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ISU

Iowa State 20 at Oklahoma State 37

OKST
2014 · Week 6 · Oct 4, 2014 · Boone Pickens Stadium
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Win probability · OKST
modelOKST aheadISU aheadconfidence bandkey playOKST scoreISU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 6:24 · Kip Smith punt for 40 yds , Jarvis West returns for 1 yd to the IowSt 41
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 32Pregame prior+32.4Home team on offense−0.1Score differential−0.2Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 7:02: Cole Netten 34 yd FG GOOD — ISU win probability +5.6 pts (now 30%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:00: Desmond Roland run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK) — OKST win probability +5.9 pts (now 86%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 14:49: Cole Netten kickoff for 62 yds , Tyreek Hill return for 97 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK) — OKST win probability +3.7 pts (now 89%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:02: Sam B. Richardson pass complete to E.J. Bibbs for 17 yds for a TD, (Cole Netten KICK) — ISU win probability +8.1 pts (now 20%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:54: Daxx Garman pass complete to Jhajuan Seales for 40 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK) — OKST win probability +7.7 pts (now 92%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OKST made the numbers' call on 6 of 7ISU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00ISU 4th & 5 at ISU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:33OKST 4th & 15 at OKST 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.2%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:02ISU 4th & 1 at OKST 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    13.9%−0.2
    30% to make
    Punt
    14.0%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:12ISU 4th & 4 at OKST 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    15.7%−0.2
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    15.8%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:24OKST 4th & 10 at OKST 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.6%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:04ISU 4th & 14 at OKST 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.4%−0.7
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.1%
    83% to make
    Punt
    17.1%−2.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:04OKST 4th & 1 at ISU 39, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    79.1%−1.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    79.1%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:02ISU 4th & 11 at OKST 16, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.1%−0.8
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.9%
    81% to make
    Punt
    20.4%−4.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:57OKST 4th & 13 at ISU 17, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.2%−1.3
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    67.6%
    80% to make
    Punt
    62.7%−4.9
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:43ISU 4th & 10 at ISU 22, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.1%−1.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.4%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:43OKST 4th & 8 at ISU 13, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.9%−1.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.1%
    85% to make
    Punt
    66.4%−5.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:54ISU 4th & 7 at ISU 28, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%−0.6
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.8%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:30OKST 4th & 1 at ISU 17, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsKicked a field goal · 92.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.3%−1.5
    80% to make
    Punt
    87.0%−5.8
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:49ISU 4th & 10 at ISU 40, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:55ISU 4th & 10 at OKST 42, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    1.3%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:06OKST 4th & 10 at ISU 49, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:46ISU 4th & 1 at ISU 22, down 24
    Close callPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OKST made the numbers' call on 4 of 4ISU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 0:00OKST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 14:49OKST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 10:02ISU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:54OKST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:55OKST Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:50ISU Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ISUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
86.6%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to Jarvis West for no gain to the IowSt 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
86.6%
Aaron Wimberly run for 5 yds to the IowSt 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
86.6%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
-2
86.6%
Colin Downing punt for 38 yds , Tyreek Hill returns for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q1 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
86.2%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Tyreek Hill for 1 yd to the OKSt 31Similar
Q1 13:33
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+2
86.2%
Tyreek Hill run for 2 yds to the OKSt 33Similar
Q1 13:33
3RD & 7
OWN 33
-3
86.2%
Daxx Garman sacked by Jevohn Miller for a loss of 3 yards to the OKSt 30Similar
Q1 13:33
4TH & 10
OWN 30
-5
86.2%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, false start (N/A) to the OKSt 25Similar
Q1 13:33
4TH & 15
OWN 25
0
86.2%
Kip Smith punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Aaron Wimberly at the IowSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 3DOWNS
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
85.7%
DeVondrick Nealy run for a loss of 2 yards to the IowSt 36Similar
Q1 12:02
2ND & 12
OWN 36
+11
85.8%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to Jauan Wesley for 11 yds to the IowSt 47Similar
Q1 12:02
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+2
85.6%
Martinez Syria run for 2 yds to the IowSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
85.6%
Sam B. Richardson run for 9 yds to the OKSt 42Similar
Q1 12:02
2ND & 1
OPP 42
0
85.6%
DeVondrick Nealy run for no gain to the OKSt 42Similar
Q1 12:02
3RD & 1
OPP 42
0
85.6%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 12:02
4TH & 1
OPP 42
0
85.7%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to Jauan Wesley, broken up by Emmanuel OgbahSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 4INT
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
85.0%
Desmond Roland run for 2 yds to the OKSt 44Similar
Q1 8:57
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+9
85.1%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Brandon Sheperd for 9 yds to the IowSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
85.2%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Brandon Sheperd for 4 yds to the IowSt 43Similar
Q1 8:57
2ND & 6
OPP 43
-1
85.2%
Desmond Roland run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 44Similar
Q1 8:57
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+17
85.1%
Daxx Garman pass intercepted Sam E. Richardson return for 17 yds to the OKSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
83.6%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to E.J. Bibbs for 6 yds to the OKSt 40Similar
Q1 7:12
2ND & 4
OPP 40
0
83.6%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to E.J. BibbsSimilar
Q1 7:12
3RD & 4
OPP 40
0
83.7%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 7:12
4TH & 4
OPP 40
0
83.9%
Holden Kramer punt for 31 yds, downed at the OKSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+11
83.8%
Rennie Childs run for 11 yds to the OKSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
83.9%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Tyreek Hill for 4 yds to the OKSt 24Similar
Q1 6:24
2ND & 6
OWN 24
-5
84.0%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, false start (N/A) to the OKSt 19Similar
Q1 6:24
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+1
83.9%
Tyreek Hill run for 1 yd to the OKSt 20Similar
Q1 6:24
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
83.6%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 6:24
4TH & 10
OWN 20
+1
83.5%
Kip Smith punt for 40 yds , Jarvis West returns for 1 yd to the IowSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 7FG
16 plays · 44 yds · 6:2617% → 21%
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
82.7%
Richardson, SB pass incomplete to Lazard, Allen, PENALTY OSU offside defense (Hautau, Ofa) 5 yards to the ISU46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 5
OWN 46
0
82.6%
Aaron Wimberly run for no gain to the IowSt 46Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+10
82.6%
Sam B. Richardson run for 10 yds to the OKSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
82.5%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
82.5%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to Jauan WesleySimilar
Q1 4:30
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+10
82.8%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to E.J. Bibbs for 10 yds to the OKSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
82.4%
Sam B. Richardson run for 2 yds to the OKSt 32Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+6
82.4%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to Dondre Daley for 6 yds to the OKSt 26Similar
Q1 4:30
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+4
82.5%
Aaron Wimberly run for 4 yds to the OKSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
82.3%
Aaron Wimberly run for 5 yds to the OKSt 17Similar
Q1 4:30
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+4
82.3%
Aaron Wimberly run for 4 yds to the OKSt 13Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+2
80.1%
Martinez Syria run for 2 yds to the OKSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
79.8%
Aaron Wimberly run for 3 yds to the OKSt 8Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 8
0
79.8%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 8
-7
80.2%
Sam B. Richardson sacked by Josh Furman for a loss of 7 yards to the OKSt 15Similar
Q2 13:04
4TH & 14
OPP 15
+34
79.3%
Cole Netten 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 8INT
11 plays · 36 yds · 0:0079% → 80%
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+12
79.3%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Brandon Sheperd for 12 yds to the OKSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
79.5%
Desmond Roland run for 3 yds to the OKSt 37Similar
Q2 13:04
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+15
80.1%
Garman, Daxx pass incomplete to Washington, J., PENALTY ISU pass interference (Richardson, SE) 15 yards to the ISU48, 1ST DOWN OSU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
80.6%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Brandon Sheperd for 9 yds to the IowSt 39Similar
Q2 13:04
2ND & 1
OPP 39
-7
80.7%
Daxx Garman sacked by Drake Ferch and Cory Morrissey for a loss of 7 yards to the IowSt 46Similar
Q2 13:04
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+7
80.2%
Tyreek Hill run for 7 yds to the IowSt 39Similar
Q2 13:04
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+2
79.9%
Tyreek Hill run for 2 yds to the IowSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-5
80.7%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, false start (N/A) to the IowSt 42Similar
Q2 13:04
1ST & 15
OPP 42
0
80.0%
Daxx Garman pass complete to James Washington for no gain to the IowSt 42Similar
Q2 13:04
2ND & 15
OPP 42
+4
79.9%
Daxx Garman pass intercepted Nigel Tribune return for 4 yds to the IowSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 9FG
5 plays · 52 yds · 2:2624% → 30%
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+53
76.4%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to DeVondrick Nealy for 53 yds to the OKSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
74.9%
DeVondrick Nealy run for 2 yds to the OKSt 13Similar
Q2 9:28
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+5
74.9%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to Dondre Daley for 5 yds to the OKSt 8Similar
Q2 9:28
3RD & 3
OPP 8
-8
75.5%
Sam B. Richardson sacked by Josh Furman for a loss of 8 yards to the OKSt 16Similar
Q2 7:02
4TH & 11
OPP 16
+34
69.9%
Cole Netten 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 10FG
15 plays · 72 yds · 4:0572% → 73%
Q2 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
71.7%
Desmond Roland run for 2 yds to the OKSt 13Similar
Q2 7:02
2ND & 8
OWN 13
+16
71.6%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 16 yds to the OKSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+20
72.0%
Daxx Garman pass complete to David Glidden for 20 yds to the OKSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
73.6%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 7:02
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+4
73.3%
Desmond Roland run for 4 yds to the IowSt 47Similar
Q2 5:22
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+20
73.0%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Jhajuan Seales for 20 yds to the IowSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-3
74.5%
Tyreek Hill run for a loss of 3 yards to the IowSt 30Similar
Q2 5:22
2ND & 13
OPP 30
+11
74.0%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 11 yds to the IowSt 19Similar
Q2 5:22
3RD & 2
OPP 19
+5
73.4%
Desmond Roland run for 5 yds to the IowSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
74.5%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Jhajuan Seales, broken up by Kenneth LynnSimilar
Q2 5:22
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+1
74.5%
Daxx Garman run for 1 yd to the IowSt 13Similar
Q2 5:22
3RD & 9
OPP 13
-4
73.5%
Daxx Garman sacked by Trent Taylor for a loss of 4 yards to the IowSt 17Similar
Q2 2:57
4TH & 13
OPP 17
+34
72.9%
Ben Grogan 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:1428% → 27%
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
72.3%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to Dondre DaleySimilar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
72.5%
Aaron Wimberly run for no gain to the IowSt 22Similar
Q2 2:43
3RD & 10
OWN 22
0
72.2%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to Jauan WesleySimilar
Q2 2:43
4TH & 10
OWN 22
+48
73.0%
Colin Downing punt for 48 yds , Tyreek Hill returns for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 12FG
13 plays · 58 yds · 1:4771% → 76%
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+15
71.2%
Garman, Daxx pass incomplete to Sheperd, B., PENALTY ISU pass interference (Tribune, Nigel) 15 yards to the OSU44, 1ST DOWN OSU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
73.1%
Daxx Garman pass complete to David Glidden for 11 yds to the IowSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
73.8%
Daxx Garman pass complete to David Glidden for 5 yds to the IowSt 40Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+14
73.8%
Desmond Roland run for 14 yds to the IowSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
74.7%
Daxx Garman pass complete to David Glidden for 4 yds to the IowSt 22Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 6
OPP 22
0
74.7%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Brandon SheperdSimilar
Q2 1:16
3RD & 6
OPP 22
+7
73.0%
Desmond Roland run for 7 yds to the IowSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
74.4%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Brandon Sheperd for 2 yds to the IowSt 13Similar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 8
OPP 13
0
74.4%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Jhajuan SealesSimilar
Q2 1:16
3RD & 8
OPP 13
0
73.0%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Brandon SheperdSimilar
Q2 0:43
4TH & 8
OPP 13
+30
76.4%
Ben Grogan 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 13TD
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:4379% → 86%
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
78.8%
Desmond Roland run for 6 yds to the IowSt 5Similar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 4
OPP 5
+4
78.8%
Desmond Roland run for 4 yds to the IowSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
80.0%
Daxx Garman run for a loss of 1 yard to the IowSt 2Similar
Q2 0:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
79.6%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Marcell AtemanSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
85.5%
Desmond Roland run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 15TD
14 plays · 71 yds · 4:4711% → 20%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
89.4%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to Jauan Wesley for 5 yds to the IowSt 34Similar
Q3 14:49
2ND & 5
OWN 34
0
89.1%
DeVondrick Nealy run for no gain to the IowSt 34Similar
Q3 14:49
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+21
89.4%
Sam B. Richardson run for 21 yds to the OKSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
88.4%
Aaron Wimberly run for no gain to the OKSt 45Similar
Q3 14:49
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
88.7%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to Dondre DaleySimilar
Q3 14:49
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+16
88.9%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to Dondre Daley for 16 yds to the OKSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
87.7%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete, broken up by Emmanuel OgbahSimilar
Q3 14:49
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+1
88.0%
Sam B. Richardson run for 1 yd to the OKSt 28Similar
Q3 14:49
3RD & 9
OPP 28
+10
88.5%
Richardson, SB sacked for loss of 4 yards to the OSU32 (Clark, Trace), fumble by Richardson, SB recovered by OSU Jacobs, Seth at OSU36, Jacobs, Seth for 22 yards to the ISU42 (Gannon, Jacob), PENALTY OSU holding (Furman, Josh) 10 yards to the OSU18, 1ST DOWN ISU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
87.7%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to Jauan WesleySimilar
Q3 14:49
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+1
87.9%
Sam B. Richardson run for 1 yd to the OKSt 17Similar
Q3 14:49
3RD & 9
OPP 0
0
88.3%
Richardson, SB pass intercepted by Richards, Ramon at the OSU0, Richards, Ramon return to the OSU0, touchback, PENALTY ISU personal foul off-setting, PENALTY OSU holding off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:02
3RD & 9
OPP 17
+17
80.2%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to E.J. Bibbs for 17 yds for a TD, (Cole Netten KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 16TD
10 plays · 81 yds · 2:0883% → 92%
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
82.9%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Jhajuan Seales for 6 yds to the OKSt 25Similar
Q3 10:02
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+10
83.1%
Desmond Roland run for 10 yds to the OKSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
83.2%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Tyreek Hill, broken up by Sam E. RichardsonSimilar
Q3 10:02
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+9
83.0%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Jhajuan Seales for 9 yds to the OKSt 44Similar
Q3 10:02
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+4
83.9%
Desmond Roland run for 4 yds to the OKSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
84.7%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q3 10:02
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+9
84.4%
Daxx Garman run for 9 yds to the IowSt 43Similar
Q3 10:02
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+3
84.3%
Daxx Garman pass complete to James Washington for 3 yds to the IowSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
92.0%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Jhajuan Seales for 40 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0010% → 9%
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.3%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete, broken up by James CastlemanSimilar
Q3 7:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
90.4%
DeVondrick Nealy run for 3 yds to the IowSt 28Similar
Q3 7:54
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
90.5%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to Aaron WimberlySimilar
Q3 7:54
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+22
90.7%
Colin Downing punt for 52 yds , Tyreek Hill returns for 22 yds to the OKSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 18FG
6 plays · 41 yds · 2:2093% → 95%
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
92.5%
Rennie Childs run for 2 yds to the OKSt 44Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+30
92.5%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Brandon Sheperd for 30 yds to the IowSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
92.6%
Daxx Garman run for 1 yd to the IowSt 25Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+6
92.6%
Tyreek Hill run for 6 yds to the IowSt 19Similar
Q3 6:50
3RD & 3
OPP 19
+2
92.3%
Tyreek Hill run for 2 yds to the IowSt 17Similar
Q3 4:30
4TH & 1
OPP 17
+34
94.8%
Ben Grogan 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:416% → 5%
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
94.5%
DeVondrick Nealy run for 15 yds to the IowSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
94.2%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to Jauan Wesley, broken up by Tre FlowersSimilar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
94.3%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to Dondre DaleySimilar
Q3 3:49
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
94.7%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q3 3:49
4TH & 10
OWN 40
+1
95.0%
Colin Downing punt for 33 yds , Tyreek Hill returns for 1 yd to the OKSt 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 20TD
11 plays · 72 yds · 3:3796% → 99%
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+15
95.7%
Roland, Desmond rush for no gain to the OSU28 (Jensen, Brandon), PENALTY ISU personal foul (Jensen, Brandon) 15 yards to the OSU43, 1ST DOWN OSU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
95.8%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q3 3:32
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+6
95.8%
Daxx Garman pass complete to David Glidden for 6 yds to the OKSt 49Similar
Q3 3:32
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+18
95.7%
Daxx Garman pass complete to David Glidden for 18 yds to the IowSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
96.0%
Tyreek Hill run for 1 yd to the IowSt 32Similar
Q3 3:32
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+6
95.9%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 6 yds to the IowSt 26Similar
Q3 3:32
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+8
95.9%
Desmond Roland run for 8 yds to the IowSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
96.0%
Desmond Roland run for 8 yds to the IowSt 10Similar
Q3 3:32
2ND & 2
OPP 10
0
96.0%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to James Washington, broken up by Kenneth LynnSimilar
Q3 3:32
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+4
95.9%
Daxx Garman run for 4 yds to the IowSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.0%
Desmond Roland run for 6 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
98.7%
Aaron Wimberly run for 16 yds to the IowSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
98.7%
Aaron Wimberly run for 2 yds to the IowSt 43Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+5
98.7%
DeVondrick Nealy run for 5 yds to the IowSt 48Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+10
98.7%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to D'Vario Montgomery for 10 yds to the OKSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
98.6%
DeVondrick Nealy run for no gain to the OKSt 42Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
98.6%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to E.J. Bibbs, broken up by Seth JacobsSimilar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 10
OPP 42
0
98.7%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to Allen LazardSimilar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 10
OPP 42
0
98.7%
Holden Kramer punt for 27 yds, downed at the OKSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 22PUNT
10 plays · 36 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
99.1%
Desmond Roland run for 4 yds to the OKSt 19Similar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+16
99.1%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Brandon Sheperd for 16 yds to the OKSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
99.1%
Desmond Roland run for 6 yds to the OKSt 41Similar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+1
99.2%
Desmond Roland run for 1 yd to the OKSt 42Similar
Q4 12:06
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+9
99.1%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Brandon Sheperd for 9 yds to the IowSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
99.2%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Marcell Ateman, broken up by Nigel TribuneSimilar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
99.1%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q4 12:06
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+4
99.1%
Daxx Garman run for 4 yds to the IowSt 44 Daxx Garman fumbled, recovered by OKSt Daxx Garman , return for 1 yd to the IowSt 44Similar
Q4 12:06
4TH & 5
OPP 44
-5
99.1%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the IowSt 49Similar
Q4 12:06
4TH & 10
OPP 49
0
99.1%
Kip Smith punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Aaron Wimberly at the IowSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
99.2%
Sam B. Richardson run for 5 yds to the IowSt 18Similar
Q4 8:46
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+4
99.2%
Martinez Syria run for 4 yds to the IowSt 22Similar
Q4 8:46
3RD & 1
OWN 22
0
99.1%
Martinez Syria run for no gain to the IowSt 22Similar
Q4 8:46
4TH & 1
OWN 22
+26
99.2%
Colin Downing punt for 55 yds , Tyreek Hill returns for 26 yds to the OKSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 24PUNT
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.4%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Chris Lacy for no gain to the OKSt 49Similar
Q4 6:46
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
99.4%
Rennie Childs run for no gain to the OKSt 49Similar
Q4 6:46
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+4
99.4%
Tyreek Hill run for 4 yds to the IowSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 25TD
10 plays · 79 yds · 3:561% → 2%
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
99.5%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to D'Vario Montgomery for 6 yds to the IowSt 27Similar
Q4 4:46
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+2
99.5%
Tyler Brown run for 2 yds to the IowSt 29Similar
Q4 4:46
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+16
99.5%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to E.J. Bibbs for 16 yds to the IowSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+16
99.5%
Tyler Brown run for 16 yds to the OKSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+13
99.4%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to E.J. Bibbs for 13 yds to the OKSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
99.3%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to E.J. BibbsSimilar
Q4 4:46
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+18
99.4%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to Allen Lazard for 18 yds to the OKSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
99.3%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to Brandon Harris for 1 yd to the OKSt 7Similar
Q4 4:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.3%
Sam B. Richardson pass incomplete to Jauan WesleySimilar
Q4 0:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
97.9%
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to E.J. Bibbs for 7 yds for a TD, (Cole Netten KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 26END OF GAME
3 plays · -6 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-3
98.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the OKSt 16Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 13
OWN 16
-3
98.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the OKSt 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:02
Sam B. Richardson pass complete to E.J. Bibbs for 17 yds for a TD, (Cole Netten KICK)
-8.1
TD · Q3 7:54
Daxx Garman pass complete to Jhajuan Seales for 40 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)
+7.7
TD · Q2 0:00
Desmond Roland run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)
+5.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com