Try the model
UTEP

UTEP 28 at Kansas State 58

KSU
2014 · Week 5 · Sep 27, 2014 · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · KSU
modelKSU aheadUTEP aheadconfidence bandkey playKSU scoreUTEP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 15:00 · Jameill Showers run for no gain to the 50 yard line
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 114Pregame prior+18.6Home team on offense+34.5Score differential+28.9Blowout margin+16.9Garbage-time factor+6.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.7
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 9:36: Matthew McCrane 25 yd FG GOOD — UTEP win probability +0.5 pts (now 4%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 2:01: Jake Waters run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK) — KSU win probability +0.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:52: Charles Jones run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK) UTEP Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declined — KSU win probability +2.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:17: Charles Jones run for 9 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK) — KSU win probability +1.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 13:00: Charles Jones run for 4 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK) — KSU win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6UTEP made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00UTEP 4th & 9 at UTEP 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:36KSU 4th & 6 at UTEP 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.4%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.4%
    90% to make
    Punt
    94.9%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:36UTEP 4th & 12 at UTEP 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:22KSU 4th & 5 at KSU 27, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:54UTEP 4th & 9 at UTEP 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00UTEP 4th & 1 at UTEP 26, down 10
    Close callPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.5%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:42KSU 4th & 10 at KSU 20, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 13:46UTEP 4th & 16 at UTEP 35, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%−0.3
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:27UTEP 4th & 2 at UTEP 11, down 17
    Close callPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.2%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:30UTEP 4th & 27 at UTEP 29, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.5
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  11. Q2 3:30KSU 4th & 3 at UTEP 13, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.7%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    97.7%−0.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    96.8%−0.9
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:00UTEP 4th & 10 at UTEP 20, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00UTEP 4th & 1 at midfield, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:13KSU 4th & 4 at UTEP 44, up 45
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:35UTEP 4th & 3 at KSU 3, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:29KSU 4th & 1 at KSU 29, up 37
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6UTEP made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 2:01KSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:52KSU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:17KSU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 13:00KSU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:48KSU Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:26UTEP Touchdown, down 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:55KSU Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 9:35UTEP Touchdown, down 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:29UTEP Touchdown, down 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 0:17UTEP Touchdown, down 31 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTEPDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-2
97.1%
Aaron Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 15Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 15
-2
97.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 10 TEAM fumbled, recovered by UTEP N/ASimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 10
+8
97.1%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Aaron Jones for 8 yds to the UTEP 18Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 18
0
97.1%
Mike Ruggles punt, downed at the UTEP 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 2FG
7 plays · 17 yds · 3:1497% → 96%
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
96.8%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 2 yds to the UTEP 23Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 8
OPP 23
-1
96.8%
DeMarcus Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 24Similar
Q1 12:50
3RD & 9
OPP 24
+12
96.8%
Jake Waters pass complete to Tyler Lockett for 12 yds to the UTEP 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
96.8%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 2 yds to the UTEP 10Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+2
96.8%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 2 yds to the UTEP 8Similar
Q1 12:50
3RD & 6
OPP 8
0
96.8%
Jake Waters pass incomplete to Tyler LockettSimilar
Q1 9:36
4TH & 6
OPP 8
+25
96.3%
Matthew McCrane 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
96.2%
Aaron Jones run for 3 yds to the UTEP 37Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+2
96.2%
David Hamm run for 2 yds to the UTEP 39Similar
Q1 9:36
3RD & 5
OWN 39
-7
96.2%
Jameill Showers sacked by Travis Britz for a loss of 7 yards to the UTEP 32Similar
Q1 9:36
4TH & 12
OWN 32
0
96.3%
Mike Ruggles punt for 46 yds, downed at the KanSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-4
95.8%
Charles Jones run for a loss of 4 yards to the KanSt 18Similar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 14
OWN 18
+9
95.8%
Charles Jones run for 9 yds to the KanSt 27Similar
Q1 7:22
3RD & 5
OWN 27
0
95.8%
Jake Waters pass incomplete, broken up by Alvin JonesSimilar
Q1 7:22
4TH & 5
OWN 27
-5
95.7%
Nick Walsh punt for 48 yds , Damian Payne returns for a loss of 5 yards to the UTEP 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
95.6%
Nathan Jeffery run for 1 yd to the UTEP 21Similar
Q1 5:54
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
95.6%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 5:54
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
95.6%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Autrey GoldenSimilar
Q1 5:54
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
95.7%
Mike Ruggles punt for 30 yds, downed at the KanSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 6TD
6 plays · 51 yds · 2:3495% → 96%
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
95.4%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 2 yds to the UTEP 49Similar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+26
95.4%
Jake Waters pass complete to Tyler Lockett for 26 yds to the UTEP 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
95.5%
Jake Waters run for 7 yds to the UTEP 16Similar
Q1 4:35
2ND & 3
OPP 16
+8
95.5%
Charles Jones run for 8 yds to the UTEP 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
95.5%
Charles Jones run for 7 yds to the UTEP 1Similar
Q1 2:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.7%
Jake Waters run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:015% → 5%
Q1 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
95.5%
Aaron Jones run for 2 yds to the UTEP 19Similar
Q1 2:01
2ND & 8
OWN 19
-2
95.5%
Aaron Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 17Similar
Q1 2:01
3RD & 10
OWN 17
+9
95.6%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Eric Tomlinson for 9 yds to the UTEP 26Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 26
+7
95.3%
Mike Ruggles punt for 51 yds , Tyler Lockett returns for 7 yds to the KanSt 33 KANSAS ST Penalty, Offensive holding (N/A) to the KanSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q2 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
95.1%
Jake Waters pass complete to Zach Trujillo for no gain to the KanSt 20Similar
Q2 14:42
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
95.1%
Jake Waters pass incomplete to Deante BurtonSimilar
Q2 14:42
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
95.0%
Jake Waters pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 14:42
4TH & 10
OWN 20
+2
94.9%
Nick Walsh punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UTEP 41 , Damian Payne returns for 2 yds to the UTEP 22 UTEP Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-10
94.9%
SHOWERS,Jameill pass complete to SHAW, Jarrad for 31 yards to the KS28, PENALTY UTEP holding (LAUFASA, Darrin) 10 yards to the UTEP31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:46
1ST & 20
OWN 31
-1
95.1%
Jameill Showers run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 30Similar
Q2 13:46
2ND & 21
OWN 30
+5
95.1%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Josh Bell for 5 yds to the UTEP 35Similar
Q2 13:46
3RD & 16
OWN 35
0
95.2%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Ian HamiltonSimilar
Q2 13:46
4TH & 16
OWN 35
+15
95.2%
Mike Ruggles punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KanSt 37 , Tyler Lockett returns for 15 yds to the KanSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 10TD
6 plays · 63 yds · 2:4895% → 97%
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+18
94.7%
Jake Waters run for 18 yds to the UTEP 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
94.9%
Jake Waters run for 3 yds to the UTEP 42Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 7
OPP 42
-5
94.9%
Waters, Jake rush for 7 yards to the UTEP35 (ERVING, Jameel), PENALTY KS illegal formation 5 yards to the UTEP47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 12
OPP 47
+13
94.8%
Charles Jones run for 13 yds to the UTEP 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+31
94.9%
Jake Waters pass complete to Zach Trujillo for 31 yds to the UTEP 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
97.0%
Charles Jones run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK) UTEP Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 11PUNT RETURN TD
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:254% → 2%
Q2 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
96.5%
Nathan Jeffery run for 2 yds to the UTEP 5Similar
Q2 8:52
2ND & 8
OWN 5
+2
96.6%
Aaron Jones run for 2 yds to the UTEP 7Similar
Q2 8:52
3RD & 6
OWN 7
+4
96.6%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Josh Bell for 4 yds to the UTEP 11Similar
Q2 6:27
4TH & 2
OWN 11
+58
97.7%
Mike Ruggles punt for 47 yds , Tyler Lockett returns for 58 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 12PUNT
11 plays · -6 yds · 2:572% → 2%
Q2 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
97.6%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Josh Bell for 4 yds to the UTEP 39Similar
Q2 6:27
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+1
97.6%
Aaron Jones run for 1 yd to the UTEP 40Similar
Q2 6:27
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+6
97.6%
Jameill Showers run for 6 yds to the UTEP 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
97.6%
JONES, Aaron rush for 4 yards to the 50 yardline (Britz, Travis), PENALTY UTEP illegal formation 5 yards to the UTEP41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:27
1ST & 15
OWN 41
0
97.7%
Aaron Jones run for no gain to the UTEP 41Similar
Q2 6:27
2ND & 15
OWN 41
0
97.7%
Jameill Showers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 15
OWN 41
-5
97.9%
UTEP Penalty, false start (N/A) to the UTEP 36Similar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 20
OWN 36
-7
97.9%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Aaron Jones for a loss of 7 yards to the UTEP 29Similar
Q2 3:30
4TH & 27
OWN 29
+54
97.9%
Mike Ruggles punt for 52 yds , Tyler Lockett returns for 54 yds to the UTEP 20 Tyler Lockett fumbled, forced by David Hamm, recovered by KanSt Weston Hiebert , return for 7 yds to the UTEP 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 13TD
6 plays · 20 yds · 3:1398% → 100%
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
98.4%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 4 yds to the UTEP 16Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 6
OPP 16
-10
98.4%
Jones, Charles rush for no gain to the UTEP16 (ERVING, Jameel), PENALTY KS holding (Hayes, Luke) 10 yards to the UTEP26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:30
2ND & 16
OPP 26
+6
98.3%
Charles Jones run for 6 yds to the UTEP 20Similar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 10
OPP 20
+7
98.3%
Jake Waters pass complete to Tyler Lockett for 7 yds to the UTEP 13Similar
Q2 3:30
4TH & 3
OPP 13
+4
98.2%
Charles Jones run for 4 yds to the UTEP 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.6%
Charles Jones run for 9 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
99.5%
Aaron Jones run for 5 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 15TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:00100% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+39
99.5%
Jake Waters pass complete to Tyler Lockett for 39 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
99.6%
Jake Waters pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+3
99.6%
Jake Waters pass complete to Glenn Gronkowski for 3 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 33
+29
99.6%
Jake Waters pass complete to Curry Sexton for 29 yds to the UTEP 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.7%
Charles Jones run for 4 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
99.6%
Aaron Jones run for 1 yd to the UTEP 21Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 9
OWN 21
-4
99.7%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Ian Hamilton for a loss of 4 yards to the UTEP 17Similar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 13
OWN 17
+3
99.7%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Josh Bell for 3 yds to the UTEP 20Similar
Q3 13:00
4TH & 10
OWN 20
+9
99.7%
Mike Ruggles punt for 38 yds , Tyler Lockett returns for 9 yds to the UTEP 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 17TD
3 plays · 49 yds · 0:51100% → 100%
Q3 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
99.7%
Charles Jones run for 5 yds to the UTEP 44Similar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+44
99.8%
Jake Waters pass complete to Zach Trujillo for 44 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)Similar
Q3 9:48
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
+15
99.7%
UTEP Penalty, roughing passer (Maurice Chavis) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 18TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:220% → 0%
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Aaron JonesSimilar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
99.8%
Aaron Jones run for 12 yds to the UTEP 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+29
99.8%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Ian Hamilton for 29 yds to the KanSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
99.8%
Nathan Jeffery run for 6 yds to the KanSt 28Similar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+6
99.7%
Aaron Jones run for 6 yds to the KanSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.8%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+4
99.8%
Nathan Jeffery run for 4 yds to the KanSt 18Similar
Q3 9:48
3RD & 6
OPP 18
+14
99.7%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Ian Hamilton for 14 yds to the KanSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.7%
Aaron Jones run for no gain to the KanSt 4Similar
Q3 5:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.8%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Ian Hamilton for 4 yds for a TD KANSAS ST Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined, (Jay Mattox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 19TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:31100% → 100%
Q3 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.8%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 4 yds to the KanSt 29Similar
Q3 5:26
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+18
99.8%
Jake Waters pass complete to Curry Sexton for 18 yds to the KanSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
99.8%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 1 yd to the KanSt 48Similar
Q3 5:26
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+12
99.8%
Charles Jones run for 12 yds to the UTEP 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
99.9%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 40 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 20DOWNS
8 plays · 31 yds · 2:550% → 0%
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
99.9%
Aaron Jones run for 4 yds to the UTEP 23Similar
Q3 2:55
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+4
99.9%
Aaron Jones run for 4 yds to the UTEP 27Similar
Q3 2:55
3RD & 2
OWN 27
+14
99.9%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Eric Tomlinson for 14 yds to the UTEP 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
99.9%
Aaron Jones run for 6 yds to the UTEP 47Similar
Q3 2:55
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+1
99.9%
Aaron Jones run for 1 yd to the UTEP 48Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+2
99.9%
Nathan Jeffery run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
50
0
99.9%
Jameill Showers run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
50
+5
99.9%
Joe Hubener run for 5 yds to the UTEP 45Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+1
99.9%
Joe Hubener run for 1 yd to the UTEP 44Similar
Q4 14:13
3RD & 4
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Joe Hubener pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q4 14:13
4TH & 4
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Mitch Lochbihler punt blocked by Katrae Ford blocked by Katrae FordSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 22TD
9 plays · 53 yds · 2:570% → 0%
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
99.9%
Aaron Jones run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 12:32
2ND & 7
50
+29
99.9%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Malcolm Trail for 29 yds to the KanSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
99.9%
Aaron Jones run for 1 yd to the KanSt 20Similar
Q4 12:32
2ND & 9
OPP 20
0
99.9%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Josh BellSimilar
Q4 12:32
3RD & 9
OPP 20
+15
99.9%
SHOWERS,Jameill pass incomplete to HAMILTON, Ian, PENALTY KS pass interference (Moore, Cre) 15 yards to the KS5, 1ST DOWN UTEP, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
99.9%
Nathan Jeffery run for 2 yds to the KanSt 3Similar
Q4 12:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.9%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Jarrad Shaw, broken up by Dylan SchellenbergSimilar
Q4 12:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.9%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Katrae FordSimilar
Q4 9:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Aaron Jones for 3 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 23TD
9 plays · 74 yds · 4:25100% → 100%
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
99.9%
Joe Hubener run for 1 yd to the KanSt 27Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+21
99.9%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Stanton Weber for 21 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
99.9%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Judah Jones for 7 yds to the UTEP 45Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+7
99.9%
Jarvis Leverett Jr. run for 7 yds to the UTEP 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
99.9%
Jarvis Leverett Jr. run for 5 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+26
99.9%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Judah Jones for 26 yds to the UTEP 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
99.9%
Jarvis Leverett Jr. run for 5 yds to the UTEP 2Similar
Q4 5:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
100.0%
Joe Hubener run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jack Cantele MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 24TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:360% → 0%
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
100.0%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Tyler Batson for 11 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
100.0%
Aaron Jones run for no gain to the UTEP 36Similar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-5
100.0%
UTEP Penalty, false start (N/A) to the UTEP 31Similar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 15
OWN 31
0
100.0%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Ian HamiltonSimilar
Q4 3:29
3RD & 15
OWN 31
+69
100.0%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Ian Hamilton for 69 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 25FUMBLE
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
100.0%
Jarvis Leverett Jr. run for no gain to the KanSt 20Similar
Q4 3:29
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
100.0%
Jarvis Leverett Jr. run for 3 yds to the KanSt 23Similar
Q4 3:29
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+6
100.0%
Jesse Ertz run for 6 yds to the KanSt 29Similar
Q4 3:29
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+6
99.9%
Mitch Lochbihler run for a loss of 17 yards to the KanSt 6 Mitch Lochbihler fumbled, recovered by UTEP LaQuintus Dowell , return for 6 yds to the KanSt 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 26TD
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:430% → 0%
Q4 1:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
99.9%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Aaron Jones for 4 yds to the KanSt 2Similar
Q4 0:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Eric Tomlinson for 2 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 27END OF HALF
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
100.0%
Levi Morss run for 9 yds to the KanSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 8:52
Charles Jones run for 3 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK) UTEP Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declined
+2
TD · Q2 0:17
Charles Jones run for 9 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)
+1.3
FG · Q1 9:36
Matthew McCrane 25 yd FG GOOD
-0.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com