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TEX

Texas 26 at Oklahoma 31

OU
2014 · Week 7 · Oct 11, 2014 · Cotton Bowl
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Win probability · OU
modelOU aheadTEX aheadconfidence bandkey playOU scoreTEX score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:10 · William Russ punt for 40 yds , Sterling Shepard returns for 12 yds to the Texas 47
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 136Pregame prior+8.9Home team on offense+15.4Garbage-time factor+2.3Score differential+5.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.0Blowout margin+1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:18: Tyrone Swoopes pass intercepted for a TD Zack Sanchez return for 43 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK) — OU win probability +4.0 pts (now 86%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 4:17: Trevor Knight pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 24 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK) — OU win probability +8.8 pts (now 89%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:50: Samaje Perine run for 13 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK) — OU win probability +7.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:24: Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to John Harris for 6 yds for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK) — TEX win probability +5.4 pts (now 9%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:57: Tyrone Swoopes 12 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — TEX win probability +15.6 pts (now 24%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10TEX made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 8:16TEX 4th & 8 at OU 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.7%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.7%
    87% to make
    Punt
    18.1%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:05TEX 4th & 6 at TEX 40, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:12OU 4th & 10 at OU 17, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.3%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:44TEX 4th & 6 at TEX 21, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%−0.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:23OU 4th & 9 at OU 37, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.6%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:53TEX 4th & 12 at TEX 20, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%−0.4
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:19OU 4th & 6 at TEX 27, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.6%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.6%
    62% to make
    Punt
    78.0%−1.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:33OU 4th & 2 at OU 38, up 7
    Close callPunted · 81.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.3%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:48TEX 4th & 3 at OU 3, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 20.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.6%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.0%−0.6
    93% to make
    Punt
    14.8%−5.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:23OU 4th & 13 at TEX 47, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.0%−1.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:59TEX 4th & 6 at TEX 23, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.4%−0.7
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:52OU 4th & 5 at OU 21, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.1%−1.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:23TEX 4th & 7 at OU 46, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.0%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    22.7%−1.4
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    24.1%
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:25OU 4th & 9 at OU 32, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.2%−2.2
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.4%
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:21TEX 4th & 9 at TEX 32, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.2%−1.6
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.8%
    average punt
  16. Q3 2:45TEX 4th & 2 at TEX 25, down 11
    Close callPunted · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.9%−0.2
    average punt
  17. Q3 1:46OU 4th & 12 at OU 48, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.9%−0.9
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 14:10TEX 4th & 17 at TEX 19, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.3%−1.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.5%
    average punt
  19. Q4 11:12TEX 4th & 1 at TEX 34, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.7%−0.7
    average punt
  20. Q4 6:38OU 4th & 2 at OU 33, up 11
    Close callPunted · 93.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.0%−0.2
    average punt
  21. Q4 0:18OU 4th & 12 at TEX 48, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.4%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4TEX made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 8:04OU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:18OU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:17TEX Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:17OU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:50OU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:24TEX Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:57TEX Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    15.6%−2.0
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    17.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEXDrive 1FG
18 plays · 64 yds · 6:3917% → 19%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
83.5%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Jaxon Shipley for 4 yds to the Texas 29Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-5
83.4%
TEXAS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Texas 24Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+9
83.3%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Jaxon Shipley for 9 yds to the Texas 33Similar
Q1 13:50
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+11
83.2%
Malcolm Brown run for 11 yds to the Texas 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
83.1%
Malcolm Brown run for 3 yds to the Texas 47Similar
Q1 13:16
2ND & 7
OWN 47
-5
83.0%
TEXAS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Texas 42Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 12
OWN 42
+7
82.9%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Marcus Johnson for 7 yds to the Texas 49Similar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+5
82.7%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Jacorey Warrick for 5 yds to the Okla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-4
82.4%
Johnathan Gray run for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 14
50
+15
82.4%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to John Harris for 15 yds to the Okla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-5
82.0%
TEXAS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Okla 40Similar
Q1 10:21
1ST & 15
OPP 40
-5
82.0%
TEXAS Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Okla 45Similar
Q1 10:10
1ST & 20
OPP 45
+32
81.9%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Jaxon Shipley for 32 yds to the Okla 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
81.5%
Malcolm Brown run for 3 yds to the Okla 10Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 7
OPP 10
-1
81.3%
Malcolm Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 11Similar
Q1 8:25
3RD & 8
OPP 11
0
81.1%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to John HarrisSimilar
Q1 8:16
4TH & 8
OPP 11
+28
81.1%
Nick Rose 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:5918% → 18%
Q1 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
82.2%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Jaxon Shipley for 11 yds to the Texas 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
81.9%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+4
81.9%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Jaxon Shipley for 4 yds to the Texas 40Similar
Q1 6:50
3RD & 6
OWN 40
0
81.7%
Johnathan Gray run for no gain to the Texas 40Similar
Q1 6:05
4TH & 6
OWN 40
+1
81.8%
William Russ punt for 34 yds , Sterling Shepard returns for 1 yd to the Okla 41 OKLAHOMA Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Okla 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:5382% → 81%
Q1 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
81.6%
Samaje Perine run for 2 yds to the Okla 19Similar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+1
81.4%
Samaje Perine run for 1 yd to the Okla 20Similar
Q1 4:45
3RD & 7
OWN 20
-3
81.0%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Samaje Perine for a loss of 3 yards to the Okla 17Similar
Q1 4:12
4TH & 10
OWN 17
0
80.7%
Jed Barnett punt for 66 yds, downed at the Texas 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:2819% → 19%
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-5
81.3%
TEXAS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Texas 12Similar
Q1 4:12
1ST & 15
OWN 12
+5
81.3%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 15 yds to the Texas 27 TEXAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Texas 17Similar
Q1 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
81.1%
Malcolm Brown run for 4 yds to the Texas 21Similar
Q1 3:10
2ND & 6
OWN 21
0
81.0%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Marcus JohnsonSimilar
Q1 3:00
3RD & 6
OWN 21
0
81.3%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to John HarrisSimilar
Q1 2:44
4TH & 6
OWN 21
0
81.5%
William Russ punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Sterling Shepard at the Okla 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:2181% → 80%
Q1 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
81.1%
Trevor Knight pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:20
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+1
80.7%
Alex Ross run for 1 yd to the Okla 37Similar
Q1 2:00
3RD & 9
OWN 37
0
80.4%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Alex Ross for no gain to the Okla 37Similar
Q1 1:23
4TH & 9
OWN 37
0
79.8%
Jed Barnett punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Texas 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:0720% → 19%
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
80.3%
Johnathan Gray run for 5 yds to the Texas 27Similar
Q1 0:45
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+1
80.0%
Johnathan Gray run for 1 yd to the Texas 28Similar
Q1 0:20
3RD & 4
OWN 28
-8
80.2%
Tyrone Swoopes sacked by Ogbonnia Okoronkwo and Geneo Grissom for a loss of 8 yards to the Texas 20Similar
Q2 14:53
4TH & 12
OWN 20
+26
80.8%
William Russ punt for 41 yds TEXAS Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (-15 Yards) to the Texas 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 7FG
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:3481% → 82%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
80.9%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Blake Bell for 15 yds to the Texas 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
81.1%
Samaje Perine run for 3 yds to the Texas 28Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+1
81.0%
Samaje Perine run for 1 yd to the Texas 27Similar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 6
OPP 27
0
80.5%
Trevor Knight pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:19
4TH & 6
OPP 27
+44
82.2%
Michael Hunnicutt 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 8INT TD
5 plays · 13 yds · 1:5518% → 15%
Q2 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
81.8%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Jaxon Shipley for 9 yds to the Texas 30Similar
Q2 12:45
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+3
81.1%
Malcolm Brown run for 3 yds to the Texas 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
81.4%
Johnathan Gray run for 1 yd to the Texas 34Similar
Q2 11:18
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+43
85.5%
Tyrone Swoopes pass intercepted for a TD Zack Sanchez return for 43 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 9TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 3:0114% → 17%
Q2 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
85.6%
Malcolm Brown run for 2 yds to the Texas 27Similar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+11
85.6%
Malcolm Brown run for 11 yds to the Texas 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
86.4%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Jaxon Shipley for 15 yds to the Okla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+11
86.2%
Malcolm Brown run for 11 yds to the Okla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
86.2%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+3
86.3%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Armanti Foreman for 3 yds to the Okla 33Similar
Q2 8:32
3RD & 7
OPP 33
0
86.4%
TEXAS Penalty, False Start ( Yards) to the Okla 38Similar
Q2 8:17
3RD & 12
OPP 38
+38
82.6%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to John Harris for 38 yds for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:4483% → 83%
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
82.9%
Trevor Knight run for no gain to the Okla 30Similar
Q2 7:40
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-1
83.2%
Trevor Knight run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 29Similar
Q2 7:00
3RD & 11
OWN 29
+9
82.8%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 9 yds to the Okla 38Similar
Q2 6:33
4TH & 2
OWN 38
0
82.9%
Jed Barnett punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jaxon Shipley at the Texas 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 11FG
13 plays · 69 yds · 5:4517% → 22%
Q2 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
83.3%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 2 yds to the Texas 30Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+2
83.3%
Johnathan Gray run for 2 yds to the Texas 32Similar
Q2 5:18
3RD & 6
OWN 32
+7
83.3%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 7 yds to the Texas 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
82.5%
Johnathan Gray run for 12 yds to the Okla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
81.3%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+2
82.1%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Marcus Johnson for 2 yds to the Okla 47Similar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+18
82.1%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Marcus Johnson for 18 yds to the Okla 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+22
80.0%
Malcolm Brown run for 22 yds to the Okla 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
79.8%
Tyrone Swoopes run for no gain to the Okla 7Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
79.1%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 4 yds to the Okla 3Similar
Q2 1:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
80.0%
TEAM run for no gain to the Okla 3 TEAM fumbled, recovered by TexasSimilar
Q2 0:48
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
78.0%
Nick Rose 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
78.6%
Samaje Perine run for 1 yd to the Okla 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 28 yds · 1:3277% → 75%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+31
77.1%
Sterling Shepard run for 31 yds to the Texas 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
79.1%
Trevor Knight pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:40
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-11
78.9%
Sterling Shepard run for a loss of 11 yards to the Okla 45Similar
Q3 14:00
3RD & 21
OWN 45
+8
76.3%
Samaje Perine run for 8 yds to the Texas 47Similar
Q3 13:23
4TH & 13
OPP 47
0
75.4%
Jed Barnett punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Texas 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2424% → 23%
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
76.0%
Malcolm Brown run for 4 yds to the Texas 23Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 6
OWN 23
0
75.7%
Malcolm Brown run for no gain to the Texas 23Similar
Q3 12:15
3RD & 6
OWN 23
0
76.6%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Marcus JohnsonSimilar
Q3 11:59
4TH & 6
OWN 23
0
77.2%
William Russ punt for 61 yds, fair catch by Sterling Shepard at the Okla 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0776% → 76%
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
75.8%
Alex Ross run for 4 yds to the Okla 20Similar
Q3 11:40
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+1
75.6%
Alex Ross run for 1 yd to the Okla 21Similar
Q3 11:10
3RD & 5
OWN 21
0
74.4%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to K.J. YoungSimilar
Q3 10:52
4TH & 5
OWN 21
+14
76.3%
Jed Barnett punt for 42 yds , Jaxon Shipley returns for 14 yds to the Okla 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2926% → 24%
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
73.6%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Jaxon ShipleySimilar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-5
74.3%
Tyrone Swoopes sacked by Eric Striker for a loss of 5 yards to the Texas 46Similar
Q3 10:10
3RD & 15
OWN 46
+8
76.7%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Marcus Johnson for 8 yds to the Okla 46Similar
Q3 9:23
4TH & 7
OPP 46
0
76.3%
William Russ punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Sterling Shepard at the Okla 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:5878% → 76%
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
77.5%
Samaje Perine run for 1 yd to the Okla 16Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+15
77.2%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Blake Bell for 15 yds to the Okla 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
77.7%
Samaje Perine run for 1 yd to the Okla 32Similar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 9
OWN 32
0
77.5%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Sterling ShepardSimilar
Q3 7:38
3RD & 9
OWN 32
0
76.4%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Durron NealSimilar
Q3 7:25
4TH & 9
OWN 32
0
75.7%
Jed Barnett punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Jaxon Shipley at the Texas 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:0424% → 23%
Q3 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
75.9%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Jaxon Shipley for 9 yds to the Texas 29Similar
Q3 7:25
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+2
73.9%
Malcolm Brown run for 2 yds to the Texas 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
75.1%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Geoff SwaimSimilar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 10
OWN 31
-15
75.6%
Brown, Malcolm rush for 4 yards to the TEXAS35, PENALTY TEXAS illegal block (James, Darius) 15 yards to the TEXAS16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:10
2ND & 25
OWN 16
+16
76.1%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Marcus Johnson for 16 yds to the Texas 32Similar
Q3 5:35
3RD & 9
OWN 32
0
76.4%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:21
4TH & 9
OWN 32
+10
77.0%
William Russ punt for 41 yds , Sterling Shepard returns for 10 yds to the Okla 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 19TD
5 plays · 63 yds · 1:0478% → 89%
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
77.8%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Aaron Ripkowski for 6 yds to the Okla 43Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+22
78.7%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Durron Neal for 22 yds to the Texas 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
80.0%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 8 yds to the Texas 27Similar
Q3 4:40
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+3
80.0%
Alex Ross run for 3 yds to the Texas 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
88.8%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 24 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:3213% → 11%
Q3 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
86.9%
Johnathan Gray run for 1 yd to the Texas 18Similar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+7
88.2%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Johnathan Gray for 7 yds to the Texas 25Similar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 2
OWN 25
0
87.9%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to John HarrisSimilar
Q3 2:45
4TH & 2
OWN 25
0
89.1%
William Russ punt for 25 yds, downed at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:5990% → 88%
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
50
-2
89.5%
Trevor Knight sacked by Quandre Diggs for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 48Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 12
OWN 48
+5
89.3%
K.J. Young run for 5 yds to the Texas 47Similar
Q3 1:55
3RD & 7
OPP 47
0
89.0%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to K.J. YoungSimilar
Q3 1:49
4TH & 7
OPP 47
-5
88.2%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Okla 48Similar
Q3 1:46
4TH & 12
OWN 48
0
87.9%
Jed Barnett punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jaxon Shipley at the Texas 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 2:3612% → 10%
Q3 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
88.4%
Malcolm Brown run for no gain to the Texas 11Similar
Q3 1:10
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+15
88.5%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to John Harris for 15 yds to the Texas 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
88.1%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Malcolm Brown for 2 yds to the Texas 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 28
-9
87.7%
Malcolm Brown run for a loss of 9 yards to the Texas 19Similar
Q4 14:30
3RD & 17
OWN 19
0
89.3%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Marcus JohnsonSimilar
Q4 14:10
4TH & 17
OWN 19
+12
89.7%
William Russ punt for 40 yds , Sterling Shepard returns for 12 yds to the Texas 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 23TD
5 plays · 47 yds · 1:2091% → 98%
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
90.5%
Trevor Knight run for 5 yds to the Texas 42Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+7
90.5%
Samaje Perine run for 7 yds to the Texas 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
90.6%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Sterling ShepardSimilar
Q4 13:05
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+22
90.6%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 22 yds to the Texas 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
97.6%
Samaje Perine run for 13 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 24TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 4:264% → 9%
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
96.5%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Marcus Johnson for 1 yd to the Texas 26Similar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
96.5%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Marcus JohnsonSimilar
Q4 11:50
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+8
96.9%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Johnathan Gray for 8 yds to the Texas 34Similar
Q4 11:12
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
96.9%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 2 yds to the Texas 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
96.8%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to John HarrisSimilar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
96.9%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Marcus JohnsonSimilar
Q4 10:35
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+16
97.1%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to John Harris for 16 yds to the Okla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
96.8%
Johnathan Gray run for 2 yds to the Okla 46Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 8
OPP 46
+41
96.9%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Marcus Johnson for 41 yds to the Okla 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
96.4%
Malcolm Brown run for 3 yds to the Okla 2Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
96.5%
Malcolm Brown run for 1 yd to the Okla 1Similar
Q4 8:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
91.0%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to John Harris for 6 yds for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:4693% → 94%
Q4 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
93.1%
Sterling Shepard run for 5 yds to the Okla 30Similar
Q4 7:50
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
93.4%
Samaje Perine run for 1 yd to the Okla 31Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+2
93.8%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Durron Neal for 2 yds to the Okla 33Similar
Q4 6:38
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+31
93.5%
Jed Barnett punt for 46 yds , Jaxon Shipley returns for 31 yds to the Okla 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 26TD
6 plays · 48 yds · 1:418% → 24%
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+12
91.9%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 12 yds to the Okla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
92.3%
Malcolm Brown run for 4 yds to the Okla 32Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+9
91.3%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 9 yds to the Okla 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
91.3%
Malcolm Brown run for 4 yds to the Okla 19Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+7
91.5%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Dorian Leonard for 7 yds to the Okla 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
76.0%
Tyrone Swoopes 12 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 27PUNT
14 plays · 27 yds · 4:3987% → 94%
Q4 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
87.1%
Samaje Perine run for 6 yds to the Okla 31Similar
Q4 4:05
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
88.2%
Samaje Perine run for no gain to the Okla 31Similar
Q4 3:37
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+9
87.7%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Samaje Perine for 9 yds to the Okla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
90.4%
Samaje Perine run for 6 yds to the Okla 46Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+8
91.1%
Samaje Perine run for 8 yds to the Texas 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
94.5%
Samaje Perine run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 47Similar
Q4 1:18
2ND & 11
OPP 47
+1
94.6%
Samaje Perine run for 1 yd to the Texas 46Similar
Q4 1:12
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+3
95.3%
Samaje Perine run for 3 yds to the Texas 43Similar
Q4 0:24
4TH & 7
OPP 43
-5
94.6%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Texas 48Similar
Q4 0:18
4TH & 12
OPP 48
0
94.2%
Jed Barnett punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 28END OF GAME
3 plays · 16 yds · 0:1411% → 11%
Q4 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
88.8%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Jaxon ShipleySimilar
Q4 0:14
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-10
88.8%
TEXAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Texas 10Similar
Q4 0:04
2ND & 20
OWN 10
+5
89.1%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Jaxon Shipley for 21 yds to the Texas 36 for a 1ST down lat. to Johnathan Gray for 5 yds to the Texas 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:57
Tyrone Swoopes 12 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)
-15.6
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+10.9
TD · Q3 4:17
Trevor Knight pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 24 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK)
+8.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com