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WVU

West Virginia 23 at Alabama 33

ALA
2014 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2014 · Georgia Dome
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Win probability · ALA
modelALA aheadWVU aheadconfidence bandkey playALA scoreWVU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDFGTDFGFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:17 · Nick O'Toole punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Christion Jones at the Alab 12
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 71Pregame prior+32.1Home team on offense−1.0Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.9Score differential−1.6Blowout margin+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:58: Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 19 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK) — WVU win probability +3.5 pts (now 14%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:57: T.J. Yeldon run for 1 yd for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK) — ALA win probability +4.5 pts (now 90%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:43: Mario Alford 100 Yd Kickoff Return (Josh Lambert Kick) — WVU win probability +6.2 pts (now 17%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:44: Derrick Henry run for 19 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK) — ALA win probability +6.4 pts (now 92%) (top driver: ALA has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 4:59: Josh Lambert 42 yd FG GOOD — WVU win probability +3.3 pts (now 14%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ALA made the numbers' call on 3 of 6WVU made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 10:58WVU 4th & 3 at ALA 3, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.1%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    8.6%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:18ALA 4th & 4 at WVU 30, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 90.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.0%−<0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    89.9%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:08WVU 4th & 16 at ALA 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    10.5%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:28ALA 4th & 4 at ALA 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.1%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:17WVU 4th & 8 at WVU 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.5%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.7%
    average punt
  6. Q3 11:53ALA 4th & 6 at WVU 36, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    81.9%−0.5
    42% to make
    Punt
    81.6%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:34WVU 4th & 15 at ALA 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.4%−1.7
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.1%
    56% to make
    Punt
    17.7%−1.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:59WVU 4th & 8 at ALA 25, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.6%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.8%
    66% to make
    Punt
    6.9%−4.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 1:27ALA 4th & 1 at WVU 10, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 87.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.2%−2.3
    88% to make
    Punt
    79.2%−8.3
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:23WVU 4th & 5 at ALA 46, down 7
    Close callPunted · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    12.8%−2.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    14.3%−0.7
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:07ALA 4th & 11 at WVU 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.8%−1.3
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.1%
    60% to make
    Punt
    82.2%−6.9
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:49WVU 4th & 7 at WVU 28, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:24ALA 4th & 1 at ALA 33, up 10
    Close callPunted · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.1%−0.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:05WVU 4th & 11 at WVU 46, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.5%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ALA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3WVU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 14:11ALA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:58WVU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:57ALA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:43WVU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:44ALA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1FG
15 plays · 79 yds · 3:527% → 8%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
93.3%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Wendell Smallwood for 3 yds to the WVirg 21Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+7
93.2%
Rushel Shell run for 7 yds to the WVirg 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
93.0%
Rushel Shell run for 7 yds to the WVirg 35Similar
Q1 13:19
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+6
92.9%
Rushel Shell run for 6 yds to the WVirg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
92.8%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Mario AlfordSimilar
Q1 12:51
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+29
92.7%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 29 yds to the Alab 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
92.7%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 8 yds to the Alab 22Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 2
OPP 22
0
92.6%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Kevin WhiteSimilar
Q1 12:35
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+3
92.6%
Wendell Smallwood run for 3 yds to the Alab 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+13
92.5%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 13 yds to the Alab 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
92.4%
Rushel Shell run for no gain to the Alab 6Similar
Q1 11:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
92.3%
Wendell Smallwood run for 3 yds to the Alab 3Similar
Q1 11:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
92.2%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Mario AlfordSimilar
Q1 10:58
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
92.1%
Josh Lambert 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 2FG
8 plays · 45 yds · 2:3392% → 92%
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
92.1%
Blake Sims pass complete to Amari Cooper for 24 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
92.3%
Blake Sims pass complete to Amari Cooper for 7 yds to the WVirg 44Similar
Q1 10:06
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+8
92.1%
Derrick Henry run for 8 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
92.0%
Blake Sims pass complete to DeAndrew White for 2 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+4
91.9%
T.J. Yeldon run for 4 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q1 8:24
3RD & 4
OPP 30
0
91.6%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to Amari CooperSimilar
Q1 8:18
4TH & 4
OPP 30
+47
91.7%
Adam Griffith 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 1:559% → 9%
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+14
91.4%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Wendell Smallwood for 14 yds to the WVirg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
91.3%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Jordan Thompson for 6 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+16
91.0%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Mario Alford for 16 yds to the Alab 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-1
91.0%
Wendell Smallwood run for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 38Similar
Q1 6:48
2ND & 11
OPP 38
0
90.8%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Kevin WhiteSimilar
Q1 6:40
3RD & 11
OPP 38
-5
90.8%
Clint Trickett sacked by Xzavier Dickson for a loss of 5 yards to the Alab 43Similar
Q1 6:08
4TH & 16
OPP 43
+38
90.9%
Nick O'Toole punt for 33 yds, downed at the Alab 10 ALABAMA Penalty, Illegal Block (5 Yards) to the Alab 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 4TD
17 plays · 95 yds · 6:4991% → 91%
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+3
90.8%
T.J. Yeldon run for 3 yds to the Alab 8Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 7
OWN 8
-4
90.5%
T.J. Yeldon run for a loss of 4 yards to the Alab 4Similar
Q1 4:36
3RD & 11
OWN 4
+11
90.3%
Blake Sims pass complete to Amari Cooper for 11 yds to the Alab 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
90.3%
T.J. Yeldon run for 4 yds to the Alab 19Similar
Q1 3:25
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+4
90.1%
T.J. Yeldon run for 4 yds to the Alab 23Similar
Q1 2:40
3RD & 2
OWN 23
+4
89.8%
Blake Sims pass complete to Amari Cooper for 4 yds to the Alab 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
89.9%
Blake Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:08
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+8
89.8%
T.J. Yeldon run for 8 yds to the Alab 35Similar
Q1 1:49
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+2
89.8%
Blake Sims run for 2 yds to the Alab 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
89.8%
Derrick Henry run for 3 yds to the Alab 40Similar
Q1 0:52
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+15
89.8%
Derrick Henry run for 15 yds to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
89.9%
Derrick Henry run for 3 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+5
89.8%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Christian Brown) to the WVirg 37Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+22
89.7%
Blake Sims pass complete to Christion Jones for 22 yds to the WVirg 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
91.2%
T.J. Yeldon run for 15 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:079% → 14%
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
90.7%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Jordan Thompson for 14 yds to the WVirg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
90.3%
Dreamius Smith run for 5 yds to the WVirg 44Similar
Q2 13:32
2ND & 5
OWN 44
0
90.0%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Kevin WhiteSimilar
Q2 13:25
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+15
90.1%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Mario Alford for 15 yds to the Alab 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
89.8%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Mario Alford for 8 yds to the Alab 33Similar
Q2 12:58
2ND & 2
OPP 33
0
89.3%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Mario AlfordSimilar
Q2 12:51
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+10
89.7%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Elijah Wellman for 10 yds to the Alab 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+4
89.2%
Wendell Smallwood run for 4 yds to the Alab 19Similar
Q2 11:58
2ND & 6
OPP 19
+19
85.7%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 19 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambert KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:2288% → 87%
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
87.6%
Kenyan Drake run for 1 yd to the Alab 26Similar
Q2 11:15
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
87.3%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to DeAndrew WhiteSimilar
Q2 11:10
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+5
86.9%
Blake Sims pass complete to Amari Cooper for 5 yds to the Alab 31Similar
Q2 10:28
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+62
86.6%
JK Scott punt for 62 yds , Jordan Thompson returns for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 2:0314% → 14%
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+14
86.5%
Rushel Shell run for 14 yds to the WVirg 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
86.1%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Cody ClaySimilar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
86.2%
Rushel Shell run for 3 yds to the WVirg 23Similar
Q2 9:17
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+13
86.0%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Wendell Smallwood for 13 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
85.1%
Dreamius Smith run for 2 yds to the WVirg 38Similar
Q2 8:32
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
84.6%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Devonte MathisSimilar
Q2 8:26
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
84.9%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Dreamius SmithSimilar
Q2 8:17
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
85.7%
Nick O'Toole punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Christion Jones at the Alab 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 8TD
15 plays · 88 yds · 6:1386% → 90%
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
85.9%
Blake Sims run for 2 yds to the Alab 14Similar
Q2 7:27
2ND & 8
OWN 14
-5
85.4%
ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Brian Vogler) to the Alab 9Similar
Q2 7:20
2ND & 13
OWN 9
+6
85.1%
Blake Sims run for 6 yds to the Alab 15Similar
Q2 6:34
3RD & 7
OWN 15
+17
84.4%
Blake Sims pass complete to Amari Cooper for 17 yds to the Alab 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
85.1%
Derrick Henry run for 3 yds to the Alab 35Similar
Q2 5:42
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+10
84.9%
Blake Sims pass complete to Amari Cooper for 10 yds to the Alab 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
85.7%
Derrick Henry run for 8 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q2 4:45
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+1
85.7%
Derrick Henry run for 1 yd to the WVirg 46Similar
Q2 4:09
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+3
85.1%
T.J. Yeldon run for 3 yds to the WVirg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-3
85.4%
Blake Sims pass complete to DeAndrew White for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 46Similar
Q2 3:15
2ND & 13
OPP 46
0
84.3%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to DeAndrew WhiteSimilar
Q2 3:02
3RD & 13
OPP 46
+38
83.5%
Blake Sims pass complete to DeAndrew White for 38 yds to the WVirg 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
85.0%
T.J. Yeldon run for 7 yds to the WVirg 1Similar
Q2 1:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
89.5%
T.J. Yeldon run for 1 yd for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 9END OF HALF
11 plays · 50 yds · 1:2582% → 86%
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
82.3%
T.J. Yeldon run for 1 yd to the Alab 27Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+3
81.8%
Blake Sims pass complete to DeAndrew White for 3 yds to the Alab 30Similar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+21
81.0%
Blake Sims run for 21 yds to the WVirg 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+14
83.5%
Blake Sims pass complete to DeAndrew White for 14 yds to the WVirg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
84.0%
Blake Sims pass complete to Christion Jones for 3 yds to the WVirg 32Similar
Q2 0:04
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+8
84.0%
Blake Sims pass complete to Amari Cooper for 8 yds to the WVirg 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+41
86.2%
Adam Griffith 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 10DOWNS
11 plays · 40 yds · 2:5585% → 83%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+10
84.5%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Alab 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
84.6%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Alab 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-10
85.5%
ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Alab 39Similar
Q3 13:57
1ST & 20
OWN 39
+19
84.5%
Blake Sims pass complete to DeAndrew White for 19 yds to the WVirg 42Similar
Q3 13:34
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+2
85.6%
T.J. Yeldon run for 2 yds to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-10
85.4%
ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:58
1ST & 20
50
+6
84.3%
Blake Sims run for 6 yds to the WVirg 44Similar
Q3 12:44
2ND & 14
OPP 44
+8
84.2%
T.J. Yeldon run for 8 yds to the WVirg 36Similar
Q3 12:30
3RD & 6
OPP 36
0
84.6%
T.J. Yeldon run for no gain to the WVirg 36Similar
Q3 11:53
4TH & 6
OPP 36
0
83.4%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to Amari CooperSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11MISSED FG
9 plays · 34 yds · 2:1618% → 18%
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
82.1%
Rushel Shell run for 1 yd to the WVirg 37Similar
Q3 11:18
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+14
82.0%
Clint Trickett run for 14 yds to the Alab 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
80.2%
Rushel Shell run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 49Similar
Q3 10:24
2ND & 12
OWN 49
+26
80.7%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 26 yds to the Alab 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-9
78.8%
Clint Trickett sacked by TEAM for a loss of 9 yards to the Alab 34 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the Alab 34Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 19
OPP 34
+4
79.8%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Shelton Gibson for 4 yds to the Alab 30Similar
Q3 9:41
3RD & 15
OPP 30
0
81.0%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Shelton GibsonSimilar
Q3 9:34
4TH & 15
OPP 30
+47
82.5%
Josh Lambert 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 12TD
6 plays · 70 yds · 1:4283% → 92%
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+13
83.1%
Blake Sims pass complete to Amari Cooper for 13 yds to the Alab 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+12
84.1%
Derrick Henry run for 12 yds to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
84.7%
Blake Sims pass complete to Amari Cooper for 6 yds to the WVirg 39Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+13
84.5%
Derrick Henry run for 13 yds to the WVirg 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
85.2%
Blake Sims pass complete to Jalston Fowler for 7 yds to the WVirg 19Similar
Q3 7:44
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+19
91.6%
Derrick Henry run for 19 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 13FG
10 plays · 66 yds · 2:319% → 14%
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+21
91.1%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Wendell Smallwood for 21 yds to the WVirg 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
90.3%
Rushel Shell run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 29Similar
Q3 6:39
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+19
90.5%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Rushel Shell for 19 yds to the WVirg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
89.5%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Jordan Thompson for 12 yds to the Alab 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+13
89.0%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 13 yds to the Alab 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
88.3%
Dustin Garrison run for 2 yds to the Alab 25Similar
Q3 5:11
2ND & 8
OPP 25
0
88.2%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Kevin WhiteSimilar
Q3 5:04
3RD & 8
OPP 25
0
89.0%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Jordan ThompsonSimilar
Q3 4:59
4TH & 8
OPP 25
+42
85.7%
Josh Lambert 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 14FG
10 plays · 64 yds · 3:2089% → 91%
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+15
88.6%
Blake Sims pass complete to Amari Cooper for 15 yds to the Alab 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
89.5%
Derrick Henry run for 1 yd to the Alab 42Similar
Q3 3:41
2ND & 9
OWN 42
0
89.1%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to Christion JonesSimilar
Q3 3:33
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+20
88.3%
Blake Sims run for 5 yds to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST down WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the WVirg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+19
89.7%
T.J. Yeldon run for 19 yds to the WVirg 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+8
90.2%
T.J. Yeldon run for 8 yds to the WVirg 11Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 2
OPP 11
0
90.7%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to Amari CooperSimilar
Q3 2:10
3RD & 2
OPP 11
+1
90.0%
T.J. Yeldon run for 1 yd to the WVirg 10Similar
Q3 1:27
4TH & 1
OPP 10
+27
91.0%
Adam Griffith 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 15FG
10 plays · 51 yds · 2:4410% → 13%
Q3 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
90.5%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Jordan Thompson for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 23Similar
Q3 0:52
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+6
90.6%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Mario Alford for 6 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
Q3 0:20
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+32
91.4%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Jordan Thompson for 32 yds to the Alab 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
89.6%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Mario Alford for 9 yds to the Alab 30Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+25
88.8%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 25 yds to the Alab 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
88.7%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Elijah WellmanSimilar
Q4 14:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
88.7%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Kevin WhiteSimilar
Q4 14:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
-9
89.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 9 yards to the Alab 24 TEAM fumbled, recovered by WVirg Clint TrickettSimilar
Q4 13:37
4TH & 0
OPP 24
+41
87.2%
Josh Lambert 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 16INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
90.4%
Blake Sims pass intercepted Daryl Worley return for 4 yds to the Alab 41 WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the WVirg 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:3715% → 13%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
85.2%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Wendell Smallwood for 3 yds to the Alab 48Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+2
84.9%
Dreamius Smith run for 2 yds to the Alab 46Similar
Q4 12:30
3RD & 5
OPP 46
0
85.1%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Jordan ThompsonSimilar
Q4 12:23
4TH & 5
OPP 46
0
86.7%
Nick O'Toole punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Christion Jones at the Alab 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 18FG
12 plays · 60 yds · 4:0790% → 92%
Q4 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+26
90.4%
T.J. Yeldon run for 26 yds to the Alab 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
91.4%
ALABAMA Penalty, False Start (Leon Brown) to the Alab 33Similar
Q4 11:50
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+7
90.5%
T.J. Yeldon run for 7 yds to the Alab 40Similar
Q4 11:33
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+10
91.3%
Blake Sims pass complete to Amari Cooper for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
50
+11
91.6%
Derrick Henry run for 11 yds to the WVirg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
92.0%
Derrick Henry run for 4 yds to the WVirg 35Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+2
92.6%
T.J. Yeldon run for 2 yds to the WVirg 33Similar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+6
92.0%
Blake Sims pass complete to Christion Jones for 6 yds to the WVirg 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-2
92.5%
T.J. Yeldon run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 29Similar
Q4 8:54
2ND & 12
OPP 29
0
92.3%
Blake Sims pass incomplete to Christion JonesSimilar
Q4 8:45
3RD & 12
OPP 29
+1
91.5%
Blake Sims pass complete to T.J. Yeldon for 1 yd to the WVirg 28Similar
Q4 8:07
4TH & 11
OPP 28
+45
92.4%
Adam Griffith 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:117% → 6%
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
92.7%
Rushel Shell run for 3 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
Q4 7:40
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
92.5%
Wendell Smallwood run for no gain to the WVirg 28 Wendell Smallwood fumbled, recovered by WVirg Marquis LucasSimilar
Q4 7:01
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
93.6%
Clint Trickett pass incomplete to Daikiel ShortsSimilar
Q4 6:49
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+58
93.9%
Nick O'Toole punt for 58 yds , Christion Jones returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Alab 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 4:1693% → 95%
Q4 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-4
93.1%
T.J. Yeldon run for 5 yds to the Alab 18 ALABAMA Penalty, Illegal Block (-9 Yards) to the Alab 9Similar
Q4 6:15
1ST & 14
OWN 9
+4
93.3%
T.J. Yeldon run for 4 yds to the Alab 13Similar
Q4 5:25
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+3
93.3%
Derrick Henry run for 3 yds to the Alab 16Similar
Q4 4:42
3RD & 7
OWN 16
+8
93.5%
Blake Sims pass complete to Chris Black for 8 yds to the Alab 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
93.8%
Derrick Henry run for 4 yds to the Alab 28Similar
Q4 3:25
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+4
94.8%
Derrick Henry run for 4 yds to the Alab 32Similar
Q4 2:36
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+1
95.7%
Derrick Henry run for 1 yd to the Alab 33Similar
Q4 2:24
4TH & 1
OWN 33
0
95.4%
JK Scott punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jordan Thompson at the WVirg 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 21DOWNS
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:115% → 4%
Q4 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+19
95.1%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Wendell Smallwood for 19 yds to the WVirg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
94.4%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 7
50
-11
94.2%
Clint Trickett sacked by Jonathan Allen for a loss of 11 yards to the WVirg 39Similar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 18
OWN 39
+7
95.7%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Kevin White for 7 yds to the WVirg 46Similar
Q4 1:05
4TH & 11
OWN 46
0
96.1%
Clint Trickett pass complete to Rushel Shell for no gain to the WVirg 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ALADrive 22END OF HALF
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:3597% → 97%
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-5
96.6%
ALABAMA Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the Alab 49Similar
Q4 0:45
1ST & 15
OWN 49
+6
96.4%
Kenyan Drake run for 6 yds to the WVirg 45Similar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 9
OPP 45
0
96.5%
Kenyan Drake run for no gain to the WVirg 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:44
Derrick Henry run for 19 yds for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)
+6.4
TD · Q2 1:43
Mario Alford 100 Yd Kickoff Return (Josh Lambert Kick)
-6.2
TD · Q2 1:57
T.J. Yeldon run for 1 yd for a TD, (Adam Griffith KICK)
+4.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com