 9 yds to the Kans 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-3
9.8%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Tyreek Hill for a loss of 3 yards to the Kans 45Similar
Q3 10:32
2ND & 13
OPP 45
+30
10.6%
Daxx Garman pass intercepted Cassius Sendish return for 30 yds to the Kans 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:5614% → 13%
Q3 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
13.7%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Jimmay Mundine for 14 yds to the OKSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
14.5%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Nick Harwell for 3 yds to the OKSt 46Similar
Q3 9:30
2ND & 7
OPP 46
-1
14.7%
Michael Cummings run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 47Similar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+1
13.8%
Michael Cummings run for 1 yd to the OKSt 46Similar
Q3 8:27
4TH & 7
OPP 46
0
13.3%
Trevor Pardula punt for 43 yds, downed at the OKSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4189% → 88%
Q3 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
11.4%
Desmond Roland run for 2 yds to the OKSt 5Similar
Q3 7:54
2ND & 8
OWN 5
0
11.3%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Brandon SheperdSimilar
Q3 7:50
3RD & 8
OWN 5
0
11.6%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Brandon SheperdSimilar
Q3 7:38
4TH & 8
OWN 5
-5
11.9%
Kip Smith punt for 51 yds , Derrick Neal returns for a loss of 5 yards to the Kans 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 20MISSED FG
7 plays · 36 yds · 1:3614% → 13%
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
13.5%
Corey Avery run for 3 yds to the Kans 42Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 7
OWN 42
0
13.8%
Corey Avery run for no gain to the Kans 42Similar
Q3 6:30
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+33
13.1%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Nigel King for 33 yds to the OKSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
15.7%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Nigel KingSimilar
Q3 6:05
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
15.4%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Nick HarwellSimilar
Q3 5:59
3RD & 10
OPP 25
0
14.0%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Nick HarwellSimilar
Q3 5:54
4TH & 10
OPP 25
+42
13.2%
Matthew Wyman 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 21FUMBLE
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
9.8%
Daxx Garman sacked by Michael Reynolds for a loss of 10 yards to the OKSt 15 Daxx Garman fumbled, forced by Michael Reynolds, recovered by Kans Tevin Shaw , return for 0 yards , return for 18 yds to the OKSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 22FG
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:3216% → 15%
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+3
15.8%
De'Andre Mann run for 3 yds to the OKSt 12Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 7
OPP 12
+7
15.1%
Michael Cummings pass complete to De'Andre Mann for 7 yds to the OKSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
15.1%
De'Andre Mann run for 2 yds to the OKSt 3Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
15.3%
Michael Cummings run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 4Similar
Q3 3:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
13.1%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Nick HarwellSimilar
Q3 3:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
15.0%
Matthew Wyman 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 2:4387% → 86%
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
13.4%
Desmond Roland run for 1 yd to the OKSt 37Similar
Q3 2:10
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+8
13.6%
Daxx Garman pass complete to James Washington for 8 yds to the OKSt 45Similar
Q3 1:45
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+1
13.1%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Tyreek Hill for 1 yd to the OKSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
12.8%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Brandon Sheperd for 6 yds to the Kans 48Similar
Q3 1:06
2ND & 4
OPP 48
0
12.6%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Brandon SheperdSimilar
Q3 1:00
3RD & 4
OPP 48
0
13.0%
Desmond Roland run for no gain to the Kans 48Similar
Q3 0:17
4TH & 4
OPP 48
0
14.3%
Kip Smith punt for 31 yds, downed at the Kans 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 24TD
5 plays · 83 yds · 0:4814% → 33%
Q3 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+30
13.8%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Jimmay Mundine for 30 yds to the Kans 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+23
15.8%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Jimmay Mundine for 23 yds to the OKSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
17.7%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Tre' Parmalee for 7 yds to the OKSt 23Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+23
37.6%
Corey Avery 23 Yd Run (Matthew Wyman Kick)Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 3
OWN 35
-5
32.9%
KANSAS Penalty, Offensive Offside (-5 Yards) to the Kans 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 2:0973% → 71%
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+21
26.7%
Rennie Childs run for 6 yds to the Kans 43 for a 1ST down KANSAS Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Ben Heeney) to the Kans 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
25.0%
Rennie Childs run for 5 yds to the Kans 37Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 5
OPP 37
-7
24.7%
Daxx Garman sacked by Michael Reynolds for a loss of 7 yards to the Kans 44Similar
Q4 12:30
3RD & 12
OPP 44
-7
25.5%
Daxx Garman sacked by Andrew Bolton for a loss of 7 yards to the OKSt 49Similar
Q4 11:51
4TH & 19
OWN 49
+4
29.5%
Kip Smith punt for 45 yds , Derrick Neal returns for 4 yds to the Kans 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 26FG
16 plays · 72 yds · 4:5030% → 52%
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+12
29.9%
Tony Pierson run for 12 yds to the Kans 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-2
30.4%
Corey Avery run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 20Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 12
OWN 20
+11
29.3%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Nigel King for 11 yds to the Kans 31Similar
Q4 10:45
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+5
31.4%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Ryan Simmons) to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
30.4%
Corey Avery run for 2 yds to the Kans 38Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
31.1%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Jimmay MundineSimilar
Q4 9:40
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+10
30.2%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Jimmay Mundine for 10 yds to the Kans 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
34.8%
Corey Avery run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 8
50
+3
35.4%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Nick Harwell for 3 yds to the OKSt 47Similar
Q4 8:45
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+3
34.9%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Nick Harwell for 3 yds to the OKSt 44 KANSAS Penalty, Illegal Formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 7:50
4TH & 2
OPP 44
+17
33.2%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Corey Avery for 17 yds to the OKSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
39.0%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Corey AverySimilar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
38.9%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Justin McCaySimilar
Q4 7:21
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+9
35.8%
Michael Cummings run for 9 yds to the OKSt 18Similar
Q4 6:55
4TH & 1
OPP 18
+35
51.5%
Matthew Wyman 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 27PUNT
7 plays · -5 yds · 1:3118% → 15%
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
17.9%
Corey Avery run for 3 yds to the Kans 26Similar
Q4 5:55
2ND & 7
OWN 26
-5
17.9%
KANSAS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Kans 21Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 12
OWN 21
-3
16.5%
De'Andre Mann run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kans 18Similar
Q4 5:10
3RD & 15
OWN 18
0
16.0%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Nigel KingSimilar
Q4 4:59
4TH & 15
OWN 18
0
15.2%
Trevor Pardula punt for 55 yds, fair catch by Tyreek Hill at the OKSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 28PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:3689% → 91%
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
10.7%
Desmond Roland run for 2 yds to the OKSt 29Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+9
10.7%
Rennie Childs run for 9 yds to the OKSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
9.1%
Rennie Childs run for 4 yds to the OKSt 42Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+2
8.3%
Desmond Roland run for 2 yds to the OKSt 44Similar
Q4 2:40
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+2
7.7%
Desmond Roland run for 2 yds to the OKSt 46Similar
Q4 2:04
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
9.5%
Kip Smith punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 29INT
6 plays · 27 yds · 0:4911% → 11%
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
11.0%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Nick HarwellSimilar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+11
10.8%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Jimmay Mundine for 11 yds to the Kans 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+18
11.1%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Nick Harwell for 18 yds to the Kans 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
12.8%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Jimmay MundineSimilar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
12.5%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Jimmay MundineSimilar
Q4 1:10
3RD & 10
OWN 49
-2
10.9%
Michael Cummings sacked by Emmanuel Ogbah for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 30END OF GAME
2 plays · -20 yds · 0:4996% → 96%
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-2
4.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 37Similar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 12
OPP 37
-3
3.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kans 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:43
Tyreek Hill 99 Yd Kickoff Return (Ben Grogan Kick)
-33.8
TD · Q4 14:13
Corey Avery 23 Yd Run (Matthew Wyman Kick)
+20
FG · Q4 6:55
Matthew Wyman 35 yd FG GOOD
+18
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com