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WMU

Western Michigan 17 at Virginia Tech 35

VT
2014 · Week 5 · Sep 27, 2014 · Lane Stadium
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Win probability · VT
modelVT aheadWMU aheadconfidence bandkey playVT scoreWMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:01 · J. Schroeder punt for 49 yds , Greg Stroman returns for 19 yds to the VTech 29
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+45.5+22.80−22.8−45.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 30Pregame prior+42.7Home team on offense+1.4Score differential+0.7Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:15: Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK) — WMU win probability +0.9 pts (now 7%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q1 0:49: Michael Brewer pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 29 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK) — VT win probability +0.9 pts (now 94%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:52: Michael Brewer pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 7 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK) — VT win probability +3.4 pts (now 95%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:09: Shai McKenzie run for 4 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK) — VT win probability +2.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:06: Jarvion Franklin 1 Yd Run (Andrew Haldeman Kick) — WMU win probability +3.7 pts (now 5%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VT made the numbers' call on 7 of 8WMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 11:43VT 4th & 9 at WMU 20, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.1%
    75% to make
    Punt
    94.7%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:13WMU 4th & 12 at WMU 23, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:35VT 4th & 14 at VT 27, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.8%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:01WMU 4th & 3 at WMU 41, down 11
    Close callPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00WMU 4th & 4 at WMU 42, down 11
    Close callPunted · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:37VT 4th & 8 at VT 24, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.9%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:53WMU 4th & 6 at WMU 47, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:06VT 4th & 15 at WMU 43, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.2%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    92.3%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    92.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:59WMU 4th & 5 at WMU 23, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.1%
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:00VT 4th & 14 at VT 31, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.0%−0.6
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.7%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:05WMU 4th & 10 at VT 19, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.7%
    77% to make
    Punt
    5.6%−2.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:03VT 4th & 6 at WMU 36, up 8
    Close callKicked a field goal · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.0%−0.3
    42% to make
    Punt
    90.8%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:14WMU 4th & 6 at VT 12, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.9%
    86% to make
    Punt
    5.1%−4.8
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:24WMU 4th & 2 at WMU 36, down 15
    Close callPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00WMU 4th & 12 at WMU 33, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:26VT 4th & 10 at WMU 44, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    98.9%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:50VT 4th & 8 at WMU 10, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.6%
    88% to make
    Punt
    96.1%−1.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VT made the numbers' call on 4 of 4WMU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 14:52VT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    95.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:15WMU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:49VT Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:52VT Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:09VT Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:06WMU Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.3%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VTDrive 1FUMBLE RETURN TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-11
95.5%
Andrew Motuapuaka 11 Yd Fumble Return (Joey Slye PAT blocked)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 2SF
4 plays · -25 yds · 0:025% → 5%
Q1 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
95.3%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 7 yds to the WMich 32Similar
Q1 13:28
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
95.3%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Daniel BravermanSimilar
Q1 13:27
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-7
95.3%
Zach Terrell sacked by Chase Williams and Nigel Williams for a loss of 7 yards to the WMich 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 3FG
7 plays · 46 yds · 1:3895% → 95%
Q1 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
95.3%
Marshawn Williams run for 3 yds to the VTech 37Similar
Q1 13:21
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+42
95.3%
Marshawn Williams run for 42 yds to the WMich 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
95.4%
Marshawn Williams run for 1 yd to the WMich 20Similar
Q1 13:21
2ND & 9
OPP 20
0
95.4%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 13:21
3RD & 9
OPP 20
0
95.4%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Isaiah Ford, broken up by Donald CeliscarSimilar
Q1 11:43
4TH & 9
OPP 20
+37
95.2%
Joey Slye 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · -2 yds · 0:305% → 5%
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
95.1%
FRANKLIN, Jarvion rush up middle for 5 yards to the WMU30 (Detrick Bonner), PENALTY VT offside defense (Deon Clarke) 5 yards to the WMU30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:43
1ST & 5
OWN 30
0
95.1%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Michael HenrySimilar
Q1 11:13
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
95.0%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Jarvion FranklinSimilar
Q1 11:13
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-5
95.1%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, false start (N/A) to the WMich 25Similar
Q1 11:13
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-2
95.1%
Zach Terrell sacked by Woody Baron and Chase Williams for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 23 WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, H ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 11:13
4TH & 12
OWN 23
-2
95.1%
J. Schroeder punt for 59 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the VTech 16 , Greg Stroman returns for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:4695% → 95%
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+15
95.0%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 15 yds to the VTech 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
95.0%
Shai McKenzie run for 2 yds to the VTech 33Similar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 8
OWN 33
-10
94.9%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete, PENALTY VT holding 10 yards to the VT23, NO PLAY, clock 09:35.Similar
Q1 9:35
2ND & 18
OWN 23
0
94.9%
Michael Brewer run for no gain to the VTech 23Similar
Q1 9:35
3RD & 18
OWN 23
+4
94.9%
Michael Brewer run for 4 yds to the VTech 27Similar
Q1 9:35
4TH & 14
OWN 27
0
94.8%
A.J. Hughes punt for 56 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 24 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+17
94.6%
Jarvion Franklin run for 17 yds to the WMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
94.6%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Michael HenrySimilar
Q1 8:01
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
94.6%
Zach Terrell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:01
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+7
94.7%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 7 yds to the WMich 41Similar
Q1 8:01
4TH & 3
OWN 41
+19
94.7%
J. Schroeder punt for 49 yds , Greg Stroman returns for 19 yds to the VTech 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 7INT
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
94.6%
Marshawn Williams run for 1 yd to the VTech 30Similar
Q1 6:24
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+39
94.6%
Michael Brewer pass intercepted Ronald Zamort return for 39 yds to the VTech 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 8TD
3 plays · 3 yds · 1:196% → 7%
Q1 5:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
94.0%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the VTech 2Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
94.0%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the VTech 1Similar
Q1 4:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
93.1%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 9TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 3:1893% → 94%
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
93.3%
Michael Brewer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:55
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
93.3%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Willie Byrn for 4 yds to the VTech 24Similar
Q1 3:55
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+14
93.2%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 14 yds to the VTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
93.4%
Shai McKenzie run for 3 yds to the VTech 41Similar
Q1 3:19
2ND & 7
OWN 41
-1
93.5%
Shai McKenzie run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 40Similar
Q1 1:58
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+15
92.9%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 15 yds to the WMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
93.2%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 1:38
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+15
93.1%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Kalvin Cline, PENALTY WMU pass interference (ISHMAEL, Trevor) 15 yards to the WMU30, 1ST DOWN VT, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
93.2%
Michael Brewer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:25
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+1
93.2%
J.C. Coleman run for 1 yd to the WMich 29Similar
Q1 0:49
3RD & 9
OPP 29
+29
94.1%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 29 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:496% → 6%
Q1 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
94.0%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the WMich 26Similar
Q1 0:49
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
94.0%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the WMich 28Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+8
93.9%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 8 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
93.8%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the WMich 41Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 41
-2
93.6%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Jarvion Franklin for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 39Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+3
93.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 3 yds to the WMich 42Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
93.9%
J. Schroeder punt for 36 yds, downed at the VTech 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:3194% → 93%
Q2 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-3
93.9%
Marshawn Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the VTech 19Similar
Q2 12:08
2ND & 13
OWN 19
+5
93.8%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Marshawn Williams for 5 yds to the VTech 24Similar
Q2 10:37
3RD & 8
OWN 24
0
93.2%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Isaiah Ford, broken up by Brian WilliamsSimilar
Q2 10:37
4TH & 8
OWN 24
+3
93.0%
A.J. Hughes punt for 36 yds , Daniel Braverman returns for 3 yds to the WMich 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:367% → 7%
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
93.1%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the WMich 46Similar
Q2 10:29
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+1
93.0%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Eric Boyden for 1 yd to the WMich 47Similar
Q2 8:53
3RD & 6
OWN 47
0
92.9%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Michael Henry, broken up by Kyshoen JarrettSimilar
Q2 8:53
4TH & 6
OWN 47
0
93.3%
J. Schroeder punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Kendall Fuller at the VTech 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 13PUNT
10 plays · 32 yds · 3:3993% → 93%
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
93.3%
Michael Brewer run for 9 yds to the VTech 34Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+6
93.4%
Shai McKenzie run for 6 yds to the VTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
93.6%
Shai McKenzie run for 6 yds to the VTech 46Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+4
93.6%
Bucky Hodges run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
50
+12
93.7%
Shai McKenzie run for 12 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
93.9%
Shai McKenzie run for a loss of 5 yards to the WMich 43Similar
Q2 6:14
2ND & 15
OPP 43
0
93.7%
Michael Brewer pass complete to J.C. Coleman for no gain to the WMich 43Similar
Q2 5:06
3RD & 15
OPP 43
0
93.5%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Willie ByrnSimilar
Q2 5:06
4TH & 15
OPP 43
0
93.2%
A.J. Hughes punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Daniel Braverman at the WMich 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:007% → 6%
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-6
93.4%
Zach Terrell sacked by Kyshoen Jarrett and Corey Marshall for a loss of 6 yards to the WMich 12Similar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 16
OWN 12
0
93.5%
Jarvion Franklin run for no gain to the WMich 12Similar
Q2 4:59
3RD & 16
OWN 12
+11
93.7%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Fabian Johnson for 11 yds to the WMich 23Similar
Q2 4:59
4TH & 5
OWN 23
+8
93.7%
J. Schroeder punt for 50 yds , Greg Stroman returns for 8 yds to the VTech 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:4694% → 93%
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
93.5%
Michael Brewer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:46
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-4
93.5%
Michael Brewer sacked by Jarrell McKinney and Devon Brant for a loss of 4 yards to the VTech 31Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 14
OWN 31
0
93.3%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 2:00
4TH & 14
OWN 31
0
93.1%
A.J. Hughes punt for 47 yds, downed at the WMich 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 16INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:057% → 7%
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
93.5%
Fabian Johnson run for 3 yds to the WMich 25Similar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 7
OWN 25
0
93.4%
Zach Terrell pass intercepted Detrick Bonner return for no gain to the WMich 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 17INT
4 plays · 28 yds · 0:1494% → 94%
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
93.6%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Isaiah FordSimilar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
93.5%
Michael Brewer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+28
93.2%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Joel Caleb for 13 yds to the WMich 36 for a 1ST down WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, roughing passer (Jarrell McKinney) to the WMich 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
93.7%
Michael Brewer pass intercepted, touchback. Donald Celiscar return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 18FG
8 plays · 61 yds · 0:556% → 8%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+30
93.7%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for 30 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
50
+2
92.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Kendrick Roberts for 2 yds to the VTech 48Similar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+29
92.7%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 29 yds to the VTech 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
92.0%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
92.1%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Daniel BravermanSimilar
Q2 0:10
3RD & 10
OPP 19
0
92.5%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Cleveland SmithSimilar
Q2 0:05
4TH & 10
OPP 19
+36
91.6%
Andrew Haldeman 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 20MISSED FG
6 plays · 39 yds · 1:5092% → 91%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+35
91.7%
Marshawn Williams run for 35 yds to the WMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
92.4%
Marshawn Williams run for 2 yds to the WMich 38Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 8
OPP 38
+2
92.4%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Willie Byrn for 2 yds to the WMich 36Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 6
OPP 36
0
92.1%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Cam PhillipsSimilar
Q3 13:03
4TH & 6
OPP 36
+53
91.3%
Joey Slye 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 21MISSED FG
6 plays · 52 yds · 1:4910% → 10%
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+48
90.1%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Kendrick Roberts for 48 yds to the VTech 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-5
88.5%
FRANKLIN, Jarvion rush up middle for loss of 1 yard to the VT17 (Ken Ekanem;Dadi Nicolas), PENALTY WMU illegal formation 5 yards to the VT21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:03
1ST & 15
OPP 21
+9
88.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 9 yds to the VTech 12Similar
Q3 13:03
2ND & 6
OPP 12
0
88.5%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete, broken up by Detrick BonnerSimilar
Q3 13:03
3RD & 6
OPP 12
0
89.2%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q3 11:14
4TH & 6
OPP 12
+29
89.7%
Andrew Haldeman 29 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 22TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 5:2291% → 95%
Q3 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
90.8%
Sam Rogers run for 6 yds to the VTech 26Similar
Q3 11:14
2ND & 4
OWN 26
0
90.8%
Shai McKenzie run for no gain to the VTech 26Similar
Q3 11:14
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+15
90.4%
Michael Brewer run for 15 yds to the VTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+14
91.6%
Shai McKenzie run for 14 yds to the WMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+21
91.8%
Shai McKenzie run for 6 yds to the WMich 39 for a 1ST down WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Ronald Zamort) to the WMich 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
91.9%
Shai McKenzie run for 2 yds to the WMich 22Similar
Q3 11:14
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+5
91.9%
Shai McKenzie run for 5 yds to the WMich 17Similar
Q3 11:14
3RD & 3
OPP 17
+5
91.4%
Shai McKenzie run for 5 yds to the WMich 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
91.9%
Marshawn Williams run for 3 yds to the WMich 9Similar
Q3 11:14
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+2
91.9%
Marshawn Williams run for 2 yds to the WMich 7Similar
Q3 5:52
3RD & 5
OPP 7
+7
95.3%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 7 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:206% → 6%
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
94.1%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Eric Boyden for 4 yds to the WMich 32Similar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+4
93.9%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Eric Boyden for 4 yds to the WMich 36Similar
Q3 4:24
3RD & 2
OWN 36
0
94.1%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Daniel BravermanSimilar
Q3 4:24
4TH & 2
OWN 36
+19
94.3%
J. Schroeder punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the VTech 32 , Greg Stroman returns for 19 yds to the VTech 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 24TD
9 plays · 68 yds · 4:0296% → 99%
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
96.0%
Marshawn Williams run for 4 yds to the VTech 36Similar
Q3 4:11
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+4
96.0%
Marshawn Williams run for 4 yds to the VTech 40Similar
Q3 2:48
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+17
96.2%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 17 yds to the WMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
96.4%
Marshawn Williams run for 2 yds to the WMich 41Similar
Q3 2:48
2ND & 8
OPP 41
0
96.4%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Cam PhillipsSimilar
Q3 1:49
3RD & 8
OPP 41
+28
96.3%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 28 yds to the WMich 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+11
96.5%
Shai McKenzie run for 11 yds to the WMich 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-2
96.5%
Shai McKenzie run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 4Similar
Q3 0:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.1%
Shai McKenzie run for 4 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:091% → 1%
Q3 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-9
98.9%
Daniel Braverman run for a loss of 9 yards to the WMich 26Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 19
OWN 26
+11
99.0%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 11 yds to the WMich 37Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 37
-4
98.9%
Zach Terrell sacked by Chuck Clark for a loss of 4 yards to the WMich 33Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 33
+14
99.0%
J. Schroeder punt for 43 yds , Greg Stroman returns for 14 yds to the VTech 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:0599% → 99%
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+18
99.2%
Marshawn Williams run for 18 yds to the WMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
99.2%
Marshawn Williams run for 5 yds to the WMich 39Similar
Q4 12:49
2ND & 5
OPP 39
0
99.2%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Isaiah Ford, broken up by Ronald ZamortSimilar
Q4 12:32
3RD & 5
OPP 39
-5
99.2%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, delay of game (Michael Brewer) to the WMich 44Similar
Q4 12:26
3RD & 10
OPP 44
0
99.2%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Cam PhillipsSimilar
Q4 12:26
4TH & 10
OPP 44
0
99.1%
A.J. Hughes punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Daniel Braverman at the WMich 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 27TD
8 plays · 84 yds · 3:121% → 5%
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
99.1%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the WMich 18Similar
Q4 11:28
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+3
99.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the WMich 21Similar
Q4 11:28
3RD & 5
OWN 21
+41
99.2%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 26 yds to the VTech 47 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (N/A) to the VTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+16
99.1%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Michael Henry for 16 yds to the VTech 22 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, sideline interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+19
99.0%
Jarvion Franklin run for 15 yds to the VTech 7 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, face mask (4 yards) (Deon Clarke) to the VTech 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
98.9%
Zach Terrell run for 2 yds to the VTech 1Similar
Q4 11:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.0%
Jarvion Franklin run for no gain to the VTech 1Similar
Q4 9:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.2%
Jarvion Franklin 1 Yd Run (Andrew Haldeman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 28FG
14 plays · 65 yds · 5:0997% → 99%
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
96.8%
Trey Edmunds rush right for no gain to the VT25 (ISHMAEL, Trevor), PENALTY WMU face mask (ISHMAEL, Trevor) 15 yards to the VT40, 1ST DOWN VT, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+20
97.0%
Trey Edmunds run for 20 yds to the WMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
97.1%
Trey Edmunds run for no gain to the WMich 40Similar
Q4 8:59
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+2
97.1%
Trey Edmunds run for 2 yds to the WMich 38Similar
Q4 8:59
3RD & 8
OPP 38
-5
97.0%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, false start (Caleb Farris) to the WMich 43Similar
Q4 8:59
3RD & 13
OPP 43
+15
96.9%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Willie Byrn for 15 yds to the WMich 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+16
97.5%
Shai McKenzie run for 16 yds to the WMich 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
97.5%
Shai McKenzie run for 3 yds to the WMich 9Similar
Q4 6:15
2ND & 7
OPP 9
-10
97.5%
Shai McKenzie rush right for no gain to the WMU9 (CURRIE, Justin;DEPALMA, Grant), PENALTY VT holding (Alston Smith) 10 yards to the WMU19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 17
OPP 19
+14
97.6%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Marshawn Williams for 14 yds to the WMich 5Similar
Q4 4:36
3RD & 3
OPP 5
-5
97.6%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WMich 10Similar
Q4 3:54
3RD & 8
OPP 10
0
97.8%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Bucky HodgesSimilar
Q4 3:50
4TH & 8
OPP 10
+27
98.6%
Joey Slye 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 29PUNT
8 plays · -2 yds · 1:582% → 1%
Q4 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
98.3%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Eric Boyden for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 36Similar
Q4 3:39
2ND & 12
OWN 36
+24
98.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 24 yds to the VTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-15
98.2%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (N/A) to the WMich 45Similar
Q4 3:39
2ND & 25
OWN 45
0
98.4%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Daniel BravermanSimilar
Q4 3:39
3RD & 25
OWN 45
-9
98.5%
Zach Terrell sacked by Detrick Bonner for a loss of 9 yards to the WMich 36Similar
Q4 1:41
4TH & 34
OWN 36
0
98.6%
J. Schroeder punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Greg Stroman at the VTech 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 30END OF GAME
4 plays · 35 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+33
99.2%
Joel Caleb run for 33 yds to the WMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
99.2%
Joel Caleb run for 6 yds to the WMich 37Similar
Q4 1:25
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+2
99.3%
Joel Caleb run for 2 yds to the WMich 35Similar
Q4 1:25
3RD & 2
OPP 35
-6
99.2%
Joel Caleb run for 4 yds to the WMich 31 VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Offensive holding (N/A) to the WMich 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 9:06
Jarvion Franklin 1 Yd Run (Andrew Haldeman Kick)
-3.7
TD · Q3 5:52
Michael Brewer pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 7 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)
+3.4
TD · Q3 0:09
Shai McKenzie run for 4 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)
+2.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com