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UNT

North Texas 7 at Texas 38

TEX
2014 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2014 · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · TEX
modelTEX aheadUNT aheadconfidence bandkey playTEX scoreUNT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFUMBLEFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 29
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.5+23.30−23.3−46.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:06: Malcolm Brown run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK) — TEX win probability +0.7 pts (now 95%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:13: Malcolm Brown run for 3 yds for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK) — TEX win probability +1.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:41: David Ash run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK) — TEX win probability +3.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 0:46: David Ash pass incomplete to Jacorey Warrick — TEX win probability +1.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:35: David Ash pass complete to John Harris for 8 yds for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK) — TEX win probability +1.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEX made the numbers' call on 7 of 8UNT made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 13:32UNT 4th & 12 at UNT 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:22TEX 4th & 5 at UNT 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    93.9%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:32TEX 4th & 13 at UNT 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.1%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.2%
    74% to make
    Punt
    92.8%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:36UNT 4th & 10 at UNT 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:30UNT 4th & 6 at UNT 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:03TEX 4th & 12 at UNT 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.8%−0.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:53UNT 4th & 15 at UNT 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.7%−0.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:31TEX 4th & 21 at TEX 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.3%−0.9
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:05UNT 4th & 15 at UNT 26, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:41TEX 4th & 1 at UNT 1, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.2%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    92.3%−0.9
    94% to make
    Punt
    90.4%−2.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:42UNT 4th & 5 at TEX 49, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:28TEX 4th & 6 at TEX 26, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:51UNT 4th & 29 at UNT 5, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.1%−0.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:23UNT 4th & 8 at UNT 30, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:07TEX 4th & 10 at UNT 42, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−<0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:38UNT 4th & 14 at TEX 48, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:21TEX 4th & 7 at UNT 17, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.3%
    80% to make
    Punt
    98.8%−0.5
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:48UNT 4th & 8 at TEX 33, down 31
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    49% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TEX made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 4:06TEX Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:13TEX Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:41TEX Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:35TEX Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 3:32TEX Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:234% → 4%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.4%
Josh Greer pass incomplete to Marcus SmithSimilar
Q1 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
96.4%
Reggie Pegram run for no gain to the NoTex 25Similar
Q1 13:58
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-2
96.2%
Josh Greer run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 23 Josh Greer fumbled, recovered by NoTex Josh GreerSimilar
Q1 13:32
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
96.2%
Eric Keena punt for 42 yds, downed at the Texas 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:0096% → 96%
Q1 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
96.1%
Malcolm Brown run for 6 yds to the Texas 41Similar
Q1 12:56
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+9
96.1%
David Ash pass complete to Jaxon Shipley for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:32
1ST & 10
50
+4
96.0%
Malcolm Brown run for 4 yds to the NoTex 46Similar
Q1 12:04
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+1
95.9%
Malcolm Brown run for 1 yd to the NoTex 45Similar
Q1 11:30
3RD & 5
OPP 45
0
95.8%
David Ash pass incomplete to John HarrisSimilar
Q1 11:22
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
95.8%
William Russ punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Carlos Harris at the NoTex 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 3INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 1:134% → 5%
Q1 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
95.7%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for no gain to the NoTex 14Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+2
95.6%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 2 yds to the NoTex 16Similar
Q1 10:01
3RD & 8
OWN 16
+22
95.5%
Josh Greer pass intercepted Dylan Haines return for 22 yds to the NoTex 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 4MISSED FG
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:2396% → 95%
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-2
95.6%
David Ash run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 20 David Ash fumbled, recovered by Texas David AshSimilar
Q1 9:17
2ND & 12
OPP 20
+4
95.5%
David Ash pass complete to John Harris for 4 yds to the NoTex 16Similar
Q1 8:37
3RD & 8
OPP 16
0
95.3%
David Ash pass incomplete to Johnathan GraySimilar
Q1 8:37
4TH & 8
OPP 16
-5
95.2%
TEXAS Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the NoTex 21Similar
Q1 8:32
4TH & 13
OPP 21
+38
95.1%
Nick Rose 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:425% → 5%
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-1
95.1%
Willy Ivery run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 20Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 11
OWN 20
+1
95.0%
Willy Ivery run for 1 yd to the NoTex 21Similar
Q1 7:44
3RD & 10
OWN 21
0
95.0%
Josh Greer pass incomplete to Carlos HarrisSimilar
Q1 7:36
4TH & 10
OWN 21
0
95.0%
Eric Keena punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jaxon Shipley at the Texas 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 6TD
11 plays · 63 yds · 3:2095% → 95%
Q1 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
94.9%
Johnathan Gray run for 2 yds to the Texas 39Similar
Q1 7:07
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+2
94.9%
Johnathan Gray run for 2 yds to the Texas 41Similar
Q1 6:45
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+15
94.7%
David Ash pass incomplete to John Harris for a 1ST down NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Personal Foul (Sheldon Wade) to the NoTex 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
94.9%
David Ash pass incomplete to Jaxon ShipleySimilar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+5
94.8%
Johnathan Gray run for 5 yds to the NoTex 39Similar
Q1 5:58
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+27
94.7%
David Ash pass complete to John Harris for 27 yds to the NoTex 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
94.6%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the NoTex 7Similar
Q1 5:07
1ST & 5
OPP 7
+3
94.6%
Malcolm Brown run for 3 yds to the NoTex 4Similar
Q1 4:31
2ND & 2
OPP 4
+3
94.4%
Malcolm Brown run for 3 yds to the NoTex 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.1%
Malcolm Brown run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:285% → 6%
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
94.8%
Reggie Pegram run for 5 yds to the NoTex 30Similar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
94.7%
Reggie Pegram run for 6 yds to the NoTex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
94.6%
Josh Greer pass incomplete to Reggie PegramSimilar
Q1 3:16
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+4
94.6%
Josh Greer pass complete to Carl Caldwell for 4 yds to the NoTex 40Similar
Q1 2:43
3RD & 6
OWN 40
0
94.5%
Josh Greer pass incomplete to Antoinne JimmersonSimilar
Q1 2:30
4TH & 6
OWN 40
-3
94.5%
Eric Keena punt for 38 yds , Jaxon Shipley returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Texas 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 3:1795% → 94%
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
94.5%
David Ash pass complete to John Harris for 6 yds to the Texas 25Similar
Q1 1:44
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+13
94.4%
David Ash pass complete to Jaxon Shipley for 13 yds to the Texas 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
94.5%
Johnathan Gray run for 8 yds to the Texas 46Similar
Q1 0:32
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+7
94.5%
David Ash pass complete to M.J. McFarland for 7 yds to the NoTex 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
94.4%
Malcolm Brown run for 4 yds to the NoTex 43Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 6
OPP 43
0
94.4%
David Ash pass incomplete to Jaxon ShipleySimilar
Q2 14:45
3RD & 6
OPP 43
-6
94.3%
David Ash pass complete to Malcolm Brown for a loss of 6 yards to the NoTex 49Similar
Q2 14:03
4TH & 12
OPP 49
+6
93.7%
William Russ punt for 38 yds , Carlos Harris returns for 6 yds to the NoTex 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 2:026% → 6%
Q2 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
93.8%
Reggie Pegram run for 6 yds to the NoTex 23Similar
Q2 13:52
2ND & 4
OWN 23
-11
93.7%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Personal Foul (Antonio Johnson) to the NoTex 12Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 15
OWN 12
-1
93.7%
Willy Ivery run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 11Similar
Q2 12:32
3RD & 16
OWN 11
+1
93.7%
Reggie Pegram run for 1 yd to the NoTex 12Similar
Q2 11:53
4TH & 15
OWN 12
+6
93.7%
Eric Keena punt for 52 yds , Jaxon Shipley returns for 6 yds to the Texas 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -11 yds · 1:1894% → 93%
Q2 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
93.8%
David Ash pass incomplete to John HarrisSimilar
Q2 11:42
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-2
93.6%
Johnathan Gray run for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 40Similar
Q2 10:52
3RD & 12
OWN 40
-9
93.2%
David Ash sacked by Jarrian Roberts for a loss of 9 yards to the Texas 31Similar
Q2 10:31
4TH & 21
OWN 31
0
92.7%
William Russ punt for 29 yds, downed at the NoTex 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 11INT
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:337% → 8%
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
92.7%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 3 yds to the NoTex 43Similar
Q2 9:52
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+18
92.5%
Josh Greer pass intercepted Jordan Hicks return for 18 yds to the NoTex 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 12TD
2 plays · 31 yds · 0:3194% → 95%
Q2 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+28
93.6%
David Ash pass complete to John Harris for 28 yds to the NoTex 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
95.2%
Malcolm Brown run for 3 yds for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:556% → 5%
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
94.4%
Reggie Pegram run for 2 yds to the NoTex 33Similar
Q2 8:24
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+4
94.3%
Andrew McNulty run for 4 yds to the NoTex 37Similar
Q2 8:00
3RD & 4
OWN 37
-11
94.4%
Andrew McNulty sacked by Demarco Cobbs and Mykkele Thompson for a loss of 11 yards to the NoTex 26Similar
Q2 7:05
4TH & 15
OWN 26
+9
94.6%
Eric Keena punt for 36 yds , Jaxon Shipley returns for 9 yds to the Texas 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 14TD
9 plays · 53 yds · 4:1195% → 98%
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
94.7%
Johnathan Gray run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 6:14
2ND & 7
50
0
94.6%
David Ash pass complete to M.J. McFarland for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:36
3RD & 6
50
+20
94.3%
David Ash pass complete to John Harris for 20 yds to the NoTex 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-15
94.6%
TEXAS Penalty, Personal Foul (Dominic Espinosa) to the NoTex 45Similar
Q2 5:12
1ST & 25
OPP 45
+42
94.5%
Johnathan Gray run for 42 yds to the NoTex 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
94.5%
Johnathan Gray run for 2 yds to the NoTex 1Similar
Q2 3:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
94.4%
Johnathan Gray run for no gain to the NoTex 1Similar
Q2 3:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
94.3%
Johnathan Gray run for no gain to the NoTex 1Similar
Q2 2:41
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.8%
David Ash run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 15INT
7 plays · 27 yds · 1:363% → 3%
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.3%
Reggie Pegram run for 3 yds to the NoTex 28Similar
Q2 2:07
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
97.2%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 1 yd to the NoTex 29Similar
Q2 1:35
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+3
97.3%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 3 yds to the NoTex 32Similar
Q2 1:30
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+15
97.3%
TEXAS Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the NoTex 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
97.1%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 5 yds to the Texas 48Similar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 5
OPP 48
0
97.0%
Andrew McNulty pass intercepted Adrian Colbert return for no gain to the Texas 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 16END OF HALF
3 plays · -5 yds · 0:4698% → 98%
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.1%
David Ash pass incomplete to Jacorey WarrickSimilar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-7
98.0%
David Ash sacked by Dutton Watson for a loss of 7 yards to the Texas 18Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+2
97.9%
Malcolm Brown run for 2 yds to the Texas 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 17TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:1798% → 100%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.0%
Malcolm Brown run for 4 yds to the Texas 29Similar
Q3 14:17
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
98.1%
David Ash pass complete to Jaxon Shipley for 9 yds Jaxon Shipley fumbled, recovered by Texas Jaxon Shipley for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
98.1%
David Ash pass complete to Jaxon Shipley for 3 yds to the Texas 41Similar
Q3 12:58
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+6
98.2%
Malcolm Brown run for 6 yds to the Texas 47Similar
Q3 12:28
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+2
98.2%
Malcolm Brown run for 2 yds to the Texas 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
98.3%
David Ash pass incomplete to Marcus JohnsonSimilar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+17
98.3%
David Ash pass complete to John Harris for 17 yds to the NoTex 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+26
98.3%
Malcolm Brown run for 26 yds to the NoTex 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.7%
David Ash pass complete to John Harris for 8 yds for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 1:460% → 0%
Q3 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
99.6%
Reggie Pegram run for 5 yds to the NoTex 40Similar
Q3 10:03
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+6
99.6%
Reggie Pegram run for 6 yds to the NoTex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
99.6%
Reggie Pegram run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 6
50
+1
99.6%
Reggie Pegram run for 1 yd to the Texas 49Similar
Q3 8:51
3RD & 5
OPP 49
0
99.6%
Josh Greer pass incomplete to Reggie PegramSimilar
Q3 8:42
4TH & 5
OPP 49
0
99.7%
Blake Macek punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jaxon Shipley at the Texas 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 3:05100% → 100%
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
99.7%
Johnathan Gray run for 1 yd to the Texas 12Similar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 9
OWN 12
+3
99.7%
Johnathan Gray run for 3 yds to the Texas 15Similar
Q3 7:07
3RD & 6
OWN 15
+7
99.8%
David Ash pass complete to Jaxon Shipley for 7 yds to the Texas 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
99.8%
Johnathan Gray run for 3 yds to the Texas 25Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+1
99.8%
David Ash run for 1 yd to the Texas 26Similar
Q3 5:39
3RD & 6
OWN 26
0
99.8%
David Ash pass incomplete to Geoff SwaimSimilar
Q3 5:28
4TH & 6
OWN 26
+1
99.7%
William Russ punt for 51 yds , Carlos Harris returns for 1 yd to the NoTex 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -19 yds · 1:060% → 0%
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-9
99.7%
Josh Greer sacked by Hassan Ridgeway for a loss of 9 yards to the NoTex 15Similar
Q3 4:46
2ND & 19
OWN 15
0
99.8%
Josh Greer pass incomplete to Darius TerrellSimilar
Q3 4:20
3RD & 19
OWN 15
-5
99.8%
Josh Greer run for a loss of 5 yards to the NoTex 10 Josh Greer fumbled, recovered by NoTex Josh GreerSimilar
Q3 4:02
4TH & 24
OWN 10
-5
99.8%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, False Start (Jamal Marshall) to the NoTex 5Similar
Q3 3:51
4TH & 29
OWN 5
0
99.8%
Eric Keena punt for 46 yds, downed at the Texas 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 21FUMBLE
5 plays · 30 yds · 1:22100% → 100%
Q3 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
99.8%
David Ash pass complete to Jacorey Warrick for 15 yds to the NoTex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
99.8%
David Ash pass complete to Marcus Johnson for 6 yds to the NoTex 30Similar
Q3 2:42
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+9
99.8%
Johnathan Gray run for 9 yds to the NoTex 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
99.8%
David Ash run for no gain to the NoTex 28 David Ash fumbled, recovered by NoTex Sir Calvin Wallace , return for 7 yds to the NoTex 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:370% → 0%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
99.8%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the NoTex 23Similar
Q3 1:22
1ST & 15
OWN 23
+3
99.9%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 3 yds to the NoTex 26Similar
Q3 1:16
2ND & 12
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Josh Greer pass incomplete to Carlos HarrisSimilar
Q3 1:04
3RD & 12
OWN 26
+4
99.9%
Josh Greer pass complete to Jeffrey Wilson for 4 yds to the NoTex 30Similar
Q3 0:23
4TH & 8
OWN 30
+15
99.9%
Eric Keena punt for 37 yds , Jaxon Shipley returns for 15 yds to the Texas 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 1:10100% → 100%
Q3 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
99.8%
TEXAS Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Texas 43Similar
Q3 0:16
1ST & 15
OWN 43
+15
99.8%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Personal Foul (Sed Ellis) to the NoTex 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
99.8%
David Ash pass complete to Jaxon Shipley for 2 yds to the NoTex 40Similar
Q4 14:52
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+3
99.8%
Johnathan Gray run for 3 yds to the NoTex 37Similar
Q4 14:16
3RD & 5
OPP 37
0
99.8%
David Ash pass incomplete to Marcus JohnsonSimilar
Q4 14:16
4TH & 5
OPP 37
-5
99.8%
TEXAS Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the NoTex 42Similar
Q4 14:07
4TH & 10
OPP 42
0
99.8%
William Russ punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 24PUNT
12 plays · 32 yds · 6:220% → 0%
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.9%
Carlos Harris run for 5 yds to the NoTex 25Similar
Q4 13:55
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Reggie Pegram run for 4 yds to the NoTex 29Similar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+4
99.9%
Jarrod Lynn run for 4 yds to the NoTex 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
99.9%
Reggie Pegram run for 2 yds to the NoTex 35Similar
Q4 11:50
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+6
99.9%
Reggie Pegram run for 6 yds to the NoTex 41Similar
Q4 11:10
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+3
99.9%
Carlos Harris run for 3 yds to the NoTex 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
99.9%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 8 yds to the Texas 48Similar
Q4 10:10
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+4
99.9%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 4 yds to the Texas 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
99.9%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 6 yds to the Texas 38Similar
Q4 9:06
2ND & 4
OPP 38
-1
99.9%
Reggie Pegram run for a loss of 1 yard to the Texas 39Similar
Q4 8:17
3RD & 5
OPP 39
-9
99.9%
Josh Greer sacked by Hassan Ridgeway for a loss of 9 yards to the Texas 48Similar
Q4 7:38
4TH & 14
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Blake Macek punt for 47 yds, downed at the Texas 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 25FUMBLE TD
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:13100% → 100%
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
99.9%
David Ash pass incomplete to Geoff SwaimSimilar
Q4 7:21
2ND & 10
OWN 1
0
99.9%
David Ash pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:17
3RD & 10
OWN 1
0
99.7%
David Ash run for a loss of 1 yard David Ash fumbled, recovered by NoTex James Jones for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 26FG
9 plays · 53 yds · 2:42100% → 100%
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
99.7%
Johnathan Gray run for 1 yd to the Texas 31Similar
Q4 6:19
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+15
99.7%
David Ash pass complete to Jacorey Warrick for 15 yds to the Texas 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.7%
David Ash pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:17
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+34
99.7%
D'Onta Foreman run for 34 yds to the NoTex 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
99.7%
David Ash pass incomplete to Jacorey WarrickSimilar
Q4 5:02
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+3
99.7%
D'Onta Foreman run for 3 yds to the NoTex 17Similar
Q4 4:26
3RD & 7
OPP 17
0
99.7%
David Ash pass incomplete to Lorenzo JoeSimilar
Q4 4:21
4TH & 7
OPP 17
+34
99.7%
Nick Rose 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 27INT TD
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:411% → 0%
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.4%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for no gain to the NoTex 25Similar
Q4 3:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.4%
Andrew McNulty pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:32
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+28
100.0%
Andrew McNulty pass intercepted for a TD Demarco Cobbs return for 28 yds for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 28DOWNS
12 plays · 37 yds · 2:150% → 0%
Q4 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
99.9%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 8 yds to the NoTex 38Similar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+1
99.9%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 1 yd to the NoTex 39Similar
Q4 2:18
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+3
99.9%
Jarrod Lynn run for 3 yds to the NoTex 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
100.0%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:19
2ND & 2
50
+15
99.9%
McNulty, Andrew pass incomplete to Caldwell, Carl, PENALTY TEXAS pass interference (Echols, Bryson) 15 yards to the TEXAS35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NORTHTEXAS. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Carlos HarrisSimilar
Q4 1:05
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+7
99.9%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Carl Caldwell for 7 yds to the Texas 28Similar
Q4 0:51
3RD & 3
OPP 28
-5
99.9%
Andrew McNulty sacked by Alex Norman for a loss of 5 yards to the Texas 33Similar
Q4 0:48
4TH & 8
OPP 33
0
100.0%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Jeffrey WilsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 29END OF GAME
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:30100% → 100%
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 31Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OWN 31
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:41
David Ash run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK)
+3.4
TD · Q2 9:13
Malcolm Brown run for 3 yds for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK)
+1.6
TD · Q3 10:35
David Ash pass complete to John Harris for 8 yds for a TD, (Nick Rose KICK)
+1.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com