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TTU

Texas Tech 13 at Kansas State 45

KSU
2014 · Week 6 · Oct 4, 2014 · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
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Win probability · KSU
modelKSU aheadTTU aheadconfidence bandkey playKSU scoreTTU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 10:01 · Jake Waters run for no gain to the TexTc 21
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 103Pregame prior+13.5Home team on offense+18.6Score differential+9.1Garbage-time factor+7.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.6Blowout margin−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:31: Jake Waters run for 4 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK) — KSU win probability +4.2 pts (now 85%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 6:12: Matthew McCrane 27 yd FG GOOD — KSU win probability +6.6 pts (now 91%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:11: Davis Webb pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 22 yds for a TD, (Ryan Bustin KICK) — TTU win probability +6.4 pts (now 20%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:21: Jake Waters pass complete to Tyler Lockett for 15 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK) — KSU win probability +5.9 pts (now 90%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:14: Jake Waters pass complete to Tyler Lockett for 14 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK) — KSU win probability +3.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5TTU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 13:50TTU 4th & 1 at TTU 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    20.0%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:37TTU 4th & 11 at TTU 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.6%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:48KSU 4th & 1 at TTU 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    79.3%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:49KSU 4th & 19 at KSU 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.5%−1.0
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:01TTU 4th & 6 at TTU 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.0%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:12KSU 4th & 7 at TTU 10, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.7%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.0%
    88% to make
    Punt
    80.7%−4.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:29KSU 4th & 6 at KSU 39, up 10
    Close callPunted · 81.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.0%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:57TTU 4th & 10 at TTU 18, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.5%−1.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:01KSU 4th & 1 at TTU 21, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    90.9%−1.5
    74% to make
    Punt
    86.4%−5.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:14TTU 4th & 4 at TTU 27, down 17
    Close callPunted · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:29TTU 4th & 10 at KSU 34, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.1%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    2.1%
    47% to make
    Punt
    1.9%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6TTU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 7:18KSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:31KSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:11TTU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:21KSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:14KSU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:10KSU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:14KSU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TTUDrive 1INT
12 plays · 63 yds · 3:3520% → 21%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
80.4%
Davis Webb pass complete to Bradley Marquez for 4 yds to the TexTc 34Similar
Q1 14:27
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+5
80.2%
Davis Webb pass complete to Dylan Cantrell for 5 yds to the TexTc 39Similar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 1
OWN 39
0
80.1%
DeAndre Washington run for no gain to the TexTc 39Similar
Q1 13:50
4TH & 1
OWN 39
+4
80.1%
Taylor Symmank run for 4 yds to the TexTc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
79.9%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Bradley MarquezSimilar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+17
79.8%
Davis Webb pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 17 yds to the KanSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
79.6%
Davis Webb pass complete to Bradley Marquez for 5 yds to the KanSt 35Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+13
79.4%
Davis Webb pass complete to Jordan Davis for 13 yds to the KanSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:57
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+10
79.3%
DeAndre Washington run for 10 yds to the KanSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
79.2%
DeAndre Washington run for 5 yds to the KanSt 7Similar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 5
OPP 7
0
79.0%
Davis Webb pass intercepted, touchback. Morgan Burns return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 2TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 3:4279% → 81%
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
79.3%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 1 yd to the KanSt 21Similar
Q1 10:33
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+5
79.2%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the KanSt 26Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+3
79.2%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 3 yds to the KanSt 29Similar
Q1 9:49
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+10
79.0%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 10 yds to the KanSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
79.1%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 1 yd to the KanSt 40Similar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 9
OWN 40
0
78.8%
Jake Waters pass incomplete to Tyler LockettSimilar
Q1 8:32
3RD & 9
OWN 40
+10
78.5%
Jake Waters pass complete to Tyler Lockett for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
50
+2
79.0%
Jake Waters run for 2 yds to the TexTc 48Similar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+48
80.7%
Jake Waters pass complete to Curry Sexton for 48 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 9 yds · 2:2220% → 20%
Q1 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
80.1%
Davis Webb pass complete to Reginald Davis for 7 yds to the TexTc 37Similar
Q1 6:41
2ND & 3
OWN 37
0
79.8%
DeAndre Washington run for no gain to the TexTc 37Similar
Q1 6:13
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+3
79.9%
Davis Webb run for 3 yds to the TexTc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
79.8%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Bradley MarquezSimilar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+4
79.9%
Davis Webb pass complete to DeAndre Washington for 4 yds to the TexTc 44Similar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 6
OWN 44
-5
79.8%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, False Start (Reshod Fortenberry) to the TexTc 39Similar
Q1 4:47
3RD & 11
OWN 39
0
80.1%
Davis Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:37
4TH & 11
OWN 39
0
80.4%
Taylor Symmank punt for 61 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 4DOWNS
11 plays · 24 yds · 4:4180% → 79%
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
80.2%
Jake Waters pass incomplete to Curry SextonSimilar
Q1 4:23
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+22
80.2%
Jake Waters run for 22 yds to the KanSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
80.7%
Jake Waters pass complete to Tyler Lockett for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 41Similar
Q1 2:56
2ND & 11
OWN 41
-2
80.5%
Jake Waters sacked by Pete Robertson for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 39Similar
Q1 2:18
3RD & 13
OWN 39
+12
79.8%
Jake Waters pass complete to Tyler Lockett for 12 yds to the TexTc 49Similar
Q1 1:48
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+2
79.8%
Jake Waters run for 2 yds to the TexTc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-3
80.6%
Jake Waters sacked by Justis Nelson for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 0:30
2ND & 13
50
-6
80.1%
Jake Waters sacked by Rika Levi for a loss of 6 yards to the KanSt 44Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 19
OWN 44
0
79.4%
Jake Waters run for no gain to the KanSt 44Similar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 19
OWN 44
0
78.9%
Nick Walsh punt for 27 yds, downed at the TexTc 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:3421% → 20%
Q2 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
79.0%
Davis Webb pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 4 yds to the TexTc 33Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 6
OWN 33
0
78.8%
Davis Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:08
3RD & 6
OWN 33
0
79.2%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Jordan DavisSimilar
Q2 14:01
4TH & 6
OWN 33
0
79.7%
Taylor Symmank punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Tyler Lockett at the KanSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 6TD
6 plays · 69 yds · 2:2380% → 85%
Q2 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
79.6%
Jake Waters pass incomplete to Curry SextonSimilar
Q2 13:33
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+11
79.5%
Jake Waters pass complete to Deante Burton for 11 yds to the KanSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+50
80.4%
Jake Waters run for 50 yds to the TexTc 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
80.7%
Charles Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 9Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
80.7%
Jake Waters pass complete to Curry Sexton for 1 yd to the TexTc 8 for a 1ST down TEXAS TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (Rika Levi) to the TexTc 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
84.9%
Jake Waters run for 4 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 7INT
4 plays · 13 yds · 0:3717% → 17%
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
82.7%
DeAndre Washington run for 5 yds to the TexTc 35Similar
Q2 10:57
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+8
82.7%
DeAndre Washington run for 8 yds to the TexTc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
82.6%
Davis Webb pass intercepted Travis Green return for 1 yd to the KanSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 8FG
9 plays · 51 yds · 4:0385% → 91%
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
85.0%
Charles Jones run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
50
+3
85.2%
Jake Waters run for 3 yds to the TexTc 47Similar
Q2 9:15
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+14
85.2%
Jake Waters pass complete to Tyler Lockett for 14 yds to the TexTc 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+20
85.4%
Jake Waters pass complete to Tyler Lockett for 20 yds to the TexTc 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
84.8%
Charles Jones run for 1 yd to the TexTc 12Similar
Q2 7:31
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+5
85.0%
Charles Jones run for 5 yds to the TexTc 7Similar
Q2 6:47
3RD & 4
OPP 7
-3
84.5%
Charles Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexTc 10Similar
Q2 6:12
4TH & 7
OPP 10
+27
91.0%
Matthew McCrane 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 9TD
7 plays · 74 yds · 1:5313% → 20%
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+23
87.3%
Davis Webb pass complete to Reginald Davis for 23 yds to the TexTc 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+26
86.3%
Davis Webb pass complete to Jordan Davis for 26 yds to the KanSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
85.3%
DeAndre Washington run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 26Similar
Q2 4:45
2ND & 11
OPP 26
+4
85.7%
Davis Webb pass complete to Bradley Marquez for 4 yds to the KanSt 22Similar
Q2 4:11
3RD & 7
OPP 22
+22
79.7%
Davis Webb pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 22 yds for a TD, (Ryan Bustin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:3081% → 83%
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
81.0%
Charles Jones run for 10 yds to the KanSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
81.6%
Charles Jones run for 1 yd to the KanSt 36Similar
Q2 2:44
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+3
82.1%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 3 yds to the KanSt 39Similar
Q2 2:37
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
83.3%
Jake Waters pass incomplete to Deante BurtonSimilar
Q2 2:29
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
82.5%
Nick Walsh punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Cameron Batson at the TexTc 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2716% → 15%
Q2 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
84.2%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Cameron BatsonSimilar
Q2 2:19
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
84.3%
Davis Webb pass complete to Jakeem Grant for no gain to the TexTc 18Similar
Q2 2:05
3RD & 10
OWN 18
0
84.9%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Jordan DavisSimilar
Q2 1:57
4TH & 10
OWN 18
0
84.7%
Taylor Symmank punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Tyler Lockett at the KanSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 12TD
9 plays · 59 yds · 1:1684% → 90%
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
83.7%
Jake Waters pass complete to Curry Sexton for 3 yds to the KanSt 44Similar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+13
83.8%
Jake Waters pass complete to Tyler Lockett for 13 yds to the TexTc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
84.4%
Jake Waters pass complete to Curry Sexton for 8 yds to the TexTc 35Similar
Q2 0:51
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+16
84.7%
Jake Waters pass complete to Kody Cook for 16 yds to the TexTc 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-15
84.8%
KANSAS ST Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (Tyler Lockett) to the TexTc 34Similar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 25
OPP 34
0
84.7%
Jake Waters pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 25
OPP 34
+19
84.3%
Jake Waters run for 19 yds to the TexTc 15Similar
Q2 0:21
3RD & 6
OPP 15
+15
89.7%
Jake Waters pass complete to Tyler Lockett for 15 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-1
88.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 14DOWNS
10 plays · 55 yds · 4:4690% → 93%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+12
89.7%
Jake Waters pass complete to Tyler Lockett for 12 yds to the KanSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+18
89.8%
Jake Waters run for 18 yds to the TexTc 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-4
90.3%
Jake Waters run for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:54
2ND & 14
50
+10
90.4%
Jake Waters pass complete to Kody Cook for 10 yds to the TexTc 40Similar
Q3 12:26
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+10
90.9%
Jake Waters pass complete to Curry Sexton for 10 yds to the TexTc 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
91.6%
Jake Waters run for 2 yds to the TexTc 28Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 8
OPP 28
-3
91.6%
Jake Waters run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexTc 31 Jake Waters fumbled, recovered by KanSt DeMarcus RobinsonSimilar
Q3 11:00
3RD & 11
OPP 31
+10
92.5%
Jake Waters pass complete to Curry Sexton for 10 yds to the TexTc 21Similar
Q3 10:01
4TH & 1
OPP 21
0
92.5%
Jake Waters run for no gain to the TexTc 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:409% → 8%
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-10
91.3%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Baylen Brown) to the TexTc 11Similar
Q3 9:35
1ST & 20
OWN 11
0
91.4%
Davis Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 20
OWN 11
+10
91.7%
Davis Webb run for 10 yds to the TexTc 21Similar
Q3 8:40
3RD & 10
OWN 21
+6
91.9%
Davis Webb pass complete to Jordan Davis for 6 yds to the TexTc 27Similar
Q3 8:14
4TH & 4
OWN 27
0
92.0%
Taylor Symmank punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Tyler Lockett at the KanSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 16TD
9 plays · 66 yds · 3:4194% → 98%
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
93.7%
Jake Waters pass complete to Tyler Lockett for 6 yds to the KanSt 40Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+15
93.9%
Jake Waters pass incomplete for a 1ST down TEXAS TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (J.J. Gaines) to the TexTc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
94.1%
Tyler Lockett run for 9 yds to the TexTc 36Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+2
94.2%
Charles Jones run for 2 yds to the TexTc 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
94.3%
Jake Waters run for 1 yd to the TexTc 33Similar
Q3 5:35
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+14
94.4%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Justis Nelson) to the TexTc 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
94.5%
Charles Jones run for no gain to the TexTc 19Similar
Q3 4:38
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+5
94.7%
Jake Waters pass complete to Tyler Lockett for 5 yds to the TexTc 14Similar
Q3 4:14
3RD & 5
OPP 14
+14
98.1%
Jake Waters pass complete to Tyler Lockett for 14 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 17INT
10 plays · 46 yds · 1:312% → 2%
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
97.6%
Davis Webb pass complete to Jordan Davis for 12 yds to the TexTc 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+19
97.5%
Davis Webb pass complete to Dylan Cantrell for 19 yds to the KanSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
97.5%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Justin StocktonSimilar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
97.5%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Reginald DavisSimilar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+15
97.6%
Davis Webb pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 15 yds to the KanSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
97.3%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Jordan DavisSimilar
Q3 2:48
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
97.3%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Jakeem GrantSimilar
Q3 2:39
3RD & 10
OPP 34
0
97.6%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to D.J. Polite-BraySimilar
Q3 2:29
4TH & 10
OPP 34
+20
97.7%
Davis Webb pass intercepted Travis Green return for 20 yds to the KanSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 18FUMBLE
3 plays · 16 yds · 0:5298% → 99%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
98.3%
Charles Jones run for 3 yds to the KanSt 33Similar
Q3 1:40
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+6
98.3%
Jake Waters pass complete to Curry Sexton for 6 yds to the KanSt 39Similar
Q3 1:08
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+7
98.5%
Charles Jones run for 7 yds to the TexTc 43 Charles Jones fumbled, recovered by TexTcSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 19TD
7 plays · 57 yds · 1:052% → 5%
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
98.1%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Jakeem GrantSimilar
Q3 0:50
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+13
98.1%
Davis Webb pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 13 yds to the KanSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
98.3%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to DeAndre WashingtonSimilar
Q3 0:20
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+13
98.3%
Davis Webb pass complete to Ian Sadler for 13 yds to the KanSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+12
98.2%
Davis Webb pass complete to Bradley Marquez for 12 yds to the KanSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
98.2%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Jakeem GrantSimilar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+19
94.7%
Davis Webb pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 19 yds for a TD, (Davis Webb failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 20TD
10 plays · 66 yds · 3:0997% → 99%
Q4 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
96.9%
Charles Jones run for 12 yds to the KanSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
97.2%
Charles Jones run for 6 yds to the TexTc 48Similar
Q4 13:28
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+4
97.3%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 4 yds to the TexTc 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
97.4%
Jake Waters pass incomplete to Glenn GronkowskiSimilar
Q4 13:01
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+39
97.4%
Jake Waters pass complete to Curry Sexton for 39 yds to the TexTc 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
97.5%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 1 yd to the TexTc 4Similar
Q4 11:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
97.6%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 1 yd to the TexTc 3Similar
Q4 11:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.4%
Jake Waters pass complete to Curry Sexton for 3 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 21INT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:151% → 1%
Q4 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
98.6%
Davis Webb pass complete to Ian Sadler for 4 yds to the TexTc 23Similar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 6
OWN 23
0
98.7%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Dylan CantrellSimilar
Q4 10:35
3RD & 6
OWN 23
-9
99.0%
Davis Webb pass intercepted Morgan Burns return for a loss of 9 yards to the KanSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 22TD
14 plays · 62 yds · 6:5699% → 100%
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
99.4%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 6 yds to the KanSt 44Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+3
99.6%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 3 yds to the KanSt 47Similar
Q4 9:00
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+1
99.6%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 1 yd to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-1
99.6%
DeMarcus Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 47Similar
Q4 7:55
2ND & 11
OWN 47
+15
99.7%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Nigel Bethel II) to the TexTc 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
99.7%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 36Similar
Q4 6:50
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+22
99.7%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 22 yds to the TexTc 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:07
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-2
99.7%
DeMarcus Robinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 16Similar
Q4 5:22
2ND & 12
OPP 16
+7
99.8%
Glenn Gronkowski run for 7 yds to the TexTc 9Similar
Q4 5:02
3RD & 5
OPP 9
+5
99.7%
Jake Waters pass complete to Tyler Lockett for 5 yds to the TexTc 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.7%
DeMarcus Robinson run for no gain to the TexTc 4Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
99.7%
Glenn Gronkowski run for 2 yds to the TexTc 2Similar
Q4 3:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
DeMarcus Robinson 2 Yd Run (Jack Cantele Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 23END OF GAME
11 plays · 57 yds · 2:480% → 0%
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+9
99.9%
Patrick Mahomes run for 9 yds to the TexTc 21Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 1
OWN 21
+3
99.9%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Cameron Batson for 3 yds to the TexTc 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
99.9%
Justin Stockton run for 2 yds to the TexTc 26Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+4
99.9%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Ian Sadler for 4 yds to the TexTc 30Similar
Q4 1:10
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+11
99.9%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to D.J. Polite-Bray for 11 yds to the TexTc 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+17
99.9%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to D.J. Polite-Bray for 17 yds to the KanSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-8
99.9%
Patrick Mahomes sacked by Ryan Mueller for a loss of 8 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 18
50
0
100.0%
Patrick Mahomes pass incomplete to D.J. Polite-BraySimilar
Q4 0:15
3RD & 18
50
+19
100.0%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Devin Lauderdale for 19 yds to the KanSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
99.9%
Patrick Mahomes pass incomplete to Cameron BatsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q2 6:12
Matthew McCrane 27 yd FG GOOD
+6.6
TD · Q2 4:11
Davis Webb pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 22 yds for a TD, (Ryan Bustin KICK)
-6.4
TD · Q2 0:21
Jake Waters pass complete to Tyler Lockett for 15 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)
+5.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com