Try the model
TENN

Tennessee 10 at Oklahoma 34

OU
2014 · Week 3 · Sep 13, 2014 · Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · OU
modelOU aheadTENN aheadconfidence bandkey playOU scoreTENN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of GameFG—OU 88.3%Michael Hunnicutt 29 yd FG GOODAWAY 0 - HOME 3 · Q1 9:48
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:48 · Michael Hunnicutt 29 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+39.5+19.80−19.8−39.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 15Pregame prior+37.1Home team on offense+0.4Score differential+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:46: Justin Worley pass complete to Josh Smith for 40 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK) — TENN win probability +4.2 pts (now 15%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:33: Keith Ford 11 Yd Run (Michael Hunnicutt Kick) — OU win probability +4.9 pts (now 93%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:25: Trevor Knight run for 5 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK) — OU win probability +5.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: OU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 2:29: Aaron Medley 31 yd FG GOOD — TENN win probability +2.6 pts (now 5%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:57: Justin Worley pass intercepted for a TD Julian Wilson return for 100 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK) — OU win probability +2.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TENN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9TENN made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 13:41TENN 4th & 13 at TENN 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:48OU 4th & 11 at TENN 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.5%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.6%
    86% to make
    Punt
    89.1%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:19TENN 4th & 9 at TENN 30, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.3%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:04OU 4th & 5 at TENN 10, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.8%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.9%
    88% to make
    Punt
    87.0%−2.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:16TENN 4th & 6 at TENN 14, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.3%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:40OU 4th & 5 at TENN 48, up 13
    Close callPunted · 91.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:09OU 4th & 1 at OU 23, up 6
    Close callPunted · 86.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.3%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:22TENN 4th & 16 at TENN 42, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%−1.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:28TENN 4th & 3 at TENN 32, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.8%−0.4
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:37TENN 4th & 5 at TENN 45, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:06OU 4th & 8 at OU 30, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:10TENN 4th & 18 at TENN 26, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−1.1
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:46OU 4th & 2 at TENN 36, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    97.2%−0.5
    42% to make
    Punt
    97.1%−0.6
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:24TENN 4th & 10 at TENN 36, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:29TENN 4th & 13 at OU 13, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.6
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.0%
    85% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−2.2
    average punt
  16. Q3 1:16OU 4th & 9 at OU 29, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.7%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:12OU 4th & 7 at OU 23, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%−0.5
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.7%
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:01OU 4th & 3 at TENN 28, up 24
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.3%−0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    99.0%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4TENN made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 5:52OU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:46TENN Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:33OU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:25OU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 10:57OU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TENNDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:0211% → 11%
Q1 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
89.5%
Justin Worley pass complete to Pig Howard for a loss of 7 yards to the Tenn 18Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+4
89.3%
Justin Worley pass complete to Marquez North for 4 yds to the Tenn 22Similar
Q1 13:49
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
89.2%
Justin Worley pass incomplete to Marquez NorthSimilar
Q1 13:41
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
89.2%
Matt Darr punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Sterling Shepard at the Okla 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 2FG
10 plays · 45 yds · 3:3389% → 88%
Q1 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
89.2%
Keith Ford run for 3 yds to the Okla 46Similar
Q1 13:03
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+9
89.1%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Durron Neal for 9 yds to the Tenn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
89.1%
Keith Ford run for 5 yds to the Tenn 40Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+13
89.0%
Keith Ford run for 13 yds to the Tenn 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
88.9%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Blake BellSimilar
Q1 11:44
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+16
88.9%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Blake Bell for 16 yds to the Tenn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-1
88.8%
Alex Ross run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tenn 12Similar
Q1 10:54
2ND & 11
OPP 12
+2
88.7%
Alex Ross run for 2 yds to the Tenn 10Similar
Q1 10:00
3RD & 9
OPP 10
-2
88.4%
Trevor Knight sacked by Jordan Williams for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 12Similar
Q1 9:48
4TH & 11
OPP 12
+29
88.3%
Michael Hunnicutt 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 3FUMBLE
7 plays · 29 yds · 1:5412% → 13%
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
88.2%
Jalen Hurd run for 3 yds to the Tenn 28Similar
Q1 8:58
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+16
88.1%
Justin Worley pass complete to Josh Smith for 16 yds to the Tenn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
87.8%
Justin Worley pass incomplete to Jason CroomSimilar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-3
87.8%
Josh Smith run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tenn 41Similar
Q1 7:57
3RD & 13
OWN 41
+19
87.9%
Justin Worley pass complete to Pig Howard for 19 yds to the Okla 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
87.5%
Justin Worley sacked by Quentin Hayes for a loss of 5 yards to the Okla 46 Justin Worley fumbled, forced by Quentin Hayes, recovered by Okla Quentin Hayes , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 4TD
6 plays · 54 yds · 1:3988% → 89%
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
87.9%
Trevor Knight pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:03
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-1
87.7%
Trevor Knight run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 45Similar
Q1 6:50
3RD & 11
OWN 45
+18
87.4%
Trevor Knight pass complete to K.J. Young for 18 yds to the Tenn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+13
87.8%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 13 yds to the Tenn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
87.8%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Durron Neal for 1 yd to the Tenn 23Similar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+23
89.0%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Keith Ford for 23 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 2:1612% → 12%
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+13
88.3%
Justin Worley pass complete to Josh Malone for 13 yds to the Tenn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
88.1%
Justin Worley pass complete to Marlin Lane for 4 yds to the Tenn 33Similar
Q1 4:37
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+2
88.0%
Marlin Lane run for 2 yds to the Tenn 35Similar
Q1 3:46
3RD & 4
OWN 35
-5
87.9%
Justin Worley sacked by Chuka Ndulue for a loss of 5 yards to the Tenn 30Similar
Q1 3:19
4TH & 9
OWN 30
0
88.5%
Matt Darr punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Sterling Shepard at the Okla 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 6FG
8 plays · 53 yds · 3:0489% → 91%
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
88.5%
Keith Ford run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 35Similar
Q1 2:35
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+5
88.1%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Durron Neal for 5 yds to the Okla 40Similar
Q1 1:49
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+45
88.1%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 45 yds to the Tenn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
88.5%
Keith Ford run for no gain to the Tenn 15Similar
Q1 0:44
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+5
88.4%
Keith Ford run for 5 yds to the Tenn 10Similar
Q1 0:08
3RD & 5
OPP 10
0
88.5%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Alex RossSimilar
Q1 0:04
4TH & 5
OPP 10
+27
90.8%
Michael Hunnicutt 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:4410% → 10%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
90.0%
Jalen Hurd run for 3 yds to the Tenn 13Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+1
89.9%
Jalen Hurd run for 1 yd to the Tenn 14Similar
Q2 14:23
3RD & 6
OWN 14
0
90.0%
Justin Worley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:16
4TH & 6
OWN 14
0
90.0%
Matt Darr punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Sterling Shepard at the Okla 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:2791% → 91%
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
91.3%
Samaje Perine run for 9 yds to the Tenn 44Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 1
OPP 44
-5
91.4%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (Blake Bell) to the Tenn 49Similar
Q2 13:18
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+1
91.3%
Samaje Perine run for 1 yd to the Tenn 48Similar
Q2 12:47
3RD & 5
OPP 48
0
91.2%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Durron NealSimilar
Q2 12:40
4TH & 5
OPP 48
0
91.0%
Jed Barnett punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Cameron Sutton at the Tenn 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 9TD
10 plays · 79 yds · 2:4810% → 15%
Q2 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
90.0%
Justin Worley pass incomplete to Marquez NorthSimilar
Q2 12:04
2ND & 10
OWN 21
-6
90.2%
Justin Worley sacked by Matthew Romar for a loss of 6 yards to the Tenn 15Similar
Q2 11:55
3RD & 16
OWN 15
+5
90.3%
Worley, Justin pass sacked for loss of 6 yards to the TENNESSEE9 (Tapper, Charles), PENALTY OKLAHOMA offside 5 yards to the TENNESSEE20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:41
3RD & 11
OWN 20
+30
90.3%
Justin Worley pass complete to Jalen Hurd for 30 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
50
-2
89.6%
Jalen Hurd run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 48Similar
Q2 10:46
2ND & 12
OWN 48
0
90.0%
Justin Worley pass incomplete to Jason CroomSimilar
Q2 10:38
3RD & 12
OWN 48
+14
90.1%
Justin Worley pass complete to Marquez North for 14 yds to the Okla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-2
89.3%
Justin Worley pass complete to Josh Smith for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 40Similar
Q2 9:46
2ND & 12
OPP 40
+40
85.1%
Justin Worley pass complete to Josh Smith for 40 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2586% → 86%
Q2 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
86.1%
Trevor Knight pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:13
2ND & 10
OWN 14
0
86.0%
Alex Ross run for no gain to the Okla 14Similar
Q2 8:46
3RD & 10
OWN 14
+9
85.5%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Durron Neal for 9 yds to the Okla 23Similar
Q2 8:09
4TH & 1
OWN 23
0
85.5%
Jed Barnett punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Cameron Sutton at the Tenn 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 2:3514% → 14%
Q2 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
85.7%
Jalen Hurd run for 4 yds to the Tenn 36Similar
Q2 7:33
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+2
85.4%
Jalen Hurd run for 2 yds to the Tenn 38Similar
Q2 6:45
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+10
85.3%
Justin Worley pass complete to Josh Malone for 10 yds to the Tenn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
84.6%
Justin Worley pass incomplete to Pig HowardSimilar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+2
84.9%
Marlin Lane run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:43
3RD & 8
50
-8
84.8%
Justin Worley sacked by Jordan Phillips for a loss of 8 yards to the Tenn 42Similar
Q2 5:22
4TH & 16
OWN 42
0
86.3%
Matt Darr punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Sterling Shepard at the Okla 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 12TD
11 plays · 81 yds · 3:4486% → 93%
Q2 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+32
85.8%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 32 yds to the Tenn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
86.8%
Keith Ford run for 1 yd to the Tenn 48Similar
Q2 4:14
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+13
86.7%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Samaje Perine for 13 yds to the Tenn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
86.9%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Durron NealSimilar
Q2 3:23
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+9
86.8%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 9 yds to the Tenn 26Similar
Q2 2:50
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+2
86.2%
Samaje Perine run for 2 yds to the Tenn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
86.6%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, False Start (Dionte Savage) to the Tenn 29Similar
Q2 2:31
1ST & 15
OPP 29
+9
87.4%
Trevor Knight run for 9 yds to the Tenn 20Similar
Q2 2:05
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+9
87.5%
Keith Ford run for 9 yds to the Tenn 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
92.5%
Keith Ford 11 Yd Run (Michael Hunnicutt Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:0010% → 10%
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
90.5%
Justin Worley pass incomplete to Marlin LaneSimilar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
90.6%
Justin Worley pass complete to Marlin Lane for 3 yds to the Tenn 28Similar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+4
90.7%
Jalen Hurd run for 4 yds to the Tenn 32Similar
Q2 0:28
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+37
90.4%
Matt Darr punt for 37 yds , Sterling Shepard returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 14INT
3 plays · 36 yds · 0:1991% → 91%
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+16
90.6%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Blake Bell for 16 yds to the Okla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+20
91.1%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Blake Bell for 20 yds to the Tenn 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
91.4%
Trevor Knight pass intercepted LaDarrell McNeil return for no gain to the Tenn 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-2
90.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tenn 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 16TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:1891% → 97%
Q3 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
90.7%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Sterling Shepard for 10 yds to the Okla 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
90.8%
Trevor Knight pass complete to K.J. Young for 10 yds to the Okla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
91.3%
Keith Ford run for 3 yds to the Okla 48Similar
Q3 13:30
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+43
91.6%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Durron Neal for 43 yds to the Tenn 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
91.7%
Keith Ford run for 4 yds to the Tenn 5Similar
Q3 12:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
97.2%
Trevor Knight run for 5 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 1:374% → 4%
Q3 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
96.2%
Justin Worley pass incomplete to Jalen HurdSimilar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
96.3%
Justin Worley pass incomplete to Josh MaloneSimilar
Q3 11:58
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+16
96.4%
Justin Worley pass complete to Pig Howard for 16 yds to the Tenn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
95.8%
Jalen Hurd run for 4 yds to the Tenn 44Similar
Q3 11:13
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+1
95.8%
Jalen Hurd run for 1 yd to the Tenn 45Similar
Q3 10:45
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
96.1%
Justin Worley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:37
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
96.4%
Matt Darr punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Sterling Shepard at the Okla 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:2597% → 97%
Q3 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+12
97.4%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Keith Ford for 12 yds to the Okla 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
97.5%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Sterling ShepardSimilar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+2
97.5%
Keith Ford run for 2 yds to the Okla 30Similar
Q3 9:16
3RD & 8
OWN 30
0
96.9%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Sterling ShepardSimilar
Q3 9:06
4TH & 8
OWN 30
0
96.7%
Jed Barnett punt for 36 yds, downed at the Tenn 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 0:494% → 3%
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
96.4%
Justin Worley pass incomplete to Josh SmithSimilar
Q3 8:29
2ND & 10
OWN 34
-8
96.7%
Justin Worley sacked by Quentin Hayes for a loss of 8 yards to the Tenn 26Similar
Q3 8:18
3RD & 18
OWN 26
0
97.0%
Justin Worley pass incomplete to Jalen HurdSimilar
Q3 8:10
4TH & 18
OWN 26
0
97.0%
Matt Darr punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Sterling Shepard at the Okla 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 20DOWNS
8 plays · 18 yds · 1:5997% → 98%
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
97.4%
Samaje Perine run for 3 yds to the Okla 49Similar
Q3 7:29
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+7
97.4%
Samaje Perine run for 7 yds to the Tenn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
97.5%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Blake BellSimilar
Q3 6:42
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+6
97.5%
Trevor Knight run for 6 yds to the Tenn 38Similar
Q3 6:13
3RD & 4
OPP 38
+2
97.5%
Alex Ross run for 2 yds to the Tenn 36Similar
Q3 5:46
4TH & 2
OPP 36
0
98.1%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Dimitri FlowersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 21FUMBLE
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:193% → 3%
Q3 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
96.9%
Justin Worley pass incomplete to Marquez NorthSimilar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
97.0%
Justin Worley pass incomplete to Jalen HurdSimilar
Q3 5:33
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
97.4%
Justin Worley pass incomplete to Pig HowardSimilar
Q3 5:24
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
97.5%
Matt Darr punt for 34 yds , TEAM returns for no gain to the Okla 30 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Tenn Jalen Reeves-MaybinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 22FG
8 plays · 17 yds · 2:343% → 5%
Q3 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-6
96.8%
Justin Worley pass complete to Jalen Hurd for a loss of 6 yards to the Okla 36Similar
Q3 5:03
2ND & 16
OPP 36
0
97.2%
Justin Worley pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:24
3RD & 16
OPP 36
+15
97.5%
Worley, Justin pass sacked for loss of 5 yards to the OKLAHOMA41 (Tapper, Charles), PENALTY OKLAHOMA face mask (Tapper, Charles) 15 yards to the OKLAHOMA21, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TENNESSEE. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+11
96.9%
Justin Worley pass complete to Marquez North for 11 yds to the Okla 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
97.0%
Jalen Hurd run for 3 yds to the Okla 7Similar
Q3 2:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-6
97.4%
Justin Worley pass complete to Pig Howard for a loss of 6 yards to the Okla 13Similar
Q3 2:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
0
97.7%
Justin Worley pass incomplete to Marquez NorthSimilar
Q3 2:29
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+31
95.2%
Aaron Medley 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5698% → 98%
Q3 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
97.8%
Keith Ford run for 4 yds to the Okla 32Similar
Q3 1:40
2ND & 6
OWN 32
-3
98.0%
Keith Ford run for a loss of 3 yards to the Okla 29Similar
Q3 1:23
3RD & 9
OWN 29
0
98.0%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to Durron NealSimilar
Q3 1:16
4TH & 9
OWN 29
0
97.9%
Jed Barnett punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Cameron Sutton at the Tenn 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 24INT
3 plays · 43 yds · 0:525% → 5%
Q3 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+43
95.5%
Jalen Hurd run for 43 yds to the Okla 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
94.8%
Justin Worley pass complete to Josh Smith for no gain to the Okla 26Similar
Q3 0:16
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
95.1%
Justin Worley pass intercepted, touchback. Zack Sanchez return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4898% → 98%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
98.3%
Keith Ford run for 1 yd to the Okla 21Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+2
98.3%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Durron Neal for 2 yds to the Okla 23Similar
Q4 14:25
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
98.5%
Trevor Knight pass incomplete to K.J. YoungSimilar
Q4 14:12
4TH & 7
OWN 23
+3
98.3%
Jed Barnett punt for 42 yds , Cameron Sutton returns for 3 yds to the Tenn 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 26INT TD
8 plays · 58 yds · 3:054% → 1%
Q4 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
96.3%
Marlin Lane run for 7 yds to the Tenn 45Similar
Q4 13:36
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+4
96.4%
Justin Worley pass complete to Josh Smith for 4 yds to the Tenn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+10
96.5%
Justin Worley pass complete to Marquez North for 10 yds to the Okla 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
96.3%
Justin Worley pass incomplete to Josh MaloneSimilar
Q4 12:47
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+29
96.3%
Jalen Hurd run for 29 yds to the Okla 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-2
95.8%
Jalen Hurd run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 14Similar
Q4 11:27
2ND & 12
OPP 14
+10
96.4%
Justin Worley run for 10 yds to the Okla 4Similar
Q4 10:57
3RD & 2
OPP 4
+100
99.1%
Justin Worley pass intercepted for a TD Julian Wilson return for 100 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 27DOWNS
8 plays · 42 yds · 1:471% → 1%
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.3%
Marlin Lane run for 3 yds to the Tenn 28Similar
Q4 10:12
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+23
99.3%
Justin Worley pass complete to Marquez North for 23 yds to the Okla 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
99.2%
Marlin Lane run for 7 yds to the Okla 42Similar
Q4 9:23
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+4
99.2%
Jalen Hurd run for 4 yds to the Okla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
99.2%
Justin Worley pass incomplete to Jason CroomSimilar
Q4 8:55
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
99.2%
Justin Worley pass incomplete to Marquez NorthSimilar
Q4 8:44
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+5
99.2%
Justin Worley pass complete to Marquez North for 5 yds to the Okla 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 28MISSED FG
8 plays · 39 yds · 4:04100% → 100%
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
99.7%
Samaje Perine run for 4 yds to the Okla 37Similar
Q4 7:27
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+8
99.7%
Samaje Perine run for 8 yds to the Okla 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-11
99.7%
Perine, Samaje rush for 3 yards to the OKLAHOMA48, PENALTY OKLAHOMA holding (Savage, Dionte) 11 yards to the OKLAHOMA34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:34
1ST & 21
OWN 34
+31
99.7%
Samaje Perine run for 31 yds to the Tenn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
99.8%
Samaje Perine run for 2 yds to the Tenn 33Similar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+3
99.8%
Alex Ross run for 3 yds to the Tenn 30Similar
Q4 4:45
3RD & 5
OPP 30
+2
99.8%
Trevor Knight pass complete to Durron Neal for 2 yds to the Tenn 28Similar
Q4 4:01
4TH & 3
OPP 28
+45
99.8%
Michael Hunnicutt 45 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by TEAMSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TENNDrive 29END OF GAME
6 plays · 22 yds · 3:180% → 0%
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
99.6%
Marlin Lane run for 4 yds to the Tenn 32Similar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+1
99.6%
Marlin Lane run for 1 yd to the Tenn 33Similar
Q4 2:17
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+5
99.6%
Marlin Lane run for 5 yds to the Tenn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
99.6%
Marlin Lane run for 3 yds to the Tenn 41Similar
Q4 1:10
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+8
99.6%
Marlin Lane run for 8 yds to the Tenn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
99.6%
Justus Pickett run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:25
Trevor Knight run for 5 yds for a TD, (Michael Hunnicutt KICK)
+5.5
TD · Q2 1:33
Keith Ford 11 Yd Run (Michael Hunnicutt Kick)
+4.9
TD · Q2 9:46
Justin Worley pass complete to Josh Smith for 40 yds for a TD, (Aaron Medley KICK)
-4.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com