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OU

Oklahoma 33 at TCU 37

TCU
2014 · Week 6 · Oct 4, 2014 · Amon G. Carter Stadium
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Win probability · TCU
modelTCU aheadOU aheadconfidence bandkey playTCU scoreOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:29 · Jed Barnett punt for 35 yds, downed at the TCU 39
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore differentialBlowout margin
+23.5+11.80−11.8−23.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 141Pregame prior−5.0Home team on offense−1.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.7Garbage-time factor+0.1Score differential−3.2Blowout margin+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:33: Samaje Perine 1 Yd Run (Michael Hunnicutt Kick) — OU win probability +11.7 pts (now 59%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:00: Michael Hunnicutt 32 Yd Field Goal — OU win probability +9.2 pts (now 58%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:28: Samaje Perine 7 Yd Run (Michael Hunnicutt Kick) — OU win probability +12.7 pts (now 72%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:48: Deante' Gray 29 Yd pass from Trevone Boykin (Jaden Oberkrom Kick) — TCU win probability +18.4 pts (now 55%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:12: T. Knight pass intercepted for a TD,P. Dawson return for 46 yds for a TD, (J. Phillips BLOCKED), (Returned by Z.Sanchez for DEF PAT) — TCU win probability +20.4 pts (now 68%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TCU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7OU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 8:38OU 4th & 12 at OU 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.4%−0.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:45TCU 4th & 19 at OU 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.2%−1.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.4%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:28TCU 4th & 15 at TCU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.2%−1.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:30OU 4th & 3 at OU 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.3%−0.3
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:16OU 4th & 3 at OU 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.4%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:33OU 4th & 1 at TCU 1, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.3%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    41.7%−2.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    35.3%−9.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:39TCU 4th & 8 at OU 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.8%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.5%
    85% to make
    Punt
    43.0%−5.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:29OU 4th & 9 at OU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.4%−2.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:18TCU 4th & 1 at OU 15, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.8 ptsKicked a field goal · 54.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.2%−3.8
    83% to make
    Punt
    38.6%−15.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:48OU 4th & 8 at OU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.7%−3.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:51TCU 4th & 5 at TCU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.9%−0.7
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:05OU 4th & 15 at OU 26, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.8%−4.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:25TCU 4th & 3 at TCU 38, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 66.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.6%−1.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:02OU 4th & 5 at OU 44, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.5%−1.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:08OU 4th & 1 at TCU 22, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    27.1%−2.3
    72% to make
    Punt
    12.8%−16.6
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:51TCU 4th & 2 at TCU 30, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.7%−0.7
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:06OU 4th & 6 at OU 33, down 4
    Numbers favored punt by 6.9 ptsWent for it · 19.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.6%−6.9
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    24.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TCU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5OU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 10:09TCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:52TCU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:56OU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 0:33OU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 12:06TCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 5:33OU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 9:28OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 6:48TCU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 14:12TCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    69.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.0%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TCUDrive 1FUMBLE RETURN TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 4:4736% → 40%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
35.7%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Kolby ListenbeeSimilar
Q1 14:45
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
35.8%
Trevone Boykin run for 3 yds to the TCU 28Similar
Q1 14:13
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+19
36.0%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Deante' Gray for 19 yds to the TCU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
36.2%
Trevone Boykin run for 4 yds to the Okla 49Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+13
36.5%
Trevone Boykin run for 13 yds to the Okla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+21
36.8%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Josh Doctson for 21 yds to the Okla 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
37.1%
Trevone Boykin run for 1 yd to the Okla 14Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+3
37.4%
Trevone Boykin run for 3 yds to the Okla 11Similar
Q1 11:37
3RD & 6
OPP 11
+7
37.6%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Josh Doctson for 7 yds to the Okla 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
38.1%
B.J. Catalon run for 3 yds to the Okla 1Similar
Q1 10:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
38.2%
B.J. Catalon run for no gain to the Okla 1Similar
Q1 10:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
39.7%
Trevone Boykin run for no gain Trevone Boykin fumbled, recovered by TCU Cliff Murphy for a TD, (Jaden Oberkrom KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:2261% → 59%
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
39.1%
Alex Ross run for no gain to the Okla 28Similar
Q1 9:24
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-2
39.9%
Alex Ross run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 26Similar
Q1 8:51
3RD & 12
OWN 26
0
40.5%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Durron NealSimilar
Q1 8:38
4TH & 12
OWN 26
+17
40.8%
Jed Barnett punt for 56 yds , Cameron Echols-Luper returns for 17 yds to the TCU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 3TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 2:2841% → 48%
Q1 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
40.9%
B.J. Catalon run for a loss of 2 yards to the TCU 33Similar
Q1 8:01
2ND & 12
OWN 33
0
41.0%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Josh DoctsonSimilar
Q1 7:50
3RD & 12
OWN 33
+28
40.9%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Josh Doctson for 13 yds to the Okla 46 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Zack Sanchez) to the Okla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
42.0%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to David PorterSimilar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+23
42.4%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Josh Doctson for 8 yds to the Okla 31 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Zack Sanchez) to the Okla 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
42.7%
Trevone Boykin run for 3 yds to the Okla 13Similar
Q1 6:26
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+6
43.1%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Ty Slanina for 6 yds to the Okla 7Similar
Q1 5:52
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+7
47.7%
B.J. Catalon 7 Yd Run (Jaden Oberkrom Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 4TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 1:4553% → 58%
Q1 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+53
46.6%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 53 yds to the TCU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
45.9%
Samaje Perine run for 1 yd to the TCU 11Similar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+8
46.4%
Trevor Knight run for 8 yds to the TCU 3Similar
Q1 4:05
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+2
47.3%
Samaje Perine run for 2 yds to the TCU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
41.9%
Samaje Perine 1 Yd Run (Michael Hunnicutt Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 5PUNT
13 plays · 26 yds · 2:5844% → 46%
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
44.4%
Aaron Green run for 4 yds to the TCU 29Similar
Q1 3:27
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
44.6%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Josh DoctsonSimilar
Q1 3:20
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+8
44.3%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Aaron Green for 8 yds to the TCU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
45.2%
TCU Penalty, False Start (Tayo Fabuluje) to the TCU 32Similar
Q1 2:47
1ST & 15
OWN 32
+9
45.0%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Ty Slanina for 9 yds to the TCU 41Similar
Q1 2:23
2ND & 6
OWN 41
-15
46.2%
Boykin, Trevone rush for 3 yards to the TCU44, PENALTY TCU personal foul (Pryor, Matt) 15 yards to the TCU26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:54
2ND & 21
OWN 26
+34
45.3%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Kolby Listenbee for 34 yds to the Okla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
47.0%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Deante' GraySimilar
Q1 1:08
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-4
47.3%
Trevone Boykin sacked by Eric Striker for a loss of 4 yards to the Okla 44Similar
Q1 0:53
3RD & 14
OPP 44
0
46.4%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Ja'Juan StorySimilar
Q1 0:51
4TH & 14
OPP 44
-5
45.5%
TCU Penalty, False Start (Ja'Juan Story) to the Okla 49Similar
Q1 0:45
4TH & 19
OPP 49
+44
45.6%
Ethan Perry punt for 49 yds for a touchback TCU Penalty, Illegal Formation (Travoskey Garrett)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 6TD
1 play · 75 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q1 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
40.2%
Sterling Shepard 75 Yd pass from Trevor Knight (Michael Hunnicutt Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 6 yds · 0:5841% → 41%
Q1 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
41.3%
B.J. Catalon run for 11 yds to the TCU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
42.0%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Josh DoctsonSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
41.8%
B.J. Catalon run for no gain to the TCU 36Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 36
-5
41.1%
TCU Penalty, False Start (Deante' Gray) to the TCU 31Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 31
-5
40.7%
TCU Penalty, False Start (Jamelle Naff) to the TCU 26Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 20
OWN 26
+5
40.7%
B.J. Catalon run for 5 yds to the TCU 31Similar
Q2 14:28
4TH & 15
OWN 31
0
40.6%
Ethan Perry punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Sterling Shepard at the Okla 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:2359% → 57%
Q2 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
40.9%
Samaje Perine run for 2 yds to the Okla 17Similar
Q2 13:35
2ND & 8
OWN 17
-8
41.0%
Knight, Trevor pass complete to Bell, Blake for 13 yards to the OKLAHOMA30, PENALTY OKLAHOMA pass interference (Bell, Blake) 8 yards to the OKLAHOMA9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:16
2ND & 16
OWN 9
0
41.4%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Sterling ShepardSimilar
Q2 12:59
3RD & 16
OWN 9
+13
43.4%
Trevor Knight run for 13 yds to the Okla 22Similar
Q2 12:30
4TH & 3
OWN 22
0
43.3%
Jed Barnett punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Okla 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 9TD
2 plays · 46 yds · 0:1446% → 52%
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
45.8%
Trevone Boykin run for 7 yds to the Okla 39Similar
Q2 12:06
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+39
52.2%
B.J. Catalon 39 Yd pass from Trevone Boykin (Jaden Oberkrom Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:3949% → 47%
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
51.0%
Knight, Trevor rush for 16 yards to the OKLAHOMA41, PENALTY OKLAHOMA holding (Thompson, Tyrus) 10 yards to the OKLAHOMA15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:33
1ST & 20
OWN 15
0
51.6%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to K.J. YoungSimilar
Q2 11:20
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+15
51.9%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Durron Neal for 15 yds to the Okla 30Similar
Q2 10:43
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+2
52.0%
Trevor Knight run for 2 yds to the Okla 32Similar
Q2 10:16
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
52.8%
Jed Barnett punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Cameron Echols-Luper at the TCU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 11INT
5 plays · 26 yds · 1:0352% → 54%
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
52.2%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Josh Doctson TCU Penalty, Illegal Touching (Josh Doctson) to the TCU 24Similar
Q2 10:03
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+21
52.1%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Josh Doctson for 21 yds to the TCU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
54.1%
Aaron Green run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:16
2ND & 5
50
0
54.8%
David Porter pass incomplete to Trevone BoykinSimilar
Q2 9:07
3RD & 5
50
0
54.3%
Trevone Boykin pass intercepted Jordan Evans return for no gain to the Okla 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 12TD
7 plays · 63 yds · 3:1847% → 59%
Q2 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+37
53.1%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 37 yds to the TCU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
49.9%
Samaje Perine run for 6 yds to the TCU 20Similar
Q2 7:57
2ND & 4
OPP 20
+17
50.8%
Samaje Perine run for 17 yds to the TCU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
51.0%
Samaje Perine run for 2 yds to the TCU 1Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
51.2%
Samaje Perine run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 2Similar
Q2 6:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
53.2%
Samaje Perine run for 1 yd to the TCU 1Similar
Q2 5:33
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
41.5%
Samaje Perine 1 Yd Run (Michael Hunnicutt Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 13FG
17 plays · 56 yds · 3:4147% → 52%
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
47.3%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Deante' GraySimilar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
46.9%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Deante' GraySimilar
Q2 4:57
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+15
46.1%
Boykin, Trevone pass incomplete to Listenbee, Kolby, PENALTY OKLAHOMA pass interference (Wilson, Julian) 15 yards to the TCU45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TCU. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
49.3%
Aaron Green run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 4:18
2ND & 5
50
+6
50.0%
Trevone Boykin run for 6 yds to the Okla 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-3
50.4%
Trevone Boykin sacked by Eric Striker for a loss of 3 yards to the Okla 47Similar
Q2 3:32
2ND & 13
OPP 47
+9
49.3%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Kolby Listenbee for 9 yds to the Okla 38Similar
Q2 3:04
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+4
50.8%
Trevone Boykin run for 4 yds to the Okla 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+19
50.4%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to David Porter for 19 yds to the Okla 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
50.6%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Ja'Juan Story for 6 yds to the Okla 9Similar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 4
OPP 9
-10
50.8%
Boykin, Trevone rush for 1 yard to the OKLAHOMA8, PENALTY TCU holding (Pryor, Matt) 10 yards to the OKLAHOMA19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 14
OPP 19
+10
49.9%
Trevone Boykin run for 10 yds to the Okla 9Similar
Q2 1:50
3RD & 4
OPP 9
-5
49.3%
TCU Penalty, 12 Men on the Field (-5 Yards) to the Okla 13Similar
Q2 1:44
3RD & 8
OPP 13
0
49.3%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Ty SlaninaSimilar
Q2 1:39
4TH & 8
OPP 13
+31
51.8%
Jaden Oberkrom 31 Yd Field GoalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 14END OF HALF
12 plays · 60 yds · 1:3448% → 58%
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
52.1%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Alex RossSimilar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+16
52.4%
Trevor Knight run for 16 yds to the Okla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
50.1%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Sterling ShepardSimilar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+9
50.9%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Blake Bell for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:50
3RD & 1
50
+5
49.0%
Alex Ross run for 5 yds to the TCU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
48.4%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Blake BellSimilar
Q2 0:22
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+41
48.9%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Durron Neal for 41 yds to the TCU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-11
46.2%
Trevor Knight sacked by Ranthony Texada for a loss of 11 yards to the TCU 15Similar
Q2 0:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
0
50.9%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Sterling ShepardSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
+32
41.7%
Michael Hunnicutt 32 Yd Field GoalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 15TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 5:1556% → 72%
Q3 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
43.6%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Durron Neal for 10 yds to the Okla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
43.3%
Samaje Perine run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 29Similar
Q3 13:36
2ND & 11
OWN 29
0
44.1%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to K.J. YoungSimilar
Q3 13:21
3RD & 11
OWN 29
+17
45.3%
Trevor Knight run for 17 yds to the Okla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
41.3%
Samaje Perine run for 15 yds to the TCU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+10
41.3%
Knight, Trevor pass incomplete to Neal, Durron, PENALTY TCU holding (Texada, Ranthony) 10 yards to the TCU29, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAHOMA. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
40.0%
Samaje Perine run for 2 yds to the TCU 27Similar
Q3 11:26
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+2
40.1%
Samaje Perine run for 2 yds to the TCU 25Similar
Q3 10:41
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+10
41.6%
Trevor Knight run for 10 yds to the TCU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
40.2%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Sterling ShepardSimilar
Q3 9:56
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+8
40.4%
Trevor Knight run for 8 yds to the TCU 7 Trevor Knight fumbled, recovered by Okla Trevor KnightSimilar
Q3 9:28
3RD & 2
OPP 7
+7
27.7%
Samaje Perine 7 Yd Run (Michael Hunnicutt Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 16TD
12 plays · 73 yds · 2:3232% → 55%
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
31.9%
Trevone Boykin run for 7 yds to the TCU 34Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 3
OWN 34
0
33.5%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Deante' GraySimilar
Q3 8:30
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+4
32.3%
Trevone Boykin run for 4 yds to the TCU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
32.8%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to B.J. CatalonSimilar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
32.6%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Kolby ListenbeeSimilar
Q3 8:10
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+20
31.3%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Kolby Listenbee for 20 yds to the Okla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
35.5%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, 12 Men on the Field (5 Yards) to the Okla 37Similar
Q3 7:22
1ST & 5
OPP 37
+4
35.5%
B.J. Catalon run for 4 yds to the Okla 33Similar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+4
37.0%
B.J. Catalon run for 4 yds to the Okla 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
37.0%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Ja'Juan StorySimilar
Q3 6:48
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+29
55.4%
Deante' Gray 29 Yd pass from Trevone Boykin (Jaden Oberkrom Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:0154% → 50%
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
46.5%
Alex Ross run for 1 yd to the Okla 26Similar
Q3 6:09
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
46.7%
Trevor Knight run for no gain to the Okla 26Similar
Q3 5:38
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
48.1%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Blake BellSimilar
Q3 5:29
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
49.7%
Jed Barnett punt for 35 yds, downed at the TCU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 18MISSED FG
11 plays · 46 yds · 2:5852% → 56%
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+25
52.4%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Kolby Listenbee for 25 yds to the Okla 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
55.2%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Josh Doctson for 6 yds to the Okla 30Similar
Q3 4:51
2ND & 4
OPP 30
-10
56.1%
Catalon, B.J. rush for 30 yards to the OKLAHOMA0, PENALTY TCU holding (Naff, Jamelle) 10 yards to the OKLAHOMA40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:51
2ND & 14
OPP 40
-5
52.7%
TCU Penalty, False Start (Tayo Fabuluje) to the Okla 45Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 19
OPP 45
+15
52.8%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Kolby Listenbee for 15 yds to the Okla 30Similar
Q3 3:59
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+6
54.9%
Aaron Green run for 6 yds to the Okla 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
56.8%
Trevone Boykin run for 1 yd to the Okla 23Similar
Q3 3:08
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+4
57.0%
Trevone Boykin pass complete to Deante' Gray for 4 yds to the Okla 19Similar
Q3 2:23
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+4
55.6%
B.J. Catalon run for 4 yds to the Okla 15Similar
Q3 2:18
4TH & 1
OPP 15
+32
55.8%
Jaden Oberkrom 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:2452% → 49%
Q3 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
48.2%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Durron NealSimilar
Q3 2:04
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+10
48.5%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 10 yds to the Okla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
47.8%
Samaje Perine run for 2 yds to the Okla 32Similar
Q3 1:01
2ND & 8
OWN 32
0
47.6%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Michiah QuickSimilar
Q3 0:55
3RD & 8
OWN 32
0
49.6%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Durron NealSimilar
Q3 0:48
4TH & 8
OWN 32
0
50.9%
Jed Barnett punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Cameron Echols-Luper at the TCU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5054% → 51%
Q3 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
53.6%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Kolby ListenbeeSimilar
Q3 0:10
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+5
53.4%
Trevone Boykin run for 5 yds to the TCU 29Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 5
OWN 29
0
52.9%
Trevone Boykin pass incomplete to Kolby ListenbeeSimilar
Q4 14:51
4TH & 5
OWN 29
0
51.3%
Ethan Perry punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Okla 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 21INT TD
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:3353% → 25%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
46.7%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to K.J. YoungSimilar
Q4 14:30
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+8
47.0%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Samaje Perine for 8 yds to the Okla 46Similar
Q4 14:12
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+41
67.5%
T. Knight pass intercepted for a TD,P. Dawson return for 46 yds for a TD, (J. Phillips BLOCKED), (Returned by Z.Sanchez for DEF PAT)Similar
Q4 14:12
1ST & 0
OPP 0
0
74.7%
Zack Sanchez return for defensive PATSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:4935% → 31%
Q4 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
65.2%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Sterling ShepardSimilar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
66.0%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Durron NealSimilar
Q4 13:10
3RD & 10
OWN 31
-5
67.7%
Trevor Knight sacked by Davion Pierson for a loss of 5 yards to the Okla 26Similar
Q4 13:05
4TH & 15
OWN 26
+6
69.3%
Jed Barnett punt for 49 yds , Cameron Echols-Luper returns for 6 yds to the TCU 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2769% → 69%
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
69.1%
Trevone Boykin run for 2 yds to the TCU 33Similar
Q4 12:20
2ND & 8
OWN 33
-3
69.3%
Trevone Boykin run for a loss of 3 yards to the TCU 29 Trevone Boykin fumbled, recovered by TCU Trevone BoykinSimilar
Q4 11:48
3RD & 12
OWN 29
+9
67.4%
Trevone Boykin run for 9 yds to the TCU 38Similar
Q4 11:25
4TH & 3
OWN 38
0
68.6%
Ethan Perry punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Sterling Shepard at the Okla 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 24PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 3:5832% → 23%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+11
68.2%
Samaje Perine run for 11 yds to the Okla 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
68.0%
Samaje Perine run for 4 yds to the Okla 28Similar
Q4 10:07
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+4
67.3%
Samaje Perine run for 4 yds to the Okla 32Similar
Q4 9:31
3RD & 2
OWN 32
-5
67.2%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Delay of Game (Trevor Knight) to the Okla 27Similar
Q4 9:04
3RD & 7
OWN 27
+12
69.7%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 12 yds to the Okla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
66.8%
Samaje Perine run for no gain to the Okla 39Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+5
74.1%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Durron Neal for 5 yds to the Okla 44Similar
Q4 7:12
3RD & 5
OWN 44
0
73.0%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Sterling ShepardSimilar
Q4 7:02
4TH & 5
OWN 44
0
76.8%
Jed Barnett punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 25FUMBLE
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0078% → 78%
Q4 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
78.2%
Trevone Boykin run for 3 yds to the TCU 21 Trevone Boykin fumbled, forced by Quentin Hayes, recovered by Okla Eric StrikerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 26INT
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:4331% → 29%
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-3
68.6%
Samaje Perine run for a loss of 3 yards to the TCU 24Similar
Q4 6:07
2ND & 13
OPP 24
+25
71.0%
Trevor Knight pass intercepted Chris Hackett return for 25 yds to the TCU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 27FUMBLE
1 play · 12 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q4 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
79.7%
B.J. Catalon run for 12 yds to the TCU 46 B.J. Catalon fumbled, recovered by OklaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 28DOWNS
8 plays · 24 yds · 2:3228% → 14%
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
71.9%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 7 yds to the TCU 39Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+1
73.8%
Samaje Perine run for 1 yd to the TCU 38Similar
Q4 5:00
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+7
74.3%
Samaje Perine run for 7 yds to the TCU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
75.1%
Samaje Perine run for 4 yds to the TCU 27Similar
Q4 3:59
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+4
82.6%
Trevor Knight run for 4 yds to the TCU 23Similar
Q4 3:22
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+1
85.1%
Trevor Knight run for 1 yd to the TCU 22Similar
Q4 3:08
4TH & 1
OPP 22
0
86.3%
Samaje Perine run for no gain to the TCU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 29PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:0987% → 94%
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
87.3%
Aaron Green run for 3 yds to the TCU 25Similar
Q4 2:17
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+2
89.4%
Trevone Boykin run for 2 yds to the TCU 27Similar
Q4 1:35
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+3
90.5%
Aaron Green run for 3 yds to the TCU 30Similar
Q4 0:51
4TH & 2
OWN 30
0
94.0%
Ethan Perry punt for 41 yds , Sterling Shepard returns for no gain to the Okla 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 30END OF GAME
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:4511% → 13%
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
89.0%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Alex Ross for 6 yds to the Okla 35Similar
Q4 0:38
2ND & 4
OWN 35
0
88.3%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Sterling ShepardSimilar
Q4 0:21
3RD & 4
OWN 35
-2
89.0%
Trevor Knight sacked by Chucky Hunter for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 33Similar
Q4 0:06
4TH & 6
OWN 33
+21
91.3%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 21 yds to the TCU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
86.6%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
87.3%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Jeffery MeadSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:12
T. Knight pass intercepted for a TD,P. Dawson return for 46 yds for a TD, (J. Phillips BLOCKED), (Returned by Z.Sanchez for DEF PAT)
+20.4
TD · Q3 6:48
Deante' Gray 29 Yd pass from Trevone Boykin (Jaden Oberkrom Kick)
+18.4
TD · Q3 9:28
Samaje Perine 7 Yd Run (Michael Hunnicutt Kick)
-12.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com