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SFA

Stephen F. Austin 16 at Kansas State 55

KSU
2014 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2014 · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
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Win probability · KSU
modelKSU aheadSFA aheadconfidence bandkey playKSU scoreSFA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDFGEnd of GameFG+0.1KSU 99.9%Jack Cantele 43 yd FG GOODAWAY 16 - HOME 45 · Q4 14:50
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:50 · Jack Cantele 43 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 148Pregame prior+24.3Home team on offense+34.3Score differential+26.8Garbage-time factor+10.5Blowout margin+11.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:13: Charles Jones run for 15 yds for a TD, (Jack Cantele KICK) — KSU win probability +0.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:57: Joe Minden run for 18 yds for a TD, (Jordan Wiggs KICK) — SFA win probability +0.8 pts (now 2%) (top driver: SFA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:04: Jake Waters run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jack Cantele KICK) — KSU win probability +1.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:53: Jordan Wiggs 33 yd FG GOOD — SFA win probability +0.8 pts (now 2%) (top driver: SFA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 8:55: Jake Waters pass complete to Kody Cook for 22 yds for a TD, (Jack Cantele KICK) — KSU win probability +1.0 pts (now 100%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5SFA made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 12:36SFA 4th & 12 at SFA 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:48SFA 4th & 4 at SFA 27, down 7
    Close callPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:10KSU 4th & 1 at KSU 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    98.2%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:37SFA 4th & 6 at SFA 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  5. Q3 13:53KSU 4th & 18 at KSU 23, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%−0.6
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.2%
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:34SFA 4th & 4 at KSU 41, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    2.1%−0.4
    32% to make
    Punt
    2.3%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:13SFA 4th & 10 at SFA 26, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 1:20KSU 4th & 1 at SFA 33, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%−0.2
    49% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:50KSU 4th & 6 at SFA 26, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%
    64% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:13SFA 4th & 6 at SFA 18, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:38SFA 4th & 15 at SFA 25, down 36
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:34KSU 4th & 9 at SFA 21, up 36
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    74% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 0:26SFA 4th & 19 at SFA 27, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7SFA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 7:09KSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:51KSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:13KSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:57SFA Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:04KSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:55KSU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:41KSU Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:38KSU Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SFADrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 2:191% → 1%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.3%
Zach Conque run for 1 yd to the SFAus 26Similar
Q1 14:05
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
99.3%
Zach Conque run for 2 yds to the SFAus 28Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+10
99.3%
Zach Conque pass complete to Joshawa West for 10 yds to the SFAus 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
99.2%
Joshawa West run for 1 yd to the SFAus 39Similar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
99.2%
Zach Conque pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 9
OWN 39
-3
99.2%
Zach Conque sacked by Elijah Lee for a loss of 3 yards to the SFAus 36Similar
Q1 12:36
4TH & 12
OWN 36
0
99.2%
Nick Bruno punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Curry Sexton at the KanSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 2TD
13 plays · 69 yds · 5:1699% → 99%
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
99.2%
Jake Waters pass complete to DeMarcus Robinson for 9 yds to the KanSt 40Similar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+6
99.1%
Jake Waters pass complete to Kody Cook for 6 yds to the KanSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
99.1%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 5 yds to the SFAus 49Similar
Q1 9:48
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+7
99.0%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 7 yds to the SFAus 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
99.0%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 3 yds to the SFAus 39Similar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 7
OPP 39
-5
99.0%
KANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (Drew Liddle) to the SFAus 44Similar
Q1 9:04
2ND & 12
OPP 44
+16
99.0%
Jake Waters pass complete to DeMarcus Robinson for 16 yds to the SFAus 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
98.9%
Jake Waters run for a loss of 2 yards to the SFAus 21 Jake Waters fumbled, recovered by KanSt Jake Waters run for 9 yds to the SFAus 21Similar
Q1 8:22
2ND & 3
OPP 21
0
98.9%
Jake Waters pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 3
OPP 21
+7
98.9%
Jake Waters pass complete to Zach Trujillo for 7 yds to the SFAus 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
98.9%
Charles Jones run for 5 yds to the SFAus 9Similar
Q1 7:09
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+9
99.0%
Jake Waters pass complete to Tyler Lockett for 9 yds for a TD, (Jack Cantele KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFADrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:121% → 1%
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
98.9%
Joshawa West run for 1 yd to the SFAus 22Similar
Q1 6:31
2ND & 9
OWN 22
0
98.9%
Zach Conque pass incomplete to Joshawa WestSimilar
Q1 5:55
3RD & 9
OWN 22
+5
98.9%
Zach Conque pass complete to Marquis Mosley for 5 yds to the SFAus 27Similar
Q1 5:48
4TH & 4
OWN 27
0
98.8%
Nick Bruno punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Curry Sexton at the KanSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 4TD
13 plays · 60 yds · 5:1199% → 99%
Q1 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-7
98.8%
Jake Waters sacked by Nick Bryant for a loss of 7 yards to the KanSt 33Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 17
OWN 33
+8
98.8%
Jake Waters pass complete to DeMarcus Robinson for 8 yds to the KanSt 41Similar
Q1 4:30
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+8
98.7%
Jake Waters run for 8 yds to the KanSt 49Similar
Q1 4:10
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+2
98.7%
Jake Waters run for 2 yds to the SFAus 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
98.8%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 6 yds to the SFAus 43Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 4
OPP 43
-5
98.7%
KANSAS ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SFAus 48Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+16
98.7%
Jake Waters pass complete to Zach Trujillo for 16 yds to the SFAus 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+9
98.7%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 9 yds to the SFAus 23Similar
Q1 2:45
2ND & 1
OPP 23
+4
98.7%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 4 yds to the SFAus 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
98.5%
Jake Waters run for 5 yds to the SFAus 14Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+9
98.4%
Jake Waters pass complete to Deante Burton for 9 yds to the SFAus 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
98.4%
Jake Waters pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
98.8%
Jake Waters run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jack Cantele KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFADrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:141% → 1%
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
98.7%
SFA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the SFAus 20Similar
Q2 14:10
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+6
98.6%
Zach Conque pass complete to Aaron Thomas for 6 yds to the SFAus 26Similar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+3
98.6%
Zach Conque pass complete to Justice Liggins for 3 yds to the SFAus 29Similar
Q2 13:44
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
98.6%
Zach Conque pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:37
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+31
98.6%
Nick Bruno punt for 36 yds, downed at the KANSASST 35 SFA Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 6TD
7 plays · 60 yds · 2:0799% → 99%
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+17
98.7%
Jake Waters pass complete to Charles Jones for 17 yds to the SFAus 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
98.7%
Jake Waters pass complete to Deante Burton for 6 yds to the SFAus 37Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 4
OPP 37
0
98.7%
Jake Waters pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:55
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+7
98.6%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 7 yds to the SFAus 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
98.6%
Jake Waters pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+15
98.6%
Jake Waters run for 15 yds to the SFAus 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
99.3%
Charles Jones run for 15 yds for a TD, (Jack Cantele KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFADrive 7TD
14 plays · 77 yds · 4:161% → 2%
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-5
99.1%
SFA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the SFAus 18Similar
Q2 10:55
1ST & 15
OWN 18
+11
99.1%
Joe Minden pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 11 yds to the SFAus 29Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+3
99.1%
Joe Minden run for 3 yds to the SFAus 32Similar
Q2 9:29
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+4
99.1%
Joe Minden run for 4 yds to the SFAus 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.1%
Joe Minden pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-9
99.1%
SFA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-9 Yards) to the SFAus 27Similar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 19
OWN 27
+30
99.1%
Joe Minden pass complete to Robert Sylvester for 30 yds to the KanSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+37
99.0%
Joe Minden pass complete to Aaron Thomas for 37 yds to the KanSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 0
OPP 6
-5
98.9%
SFA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 11Similar
Q2 7:50
1ST & 0
OPP 11
-5
98.8%
SFA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 16Similar
Q2 7:20
1ST & 0
OPP 16
-2
98.8%
Joe Minden pass complete to Marquis Mosley for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 18Similar
Q2 6:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 18
+18
98.0%
Joe Minden run for 18 yds for a TD, (Jordan Wiggs KICK)Similar
Q2 6:57
2ND & 22
OWN 35
-15
98.2%
SFA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Joe Minden) to the SFAus 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 8TD
8 plays · 50 yds · 3:1698% → 99%
Q2 6:20
1ST & 10
50
-5
98.2%
Jake Waters sacked by Donald Bryant for a loss of 5 yards to the KanSt 45Similar
Q2 5:50
2ND & 15
OWN 45
+14
98.1%
Jake Waters pass complete to DeMarcus Robinson for 14 yds to the SFAus 41Similar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+8
98.0%
Charles Jones run for 8 yds to the SFAus 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+25
98.1%
Jake Waters pass complete to Deante Burton for 25 yds to the SFAus 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
98.0%
Jake Waters run for 7 yds to the SFAus 1Similar
Q2 3:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.0%
Jake Waters run for no gain to the SFAus 1Similar
Q2 3:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.2%
Jake Waters run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jack Cantele KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFADrive 9FG
17 plays · 67 yds · 1:471% → 2%
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
99.0%
Zach Conque pass complete to Aaron Thomas for 7 yds to the SFAus 24Similar
Q2 2:32
2ND & 3
OWN 24
0
99.0%
Zach Conque pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:04
3RD & 3
OWN 24
+12
99.0%
Zach Conque pass complete to Aaron Thomas for 12 yds to the SFAus 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
98.9%
Zach Conque pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 12 yds to the SFAus 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
98.9%
Zach Conque pass complete to Dj Ward for 5 yds to the KanSt 47Similar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+6
98.8%
Zach Conque pass complete to Joshawa West for 6 yds to the KanSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
98.9%
Zach Conque pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
98.9%
Zach Conque pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:25
3RD & 10
OPP 41
+32
98.9%
Zach Conque run for 32 yds to the KanSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
98.7%
Zach Conque pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
98.7%
Zach Conque pass complete to Marquis Mosley for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 11Similar
Q2 1:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
98.8%
Zach Conque pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:57
4TH & 0
OPP 11
-5
98.8%
SFA Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 16Similar
Q2 0:53
4TH & 0
OPP 16
+33
98.0%
Jordan Wiggs 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 10MISSED FG
9 plays · 38 yds · 0:4599% → 99%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
98.6%
Jake Waters pass complete to Zach Trujillo for 6 yds to the KanSt 41Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 4
OWN 41
0
98.6%
Jake Waters pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:21
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+10
98.4%
Jake Waters pass complete to Curry Sexton for 10 yds to the SFAus 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+16
98.5%
Jake Waters pass complete to Kody Cook for 16 yds to the SFAus 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
98.5%
Jake Waters run for 6 yds to the SFAus 27Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+45
98.5%
Jack Cantele 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:4998% → 98%
Q3 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
98.2%
Jake Waters pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:40
2ND & 10
OWN 31
-8
98.1%
Jake Waters sacked by Kedrick Harrison for a loss of 8 yards to the KanSt 23Similar
Q3 14:10
3RD & 18
OWN 23
0
98.4%
Jake Waters pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:53
4TH & 18
OWN 23
0
98.3%
Mitch Lochbihler punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Aaron Thomas at the SFAus 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFADrive 12DOWNS
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:562% → 2%
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
98.0%
Zach Conque run for 3 yds to the SFAus 44Similar
Q3 13:25
2ND & 7
OWN 44
0
98.0%
Zach Conque pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+9
98.0%
Zach Conque pass complete to Justice Liggins for 9 yds to the KanSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
97.8%
Gus Johnson run for 1 yd to the KanSt 46Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+8
97.8%
Zach Conque pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 8 yds to the KanSt 38Similar
Q3 11:55
3RD & 1
OPP 38
-3
97.8%
Zach Conque run for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 41Similar
Q3 11:34
4TH & 4
OPP 41
0
97.8%
Zach Conque pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 13TD
6 plays · 59 yds · 2:0599% → 100%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
98.7%
Charles Jones run for 1 yd to the KanSt 42Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+10
98.6%
Jake Waters run for 10 yds to the SFAus 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
98.7%
Jake Waters pass complete to Curry Sexton for 3 yds to the SFAus 45Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+19
98.6%
Jake Waters pass complete to Glenn Gronkowski for 19 yds to the SFAus 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
98.6%
Charles Jones run for 4 yds to the SFAus 22Similar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+22
99.6%
Jake Waters pass complete to Kody Cook for 22 yds for a TD, (Jack Cantele KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFADrive 14FUMBLE
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
99.4%
Gus Johnson run for 1 yd to the SFAus 22 Gus Johnson fumbled, forced by Will Davis, recovered by KanSt Will DavisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 15TD
3 plays · 22 yds · 0:39100% → 100%
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+11
99.6%
Charles Jones run for 11 yds to the SFAus 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
99.6%
Charles Jones run for 7 yds to the SFAus 4Similar
Q3 7:41
2ND & 3
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
Charles Jones run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jack Cantele KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFADrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:170% → 0%
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
99.7%
Zach Conque pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
99.7%
Zach Conque pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:20
3RD & 10
OWN 26
0
99.7%
Zach Conque pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:13
4TH & 10
OWN 26
+35
99.7%
Nick Bruno punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KANSASST 34 SFA Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 17INT
3 plays · 6 yds · 1:10100% → 100%
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
99.9%
Jake Waters run for 4 yds to the KanSt 43Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+2
99.9%
Jake Waters run for 2 yds to the KanSt 45Similar
Q3 5:50
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+1
99.9%
Jake Waters pass intercepted Collin Garrett return for 1 yd to the SFAus 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFADrive 18TD
5 plays · 53 yds · 1:270% → 0%
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.6%
Gus Johnson run for no gain to the SFAus 47Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+13
99.6%
Joe Minden pass complete to Dj Ward for 13 yds to the KanSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
99.5%
Gus Johnson run for no gain to the KanSt 40Similar
Q3 4:30
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+10
99.5%
Joe Minden pass complete to Aaron Thomas for 10 yds to the KanSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
99.8%
Gus Johnson run for 30 yds for a TD, (Jordan Wiggs MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 19FG
11 plays · 27 yds · 3:55100% → 100%
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
99.8%
Jarvis Leverett Jr. run for 2 yds to the KanSt 49Similar
Q3 3:13
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+9
99.8%
Jarvis Leverett Jr. run for 9 yds to the SFAus 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
99.8%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 3 yds to the SFAus 39Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+5
99.8%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 5 yds to the SFAus 34Similar
Q3 2:00
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+1
99.7%
DeMarcus Robinson run for 1 yd to the SFAus 33Similar
Q3 1:20
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+3
99.7%
Jake Waters run for 3 yds to the SFAus 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
99.8%
DeMarcus Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFAus 31Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 31
+5
99.8%
Jake Waters pass complete to Curry Sexton for 5 yds to the SFAus 26Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 6
OPP 26
0
99.8%
Jake Waters pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:50
4TH & 6
OPP 26
+43
99.9%
Jack Cantele 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFADrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:170% → 0%
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+8
99.9%
Joe Minden pass complete to Marquis Mosley for 8 yds to the SFAus 22Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 2
OWN 22
-4
99.9%
Gus Johnson run for a loss of 4 yards to the SFAus 18Similar
Q4 14:00
3RD & 6
OWN 18
0
99.9%
Joe Minden pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:13
4TH & 6
OWN 18
0
99.9%
Nick Bruno punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Curry Sexton at the KanSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 21TD
10 plays · 55 yds · 4:22100% → 100%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
99.9%
Joe Hubener run for 1 yd to the KanSt 46Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+4
99.9%
Joe Hubener run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 12:00
3RD & 5
50
+8
99.9%
Joe Hubener run for 8 yds to the SFAus 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
99.9%
Joe Hubener run for 11 yds to the SFAus 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
99.9%
Joe Hubener pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+6
99.9%
Joe Hubener run for 6 yds to the SFAus 25Similar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+6
99.9%
Jarvis Leverett Jr. run for 6 yds to the SFAus 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
99.9%
Jarvis Leverett Jr. run for 2 yds to the SFAus 17Similar
Q4 8:45
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+2
99.9%
Joe Hubener run for 2 yds to the SFAus 15Similar
Q4 8:38
3RD & 6
OPP 15
+15
99.9%
Joe Hubener pass complete to Steven West for 15 yds for a TD, (Matthew McCrane KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFADrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 2:370% → 0%
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-1
100.0%
Gus Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFAus 17Similar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 11
OWN 17
+13
100.0%
Zach Conque pass complete to Aaron Thomas for 13 yds to the SFAus 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
100.0%
Gus Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SFAus 29Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+4
100.0%
Zach Conque pass complete to Gus Johnson for 4 yds to the SFAus 33Similar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 7
OWN 33
-8
100.0%
Zach Conque sacked by Elijah Lee for a loss of 8 yards to the SFAus 25 Zach Conque fumbled, recovered by SFAusSimilar
Q4 5:38
4TH & 15
OWN 25
+26
100.0%
Nick Bruno punt for 42 yds , Judah Jones returns for 26 yds to the SFAus 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 23FG
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:26100% → 100%
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+19
100.0%
Judah Jones run for 19 yds to the SFAus 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-5
100.0%
KANSAS ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the SFAus 27Similar
Q4 3:30
1ST & 15
OPP 27
0
100.0%
Jesse Ertz run for no gain to the SFAus 27Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 15
OPP 27
+8
100.0%
Jarvis Leverett Jr. run for 8 yds to the SFAus 19Similar
Q4 2:45
3RD & 7
OPP 19
-2
100.0%
Jarvis Leverett Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the SFAus 21Similar
Q4 2:34
4TH & 9
OPP 21
+38
100.0%
Jack Cantele 38 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SFADrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 1:540% → 0%
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
100.0%
Zach Conque pass complete to Robert Sylvester for 11 yds to the SFAus 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
100.0%
Zach Conque pass complete to Aaron Piper for 1 yd to the SFAus 37Similar
Q4 1:40
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+8
100.0%
Zach Conque pass complete to Marquis Mosley for 8 yds to the SFAus 45Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 1
OWN 45
-10
100.0%
SFA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SFAus 35Similar
Q4 0:38
3RD & 11
OWN 35
-8
100.0%
Zach Conque sacked by Jordan Willis for a loss of 8 yards to the SFAus 27Similar
Q4 0:26
4TH & 19
OWN 27
0
100.0%
Nick Bruno punt for 41 yds, downed at the KanSt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 25END OF HALF
1 play · 5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
100.0%
Judah Jones run for 5 yds to the KanSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:04
Jake Waters run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jack Cantele KICK)
+1.2
TD · Q3 8:55
Jake Waters pass complete to Kody Cook for 22 yds for a TD, (Jack Cantele KICK)
+1
TD · Q2 6:57
Joe Minden run for 18 yds for a TD, (Jordan Wiggs KICK)
-0.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com