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TOW

Towson 0 at West Virginia 54

WVU
2014 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2014 · Milan Puskar Stadium
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Win probability · WVU
modelWVU aheadTOW aheadconfidence bandkey playWVU scoreTOW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDSAFETYTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:53 · Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Cody Clay
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 126Pregame prior+26.9Home team on offense+28.8Score differential+26.1Blowout margin+12.5Garbage-time factor+9.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+9.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:56: Wendell Smallwood run for 1 yd for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK) — TOW win probability +0.4 pts (now 4%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q1 3:26: Josh Lambert 19 yd FG GOOD — TOW win probability +0.4 pts (now 4%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:04: Rushel Shell run for 2 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK) — WVU win probability +2.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 4:38: Clint Trickett pass complete to Mario Alford for 1 yd for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK) — WVU win probability +1.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 1:06: Clint Trickett run for 5 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK) — WVU win probability +1.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WVU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5TOW made the numbers' call on 8 of 11
  1. Q1 10:56TOW 4th & 5 at TOW 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:26WVU 4th & 2 at TOW 2, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.0%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    93.4%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:47TOW 4th & 7 at WVU 46, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    6.1%−0.2
    23% to make
    Punt
    6.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:04WVU 4th & 7 at TOW 17, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.3%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.5%
    80% to make
    Punt
    92.2%−1.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:04TOW 4th & 5 at TOW 41, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.4%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:56TOW 4th & 15 at TOW 19, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%−0.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:33TOW 4th & 4 at TOW 30, down 24
    Close callPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:58TOW 4th & 8 at TOW 42, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:55TOW 4th & 14 at TOW 26, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:26TOW 4th & 10 at TOW 49, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:53WVU 4th & 1 at TOW 4, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    65% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:20TOW 4th & 8 at TOW 49, down 40
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:57TOW 4th & 10 at TOW 26, down 47
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:35WVU 4th & 4 at TOW 31, up 47
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:27TOW 4th & 11 at TOW 10, down 54
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−<0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:18WVU 4th & 6 at WVU 42, up 54
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WVU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 10:56WVU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:04WVU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:38WVU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:06WVU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:26WVU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:04WVU Touchdown, up 46 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 6:32WVU Touchdown, up 53 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1TD
14 plays · 68 yds · 4:0497% → 97%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
96.9%
Rushel Shell run for 2 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 34
-1
96.9%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Mario Alford for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 33
+15
96.9%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Rushel Shell for 15 yds to the WVirg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
96.9%
Rushel Shell run for 7 yds to the Tows 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+8
96.9%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Mario Alford for 8 yds to the Tows 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
96.9%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 6 yds to the Tows 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+10
96.9%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 10 yds to the Tows 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
96.9%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Mario AlfordSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+9
96.9%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Rushel Shell for 9 yds to the Tows 12Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+7
96.9%
Wendell Smallwood run for 7 yds to the Tows 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
96.9%
Wendell Smallwood run for 2 yds to the Tows 3Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
96.9%
Wendell Smallwood run for 2 yds to the Tows 1Similar
Q1 10:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
96.5%
Wendell Smallwood run for 1 yd for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.5%
Darius Victor run for 2 yds to the Tows 27Similar
Q1 10:56
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
96.5%
Connor Frazier pass complete to Andre Dessenberg for 6 yds to the Tows 33Similar
Q1 10:56
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
96.5%
Connor Frazier run for 4 yds to the Tows 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
96.4%
Darius Victor run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tows 35Similar
Q1 10:56
2ND & 12
OWN 35
-8
96.5%
Connor Frazier sacked by Wes Tonkery and KJ Dillon for a loss of 8 yards to the Tows 27Similar
Q1 10:56
3RD & 20
OWN 27
+15
96.5%
Darius Victor run for 15 yds to the Tows 42Similar
Q1 10:56
4TH & 5
OWN 42
+30
96.5%
Jake Ryder punt for 36 yds , Jordan Thompson returns for 30 yds to the Tows 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3FG
8 plays · 46 yds · 3:1996% → 96%
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
96.1%
Rushel Shell run for 4 yds to the Tows 44Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+4
96.1%
Rushel Shell run for 4 yds to the Tows 40Similar
Q1 6:45
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+28
96.0%
Rushel Shell run for 16 yds to the Tows 24 for a 1ST down TOWSON Penalty, personal foul (Fred Overstreet) to the Tows 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+10
96.1%
Clint Trickett run for 10 yds to the Tows 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
96.1%
Rushel Shell run for 1 yd to the Tows 1Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
96.1%
Wendell Smallwood run for no gain to the Tows 1Similar
Q1 6:45
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
96.0%
Rushel Shell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tows 2Similar
Q1 3:26
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
95.6%
Josh Lambert 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 4DOWNS
9 plays · 29 yds · 2:345% → 5%
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
95.5%
Connor Frazier pass complete to Emmanuel Holder for 1 yd to the Tows 26Similar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+25
95.5%
Connor Frazier pass complete to Derrick Joseph for 10 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST down WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, personal foul (Noble Nwachukwu) to the WVirg 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
95.3%
Emmanuel Holder run for 6 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 4
OPP 43
-5
95.3%
TOWSON Penalty, false start (N/A) to the WVirg 48Similar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+2
95.4%
Darius Victor run for 2 yds to the WVirg 46Similar
Q1 3:21
3RD & 7
OPP 46
0
95.4%
Connor Frazier pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 0:47
4TH & 7
OPP 46
0
95.3%
Connor Frazier run for no gain to the WVirg 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5MISSED FG
7 plays · 37 yds · 1:3896% → 95%
Q1 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+11
95.5%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Wendell Smallwood for 11 yds to the Tows 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
95.5%
Dreamius Smith run for 4 yds to the Tows 39Similar
Q1 0:42
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+19
95.5%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Wendell Smallwood for 19 yds to the Tows 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
95.5%
Clint Trickett sacked by Walter Dunston for a loss of 1 yard to the Tows 21Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 21
+4
95.4%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Dreamius Smith for 4 yds to the Tows 17Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 17
0
95.3%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Kevin White, broken up by Tye SmithSimilar
Q2 14:04
4TH & 7
OPP 17
+34
95.1%
Josh Lambert 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 6DOWNS
5 plays · 24 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
95.1%
Connor Frazier pass complete to Emmanuel Holder for 16 yds to the Tows 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
95.0%
Darius Victor run for 3 yds to the Tows 39Similar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+2
95.0%
Darius Victor run for 2 yds to the Tows 41Similar
Q2 14:04
3RD & 5
OWN 41
0
95.0%
Connor Frazier pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 14:04
4TH & 5
OWN 41
+3
95.1%
Pat Toomey run for 3 yds to the Tows 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7TD
10 plays · 44 yds · 3:0195% → 97%
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
95.0%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 9 yds to the Tows 35Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+6
95.1%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Jordan Thompson for 6 yds to the Tows 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-10
95.1%
PENALTY WVU holding declined, PENALTY WVU holding (Lucas, Marquis) 10 yards to the TOWSON39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:05
1ST & 20
OPP 39
+13
94.9%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 13 yds to the Tows 26Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+4
95.1%
Rushel Shell run for 4 yds to the Tows 22Similar
Q2 12:05
3RD & 3
OPP 22
+8
94.9%
Rushel Shell run for 8 yds to the Tows 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
95.1%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 6 yds to the Tows 8Similar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 4
OPP 8
0
95.1%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Kevin WhiteSimilar
Q2 12:05
3RD & 4
OPP 8
+6
95.0%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Mario Alford for 6 yds to the Tows 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
97.1%
Rushel Shell run for 2 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
96.4%
Connor Frazier run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tows 23Similar
Q2 8:56
2ND & 11
OWN 23
-5
96.4%
TOWSON Penalty, false start (N/A) to the Tows 18Similar
Q2 8:56
2ND & 16
OWN 18
0
96.5%
Connor Frazier pass incomplete to Derrick JosephSimilar
Q2 8:56
3RD & 16
OWN 18
+1
96.5%
Connor Frazier run for 1 yd to the Tows 19Similar
Q2 8:56
4TH & 15
OWN 19
-3
96.5%
Jake Ryder punt for 42 yds , Mario Alford returns for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9TD
8 plays · 64 yds · 2:2197% → 98%
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
96.8%
Jordan Thompson run for 9 yds to the WVirg 45Similar
Q2 6:59
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+25
96.9%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Wendell Smallwood for 25 yds to the Tows 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
96.9%
Rushel Shell run for 5 yds to the Tows 25Similar
Q2 6:59
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+9
96.9%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Jordan Thompson for 9 yds to the Tows 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
96.9%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 7 yds to the Tows 9Similar
Q2 6:59
2ND & 3
OPP 9
+7
96.9%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Cody Clay for 7 yds to the Tows 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
96.9%
Rushel Shell run for 1 yd to the Tows 1Similar
Q2 4:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.3%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Mario Alford for 1 yd for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
97.7%
Connor Frazier pass incomplete to Andre DessenbergSimilar
Q2 4:33
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+6
97.8%
Connor Frazier pass complete to Derrick Joseph for 6 yds to the Tows 30Similar
Q2 4:33
3RD & 4
OWN 30
0
97.7%
Connor Frazier pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 4:33
4TH & 4
OWN 30
0
97.8%
Jake Ryder punt for 25 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WVirg 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11TD
8 plays · 55 yds · 2:4498% → 100%
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
98.3%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Mario Alford for 7 yds to the Tows 48Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+2
98.3%
Rushel Shell run for 2 yds to the Tows 46Similar
Q2 3:50
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+16
98.2%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 16 yds to the Tows 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
98.3%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Rushel Shell for 5 yds to the Tows 25Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 5
OPP 25
0
98.3%
Wendell Smallwood run for no gain to the Tows 25Similar
Q2 3:50
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+12
98.3%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Jordan Thompson for 12 yds to the Tows 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
98.3%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 8 yds to the Tows 5Similar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 2
OPP 5
+5
99.5%
Clint Trickett run for 5 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
99.5%
Darius Victor run for 2 yds to the Tows 42Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 8
OWN 42
0
99.5%
Connor Frazier pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 0:58
3RD & 8
OWN 42
0
99.5%
Connor Frazier pass incomplete to Derrick JosephSimilar
Q2 0:58
4TH & 8
OWN 42
-8
99.5%
Jake Ryder punt for 36 yds , Mario Alford returns for a loss of 8 yards to the WVirg 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · 5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
99.6%
Wendell Smallwood run for 5 yds to the WVirg 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
99.4%
Connor Frazier run for 1 yd to the Tows 31Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 9
OWN 31
0
99.4%
Connor Frazier run for no gain to the Tows 31Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 9
OWN 31
-5
99.4%
TOWSON Penalty, false start (Antonio Harris) to the Tows 26Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 14
OWN 26
0
99.4%
Connor Frazier pass incomplete to Derrick JosephSimilar
Q3 14:55
4TH & 14
OWN 26
+49
99.4%
Jake Ryder punt for 39 yds WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, IB (Travis Bell) to the WVirg 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 15TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:42100% → 100%
Q3 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
99.6%
Rushel Shell run for 16 yds to the WVirg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+18
99.6%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Rushel Shell for 18 yds to the Tows 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+16
99.6%
Wendell Smallwood run for 16 yds to the Tows 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
99.6%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Jordan Thompson for 6 yds to the Tows 19Similar
Q3 13:08
2ND & 4
OPP 19
0
99.6%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Jordan ThompsonSimilar
Q3 11:26
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+19
99.7%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Jordan Thompson for 19 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Connor Frazier pass incomplete to Derrick JosephSimilar
Q3 11:26
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Connor Frazier run for no gain to the Tows 25Similar
Q3 11:26
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+24
99.7%
Connor Frazier pass complete to Andre Dessenberg for 24 yds to the Tows 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.7%
Connor Frazier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:26
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+3
99.7%
Darius Victor run for 3 yds to the WVirg 48Similar
Q3 11:26
3RD & 7
OPP 48
-3
99.7%
Connor Frazier pass complete to Derrick Joseph for a loss of 3 yards to the Tows 49Similar
Q3 11:26
4TH & 10
OWN 49
0
99.7%
Jake Ryder punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Jordan Thompson at the WVirg 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 17DOWNS
12 plays · 81 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
99.8%
Dreamius Smith run for 5 yds to the WVirg 20Similar
Q3 8:53
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+1
99.8%
Dreamius Smith run for 1 yd to the WVirg 21Similar
Q3 8:53
3RD & 4
OWN 21
+21
99.8%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 21 yds to the WVirg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
99.8%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Cody Clay for 5 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q3 8:53
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+10
99.8%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 10 yds to the Tows 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
99.8%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 4 yds to the Tows 39Similar
Q3 8:53
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+2
99.8%
Dreamius Smith run for 2 yds to the Tows 37Similar
Q3 8:53
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+24
99.8%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 24 yds to the Tows 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
99.8%
Dreamius Smith run for 3 yds to the Tows 10Similar
Q3 8:53
2ND & 7
OPP 10
0
99.8%
Dreamius Smith run for no gain to the Tows 10Similar
Q3 8:53
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+6
99.8%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 6 yds to the Tows 4Similar
Q3 8:53
4TH & 1
OPP 4
0
99.8%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Cody ClaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 18SF
1 play · -4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-4
99.8%
Joe Brennan sacked by Shaquille Riddick for a loss of 4 yards for a SAFETY TOWSON Penalty, intentional grounding (Joe Brennan) to the Tows 0Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 19FUMBLE
8 plays · 25 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
99.8%
Dustin Garrison run for 1 yd to the WVirg 49Similar
Q3 3:59
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+12
99.8%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Vernon Davis for 12 yds to the Tows 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
99.8%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Daikiel Shorts for 5 yds to the Tows 34Similar
Q3 3:59
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+6
99.8%
Dustin Garrison run for 6 yds to the Tows 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+11
99.8%
William Crest Jr. run for 11 yds to the Tows 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-4
99.8%
Dustin Garrison run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tows 21Similar
Q3 3:59
2ND & 14
OPP 21
-6
99.8%
William Crest Jr. sacked by Ryan Delaire for a loss of 6 yards to the Tows 27 William Crest Jr. fumbled, recovered by Tows Syd Holt , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 20DOWNS
9 plays · 18 yds · 2:110% → 0%
Q3 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
99.9%
Dontea Ayres run for 5 yds to the Tows 32Similar
Q3 1:31
2ND & 5
OWN 32
-5
99.9%
TOWSON Penalty, false start (Antonio Harris) to the Tows 27Similar
Q3 1:31
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Joe Brennan pass incomplete to Tanner VallelySimilar
Q3 1:31
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+20
99.9%
Joe Brennan pass complete to Spencer Wilkins for 20 yds to the Tows 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.9%
Joe Brennan pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+2
99.9%
Dontea Ayres run for 2 yds to the Tows 49Similar
Q4 14:20
3RD & 8
OWN 49
0
99.9%
Joe Brennan pass incomplete to Dontea AyresSimilar
Q4 14:20
4TH & 8
OWN 49
-4
99.9%
Joe Brennan sacked by Shaq Petteway for a loss of 4 yards to the Tows 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 21TD
6 plays · 45 yds · 2:07100% → 100%
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+26
99.9%
Andrew Buie run for 26 yds to the Tows 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
99.9%
Dreamius Smith run for 1 yd to the Tows 18Similar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+13
99.9%
Terrell Chestnut run for 13 yds to the Tows 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
99.9%
Andrew Buie run for 1 yd to the Tows 4Similar
Q4 12:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
William Crest Jr. run for 4 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)Similar
Q4 12:04
1ST & 0
OPP 3
+2
99.9%
TOWSON Penalty, offside defense (2 Yards) to the Tows 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
100.0%
Joe Brennan pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
100.0%
Joe Brennan pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q4 11:57
3RD & 10
OWN 26
0
100.0%
Joe Brennan pass incomplete to Andre DessenbergSimilar
Q4 11:57
4TH & 10
OWN 26
0
100.0%
Jake Ryder punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WVirg 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 23TD
11 plays · 59 yds · 5:03100% → 100%
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
99.9%
William Crest Jr. pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 1
50
+13
99.9%
Andrew Buie run for 13 yds to the Tows 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
99.9%
William Crest Jr. pass incomplete to Vernon DavisSimilar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+6
99.9%
Dustin Garrison run for 6 yds to the Tows 31Similar
Q4 11:35
3RD & 4
OPP 31
0
99.9%
William Crest Jr. pass complete to Shelton Gibson for no gain to the Tows 31Similar
Q4 11:35
4TH & 4
OPP 31
+16
99.9%
Andrew Buie run for 16 yds to the Tows 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
99.9%
William Crest Jr. run for 5 yds to the Tows 10Similar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+6
99.9%
Andrew Buie run for 6 yds to the Tows 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
99.9%
Andrew Buie run for 1 yd to the Tows 3Similar
Q4 11:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.9%
Andrew Buie run for no gain to the Tows 3Similar
Q4 6:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
100.0%
Andrew Buie run for 3 yds for a TD, (Mike Molina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
100.0%
Brandon Berney run for 3 yds to the Tows 14Similar
Q4 6:27
2ND & 7
OWN 14
+5
100.0%
Brandon Berney run for 5 yds to the Tows 19Similar
Q4 6:27
3RD & 2
OWN 19
-9
100.0%
Joe Brennan sacked by Jarrod Harper for a loss of 9 yards to the Tows 10Similar
Q4 6:27
4TH & 11
OWN 10
0
100.0%
Pat Toomey punt for 52 yds, downed at the WVirg 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
100.0%
Andrew Buie run for 4 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
Q4 4:18
2ND & 6
OWN 42
-2
100.0%
William Crest Jr. pass complete to Elijah Wellman for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 40Similar
Q4 4:18
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+2
100.0%
Elijah Wellman run for 2 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
Q4 4:18
4TH & 6
OWN 42
0
100.0%
Nick O'Toole punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Derrick Joseph at the Tows 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOWDrive 26END OF GAME
6 plays · 6 yds · 2:050% → 0%
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
100.0%
Brandon Berney run for 3 yds to the Tows 19Similar
Q4 2:25
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+4
100.0%
Brandon Berney run for 4 yds to the Tows 23Similar
Q4 2:25
3RD & 3
OWN 23
+4
100.0%
Brandon Berney run for 4 yds to the Tows 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
100.0%
TOWSON Penalty, delay of game (Joe Brennan) to the Tows 22Similar
Q4 0:20
1ST & 15
OWN 22
0
100.0%
Joe Brennan run for no gain to the Tows 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:04
Rushel Shell run for 2 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)
+2.1
TD · Q2 4:38
Clint Trickett pass complete to Mario Alford for 1 yd for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)
+1.4
TD · Q2 1:06
Clint Trickett run for 5 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)
+1.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com