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VT

Virginia Tech 3 at Wake Forest 6

WAKE
2014 · Week 13 · Nov 22, 2014 · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
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Win probability · WAKE
modelWAKE aheadVT aheadconfidence bandkey playWAKE scoreVT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTOT2FGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:58 · Alexander Kinal punt for 60 yds, downed at the VTech 31
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseTime remainingScore differentialDefense timeoutsOffense timeouts
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTOT2Play 17Pregame prior−34.3Home team on offense+0.0Time remaining+0.1Score differential−0.1Defense timeouts+0.0Offense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q4 8:39: Wolford, J deep out pass complete to James, M for 36 yards to the VT36 (Fuller, Ke), PENALTY WF pass interference (James, M) 14 yards to the WF14, NO PLAY. — WAKE win probability +13.6 pts (now 50%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q4 6:39: Dezmond Wortham run for 7 yds to the WFrst 45 — WAKE win probability +13.8 pts (now 54%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  3. FG · OT 0:00: Mike Weaver 49 Yd Field Goal — WAKE win probability +19.1 pts (now 78%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  4. FG · OT 0:00: Joey Slye 28 Yd Field Goal — VT win probability +26.7 pts (now 50%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  5. FG · OT2 0:00: Mike Weaver 39 Yd Field Goal — WAKE win probability +16.9 pts (now 79%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WAKE made the numbers' call on 8 of 12VT made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00VT 4th & 10 at WAKE 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.7%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    80.7%−<0.1
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    80.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:58WAKE 4th & 19 at WAKE 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.9%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:53VT 4th & 12 at VT 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.3%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:29WAKE 4th & 3 at WAKE 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.1%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:47VT 4th & 9 at VT 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.5%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00VT 4th & 5 at VT 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.2%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:48WAKE 4th & 10 at WAKE 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.7%−0.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:11VT 4th & 10 at VT 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.0%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:00WAKE 4th & 1 at VT 24, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 33.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.7%−1.6
    68% to make
    Punt
    27.8%−5.5
    average punt
  10. Q2 5:19WAKE 4th & 7 at WAKE 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.8%−0.6
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00WAKE 4th & 5 at VT 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    37.5%−0.6
    47% to make
    Punt
    37.2%−0.9
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:05WAKE 4th & 4 at VT 19, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.3%−0.3
    77% to make
    Punt
    32.9%−9.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:05VT 4th & 8 at midfield, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.3%−0.6
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:23WAKE 4th & 1 at WAKE 29, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.3 ptsPunted · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.7%−3.3
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:56VT 4th & 8 at VT 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.3%−2.9
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.2%
    average punt
  16. Q3 3:43WAKE 4th & 16 at VT 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.3%−3.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    42.0%−2.5
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    44.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 15:00VT 4th & 16 at VT 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.9%−5.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.2%
    average punt
  18. Q4 12:59WAKE 4th & 9 at WAKE 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.2%−4.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.9%
    average punt
  19. Q4 8:39WAKE 4th & 17 at WAKE 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%−11.5
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.7%
    average punt
  20. Q4 6:39WAKE 4th & 20 at WAKE 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.7%−9.7
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.4%
    average punt
  21. Q4 2:43VT 4th & 8 at midfield, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 51.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.7%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.7%−1.0
    average punt
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VTDrive 1PUNT
11 plays · 39 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
14.5%
J.C. Coleman run for 5 yds to the VTech 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
14.5%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 6 yds to the VTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
14.5%
J.C. Coleman run for 3 yds to the VTech 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 39
-4
14.5%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Deon Newsome for a loss of 4 yards to the VTech 35Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+11
14.5%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 11 yds to the VTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+18
14.5%
J.C. Coleman run for 18 yds to the WFrst 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
14.5%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Isaiah Ford for no gain to the WFrst 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
14.5%
Michael Brewer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 36
0
14.5%
Michael Brewer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
OPP 36
0
14.5%
A.J. Hughes punt for 29 yds, downed at the WFrst 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q1 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+9
16.4%
Dezmond Wortham run for 9 yds to the WFrst 16Similar
Q1 10:58
2ND & 1
OWN 16
+2
16.4%
Dezmond Wortham run for 2 yds to the WFrst 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
16.4%
John Wolford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:58
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
16.4%
John Wolford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:58
3RD & 10
OWN 18
-9
16.3%
John Wolford sacked by Nigel Williams for a loss of 9 yards to the WFrst 9Similar
Q1 10:58
4TH & 19
OWN 9
0
16.2%
Alexander Kinal punt for 60 yds, downed at the VTech 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0083% → 82%
Q1 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
17.3%
J.C. Coleman run for 2 yds to the VTech 33Similar
Q1 8:53
2ND & 8
OWN 33
-4
17.3%
J.C. Coleman run for a loss of 4 yards to the VTech 29Similar
Q1 8:53
3RD & 12
OWN 29
0
17.5%
Michael Brewer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:53
4TH & 12
OWN 29
0
17.7%
A.J. Hughes punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q1 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
18.4%
Dezmond Wortham run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 39Similar
Q1 7:29
2ND & 12
OWN 39
0
18.3%
John Wolford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:29
3RD & 12
OWN 39
+9
18.0%
John Wolford pass complete to E.J. Scott for 9 yds to the WFrst 48Similar
Q1 7:29
4TH & 3
OWN 48
+5
18.2%
Alexander Kinal punt for 47 yds , Greg Stroman returns for 5 yds to the VTech 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
19.0%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 7 yds to the VTech 17Similar
Q1 5:47
2ND & 3
OWN 17
+2
19.0%
Sam Rogers run for 2 yds to the VTech 19Similar
Q1 5:47
3RD & 1
OWN 19
+2
19.1%
Sam Rogers run for 2 yds to the VTech 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
18.9%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 2 yds to the VTech 23Similar
Q1 5:47
2ND & 8
OWN 23
-1
19.0%
Deon Newsome run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 22Similar
Q1 5:47
3RD & 9
OWN 22
0
19.2%
Michael Brewer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:47
4TH & 9
OWN 22
0
19.4%
A.J. Hughes punt for 29 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 6INT
7 plays · 36 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+22
21.5%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 22 yds to the VTech 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
21.9%
John Wolford pass complete to Matt James for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 30Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 11
OPP 30
0
21.8%
John Wolford pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:54
3RD & 11
OPP 30
+14
21.4%
Isaiah Robinson run for 14 yds to the VTech 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
21.9%
Isaiah Robinson run for 1 yd to the VTech 15Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 9
OPP 15
0
21.9%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Matt James, broken up by Kendall FullerSimilar
Q1 2:54
3RD & 9
OPP 15
+12
21.5%
John Wolford pass intercepted Donovan Riley return for 12 yds to the VTech 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:1978% → 77%
Q1 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
21.8%
J.C. Coleman run for 2 yds to the VTech 14Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+3
22.0%
Cam Phillips run for 3 yds to the VTech 17Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 17
0
22.3%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Sam RogersSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 17
0
22.7%
A.J. Hughes punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WFrst 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:2924% → 23%
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
23.8%
Isaiah Robinson run for a loss of 5 yards to the WFrst 36Similar
Q2 14:17
2ND & 15
OWN 36
+4
23.1%
John Wolford run for 4 yds to the WFrst 40Similar
Q2 12:48
3RD & 11
OWN 40
+1
23.6%
Isaiah Robinson run for 1 yd to the WFrst 41Similar
Q2 12:48
4TH & 10
OWN 41
0
23.0%
Alexander Kinal punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Greg Stroman at the VTech 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0077% → 76%
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-6
23.3%
J.C. Coleman run for a loss of 6 yards to the VTech 11Similar
Q2 12:11
2ND & 16
OWN 11
-5
23.5%
Michael Brewer sacked by Zeek Rodney for a loss of 5 yards to the VTech 6Similar
Q2 12:11
3RD & 21
OWN 6
+11
24.1%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Cam Phillips for 11 yds to the VTech 17Similar
Q2 12:11
4TH & 10
OWN 17
+7
24.3%
A.J. Hughes punt for 45 yds , Jared Crump returns for 7 yds to the WFrst 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 10MISSED FG
7 plays · 31 yds · 3:0927% → 29%
Q2 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
27.0%
John Wolford run for 3 yds to the WFrst 48Similar
Q2 10:09
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+7
27.0%
John Wolford run for 7 yds to the VTech 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+12
27.4%
John Wolford pass complete to Matt James for 12 yds to the VTech 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
27.7%
John Wolford pass complete to Matt James for 8 yds to the VTech 25Similar
Q2 10:09
2ND & 2
OPP 25
+1
27.7%
John Wolford run for 1 yd to the VTech 24Similar
Q2 10:09
3RD & 1
OPP 24
0
27.1%
Dezmond Wortham run for no gain to the VTech 24Similar
Q2 7:00
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+42
28.6%
Mike Weaver 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 11FUMBLE
4 plays · 44 yds · 0:0075% → 77%
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
25.2%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 15 yds to the VTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
24.1%
Deon Newsome run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 37Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 12
OWN 37
+23
25.2%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Willie Byrn for 23 yds to the WFrst 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
23.3%
Brenden Motley run for 8 yds to the WFrst 32 Brenden Motley fumbled, forced by Marquel Lee, recovered by WFrst Ryan JanvionSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0029% → 28%
Q2 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
29.2%
Dezmond Wortham run for 1 yd to the WFrst 33Similar
Q2 5:19
2ND & 9
OWN 33
-7
29.0%
John Wolford sacked by Andrew Motuapuaka for a loss of 7 yards to the WFrst 26Similar
Q2 5:19
3RD & 16
OWN 26
+9
27.6%
Isaiah Robinson run for 9 yds to the WFrst 35Similar
Q2 5:19
4TH & 7
OWN 35
0
27.6%
Alexander Kinal punt for 38 yds, downed at the VTech 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 13END OF HALF
8 plays · 19 yds · 1:3973% → 72%
Q2 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
27.2%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Ryan Malleck for 8 yds to the VTech 35Similar
Q2 3:06
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+11
26.1%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 11 yds to the VTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-10
25.4%
Brewer, M sacked for loss of 1 yard to the VT45 (Dunn, W), PENALTY VT holding (Hansen, W) 10 yards to the VT36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:06
1ST & 20
OWN 36
+9
27.4%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 9 yds to the VTech 45Similar
Q2 3:06
2ND & 11
OWN 45
-5
26.3%
Michael Brewer sacked by Brandon Chubb for a loss of 5 yards to the VTech 40Similar
Q2 1:27
3RD & 16
OWN 40
+11
28.9%
Michael Brewer run for 11 yds to the WFrst 49Similar
Q2 1:27
4TH & 5
OPP 49
-5
28.1%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the VTech 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 14MISSED FG
14 plays · 56 yds · 5:5533% → 39%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
33.1%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 17 yds to the WFrst 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
35.1%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 7 yds to the WFrst 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 49
-4
35.8%
Dezmond Wortham run for a loss of 4 yards to the WFrst 45Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+16
34.1%
John Wolford pass complete to E.J. Scott for 16 yds to the WAKEFOREST 39 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
36.2%
John Wolford pass complete to E.J. Scott for 5 yds to the VTech 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 34
-2
36.8%
Isaiah Robinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 36Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+2
35.6%
John Wolford run for 2 yds to the VTech 34Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 34
+9
33.9%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 9 yds to the VTech 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
36.8%
John Wolford run for 6 yds to the VTech 19Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 19
-4
36.8%
Isaiah Robinson run for a loss of 4 yards to the VTech 23Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 23
-1
35.7%
John Wolford pass complete to E.J. Scott for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 24Similar
Q3 9:10
4TH & 9
OPP 24
+5
38.3%
Weaver, M field goal attempt from 42 MISSED - wide left,, clock 09:10, PENALTY VT offside (Fuller, Ke) 5 yards to the VT19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:05
4TH & 4
OPP 19
+37
39.0%
Mike Weaver 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
34.4%
Michael Brewer run for 11 yds to the VTech 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
33.8%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Joshua StanfordSimilar
Q3 9:05
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+2
34.4%
J.C. Coleman run for 2 yds to the VTech 33Similar
Q3 9:05
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+15
35.1%
Brewer, M pass incomplete to Stanford, J (Noel, M), QB hurry by Floyd, D, PENALTY WF pass interference (Noel, M) 15 yards to the VT48, 1ST DOWN VT, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
31.4%
Deon Newsome run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 9:05
2ND & 8
50
0
31.1%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to J.C. ColemanSimilar
Q3 9:05
3RD & 8
50
0
32.1%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Isaiah Ford, broken up by Kevin JohnsonSimilar
Q3 9:05
4TH & 8
50
0
34.4%
A.J. Hughes punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Jared Crump at the WFrst 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0039% → 37%
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
38.7%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 9 yds to the WFrst 29Similar
Q3 7:23
2ND & 1
OWN 29
0
40.9%
Dezmond Wortham run for no gain to the WFrst 29Similar
Q3 7:23
3RD & 1
OWN 29
0
38.3%
John Wolford run for no gain to the WFrst 29Similar
Q3 7:23
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
37.3%
Alexander Kinal punt for 58 yds, downed at the VTech 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:0063% → 61%
Q3 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+18
37.2%
J.C. Coleman run for 18 yds to the VTech 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
36.3%
J.C. Coleman run for 2 yds to the VTech 33Similar
Q3 4:56
2ND & 8
OWN 33
0
36.1%
Michael Brewer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:56
3RD & 8
OWN 33
0
37.8%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Cam PhillipsSimilar
Q3 4:56
4TH & 8
OWN 33
+3
39.1%
A.J. Hughes punt for 36 yds , Jared Crump returns for 3 yds to the WFrst 36 WAKE FOREST Penalty, illegal block (P.J. Howard IV) to the WFrst 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 0:0042% → 40%
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+26
41.5%
E.J. Scott run for 26 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
50
-1
45.8%
John Wolford sacked by Andrew Motuapuaka for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 49Similar
Q3 3:43
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+7
43.9%
Dezmond Wortham run for 7 yds to the VTech 44Similar
Q3 3:43
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+5
45.5%
John Wolford pass complete to Matt James for 5 yds to the VTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
46.3%
John Wolford pass incomplete to E.J. Scott, broken up by Chuck ClarkSimilar
Q3 3:43
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-10
46.1%
John Wolford sacked by Ken Ekanem and Chuck Clark for a loss of 10 yards to the VTech 49Similar
Q3 3:43
3RD & 20
OPP 49
+4
41.7%
Isaiah Robinson run for 4 yds to the VTech 45 WAKE FOREST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 3:43
4TH & 16
OPP 45
0
39.7%
Alexander Kinal punt for 24 yds, fair catch by Kyshoen Jarrett at the VTech 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 0:1060% → 57%
Q3 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+14
40.4%
J.C. Coleman run for 14 yds to the VTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
39.5%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+7
36.0%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Ryan Malleck for 7 yds to the WFrst 43Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 43
-2
35.6%
J.C. Coleman run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 45Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 45
-11
36.7%
Michael Brewer sacked by Marquel Lee for a loss of 11 yards to the VTech 44Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 16
OWN 44
0
42.8%
A.J. Hughes punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jared Crump at the WFrst 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0046% → 43%
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-2
46.0%
John Wolford pass complete to Matt James for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 13Similar
Q4 12:59
2ND & 12
OWN 13
+3
45.8%
John Wolford pass complete to Jared Crump for 3 yds to the WFrst 16Similar
Q4 12:59
3RD & 9
OWN 16
0
43.8%
John Wolford pass incomplete to E.J. ScottSimilar
Q4 12:59
4TH & 9
OWN 16
+1
42.8%
Alexander Kinal punt for 43 yds , Kyshoen Jarrett returns for 1 yd to the VTech 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 21FUMBLE
8 plays · 30 yds · 0:0060% → 63%
Q4 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
39.7%
Brewer, M middle pass incomplete to Byrn, W, PENALTY WF pass interference (Dawson, G) 4 yards to the VT46, 1ST DOWN VT, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
38.8%
Deon Newsome run for 3 yds to the VTech 49Similar
Q4 11:19
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+17
38.4%
Brenden Motley pass complete to Cam Phillips for 17 yds to the WFrst 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
36.6%
Deon Newsome run for 8 yds to the WFrst 26Similar
Q4 11:19
2ND & 2
OPP 26
+1
36.1%
Brenden Motley run for 1 yd to the WFrst 25Similar
Q4 11:19
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+2
37.9%
Michael Brewer run for 2 yds to the WFrst 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
36.1%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Cam Phillips, broken up by Hunter WilliamsSimilar
Q4 11:19
2ND & 10
OPP 23
-5
36.7%
Michael Brewer run for a loss of 5 yards to the WFrst 28 Michael Brewer fumbled, recovered by WFrst Hunter WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:0050% → 46%
Q4 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-14
50.3%
Wolford, J deep out pass complete to James, M for 36 yards to the VT36 (Fuller, Ke), PENALTY WF pass interference (James, M) 14 yards to the WF14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:39
1ST & 24
OWN 14
0
49.4%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cam SerigneSimilar
Q4 8:39
2ND & 24
OWN 14
+6
49.2%
John Wolford run for 6 yds to the WFrst 20Similar
Q4 8:39
3RD & 18
OWN 20
+1
47.0%
Isaiah Robinson run for 1 yd to the WFrst 21Similar
Q4 8:39
4TH & 17
OWN 21
+18
45.8%
Alexander Kinal punt for 47 yds , Greg Stroman returns for 18 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 23INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
50
0
39.9%
Michael Brewer pass intercepted Merrill Noel return for no gain to the WFrst 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 0:0054% → 48%
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
53.7%
Dezmond Wortham run for 7 yds to the WFrst 45Similar
Q4 6:39
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+5
56.2%
Dezmond Wortham run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:39
1ST & 10
50
-5
56.8%
John Wolford sacked by Nigel Williams for a loss of 5 yards to the WFrst 45Similar
Q4 6:39
2ND & 15
OWN 45
0
52.5%
John Wolford pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:39
3RD & 15
OWN 45
-5
50.2%
John Wolford sacked by Ken Ekanem for a loss of 5 yards to the WFrst 40Similar
Q4 6:39
4TH & 20
OWN 40
0
47.9%
Alexander Kinal punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Greg Stroman at the VTech 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 33 yds · 1:3753% → 54%
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+31
46.9%
J.C. Coleman run for 31 yds to the VTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-2
41.7%
J.C. Coleman run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 46Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 12
OWN 46
-8
44.3%
Michael Brewer sacked by Marquel Lee for a loss of 8 yards to the VTech 38Similar
Q4 2:43
3RD & 20
OWN 38
+12
47.0%
Michael Brewer run for 12 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 2:43
4TH & 8
50
0
45.7%
A.J. Hughes punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 26MISSED FG
13 plays · 61 yds · 2:0154% → 65%
Q4 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
53.8%
Isaiah Robinson run for 3 yds to the WFrst 23Similar
Q4 2:01
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+3
53.1%
John Wolford run for 3 yds to the WFrst 26Similar
Q4 1:22
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+5
52.9%
Wolford, J left pass incomplete to James, M (Fuller, Ke), PENALTY VT offside (Marshall, C) 5 yards to the WF31, 1ST DOWN WF, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
55.5%
John Wolford pass incomplete to E.J. Scott, broken up by Chuck ClarkSimilar
Q4 1:22
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
55.0%
Isaiah Robinson run for no gain to the WFrst 31Similar
Q4 1:22
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+25
51.4%
John Wolford pass complete to E.J. Scott for 25 yds to the VTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+10
61.7%
John Wolford pass complete to Cam Serigne for 10 yds to the VTech 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
64.0%
John Wolford pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:22
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+7
63.9%
John Wolford pass complete to Matt James for 7 yds to the VTech 27Similar
Q4 1:22
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+8
61.1%
John Wolford run for 8 yds to the VTech 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+37
65.3%
Mike Weaver 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 27END OF GAME
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0065% → 78%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-3
64.7%
Isaiah Robinson run for a loss of 3 yards to the VTech 28Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 13
OPP 28
0
63.4%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Cam SerigneSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 13
OPP 28
-3
58.8%
John Wolford sacked by Detrick Bonner for a loss of 3 yards to the VTech 31Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 16
OPP 31
+49
77.9%
Mike Weaver 49 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 28FG
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0029% → 50%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
70.9%
J.C. Coleman run for 7 yds to the WFrst 18Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+3
70.9%
J.C. Coleman run for 3 yds to the WFrst 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
70.9%
J.C. Coleman run for 2 yds to the WFrst 13Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+3
70.9%
J.C. Coleman run for 3 yds to the WFrst 10Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 10
0
76.4%
Michael Brewer pass incompleteSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 5
OPP 10
+28
49.6%
Joey Slye 28 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 29MISSED FG
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:0060% → 43%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-4
40.5%
Michael Brewer run for a loss of 4 yards to the WFrst 29Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 14
OPP 29
+5
43.4%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Cam Phillips for 5 yds to the WFrst 24Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 9
OPP 24
-11
43.7%
Michael Brewer sacked by Desmond Floyd and Marquel Lee for a loss of 11 yards to the WFrst 35Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 20
OPP 35
+53
56.9%
Joey Slye 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 30FG
4 plays · 4 yds · 15:0065% → 79%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
64.7%
Isaiah Robinson run for 4 yds to the VTech 21Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 21
0
64.7%
Isaiah Robinson run for no gain to the VTech 21Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 6
OPP 21
0
62.4%
John Wolford pass incomplete to Matt JamesSimilar
OT2 0:00
4TH & 6
OPP 21
+39
79.3%
Mike Weaver 39 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · OT 0:00
Joey Slye 28 Yd Field Goal
-26.7
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+20.7
FG · OT 0:00
Mike Weaver 49 Yd Field Goal
+19.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com