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TTU

Texas Tech 30 at UTEP 26

UTEP
2014 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2014 · Sun Bowl
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Win probability · UTEP
modelUTEP aheadTTU aheadconfidence bandkey playUTEP scoreTTU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+0.8UTEP 18.0%Ryan Bustin 28 yd FG GOODAWAY 9 - HOME 6 · Q2 10:47
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 10:47 · Ryan Bustin 28 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+39.5+19.80−19.8−39.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 69Pregame prior−32.5Home team on offense−2.8Garbage-time factor−0.1Score differential−1.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:43: Aaron Jones 19 Yd Run (Jay Mattox Kick) — UTEP win probability +10.4 pts (now 32%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:41: Bradley Marquez 11 Yd pass from Davis Webb (Ryan Bustin Kick) — TTU win probability +9.4 pts (now 80%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:07: Jeremiah Laufasa 24 Yd Run (Jay Mattox PAT failed) — UTEP win probability +15.9 pts (now 34%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  4. TD · Q4 5:05: Aaron Jones 9 Yd Run (Jay Mattox Kick) — UTEP win probability +37.4 pts (now 75%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:32: Davis Webb pass complete to Bradley Marquez for 9 yds for a TD, (Ryan Bustin KICK) — TTU win probability +41.9 pts (now 90%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTEP made the numbers' call on 9 of 9TTU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00TTU 4th & 10 at TTU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.5%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:44UTEP 4th & 5 at TTU 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.1%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.1%
    92% to make
    Punt
    15.7%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:44TTU 4th & 8 at UTEP 47, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.7%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:06UTEP 4th & 9 at UTEP 38, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:56UTEP 4th & 4 at UTEP 22, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.6%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.8%
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:39TTU 4th & 24 at TTU 16, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.5%−0.9
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.4%
    average punt
  7. Q1 0:00UTEP 4th & 10 at TTU 10, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.1%−0.4
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.4%
    88% to make
    Punt
    20.2%−2.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:48UTEP 4th & 4 at UTEP 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.2%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 10:47TTU 4th & 11 at UTEP 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.2%−0.5
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.7%
    87% to make
    Punt
    74.0%−2.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00UTEP 4th & 9 at UTEP 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.9%−1.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:27TTU 4th & 5 at UTEP 33, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 72.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    71.9%−0.6
    49% to make
    Punt
    70.9%−1.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:19UTEP 4th & 5 at UTEP 38, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.5%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00TTU 4th & 14 at TTU 21, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.0%−5.7
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:39UTEP 4th & 4 at UTEP 21, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.9%−1.7
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:23TTU 4th & 2 at TTU 45, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsPunted · 73.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.1%−2.0
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:28UTEP 4th & 6 at TTU 29, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    22.1%−0.9
    58% to make
    Punt
    10.5%−12.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTEP made the numbers' call on 3 of 3TTU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 4:43UTEP Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:41TTU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 6:27TTU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:07UTEP Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    29.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 5:05UTEP Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.7%−0.7
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:32TTU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TTUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
10.5%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to D.J. Polite-BraySimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
10.5%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Reginald Davis, broken up by Alvin JonesSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
10.5%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Jakeem GrantSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
10.5%
Taylor Symmank punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Damian Payne at the UTEP 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 2FG
13 plays · 67 yds · 4:5211% → 13%
Q1 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
10.6%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Josh BellSimilar
Q1 14:36
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+27
10.6%
Aaron Jones run for 27 yds to the TexTc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:36
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
10.6%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 6 yds to the TexTc 39Similar
Q1 14:36
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+2
10.6%
Nathan Jeffery run for 2 yds to the TexTc 37Similar
Q1 14:36
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+5
10.6%
Aaron Jones run for 5 yds to the TexTc 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:36
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
10.7%
SHOWERS,Jameill deep pass incomplete to SHAW, Jarrad, PENALTY TTU offside 5 yards to the TTU27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:36
1ST & 5
OPP 27
+4
10.7%
Aaron Jones run for 4 yds to the TexTc 23Similar
Q1 14:36
2ND & 1
OPP 23
+2
10.7%
Jameill Showers run for 2 yds to the TexTc 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:36
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+11
10.7%
SHOWERS,Jameill sideline pass incomplete to SHAW, Jarrad, PENALTY TTU pass interference (Johnson, Jah.) 11 yards to the TTU10, 1ST DOWN UTEP, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
10.7%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Ian HamiltonSimilar
Q1 14:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
10.7%
Nathan Jeffery run for 5 yds to the TexTc 5Similar
Q1 14:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
10.6%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Eric TomlinsonSimilar
Q1 9:44
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
13.2%
Jay Mattox 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q1 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
13.0%
DeAndre Washington run for 9 yds to the TexTc 34Similar
Q1 9:44
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-5
12.9%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 29Similar
Q1 9:44
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+22
13.0%
Davis Webb pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 22 yds to the UTEP 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
12.8%
DeAndre Washington run for 2 yds to the UTEP 47Similar
Q1 9:44
2ND & 8
OPP 47
0
12.8%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Jakeem GrantSimilar
Q1 9:44
3RD & 8
OPP 47
0
12.9%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Bradley MarquezSimilar
Q1 9:44
4TH & 8
OPP 47
+12
13.1%
Taylor Symmank punt for 33 yds , Damian Payne returns for 12 yds to the UTEP 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+11
13.9%
Autrey Golden run for 11 yds to the UTEP 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
14.0%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Eric TomlinsonSimilar
Q1 8:06
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+1
14.0%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 1 yd to the UTEP 38Similar
Q1 8:06
3RD & 9
OWN 38
0
13.9%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Eric TomlinsonSimilar
Q1 8:06
4TH & 9
OWN 38
+12
13.7%
Mike Ruggles punt for 44 yds for a 1ST down , Cameron Batson returns for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down TEXAS TECH Penalty, Offensive holding (9 Yards) to the TexTc 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 5FUMBLE
5 plays · 75 yds · 0:0085% → 86%
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+12
15.0%
DeAndre Washington run for 12 yds to the TexTc 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+36
15.0%
Davis Webb pass complete to Reginald Davis for 36 yds to the UTEP 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
14.5%
Webb, Davis deep pass incomplete to Davis, Reginald, PENALTY UTEP pass interference (JAMES, Adrian) 15 yards to the UTEP27, 1ST DOWN TTU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
14.3%
DeAndre Washington run for 3 yds to the UTEP 24Similar
Q1 6:26
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+9
14.3%
Davis Webb pass complete to DeAndre Washington for 9 yds DeAndre Washington fumbled, recovered by UTEP Jameel Erving , return for 1 yd to the UTEP 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0016% → 15%
Q1 4:56
2ND & 23
OWN 3
+1
15.6%
Nathan Jeffery run for 1 yd to the UTEP 4Similar
Q1 4:56
3RD & 22
OWN 4
+18
15.4%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Autrey Golden for 18 yds to the UTEP 22Similar
Q1 4:56
4TH & 4
OWN 22
+1
15.3%
Mike Ruggles punt for 49 yds , Cameron Batson returns for 1 yd to the TexTc 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · -14 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q1 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-10
16.6%
Washington, De. rush draw play for no gain to the TTU30 (RICHARDSON, D.), PENALTY TTU holding 10 yards to the TTU20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:39
1ST & 20
OWN 20
-10
16.7%
Webb, Davis ST pass incomplete to Grant, Jakeem, PENALTY TTU holding 10 yards to the TTU10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:39
1ST & 30
OWN 10
+6
16.7%
Davis Webb pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 6 yds to the TexTc 16Similar
Q1 3:39
2ND & 24
OWN 16
0
16.8%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Bradley MarquezSimilar
Q1 3:39
3RD & 24
OWN 16
0
17.0%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Devin Lauderdale, broken up by Damian PayneSimilar
Q1 3:39
4TH & 24
OWN 16
0
17.2%
Taylor Symmank punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Damian Payne at the UTEP 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 8FG
9 plays · 44 yds · 2:1118% → 21%
Q1 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+33
17.9%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Jarrad Shaw for 33 yds to the TexTc 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
18.3%
Nathan Jeffery run for 2 yds to the TexTc 19Similar
Q1 2:11
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+1
18.3%
Jameill Showers run for 1 yd to the TexTc 18Similar
Q1 2:11
3RD & 7
OPP 18
+8
18.0%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Aaron Jones for 8 yds to the TexTc 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
19.6%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Ian Hamilton, broken up by Justis NelsonSimilar
Q1 0:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
19.6%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Autrey GoldenSimilar
Q1 0:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
19.2%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Josh BellSimilar
Q1 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
20.9%
Jay Mattox 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 9TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
17.4%
Justin Stockton run for 75 yds for a TD, (Bradley Marquez failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q2 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
18.1%
Nathan Jeffery run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 24Similar
Q2 14:48
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+7
18.0%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Jarrad Shaw for 7 yds to the UTEP 31Similar
Q2 14:48
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
17.8%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Eric Tomlinson, broken up by Micah AweSimilar
Q2 14:48
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
17.6%
Mike Ruggles punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Cameron Batson at the TexTc 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 11FG
7 plays · 54 yds · 2:3682% → 82%
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+40
17.9%
Davis Webb pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 40 yds to the UTEP 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
16.7%
DeAndre Washington run for 8 yds to the UTEP 17Similar
Q2 13:23
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+7
16.7%
Davis Webb run for 7 yds to the UTEP 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
16.7%
Justin Stockton run for no gain to the UTEP 10Similar
Q2 13:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-1
16.7%
Davis Webb pass complete to DeAndre Washington for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 11Similar
Q2 13:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
17.2%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Jakeem GrantSimilar
Q2 10:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+28
18.0%
Ryan Bustin 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 12TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 6:0418% → 32%
Q2 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
18.4%
Jameill Showers run for 1 yd to the UTEP 26Similar
Q2 10:47
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+7
18.3%
Aaron Jones run for 7 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q2 9:32
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
19.3%
Aaron Jones run for 5 yds to the UTEP 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+10
19.6%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Eric Tomlinson for 10 yds to the UTEP 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
20.3%
Autrey Golden run for 4 yds to the TexTc 48Similar
Q2 9:32
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+11
20.6%
Aaron Jones run for 11 yds to the TexTc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
20.6%
Jameill Showers run for 4 yds to the TexTc 33Similar
Q2 9:32
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+7
21.2%
Aaron Jones run for 7 yds to the TexTc 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
21.2%
Jameill Showers run for 7 yds to the TexTc 19Similar
Q2 4:43
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+19
31.5%
Aaron Jones 19 Yd Run (Jay Mattox Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 13TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:0271% → 80%
Q2 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
29.0%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to D.J. Polite-Bray, broken up by Traun RobersonSimilar
Q2 4:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+17
29.2%
Justin Stockton run for 17 yds to the TexTc 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+34
27.5%
Davis Webb pass complete to Dylan Cantrell for 34 yds to the UTEP 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
25.6%
Justin Stockton run for 2 yds to the UTEP 22Similar
Q2 4:43
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+9
25.6%
Quinton White run for 9 yds to the UTEP 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:43
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
25.6%
Quinton White run for 2 yds to the UTEP 11Similar
Q2 2:41
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+11
20.0%
Bradley Marquez 11 Yd pass from Davis Webb (Ryan Bustin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 14END OF HALF
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:0023% → 24%
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
23.2%
Aaron Jones run for 7 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q2 2:33
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+3
24.4%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 3 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
23.7%
Aaron Jones run for 2 yds to the UTEP 38Similar
Q2 2:33
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+4
23.9%
Aaron Jones run for 4 yds to the UTEP 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:0024% → 22%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
23.9%
Aaron Jones run for 1 yd to the UTEP 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
23.8%
Jameill Showers run for 5 yds to the UTEP 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-5
23.5%
UTEP Penalty, false start (Derek Elmendorff) to the UTEP 26Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
22.8%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Jarrad ShawSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+11
22.4%
Mike Ruggles punt for 64 yds , Cameron Batson returns for 11 yds to the TexTc 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 16DOWNS
7 plays · 46 yds · 1:1176% → 75%
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
24.0%
DeAndre Washington run for 7 yds to the TexTc 28Similar
Q3 12:38
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+34
23.0%
Davis Webb pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 34 yds to the UTEP 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
22.0%
DeAndre Washington run for 5 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q3 12:38
2ND & 5
OPP 33
0
21.2%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Jakeem Grant, broken up by Jameel ErvingSimilar
Q3 11:27
3RD & 5
OPP 33
0
23.5%
Davis Webb pass complete to Jakeem Grant for no gain to the UTEP 33Similar
Q3 11:27
4TH & 5
OPP 33
0
25.1%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Jakeem GrantSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0027% → 26%
Q3 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
26.9%
Aaron Jones pass incomplete to Jarrad ShawSimilar
Q3 11:19
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+5
26.9%
Aaron Jones run for 5 yds to the UTEP 38Similar
Q3 11:19
3RD & 5
OWN 38
0
28.0%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Aaron Jones, broken up by Pete RobertsonSimilar
Q3 11:19
4TH & 5
OWN 38
0
26.3%
Mike Ruggles punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Cameron Batson at the TexTc 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 18TD
10 plays · 83 yds · 3:5274% → 85%
Q3 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
26.2%
Justin Stockton run for 1 yd to the TexTc 18Similar
Q3 10:19
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+8
26.4%
Davis Webb pass complete to Reginald Davis for 8 yds to the TexTc 26Similar
Q3 10:19
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+3
26.1%
Davis Webb run for 3 yds to the TexTc 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:19
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+38
24.5%
Davis Webb pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 38 yds to the UTEP 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
22.9%
DeAndre Washington run for 3 yds to the UTEP 16Similar
Q3 10:19
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+3
22.9%
Quinton White run for 3 yds to the UTEP 13Similar
Q3 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
26.0%
Webb, Davis pass intercepted by ERVING, Jameel at the TTU42, ERVING, Jameel return to the TTU42, ERVING, Jameel for 12 yards to the TTU30, PENALTY UTEP offside 5 yards to the TTU34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
25.6%
Davis Webb pass complete to Reginald Davis for 9 yds to the TexTc 43Similar
Q3 10:19
2ND & 1
OWN 43
0
24.3%
DeAndre Washington run for no gain to the TexTc 43Similar
Q3 6:27
3RD & 4
OPP 13
+13
15.2%
Bradley Marquez 13 Yd pass from Davis Webb (Ryan Bustin Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 19TD
17 plays · 75 yds · 6:2016% → 34%
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
15.9%
Aaron Jones run for 6 yds to the UTEP 31Similar
Q3 6:27
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
16.4%
Nathan Jeffery run for 4 yds to the UTEP 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
16.2%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Autrey GoldenSimilar
Q3 6:27
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+9
16.2%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 9 yds to the UTEP 44Similar
Q3 6:27
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+3
17.0%
Jameill Showers run for 3 yds to the UTEP 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
17.4%
Aaron Jones run for 2 yds to the UTEP 49Similar
Q3 6:27
2ND & 8
OWN 49
0
17.4%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Tyler BatsonSimilar
Q3 6:27
3RD & 8
OWN 49
0
16.6%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Ian HamiltonSimilar
Q3 6:27
4TH & 8
OWN 49
+5
16.0%
RUGGLES, Mike punt 51 yards to the TTU0, touchback, PENALTY TTU substitution infraction 5 yards to the TTU46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:27
4TH & 3
OPP 46
+5
16.7%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, sideline interference (5 Yards) to the TexTc 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
16.9%
Jameill Showers run for 7 yds to the TexTc 34Similar
Q3 3:04
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+2
18.1%
Aaron Jones run for 2 yds to the TexTc 32Similar
Q3 3:04
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+4
17.2%
Nathan Jeffery run for 4 yds to the TexTc 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
18.1%
Aaron Jones run for 4 yds to the TexTc 24Similar
Q3 0:07
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+24
34.0%
Jeremiah Laufasa 24 Yd Run (Jay Mattox PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0776% → 73%
Q3 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
24.2%
Justin Stockton run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexTc 21Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
25.3%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Ian SadlerSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
26.2%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Devin Lauderdale, broken up by Traun RobersonSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
27.2%
Taylor Symmank punt for 49 yds for a 1ST down , Damian Payne returns for no gain to the UTEP 15 Damian Payne fumbled, recovered by UTEP Damian Payne for a 1ST down UTEP Penalty, personal foul (Nick Usher) to the UTEP 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0028% → 25%
Q4 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
27.5%
Jameill Showers run for no gain to the UTEP 15Similar
Q4 14:39
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+4
27.4%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 4 yds to the UTEP 19Similar
Q4 14:39
3RD & 6
OWN 19
+2
26.2%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Aaron Jones for 2 yds to the UTEP 21Similar
Q4 14:39
4TH & 4
OWN 21
+2
25.4%
Mike Ruggles punt for 44 yds , Cameron Batson returns for 2 yds to the TexTc 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0077% → 76%
Q4 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
23.4%
Davis Webb pass incomplete to Reginald Davis, broken up by Adrian JamesSimilar
Q4 12:23
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+5
24.0%
DeAndre Washington run for 5 yds to the TexTc 42Similar
Q4 12:23
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+3
22.9%
Davis Webb pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 3 yds to the TexTc 45Similar
Q4 12:23
4TH & 2
OWN 45
+4
24.4%
Taylor Symmank punt for 47 yds , Damian Payne returns for 4 yds to the UTEP 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 23TD
11 plays · 88 yds · 5:4329% → 75%
Q4 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
29.4%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Ian Hamilton for 5 yds to the UTEP 17Similar
Q4 10:48
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+10
29.4%
Aaron Jones run for 10 yds to the UTEP 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
30.0%
Aaron Jones run for 2 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q4 10:48
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+30
30.0%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Jeremiah Laufasa for 30 yds to the TexTc 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
34.9%
Aaron Jones run for 5 yds to the TexTc 36Similar
Q4 10:48
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+3
35.0%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Jarrad Shaw for 3 yds to the TexTc 33Similar
Q4 10:48
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+5
34.8%
Nathan Jeffery run for 5 yds to the TexTc 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
37.2%
Jameill Showers run for 9 yds to the TexTc 19Similar
Q4 10:48
2ND & 1
OPP 19
+3
37.2%
Darrin Laufasa run for 3 yds to the TexTc 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
37.2%
Aaron Jones run for 7 yds to the TexTc 9Similar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 3
OPP 9
+9
74.6%
Aaron Jones 9 Yd Run (Jay Mattox Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 24TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:3336% → 90%
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
63.9%
DeAndre Washington run for 2 yds to the TexTc 27Similar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
63.2%
Davis Webb pass complete to Jakeem Grant for 7 yds to the TexTc 34Similar
Q4 4:06
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+10
60.9%
Davis Webb run for 10 yds to the TexTc 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+20
58.5%
Justin Stockton run for 20 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+24
55.6%
Justin Stockton run for 24 yds to the UTEP 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
52.4%
DeAndre Washington run for 3 yds to the UTEP 9Similar
Q4 2:32
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+9
10.5%
Davis Webb pass complete to Bradley Marquez for 9 yds for a TD, (Ryan Bustin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 25DOWNS
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:5534% → 25%
Q4 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
33.8%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Jarrad ShawSimilar
Q4 2:23
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+2
32.8%
Jameill Showers run for 2 yds to the TexTc 31Similar
Q4 2:23
3RD & 8
OPP 31
+2
30.2%
Jameill Showers run for 2 yds to the TexTc 29Similar
Q4 1:28
4TH & 6
OPP 29
0
25.4%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Aaron JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0092% → 91%
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
8.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 28Similar
Q4 1:23
2ND & 11
OWN 28
-1
9.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:32
Davis Webb pass complete to Bradley Marquez for 9 yds for a TD, (Ryan Bustin KICK)
-41.9
TD · Q4 5:05
Aaron Jones 9 Yd Run (Jay Mattox Kick)
+37.4
TD · Q3 0:07
Jeremiah Laufasa 24 Yd Run (Jay Mattox PAT failed)
+15.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com