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Oklahoma 45 at West Virginia 33

WVU
2014 · Week 4 · Sep 20, 2014 · Milan Puskar Stadium
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Win probability · WVU
modelWVU aheadOU aheadconfidence bandkey playWVU scoreOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 11:48 · Jed Barnett punt for 46 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+45.5+22.80−22.8−45.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 10Pregame prior−26.1Home team on offense−0.2Score differential−0.2Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:45: Clint Trickett pass complete to Mario Alford for 30 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK) — WVU win probability +10.4 pts (now 46%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:09: Samaje Perine run for 2 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK) — OU win probability +10.9 pts (now 69%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:20: Rushel Shell run for 5 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK) — WVU win probability +12.4 pts (now 53%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:22: Samaje Perine run for 9 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK) — OU win probability +11.8 pts (now 78%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:00: Samaje Perine run for 5 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK) — OU win probability +9.1 pts (now 84%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WVU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8OU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 13:21WVU 4th & 11 at WVU 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.4%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:48OU 4th & 5 at WVU 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 73.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    73.7%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    73.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:35WVU 4th & 1 at WVU 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 27.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.4%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:20OU 4th & 9 at WVU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 70.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.3%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    70.4%
    66% to make
    Punt
    69.1%−1.4
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:41WVU 4th & 4 at WVU 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.9%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:58OU 4th & 12 at OU 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.1%−0.6
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.7%
    average punt
  7. Q1 0:07OU 4th & 10 at OU 31, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.8%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 13:28WVU 4th & 6 at WVU 47, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.8%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 12:27OU 4th & 7 at OU 16, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.4%−0.6
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.9%
    average punt
  10. Q2 11:00WVU 4th & 16 at OU 37, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.2%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.8%
    40% to make
    Punt
    35.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:23WVU 4th & 4 at OU 42, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 28.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    26.7%−2.7
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    27.8%−1.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:01OU 4th & 4 at OU 18, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.3%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:28WVU 4th & 6 at OU 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.7%−0.8
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.6%
    84% to make
    Punt
    17.7%−10.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:08OU 4th & 20 at OU 42, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.6%−3.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:51WVU 4th & 5 at OU 35, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    13.0%−0.8
    45% to make
    Punt
    11.8%−1.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WVU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3OU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 0:39WVU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    34.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    34.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:58OU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:45WVU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:09OU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:20WVU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:22OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 1:00OU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:30OU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:2323% → 24%
Q1 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
23.1%
Rushel Shell run for 4 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
Q1 14:40
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-9
23.1%
Clint Trickett sacked by Eric Striker for a loss of 9 yards to the WVirg 20Similar
Q1 13:48
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+4
23.5%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Rushel Shell for 4 yds to the WVirg 24Similar
Q1 13:21
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+5
23.6%
Nick O'Toole punt for 47 yds , Sterling Shepard returns for 5 yds to the Okla 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:2676% → 76%
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
23.8%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Durron Neal for 15 yds to the Okla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
23.7%
Sterling Shepard run for 3 yds to the WVirg 48Similar
Q1 12:33
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+2
23.9%
Alex Ross run for 2 yds to the WVirg 46Similar
Q1 11:57
3RD & 5
OPP 46
0
24.2%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Sterling ShepardSimilar
Q1 11:48
4TH & 5
OPP 46
0
24.4%
Jed Barnett punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:0125% → 26%
Q1 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
24.6%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Wendell Smallwood for 7 yds to the WVirg 27Similar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+7
24.8%
Wendell Smallwood run for 7 yds to the WVirg 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
25.0%
Rushel Shell run for 1 yd to the WVirg 35Similar
Q1 10:20
2ND & 9
OWN 35
0
25.3%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Daikiel ShortsSimilar
Q1 10:08
3RD & 9
OWN 35
+8
25.3%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 8 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
Q1 9:35
4TH & 1
OWN 43
0
25.7%
Nick O'Toole punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Sterling Shepard at the Okla 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 4FG
13 plays · 70 yds · 5:1074% → 73%
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+15
25.7%
Samaje Perine run for 15 yds to the Okla 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
25.8%
Samaje Perine run for 5 yds to the Okla 25Similar
Q1 8:37
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+15
25.8%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 15 yds to the Okla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
25.9%
Sterling Shepard run for no gain to the Okla 40Similar
Q1 7:31
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+2
26.2%
Samaje Perine run for 2 yds to the Okla 42Similar
Q1 7:20
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+20
26.4%
Trevor Knight pass complete to K.J. Young for 20 yds to the WVirg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:55
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
26.1%
Trevor Knight pass complete to K.J. Young for 4 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q1 6:17
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+4
26.1%
Samaje Perine run for 4 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q1 5:40
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+4
26.7%
Samaje Perine run for 4 yds to the WVirg 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
26.6%
Samaje Perine run for 1 yd to the WVirg 25Similar
Q1 4:28
2ND & 9
OPP 25
0
26.9%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Sterling ShepardSimilar
Q1 4:24
3RD & 9
OPP 25
0
27.3%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to K.J. YoungSimilar
Q1 4:20
4TH & 9
OPP 25
+42
27.3%
Michael Hunnicutt 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:3427% → 27%
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
27.1%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Mario Alford for 6 yds to the WVirg 31Similar
Q1 3:53
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
27.8%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Mario AlfordSimilar
Q1 3:49
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
27.1%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Mario AlfordSimilar
Q1 3:41
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
26.9%
Nick O'Toole punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Sterling Shepard at the Okla 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:4073% → 71%
Q1 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
27.4%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Sterling ShepardSimilar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-3
27.6%
Alex Ross run for a loss of 3 yards to the Okla 29Similar
Q1 2:49
3RD & 13
OWN 29
+6
28.4%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Alex Ross for 6 yds to the Okla 35Similar
Q1 2:24
4TH & 7
OWN 35
-5
28.4%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (Daniel Brooks) to the Okla 30Similar
Q1 1:58
4TH & 12
OWN 30
0
28.8%
Jed Barnett punt for 70 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 1:0928% → 32%
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
28.0%
Jordan Thompson run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 18Similar
Q1 1:14
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+11
28.1%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Mario Alford for 11 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
Q1 0:57
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+3
28.2%
Rushel Shell run for 3 yds to the WVirg 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+68
32.0%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 68 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:2168% → 67%
Q1 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
31.7%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Durron NealSimilar
Q1 0:24
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
32.0%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Durron NealSimilar
Q1 0:18
3RD & 10
OWN 31
0
32.6%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Sterling ShepardSimilar
Q1 0:07
4TH & 10
OWN 31
+5
33.1%
Jed Barnett punt for 51 yds , Jordan Thompson returns for 5 yds to the WVirg 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 1:3232% → 33%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
32.3%
Andrew Buie run for 6 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 4
OWN 29
-8
32.6%
Andrew Buie run for 2 yds to the WVirg 31 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Tyler Orlosky) to the WVirg 21Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 12
OWN 21
+5
32.2%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Charles Tapper) to the WVirg 26Similar
Q2 14:29
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+17
32.7%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Mario Alford for 17 yds to the WVirg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
33.8%
Andrew Buie run for 4 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 6
OWN 47
0
34.4%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to KJ MyersSimilar
Q2 13:37
3RD & 6
OWN 47
0
33.8%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Vernon DavisSimilar
Q2 13:28
4TH & 6
OWN 47
0
33.0%
Nick O'Toole punt for 40 yds, downed at the Okla 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:5867% → 65%
Q2 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
33.4%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Durron NealSimilar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+3
33.7%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Alex Ross for 3 yds to the Okla 16Similar
Q2 12:34
3RD & 7
OWN 16
0
34.8%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Blake BellSimilar
Q2 12:27
4TH & 7
OWN 16
0
35.4%
Jed Barnett punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jordan Thompson at the WVirg 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11FG
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:1735% → 39%
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
35.3%
Rushel Shell run for 6 yds to the Okla 49Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+18
35.9%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 18 yds to the Okla 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
36.7%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Mario AlfordSimilar
Q2 11:30
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+4
36.7%
Rushel Shell run for 4 yds to the Okla 27Similar
Q2 11:10
3RD & 6
OPP 27
0
36.4%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Mario AlfordSimilar
Q2 11:05
4TH & 6
OPP 27
-10
35.3%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Russell Haughton-James) to the Okla 37Similar
Q2 11:00
4TH & 16
OPP 37
+54
38.5%
Josh Lambert 54 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 12TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:5761% → 69%
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+31
39.0%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 31 yds to the WVirg 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+38
37.5%
Samaje Perine run for 38 yds to the WVirg 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
36.7%
Samaje Perine run for 3 yds to the WVirg 3Similar
Q2 9:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
37.4%
Samaje Perine run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 4Similar
Q2 8:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
30.9%
Durron Neal pass complete to Trevor Knight for 4 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 13TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:0935% → 46%
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
34.6%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Mario AlfordSimilar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+17
34.5%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 17 yds to the WVirg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
36.2%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Kevin WhiteSimilar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+3
35.6%
Wendell Smallwood run for 3 yds to the WVirg 45Similar
Q2 7:57
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+25
35.7%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Jordan Thompson for 25 yds to the Okla 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
46.0%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Mario Alford for 30 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 14TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:3057% → 69%
Q2 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
43.0%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Durron Neal for 13 yds to the Okla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
42.8%
Trevor Knight pass complete to K.J. Young for 3 yds to the Okla 41Similar
Q2 6:36
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+10
42.6%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Alex Ross for 10 yds to the WVirg 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
42.2%
Alex Ross run for 8 yds to the WVirg 41Similar
Q2 5:14
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+23
42.5%
Trevor Knight pass complete to K.J. Young for 23 yds K.J. Young fumbled, forced by Karl Joseph, recovered by Okla for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+14
41.6%
Samaje Perine run for 14 yds to the WVirg 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
42.0%
Samaje Perine run for 3 yds to the WVirg 1Similar
Q2 3:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
42.6%
Samaje Perine run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 2Similar
Q2 3:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
31.2%
Samaje Perine run for 2 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 15TD
10 plays · 55 yds · 1:3240% → 53%
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
39.7%
Rushel Shell run for no gain to the WVirg 45Similar
Q2 2:34
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+2
39.0%
Rushel Shell run for 2 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 8
OWN 47
+12
37.3%
Trickett, Clint pass incomplete to Alford, Mario, PENALTY OKLAHOMA pass interference (Wilson, Julian) 12 yards to the OKLAHOMA41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTVIR. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
40.2%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Personal Foul (Charles Tapper) to the Okla 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+18
41.2%
Rushel Shell run for 18 yds to the Okla 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
40.5%
Rushel Shell run for 3 yds to the Okla 5Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
52.8%
Rushel Shell run for 5 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 16INT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:5837% → 40%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
36.7%
Wendell Smallwood run for 4 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
37.1%
Wendell Smallwood run for 4 yds to the WVirg 33Similar
Q2 0:30
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
36.8%
Wendell Smallwood run for 5 yds to the WVirg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
38.4%
Wendell Smallwood run for 5 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
Q2 0:02
2ND & 5
OWN 43
0
39.8%
Clint Trickett pass intercepted Zack Sanchez return for no gain to the Okla 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 17END OF HALF
1 play · 22 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+22
34.3%
Samaje Perine run for 22 yds to the WVirg 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 18TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:2564% → 78%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
36.2%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 8 yds to the Okla 33Similar
Q3 14:29
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+9
34.7%
Samaje Perine run for 9 yds to the Okla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+37
34.5%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 37 yds to the WVirg 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
32.6%
Samaje Perine run for 2 yds to the WVirg 19Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+3
32.8%
Samaje Perine run for 3 yds to the WVirg 16Similar
Q3 12:42
3RD & 5
OPP 16
+7
34.2%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 7 yds to the WVirg 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
22.4%
Samaje Perine run for 9 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 33 yds · 1:5626% → 28%
Q3 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
26.1%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Mario AlfordSimilar
Q3 12:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
26.0%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Mario Alford for 14 yds to the WVirg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
27.1%
Rushel Shell run for 3 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
Q3 11:49
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+10
28.3%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Mario Alford for 10 yds to the Okla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
29.4%
Dustin Garrison run for 1 yd to the Okla 47Similar
Q3 10:55
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+5
29.2%
Dustin Garrison run for 5 yds to the Okla 42Similar
Q3 10:30
3RD & 4
OPP 42
0
29.2%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Kevin WhiteSimilar
Q3 10:23
4TH & 4
OPP 42
0
27.7%
Nick O'Toole punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Sterling Shepard at the Okla 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1375% → 73%
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
25.4%
Alex Ross run for 3 yds to the Okla 15Similar
Q3 9:40
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+3
25.6%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 3 yds to the Okla 18Similar
Q3 9:09
3RD & 4
OWN 18
0
26.2%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Sterling ShepardSimilar
Q3 9:01
4TH & 4
OWN 18
0
27.2%
Jed Barnett punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WVirg 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 21FG
8 plays · 41 yds · 2:2629% → 35%
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
28.7%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Kevin WhiteSimilar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
27.8%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Mario AlfordSimilar
Q3 8:34
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+37
26.8%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Wendell Smallwood for 37 yds to the Okla 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
31.5%
Wendell Smallwood run for 1 yd to the Okla 17Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 9
OPP 17
-10
31.6%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Marquis Lucas) to the Okla 27Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 19
OPP 27
+9
29.9%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 9 yds to the Okla 18Similar
Q3 7:00
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+4
30.1%
Andrew Buie run for 4 yds to the Okla 14Similar
Q3 6:28
4TH & 6
OPP 14
+31
35.2%
Josh Lambert 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 22INT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:2368% → 68%
Q3 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
31.9%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Adam Shead) to the Okla 15Similar
Q3 6:13
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+13
32.2%
Samaje Perine run for 13 yds to the Okla 28Similar
Q3 5:42
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
31.7%
Samaje Perine run for 2 yds to the Okla 30Similar
Q3 4:58
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
32.0%
Trevor Knight pass intercepted Wes Tonkery return for no gain to the Okla 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 23INT
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:1537% → 37%
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
37.1%
Rushel Shell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 48Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 11
OPP 48
0
36.7%
Clint Trickett pass intercepted Quentin Hayes return for no gain to the Okla 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 24TD
11 plays · 74 yds · 3:1470% → 84%
Q3 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+34
30.0%
Alex Ross run for 34 yds to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
27.2%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Sterling ShepardSimilar
Q3 3:52
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+4
27.2%
Alex Ross run for 4 yds to the WVirg 36Similar
Q3 3:15
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+7
27.3%
Trevor Knight pass complete to K.J. Young for 7 yds to the WVirg 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
25.5%
Alex Ross run for 9 yds to the WVirg 20Similar
Q3 2:25
2ND & 1
OPP 20
-1
24.9%
Alex Ross run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 21Similar
Q3 1:45
3RD & 2
OPP 21
+2
26.3%
Blake Bell run for 2 yds to the WVirg 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+10
24.9%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Personal Foul (Noble Nwachukwu) to the WVirg 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
25.0%
Samaje Perine run for 4 yds to the WVirg 5Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
16.2%
Samaje Perine run for 5 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 25FUMBLE
6 plays · 23 yds · 1:2518% → 20%
Q3 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
18.1%
Trickett, Clint pass incomplete to White, Kevin, PENALTY OKLAHOMA pass interference (Sanchez, Zack) 15 yards to the WESTVIR40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTVIR. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
19.3%
Wendell Smallwood run for 5 yds to the WVirg 45Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+4
19.6%
Wendell Smallwood run for 4 yds to the WVirg 49Similar
Q4 14:52
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+5
20.5%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 20 yds to the WESTVIR 31 for a 1ST down WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Kevin White) to the Okla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:28
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-6
19.5%
Clint Trickett sacked by Geneo Grissom for a loss of 6 yards to the WVirg 48 Clint Trickett fumbled, recovered by Okla Chuka Ndulue , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 1:1284% → 84%
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
15.7%
Samaje Perine run for 4 yds to the WVirg 44Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 6
OPP 44
-15
14.9%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Personal Foul (Durron Neal) to the Okla 41Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 21
OWN 41
+1
14.7%
Samaje Perine run for 1 yd to the Okla 42Similar
Q4 13:15
3RD & 20
OWN 42
0
14.9%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Sterling ShepardSimilar
Q4 13:08
4TH & 20
OWN 42
0
16.0%
Jed Barnett punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WVirg 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 27DOWNS
12 plays · 51 yds · 4:0415% → 13%
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
15.4%
Clint Trickett run for 3 yds to the WVirg 17Similar
Q4 12:28
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+6
15.3%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Rushel Shell for 6 yds to the WVirg 23Similar
Q4 12:09
3RD & 1
OWN 23
+4
14.9%
Rushel Shell run for 4 yds to the WVirg 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
15.3%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 7 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q4 11:32
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+13
15.9%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Mario Alford for 13 yds to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-1
16.7%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Elijah Wellman for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 46Similar
Q4 10:32
2ND & 11
OWN 46
+5
13.4%
Rushel Shell run for 5 yds to the Okla 49Similar
Q4 10:11
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+9
14.2%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 9 yds to the Okla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
15.1%
Rushel Shell run for 3 yds to the Okla 37Similar
Q4 9:30
2ND & 7
OPP 37
-7
15.2%
Clint Trickett sacked by Quentin Hayes for a loss of 7 yards to the Okla 44Similar
Q4 9:05
3RD & 14
OPP 44
+9
13.0%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Jordan Thompson for 9 yds to the Okla 35Similar
Q4 8:51
4TH & 5
OPP 35
0
13.3%
Clint Trickett pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 28TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 4:1190% → 99%
Q4 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
10.5%
Samaje Perine run for 9 yds to the Okla 44Similar
Q4 7:57
2ND & 1
OWN 44
0
9.0%
Samaje Perine run for no gain to the Okla 44Similar
Q4 7:16
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+4
8.8%
Samaje Perine run for 4 yds to the Okla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+21
7.8%
Samaje Perine run for 21 yds to the WVirg 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+12
7.2%
Samaje Perine run for 12 yds to the WVirg 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
7.1%
Samaje Perine run for no gain to the WVirg 19Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+19
1.5%
Samaje Perine run for 19 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 29TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:182% → 8%
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
2.2%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Ogbonnia Okoronkwo) to the WVirg 30Similar
Q4 4:05
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+6
2.1%
Dreamius Smith run for 6 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
2.1%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 15 yds to the Okla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
2.2%
Dreamius Smith run for 5 yds to the Okla 44Similar
Q4 3:14
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+5
2.3%
Dreamius Smith run for 5 yds to the Okla 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
2.2%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 6 yds to the Okla 33Similar
Q4 2:37
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+11
2.5%
Dreamius Smith run for 11 yds to the Okla 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+11
2.6%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 11 yds to the Okla 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
7.8%
Dreamius Smith run for 11 yds for a TD, (Clint Trickett failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 30END OF GAME
6 plays · 12 yds · 1:3097% → 98%
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
2.7%
Samaje Perine run for 3 yds to the WVirg 41Similar
Q4 1:06
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+8
2.1%
Samaje Perine run for 8 yds to the WVirg 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
2.1%
Samaje Perine run for 3 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 30
-2
2.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:20
Rushel Shell run for 5 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)
+12.4
TD · Q3 12:22
Samaje Perine run for 9 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK)
-11.8
TD · Q2 3:09
Samaje Perine run for 2 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK)
-10.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com