Try the model
KU

Kansas 14 at West Virginia 33

WVU
2014 · Week 6 · Oct 4, 2014 · Milan Puskar Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · WVU
modelWVU aheadKU aheadconfidence bandkey playWVU scoreKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDTDFGTDTDEnd of GameFG-0.1WVU 91.9%Josh Lambert 43 yd FG GOODAWAY 0 - HOME 9 · Q1 5:17
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:17 · Josh Lambert 43 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 37Pregame prior+38.8Home team on offense+2.4Score differential+0.3Blowout margin−0.2Garbage-time factor+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:36: Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 63 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK) — WVU win probability +2.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:09: Rushel Shell run for 1 yd for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK) — WVU win probability +2.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:00: Josh Lambert 53 yd FG GOOD — WVU win probability +0.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:18: Corey Avery run for 4 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wyman KICK) — KU win probability +4.1 pts (now 5%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:04: Trevor Pardula kickoff for 59 yds , Mario Alford return for 94 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK) — WVU win probability +4.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WVU made the numbers' call on 5 of 9KU made the numbers' call on 11 of 14
  1. Q1 13:10WVU 4th & 5 at KU 25, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 92.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.5%−<0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    92.1%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:03KU 4th & 13 at KU 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:50WVU 4th & 8 at KU 8, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.3%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.3%
    90% to make
    Punt
    90.8%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:50KU 4th & 8 at KU 27, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.2%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:17WVU 4th & 3 at KU 26, up 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.3%−0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    90.8%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q1 5:06KU 4th & 13 at KU 22, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.2%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00KU 4th & 5 at KU 39, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:07WVU 4th & 13 at KU 30, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.0%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.2%
    56% to make
    Punt
    93.0%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 11:07KU 4th & 8 at KU 48, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 9:04WVU 4th & 2 at WVU 43, up 16
    Close callPunted · 93.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.6%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q2 6:11KU 4th & 9 at KU 43, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.3%
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:09KU 4th & 1 at KU 45, down 23
    Close callPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.3%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 14:53KU 4th & 6 at midfield, down 26
    Close callPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:58KU 4th & 3 at KU 47, down 26
    Close callPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 8:09WVU 4th & 1 at WVU 19, up 26
    Close callPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%−0.5
    average punt
  16. Q3 6:43KU 4th & 6 at KU 36, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  17. Q3 3:58KU 4th & 5 at WVU 49, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  18. Q4 15:00WVU 4th & 1 at KU 29, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.3%−0.3
    58% to make
    Punt
    98.8%−0.8
    average punt
  19. Q4 10:48KU 4th & 10 at KU 29, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  20. Q4 10:40WVU 4th & 5 at WVU 29, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  21. Q4 9:40KU 4th & 15 at KU 33, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  22. Q4 5:29KU 4th & 4 at KU 11, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  23. Q4 2:23WVU 4th & 8 at WVU 32, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WVU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3KU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 0:36WVU Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:09WVU Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 4:18KU Touchdown, down 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:04WVU Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1FG
7 plays · 40 yds · 1:5093% → 93%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
93.3%
Wendell Smallwood run for no gain to the WVirg 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+35
93.3%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 35 yds to the Kans 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
93.3%
Rushel Shell run for 1 yd to the Kans 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+4
93.3%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Rushel Shell for 4 yds to the Kans 25Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 25
0
93.3%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 13:10
4TH & 5
OPP 25
+42
92.9%
Josh Lambert 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 11 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
92.9%
Montell Cozart run for 1 yd to the Kans 21Similar
Q1 13:03
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
92.9%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 13:03
3RD & 9
OWN 21
-5
92.9%
KANSAS Penalty, delay of game (Montell Cozart) to the Kans 16Similar
Q1 13:03
3RD & 14
OWN 16
+18
92.9%
Montell Cozart run for 18 yds to the Kans 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
92.9%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 13:03
2ND & 10
OWN 34
-3
92.9%
Montell Cozart run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kans 31Similar
Q1 13:03
3RD & 13
OWN 31
0
92.9%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 13:03
4TH & 13
OWN 31
0
92.9%
Trevor Pardula punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WVirg 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3FG
11 plays · 59 yds · 2:5192% → 92%
Q1 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
92.4%
Rushel Shell run for 6 yds to the WVirg 39Similar
Q1 10:41
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+4
92.5%
Rushel Shell run for 4 yds to the WVirg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
92.5%
KANSAS Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Cassius Sendish) to the Kans 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
92.5%
Wendell Smallwood run for 3 yds to the Kans 39Similar
Q1 10:41
2ND & 7
OPP 39
0
92.5%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 10:41
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+29
92.5%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 29 yds to the Kans 10 for a 1ST down KANSAS Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
92.5%
Clint Trickett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
92.5%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Mario Alford, broken up by JaCorey ShepherdSimilar
Q1 10:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
92.5%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, delay of game (Clint Trickett) to the Kans 15Similar
Q1 10:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 15
+7
92.4%
Rushel Shell run for 7 yds to the Kans 8Similar
Q1 7:50
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
92.2%
Josh Lambert 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
92.0%
Tony Pierson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Kans 21Similar
Q1 7:50
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+2
92.1%
Corey Avery run for 2 yds to the Kans 23Similar
Q1 7:50
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+4
92.2%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Nick Harwell for 4 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q1 7:50
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
92.2%
Trevor Pardula punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WVirg 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5FG
5 plays · 26 yds · 1:0092% → 92%
Q1 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+19
92.1%
Mario Alford run for 19 yds to the Kans 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
92.1%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Kevin WhiteSimilar
Q1 6:17
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+7
92.1%
Rushel Shell run for 7 yds to the Kans 26Similar
Q1 6:17
3RD & 3
OPP 26
0
92.0%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Kevin WhiteSimilar
Q1 5:17
4TH & 3
OPP 26
+43
91.9%
Josh Lambert 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+8
91.9%
De'Andre Mann run for 8 yds to the Kans 22Similar
Q1 5:06
2ND & 2
OWN 22
+3
91.8%
Corey Avery run for 3 yds to the Kans 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
91.8%
Corey Avery run for 5 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q1 5:06
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
91.7%
Corey Avery run for 1 yd to the Kans 31Similar
Q1 5:06
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-14
91.8%
Montell Cozart sacked by Wes Tonkery for a loss of 14 yards to the Kans 17Similar
Q1 5:06
4TH & 18
OWN 17
+5
92.1%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Kans 22Similar
Q1 5:06
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+2
92.1%
Trevor Pardula punt for 55 yds , Jordan Thompson returns for 2 yds to the WVirg 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 1:1091% → 93%
Q1 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
91.2%
Wendell Smallwood run for 6 yds to the WVirg 31Similar
Q1 1:46
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
91.3%
Rushel Shell run for 16 yds to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST down WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive holding (Mario Alford) to the WVirg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+63
93.4%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 63 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:298% → 8%
Q1 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
92.2%
Corey Avery run for 3 yds to the Kans 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 37
0
92.2%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Nick Harwell, broken up by Dravon HenrySimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+2
92.2%
Montell Cozart run for 2 yds to the Kans 39Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 39
0
92.3%
Trevor Pardula punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jordan Thompson at the WVirg 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9MISSED FG
7 plays · 47 yds · 2:5593% → 93%
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+29
93.3%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Mario Alford for 29 yds to the Kans 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
93.6%
Wendell Smallwood run for 6 yds to the Kans 42Similar
Q2 14:02
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+15
93.6%
KANSAS Penalty, Defensive pass interference (N/A) to the Kans 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-5
93.6%
Rushel Shell run for a loss of 5 yards to the Kans 32Similar
Q2 14:02
2ND & 15
OPP 32
-4
93.5%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Wendell Smallwood for a loss of 4 yards to the Kans 36Similar
Q2 14:02
3RD & 19
OPP 36
+6
93.3%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 6 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q2 11:07
4TH & 13
OPP 30
+52
93.4%
Josh Lambert 47 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by T.J. Semke Isaiah Johnson return for 16 yds to the Kans 14 KANSAS Penalty, illegal forward pass (Isaiah Johnson) to the Kans 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:008% → 7%
Q2 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
92.3%
Montell Cozart run for no gain to the Kans 46Similar
Q2 11:07
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+6
92.4%
Corey Avery run for 6 yds to the WVirg 48Similar
Q2 11:07
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+1
92.3%
Michael Cummings run for 1 yd to the WVirg 47Similar
Q2 11:07
4TH & 3
OPP 47
-5
92.4%
KANSAS Penalty, delay of game (Trevor Pardula) to the Kans 48Similar
Q2 11:07
4TH & 8
OWN 48
0
92.6%
Trevor Pardula punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 23 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
94.0%
KANSAS Penalty, roughing passer (N/A) to the WVirg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
94.0%
Dustin Garrison run for 4 yds to the WVirg 39Similar
Q2 9:04
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+1
94.2%
Dustin Garrison run for 1 yd to the WVirg 40Similar
Q2 9:04
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+3
94.0%
Clint Trickett pass complete to KJ Myers for 3 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
Q2 9:04
4TH & 2
OWN 43
0
93.8%
Nick O'Toole punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Nick Harwell at the Kans 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 31 yds · 1:027% → 7%
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+30
92.9%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Nigel King for 30 yds to the Kans 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
92.6%
Montell Cozart run for 1 yd to the Kans 43Similar
Q2 7:13
2ND & 9
OWN 43
0
92.6%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Nigel KingSimilar
Q2 6:11
3RD & 9
OWN 43
0
93.1%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete, broken up by Shaq PettewaySimilar
Q2 6:11
4TH & 9
OWN 43
0
93.4%
Trevor Pardula punt for 17 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WVirg 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 13TD
6 plays · 60 yds · 1:5095% → 97%
Q2 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
94.6%
Rushel Shell run for 9 yds to the WVirg 49Similar
Q2 5:59
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+7
94.6%
Rushel Shell run for 7 yds to the Kans 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
94.6%
Rushel Shell run for 3 yds to the Kans 41Similar
Q2 5:59
2ND & 7
OPP 41
0
94.6%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Daikiel ShortsSimilar
Q2 5:59
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+40
94.4%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Mario Alford for 39 yds to the Kans 2 for a 1ST down KANSAS Penalty, personal foul (Isaiah Johnson) to the Kans 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.3%
Rushel Shell run for 1 yd for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 14PUNT
10 plays · 20 yds · 2:534% → 3%
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
96.5%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Nick Harwell for 4 yds to the Kans 29Similar
Q2 4:02
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
96.4%
Corey Avery run for 5 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q2 4:02
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
96.3%
Corey Avery run for 2 yds to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
96.7%
Corey Avery run for 4 yds to the Kans 40Similar
Q2 2:41
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+4
96.7%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Tony Pierson for 4 yds to the Kans 44Similar
Q2 2:41
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+1
96.6%
Corey Avery run for 1 yd to the Kans 45Similar
Q2 1:09
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
96.7%
Trevor Pardula punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 15FG
6 plays · 44 yds · 1:0198% → 99%
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
97.8%
Wendell Smallwood run for 8 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+19
97.8%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Jordan Thompson for 19 yds to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
97.9%
Wendell Smallwood run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:01
2ND & 7
50
0
97.9%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Kevin White, broken up by Dexter McDonaldSimilar
Q2 1:01
3RD & 7
50
+14
97.9%
Dreamius Smith run for 14 yds to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+53
98.7%
Josh Lambert 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+17
98.7%
Michael Cummings run for 2 yds to the Kans 31 for a 1ST down WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Nick Kwiatkoski) to the Kans 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
98.6%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Tony PiersonSimilar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-5
98.6%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (Larry Mazyck) to the Kans 41Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 15
OWN 41
+9
98.6%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Justin McCay for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 6
50
0
98.6%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Justin McCaySimilar
Q3 14:53
4TH & 6
50
0
98.6%
Trevor Pardula punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 17INT
9 plays · 44 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
98.7%
Rushel Shell run for 1 yd to the WVirg 21Similar
Q3 13:44
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
98.7%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Mario Alford, broken up by JaCorey ShepherdSimilar
Q3 13:44
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+15
98.7%
Rushel Shell run for 15 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
98.7%
Rushel Shell run for no gain to the WVirg 36Similar
Q3 13:44
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+3
98.7%
Rushel Shell run for 3 yds to the WVirg 39Similar
Q3 13:44
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+8
98.7%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Rushel Shell for 8 yds to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+13
98.7%
Wendell Smallwood run for 13 yds to the Kans 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
98.8%
Wendell Smallwood run for 4 yds to the Kans 36Similar
Q3 13:44
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+29
98.8%
Clint Trickett pass intercepted Isaiah Johnson return for 29 yds to the Kans 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 1:381% → 1%
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
98.8%
Corey Avery run for no gain to the Kans 30Similar
Q3 10:36
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+10
98.8%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Nigel King for 10 yds to the Kans 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
98.8%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Jimmay Mundine for 5 yds to the Kans 45Similar
Q3 10:36
2ND & 5
OWN 45
0
98.8%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Jimmay Mundine, broken up by Wes TonkerySimilar
Q3 8:58
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+2
99.3%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Corey Avery for 2 yds to the Kans 47Similar
Q3 8:58
4TH & 3
OWN 47
0
99.3%
Trevor Pardula punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Jordan Thompson at the WVirg 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
99.2%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 8 yds to the WVirg 18Similar
Q3 8:09
2ND & 2
OWN 18
+1
99.2%
Dreamius Smith run for 1 yd to the WVirg 19Similar
Q3 8:09
3RD & 1
OWN 19
0
99.2%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q3 8:09
4TH & 1
OWN 19
0
99.1%
Nick O'Toole punt for 49 yds, downed at the Kans 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
99.5%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Nigel King for 4 yds to the Kans 36Similar
Q3 6:43
2ND & 6
OWN 36
0
99.5%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Nigel KingSimilar
Q3 6:43
3RD & 6
OWN 36
0
99.5%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Nick HarwellSimilar
Q3 6:43
4TH & 6
OWN 36
0
99.5%
Trevor Pardula punt for 46 yds , Jordan Thompson returns for no gain to the WVirg 18 Jordan Thompson fumbled, recovered by Kans Justin McCaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 21TD
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:241% → 5%
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
99.4%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Nigel KingSimilar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+3
99.4%
Corey Avery run for 3 yds to the WVirg 15Similar
Q3 5:42
3RD & 7
OPP 15
+8
99.5%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Nigel King for 8 yds to the WVirg 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
99.4%
Corey Avery run for 3 yds to the WVirg 4Similar
Q3 4:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
95.4%
Corey Avery run for 4 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wyman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
99.6%
Corey Avery run for no gain to the Kans 32Similar
Q3 3:58
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+14
99.6%
Corey Avery run for 14 yds to the Kans 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
99.6%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (Pat Lewandowski) to the Kans 41Similar
Q3 3:58
1ST & 15
OWN 41
0
99.6%
Joe Dineen Jr. run for no gain to the Kans 41Similar
Q3 3:58
2ND & 15
OWN 41
0
99.6%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Nick HarwellSimilar
Q3 3:58
3RD & 15
OWN 41
+10
99.6%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Nick Harwell for 10 yds to the WVirg 49Similar
Q3 3:58
4TH & 5
OPP 49
0
99.6%
Trevor Pardula punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 24DOWNS
15 plays · 61 yds · 3:58100% → 100%
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-10
99.5%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, personal foul (Nick Kwiatkoski) to the WVirg 10Similar
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
99.5%
Rushel Shell run for 5 yds to the WVirg 15Similar
Q3 3:58
2ND & 5
OWN 15
0
99.5%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Mario AlfordSimilar
Q3 3:58
3RD & 5
OWN 15
+7
99.5%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Jordan Thompson for 7 yds to the WVirg 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
99.5%
Rushel Shell run for 2 yds to the WVirg 24Similar
Q3 3:58
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+3
99.5%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Mario Alford for 3 yds to the WVirg 27Similar
Q3 3:58
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+9
99.5%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Mario Alford for 9 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
99.7%
Wendell Smallwood run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 35Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+15
99.7%
KANSAS Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Cassius Sendish) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
50
-5
99.7%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for a loss of 5 yards to the WVirg 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 45
+17
99.7%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 17 yds to the Kans 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
99.7%
Clint Trickett pass complete to KJ Myers for 4 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+2
99.7%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 2 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+3
99.7%
Rushel Shell run for 3 yds to the Kans 29Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 29
0
99.6%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Kevin WhiteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:280% → 0%
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
99.8%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Nick HarwellSimilar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+2
99.8%
Corey Avery run for 2 yds to the Kans 31Similar
Q4 12:16
3RD & 8
OWN 31
-2
99.8%
Michael Cummings run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 29Similar
Q4 10:48
4TH & 10
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Trevor Pardula punt for 47 yds , Jordan Thompson returns for no gain to the WVirg 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
99.8%
Wendell Smallwood run for 5 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 5
OWN 29
0
99.8%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Jordan ThompsonSimilar
Q4 10:40
3RD & 5
OWN 29
0
99.8%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Mario Alford, broken up by JaCorey ShepherdSimilar
Q4 10:40
4TH & 5
OWN 29
+8
99.8%
Nick O'Toole punt for 43 yds , Nick Harwell returns for 8 yds to the Kans 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 27PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+17
99.8%
Michael Cummings pass complete to Ben Johnson for 17 yds to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-15
99.8%
KANSAS Penalty, personal foul (Justin McCay) to the Kans 38Similar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
99.8%
Michael Cummings run for 2 yds to the Kans 40Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 8
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Michael Cummings pass incomplete to Nick HarwellSimilar
Q4 9:40
3RD & 8
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Michael Cummings run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 33 Michael Cummings fumbled, recovered by Kans Isaiah Johnson , return for no gain to the Kans 33Similar
Q4 9:40
4TH & 15
OWN 33
-4
99.8%
Trevor Pardula punt for 50 yds , Jordan Thompson returns for a loss of 4 yards to the WVirg 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 28FUMBLE
5 plays · 82 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+28
99.9%
Rushel Shell run for 28 yds to the WVirg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
99.9%
Rushel Shell run for 1 yd to the WVirg 42Similar
Q4 8:01
2ND & 9
OWN 42
-1
99.9%
Rushel Shell run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 41Similar
Q4 8:01
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+26
99.9%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Vernon Davis for 26 yds to the Kans 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+28
99.9%
Dustin Garrison run for 28 yds to the Kans 5 Dustin Garrison fumbled, forced by Matthew Boateng, recovered by Kans Matthew BoatengSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 29PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+1
99.9%
Joe Dineen Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kans 6Similar
Q4 5:29
2ND & 9
OWN 6
+1
99.9%
Joe Dineen Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kans 7Similar
Q4 5:29
3RD & 8
OWN 7
+4
99.9%
T.J. Millweard pass complete to Tony Pierson for 4 yds to the Kans 11Similar
Q4 5:29
4TH & 4
OWN 11
+58
99.9%
Trevor Pardula punt for 58 yds , Jordan Thompson returns for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 30PUNT RETURN TD
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:16100% → 99%
Q4 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
99.9%
Skyler Howard run for 2 yds to the WVirg 32Similar
Q4 3:39
2ND & 8
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Vernon DavisSimilar
Q4 3:39
3RD & 8
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Skyler Howard pass incomplete to Shelton GibsonSimilar
Q4 2:23
4TH & 8
OWN 32
+76
99.1%
Nick O'Toole punt for 44 yds , Nick Harwell returns for 76 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wyman KICK), (Matthew Wyman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 31END OF GAME
5 plays · 26 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.2%
Dustin Garrison run for 2 yds to the WVirg 27Similar
Q4 2:23
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+20
99.2%
Skyler Howard run for 20 yds to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
99.3%
Dustin Garrison run for 4 yds to the Kans 49Similar
Q4 2:23
2ND & 6
OPP 49
0
99.2%
Dreamius Smith run for no gain to the Kans 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:04
Trevor Pardula kickoff for 59 yds , Mario Alford return for 94 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)
+4.2
TD · Q3 4:18
Corey Avery run for 4 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wyman KICK)
-4.1
TD · Q2 4:09
Rushel Shell run for 1 yd for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)
+2.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com