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TTU

Texas Tech 35 at Oklahoma State 45

OKST
2014 · Week 5 · Sep 25, 2014 · Boone Pickens Stadium
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Win probability · OKST
modelOKST aheadTTU aheadconfidence bandkey playOKST scoreTTU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 12:27 · Taylor Symmank punt for 42 yds , Tyreek Hill returns for a loss of 3 yards to the OKSt 28 Tyreek Hill fumbled, recovered by OKSt Tyreek Hill
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+32.5+16.30−16.3−32.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 174Pregame prior+7.4Home team on offense+14.5Garbage-time factor+2.6Score differential+4.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:00: Desmond Roland run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK) — OKST win probability +8.3 pts (now 78%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:29: Daxx Garman pass complete to James Washington for 39 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK) — OKST win probability +10.4 pts (now 83%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:07: Daxx Garman pass complete to Blake Jarwin for 47 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK) — OKST win probability +7.6 pts (now 90%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:37: Davis Webb pass complete to Justin Stockton for 17 yds for a TD, (Ryan Bustin KICK) — TTU win probability +11.5 pts (now 24%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:06: Davis Webb pass complete to Reginald Davis for 22 yds for a TD, (Ryan Bustin KICK) — TTU win probability +12.4 pts (now 25%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OKST made the numbers' call on 6 of 8TTU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 6:59TTU 4th & 6 at OKST 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    22.0%−0.3
    25% to make
    Punt
    22.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:40OKST 4th & 11 at OKST 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.0%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:47TTU 4th & 10 at OKST 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.7%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:00OKST 4th & 10 at OKST 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.4%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:25OKST 4th & 1 at OKST 22, down 7
    Close callPunted · 69.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.3%−0.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:48TTU 4th & 15 at OKST 39, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.2%−0.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    33.8%−<0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    33.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:50TTU 4th & 10 at TTU 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.4%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:02OKST 4th & 18 at OKST 17, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.5%−2.9
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:16TTU 4th & 7 at TTU 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.7%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:10OKST 4th & 1 at TTU 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    83.0%−3.2
    47% to make
    Punt
    82.1%−4.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:55OKST 4th & 2 at TTU 25, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 86.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.0%−1.3
    66% to make
    Punt
    79.0%−8.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:27TTU 4th & 10 at TTU 27, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.3%−1.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:52OKST 4th & 16 at OKST 22, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%−2.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:08OKST 4th & 5 at OKST 30, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.7%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:50TTU 4th & 24 at TTU 25, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−0.7
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OKST made the numbers' call on 6 of 6TTU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 11:15TTU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:48OKST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:01TTU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:00OKST Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:29OKST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:07OKST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:37TTU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 7:34OKST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 5:06TTU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 7:39OKST Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−0.3
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 5:52TTU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.8%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TTUDrive 1TD
11 plays · 83 yds · 3:4018% → 20%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
82.2%
Davis Webb pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 3 yds to the TexTc 20Similar
Q1 14:22
2ND & 7
OWN 20
0
82.1%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Jakeem GrantSimilar
Q1 14:12
3RD & 7
OWN 20
+14
82.0%
Davis Webb pass complete to Devin Lauderdale for 14 yds to the TexTc 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
81.9%
Davis Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:53
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+10
81.9%
Davis Webb pass complete to D.J. Polite-Bray for 10 yds to the TexTc 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
81.8%
Davis Webb pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 3 yds to the TexTc 47Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+16
81.6%
Davis Webb pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 16 yds to the OKSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+14
81.5%
DeAndre Washington run for 14 yds to the OKSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
81.1%
Davis Webb pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 2 yds to the OKSt 21Similar
Q1 11:15
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+21
80.0%
Davis Webb pass complete to Reginald Davis for 21 yds for a TD, (Ryan Bustin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 2INT
6 plays · 33 yds · 1:0980% → 80%
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
80.2%
Desmond Roland run for 3 yds to the OKSt 30Similar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+15
80.1%
Garman, Daxx pass incomplete to Seales, Jhajuan, PENALTY TEXASTECH pass interference (Nelson, Justis) 15 yards to the OKLAST45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAST. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
80.1%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 9 yds to the TexTc 46Similar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+6
80.1%
Desmond Roland run for 6 yds to the TexTc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
80.0%
Daxx Garman pass intercepted J.J. Gaines return for no gain to the TexTc 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 3DOWNS
9 plays · 35 yds · 2:3621% → 23%
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
79.4%
Davis Webb pass complete to DeAndre Washington for 4 yds to the TexTc 24Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+7
79.1%
Davis Webb pass complete to Reginald Davis for 7 yds to the TexTc 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
78.8%
DeAndre Washington run for 1 yd to the TexTc 32Similar
Q1 8:28
2ND & 9
OWN 32
0
78.5%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Reginald DavisSimilar
Q1 8:21
3RD & 9
OWN 32
+19
78.6%
Davis Webb pass complete to Bradley Marquez for 19 yds to the OKSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
77.9%
Davis Webb pass complete to Bradley Marquez for 2 yds to the OKSt 47Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+2
77.5%
Quinton White run for 2 yds to the OKSt 45Similar
Q1 7:07
3RD & 6
OPP 45
0
77.3%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Jakeem GrantSimilar
Q1 6:59
4TH & 6
OPP 45
0
77.4%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Jakeem GrantSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:0578% → 77%
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
78.1%
Daxx Garman sacked by Pete Robertson for a loss of 5 yards to the OKSt 40Similar
Q1 6:20
2ND & 15
OWN 40
+4
77.5%
Tyreek Hill run for 4 yds to the OKSt 44Similar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 11
OWN 44
0
77.1%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Austin HaysSimilar
Q1 5:40
4TH & 11
OWN 44
0
76.7%
Kip Smith punt for 33 yds, downed at the TexTc 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 2:4523% → 25%
Q1 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
76.7%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Reginald DavisSimilar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+15
76.7%
Webb, Davis pass incomplete to Polite-Bray, D.J., PENALTY OKLAST pass interference (Childs, Rennie) 15 yards to the TEXASTECH38, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASTECH. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
76.1%
Davis Webb pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 1 yd to the TexTc 39Similar
Q1 4:45
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+1
75.7%
Justin Stockton run for 1 yd to the TexTc 40Similar
Q1 4:15
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+13
75.5%
Davis Webb pass complete to Bradley Marquez for 13 yds to the OKSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-15
74.9%
Webb, Davis pass incomplete, PENALTY TEXASTECH illegal block (Stockton, Justin) 15 yards to the TEXASTECH38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:48
1ST & 25
OWN 38
0
75.3%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Jakeem GrantSimilar
Q1 3:33
2ND & 25
OWN 38
+10
75.2%
Davis Webb pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 10 yds to the TexTc 48Similar
Q1 2:58
3RD & 15
OWN 48
+5
74.9%
Davis Webb pass complete to Quinton White for 5 yds to the OKSt 47Similar
Q1 2:47
4TH & 10
OPP 47
0
74.9%
Taylor Symmank punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 6TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 0:4775% → 80%
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
74.7%
Desmond Roland run for 5 yds to the OKSt 25Similar
Q1 2:20
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+40
74.7%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 40 yds to the TexTc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
75.9%
Desmond Roland run for 2 yds to the TexTc 33Similar
Q1 1:48
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+33
79.5%
Daxx Garman pass complete to James Washington for 33 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 7INT
9 plays · 60 yds · 1:2323% → 24%
Q1 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
77.5%
DeAndre Washington run for 9 yds to the TexTc 29Similar
Q1 1:09
2ND & 1
OWN 29
0
76.9%
Davis Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:06
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+1
77.6%
Davis Webb run for 1 yd to the TexTc 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
77.5%
DeAndre Washington run for 5 yds to the TexTc 35Similar
Q1 0:32
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+11
77.0%
Davis Webb pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 11 yds to the TexTc 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+33
76.4%
Davis Webb pass complete to Dylan Cantrell for 33 yds to the OKSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
75.8%
Davis Webb pass complete to Cameron Batson for 1 yd to the OKSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2578% → 77%
Q2 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
77.9%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Tyreek Hill for no gain to the OKSt 9Similar
Q2 14:15
2ND & 10
OWN 9
0
77.8%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Chris LacySimilar
Q2 14:10
3RD & 10
OWN 9
0
77.4%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to David GliddenSimilar
Q2 14:00
4TH & 10
OWN 9
0
77.0%
Kip Smith punt for 43 yds , Cameron Batson returns for no gain to the TexTc 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 9TD
8 plays · 52 yds · 1:4224% → 31%
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+10
75.7%
Davis Webb pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 10 yds to the OKSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
75.3%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Jakeem GrantSimilar
Q2 13:05
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+14
75.3%
DeAndre Washington run for 14 yds to the OKSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
74.8%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Reginald DavisSimilar
Q2 12:51
2ND & 10
OPP 28
-7
74.8%
Davis Webb pass complete to Devin Lauderdale for 8 yds to the OKSt 20 TEXAS TECH Penalty, Illegal Block (Bradley Marquez) to the OKSt 35Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 17
OPP 35
+17
75.3%
Davis Webb pass complete to Dylan Cantrell for 17 yds to the OKSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
74.5%
Quinton White run for no gain to the OKSt 18Similar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+18
69.4%
Davis Webb pass complete to Bradley Marquez for 18 yds for a TD, (Ryan Bustin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2571% → 69%
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+8
71.1%
Tyreek Hill run for 8 yds to the OKSt 21Similar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 2
OWN 21
0
71.2%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Marcell AtemanSimilar
Q2 11:00
3RD & 2
OWN 21
+1
70.3%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Tyreek Hill for no gain to the OKSt 22 lat. to James Washington for 1 yd to the OKSt 22Similar
Q2 10:25
4TH & 1
OWN 22
+66
69.3%
Kip Smith punt for 56 yds , Cameron Batson returns for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 21 TEXAS TECH Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the TexTc 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 11DOWNS
13 plays · 50 yds · 2:3730% → 33%
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+15
70.1%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the TexTc 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
69.6%
DeAndre Washington run for 9 yds to the TexTc 35Similar
Q2 10:02
2ND & 1
OWN 35
0
68.8%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Reginald DavisSimilar
Q2 9:48
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+2
68.6%
Quinton White run for 2 yds to the TexTc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
68.4%
Webb, Davis pass incomplete to Davis, Reginald, PENALTY OKLAST roughing passer (Ogbah, Emmanuel) 15 yards to the OKLAST48, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASTECH. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
67.4%
Justin Stockton run for no gain to the OKSt 48Similar
Q2 9:02
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+14
66.9%
Davis Webb pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 14 yds to the OKSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-5
66.5%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, False Start (Jakeem Grant) to the OKSt 39Similar
Q2 8:31
1ST & 15
OPP 39
+5
66.5%
Davis Webb pass complete to Reginald Davis for 5 yds to the OKSt 34Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
64.6%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to DeAndre WashingtonSimilar
Q2 7:55
3RD & 10
OPP 34
0
64.8%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Bradley MarquezSimilar
Q2 7:55
4TH & 10
OPP 34
-5
66.1%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the OKSt 39Similar
Q2 7:48
4TH & 15
OPP 39
0
66.7%
Taylor Symmank pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 12TD
4 plays · 61 yds · 0:4068% → 78%
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+16
67.6%
Desmond Roland run for 16 yds to the TexTc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+16
69.0%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 16 yds to the TexTc 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+28
69.8%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Jeremy Seaton for 28 yds to the TexTc 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
78.2%
Desmond Roland run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 13INT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:5327% → 27%
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+8
73.1%
Davis Webb pass complete to Reginald Davis for 8 yds to the TexTc 21Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 2
OWN 21
+4
72.4%
DeAndre Washington run for 4 yds to the TexTc 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
72.7%
Webb, Davis pass incomplete to Grant, Jakeem, PENALTY TEXASTECH holding 10 yards to the TEXASTECH15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:50
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+6
72.8%
DeAndre Washington run for 6 yds to the TexTc 21Similar
Q2 5:37
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+18
72.9%
Davis Webb pass intercepted Kevin Peterson return for 5 yds to the TexTc 26 OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (13 Yards) to the TexTc 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 14TD
1 play · 39 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
83.3%
Daxx Garman pass complete to James Washington for 39 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 1:2518% → 18%
Q2 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
81.6%
Davis Webb pass complete to Cameron Batson for 3 yds to the TexTc 20Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+16
81.6%
Davis Webb pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 16 yds to the TexTc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
81.0%
DeAndre Washington run for no gain to the TexTc 36Similar
Q2 4:07
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
81.3%
Davis Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:00
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
81.9%
Davis Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:50
4TH & 10
OWN 36
+4
82.2%
Taylor Symmank punt for 49 yds , Tyreek Hill returns for 4 yds to the OKSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 16INT
14 plays · 73 yds · 3:1682% → 84%
Q2 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
82.0%
Tyreek Hill run for 3 yds to the OKSt 22Similar
Q2 3:15
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+7
81.9%
Daxx Garman run for 7 yds to the OKSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
82.2%
Desmond Roland run for 9 yds to the OKSt 38Similar
Q2 2:45
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+2
83.1%
Desmond Roland run for 2 yds to the OKSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
82.9%
Desmond Roland run for 6 yds to the OKSt 46Similar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+3
83.0%
Desmond Roland run for 3 yds to the OKSt 49Similar
Q2 1:45
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+3
82.6%
Desmond Roland run for 3 yds to the TexTc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
83.2%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Chris LacySimilar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 10
OPP 48
-2
83.0%
Rennie Childs run for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:50
3RD & 12
50
+41
82.0%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 41 yds to the TexTc 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
83.8%
Desmond Roland run for 1 yd to the TexTc 8Similar
Q2 0:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
83.8%
Daxx Garman pass intercepted, touchback. Jah'Shawn Johnson return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 17END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
82.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · -8 yds · 1:5481% → 79%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
81.1%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to David GliddenSimilar
Q3 14:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
80.9%
Tyreek Hill run for no gain to the OKSt 25Similar
Q3 14:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-3
80.1%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Desmond Roland for a loss of 3 yards to the OKSt 22Similar
Q3 13:20
4TH & 13
OWN 22
-5
79.2%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the OKSt 17Similar
Q3 13:02
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
79.1%
Kip Smith punt for 46 yds, downed at the TexTc 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:3421% → 19%
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
79.4%
DeAndre Washington run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 35Similar
Q3 12:05
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+10
80.2%
Davis Webb pass complete to Reginald Davis for 10 yds to the TexTc 45Similar
Q3 12:02
3RD & 2
OWN 45
-5
78.4%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 40Similar
Q3 11:33
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
79.6%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Reginald DavisSimilar
Q3 11:16
4TH & 7
OWN 40
+1
80.8%
Taylor Symmank punt for 53 yds , Tyreek Hill returns for 1 yd to the OKSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 20TD
6 plays · 92 yds · 1:0381% → 90%
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+19
80.6%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 19 yds to the OKSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+9
81.0%
Daxx Garman run for 9 yds to the OKSt 36Similar
Q3 10:38
2ND & 1
OWN 36
0
82.2%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Jhajuan SealesSimilar
Q3 10:30
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+14
81.5%
Garman, Daxx pass incomplete to Ateman, Marcell, PENALTY TEXASTECH pass interference (Stewart, Austin) 14 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAST. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
50
+3
82.8%
Rennie Childs run for 3 yds to the TexTc 47Similar
Q3 10:07
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+47
90.4%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Blake Jarwin for 47 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 21TD
5 plays · 44 yds · 1:1313% → 24%
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
87.3%
DeAndre Washington run for 6 yds to the OKSt 38Similar
Q3 9:17
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+3
87.1%
Davis Webb pass complete to Bradley Marquez for 3 yds to the OKSt 35Similar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+18
87.2%
Davis Webb run for 18 yds to the OKSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
75.7%
Davis Webb pass complete to Justin Stockton for 17 yds for a TD, (Ryan Bustin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 22TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 0:5682% → 91%
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
82.2%
Desmond Roland run for 3 yds to the OKSt 28 OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the OKSt 18Similar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 17
OWN 18
+9
82.8%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Defensive Holding (9 Yards) to the OKSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+23
83.1%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Chris Lacy for 23 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
50
0
84.8%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q3 7:34
2ND & 10
50
+50
91.4%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Tyreek Hill for 50 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 23TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 1:5411% → 25%
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+24
89.3%
Davis Webb pass complete to Bradley Marquez for 24 yds to the TexTc 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+10
88.3%
Davis Webb pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 10 yds to the OKSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
87.8%
Quinton White run for 2 yds to the OKSt 44Similar
Q3 6:08
2ND & 8
OPP 44
0
87.9%
Davis Webb pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:50
3RD & 8
OPP 44
+11
88.3%
Davis Webb pass complete to Bradley Marquez for 11 yds to the OKSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+11
87.2%
DeAndre Washington run for 11 yds to the OKSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
74.9%
Davis Webb pass complete to Reginald Davis for 22 yds for a TD, (Ryan Bustin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 24FG
16 plays · 47 yds · 4:5083% → 87%
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
83.0%
Rennie Childs run for 4 yds to the OKSt 32Similar
Q3 4:36
2ND & 6
OWN 32
0
83.2%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Jhajuan SealesSimilar
Q3 4:30
3RD & 6
OWN 32
+8
82.4%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Brandon Sheperd for 8 yds to the OKSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
84.4%
Rennie Childs run for 3 yds to the OKSt 43Similar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+14
84.6%
Daxx Garman pass complete to James Washington for 14 yds to the TexTc 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
85.0%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 5 yds to the TexTc 38Similar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+2
85.0%
Rennie Childs run for 2 yds to the TexTc 36Similar
Q3 2:15
3RD & 3
OPP 36
-15
85.2%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (James Washington) to the OKSt 49Similar
Q3 1:35
3RD & 18
OWN 49
+17
83.7%
Tyreek Hill run for 17 yds to the TexTc 34Similar
Q3 1:10
4TH & 1
OPP 34
+1
85.5%
Desmond Roland run for 1 yd to the TexTc 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
87.2%
Desmond Roland run for 8 yds to the TexTc 25Similar
Q3 0:46
2ND & 2
OPP 25
0
87.3%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Jhajuan SealesSimilar
Q3 0:25
3RD & 2
OPP 25
0
86.6%
Desmond Roland run for no gain to the TexTc 25Similar
Q4 14:55
4TH & 2
OPP 25
+42
87.3%
Ben Grogan 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 25FUMBLE
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:4914% → 12%
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-7
86.4%
Davis Webb sacked by Jimmy Bean for a loss of 7 yards to the TexTc 20 Davis Webb fumbled, forced by Jimmy Bean, recovered by TexTc Davis Webb , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 17
OWN 20
+3
87.4%
Davis Webb pass complete to DeAndre Washington for 3 yds to the TexTc 23Similar
Q4 13:30
3RD & 14
OWN 23
-10
88.0%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Reshod Fortenberry) to the TexTc 13Similar
Q4 13:15
3RD & 24
OWN 13
+14
87.9%
Patrick Mahomes run for 14 yds to the TexTc 27Similar
Q4 12:27
4TH & 10
OWN 27
-3
88.5%
Taylor Symmank punt for 42 yds , Tyreek Hill returns for a loss of 3 yards to the OKSt 28 Tyreek Hill fumbled, recovered by OKSt Tyreek HillSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 1:2488% → 88%
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
87.7%
Desmond Roland run for 2 yds to the OKSt 30Similar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 8
OWN 30
0
87.8%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to James WashingtonSimilar
Q4 11:50
3RD & 8
OWN 30
-15
87.1%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (-15 Yards) to the OKSt 15Similar
Q4 11:04
3RD & 23
OWN 15
+7
86.6%
Tyreek Hill run for 7 yds to the OKSt 22Similar
Q4 10:52
4TH & 16
OWN 22
+1
87.5%
Kip Smith punt for 49 yds , Jakeem Grant returns for 1 yd to the TexTc 23 TEXAS TECH Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the TexTc 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 27INT
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:4610% → 8%
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
90.3%
Patrick Mahomes run for 1 yd to the TexTc 21Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 9
OWN 21
-2
90.9%
Patrick Mahomes sacked by Emmanuel Ogbah for a loss of 2 yards to the TexTc 19Similar
Q4 9:44
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+2
91.9%
Patrick Mahomes pass intercepted Seth Jacobs return for 2 yds to the TexTc 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 28TD
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:5191% → 98%
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
90.5%
Desmond Roland run for no gain to the TexTc 15Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 10
OPP 15
-5
91.8%
Daxx Garman sacked by Pete Robertson for a loss of 5 yards to the TexTc 20Similar
Q4 8:30
3RD & 15
OPP 20
+10
92.3%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Roughing Passer (10 Yards) to the TexTc 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
92.9%
Desmond Roland run for 2 yds to the TexTc 8Similar
Q4 7:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
97.8%
Daxx Garman run for 8 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 29TD
9 plays · 48 yds · 1:383% → 11%
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
96.6%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the OKSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
96.1%
DeAndre Washington run for 8 yds to the OKSt 25Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 2
OPP 25
+1
96.0%
Patrick Mahomes run for 1 yd to the OKSt 24Similar
Q4 6:32
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+13
96.4%
Patrick Mahomes run for 13 yds to the OKSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
96.2%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Ramon Richards) to the OKSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
96.0%
Patrick Mahomes run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 4Similar
Q4 5:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
89.2%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 4 yds for a TD, (Ryan Bustin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 30PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:2793% → 93%
Q4 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
93.2%
Desmond Roland run for 2 yds to the OKSt 27Similar
Q4 5:08
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
93.4%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Marcell AtemanSimilar
Q4 4:30
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+3
93.3%
Daxx Garman run for 3 yds to the OKSt 30Similar
Q4 4:08
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
92.8%
Kip Smith punt for 47 yds, downed at the TexTc 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 31PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:007% → 4%
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+16
93.2%
Patrick Mahomes pass complete to Bradley Marquez for 16 yds to the TexTc 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
92.4%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 34Similar
Q4 3:10
1ST & 15
OWN 34
-9
95.1%
Patrick Mahomes sacked by Jimmy Bean for a loss of 9 yards to the TexTc 25Similar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 24
OWN 25
0
95.2%
Patrick Mahomes pass incomplete to Devin LauderdaleSimilar
Q4 2:59
3RD & 24
OWN 25
0
95.5%
Patrick Mahomes pass incomplete to Jakeem GrantSimilar
Q4 2:50
4TH & 24
OWN 25
0
95.6%
Taylor Symmank punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Tyreek Hill at the OKSt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 32END OF GAME
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:5596% → 97%
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
95.7%
Desmond Roland run for 6 yds to the OKSt 32Similar
Q4 1:54
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+10
96.7%
Daxx Garman run for 10 yds to the OKSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
96.8%
Desmond Roland run for 4 yds to the OKSt 47Similar
Q4 0:40
2ND & 6
OWN 47
-4
96.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the OKSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:06
Davis Webb pass complete to Reginald Davis for 22 yds for a TD, (Ryan Bustin KICK)
-12.4
TD · Q3 8:37
Davis Webb pass complete to Justin Stockton for 17 yds for a TD, (Ryan Bustin KICK)
-11.5
TD · Q2 5:29
Daxx Garman pass complete to James Washington for 39 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)
+10.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com