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WAKE

Wake Forest 24 at Utah State 36

USU
2014 · Week 3 · Sep 13, 2014 · Maverik Stadium
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Win probability · USU
modelUSU aheadWAKE aheadconfidence bandkey playUSU scoreWAKE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:39 · John Wolford pass complete to E.J. Scott for 6 yds to the UthSt 35 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 136Pregame prior+11.2Home team on offense+14.4Score differential+5.6Garbage-time factor+3.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.1Time remaining+1.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:21: Ronald Butler pass complete to JoJo Natson for 44 yds for a TD, (Nick Diaz MISSED) — USU win probability +4.6 pts (now 81%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 4:46: Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Jefferson Court for 6 yds for a TD, (Nick Diaz KICK) — USU win probability +4.7 pts (now 91%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 13:06: John Wolford pass complete to Isaiah Robinson for 3 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK) — WAKE win probability +7.5 pts (now 14%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:49: John Wolford pass complete to E.J. Scott for 10 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK) — WAKE win probability +8.7 pts (now 22%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:46: Darell Garretson pass complete to Wyatt Houston for 5 yds for a TD, (Nick Diaz KICK) — USU win probability +11.0 pts (now 92%) (top driver: USU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8WAKE made the numbers' call on 11 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00WAKE 4th & 14 at WAKE 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.3%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:22USU 4th & 13 at USU 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.1%−0.3
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:03WAKE 4th & 16 at WAKE 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.2%−0.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00WAKE 4th & 20 at WAKE 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.5%−0.8
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:52USU 4th & 7 at USU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.9%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:42WAKE 4th & 10 at WAKE 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:39WAKE 4th & 10 at WAKE 21, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.4%−1.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:00USU 4th & 6 at WAKE 9, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.0%
    89% to make
    Punt
    89.7%−4.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:06USU 4th & 13 at USU 39, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.3%−1.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:39WAKE 4th & 3 at USU 41, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    8.7%−1.5
    32% to make
    Punt
    9.0%−1.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:01WAKE 4th & 10 at USU 12, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%−0.8
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.2%
    86% to make
    Punt
    2.3%−4.9
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00USU 4th & 14 at USU 26, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.0%−2.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:24WAKE 4th & 10 at WAKE 29, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.4%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:40USU 4th & 1 at WAKE 9, up 12
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 93.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.4%−2.2
    89% to make
    Punt
    85.5%−8.0
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:40WAKE 4th & 4 at USU 38, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    7.2%−0.6
    38% to make
    Punt
    6.7%−1.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:17USU 4th & 7 at WAKE 49, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:49WAKE 4th & 10 at WAKE 13, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:24USU 4th & 8 at USU 46, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.4%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.7%
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:17WAKE 4th & 9 at WAKE 36, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.5%
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.4%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3WAKE made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 7:28WAKE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:03USU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:46USU Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 13:06WAKE Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:49WAKE Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    16.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    16.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:46USU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WAKEDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
80.5%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 4 yds to the WFrst 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+6
80.5%
John Wolford pass complete to Jared Crump for 6 yds to the WFrst 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
80.5%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cam SerigneSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-4
80.5%
Orville Reynolds run for a loss of 4 yards to the WFrst 41Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 41
0
80.5%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Jared CrumpSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 14
OWN 41
0
80.5%
Alexander Kinal punt for 40 yds , JoJo Natson returns for no gain to the UthSt 19 JoJo Natson fumbled, recovered by UthSt JoJo NatsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 2INT TD
17 plays · 68 yds · 6:0880% → 77%
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
80.1%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 9 yds to the UthSt 28Similar
Q1 13:36
2ND & 1
OWN 28
+7
80.1%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to JoJo Natson for 7 yds to the UthSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
80.1%
Chuckie Keeton pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 13:36
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+6
80.1%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 6 yds to the UthSt 41Similar
Q1 13:36
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+4
80.1%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 4 yds to the UthSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-6
80.2%
Joe Hill run for a loss of 6 yards to the UthSt 39Similar
Q1 13:36
2ND & 16
OWN 39
+15
80.1%
KEETON, Chuckie sacked for loss of 9 yards to the USU30 (Ejiofor, D), PENALTY WF face mask 15 yards to the WF46, 1ST DOWN USU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
80.2%
Rashad Hall run for 4 yds to the WFrst 42Similar
Q1 13:36
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+15
80.2%
KEETON, Chuckie pass incomplete to SHARP, Hunter, QB hurry by Banks, J, PENALTY WF pass interference 15 yards to the WF27, 1ST DOWN USU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
80.2%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Ronald Butler for 6 yds to the WFrst 21Similar
Q1 13:36
2ND & 4
OPP 21
-1
80.2%
Rashad Hall run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 22Similar
Q1 8:46
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+12
79.4%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Wyatt Houston for 12 yds to the WFrst 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
79.6%
Chuckie Keeton pass incomplete to Rashad HallSimilar
Q1 8:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
-3
79.6%
JoJo Natson run for a loss of 3 yards to the WFrst 13Similar
Q1 7:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
+70
76.6%
Chuckie Keeton pass intercepted for a TD Josh Banks return for 70 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
76.1%
Chuckie Keeton pass incomplete to JoJo NatsonSimilar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+16
76.1%
JoJo Natson run for 16 yds to the UthSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-3
76.6%
Chuckie Keeton run for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 45Similar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 13
OWN 45
0
76.3%
Chuckie Keeton pass incomplete to JoJo Natson, broken up by Brandon ChubbSimilar
Q1 7:22
3RD & 13
OWN 45
0
76.0%
Chuckie Keeton pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 7:22
4TH & 13
OWN 45
0
75.8%
Jaron Bentrude punt for 52 yds , Jared Crump returns for no gain to the WFrst 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 4INT TD
7 plays · 27 yds · 2:4625% → 24%
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-1
75.2%
Orville Reynolds run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 2Similar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 11
OWN 2
0
75.3%
John Wolford pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 5:49
3RD & 11
OWN 2
+13
75.5%
John Wolford pass complete to Matt James for 13 yds to the WFrst 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
75.1%
Orville Reynolds run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 14Similar
Q1 5:49
2ND & 11
OWN 14
+13
75.2%
John Wolford pass complete to Jared Crump for 13 yds to the WFrst 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
74.9%
John Wolford run for 3 yds to the WFrst 30Similar
Q1 3:03
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+35
76.5%
John Wolford pass intercepted for a TD Zach Vigil return for 35 yds for a TD, (Nick Diaz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
76.7%
John Wolford pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 3:03
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
76.8%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Matt JamesSimilar
Q1 3:03
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-6
77.1%
John Wolford sacked by Torrey Green for a loss of 6 yards to the WFrst 19Similar
Q1 3:03
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
77.4%
Alexander Kinal punt for 46 yds, fair catch by JoJo Natson at the UthSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 6FUMBLE
2 plays · 10 yds · 0:0077% → 78%
Q1 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
76.9%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to JoJo Natson for 8 yds to the UthSt 43Similar
Q1 2:04
2ND & 2
OWN 43
0
77.7%
Joe Hill run for no gain to the UthSt 45 Joe Hill fumbled, forced by Thomas Brown, recovered by WFrst Hunter WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 1:3325% → 24%
Q1 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
74.8%
Isaiah Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 46Similar
Q1 1:33
2ND & 11
OPP 46
-5
75.0%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the WFrst 49Similar
Q1 1:33
2ND & 16
OWN 49
0
75.6%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Isaiah Robinson, broken up by Daniel GraySimilar
Q1 1:33
3RD & 16
OWN 49
-4
75.8%
Isaiah Robinson run for a loss of 4 yards to the WFrst 45Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 20
OWN 45
0
75.9%
Alexander Kinal punt for 43 yds, fair catch by JoJo Natson at the UthSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 36 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+9
76.0%
Rashad Hall run for 9 yds to the UthSt 22Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 1
OWN 22
+9
76.2%
JoJo Natson run for 9 yds to the UthSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-4
76.2%
Chuckie Keeton sacked by Josh Banks for a loss of 4 yards to the UthSt 27Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 14
OWN 27
0
75.9%
Chuckie Keeton pass incomplete to Damoun Patterson, broken up by Brandon ChubbSimilar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 14
OWN 27
+19
75.4%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 19 yds to the UthSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
77.1%
Rashad Hall run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 45Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 11
OWN 45
-15
76.6%
KEETON, Chuckie pass complete to BUTLER, Ronald for 8 yards to the WF47, out-of-bounds (Chubb, B), PENALTY USU pass interference 15 yards to the USU30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 26
OWN 30
+8
76.0%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to JoJo Natson for 8 yds to the UthSt 38Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 18
OWN 38
+11
75.8%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 11 yds to the UthSt 49Similar
Q2 14:52
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
75.9%
Jaron Bentrude punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0026% → 25%
Q2 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
73.6%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Matt James, broken up by Zach VigilSimilar
Q2 10:42
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
73.8%
John Wolford pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 10:42
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
74.4%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Jared CrumpSimilar
Q2 10:42
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
74.9%
Alexander Kinal punt for 47 yds, fair catch by JoJo Natson at the UthSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 10TD
5 plays · 67 yds · 1:5375% → 81%
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
74.8%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 9 yds to the UthSt 42Similar
Q2 10:14
2ND & 1
OWN 42
+3
75.9%
JoJo Natson run for 3 yds to the UthSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
75.9%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 3 yds to the UthSt 48Similar
Q2 10:14
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+8
76.0%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Wyatt Houston for 8 yds to the WFrst 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
80.6%
Ronald Butler pass complete to JoJo Natson for 44 yds for a TD, (Nick Diaz MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 11FUMBLE TD
7 plays · 22 yds · 1:4721% → 16%
Q2 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
79.2%
Orville Reynolds run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 24Similar
Q2 8:21
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
79.4%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Jared CrumpSimilar
Q2 8:21
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+36
80.0%
John Wolford pass complete to Matt James for 36 yds to the UthSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
77.5%
Jordan Garside run for no gain to the UthSt 40Similar
Q2 8:21
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-5
77.5%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 45Similar
Q2 6:34
2ND & 15
OPP 45
+47
84.2%
John Wolford sacked by Nick Vigil for a loss of 8 yards John Wolford fumbled, recovered by UthSt Devin Centers , return for 0 yards , return for 47 yds, (Nick Diaz BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 12INT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q2 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
84.6%
John Wolford pass complete to Jared Crump for 6 yds to the WFrst 31Similar
Q2 6:34
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-5
84.2%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WFrst 26Similar
Q2 6:34
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
84.6%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cam SerigneSimilar
Q2 6:34
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+24
84.9%
John Wolford pass intercepted Frankie Sutera return for 24 yds to the WFrst 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 13TD
3 plays · 26 yds · 0:5386% → 91%
Q2 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
85.8%
Chuckie Keeton run for 2 yds to the WFrst 24Similar
Q2 5:39
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+18
85.8%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 18 yds to the WFrst 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
90.6%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Jefferson Court for 6 yds for a TD, (Nick Diaz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0011% → 10%
Q2 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-2
89.4%
Isaiah Robinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 19Similar
Q2 4:39
2ND & 12
OWN 19
-1
89.6%
Isaiah Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 18Similar
Q2 4:39
3RD & 13
OWN 18
+3
89.7%
Isaiah Robinson run for 3 yds to the WFrst 21Similar
Q2 4:39
4TH & 10
OWN 21
+16
89.7%
Alexander Kinal punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UthSt 46 , JoJo Natson returns for 16 yds to the UthSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 15FG
10 plays · 45 yds · 2:2693% → 95%
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
92.5%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Hayden Weichers for 9 yds to the WFrst 45Similar
Q2 2:26
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+10
92.4%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 10 yds to the WFrst 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
92.5%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Damoun Patterson for 2 yds to the WFrst 33Similar
Q2 2:26
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+20
92.5%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 7 yds to the WFrst 26 for a 1ST down WAKE FOREST Penalty, personal foul (13 Yards) to the WFrst 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
92.4%
Chuckie Keeton run for no gain to the WFrst 13Similar
Q2 2:26
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
92.4%
Rashad Hall run for no gain to the WFrst 13Similar
Q2 0:25
3RD & 10
OPP 13
+4
94.2%
Chuckie Keeton pass complete to Ronald Butler for 4 yds to the WFrst 9Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 6
OPP 9
+26
95.2%
Nick Diaz 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 16INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
95.5%
Rashad Hall run for 3 yds to the UthSt 38Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+27
95.6%
Darell Garretson pass intercepted Hunter Williams return for 32 yds to the UTAHST 30 UTAH ST Penalty, personal foul (-5 Yards) to the UthSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 17TD
3 plays · 5 yds · 1:036% → 14%
Q3 14:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
93.8%
Orville Reynolds run for 1 yd to the UthSt 4Similar
Q3 14:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
93.8%
Isaiah Robinson run for 1 yd to the UthSt 3Similar
Q3 13:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
86.3%
John Wolford pass complete to Isaiah Robinson for 3 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 0:0089% → 88%
Q3 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
89.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the UthSt 21Similar
Q3 13:06
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+6
88.9%
Darell Garretson pass complete to Ronald Butler for 6 yds to the UthSt 27Similar
Q3 13:06
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+15
88.6%
GARRETSON, Dare pass incomplete to PATTERSON, Damo, PENALTY WF personal foul 15 yards to the USU42, 1ST DOWN USU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-3
89.5%
Rashad Hall run for a loss of 3 yards to the UthSt 39Similar
Q3 13:06
2ND & 13
OWN 39
+7
89.3%
Darell Garretson pass complete to Damoun Patterson for 7 yds to the UthSt 46Similar
Q3 13:06
3RD & 6
OWN 46
-7
89.0%
Darell Garretson sacked by Shelldon Lewinson for a loss of 7 yards to the UthSt 39 UTAH ST Penalty, intentional grounding ( Yards) to the UthSt 39Similar
Q3 13:06
4TH & 13
OWN 39
0
88.0%
Jaron Bentrude punt for 39 yds, downed at the WFrst 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 19TD
8 plays · 78 yds · 2:3311% → 22%
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+23
88.6%
John Wolford pass complete to E.J. Scott for 23 yds to the WFrst 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
87.7%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WFrst 40Similar
Q3 10:22
1ST & 15
OWN 40
+15
88.5%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 15 yds Cam Serigne fumbled, forced by Frankie Sutera, recovered by WFrst Cam Serigne for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
87.2%
John Wolford pass complete to Matt James for 4 yds to the UthSt 40Similar
Q3 10:22
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+11
86.9%
Isaiah Robinson run for 11 yds to the UthSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+19
86.3%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 19 yds to the UthSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
86.3%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Jared CrumpSimilar
Q3 7:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
77.6%
John Wolford pass complete to E.J. Scott for 10 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 20TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:0383% → 92%
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
83.3%
Darell Garretson pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 11 yds to the UthSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
84.0%
JoJo Natson run for 11 yds to the UthSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+42
84.9%
Darell Garretson pass complete to Ronald Butler for 42 yds to the WFrst 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
85.4%
LaJuan Hunt run for 6 yds to the WFrst 5Similar
Q3 5:46
2ND & 4
OPP 5
+5
92.3%
Darell Garretson pass complete to Wyatt Houston for 5 yds for a TD, (Nick Diaz KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 21FG
14 plays · 66 yds · 4:3810% → 12%
Q3 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
90.4%
John Wolford run for no gain to the WFrst 22Similar
Q3 5:39
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+16
90.6%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 16 yds to the WFrst 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
89.5%
John Wolford run for 4 yds to the WFrst 42Similar
Q3 5:39
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+10
89.4%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 10 yds to the UthSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
89.0%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 5 yds to the UthSt 43Similar
Q3 5:39
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+2
88.7%
Isaiah Robinson run for 2 yds to the UthSt 41Similar
Q3 5:39
3RD & 3
OPP 41
0
89.2%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cam SerigneSimilar
Q3 5:39
4TH & 3
OPP 41
+6
89.6%
John Wolford pass complete to E.J. Scott for 6 yds to the UthSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+23
88.3%
John Wolford pass complete to Jared Crump for 23 yds to the UthSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
87.9%
Isaiah Robinson run for 4 yds to the UthSt 8Similar
Q3 5:39
2ND & 6
OPP 8
0
87.9%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Jared CrumpSimilar
Q3 5:39
3RD & 6
OPP 8
-4
88.8%
John Wolford sacked by B.J. Larsen for a loss of 4 yards to the UthSt 12Similar
Q3 1:01
4TH & 10
OPP 12
+30
88.0%
Mike Weaver 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 22PUNT
9 plays · 6 yds · 0:5691% → 90%
Q3 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
91.0%
Rashad Hall run for 2 yds to the UthSt 22Similar
Q3 0:56
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+7
91.0%
Darell Garretson pass complete to Wyatt Houston for 7 yds to the UthSt 29Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+1
90.8%
Darell Garretson pass complete to Jefferson Court for 1 yd to the UthSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
91.2%
Rashad Hall run for 3 yds to the UthSt 33Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 33
-7
91.2%
Darell Garretson pass complete to JoJo Natson for 3 yds to the UthSt 36 UTAH ST Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the UthSt 26Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 26
0
91.0%
Darell Garretson pass incomplete to Hunter Sharp, broken up by Marquel LeeSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 26
0
90.4%
Darell Garretson pass incomplete to Hunter SharpSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 14
OWN 26
0
90.1%
Jaron Bentrude punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jared Crump at the WFrst 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0010% → 9%
Q4 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
89.7%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Matt James, broken up by Ricky Ali'ifuaSimilar
Q4 13:24
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
90.4%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Matt JamesSimilar
Q4 13:24
3RD & 10
OWN 29
0
90.7%
John Wolford pass incomplete to E.J. Scott, broken up by Rashard StewartSimilar
Q4 13:24
4TH & 10
OWN 29
0
90.8%
Alexander Kinal punt for 44 yds, downed at the UthSt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 24MISSED FG
10 plays · 64 yds · 3:1693% → 93%
Q4 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
92.7%
JoJo Natson run for 4 yds to the UthSt 31Similar
Q4 12:56
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+31
92.7%
Darell Garretson pass complete to Hunter Sharp for 31 yds to the WFrst 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+10
93.3%
GARRETSON, Dare pass incomplete to HOUSTON, Wyatt, PENALTY WF holding 10 yards to the WF28, 1ST DOWN USU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
93.3%
LaJuan Hunt run for 3 yds to the WFrst 25Similar
Q4 12:56
2ND & 7
OPP 25
0
93.3%
Darell Garretson pass incomplete to Wyatt Houston, broken up by Grant DawsonSimilar
Q4 12:56
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+7
93.0%
JoJo Natson run for 7 yds to the WFrst 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
93.3%
LaJuan Hunt run for no gain to the WFrst 18Similar
Q4 12:56
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+9
93.3%
Darell Garretson run for 9 yds to the WFrst 9Similar
Q4 12:56
3RD & 1
OPP 9
0
93.0%
Darell Garretson pass incomplete to Jefferson CourtSimilar
Q4 9:40
4TH & 1
OPP 9
+26
93.4%
Nick Diaz 26 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 25DOWNS
7 plays · 32 yds · 0:007% → 8%
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
92.6%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cam Serigne, broken up by Nick VigilSimilar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+21
92.6%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 21 yds to the WFrst 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
91.5%
Wolford, J sacked for loss of 7 yards to the WF34 (FILIAGA, LT;LARSEN, B.J.), PENALTY USU illegal use of hands 15 yards to the USU44, 1ST DOWN WF, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
91.2%
John Wolford pass complete to E.J. Scott for 6 yds to the UthSt 38Similar
Q4 9:40
2ND & 4
OPP 38
0
90.8%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cam SerigneSimilar
Q4 9:40
3RD & 4
OPP 38
0
91.2%
John Wolford pass incomplete to E.J. Scott, broken up by Rashard StewartSimilar
Q4 9:40
4TH & 4
OPP 38
-10
91.6%
John Wolford sacked by B.J. Larsen for a loss of 10 yards to the UthSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
94.4%
LaJuan Hunt run for no gain to the UthSt 48Similar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
94.3%
Darell Garretson pass complete to Rashad Hall for no gain to the UthSt 48Similar
Q4 8:17
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+8
94.2%
Darell Garretson pass complete to JoJo Natson for 8 yds to the WFrst 44Similar
Q4 8:17
4TH & 2
OPP 44
-5
93.8%
UTAH ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the WFrst 49Similar
Q4 8:17
4TH & 7
OPP 49
0
93.8%
Jaron Bentrude punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jared Crump at the WFrst 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q4 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
94.1%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Jared CrumpSimilar
Q4 5:49
2ND & 10
OWN 13
0
94.1%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Isaiah RobinsonSimilar
Q4 5:49
3RD & 10
OWN 13
0
94.2%
John Wolford pass incomplete to E.J. Scott, broken up by B.J. LarsenSimilar
Q4 5:49
4TH & 10
OWN 13
0
94.3%
Alexander Kinal punt for 43 yds, downed at the UthSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 28PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:5596% → 97%
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
95.7%
Rashad Hall run for a loss of 1 yard to the UthSt 43Similar
Q4 5:19
2ND & 11
OWN 43
+1
95.5%
LaJuan Hunt run for 1 yd to the UthSt 44Similar
Q4 4:30
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+2
96.2%
JoJo Natson run for 2 yds to the UthSt 46Similar
Q4 4:24
4TH & 8
OWN 46
0
96.6%
Jaron Bentrude punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jared Crump at the WFrst 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 29DOWNS
10 plays · 21 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
96.8%
John Wolford pass incomplete to E.J. Scott, broken up by Jalen DavisSimilar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 10
OWN 15
-7
96.9%
John Wolford sacked by B.J. Larsen for a loss of 7 yards to the WFrst 8Similar
Q4 4:17
3RD & 17
OWN 8
+10
97.1%
Wolford, J pass incomplete to Scott, EJ, QB hurry by LARSEN, B.J., PENALTY USU holding 10 yards to the WF18, 1ST DOWN WF, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
96.8%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Matt JamesSimilar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+17
96.8%
John Wolford pass complete to E.J. Scott for 17 yds to the WFrst 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
96.4%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Matt James, broken up by Daniel GraySimilar
Q4 4:17
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-4
96.6%
John Wolford sacked by Devin Centers for a loss of 4 yards to the WFrst 31Similar
Q4 4:17
3RD & 14
OWN 31
0
96.9%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Jared CrumpSimilar
Q4 4:17
4TH & 14
OWN 31
+5
96.9%
Wolford, J sacked for loss of 11 yards to the WF20 (CENTERS, Devin), fumble by Wolford, J recovered by WF Intemann, D at WF21, PENALTY USU offside 5 yards to the WF36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:17
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
96.9%
John Wolford pass incomplete to E.J. ScottSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USUDrive 30END OF GAME
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-1
97.9%
Rashad Hall run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 37Similar
Q4 1:59
2ND & 11
OPP 37
0
97.9%
LaJuan Hunt run for no gain to the WFrst 37Similar
Q4 1:59
3RD & 11
OPP 37
-2
97.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:46
Darell Garretson pass complete to Wyatt Houston for 5 yds for a TD, (Nick Diaz KICK)
+11
TD · Q3 7:49
John Wolford pass complete to E.J. Scott for 10 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)
-8.7
TD · Q3 13:06
John Wolford pass complete to Isaiah Robinson for 3 yds for a TD, (Mike Weaver KICK)
-7.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com