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BYU

BYU 41 at Texas 7

TEX
2014 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2014 · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · TEX
modelTEX aheadBYU aheadconfidence bandkey playTEX scoreBYU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:27 · Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 6:34: Trevor Samson 29 yd FG GOOD — BYU win probability +5.8 pts (now 47%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:06: Taysom Hill run for 30 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK) — BYU win probability +15.4 pts (now 69%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:22: Adam Hine run for 16 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK) — BYU win probability +16.3 pts (now 89%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:51: Taysom Hill run for 2 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK) — BYU win probability +7.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:33: Taysom Hill run for 1 yd for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK) — BYU win probability +1.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEX made the numbers' call on 8 of 11BYU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00TEX 4th & 1 at TEX 27, tied
    Close callPunted · 63.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.3%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:16BYU 4th & 1 at TEX 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    36.7%−0.2
    56% to make
    Punt
    36.6%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:24TEX 4th & 16 at BYU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.1%−0.4
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.5%
    64% to make
    Punt
    61.4%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:30BYU 4th & 3 at TEX 3, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 38.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.4%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.0%−0.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    36.1%−2.3
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:21TEX 4th & 4 at BYU 45, down 3
    Close callPunted · 61.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    61.1%−0.6
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    61.5%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00BYU 4th & 19 at BYU 3, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.5%−1.7
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:29BYU 4th & 24 at TEX 41, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.1%−1.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    39.9%−0.3
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    40.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:34BYU 4th & 11 at TEX 11, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.1%−1.1
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.2%
    87% to make
    Punt
    37.2%−5.9
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:24TEX 4th & 7 at TEX 49, down 6
    Close callPunted · 52.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:54TEX 4th & 15 at TEX 27, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.6%−2.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:44TEX 4th & 14 at TEX 7, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%−2.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:16TEX 4th & 9 at TEX 8, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.4%−1.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:20TEX 4th & 1 at TEX 34, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.4%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00BYU 4th & 21 at BYU 24, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%−1.0
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:31TEX 4th & 6 at TEX 48, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:00TEX 4th & 11 at TEX 32, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:08TEX 4th & 5 at TEX 6, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEX made the numbers' call on 1 of 1BYU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q3 12:06BYU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 9:22BYU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 5:51BYU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:33BYU Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:29TEX Touchdown, down 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:05BYU Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEXDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
67.3%
Malcolm Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 17Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 17
+7
67.3%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to John Harris for 7 yds to the Texas 24Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 24
+3
67.3%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 3 yds to the Texas 27Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 27
0
67.3%
William Russ punt for 38 yds , Mitchell Juergens returns for no gain to the BYU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 2DOWNS
7 plays · 35 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q1 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
67.1%
Jamaal Williams run for 2 yds to the BYU 37Similar
Q1 13:16
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+6
67.1%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Devin Mahina for 6 yds to the BYU 43Similar
Q1 13:16
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+18
67.0%
Taysom Hill run for 18 yds to the Texas 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-6
66.9%
Taysom Hill sacked by Steve Edmond and Malcom Brown for a loss of 6 yards to the Texas 45Similar
Q1 13:16
2ND & 16
OPP 45
+15
67.0%
Algernon Brown run for 15 yds to the Texas 30Similar
Q1 13:16
3RD & 1
OPP 30
0
66.9%
Algernon Brown run for no gain to the Texas 30Similar
Q1 13:16
4TH & 1
OPP 30
0
67.0%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete BYU Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 3MISSED FG
12 plays · 44 yds · 4:0767% → 66%
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-3
66.9%
Malcolm Brown run for a loss of 3 yards to the Texas 27Similar
Q1 10:31
2ND & 13
OWN 27
+10
66.8%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to John Harris for 10 yds to the Texas 37Similar
Q1 10:31
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+9
66.9%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Jaxon Shipley for 9 yds to the Texas 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
67.2%
Swoopes, Tyrone rush for loss of 4 yards to the UT42 (ROWLEY,Graham), PENALTY BYU offside defense (ROWLEY,Graham) 5 yards to the BYU49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:31
1ST & 5
OPP 49
+14
67.3%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to John Harris for 14 yds to the BYU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
67.4%
Malcolm Brown run for 7 yds to the BYU 28Similar
Q1 10:31
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+8
67.4%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Marcus Johnson for 8 yds to the BYU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
67.4%
Malcolm Brown run for 1 yd to the BYU 19Similar
Q1 10:31
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+6
67.4%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 6 yds to the BYU 13Similar
Q1 10:31
3RD & 3
OPP 13
-15
67.3%
Swoopes, Tyrone flag pass incomplete to Templin, Ty, PENALTY UT crackback (Raulerson, Jake) 15 yards to the BYU28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:31
3RD & 18
OPP 28
+2
67.0%
Johnathan Gray run for 2 yds to the BYU 26Similar
Q1 6:24
4TH & 16
OPP 26
+43
65.9%
Nick Rose 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 4FG
10 plays · 71 yds · 2:5434% → 35%
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
66.0%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Mitch Mathews for 8 yds to the BYU 34Similar
Q1 6:24
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+10
65.6%
Taysom Hill run for 20 yds to the TEXAS 46 for a 1ST down BYU Penalty, offensive holding (N/A) to the BYU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:24
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+31
65.1%
Jamaal Williams run for 31 yds to the Texas 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
64.9%
HILL,Taysom left side pass incomplete to MATHEWS,Mitch, PENALTY UT defensive holding 8 yards to the UT8, 1ST DOWN BYU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
64.9%
Jamaal Williams run for no gain to the Texas 8 Jamaal Williams fumbled, recovered by BYU Jamaal WilliamsSimilar
Q1 6:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
64.9%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Mitch MathewsSimilar
Q1 6:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
65.2%
Taysom Hill run for 5 yds to the Texas 3Similar
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
65.4%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Algernon Brown for 9 yds to the Texas 47Similar
Q1 3:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
64.3%
Trevor Samson 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q1 3:30
1ST & 0
OWN 35
-5
64.6%
MIKKELSEN,Andre kickoff 60 yards to the UT5, Johnson, Marcus return to the UT24 (TAKITAKI,Sione), PENALTY BYU offside 5 yards to the BYU30, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 30 yds · 0:0064% → 65%
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
64.3%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to John Harris for 13 yds to the Texas 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
64.8%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to John Harris for 11 yds to the Texas 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
65.5%
Johnathan Gray run for no gain to the Texas 49Similar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+7
65.3%
Johnathan Gray run for 7 yds to the BYU 44Similar
Q1 3:21
3RD & 3
OPP 44
-1
65.5%
Johnathan Gray run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 45Similar
Q1 3:21
4TH & 4
OPP 45
0
64.8%
William Russ punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Mitchell Juergens at the BYU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 0:2537% → 36%
Q1 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
63.5%
Taysom Hill run for no gain to the BYU 12Similar
Q1 0:25
2ND & 10
OWN 12
0
63.6%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 19
OWN 3
0
64.2%
Scott Arellano punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Texas 47Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 12
-9
63.6%
Taysom Hill sacked by Cedric Reed and Malcom Brown for a loss of 9 yards to the BYU 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 7FUMBLE
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:3565% → 63%
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
64.6%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Jaxon Shipley for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 7
50
0
64.8%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to John HarrisSimilar
Q2 13:36
3RD & 7
50
-5
64.1%
TEXAS Penalty, false start (N/A) to the Texas 45Similar
Q2 13:36
3RD & 12
OWN 45
+4
62.7%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to John Harris for 4 yds John Harris fumbled, forced by Robertson Daniel, recovered by BYU Robertson DanielSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 8PUNT
11 plays · 8 yds · 0:0039% → 37%
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
61.0%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 13:29
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+7
61.1%
Taysom Hill run for 7 yds to the Texas 42Similar
Q2 13:29
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+3
61.2%
Taysom Hill run for 3 yds to the Texas 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
61.0%
Algernon Brown run for 2 yds to the Texas 37Similar
Q2 13:29
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+1
61.0%
Algernon Brown run for 1 yd to the Texas 36Similar
Q2 13:29
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+9
61.3%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Algernon Brown for 9 yds to the Texas 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-10
60.4%
WILLIAMS,Jamaa rush up middle for 1 yard to the UT26 (Hicks, Jordan), PENALTY BYU offensive holding (KEARSLEY,Brayd) 10 yards to the UT37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:29
1ST & 20
OPP 37
+1
61.3%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Mitch Mathews for 1 yd to the Texas 36Similar
Q2 13:29
2ND & 19
OPP 36
-1
61.4%
Taysom Hill sacked by Jordan Hicks and Caleb Bluiett for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 37Similar
Q2 13:29
3RD & 20
OPP 37
-4
62.2%
Jamaal Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the Texas 41Similar
Q2 13:29
4TH & 24
OPP 41
0
63.0%
Scott Arellano punt for 24 yds, fair catch by Jaxon Shipley at the Texas 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 9FUMBLE
1 play · 6 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q2 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
61.2%
Johnathan Gray run for 6 yds to the Texas 23 Johnathan Gray fumbled, forced by Jherremya Leuta-Douyere, recovered by BYU Robertson DanielSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 10FG
6 plays · 12 yds · 2:1642% → 47%
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
58.1%
Jamaal Williams run for 1 yd to the Texas 22Similar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+12
58.1%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Jamaal Williams for 12 yds to the Texas 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
58.1%
Jamaal Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 11Similar
Q2 8:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+4
58.3%
Taysom Hill run for 4 yds to the Texas 7Similar
Q2 8:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-4
58.9%
Taysom Hill sacked by Shiro Davis for a loss of 4 yards to the Texas 11Similar
Q2 6:34
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+29
53.1%
Trevor Samson 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 0:0056% → 55%
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
56.0%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Geoff Swaim for 9 yds to the Texas 45Similar
Q2 6:24
2ND & 1
OWN 45
0
57.5%
Malcolm Brown run for no gain to the Texas 45Similar
Q2 6:24
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+1
56.9%
Malcolm Brown run for 1 yd to the Texas 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
57.3%
Malcolm Brown run for 3 yds to the Texas 49Similar
Q2 6:24
2ND & 7
OWN 49
0
57.7%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Geoff SwaimSimilar
Q2 6:24
3RD & 7
OWN 49
0
56.7%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Malcolm BrownSimilar
Q2 6:24
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
55.1%
William Russ punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Mitchell Juergens at the BYU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 12INT
10 plays · 68 yds · 2:4047% → 55%
Q2 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+9
53.1%
Taysom Hill run for 9 yds to the BYU 17Similar
Q2 4:31
2ND & 1
OWN 17
+6
52.0%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Jordan Leslie for 6 yds to the BYU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
52.3%
Adam Hine run for 2 yds to the BYU 25Similar
Q2 4:31
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+10
52.2%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Jordan Leslie for 10 yds to the BYU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
51.6%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Jordan Leslie for 13 yds to the BYU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
50.4%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Algernon Brown for 12 yds to the Texas 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
50.0%
Jamaal Williams run for 2 yds to the Texas 38Similar
Q2 4:31
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+14
50.0%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Terenn Houk for 14 yds to the Texas 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
44.9%
Taysom Hill pass intercepted, touchback. Quandre Diggs return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 7 yds · 0:5051% → 50%
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
50.5%
Johnathan Gray run for 12 yds to the Texas 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-10
51.1%
Swoopes, Tyrone rush over left end for 5 yards to the UT37, out-of-bounds, PENALTY UT offensive holding (Hutchins, Marcus) 10 yards to the UT22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 20
OWN 22
+12
50.6%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Marcus Johnson for 12 yds to the Texas 34Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 8
OWN 34
0
51.3%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Johnathan Gray, broken up by Skye PoVeySimilar
Q2 1:25
3RD & 8
OWN 34
-7
50.3%
Tyrone Swoopes sacked by Alani Fua for a loss of 7 yards to the Texas 27Similar
Q2 0:54
4TH & 15
OWN 27
0
50.1%
William Russ punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
50.6%
Taysom Hill run for no gain to the BYU 25Similar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
51.3%
Taysom Hill run for no gain to the BYU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 15TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:5451% → 69%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
48.8%
Jamaal Williams run for 4 yds to the BYU 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
48.2%
Taysom Hill run for 7 yds to the BYU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
47.7%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Paul LasikeSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+10
48.2%
Taysom Hill run for 10 yds to the BYU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
46.7%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Algernon Brown for 10 yds to the Texas 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
46.3%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Mitch Mathews for 3 yds to the Texas 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+9
46.3%
Jamaal Williams run for 9 yds to the Texas 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
46.0%
Paul Lasike run for 2 yds to the Texas 30Similar
Q3 12:06
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+30
30.6%
Taysom Hill run for 30 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:1637% → 32%
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
36.5%
Malcolm Brown run for 1 yd to the Texas 12Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 9
OWN 12
-5
36.5%
Tyrone Swoopes sacked by Dallin Leavitt for a loss of 5 yards to the Texas 7Similar
Q3 10:44
3RD & 14
OWN 7
0
32.1%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Marcus JohnsonSimilar
Q3 10:44
4TH & 14
OWN 7
0
32.1%
William Russ punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Mitchell Juergens at the BYU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 17TD
5 plays · 55 yds · 1:0972% → 89%
Q3 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
28.5%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Jordan Leslie for 9 yds to the Texas 46Similar
Q3 10:31
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+3
28.1%
Adam Hine run for 3 yds to the Texas 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+27
28.4%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Jordan Leslie for 27 yds to the Texas 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
27.7%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Jordan LeslieSimilar
Q3 9:22
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+16
11.4%
Adam Hine run for 16 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q3 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
16.7%
Johnathan Gray run for 1 yd to the Texas 8Similar
Q3 9:16
2ND & 9
OWN 8
0
16.5%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to John Harris, broken up by Alani FuaSimilar
Q3 9:16
3RD & 9
OWN 8
0
16.5%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Marcus JohnsonSimilar
Q3 9:16
4TH & 9
OWN 8
+18
16.5%
William Russ punt for 39 yds , Mitchell Juergens returns for 18 yds to the Texas 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 19TD
7 plays · 29 yds · 2:2190% → 97%
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
9.8%
Taysom Hill run for 9 yds to the Texas 20Similar
Q3 8:12
2ND & 1
OPP 20
0
9.8%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Jamaal WilliamsSimilar
Q3 8:12
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+7
9.9%
Jamaal Williams run for 7 yds to the Texas 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
9.8%
Taysom Hill run for 6 yds to the Texas 7Similar
Q3 8:12
2ND & 4
OPP 7
+2
9.8%
Jamaal Williams run for 2 yds to the Texas 5Similar
Q3 8:12
3RD & 2
OPP 5
+3
9.9%
Taysom Hill run for 3 yds to the Texas 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
2.8%
Taysom Hill run for 2 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 21TD
4 plays · 24 yds · 1:0897% → 99%
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+11
3.4%
Algernon Brown run for 11 yds to the Texas 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
3.4%
Algernon Brown run for no gain to the Texas 13Similar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+12
3.4%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Mitch Mathews for 12 yds to the Texas 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
1.5%
Taysom Hill run for 1 yd for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 22TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 4:042% → 3%
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
2.0%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Jaxon Shipley for 2 yds to the Texas 27Similar
Q3 4:20
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
1.8%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to John Harris for 5 yds to the Texas 32Similar
Q3 4:20
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
1.8%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Malcolm Brown for 2 yds to the Texas 34Similar
Q3 4:20
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
1.8%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 2 yds to the Texas 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
2.0%
Malcolm Brown run for 1 yd to the Texas 37Similar
Q3 4:20
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+9
1.8%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Jaxon Shipley for 9 yds to the Texas 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
2.0%
Malcolm Brown run for 1 yd to the Texas 47Similar
Q3 4:20
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+14
1.9%
Tyrone Swoopes run for 14 yds to the BYU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
2.1%
Johnathan Gray run for 3 yds to the BYU 36Similar
Q3 4:20
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+22
2.0%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Lorenzo Joe for 22 yds to the BYU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
2.2%
Johnathan Gray run for 1 yd to the BYU 13Similar
Q3 4:20
2ND & 9
OPP 13
0
2.2%
Johnathan Gray run for no gain to the BYU 13Similar
Q3 0:29
3RD & 9
OPP 13
+13
2.7%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to John Harris for 13 yds for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 0:2398% → 98%
Q3 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+16
1.9%
Jamaal Williams run for 16 yds to the BYU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
1.7%
Jamaal Williams run for 3 yds to the BYU 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
1.6%
Taysom Hill pass incomplete to Mitch MathewsSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 38
-9
1.6%
Taysom Hill sacked by Malcom Brown for a loss of 9 yards to the BYU 29Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 16
OWN 29
-5
2.0%
BYU Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the BYU 24Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 21
OWN 24
+6
2.0%
Scott Arellano punt for 51 yds , Jaxon Shipley returns for 6 yds to the Texas 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 24DOWNS
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+13
1.4%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Jaxon Shipley for 13 yds to the Texas 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
1.5%
Johnathan Gray run for 4 yds to the Texas 48Similar
Q4 13:31
2ND & 6
OWN 48
0
1.4%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Johnathan GraySimilar
Q4 13:31
3RD & 6
OWN 48
0
1.4%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Jaxon ShipleySimilar
Q4 13:31
4TH & 6
OWN 48
0
1.4%
Tyrone Swoopes pass incomplete to Geoff Swaim, broken up by Robertson DanielSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 25FUMBLE
1 play · -6 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
0.6%
Taysom Hill sacked by Malcom Brown for a loss of 6 yards to the BYU 42 Taysom Hill fumbled, recovered by Texas Desmond Jackson , return for 0 yards , return for 4 yds to the BYU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 26INT
3 plays · 17 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+16
1.1%
Malcolm Brown run for 16 yds to the BYU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
1.2%
Malcolm Brown run for 1 yd to the BYU 25Similar
Q4 12:35
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+30
1.1%
Tyrone Swoopes pass intercepted Michael Alisa return for 30 yds to the Texas 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 27TD
9 plays · 45 yds · 3:35100% → 100%
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
0.5%
Jamaal Williams run for no gain to the Texas 45Similar
Q4 11:40
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+11
0.5%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Jordan Leslie for 11 yds to the Texas 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
0.5%
Jamaal Williams run for 1 yd to the Texas 33Similar
Q4 11:40
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+7
0.5%
Jamaal Williams run for 7 yds to the Texas 26Similar
Q4 11:40
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+4
0.5%
Jamaal Williams run for 4 yds to the Texas 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
0.5%
Jamaal Williams run for 3 yds to the Texas 19Similar
Q4 11:40
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+2
0.5%
Jamaal Williams run for 2 yds to the Texas 17Similar
Q4 11:40
3RD & 5
OPP 17
+9
0.5%
Taysom Hill pass complete to Jordan Leslie for 9 yds to the Texas 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
0.3%
Adam Hine run for 8 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 28PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
0.2%
Johnathan Gray run for 4 yds to the Texas 25Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+8
0.2%
Johnathan Gray run for 8 yds to the Texas 33 for a 1ST down BYU Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
0.2%
Johnathan Gray run for no gain to the Texas 33Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+5
0.2%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Johnathan Gray for 5 yds to the Texas 38Similar
Q4 8:00
3RD & 5
OWN 38
-6
0.2%
Tyrone Swoopes sacked by Jordan Preator for a loss of 6 yards to the Texas 32Similar
Q4 8:00
4TH & 11
OWN 32
+8
0.2%
William Russ punt for 40 yds , Mitchell Juergens returns for 8 yds to the BYU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 29PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
0.2%
Nate Carter run for 4 yds to the BYU 40Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
0.2%
Nate Carter run for no gain to the BYU 40Similar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 6
OWN 40
-5
0.2%
BYU Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BYU 35Similar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 11
OWN 35
0
0.3%
Scott Arellano punt for 64 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Texas 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 30PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:430% → 0%
Q4 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
0.1%
Malcolm Brown run for 1 yd to the Texas 2Similar
Q4 3:08
2ND & 9
OWN 2
-1
0.1%
Malcolm Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 1Similar
Q4 3:08
3RD & 10
OWN 1
+5
0.1%
Tyrone Swoopes pass complete to Geoff Swaim for 5 yds to the Texas 6Similar
Q4 3:08
4TH & 5
OWN 6
-2
0.1%
William Russ punt for 52 yds , Devon Blackmon returns for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 31END OF GAME
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
0.1%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 39Similar
Q4 1:27
2ND & 11
OWN 39
-2
0.1%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the BYU 37Similar
Q4 1:27
3RD & 13
OWN 37
-1
0.1%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:22
Adam Hine run for 16 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK)
-16.3
TD · Q3 12:06
Taysom Hill run for 30 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK)
-15.4
TD · Q3 5:51
Taysom Hill run for 2 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK)
-7.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com