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VT

Virginia Tech 35 at Ohio State 21

OSU
2014 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2014 · Ohio Stadium
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Win probability · OSU
modelOSU aheadVT aheadconfidence bandkey playOSU scoreVT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:31 · Cameron Johnston punt for 37 yds , Greg Stroman returns for no gain to the VTech 11
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 72Pregame prior+19.9Home team on offense−5.4Garbage-time factor−1.8Score differential−1.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:52: Michael Brewer pass complete to Sam Rogers for 10 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK) — VT win probability +10.4 pts (now 59%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 3:01: J.T. Barrett pass complete to Michael Thomas for 53 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK) — OSU win probability +20.8 pts (now 49%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 11:40: Ezekiel Elliott run for 15 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK) — OSU win probability +25.9 pts (now 71%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:44: Michael Brewer pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 10 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK) — VT win probability +30.1 pts (now 79%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:46: J.T. Barrett pass intercepted for a TD Donovan Riley return for 63 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK) — VT win probability +9.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8VT made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 11:55OSU 4th & 3 at OSU 19, tied
    Close callPunted · 78.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.5%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q2 12:05OSU 4th & 5 at VT 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.4%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.4%
    70% to make
    Punt
    64.1%−4.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:57VT 4th & 14 at VT 19, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.9%−1.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:30VT 4th & 19 at VT 11, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.2%−2.3
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:31OSU 4th & 24 at VT 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.7%−2.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:03VT 4th & 3 at VT 29, up 7
    Close callPunted · 41.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.0%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:01OSU 4th & 8 at OSU 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.1%−1.0
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.1%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:51OSU 4th & 8 at VT 36, down 14
    Close callPunted · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.7%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    41.4%−0.3
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    40.9%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:37VT 4th & 29 at VT 14, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.2%−5.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:29OSU 4th & 1 at VT 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    29.8%−4.2
    28% to make
    Punt
    30.9%−3.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:27VT 4th & 2 at VT 32, up 14
    Close callPunted · 74.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.4%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:01OSU 4th & 15 at VT 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.6%−2.3
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    37.3%−1.5
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    38.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:32OSU 4th & 17 at OSU 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.7%−4.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:42VT 4th & 9 at VT 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.0%−4.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:06VT 4th & 1 at OSU 29, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 87.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.2%−2.3
    58% to make
    Punt
    80.6%−6.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3VT made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 7:05VT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:51OSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:19VT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:52VT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:01OSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:40OSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:44VT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.4%−0.4
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:46VT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.4%−0.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VTDrive 1INT
6 plays · 31 yds · 1:3919% → 20%
Q1 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-4
81.0%
Marshawn Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the VTech 18Similar
Q1 14:12
2ND & 14
OWN 18
+9
80.9%
Michael Brewer run for 9 yds to the VTech 27Similar
Q1 13:15
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+26
80.6%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 11 yds to the OhSt 38 for a 1ST down OHIO ST Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the OhSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
80.4%
Michael Brewer pass intercepted Eli Apple return for no gain to the OhSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:0081% → 80%
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
80.5%
J.T. Barrett run for 1 yd to the OhSt 13Similar
Q1 12:20
2ND & 9
OWN 13
+6
80.3%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 6 yds to the OhSt 19Similar
Q1 12:06
3RD & 3
OWN 19
0
80.2%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Dontre WilsonSimilar
Q1 11:55
4TH & 3
OWN 19
0
80.1%
Cameron Johnston punt for 24 yds, downed at the OhSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 3TD
12 plays · 43 yds · 4:2520% → 24%
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
79.8%
Shai McKenzie run for no gain to the OhSt 43Similar
Q1 11:13
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+3
79.7%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Joshua Stanford for 3 yds to the OhSt 40Similar
Q1 10:40
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+10
79.6%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Willie Byrn for 10 yds to the OhSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
79.3%
Joshua Stanford run for 6 yds to the OhSt 24Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 4
OPP 24
-2
79.1%
Shai McKenzie run for a loss of 2 yards to the OhSt 26Similar
Q1 8:55
3RD & 6
OPP 26
+13
79.0%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Ryan Malleck for 13 yds to the OhSt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
78.7%
Shai McKenzie run for 2 yds to the OhSt 11Similar
Q1 8:01
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+10
78.6%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Willie Byrn for 10 yds to the OhSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
78.2%
Marshawn Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 2Similar
Q1 7:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
75.8%
Shai McKenzie run for 2 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 4TD
10 plays · 83 yds · 3:0277% → 80%
Q1 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
76.9%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Corey SmithSimilar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+1
76.5%
J.T. Barrett run for 1 yd to the OhSt 18Similar
Q1 5:59
3RD & 9
OWN 18
+25
76.0%
J.T. Barrett run for 25 yds to the OhSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+20
76.5%
J.T. Barrett run for 20 yds to the VTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+15
76.7%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Chuck Clark) to the VTech 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:58
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+13
77.0%
J.T. Barrett run for 13 yds to the VTech 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 0
OPP 9
+7
77.4%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Kendall Fuller) to the VTech 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
76.7%
Ezekiel Elliott run for no gain to the VTech 2Similar
Q1 3:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
79.5%
J.T. Barrett run for 2 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 5TD
10 plays · 58 yds · 2:5923% → 30%
Q1 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-4
77.2%
Marshawn Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the VTech 38Similar
Q1 2:55
2ND & 14
OWN 38
+5
77.6%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Ryan Malleck for 5 yds to the VTech 43Similar
Q1 2:22
3RD & 9
OWN 43
+11
76.9%
Michael Brewer run for 11 yds to the OhSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
76.0%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Bucky HodgesSimilar
Q1 1:44
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+7
75.9%
Marshawn Williams run for 7 yds to the OhSt 39Similar
Q1 1:11
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+8
75.5%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 8 yds to the OhSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:57
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+12
75.0%
Deon Newsome run for 12 yds to the OhSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
74.7%
Bucky Hodges run for 5 yds to the OhSt 14Similar
Q1 0:19
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+14
70.2%
Marshawn Williams run for 14 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 6MISSED FG
9 plays · 58 yds · 3:0572% → 71%
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+11
72.2%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Michael Thomas for 11 yds to the OhSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
72.1%
Curtis Samuel run for 2 yds to the OhSt 32Similar
Q2 14:02
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+40
71.7%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Dontre Wilson for 40 yds to the VTech 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
73.5%
J.T. Barrett run for 6 yds to the VTech 22Similar
Q2 12:56
2ND & 4
OPP 22
-5
73.2%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Billy Price) to the VTech 27Similar
Q2 12:40
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+4
73.0%
J.T. Barrett run for 4 yds to the VTech 23Similar
Q2 12:09
3RD & 5
OPP 23
0
71.9%
J.T. Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:05
4TH & 5
OPP 23
+40
71.1%
Sean Nuernberger 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:0330% → 30%
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
69.6%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Willie ByrnSimilar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+1
69.5%
Deon Newsome run for 1 yd to the VTech 24Similar
Q2 11:19
3RD & 9
OWN 24
0
69.4%
Michael Brewer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:19
4TH & 9
OWN 24
-5
70.0%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the VTech 19Similar
Q2 10:57
4TH & 14
OWN 19
0
69.9%
A.J. Hughes punt for 48 yds, downed at the OhSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 8MISSED FG
7 plays · 57 yds · 0:5370% → 69%
Q2 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
69.6%
J.T. Barrett run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 32Similar
Q2 10:16
2ND & 11
OWN 32
+58
68.8%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Devin Smith for 58 yds to the VTech 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
71.7%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Jeff HeuermanSimilar
Q2 10:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
71.2%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Corey SmithSimilar
Q2 10:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
70.2%
J.T. Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:58
4TH & 0
OPP 10
+27
69.4%
Sean Nuernberger 27 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 1:1633% → 33%
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
66.9%
Shai McKenzie run for 1 yd to the VTech 21Similar
Q2 9:16
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
66.7%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Willie ByrnSimilar
Q2 9:16
3RD & 9
OWN 21
-5
67.2%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the VTech 16Similar
Q2 9:03
3RD & 14
OWN 16
-5
67.3%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Sam Rogers for a loss of 5 yards to the VTech 11Similar
Q2 8:30
4TH & 19
OWN 11
+13
67.4%
A.J. Hughes punt for 36 yds , Dontre Wilson returns for 13 yds to the VTech 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -14 yds · 1:4470% → 64%
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-3
69.7%
Curtis Samuel run for a loss of 3 yards to the VTech 37Similar
Q2 7:56
2ND & 13
OPP 37
+4
66.7%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Michael Thomas for 4 yds to the VTech 33Similar
Q2 6:56
3RD & 9
OPP 33
-15
66.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 15 yards to the VTech 48Similar
Q2 6:31
4TH & 24
OPP 48
0
63.7%
Cameron Johnston punt for 37 yds , Greg Stroman returns for no gain to the VTech 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 3:2037% → 40%
Q2 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
63.1%
Michael Brewer run for 1 yd to the VTech 12Similar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 9
OWN 12
-3
64.2%
Marshawn Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the VTech 9Similar
Q2 5:30
3RD & 12
OWN 9
-5
64.8%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the VTech 4Similar
Q2 4:45
3RD & 17
OWN 4
+18
63.6%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 18 yds to the VTech 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
61.6%
Bucky Hodges run for 3 yds to the VTech 25Similar
Q2 3:46
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+4
60.8%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Ryan Malleck for 4 yds to the VTech 29Similar
Q2 3:15
3RD & 3
OWN 29
0
59.1%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Willie ByrnSimilar
Q2 3:03
4TH & 3
OWN 29
+8
60.4%
A.J. Hughes punt for 48 yds , Dontre Wilson returns for 8 yds to the OhSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5762% → 60%
Q2 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
61.5%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Corey SmithSimilar
Q2 2:42
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+2
60.8%
J.T. Barrett run for 2 yds to the OhSt 33Similar
Q2 2:14
3RD & 8
OWN 33
0
59.7%
J.T. Barrett run for no gain to the OhSt 33Similar
Q2 2:01
4TH & 8
OWN 33
+35
60.0%
Cameron Johnston punt for 63 yds , Greg Stroman returns for 35 yds to the VTech 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 13TD
8 plays · 61 yds · 1:0043% → 59%
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+18
57.3%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Willie Byrn for 18 yds to the OhSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
53.1%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Isaiah FordSimilar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+11
53.6%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Joshua Stanford for 11 yds to the OhSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
52.3%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Joshua StanfordSimilar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+7
52.5%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Willie Byrn for 7 yds to the OhSt 25Similar
Q2 1:02
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+15
52.6%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Ryan Malleck for 15 yds to the OhSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
51.9%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Isaiah FordSimilar
Q2 0:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
41.5%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Sam Rogers for 10 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 14END OF HALF
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:2048% → 47%
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
47.5%
J.T. Barrett run for 3 yds to the OhSt 30Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 7
OWN 30
-7
46.5%
J.T. Barrett sacked by Derek Di Nardo for a loss of 7 yards to the OhSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 34 yds · 1:4944% → 43%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
44.1%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the OhSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+17
46.0%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Michael Thomas for 17 yds to the VTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
45.9%
Curtis Samuel run for no gain to the VTech 38Similar
Q3 13:20
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+2
45.2%
J.T. Barrett run for 2 yds to the VTech 36Similar
Q3 12:59
3RD & 8
OPP 36
0
43.2%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Evan SpencerSimilar
Q3 12:51
4TH & 8
OPP 36
0
42.5%
Cameron Johnston punt for 33 yds, downed at the VTech 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 16PUNT
11 plays · 11 yds · 4:0560% → 68%
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+1
39.7%
Marshawn Williams run for 1 yd to the VTech 4Similar
Q3 12:14
2ND & 9
OWN 4
0
39.3%
Michael Brewer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:09
3RD & 9
OWN 4
+16
39.8%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Ryan Malleck for 16 yds to the VTech 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
37.7%
J.C. Coleman run for 13 yds to the VTech 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
37.0%
J.C. Coleman run for 5 yds to the VTech 38 VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the VTech 28Similar
Q3 11:00
1ST & 15
OWN 28
-11
36.2%
Marshawn Williams run for 4 yds to the VTech 32 VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the VTech 17Similar
Q3 10:45
1ST & 26
OWN 17
0
36.0%
Michael Brewer pass complete to J.C. Coleman for no gain to the VTech 17Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 26
OWN 17
+5
35.8%
OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the VTech 22Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 21
OWN 22
+4
33.1%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Sam Rogers for 4 yds to the VTech 26Similar
Q3 9:25
3RD & 17
OWN 26
-12
32.9%
Michael Brewer sacked by Joshua Perry for a loss of 12 yards to the VTech 14Similar
Q3 8:37
4TH & 29
OWN 14
0
32.5%
A.J. Hughes punt for 38 yds, downed at the OhSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 17INT
10 plays · 0 yds · 1:0535% → 32%
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-1
35.2%
Ezekiel Elliott run for a loss of 1 yard to the OhSt 47Similar
Q3 7:59
2ND & 11
OWN 47
0
34.2%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Corey SmithSimilar
Q3 7:43
3RD & 11
OWN 47
+10
33.7%
J.T. Barrett run for 10 yds to the VTech 43Similar
Q3 7:29
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+2
34.9%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 2 yds to the VTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
35.4%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Michael ThomasSimilar
Q3 7:24
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-6
35.0%
OHIO ST Penalty, False Start (Taylor Decker) to the VTech 47Similar
Q3 7:24
2ND & 16
OPP 47
-5
34.0%
OHIO ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the OhSt 48Similar
Q3 7:18
2ND & 21
OWN 48
0
33.0%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Corey SmithSimilar
Q3 7:10
3RD & 21
OWN 48
+9
32.4%
J.T. Barrett pass intercepted Kyshoen Jarrett return for 9 yds to the VTech 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1374% → 75%
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
25.9%
Shai McKenzie run for 3 yds to the VTech 27Similar
Q3 6:32
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+4
25.7%
Michael Brewer run for 4 yds to the VTech 31Similar
Q3 6:00
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+1
25.5%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Sam Rogers for 1 yd to the VTech 32Similar
Q3 5:27
4TH & 2
OWN 32
0
25.3%
A.J. Hughes punt for 54 yds, downed at the OhSt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 19TD
6 plays · 86 yds · 2:1729% → 49%
Q3 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
28.8%
Dontre Wilson run for no gain to the OhSt 14Similar
Q3 4:53
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+11
27.2%
Curtis Samuel run for 11 yds to the OhSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
27.2%
Curtis Samuel run for 16 yds to the OhSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
28.9%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 5 yds to the OhSt 46Similar
Q3 3:38
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+1
28.7%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 1 yd to the OhSt 47Similar
Q3 3:01
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+53
49.4%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Michael Thomas for 53 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 20INT
4 plays · 16 yds · 1:1158% → 62%
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+13
41.9%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Sam Rogers for 13 yds to the VTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-3
39.7%
Isaiah Ford run for a loss of 3 yards to the VTech 33Similar
Q3 1:33
3RD & 7
OWN 39
0
38.5%
Michael Brewer pass intercepted Vonn Bell return for no gain to the VTech 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:1950% → 40%
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+11
49.5%
J.T. Barrett run for 11 yds to the VTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
49.5%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Corey SmithSimilar
Q3 0:37
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-5
49.0%
Dontre Wilson run for a loss of 5 yards to the VTech 43Similar
Q3 0:05
3RD & 15
OPP 43
0
41.9%
J.T. Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:01
4TH & 15
OPP 43
0
39.8%
Cameron Johnston punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Greg Stroman at the VTech 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 22FUMBLE
6 plays · 7 yds · 2:5361% → 67%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+11
38.9%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Ryan Malleck for 11 yds to the VTech 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
35.4%
Shai McKenzie run for 1 yd to the VTech 20Similar
Q4 13:28
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+8
34.6%
Michael Brewer run for 8 yds to the VTech 28Similar
Q4 12:56
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+2
32.9%
Michael Brewer run for 2 yds to the VTech 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
32.3%
J.C. Coleman run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 28Similar
Q4 11:52
2ND & 12
OWN 28
-12
33.0%
Michael Brewer sacked by Joey Bosa for a loss of 12 yards to the VTech 15 Michael Brewer fumbled, forced by Joey Bosa, recovered by OhSt Rashad Frazier , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 23TD
2 plays · 15 yds · 0:0845% → 71%
Q4 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
45.4%
J.T. Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:40
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+15
71.3%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 15 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 24TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 2:4242% → 79%
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
58.2%
Michael Brewer run for 2 yds to the VTech 37Similar
Q4 10:41
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+1
57.3%
Marshawn Williams run for 1 yd to the VTech 38Similar
Q4 10:24
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+11
57.3%
OHIO ST Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (11 Yards) to the VTech 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+24
53.5%
Deon Newsome run for 24 yds to the OhSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+17
51.1%
Sam Rogers run for 17 yds to the OhSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
50.8%
Marshawn Williams run for no gain to the OhSt 10Similar
Q4 8:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
20.7%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 10 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:3633% → 24%
Q4 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
32.6%
Ezekiel Elliott run for 4 yds to the OhSt 42Similar
Q4 7:38
2ND & 6
OWN 42
-6
33.6%
J.T. Barrett sacked by Dadi Nicolas for a loss of 6 yards to the OhSt 36Similar
Q4 6:56
3RD & 12
OWN 36
-5
25.5%
J.T. Barrett sacked by Derek Di Nardo for a loss of 5 yards to the OhSt 31Similar
Q4 6:32
4TH & 17
OWN 31
-3
24.1%
Cameron Johnston punt for 46 yds , Kendall Fuller returns for a loss of 3 yards to the VTech 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:3480% → 78%
Q4 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
20.2%
Deon Newsome run for 1 yd to the VTech 21Similar
Q4 5:56
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
20.0%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Isaiah FordSimilar
Q4 5:52
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
20.9%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Bucky HodgesSimilar
Q4 5:42
4TH & 9
OWN 21
+3
22.0%
A.J. Hughes punt for 44 yds , Dontre Wilson returns for 3 yds to the OhSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 27INT
3 plays · -8 yds · 0:5026% → 21%
Q4 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
25.9%
J.T. Barrett pass incomplete to Dontre WilsonSimilar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-8
24.9%
J.T. Barrett sacked by Ken Ekanem and Chase Williams for a loss of 8 yards to the OhSt 30Similar
Q4 4:47
3RD & 18
OWN 30
+26
21.2%
J.T. Barrett pass intercepted Kyshoen Jarrett return for 26 yds to the OhSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 28MISSED FG
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:1687% → 88%
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
13.5%
Marshawn Williams run for 3 yds to the OhSt 35Similar
Q4 3:56
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+2
12.8%
Marshawn Williams run for 2 yds to the OhSt 33Similar
Q4 3:33
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+4
12.2%
Michael Brewer run for 4 yds to the OhSt 29Similar
Q4 3:06
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+46
11.7%
Joey Slye 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 29INT TD
9 plays · 20 yds · 2:0020% → 1%
Q4 2:46
2ND & 10
OWN 29
-10
20.4%
J.T. Barrett sacked by Dadi Nicolas for a loss of 10 yards to the OhSt 19Similar
Q4 2:25
3RD & 20
OWN 19
+22
17.3%
J.T. Barrett run for 22 yds to the OhSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-9
17.1%
J.T. Barrett sacked by Kendall Fuller for a loss of 9 yards to the OhSt 32Similar
Q4 1:43
2ND & 19
OWN 32
+23
13.5%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Corey Smith for 23 yds to the VTech 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
18.6%
J.T. Barrett run for 3 yds to the VTech 42Similar
Q4 0:59
2ND & 7
OPP 42
-9
17.4%
J.T. Barrett sacked by Deon Clarke for a loss of 9 yards to the OhSt 49Similar
Q4 0:46
3RD & 16
OWN 49
+63
1.3%
J.T. Barrett pass intercepted for a TD Donovan Riley return for 63 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OSUDrive 30END OF GAME
4 plays · 13 yds · 0:331% → 1%
Q4 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
1.2%
J.T. Barrett pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:15
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+5
1.2%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Michael Thomas for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 0:02
3RD & 5
50
+8
1.2%
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Michael Thomas for 8 yds to the VTech 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:44
Michael Brewer pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 10 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)
-30.1
TD · Q4 11:40
Ezekiel Elliott run for 15 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)
+25.9
TD · Q3 3:01
J.T. Barrett pass complete to Michael Thomas for 53 yds for a TD, (Sean Nuernberger KICK)
+20.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com