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SEMO

Southeast Missouri State 28 at Kansas 34

KU
2014 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2014 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · KU
modelKU aheadSEMO aheadconfidence bandkey playKU scoreSEMO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:21 · Alex Knight punt for 43 yds, downed at the Kans 36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+45.5+22.80−22.8−45.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 118Pregame prior+24.1Home team on offense+24.1Score differential+15.0Garbage-time factor+4.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.5Blowout margin+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:04: Montell Cozart pass complete to Nick Harwell for 10 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wyman KICK) — KU win probability +1.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:34: DeMichael Jackson run for 7 yds for a TD, (Ryan McCrum KICK) — SEMO win probability +3.2 pts (now 6%) (top driver: SEMO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:17: Montell Cozart pass complete to Tony Pierson for 67 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wyman KICK) — KU win probability +3.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:39: Kyle Snyder pass complete to Paul McRoberts for 68 yds for a TD, (Ryan McCrum KICK) — SEMO win probability +5.5 pts (now 7%) (top driver: SEMO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:33: Kyle Snyder pass complete to Paul McRoberts for 26 yds for a TD, (Ryan McCrum KICK) — SEMO win probability +12.2 pts (now 15%) (top driver: SEMO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KU made the numbers' call on 9 of 9SEMO made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00SEMO 4th & 9 at SEMO 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:12KU 4th & 6 at SEMO 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.1%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.1%
    64% to make
    Punt
    92.7%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:41SEMO 4th & 1 at SEMO 36, down 10
    Close callPunted · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.8%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:01SEMO 4th & 4 at SEMO 35, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00SEMO 4th & 9 at SEMO 36, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:00KU 4th & 14 at KU 35, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%−0.4
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:04SEMO 4th & 8 at SEMO 30, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:16KU 4th & 5 at KU 40, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.5%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:15SEMO 4th & 4 at KU 36, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    3.3%−0.2
    42% to make
    Punt
    3.0%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:16KU 4th & 9 at SEMO 32, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.4%
    51% to make
    Punt
    97.1%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:54KU 4th & 1 at SEMO 23, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    97.2%−0.4
    70% to make
    Punt
    96.0%−1.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:21SEMO 4th & 12 at SEMO 21, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.6
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:10KU 4th & 9 at KU 37, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:08SEMO 4th & 13 at SEMO 9, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.4
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:00KU 4th & 15 at SEMO 16, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%−0.3
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.8%
    81% to make
    Punt
    97.9%−0.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:50KU 4th & 8 at SEMO 32, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.8%
    51% to make
    Punt
    98.6%−0.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:16KU 4th & 19 at SEMO 45, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.0%−1.6
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    94.5%−1.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.6%
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:07SEMO 4th & 1 at KU 41, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    4.6%−1.4
    32% to make
    Punt
    4.3%−1.7
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:33SEMO 4th & 7 at KU 26, down 13
    Close callWent for it · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.4%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    3.9%
    64% to make
    Punt
    2.2%−1.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4SEMO made the numbers' call on 1 of 4
  1. Q1 9:45KU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:06KU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:04KU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:34SEMO Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:17KU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:53SEMO Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.2%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.2%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:39SEMO Touchdown, down 14 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.5%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.5%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:33SEMO Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.5%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SEMODrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
95.4%
DeMichael Jackson run for 4 yds to the SEMo 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
95.4%
DeMichael Jackson run for 2 yds to the SEMo 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-5
95.4%
SE MISSOURI Penalty, false start (Corey Porter) to the SEMo 26Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
95.4%
Kyle Snyder pass incomplete to Paul McRobertsSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
95.4%
Alex Knight punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Isaiah Johnson at the Kans 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 2FG
6 plays · 34 yds · 1:5795% → 95%
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-9
95.1%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Tony Pierson for a loss of 9 yards to the Kans 31Similar
Q1 13:09
2ND & 19
OWN 31
+39
95.1%
Tony Pierson run for 39 yds to the SEMo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
95.1%
Corey Avery run for 4 yds to the SEMo 26Similar
Q1 13:09
2ND & 6
OPP 26
0
95.1%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Justin McCaySimilar
Q1 13:09
3RD & 6
OPP 26
0
95.1%
Corey Avery run for no gain to the SEMo 26Similar
Q1 11:12
4TH & 6
OPP 26
+43
94.8%
Matthew Wyman 43 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 3INT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
94.7%
Kyle Snyder run for 3 yds to the SEMo 28Similar
Q1 11:12
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
94.7%
Kyle Snyder pass incomplete to Paul McRobertsSimilar
Q1 11:12
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
94.7%
Kyle Snyder pass intercepted Matthew Boateng return for no gain to the SEMo 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 4TD
4 plays · 36 yds · 0:4695% → 95%
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+19
94.7%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Nigel King for 19 yds to the SEMo 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
94.7%
Corey Avery run for 7 yds to the SEMo 10Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+10
94.9%
Corey Avery run for 10 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wyman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
94.9%
SE MISSOURI Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the SEMo 22Similar
Q1 9:41
1ST & 15
OWN 22
-5
94.9%
SNYDER, Kyle pass incomplete to JACKSON, D., dropped pass, PENALTY SEMO ineligible downfield on pass (COLEMAN, Ron) 5 yards to the SEMO17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:41
1ST & 20
OWN 17
+10
94.9%
DeMichael Jackson run for 10 yds to the SEMo 27Similar
Q1 9:41
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
94.9%
Kyle Snyder pass incomplete to Paul McRoberts, broken up by Tevin ShawSimilar
Q1 9:41
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+9
94.9%
Kyle Snyder pass complete to DeMichael Jackson for 9 yds to the SEMo 36Similar
Q1 9:41
4TH & 1
OWN 36
0
94.9%
Alex Knight punt for 45 yds, downed at the Kans 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 6TD
10 plays · 81 yds · 3:5095% → 96%
Q1 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+21
94.6%
De'Andre Mann run for 21 yds to the Kans 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
94.7%
De'Andre Mann run for 3 yds to the Kans 43Similar
Q1 7:56
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+17
94.7%
Montell Cozart run for 17 yds to the SEMo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
94.7%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Nigel KingSimilar
Q1 7:56
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+4
94.7%
Tony Pierson run for 4 yds to the SEMo 36Similar
Q1 7:56
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+26
94.7%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Justin McCay for 26 yds to the SEMo 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
94.7%
De'Andre Mann run for 4 yds to the SEMo 6Similar
Q1 7:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
94.7%
De'Andre Mann run for 5 yds to the SEMo 1Similar
Q1 7:56
3RD & 0
OPP 1
-5
94.7%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (Pat Lewandowski) to the SEMo 6Similar
Q1 4:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
95.6%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Nick Harwell for 6 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wyman KICK) SE MISSOURI Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
95.2%
Lewis Washington run for 1 yd to the SEMo 30Similar
Q1 4:01
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+5
95.2%
Kyle Snyder run for 5 yds to the SEMo 35Similar
Q1 4:01
3RD & 4
OWN 35
0
95.2%
Kyle Snyder pass incomplete to Spencer DavisSimilar
Q1 4:01
4TH & 4
OWN 35
+6
95.3%
Alex Knight punt for 37 yds , Isaiah Johnson returns for 6 yds to the Kans 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 8TD
7 plays · 66 yds · 2:3196% → 97%
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+17
95.5%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Nick Harwell for 17 yds to the SEMo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+13
95.7%
De'Andre Mann run for 13 yds to the SEMo 33 De'Andre Mann fumbled, forced by Roper Garrett, recovered by Kans N/A for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+19
95.7%
De'Andre Mann run for 19 yds to the SEMo 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
95.7%
De'Andre Mann run for 1 yd to the SEMo 13Similar
Q1 2:35
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+3
95.7%
Corey Avery run for 3 yds to the SEMo 10Similar
Q1 0:04
3RD & 6
OPP 10
+10
97.0%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Nick Harwell for 10 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wyman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:044% → 3%
Q1 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
96.5%
Kyle Snyder run for 8 yds to the SEMo 43Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 43
-15
96.5%
JACKSON, D. rush for 3 yards to the SEMO46 (28), PENALTY SEMO personal foul (PORTER, Corey) 15 yards to the SEMO28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 28
+4
96.7%
Kyle Snyder pass complete to Peter Lloyd for 4 yds to the SEMo 32Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 32
+4
96.7%
Kyle Snyder pass complete to Paul McRoberts for 4 yds to the SEMo 36Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
96.7%
Alex Knight punt for 53 yds, downed at the Kans 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-1
97.2%
Corey Avery run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 10Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 11
OWN 10
+2
97.2%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Corey Avery for 2 yds to the Kans 12Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 9
OWN 12
-5
97.1%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (Pat Lewandowski) to the Kans 7Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 14
OWN 7
+32
97.1%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Tony Pierson for 32 yds to the Kans 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
97.2%
Corey Avery run for 8 yds to the Kans 47Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 2
OWN 47
-12
97.3%
Montell Cozart sacked by Roper Garrett for a loss of 12 yards to the Kans 35Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 14
OWN 35
0
97.1%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Nick HarwellSimilar
Q2 13:00
4TH & 14
OWN 35
-3
97.0%
Trevor Pardula punt for 52 yds , Spencer Davis returns for a loss of 3 yards to the SEMo 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-3
97.1%
Kyle Snyder run for a loss of 3 yards to the SEMo 7Similar
Q2 10:04
2ND & 13
OWN 7
-1
97.2%
DeMichael Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SEMo 6Similar
Q2 10:04
3RD & 14
OWN 6
+22
97.2%
Kyle Snyder pass complete to Paul McRoberts for 22 yds to the SEMo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
97.0%
DeMichael Jackson run for 2 yds to the SEMo 30Similar
Q2 10:04
2ND & 8
OWN 30
0
97.0%
Kyle Snyder pass incomplete to DeMichael JacksonSimilar
Q2 10:04
3RD & 8
OWN 30
0
97.1%
Kyle Snyder pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 10:04
4TH & 8
OWN 30
0
97.1%
Alex Knight punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
97.6%
Corey Avery run for no gain to the Kans 35Similar
Q2 7:16
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+6
97.6%
Michael Cummings run for 6 yds to the Kans 41Similar
Q2 7:16
3RD & 4
OWN 41
-1
97.6%
Montell Cozart run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 40Similar
Q2 7:16
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
97.5%
Trevor Pardula punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Spencer Davis at the SEMo 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 13INT
14 plays · -3 yds · 3:553% → 2%
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
97.2%
DeMichael Jackson run for 1 yd to the SEMo 17Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 9
OWN 17
0
97.2%
Kyle Snyder pass incomplete to Paul McRobertsSimilar
Q2 5:10
3RD & 9
OWN 17
+24
97.3%
Kyle Snyder pass complete to Ron Coleman for 24 yds to the SEMo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-7
97.1%
Kyle Snyder run for a loss of 7 yards to the SEMo 34 Kyle Snyder fumbled, recovered by SEMo Kyle SnyderSimilar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 17
OWN 34
+9
97.3%
Kyle Snyder run for 9 yds to the SEMo 43Similar
Q2 5:10
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+15
97.1%
Kyle Snyder pass complete to Peter Lloyd for 15 yds to the Kans 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
97.0%
Kyle Snyder run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 43Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 11
OPP 43
+7
97.1%
Kyle Snyder pass complete to Ron Coleman for 7 yds to the Kans 36Similar
Q2 5:10
3RD & 4
OPP 36
0
97.0%
Kyle Snyder pass incomplete to Paul McRobertsSimilar
Q2 1:15
4TH & 4
OPP 36
+28
97.8%
Paul McRoberts pass complete to Peter Lloyd for 28 yds to the Kans 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
97.8%
Kyle Snyder pass incomplete to DeMichael JacksonSimilar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 0
OPP 8
-79
96.7%
SE MISSOURI Penalty, illegal formation (-79 Yards) to the SEMo 13Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 0
OWN 13
+62
98.0%
Kyle Snyder pass intercepted Dexter McDonald return for 62 yds to the KANSAS 25 SE MISSOURI Penalty, illegal shift ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -21 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-1
98.1%
Montell Cozart sacked by Marlon Hampton for a loss of 1 yard to the SEMo 39Similar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 11
OPP 39
-10
98.1%
Montell Cozart run for a loss of 10 yards to the Kans 41 Montell Cozart fumbled, forced by Lloyd Laufili Time, recovered by Kans Damon MartinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 15MISSED FG
11 plays · 30 yds · 2:3898% → 98%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
97.9%
Tony Pierson run for 1 yd to the Kans 39Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+2
97.9%
Montell Cozart run for 2 yds to the Kans 41Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+8
97.9%
Montell Cozart pass complete to De'Andre Mann for 8 yds to the Kans 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
97.9%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Tony Pierson for 5 yds to the SEMo 46Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+13
97.9%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Nick Harwell for 13 yds to the SEMo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
97.9%
Montell Cozart run for 6 yds to the SEMo 27Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 4
OPP 27
0
97.9%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Jimmay Mundine, broken up by Eriq MooreSimilar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 4
OPP 27
-5
97.9%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (Mike Smithburg) to the SEMo 32Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 9
OPP 32
0
97.9%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to De'Andre MannSimilar
Q3 12:16
4TH & 9
OPP 32
+5
97.9%
Matthew Wyman 49 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Tim Hamm-Bey Reggie Jennings return for 5 yds to the Kans 37 Ron Davis return for 18 yds to the Kans 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 16TD
5 plays · 22 yds · 1:423% → 6%
Q3 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+15
97.5%
KANSAS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (N/A) to the Kans 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
97.2%
Kyle Snyder run for 3 yds to the Kans 19Similar
Q3 12:16
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+4
97.2%
DeMichael Jackson run for 4 yds to the Kans 15Similar
Q3 12:16
3RD & 3
OPP 15
+8
97.4%
DeMichael Jackson run for 8 yds to the Kans 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
94.3%
DeMichael Jackson run for 7 yds for a TD, (Ryan McCrum KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 17TD
2 plays · 67 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+67
98.1%
Montell Cozart pass complete to Tony Pierson for 67 yds for a TD, (Matthew Wyman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 18INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
98.0%
Kyle Snyder pass intercepted Dexter McDonald return for 10 yds to the SEMo 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 19DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
98.2%
Corey Avery run for 7 yds to the SEMo 25Similar
Q3 9:54
2ND & 3
OPP 25
+1
98.2%
Corey Avery run for 1 yd to the SEMo 24Similar
Q3 9:54
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+1
98.2%
Corey Avery run for 1 yd to the SEMo 23Similar
Q3 9:54
4TH & 1
OPP 23
0
98.1%
De'Andre Mann run for no gain to the SEMo 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
98.1%
DeMichael Jackson run for 2 yds to the SEMo 25Similar
Q3 8:21
2ND & 8
OWN 25
-1
98.1%
DeMichael Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SEMo 24Similar
Q3 8:21
3RD & 9
OWN 24
-3
98.2%
Kyle Snyder sacked by Ben Goodman for a loss of 3 yards to the SEMo 21Similar
Q3 8:21
4TH & 12
OWN 21
0
98.2%
Alex Knight punt for 43 yds, downed at the Kans 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0099% → 98%
Q3 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-10
98.5%
Cozart,Montell pass incomplete to Harwell,Nick, PENALTY KU holding (Martin,Damon) 10 yards to the KU26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:10
1ST & 20
OWN 26
0
98.5%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to De'Andre MannSimilar
Q3 6:10
2ND & 20
OWN 26
+11
98.4%
De'Andre Mann run for 11 yds to the Kans 37Similar
Q3 6:10
3RD & 9
OWN 37
0
98.5%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Tony PiersonSimilar
Q3 6:10
4TH & 9
OWN 37
0
98.4%
Trevor Pardula punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Spencer Davis at the SEMo 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
98.4%
DeMichael Jackson run for 2 yds to the SEMo 14Similar
Q3 5:08
2ND & 8
OWN 14
0
98.4%
DeMichael Jackson run for no gain to the SEMo 14Similar
Q3 5:08
3RD & 8
OWN 14
0
98.5%
Kyle Snyder pass incomplete to Paul McRoberts, broken up by Dexter McDonald SE MISSOURI Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 5:08
4TH & 8
OWN 14
-5
98.5%
SE MISSOURI Penalty, illegal procedure (-5 Yards) to the SEMo 9Similar
Q3 5:08
4TH & 13
OWN 9
0
98.5%
Alex Knight punt for 50 yds, downed at the Kans 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 23FG
11 plays · 43 yds · 3:4399% → 100%
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
98.9%
Corey Avery run for 7 yds to the Kans 48Similar
Q3 3:43
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+6
98.9%
Corey Avery run for 6 yds to the SEMo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
98.9%
Montell Cozart run for 3 yds to the SEMo 43Similar
Q3 3:43
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+15
98.9%
Corey Avery run for 15 yds to the SEMo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
98.9%
Corey Avery run for 2 yds to the SEMo 26Similar
Q3 3:43
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+13
98.9%
Corey Avery run for 13 yds to the SEMo 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-8
98.9%
De'Andre Mann run for 2 yds to the SEMo 11 KANSAS Penalty, Offensive holding (Jimmay Mundine) to the SEMo 21Similar
Q3 3:43
1ST & 20
OPP 21
+5
98.9%
De'Andre Mann run for 5 yds to the SEMo 16Similar
Q3 3:43
2ND & 15
OPP 16
0
98.9%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Justin McCaySimilar
Q3 3:43
3RD & 15
OPP 16
0
98.9%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Nick HarwellSimilar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 15
OPP 16
+33
99.9%
Matthew Wyman 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 24TD
7 plays · 66 yds · 2:040% → 1%
Q4 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-10
99.9%
SNYDER, Kyle pass incomplete to McROBERTS, Paul, PENALTY SEMO holding (FINNEY, Kyle) 10 yards to the SEMO24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:57
1ST & 20
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Kyle Snyder run for no gain to the SEMo 24Similar
Q4 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Kyle Snyder pass incomplete to Spencer Davis, broken up by Ronnie DavisSimilar
Q4 14:57
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+3
99.9%
Lewis Washington run for 3 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q4 14:57
3RD & 7
OPP 32
-5
99.9%
SE MISSOURI Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Kans 37Similar
Q4 12:53
3RD & 12
OPP 37
+37
99.0%
Spencer Davis 37 Yd pass from Kyle Snyder (Ryan McCrum Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 25MISSED FG
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:0299% → 99%
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
99.1%
De'Andre Mann run for 8 yds to the SEMo 36Similar
Q4 12:52
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+2
99.1%
Nick Harwell run for 2 yds to the SEMo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
99.1%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Nick HarwellSimilar
Q4 12:52
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+2
99.1%
De'Andre Mann run for 2 yds to the SEMo 32Similar
Q4 12:52
3RD & 8
OPP 32
0
99.1%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Nigel KingSimilar
Q4 10:50
4TH & 8
OPP 32
+49
99.1%
Matthew Wyman 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 26TD
1 play · 68 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q4 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+68
93.5%
Kyle Snyder pass complete to Paul McRoberts for 68 yds for a TD, (Ryan McCrum KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 27PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 1:2396% → 96%
Q4 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
95.8%
De'Andre Mann run for 8 yds to the Kans 33Similar
Q4 10:39
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+31
95.9%
De'Andre Mann run for 16 yds to the SEMo 49 for a 1ST down SE MISSOURI Penalty, personal foul (Wisler Ymonice) to the SEMo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
96.2%
Corey Avery run for 2 yds to the SEMo 34Similar
Q4 10:39
2ND & 8
OPP 34
0
96.2%
Montell Cozart pass incomplete to Nick HarwellSimilar
Q4 9:16
3RD & 8
OPP 34
+4
96.7%
Michael Cummings run for 4 yds to the SEMo 30Similar
Q4 9:16
4TH & 4
OPP 30
-15
96.3%
Cummings, M. rush for 9 yards to the SEMO21 (HAMPTON, Marlon), PENALTY KU personal foul (Smiley,Trent) 15 yards to the SEMO45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:16
4TH & 19
OPP 45
0
96.2%
Trevor Pardula punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Spencer Davis at the SEMo 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SEMODrive 28TD
19 plays · 89 yds · 6:344% → 15%
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-1
96.4%
Lennies McFerren run for a loss of 1 yard to the SEMo 10Similar
Q4 8:07
2ND & 11
OWN 10
+29
96.5%
Lennies McFerren run for 29 yds to the SEMo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
96.0%
Lennies McFerren run for 2 yds to the SEMo 41Similar
Q4 8:07
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+9
96.0%
Lennies McFerren run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
50
0
95.9%
Kyle Snyder pass incomplete to Paul McRobertsSimilar
Q4 8:07
2ND & 10
50
+5
95.9%
Kyle Snyder run for 5 yds to the Kans 45Similar
Q4 8:07
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+4
96.0%
Lennies McFerren run for 4 yds to the Kans 41Similar
Q4 8:07
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+1
96.0%
Kyle Snyder run for 1 yd to the Kans 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
95.9%
Lennies McFerren run for 4 yds to the Kans 36Similar
Q4 8:07
2ND & 6
OPP 36
-5
95.7%
SE MISSOURI Penalty, false start (Garret Baker) to the Kans 41Similar
Q4 8:07
2ND & 11
OPP 41
+12
95.9%
Kyle Snyder pass complete to Paul McRoberts for 12 yds to the Kans 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
95.3%
Kyle Snyder run for 5 yds to the Kans 24Similar
Q4 8:07
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+4
95.3%
Kyle Snyder run for 4 yds to the Kans 20Similar
Q4 8:07
3RD & 1
OPP 20
-5
95.7%
SE MISSOURI Penalty, false start (Traven Mable) to the Kans 25Similar
Q4 2:40
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+4
97.2%
Kyle Snyder run for 4 yds to the Kans 21Similar
Q4 2:40
4TH & 2
OPP 21
-5
97.2%
SE MISSOURI Penalty, false start (N/A) to the Kans 26Similar
Q4 1:33
4TH & 7
OPP 26
+26
85.0%
Kyle Snyder pass complete to Paul McRoberts for 26 yds for a TD, (Ryan McCrum KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 29END OF GAME
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0596% → 96%
Q4 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
95.5%
Corey Avery run for 4 yds to the Kans 45Similar
Q4 1:26
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+2
95.9%
Corey Avery run for 2 yds to the Kans 47Similar
Q4 1:26
3RD & 4
OWN 47
-1
95.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:33
Kyle Snyder pass complete to Paul McRoberts for 26 yds for a TD, (Ryan McCrum KICK)
-12.2
TD · Q4 10:39
Kyle Snyder pass complete to Paul McRoberts for 68 yds for a TD, (Ryan McCrum KICK)
-5.5
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+4.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com