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WVU

West Virginia 40 at Maryland 37

MD
2014 · Week 3 · Sep 13, 2014 · SECU Stadium
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Win probability · MD
modelMD aheadWVU aheadconfidence bandkey playMD scoreWVU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 12:18 · Nathan Renfro punt for 36 yds , Jordan Thompson returns for 3 yds to the WVirg 46
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 130Home team on offense−2.0Pregame prior+5.5Score differential−1.3Garbage-time factor−1.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:51: Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 44 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK) — WVU win probability +11.8 pts (now 62%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:40: Caleb Rowe pass complete to Jacquille Veii for 26 yds for a TD, (Brad Craddock KICK) — MD win probability +8.5 pts (now 48%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 14:46: C.J. Brown run for 75 yds for a TD, (Brad Craddock KICK) — MD win probability +15.2 pts (now 57%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  4. TD · Q3 3:53: Clint Trickett pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 11 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK) — WVU win probability +16.1 pts (now 75%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Josh Lambert 47 yd FG GOOD — WVU win probability +35.9 pts (now 94%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MD made the numbers' call on 10 of 11WVU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 11:33WVU 4th & 1 at MD 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.0%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    36.8%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    36.3%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:43WVU 4th & 1 at MD 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    39.3%−0.6
    45% to make
    Punt
    39.2%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:23MD 4th & 8 at midfield, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.5%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:33MD 4th & 10 at WVU 28, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.6%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.1%
    60% to make
    Punt
    45.8%−3.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:36MD 4th & 9 at WVU 23, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.8%−1.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.9%
    70% to make
    Punt
    32.9%−7.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:37MD 4th & 14 at MD 27, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.2%−2.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:33WVU 4th & 18 at WVU 29, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.2%−3.4
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:18MD 4th & 19 at MD 21, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.7%−5.0
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:49WVU 4th & 1 at MD 8, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    43.6%−3.6
    90% to make
    Punt
    33.4%−13.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:30MD 4th & 4 at MD 18, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.2%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:48MD 4th & 9 at WVU 41, down 10
    Close callPunted · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.0%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    29.1%−0.9
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    29.7%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00WVU 4th & 1 at MD 36, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    68.6%−4.5
    42% to make
    Punt
    67.9%−5.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:27MD 4th & 4 at MD 42, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.3%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:14MD 4th & 11 at WVU 11, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.0%−1.6
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.6%
    87% to make
    Punt
    13.7%−8.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:43WVU 4th & 13 at WVU 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.1%−3.8
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:43WVU 4th & 19 at WVU 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.3%−10.3
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:32MD 4th & 7 at MD 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.0%−1.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.4%
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:16WVU 4th & 3 at MD 26, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.5 ptsKicked a field goal · 50.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.9%−2.5
    64% to make
    Punt
    26.8%−22.6
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:16MD 4th & 6 at MD 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.4%−4.8
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.2%
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:00WVU 4th & 1 at MD 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.9%−9.2
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.1%
    56% to make
    Punt
    45.6%−14.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MD made the numbers' call on 3 of 3WVU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 11:33WVU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:17WVU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:51WVU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:09WVU Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:52MD Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:40MD Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 14:46MD Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 3:53WVU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:2738% → 39%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+50
62.3%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Wendell Smallwood for 50 yds to the Mary 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
62.3%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 9 yds to the Mary 16Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+1
62.3%
Rushel Shell run for 1 yd to the Mary 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-3
62.3%
Rushel Shell run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mary 18Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 18
+10
62.3%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Cody Clay for 10 yds to the Mary 8 MARYLAND Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 8
+4
62.3%
Rushel Shell run for 4 yds to the Mary 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
62.3%
Rushel Shell run for 3 yds to the Mary 1Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
62.3%
Rushel Shell run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 3Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
62.3%
Clint Trickett run for 2 yds to the Mary 1Similar
Q1 11:33
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
60.8%
Rushel Shell run for 1 yd for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 2INT
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
61.0%
C.J. Brown sacked by Brandon Golson and Noble Nwachukwu for a loss of 4 yards to the Mary 21Similar
Q1 11:33
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
60.9%
Albert Reid run for no gain to the Mary 21Similar
Q1 11:33
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+18
60.8%
C.J. Brown run for 18 yds to the Mary 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
61.1%
C.J. Brown pass intercepted Daryl Worley return for no gain to the Mary 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3FUMBLE
11 plays · 39 yds · 1:2440% → 41%
Q1 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
59.9%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Wendell Smallwood for 2 yds to the Mary 42Similar
Q1 10:07
2ND & 8
OPP 42
0
59.9%
Wendell Smallwood run for no gain to the Mary 42Similar
Q1 10:07
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+7
60.0%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 7 yds to the Mary 35Similar
Q1 8:43
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+2
59.4%
Rushel Shell run for 2 yds to the Mary 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
58.7%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Mario Alford for 1 yd to the Mary 32Similar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+1
58.7%
Rushel Shell run for 1 yd to the Mary 31Similar
Q1 8:43
3RD & 8
OPP 31
+19
58.8%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 19 yds to the Mary 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:43
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
58.6%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Kevin White, broken up by Alvin HillSimilar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+3
58.6%
Rushel Shell run for 3 yds to the Mary 9Similar
Q1 8:43
3RD & 7
OPP 9
+6
58.8%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Mario Alford for 4 yds Mario Alford fumbled, forced by William Likely, recovered by Mary Cole Farrand , return for 6 yds to the Mary 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 4PUNT
11 plays · 39 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-1
58.8%
C.J. Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 10Similar
Q1 6:23
2ND & 11
OWN 10
+12
58.8%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Albert Reid for 12 yds to the Mary 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
58.9%
Albert Reid run for 1 yd to the Mary 23Similar
Q1 6:23
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+2
58.9%
C.J. Brown run for 2 yds to the Mary 25Similar
Q1 6:23
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+12
58.6%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Deon Long for 12 yds to the Mary 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
59.2%
Albert Reid run for 3 yds to the Mary 40Similar
Q1 6:23
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+8
59.5%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Albert Reid for 8 yds to the Mary 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
59.7%
C.J. Brown pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 6:23
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
59.6%
C.J. Brown pass incomplete to Marcus LeakSimilar
Q1 6:23
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+2
59.1%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Deon Long for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 6:23
4TH & 8
50
0
59.0%
Nathan Renfro punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 1:5543% → 51%
Q1 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
56.9%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 13 yds to the WVirg 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
56.5%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 5 yds to the WVirg 38Similar
Q1 2:12
2ND & 5
OWN 38
-5
55.9%
Rushel Shell run for 5 yds to the WVirg 43 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive holding (Kevin White) to the WVirg 33Similar
Q1 2:12
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+12
56.7%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 12 yds to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
55.8%
Rushel Shell run for 12 yds to the Mary 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
48.7%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Mario Alford for 43 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 6FG
12 plays · 49 yds · 2:3950% → 51%
Q1 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
50.4%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Deon Long for 6 yds to the Mary 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 29
0
50.8%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Andrew Isaacs for no gain to the Mary 29Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+19
50.2%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Deon Long for 19 yds to the Mary 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
51.6%
C.J. Brown pass incomplete to Deon LongSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+9
51.5%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Stefon Diggs for 9 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 43
+15
51.6%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Marcus Leak for 15 yds to the WVirg 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-10
52.1%
Brown pass complete to B. Ross for 3 yards to the WVU25 (Kwiatkoski, N.), PENALTY UMD holding 10 yards to the WVU38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 20
OPP 38
0
51.5%
C.J. Brown pass incomplete, broken up by Noble NwachukwuSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 20
OPP 38
0
51.2%
C.J. Brown pass incomplete to Deon LongSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 20
OPP 38
+10
51.0%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Brandon Ross for 10 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
Q2 12:33
4TH & 10
OPP 28
+46
51.4%
Brad Craddock 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7TD
4 plays · 49 yds · 0:3650% → 62%
Q2 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
49.8%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Mario AlfordSimilar
Q2 12:27
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+5
49.8%
Wendell Smallwood run for 5 yds to the Mary 44Similar
Q2 11:51
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+44
38.0%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 44 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 8FG
14 plays · 52 yds · 3:1542% → 46%
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
42.2%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Brandon Ross for 5 yds to the Mary 30Similar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
42.7%
C.J. Brown run for 6 yds to the Mary 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
42.8%
C.J. Brown pass incomplete to Andrew Isaacs, broken up by Nick KwiatkoskiSimilar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+10
42.3%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Stefon Diggs for 10 yds to the Mary 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+16
43.5%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Brandon Ross for 16 yds to the WVirg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
43.7%
C.J. Brown run for 8 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+6
44.8%
Brandon Ross run for 6 yds to the WVirg 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
44.8%
MARYLAND Penalty, false start (Michael Dunn) to the WVirg 29Similar
Q2 11:51
1ST & 15
OPP 29
+6
44.6%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Brandon Ross for 6 yds to the WVirg 23Similar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 9
OPP 23
0
44.8%
C.J. Brown pass incomplete to Stefon DiggsSimilar
Q2 8:45
3RD & 9
OPP 23
0
44.0%
C.J. Brown pass incomplete to Deon LongSimilar
Q2 8:36
4TH & 9
OPP 23
+41
46.1%
Brad Craddock 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9TD
8 plays · 89 yds · 2:1656% → 65%
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
44.3%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Kevin WhiteSimilar
Q2 8:25
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+22
44.4%
Rushel Shell run for 22 yds to the WVirg 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
43.3%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Mario Alford for 2 yds to the WVirg 35Similar
Q2 8:25
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+3
43.4%
Rushel Shell run for 3 yds to the WVirg 38Similar
Q2 8:25
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+17
42.8%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 17 yds to the Mary 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
42.0%
Rushel Shell run for 9 yds to the Mary 36Similar
Q2 6:09
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+36
35.1%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Mario Alford for 36 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 10TD
2 plays · 77 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q2 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+77
40.7%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Stefon Diggs for 77 yds for a TD, (Brad Craddock KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11INT
9 plays · 36 yds · 0:0059% → 60%
Q2 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
41.5%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Wendell Smallwood for 16 yds to the WVirg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
40.5%
Rushel Shell run for no gain to the WVirg 41Similar
Q2 5:52
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
40.6%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Daikiel Shorts, broken up by Sean DavisSimilar
Q2 5:52
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+9
40.8%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:52
4TH & 1
50
+6
41.1%
MARYLAND Penalty, Defensive offside (6 Yards) to the Mary 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
39.8%
Rushel Shell run for 1 yd to the Mary 43Similar
Q2 5:52
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+4
39.8%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Wendell Smallwood for 4 yds to the Mary 39Similar
Q2 5:52
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+1
40.0%
Clint Trickett pass intercepted William Likely return for 1 yd to the Mary 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0039% → 38%
Q2 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
39.4%
Brandon Ross run for a loss of 1 yard to the Mary 30Similar
Q2 3:37
2ND & 11
OWN 30
-5
38.9%
MARYLAND Penalty, false start (Silvano Altamirano) to the Mary 25Similar
Q2 3:37
2ND & 16
OWN 25
0
38.8%
C.J. Brown pass incomplete to Marcus LeakSimilar
Q2 3:37
3RD & 16
OWN 25
+2
38.4%
C.J. Brown run for 2 yds to the Mary 27Similar
Q2 3:37
4TH & 14
OWN 27
+17
38.4%
Nathan Renfro punt for 53 yds , Jordan Thompson returns for 17 yds to the WVirg 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · -8 yds · 0:4564% → 68%
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
35.7%
Rushel Shell run for 2 yds to the WVirg 39Similar
Q2 2:18
2ND & 8
OWN 39
-5
35.1%
Rushel Shell run for a loss of 5 yards to the WVirg 34Similar
Q2 1:38
3RD & 13
OWN 34
-5
32.1%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WVirg 29Similar
Q2 1:38
3RD & 18
OWN 29
0
32.3%
Wendell Smallwood run for no gain to the WVirg 29Similar
Q2 1:33
4TH & 18
OWN 29
+22
32.5%
Nick O'Toole punt for 37 yds, downed at the MARYLAND 34 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, kick catching interference (N/A) to the Mary 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 14TD
4 plays · 51 yds · 0:4438% → 48%
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
37.6%
C.J. Brown run for 8 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+17
37.9%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to Stefon Diggs for 17 yds to the WVirg 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
39.0%
Caleb Rowe pass incomplete to Stefon DiggsSimilar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+26
47.5%
Caleb Rowe pass complete to Jacquille Veii for 26 yds for a TD, (Brad Craddock KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 15END OF HALF
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:1958% → 57%
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
42.2%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Rushel Shell for 4 yds to the WVirg 29 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, illegal block (-10 Yards) to the WVirg 19Similar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 16
OWN 19
0
43.0%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Wendell SmallwoodSimilar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+4
43.3%
Rushel Shell run for 4 yds to the WVirg 23Similar
Q2 0:21
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+5
42.8%
Wendell Smallwood run for 5 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 16TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
57.1%
C.J. Brown run for 75 yds for a TD, (Brad Craddock KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 17FUMBLE
8 plays · 68 yds · 0:0045% → 49%
Q3 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-1
54.7%
Rushel Shell run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 15Similar
Q3 14:41
2ND & 11
OWN 15
+42
55.2%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 42 yds to the Mary 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:41
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
51.9%
Rushel Shell run for 3 yds to the Mary 40Similar
Q3 14:41
2ND & 7
OPP 40
-4
51.9%
Clint Trickett sacked by Darius Kilgo for a loss of 4 yards to the Mary 44Similar
Q3 14:41
3RD & 11
OPP 44
+15
53.5%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 15 yds to the Mary 29 for a 1ST down MARYLAND Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:41
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+13
50.8%
Rushel Shell run for 13 yds to the Mary 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:41
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
50.8%
Rushel Shell run for no gain to the Mary 16 Rushel Shell fumbled, forced by Avery Thompson, recovered by Mary Darius KilgoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0056% → 54%
Q3 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+14
56.1%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Stefon Diggs for 14 yds to the Mary 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-3
56.4%
C.J. Brown run for a loss of 3 yards to the Mary 27Similar
Q3 12:18
2ND & 13
OWN 27
0
55.9%
C.J. Brown pass incomplete to Jacquille VeiiSimilar
Q3 12:18
3RD & 13
OWN 27
-6
54.3%
C.J. Brown sacked by Brandon Golson for a loss of 6 yards to the Mary 21Similar
Q3 12:18
4TH & 19
OWN 21
+3
53.7%
Nathan Renfro punt for 36 yds , Jordan Thompson returns for 3 yds to the WVirg 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 19DOWNS
11 plays · 42 yds · 2:4349% → 50%
Q3 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
51.5%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 15 yds to the Mary 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
50.9%
Clint Trickett run for 5 yds to the Mary 34Similar
Q3 10:32
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+6
49.4%
Andrew Buie run for 6 yds to the Mary 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
49.4%
Andrew Buie run for 6 yds to the Mary 22Similar
Q3 10:32
2ND & 4
OPP 22
0
49.4%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Wendell SmallwoodSimilar
Q3 10:32
3RD & 4
OPP 22
+5
50.9%
Andrew Buie run for 5 yds to the Mary 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
49.4%
Andrew Buie run for 7 yds to the Mary 10Similar
Q3 10:32
2ND & 3
OPP 10
-2
49.4%
Andrew Buie run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 12Similar
Q3 10:32
3RD & 5
OPP 12
+4
50.9%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Mario Alford for 4 yds to the Mary 8Similar
Q3 7:49
4TH & 1
OPP 8
-4
50.5%
Clint Trickett sacked by Andre Monroe for a loss of 4 yards to the Mary 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 20SF
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:1254% → 46%
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
54.3%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Albert Reid for 2 yds to the Mary 14Similar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+4
54.0%
C.J. Brown run for 4 yds to the Mary 18Similar
Q3 7:42
3RD & 4
OWN 18
0
52.7%
C.J. Brown pass incomplete to Deon LongSimilar
Q3 6:30
4TH & 4
OWN 18
0
46.0%
TEAM punt blocked by Jarrod Harper for a SAFETY blocked by Jarrod Harper for a SAFETY for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 21TD
10 plays · 56 yds · 2:3156% → 75%
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+10
44.1%
Rushel Shell run for 10 yds to the Mary 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
43.4%
Rushel Shell run for 4 yds to the Mary 42Similar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+4
43.4%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 4 yds to the Mary 38Similar
Q3 6:24
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+3
43.2%
Rushel Shell run for 3 yds to the Mary 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
41.9%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Mario Alford, broken up by William LikelySimilar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+15
42.1%
Trickett, Clint pass incomplete to White, Kevin, PENALTY UMD pass interference (Hill) 15 yards to the UMD20, 1ST DOWN WVU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
41.4%
Rushel Shell run for 3 yds to the Mary 17Similar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+6
41.4%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Rushel Shell for 6 yds to the Mary 11Similar
Q3 3:53
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+11
25.3%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 11 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 38 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q3 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+37
27.7%
C.J. Brown run for 37 yds to the WVirg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-15
31.4%
Brown pass complete to Long for 39 yards to the WVU3 (Joseph, Karl), PENALTY UMD pass interference (Long) 15 yards to the UMD43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:48
1ST & 25
OWN 43
+3
28.9%
Jacquille Veii run for 3 yds to the Mary 46Similar
Q3 3:48
2ND & 22
OWN 46
+13
28.7%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Brandon Ross for 13 yds to the WVirg 41Similar
Q3 3:48
3RD & 9
OPP 41
0
30.3%
C.J. Brown pass incomplete to Stefon DiggsSimilar
Q3 3:48
4TH & 9
OPP 41
0
28.2%
Nathan Renfro punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Jordan Thompson at the WVirg 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 23DOWNS
7 plays · 54 yds · 1:5073% → 75%
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+34
27.3%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Mario Alford for 34 yds to the WVirg 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
24.1%
Wendell Smallwood run for 3 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q3 1:50
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+8
24.3%
Wendell Smallwood run for 8 yds to the Mary 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
23.8%
Wendell Smallwood run for 6 yds to the Mary 39Similar
Q3 1:50
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+2
23.6%
Elijah Wellman run for 2 yds to the Mary 37Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+1
22.9%
Wendell Smallwood run for 1 yd to the Mary 36Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 36
0
25.0%
Wendell Smallwood run for no gain to the Mary 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0025% → 24%
Q4 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
25.1%
C.J. Brown pass incomplete to Stefon Diggs, broken up by Isaiah BruceSimilar
Q4 14:27
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+8
24.6%
C.J. Brown run for 8 yds to the Mary 44Similar
Q4 14:27
3RD & 2
OWN 44
-2
26.1%
Brandon Ross run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 42Similar
Q4 14:27
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
24.2%
Nathan Renfro punt for 49 yds , Jordan Thompson returns for no gain to the WVirg 8 Jordan Thompson fumbled, recovered by Mary Jacquille VeiiSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 25FG
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:4528% → 30%
Q4 12:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
28.0%
C.J. Brown run for 5 yds to the WVirg 3Similar
Q4 12:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-3
28.0%
Brandon Ross run for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 6Similar
Q4 12:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
26.3%
C.J. Brown run for a loss of 5 yards to the WVirg 11Similar
Q4 11:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+30
30.4%
Brad Craddock 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 26PUNT RETURN TD
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:2474% → 43%
Q4 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-3
26.1%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Rushel Shell for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 20Similar
Q4 11:07
2ND & 13
OWN 20
0
26.8%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Daikiel Shorts, broken up by Sean DavisSimilar
Q4 11:07
3RD & 13
OWN 20
0
27.7%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Mario Alford, broken up by Zach DancelSimilar
Q4 9:43
4TH & 13
OWN 20
+69
56.6%
Nick O'Toole punt for 49 yds , William Likely returns for 69 yds for a TD, (Brad Craddock KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:0048% → 43%
Q4 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
52.3%
Andrew Buie run for 1 yd to the WVirg 26Similar
Q4 9:43
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
52.5%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Wendell Smallwood, broken up by Yannick NgakoueSimilar
Q4 9:43
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-10
54.1%
Clint Trickett sacked by Quinton Jefferson for a loss of 10 yards to the WVirg 16Similar
Q4 9:43
4TH & 19
OWN 16
0
56.6%
Nick O'Toole punt for 39 yds, fair catch by William Likely at the Mary 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 28PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0062% → 56%
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-2
61.7%
C.J. Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the Mary 43Similar
Q4 8:32
2ND & 12
OWN 43
+5
59.3%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Marcus Leak for 5 yds to the Mary 48Similar
Q4 8:32
3RD & 7
OWN 48
0
59.6%
C.J. Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:32
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
56.4%
Nathan Renfro punt for 52 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 29MISSED FG
10 plays · 54 yds · 3:0748% → 54%
Q4 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
51.9%
Clint Trickett run for 7 yds to the WVirg 27Similar
Q4 7:23
2ND & 3
OWN 27
0
49.6%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Andrew BuieSimilar
Q4 7:23
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+4
51.4%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 4 yds to the WVirg 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
50.4%
Dreamius Smith run for 1 yd to the WVirg 32Similar
Q4 7:23
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+35
51.0%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 35 yds to the Mary 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
43.7%
MARYLAND Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
43.7%
Dreamius Smith run for 3 yds to the Mary 30Similar
Q4 7:23
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+4
43.0%
Dreamius Smith run for 4 yds to the Mary 26Similar
Q4 7:23
3RD & 3
OPP 26
0
45.3%
Wendell Smallwood run for no gain to the Mary 26Similar
Q4 4:16
4TH & 3
OPP 26
+43
46.4%
Josh Lambert 43 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Darius Kilgo Jalen Brooks return for no gain to the Mary 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 30PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0057% → 53%
Q4 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
56.8%
C.J. Brown pass incomplete to Deon Long, broken up by Nick KwiatkoskiSimilar
Q4 4:16
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+9
55.8%
C.J. Brown run for 9 yds to the Mary 36Similar
Q4 4:16
3RD & 1
OWN 36
-5
58.4%
Kenneth Goins Jr. run for a loss of 5 yards to the Mary 31Similar
Q4 4:16
4TH & 6
OWN 31
0
52.9%
Nathan Renfro punt for 64 yds, downed at the WVirg 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 31FG
15 plays · 65 yds · 2:3550% → 94%
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+7
50.0%
Dreamius Smith run for 7 yds to the WVirg 12Similar
Q4 2:35
2ND & 3
OWN 12
+2
49.6%
Dreamius Smith run for 2 yds to the WVirg 14Similar
Q4 2:35
3RD & 1
OWN 14
+6
51.1%
Dreamius Smith run for 6 yds to the WVirg 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
48.9%
Dreamius Smith run for 1 yd to the WVirg 21Similar
Q4 2:35
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+1
49.5%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Mario Alford for 1 yd to the WVirg 22Similar
Q4 2:35
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+13
51.4%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Dustin Garrison for 13 yds to the WVirg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
46.9%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Mario Alford for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 34Similar
Q4 2:35
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+17
48.8%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 17 yds to the Mary 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
42.1%
Dustin Garrison run for 10 yds to the Mary 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
40.8%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Mario Alford for 3 yds to the Mary 36Similar
Q4 0:36
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+2
40.2%
Dustin Garrison run for 2 yds to the Mary 34Similar
Q4 0:36
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+4
41.4%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Mario Alford for 4 yds to the Mary 30Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 30
+47
5.6%
Josh Lambert 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:00
Josh Lambert 47 yd FG GOOD
-35.9
TD · Q3 3:53
Clint Trickett pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 11 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)
-16.1
TD · Q3 14:46
C.J. Brown run for 75 yds for a TD, (Brad Craddock KICK)
+15.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com