Try the model
MOST

Missouri State 23 at Oklahoma State 40

OKST
2014 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2014 · Boone Pickens Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · OKST
modelOKST aheadMOST aheadconfidence bandkey playOKST scoreMOST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDFGTDFGEnd of GameFG+0.6OKST 99.9%Ben Grogan 36 yd FG GOODAWAY 13 - HOME 40 · Q4 14:41
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:41 · Ben Grogan 36 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+48.5+24.30−24.3−48.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 139Pregame prior+20.0Home team on offense+33.9Score differential+28.3Garbage-time factor+12.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.8Blowout margin+11.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:52: Daxx Garman pass complete to Brandon Sheperd for 87 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK) — OKST win probability +1.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:00: Ben Grogan 19 yd FG GOOD — OKST win probability +1.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:01: Daxx Garman pass complete to Jhajuan Seales for 21 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK) — OKST win probability +1.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:54: Calan Crowder run for 1 yd for a TD, (Marcelo Bonani KICK) — MOST win probability +1.0 pts (now 1%) (top driver: MOST has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 3:21: Marcelo Bonani 38 yd FG GOOD — MOST win probability +1.0 pts (now 2%) (top driver: MOST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OKST made the numbers' call on 6 of 9MOST made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 11:38OKST 4th & 9 at MOST 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.7%
    77% to make
    Punt
    96.3%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:38MOST 4th & 6 at MOST 38, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:42OKST 4th & 8 at MOST 34, up 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.2%
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.2%−<0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    96.2%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:42MOST 4th & 14 at OKST 49, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:44OKST 4th & 1 at MOST 2, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.3%
    60% to convert
    Field goal
    95.1%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    94.6%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:17OKST 4th & 12 at MOST 29, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.4%
    58% to make
    Punt
    93.9%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00MOST 4th & 4 at MOST 45, down 4
    Close callPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:24MOST 4th & 10 at OKST 22, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.3%
    72% to make
    Punt
    4.5%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:52MOST 4th & 13 at MOST 17, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:00OKST 4th & 2 at MOST 2, up 18
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.0%−0.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    94.2%−2.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00MOST 4th & 3 at MOST 32, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:01MOST 4th & 8 at MOST 39, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:51OKST 4th & 7 at MOST 17, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%
    80% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:41OKST 4th & 9 at MOST 19, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.1%
    77% to make
    Punt
    98.4%−0.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:41MOST 4th & 3 at MOST 47, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:28OKST 4th & 2 at MOST 35, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    98.8%−0.3
    45% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:21MOST 4th & 16 at OKST 21, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.6
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.2%
    74% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.8
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:32OKST 4th & 1 at OKST 24, up 17
    Close callPunted · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OKST made the numbers' call on 4 of 4MOST made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 3:44OKST Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:47OKST Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:52OKST Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:01OKST Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:54MOST Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:28MOST Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.0%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OKSTDrive 1FG
13 plays · 59 yds · 3:2298% → 98%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
98.1%
J.W. Walsh pass complete to Jhajuan Seales for 7 yds to the OKSt 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+4
98.1%
J.W. Walsh pass complete to Marcell Ateman for 4 yds to the OKSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
98.1%
Walsh, J.W. pass incomplete to Sheperd, B., PENALTY MSU pass interference (Cal Schaffitzel) 15 yards to the OSU48, 1ST DOWN OSU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 0
0
98.1%
Hill, Tyreek rush for 10 yards to the MSU42 (Cal Schaffitzel), PENALTY MSU personal foul off-setting, PENALTY OSU illegal cut off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+13
98.1%
J.W. Walsh pass complete to Brandon Sheperd for 13 yds to the MoSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
98.1%
J.W. Walsh pass complete to Brandon Sheperd for 4 yds to the MoSt 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 35
0
98.1%
J.W. Walsh pass incomplete to Brandon SheperdSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+15
98.1%
J.W. Walsh run for 15 yds to the MoSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
98.1%
J.W. Walsh run for a loss of 1 yard to the MoSt 21Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 21
+2
98.1%
Rennie Childs run for 2 yds to the MoSt 19Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 19
0
98.1%
J.W. Walsh pass incomplete, broken up by Andrew BeiselSimilar
Q1 11:38
4TH & 9
OPP 19
+37
97.7%
Ben Grogan 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-3
97.7%
Phoenix Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the MoSt 31Similar
Q1 11:38
2ND & 13
OWN 31
-2
97.7%
Kierra Harris sacked by James Castleman and Jimmy Bean for a loss of 2 yards to the MoSt 29Similar
Q1 11:38
3RD & 15
OWN 29
+9
97.7%
Phoenix Johnson run for 9 yds to the MoSt 38Similar
Q1 11:38
4TH & 6
OWN 38
+37
97.7%
Chris Sullens punt for 35 yds , Tyreek Hill returns for 37 yds to the MoSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 3MISSED FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:5298% → 97%
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
97.5%
J.W. Walsh pass complete to Tyreek Hill for 2 yds to the MoSt 34Similar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 8
OPP 34
0
97.5%
J.W. Walsh pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 9:34
3RD & 8
OPP 34
0
97.5%
J.W. Walsh pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 8:42
4TH & 8
OPP 34
+51
97.3%
Ben Grogan 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
97.3%
Phoenix Johnson run for 4 yds to the MoSt 38Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+17
97.2%
Kierra Harris pass complete to Zac Hoover for 17 yds to the OKSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
97.2%
Kierra Harris pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-7
97.2%
Kierra Harris sacked by Jimmy Bean for a loss of 7 yards to the MoSt 48Similar
Q1 8:42
3RD & 17
OWN 48
+3
97.3%
Phoenix Johnson run for 3 yds to the OKSt 49Similar
Q1 8:42
4TH & 14
OPP 49
+19
97.3%
Chris Sullens punt blocked by Jordan Sterns blocked by Jordan Sterns Jordan Sterns return for 19 yds to the MoSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 5TD
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:1497% → 97%
Q1 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-10
97.0%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Offensive holding (N/A) to the MoSt 31Similar
Q1 5:58
1ST & 20
OPP 31
+20
97.0%
J.W. Walsh run for 20 yds to the MoSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
97.0%
Rennie Childs run for 1 yd to the MoSt 10Similar
Q1 5:58
2ND & 9
OPP 10
+8
97.0%
J.W. Walsh run for 8 yds to the MoSt 2Similar
Q1 5:58
3RD & 1
OPP 2
0
96.9%
Rennie Childs run for no gain to the MoSt 2Similar
Q1 3:44
4TH & 1
OPP 2
+2
97.0%
Rennie Childs run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 6TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:103% → 4%
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+42
96.9%
Kierra Harris pass complete to Maddy Johnson for 42 yds to the OKSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
96.8%
Calan Crowder run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 34Similar
Q1 3:44
2ND & 11
OPP 34
0
96.8%
Kierra Harris pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 2:34
3RD & 11
OPP 34
+34
96.1%
Kierra Harris pass complete to Julian Burton for 34 yds for a TD, (Marcelo Bonani BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 7MISSED FG
10 plays · 24 yds · 2:1796% → 96%
Q1 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
96.4%
Tyreek Hill run for 11 yds to the MoSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
96.4%
Daxx Garman pass complete to David Glidden for no gain to the MoSt 42Similar
Q1 2:34
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
96.4%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete, broken up by Dylan ColeSimilar
Q1 2:34
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+15
96.4%
Daxx Garman pass complete to David Glidden for 15 yds to the MoSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 0
0
96.2%
Garman, Daxx pass complete to Lacy, Chris for 2 yards to the MSU25, out-of-bounds, PENALTY OSU illegal block off-setting, PENALTY MSU substitution infraction off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
96.5%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Jhajuan SealesSimilar
Q1 2:34
2ND & 10
OPP 27
-2
96.5%
Tyreek Hill run for a loss of 2 yards to the MoSt 29Similar
Q1 2:34
3RD & 12
OPP 29
0
96.4%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Brandon SheperdSimilar
Q1 0:17
4TH & 12
OPP 29
+46
95.7%
Ben Grogan 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:174% → 4%
Q1 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+10
95.8%
Calan Crowder run for 10 yds to the MoSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
95.6%
Kierra Harris run for 9 yds to the MoSt 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 48
-3
95.4%
Kierra Harris pass complete to Julian Burton for a loss of 3 yards to the MoSt 45Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 45
0
95.5%
Kierra Harris pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
95.7%
Chris Sullens punt for 10 yds, downed at the OKSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 9TD
6 plays · 55 yds · 1:4696% → 97%
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+14
95.6%
Rennie Childs run for 14 yds to the MoSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+21
95.7%
Daxx Garman pass complete to David Glidden for 21 yds to the MoSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
95.7%
Rennie Childs run for 8 yds to the MoSt 12Similar
Q2 13:33
2ND & 2
OPP 12
+5
95.7%
Daxx Garman run for 5 yds to the MoSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
95.7%
Rennie Childs run for 5 yds to the MoSt 2Similar
Q2 11:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
96.5%
Rennie Childs run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 10MISSED FG
11 plays · 51 yds · 3:234% → 4%
Q2 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+25
96.1%
Calan Crowder run for 25 yds to the OKSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
95.9%
Kierra Harris pass incomplete to N/A, broken up by Josh FurmanSimilar
Q2 11:47
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+14
95.9%
Kierra Harris pass complete to Phoenix Johnson for 14 yds to the OKSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
95.8%
Kierra Harris pass complete to Gannon Sinclair for 8 yds to the OKSt 26Similar
Q2 11:47
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+4
95.7%
Kierra Harris run for 4 yds to the OKSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
95.7%
Kierra Harris run for 3 yds to the OKSt 19Similar
Q2 9:44
2ND & 7
OPP 19
-3
95.7%
Kierra Harris sacked by Ryan Simmons for a loss of 3 yards to the OKSt 22Similar
Q2 9:44
3RD & 10
OPP 22
0
95.9%
Kierra Harris pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 8:24
4TH & 10
OPP 22
+39
96.0%
Marcelo Bonani 39 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Team return for no gain to the OKSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 11TD
3 plays · 78 yds · 1:3296% → 97%
Q2 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-6
96.2%
Daxx Garman sacked by Dylan Cole for a loss of 6 yards to the OKSt 16Similar
Q2 8:24
2ND & 16
OWN 16
-3
96.2%
Daxx Garman pass complete to David Glidden for a loss of 3 yards to the OKSt 13Similar
Q2 6:52
3RD & 19
OWN 13
+87
97.4%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Brandon Sheperd for 87 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
97.1%
Phoenix Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the MoSt 18Similar
Q2 6:52
2ND & 12
OWN 18
-3
97.2%
Kierra Harris pass complete to Julian Burton for a loss of 3 yards to the MoSt 15Similar
Q2 6:52
3RD & 15
OWN 15
-5
97.2%
MISSOURI ST Penalty, false start (Gannon Sinclair) to the MoSt 10Similar
Q2 6:52
3RD & 20
OWN 10
+7
97.2%
Phoenix Johnson run for 7 yds to the MoSt 17Similar
Q2 6:52
4TH & 13
OWN 17
0
97.2%
Chris Sullens punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 13FG
14 plays · 56 yds · 4:3397% → 99%
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
97.4%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Austin HaysSimilar
Q2 4:33
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+3
97.4%
Tyreek Hill run for 3 yds to the OKSt 45Similar
Q2 4:33
3RD & 7
OWN 45
-8
97.3%
Daxx Garman sacked by Christian Hoffmann for a loss of 8 yards to the OKSt 37Similar
Q2 4:33
4TH & 15
OWN 37
+15
97.1%
Smith, Kip punt 48 yards to the MSU15, downed, PENALTY MSU personal foul (John Edwards) 15 yards to the MSU48, 1ST DOWN OSU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
97.4%
Tyreek Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the MoSt 49Similar
Q2 4:33
2ND & 11
OPP 49
0
97.4%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Jhajuan SealesSimilar
Q2 4:33
3RD & 11
OPP 49
+27
97.3%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Brandon Sheperd for 27 yds to the MoSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-5
97.4%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, false start (Jhajuan Seales) to the MoSt 27Similar
Q2 4:33
1ST & 15
OPP 27
+26
97.4%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Jhajuan Seales for 26 yds to the MoSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
97.4%
Tyreek Hill run for a loss of 1 yard to the MoSt 2Similar
Q2 4:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
97.4%
Rennie Childs run for 1 yd to the MoSt 1Similar
Q2 4:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
97.3%
Rennie Childs run for a loss of 1 yard to the MoSt 2Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
98.6%
Ben Grogan 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.2%
Phoenix Johnson run for 2 yds to the MoSt 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
98.2%
Kierra Harris pass complete to Julian Burton for 5 yds to the MoSt 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
98.2%
Kierra Harris pass incomplete to Gannon SinclairSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
98.2%
Chris Sullens punt for 36 yds , Brandon Sheperd returns for no gain to the OKSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 15TD
4 plays · 68 yds · 1:3299% → 100%
Q3 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
98.6%
Daxx Garman run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 31Similar
Q3 13:33
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+44
98.5%
Tyreek Hill run for 44 yds to the MoSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
98.6%
Rennie Childs run for 4 yds to the MoSt 21Similar
Q3 12:01
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+21
99.7%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Jhajuan Seales for 21 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
99.7%
Kierra Harris pass complete to Zac Hoover for 12 yds to the MoSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
99.7%
Kierra Harris run for 4 yds to the MoSt 41Similar
Q3 12:01
2ND & 6
OWN 41
-5
99.6%
Kierra Harris sacked by Sam Wren for a loss of 5 yards to the MoSt 36Similar
Q3 12:01
3RD & 11
OWN 36
+3
99.7%
Kierra Harris run for 3 yds to the MoSt 39Similar
Q3 12:01
4TH & 8
OWN 39
+20
99.7%
Chris Sullens punt for 35 yds, downed at the OKLAST 26 MISSOURI ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (N/A) to the OKSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 17FG
8 plays · 42 yds · 2:18100% → 100%
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+20
99.8%
James Washington run for 20 yds to the MoSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
99.8%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Ra'Shaad Samples for 5 yds to the MoSt 34Similar
Q3 9:09
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+14
99.8%
Daxx Garman run for 14 yds to the MoSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-5
99.8%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the MoSt 25Similar
Q3 9:09
1ST & 15
OPP 25
+6
99.8%
Tyreek Hill run for 6 yds to the MoSt 19Similar
Q3 9:09
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+2
99.8%
Tyreek Hill run for 2 yds to the MoSt 17Similar
Q3 9:09
3RD & 7
OPP 17
0
99.8%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Austin HaysSimilar
Q3 6:51
4TH & 7
OPP 17
+34
99.8%
Ben Grogan 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 18TD
12 plays · 74 yds · 4:570% → 1%
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
99.8%
Phoenix Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the MoSt 25Similar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+13
99.8%
Kierra Harris run for 13 yds to the MoSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
99.8%
Phoenix Johnson run for 2 yds to the MoSt 40Similar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+33
99.8%
Kierra Harris run for 18 yds to the OKLAST 42 for a 1ST down OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, personal foul (N/A) to the OKSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+8
99.7%
Julian Burton pass complete to Adam St. Peter for 8 yds to the OKSt 19Similar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 2
OPP 19
+1
99.7%
Phoenix Johnson run for 1 yd to the OKSt 18Similar
Q3 6:51
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+2
99.7%
Kierra Harris run for 2 yds to the OKSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
99.8%
Kierra Harris run for 4 yds to the OKSt 12Similar
Q3 3:04
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+11
99.8%
Kierra Harris pass complete to Calan Crowder for 11 yds to the OKSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.9%
Calan Crowder run for 1 yd for a TD, (Marcelo Bonani KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 19FG
10 plays · 38 yds · 2:1399% → 100%
Q3 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
99.3%
Rennie Childs run for 1 yd to the OKSt 44Similar
Q3 1:54
2ND & 9
OWN 44
0
99.3%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to David GliddenSimilar
Q3 1:54
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+15
99.3%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Austin Hays for 15 yds to the MoSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
99.3%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Ra'Shaad Samples for 4 yds to the MoSt 37Similar
Q3 1:54
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+17
99.3%
Daxx Garman pass complete to C.J. Curry for 17 yds to the MoSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
99.3%
Daxx Garman pass complete to C.J. Curry for 1 yd to the MoSt 19Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 19
0
99.4%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Austin HaysSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 19
0
99.4%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Ra'Shaad Samples OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 14:41
4TH & 9
OPP 19
+36
99.9%
Ben Grogan 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 20TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:130% → 1%
Q4 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.9%
Phoenix Johnson run for 7 yds to the MoSt 32Similar
Q4 14:41
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
99.9%
Phoenix Johnson run for 2 yds to the MoSt 34Similar
Q4 14:41
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+6
99.9%
Kierra Harris run for 6 yds to the MoSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
99.9%
Phoenix Johnson run for 3 yds to the MoSt 43Similar
Q4 14:41
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Kierra Harris pass incomplete to Malik EarlSimilar
Q4 14:41
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+4
99.9%
Kierra Harris pass complete to Lemarcus Stewart for 4 yds to the MoSt 47Similar
Q4 14:41
4TH & 3
OWN 47
+3
99.9%
Kierra Harris run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:41
1ST & 10
50
+2
99.9%
Calan Crowder run for 2 yds to the OKSt 48Similar
Q4 14:41
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+27
99.9%
Kierra Harris pass complete to Julian Burton for 27 yds to the OKSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:41
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-10
99.9%
Calan Crowder rush for 6 yards to the OSU15 (Flowers, Tre), PENALTY MSU holding (Robert Booker) 10 yards to the OSU31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:41
1ST & 20
OPP 31
+5
99.9%
Calan Crowder run for 5 yds to the OKSt 26Similar
Q4 9:28
2ND & 15
OPP 26
+26
99.2%
Kierra Harris pass complete to Julian Burton for 26 yds for a TD, (Marcelo Bonani KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 21DOWNS
7 plays · 38 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.3%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Austin Hays for 3 yds to the OKSt 28Similar
Q4 9:28
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+29
99.3%
Raymond Taylor run for 29 yds to the MoSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
99.4%
Raymond Taylor run for 5 yds to the MoSt 38Similar
Q4 9:28
2ND & 5
OPP 38
0
99.4%
Daxx Garman pass incomplete to Chris LacySimilar
Q4 9:28
3RD & 5
OPP 38
+3
99.4%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Austin Hays for 3 yds to the MoSt 35Similar
Q4 9:28
4TH & 2
OPP 35
-2
99.3%
Raymond Taylor run for a loss of 2 yards to the MoSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 22FG
9 plays · 42 yds · 4:041% → 2%
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
99.3%
Kierra Harris pass incomplete to Zac Hoover, PENALTY OSU holding (Richards, Ramon) 10 yards to the MSU47, 1ST DOWN MSU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
99.3%
Phoenix Johnson run for 1 yd to the MoSt 48Similar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+6
99.3%
Phoenix Johnson run for 6 yds to the OKSt 46Similar
Q4 7:25
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+12
99.3%
Kierra Harris pass complete to Zac Hoover for 12 yds to the OKSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+19
99.2%
Phoenix Johnson run for 19 yds to the OKSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-4
99.2%
Phoenix Johnson run for a loss of 4 yards to the OKSt 19Similar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 14
OPP 19
-7
99.2%
Kierra Harris sacked by Victor Irokansi for a loss of 7 yards to the OKSt 26Similar
Q4 7:25
3RD & 21
OPP 26
+5
99.3%
Phoenix Johnson run for 5 yds to the OKSt 21Similar
Q4 3:21
4TH & 16
OPP 21
+38
98.3%
Marcelo Bonani 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:4999% → 99%
Q4 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
98.6%
Daxx Garman pass complete to Ra'Shaad Samples for 2 yds to the OKSt 17Similar
Q4 3:21
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+1
98.6%
Raymond Taylor run for 1 yd to the OKSt 18Similar
Q4 3:21
3RD & 7
OWN 18
+6
98.6%
Raymond Taylor run for 6 yds to the OKSt 24Similar
Q4 1:32
4TH & 1
OWN 24
0
98.7%
Kip Smith punt for 18 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MOSTDrive 24END OF GAME
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
98.3%
Brodie Lambert pass incomplete to Deion HollimanSimilar
Q4 1:26
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+5
98.3%
Brodie Lambert pass complete to Willis Chambers for 5 yds to the OKSt 37Similar
Q4 1:26
3RD & 5
OPP 37
-5
98.2%
MISSOURI ST Penalty, false start (Jake Lasater) to the OKSt 42Similar
Q4 1:26
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+7
98.4%
Calan Crowder run for 7 yds to the OKSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q2 0:00
Ben Grogan 19 yd FG GOOD
+1.9
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+1.6
TD · Q2 6:52
Daxx Garman pass complete to Brandon Sheperd for 87 yds for a TD, (Ben Grogan KICK)
+1.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com