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TEX

Texas 23 at Kansas 0

KU
2014 · Week 5 · Sep 27, 2014 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · KU
modelKU aheadTEX aheadconfidence bandkey playKU scoreTEX score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 1:06 · William Russ punt for 40 yds, downed at the 50 yard line
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+53.5+26.80−26.8−53.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 141Pregame prior−10.4Home team on offense−26.0Score differential−12.8Garbage-time factor−8.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:42: Tyrone Swoopes run for 7 yds for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK) — TEX win probability +3.7 pts (now 83%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:23: Montell Cozart run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 35 — KU win probability +3.9 pts (now 19%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 3:21: Johnathan Gray run for 7 yds to the Texas 12 — TEX win probability +4.5 pts (now 89%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 13:51: Swoopes, Tyrone pass incomplete to Joe, Lorenzo, PENALTY KU pass interference (McDonald,Dexter) 15 yards to the UT48, 1ST DOWN UT, NO PLAY. for a 1ST down — TEX win probability +4.2 pts (now 90%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 12:07: Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Jaxon Shipley — TEX win probability +5.3 pts (now 93%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9TEX made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00TEX 4th & 3 at KU 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    80.7%−0.2
    30% to make
    Punt
    80.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:28KU 4th & 4 at KU 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.4%−<0.1
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.5%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00KU 4th & 11 at TEX 41, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.0%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    24.0%−0.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    24.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:49TEX 4th & 6 at TEX 9, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.8%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:22KU 4th & 10 at TEX 45, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    23.7%−0.9
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    24.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:26TEX 4th & 5 at TEX 31, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.8%−0.8
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:37KU 4th & 8 at TEX 42, down 13
    Close callPunted · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    18.8%−0.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    18.8%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:23TEX 4th & 15 at KU 31, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.1%−1.3
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.4%
    54% to make
    Punt
    81.6%−1.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00KU 4th & 19 at TEX 42, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.9%−1.1
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    18.4%−0.6
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    19.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:23TEX 4th & 3 at TEX 41, up 13
    Close callPunted · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.0%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:30KU 4th & 5 at TEX 5, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 17.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.8%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    16.9%
    92% to make
    Punt
    12.4%−4.4
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:06TEX 4th & 15 at TEX 10, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.0%−3.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00KU 4th & 2 at TEX 31, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    15.6%−1.0
    54% to make
    Punt
    14.7%−1.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:51TEX 4th & 5 at KU 47, up 13
    Close callPunted · 89.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:41TEX 4th & 6 at KU 25, up 13
    Close callKicked a field goal · 92.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.2%
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.2%−0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    86.3%−5.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:41KU 4th & 7 at KU 28, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:12TEX 4th & 10 at TEX 48, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.0%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.4%
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:54KU 4th & 4 at KU 27, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.1%−0.3
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:20TEX 4th & 1 at KU 18, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    95.1%−0.9
    79% to make
    Punt
    92.8%−3.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEX made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 4:42TEX Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 3:04TEX Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEXDrive 1DOWNS
11 plays · 29 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
17.4%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Jaxon Shipley for 8 yds to the Texas 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
17.4%
Johnathan Gray run for no gain to the Texas 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
17.4%
Malcolm Brown run for 4 yds to the Texas 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
17.4%
Tyrone Swoopes run for no gain to the Texas 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+3
17.4%
Malcolm Brown run for 3 yds to the Texas 40Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+11
17.4%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to John Harris for 11 yds to the Kans 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
17.4%
Malcolm Brown run for 3 yds to the Kans 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 46
0
17.4%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Jaxon Shipley, broken up by Andrew BoltonSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+4
17.4%
Malcolm Brown run for 4 yds to the Kans 42Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 42
-4
17.4%
Malcolm Brown run for a loss of 4 yards to the Kans 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 2INT
5 plays · 40 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
20.0%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 10:22
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+3
19.9%
Montell Cozart run for 3 yds to the Kans 49Similar
Q1 10:22
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+35
19.8%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Jimmay Mundine for 35 yds to the Texas 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
20.1%
Corey Avery run for 2 yds to the Texas 14Similar
Q1 10:22
2ND & 8
OPP 14
0
20.1%
Montell Cozart pass intercepted, touchback. Quandre Diggs return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 3FUMBLE
14 plays · 78 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q1 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
20.4%
Johnathan Gray run for 11 yds to the Texas 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
20.3%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Johnathan GraySimilar
Q1 8:44
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+4
20.3%
Johnathan Gray run for 4 yds to the Texas 35Similar
Q1 8:44
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+5
20.4%
KANSAS Penalty, Defensive offside (N/A) to the Texas 40Similar
Q1 8:44
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+1
20.1%
Johnathan Gray run for 1 yd to the Texas 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-3
20.1%
Tyrone Swoopes sacked by Ben Heeney and Andrew Bolton for a loss of 3 yards to the Texas 38Similar
Q1 8:44
2ND & 13
OWN 38
-5
20.3%
TEXAS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Texas 33Similar
Q1 8:44
2ND & 18
OWN 33
+7
20.4%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 7 yds to the Texas 40Similar
Q1 8:44
3RD & 11
OWN 40
+14
20.4%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to John Harris for 14 yds to the Kans 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
19.9%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Ty Templin for 7 yds to the Kans 39Similar
Q1 8:44
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+29
19.9%
Armanti Foreman run for 29 yds to the Kans 9 Armanti Foreman fumbled, forced by Dexter McDonald, recovered by Texas N/A for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:44
1ST & 0
OPP 9
+4
19.7%
KANSAS Penalty, (4 Yards) to the Kans 5Similar
Q1 8:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
19.8%
Johnathan Gray run for 2 yds to the Kans 3Similar
Q1 8:44
2ND & 0
OPP 3
0
19.7%
TEAM run for no gain to the Kans 2 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Kans Ben HeeneySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q1 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+6
23.2%
Corey Avery run for 6 yds to the Kans 8Similar
Q1 3:28
2ND & 4
OWN 8
0
23.2%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 3:28
3RD & 4
OWN 8
0
22.8%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Corey AverySimilar
Q1 3:28
4TH & 4
OWN 8
+41
22.6%
Trevor Pardula punt for 51 yds , Jaxon Shipley returns for 41 yds to the Kans 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 5TD
4 plays · 18 yds · 1:3878% → 79%
Q1 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
22.1%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Jaxon Shipley for 1 yd to the Kans 17Similar
Q1 2:33
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+6
22.1%
Malcolm Brown run for 6 yds to the Kans 11Similar
Q1 2:33
3RD & 3
OPP 11
+10
22.4%
Malcolm Brown run for 10 yds to the Kans 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
20.7%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to M.J. McFarland for 1 yd for a TD, , (Nick Rose MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 6PUNT
13 plays · 34 yds · 0:5522% → 22%
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
22.1%
Tony Pierson run for 3 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q1 0:55
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
22.2%
De'Andre Mann run for 8 yds to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
22.3%
De'Andre Mann run for 1 yd to the Kans 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+5
22.6%
De'Andre Mann run for 5 yds to the Kans 42Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+7
23.0%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Nick Harwell for 7 yds to the Kans 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
23.5%
De'Andre Mann run for 6 yds to the Texas 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+3
23.7%
De'Andre Mann run for 3 yds to the Texas 42Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+2
23.6%
Montell Cozart run for 2 yds to the Texas 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-8
23.7%
Montell Cozart sacked by Cedric Reed for a loss of 8 yards to the Texas 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 18
OPP 48
+7
23.0%
Montell Cozart run for 7 yds to the Texas 41Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 41
0
22.9%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Tony PiersonSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 11
OPP 41
0
22.2%
Trevor Pardula punt for 36 yds, downed at the Texas 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+2
22.6%
Johnathan Gray run for 2 yds to the Texas 7Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 8
OWN 7
+2
22.6%
Johnathan Gray run for 2 yds to the Texas 9Similar
Q2 11:49
3RD & 6
OWN 9
0
23.0%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Jaxon Shipley, broken up by Matthew BoatengSimilar
Q2 11:49
4TH & 6
OWN 9
0
23.4%
William Russ punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Texas 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:0025% → 23%
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
25.1%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (N/A) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 10:22
1ST & 15
50
+8
24.1%
De'Andre Mann run for 8 yds to the Texas 42Similar
Q2 10:22
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+1
25.1%
De'Andre Mann run for 1 yd to the Texas 41Similar
Q2 10:22
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+1
24.9%
Montell Cozart run for 1 yd to the Texas 40Similar
Q2 10:22
4TH & 5
OPP 40
-5
24.1%
KANSAS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Texas 45Similar
Q2 10:22
4TH & 10
OPP 45
0
23.2%
Trevor Pardula punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jaxon Shipley at the Texas 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:0377% → 77%
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
23.0%
Malcolm Brown run for 3 yds to the Texas 16Similar
Q2 8:29
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+10
23.0%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Malcolm Brown for 10 yds to the Texas 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
22.6%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
22.8%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Jaxon Shipley, broken up by Greg AllenSimilar
Q2 7:26
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+5
23.2%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 5 yds to the Texas 31Similar
Q2 7:26
4TH & 5
OWN 31
+2
23.1%
William Russ punt for 55 yds , Nick Harwell returns for 2 yds to the Kans 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 10INT
4 plays · 25 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+26
24.2%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Nigel King for 26 yds to the Kans 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
25.5%
Montell Cozart run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 41Similar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 11
OWN 41
0
24.8%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Nigel KingSimilar
Q2 6:44
3RD & 11
OWN 41
+37
24.0%
Montell Cozart pass intercepted for a 1ST down Duke Thomas return for 24 yds to the KANSAS 35 for a 1ST down TEXAS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (13 Yards) to the Kans 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 11TD
3 plays · 13 yds · 1:0279% → 83%
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
21.2%
Johnathan Gray run for 5 yds to the Kans 8Similar
Q2 5:44
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+1
21.2%
Johnathan Gray run for 1 yd to the Kans 7Similar
Q2 4:42
3RD & 4
OPP 7
+7
17.5%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 7 yds for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 12PUNT
12 plays · 33 yds · 3:0518% → 19%
Q2 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
18.3%
Corey Avery run for 3 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q2 4:42
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
18.5%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Nick Harwell for 3 yds to the Kans 31Similar
Q2 4:42
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+9
18.2%
Montell Cozart run for 9 yds to the Kans 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
18.9%
Montell Cozart run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 39Similar
Q2 4:42
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+3
18.7%
Corey Avery run for 3 yds to the Kans 42Similar
Q2 4:42
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+14
18.3%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Nick Harwell for 14 yds to the Texas 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:42
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
19.4%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Tony PiersonSimilar
Q2 4:42
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+1
19.3%
Corey Avery run for 1 yd to the Texas 43Similar
Q2 4:42
3RD & 9
OPP 43
+1
18.8%
Montell Cozart run for 1 yd to the Texas 42Similar
Q2 1:37
4TH & 8
OPP 42
0
19.0%
Trevor Pardula punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Jaxon Shipley at the Texas 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 13MISSED FG
7 plays · 56 yds · 1:0784% → 85%
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+13
15.7%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to John Harris for 13 yds to the Texas 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
15.4%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+48
15.5%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Jaxon Shipley for 48 yds to the Kans 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
14.1%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 10
OPP 26
-5
14.1%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Malcolm Brown for a loss of 5 yards to the Kans 31Similar
Q2 1:30
3RD & 15
OPP 31
0
14.5%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 0:23
4TH & 15
OPP 31
+7
14.8%
Nick Rose 48 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by TEAM Cassius Sendish return for 7 yds to the Kans 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 14INT
6 plays · 33 yds · 0:2319% → 19%
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
18.7%
Montell Cozart run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 35Similar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 12
OWN 35
0
18.2%
Montell Cozart sacked by Steve Edmond for 0 yards to the Kans 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
19.3%
Cozart,Montell pass intercepted by Thomas, Duke at the UT30, Thomas, Duke return to the UT36 (Pierson,Tony), PENALTY UT personal foul (Ridgeway, Hassa) 15 yards to the UT37, 1ST DOWN KU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
19.1%
Montell Cozart pass intercepted, touchback. Duke Thomas return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 15PUNT
13 plays · 33 yds · 0:0018% → 17%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
17.5%
De'Andre Mann run for 3 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+16
17.7%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Tony Pierson for 16 yds to the Kans 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
18.3%
De'Andre Mann run for 8 yds to the Texas 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 48
0
18.9%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Justin McCaySimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+4
18.7%
Montell Cozart run for 4 yds to the Texas 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
18.9%
De'Andre Mann run for 4 yds to the Texas 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+5
18.9%
De'Andre Mann run for 5 yds to the Texas 35Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+2
18.8%
De'Andre Mann run for 2 yds to the Texas 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-12
19.7%
Montell Cozart sacked by Quandre Diggs for a loss of 12 yards to the Texas 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 22
OPP 45
+3
18.3%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Justin McCay for 3 yds to the Texas 42Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 19
OPP 42
0
17.6%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Justin McCaySimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 19
OPP 42
0
17.1%
Trevor Pardula punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 21 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q3 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
14.8%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Jaxon Shipley for 14 yds to the Texas 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
14.6%
Malcolm Brown run for 2 yds to the Texas 36Similar
Q3 10:23
2ND & 8
OWN 36
0
14.3%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Armanti ForemanSimilar
Q3 10:23
3RD & 8
OWN 36
+5
14.6%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Jaxon Shipley for 5 yds to the Texas 41Similar
Q3 10:23
4TH & 3
OWN 41
0
14.9%
William Russ punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Johnson at the Kans 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 17DOWNS
16 plays · 79 yds · 4:5316% → 15%
Q3 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
16.4%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Tony Pierson for 7 yds to the Kans 23Similar
Q3 8:23
2ND & 3
OWN 23
+6
16.6%
De'Andre Mann run for 6 yds to the Kans 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+20
16.6%
De'Andre Mann run for 20 yds to the Kans 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
17.6%
Montell Cozart run for 9 yds to the Texas 42Similar
Q3 8:23
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+5
18.3%
De'Andre Mann run for 5 yds to the Texas 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
18.1%
TEXAS Penalty, Defensive offside (Caleb Bluiett) to the Texas 32Similar
Q3 8:23
1ST & 5
OPP 32
0
19.2%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Nigel KingSimilar
Q3 8:23
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+3
19.2%
Montell Cozart run for 3 yds to the Texas 29Similar
Q3 8:23
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+9
18.1%
Corey Avery run for 9 yds to the Texas 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:23
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+11
19.2%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Nick Harwell for 11 yds to the Texas 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
19.2%
De'Andre Mann run for 1 yd to the Texas 8Similar
Q3 8:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
19.2%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Nick HarwellSimilar
Q3 3:30
3RD & 0
OPP 8
-5
16.1%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (Jimmay Mundine) to the Texas 13Similar
Q3 3:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
+8
14.7%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Tony Pierson for 8 yds to the Texas 5Similar
Q3 3:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
0
15.3%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Nigel King, broken up by Duke ThomasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 2:1589% → 89%
Q3 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+7
10.7%
Johnathan Gray run for 7 yds to the Texas 12Similar
Q3 3:21
2ND & 3
OWN 12
+3
10.8%
Johnathan Gray run for 3 yds to the Texas 15 Johnathan Gray fumbled, forced by Andrew Bolton, recovered by Texas Johnathan Gray for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
10.8%
Johnathan Gray run for 5 yds to the Texas 20Similar
Q3 3:21
2ND & 5
OWN 20
-4
10.7%
Tyrone Swoopes run for a loss of 4 yards to the Texas 16Similar
Q3 1:06
3RD & 9
OWN 16
-6
11.2%
Tyrone Swoopes sacked by Michael Reynolds for a loss of 6 yards to the Texas 10Similar
Q3 1:06
4TH & 15
OWN 10
0
11.5%
William Russ punt for 40 yds, downed at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 19DOWNS
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:1314% → 15%
Q3 0:13
1ST & 10
50
0
14.1%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Justin McCaySimilar
Q3 0:13
2ND & 10
50
+11
13.7%
Corey Avery run for 11 yds to the Texas 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
14.7%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Corey AverySimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+4
14.3%
Corey Avery run for 4 yds to the Texas 35Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+4
14.8%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Nick Harwell for 4 yds to the Texas 31Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 31
-2
14.6%
Montell Cozart run for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 33 KANSAS Penalty, illegal block ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q4 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
10.3%
Swoopes, Tyrone pass incomplete to Joe, Lorenzo, PENALTY KU pass interference (McDonald,Dexter) 15 yards to the UT48, 1ST DOWN UT, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-1
9.5%
Malcolm Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 47Similar
Q4 13:51
2ND & 11
OWN 47
+7
9.8%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Armanti Foreman for 7 yds to the Kans 46Similar
Q4 13:51
3RD & 4
OPP 46
-1
9.6%
Tyrone Swoopes run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 47Similar
Q4 13:51
4TH & 5
OPP 47
0
10.5%
William Russ punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 21INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q4 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
12.3%
Montell Cozart pass intercepted Jordan Hicks return for 1 yd to the Kans 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 22FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2693% → 95%
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
7.0%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Jaxon ShipleySimilar
Q4 12:07
2ND & 10
OPP 29
-1
7.4%
Malcolm Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 30Similar
Q4 12:07
3RD & 11
OPP 30
+5
7.5%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Jaxon Shipley for 5 yds to the Kans 25Similar
Q4 10:41
4TH & 6
OPP 25
+42
4.6%
Nick Rose 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
7.0%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Nick HarwellSimilar
Q4 10:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-3
6.9%
De'Andre Mann run for a loss of 3 yards to the Kans 22Similar
Q4 10:41
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+6
6.8%
Montell Cozart run for 6 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q4 10:41
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
6.9%
Trevor Pardula punt for 58 yds , Jaxon Shipley returns for no gain to the Texas 28 TEXAS Penalty, illegal block (7 Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 24PUNT
9 plays · 41 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
3.9%
Johnathan Gray run for 1 yd to the Texas 8Similar
Q4 9:12
2ND & 9
OWN 8
-4
4.0%
TEXAS Penalty, false start (Johnathan Gray) to the Texas 4Similar
Q4 9:12
2ND & 13
OWN 4
0
4.0%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Jaxon ShipleySimilar
Q4 9:12
3RD & 13
OWN 4
+26
4.1%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to John Harris for 26 yds to the Texas 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+18
3.8%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Geoff Swaim for 18 yds to the Texas 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
3.5%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Johnathan GraySimilar
Q4 9:12
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
3.6%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Johnathan GraySimilar
Q4 9:12
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
3.6%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to John HarrisSimilar
Q4 9:12
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
3.9%
William Russ punt for 34 yds , Isaiah Johnson returns for no gain to the Kans 21 Isaiah Johnson fumbled, recovered by Kans JaCorey ShepherdSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 25DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q4 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-9
4.9%
Montell Cozart sacked by Shiro Davis for a loss of 9 yards to the Kans 12Similar
Q4 6:54
2ND & 19
OWN 12
+6
4.7%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Corey Avery for 6 yds to the Kans 18Similar
Q4 6:54
3RD & 13
OWN 18
+9
4.7%
Montell Cozart run for 9 yds to the Kans 27 Montell Cozart run for 9 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q4 6:54
4TH & 4
OWN 27
0
4.8%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Nigel King, broken up by Dylan HainesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 26TD
7 plays · 27 yds · 2:1698% → 100%
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
2.4%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Malcolm Brown, broken up by Victor SimmonsSimilar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
2.5%
Malcolm Brown run for no gain to the Kans 27Similar
Q4 5:20
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+9
2.6%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to John Harris for 9 yds to the Kans 18Similar
Q4 5:20
4TH & 1
OPP 18
+2
2.6%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 2 yds to the Kans 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-10
2.0%
Swoopes, Tyrone pass complete to Johnson, Marcus for 16 yards to the KU0, clock 03:52, PENALTY UT holding (James, Darius) 10 yards to the KU26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:52
1ST & 20
OPP 26
+10
2.0%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Marcus Johnson for 10 yds to the Kans 16Similar
Q4 3:04
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+16
0.4%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to John Harris for 16 yds for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 27END OF GAME
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
0.9%
Joe Dineen Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kans 26Similar
Q4 3:04
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
0.9%
Joe Dineen Jr. run for 6 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q4 3:04
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
0.9%
Joe Dineen Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
0.9%
Joe Dineen Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kans 39Similar
Q4 3:04
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+1
0.9%
Joe Dineen Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kans 40Similar
Q4 3:04
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+1
0.9%
Michael Cummings run for 1 yd to the Kans 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 12:07
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Jaxon Shipley
-5.3
KEY PLAY · Q3 3:21
Johnathan Gray run for 7 yds to the Texas 12
-4.5
KEY PLAY · Q4 13:51
Swoopes, Tyrone pass incomplete to Joe, Lorenzo, PENALTY KU pass interference (McDonald,Dexter) 15 yards to the UT48, 1ST DOWN UT, NO PLAY. for a 1ST down
-4.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com