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W&M

William & Mary 9 at Virginia Tech 34

VT
2014 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2014 · Lane Stadium
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Win probability · VT
modelVT aheadW&M aheadconfidence bandkey playVT scoreW&M score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDFGFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:09 · Daniel Dyer run for no gain to the WmMry 40
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+45.0+22.50−22.5−45.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:40: Michael Brewer pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 8 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK) — VT win probability +2.0 pts (now 92%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 7:59: Joey Slye 27 yd FG GOOD — VT win probability +2.1 pts (now 94%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 4:18: John Carpenter 44 yd FG GOOD — W&M win probability +1.8 pts (now 9%) (top driver: W&M has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:47: Shai McKenzie run for 39 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK) — VT win probability +4.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:40: J.C. Coleman run for 2 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK) — VT win probability +1.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VT made the numbers' call on 0 of 5W&M made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 13:15W&M 4th & 7 at W&M 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.8%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:00W&M 4th & 9 at VT 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.2%
    75% to make
    Punt
    8.7%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:50W&M 4th & 10 at VT 13, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.3%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.5%
    85% to make
    Punt
    10.3%−1.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:42VT 4th & 2 at VT 28, up 1
    Close callPunted · 87.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.2%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:16W&M 4th & 14 at W&M 31, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%−1.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:38VT 4th & 3 at W&M 3, up 8
    Close callKicked a field goal · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.9%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.6%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    85.3%−3.6
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:59VT 4th & 2 at W&M 10, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 90.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.5%
    55% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.0%−0.6
    88% to make
    Punt
    86.6%−4.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:58W&M 4th & 9 at W&M 26, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:18W&M 4th & 6 at VT 28, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.6%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.6%
    60% to make
    Punt
    4.3%−3.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:02W&M 4th & 12 at W&M 20, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.7
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.7%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:05VT 4th & 1 at VT 32, up 18
    Close callPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.6%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:11VT 4th & 4 at W&M 48, up 25
    Close callPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:50W&M 4th & 4 at W&M 41, down 25
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VT made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 7:36VT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:40VT Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:47VT Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 13:40VT Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
W&MDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:455% → 5%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
94.9%
Mikal Abdul-Saboor run for 2 yds to the WmMry 25Similar
Q1 14:08
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+1
94.7%
Mikal Abdul-Saboor run for 1 yd to the WmMry 26Similar
Q1 13:26
3RD & 7
OWN 26
0
94.6%
Steve Cluley pass incomplete to Bo Revell WILLIAM & MARY Penalty, Offensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 13:15
4TH & 7
OWN 26
0
94.6%
Hunter Windmuller punt for 58 yds, downed at the VTech 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 2TD
16 plays · 84 yds · 5:3995% → 94%
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
94.5%
J.C. Coleman run for 4 yds to the VTech 20Similar
Q1 12:42
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+5
94.4%
J.C. Coleman run for 5 yds to the VTech 25Similar
Q1 12:16
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+1
94.3%
J.C. Coleman run for 1 yd to the VTech 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
94.2%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Joshua Stanford for 7 yds to the VTech 33Similar
Q1 11:29
2ND & 3
OWN 33
0
94.2%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Deon NewsomeSimilar
Q1 11:29
3RD & 3
OWN 33
-5
94.1%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (J.C. Coleman) to the VTech 28Similar
Q1 11:22
3RD & 8
OWN 28
+10
94.1%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Ryan Malleck for 10 yds to the VTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
94.1%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 8 yds to the VTech 46Similar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+27
94.1%
Joshua Stanford run for 12 yds to the VATECH 42 for a 1ST down WILLIAM & MARY Penalty, Personal Foul (Spencer Bopp) to the WmMry 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:56
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
94.0%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 3 yds to the WmMry 24Similar
Q1 9:49
2ND & 7
OPP 24
-5
93.9%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (David Wang) to the WmMry 29Similar
Q1 9:28
2ND & 12
OPP 29
0
93.8%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Willie ByrnSimilar
Q1 9:20
3RD & 12
OPP 29
+16
93.7%
Michael Brewer run for 16 yds to the WmMry 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
93.7%
J.C. Coleman run for 1 yd to the WmMry 12Similar
Q1 8:06
2ND & 9
OPP 12
-1
93.5%
Michael Brewer pass complete to J.C. Coleman for a loss of 1 yard to the WmMry 13Similar
Q1 7:36
3RD & 10
OPP 13
+13
94.0%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 13 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 3FG
10 plays · 55 yds · 3:366% → 7%
Q1 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+40
93.8%
Mikal Abdul-Saboor run for 40 yds to the VTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
93.4%
Steve Cluley pass complete to Tre McBride for 5 yds to the VTech 30Similar
Q1 6:13
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+9
93.3%
Mikal Abdul-Saboor run for 9 yds to the VTech 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-2
93.1%
Steve Cluley run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 23Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 12
OPP 23
0
93.0%
Steve Cluley pass incomplete to Christian ReevesSimilar
Q1 4:45
3RD & 12
OPP 23
+3
93.3%
Steve Cluley pass complete to Christian Reeves for 3 yds to the VTech 20Similar
Q1 4:00
4TH & 9
OPP 20
+36
93.0%
John Carpenter 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 4INT
9 plays · 28 yds · 2:4493% → 92%
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
92.9%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 6 yds to the VTech 31Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-9
92.9%
Marshawn Williams run for 1 yd to the VTech 32 VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Wyatt Teller) to the VTech 22Similar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
92.7%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Sam Rogers, broken up by Chris DonaldSimilar
Q1 3:14
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+24
92.6%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Cam Phillips for 24 yds to the VTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
92.6%
Marshawn Williams run for 6 yds to the WmMry 48Similar
Q1 2:20
2ND & 4
OPP 48
-5
92.7%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the VTech 47Similar
Q1 1:32
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+6
92.4%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Willie Byrn for 6 yds to the WmMry 47Similar
Q1 1:16
3RD & 3
OPP 47
0
92.4%
Michael Brewer pass intercepted Airek Green return for no gain to the WmMry 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 5FG
5 plays · 43 yds · 1:268% → 9%
Q1 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+43
92.3%
Steve Cluley pass complete to Tre McBride for 43 yds to the VTech 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:32
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
91.7%
Keith McBride run for no gain to the VTech 13Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
91.6%
Steve Cluley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 13
0
91.8%
Steve Cluley pass incomplete to DeVonte DedmonSimilar
Q2 14:50
4TH & 10
OPP 13
+29
91.1%
John Carpenter 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 2:0892% → 91%
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
91.5%
J.C. Coleman run for 2 yds to the VTech 22Similar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+3
91.2%
Isaiah Ford run for 3 yds to the VTech 25Similar
Q2 13:21
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+3
90.9%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Joel Caleb for 3 yds to the VTech 28Similar
Q2 12:42
4TH & 2
OWN 28
+42
90.6%
A.J. Hughes punt for 47 yds, downed at the VATECH 25 VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the WmMry 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 7FUMBLE
8 plays · 17 yds · 4:3710% → 12%
Q2 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
90.5%
Kendell Anderson run for 7 yds to the WmMry 37Similar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+9
89.9%
Kendell Anderson run for 9 yds to the WmMry 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
89.5%
Mikal Abdul-Saboor run for 6 yds to the VTech 48Similar
Q2 10:39
2ND & 4
OPP 48
-6
89.0%
WILLIAM & MARY Penalty, Delay of Game (Steve Cluley) to the WmMry 46Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+11
89.2%
Steve Cluley pass complete to Tre McBride for 11 yds to the VTech 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
88.4%
Mikal Abdul-Saboor run for 1 yd to the VTech 42Similar
Q2 8:51
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+3
88.1%
Steve Cluley pass complete to Tre McBride for 3 yds to the VTech 39Similar
Q2 8:05
3RD & 6
OPP 39
+45
88.1%
Steve Cluley sacked by Chase Williams for a loss of 14 yards to the WmMry 2 Steve Cluley fumbled, forced by Chase Williams, recovered by VTech Derek Di Nardo , return for 0 yards , return for 45 yds to the WmMry 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 8TD
7 plays · 3 yds · 2:2591% → 92%
Q2 8:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
90.9%
Marshawn Williams run for no gain to the WmMry 2Similar
Q2 7:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
90.6%
Marshawn Williams run for no gain to the WmMry 2Similar
Q2 6:40
3RD & 0
OPP 2
0
90.5%
Brewer, Michael pass incomplete to Hodges, Bucky, PENALTY WILLMMARY pass interference (Houston-Carson, DeAndre) 0 yards to the WILLMMARY2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN VATECH. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
90.5%
Michael Brewer run for no gain to the WmMry 2 Michael Brewer fumbled, recovered by VTech Michael BrewerSimilar
Q2 5:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
90.3%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Ryan MalleckSimilar
Q2 5:47
3RD & 0
OPP 2
-5
90.2%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the WmMry 8Similar
Q2 5:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
92.2%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 8 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 2:248% → 8%
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
92.0%
Jarrell Cooper run for 5 yds to the WmMry 40Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 5
OWN 40
-2
91.4%
Jarrell Cooper run for a loss of 2 yards to the WmMry 38Similar
Q2 4:20
3RD & 7
OWN 38
-7
91.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the WmMry 31 TEAM fumbled, recovered by WmMry Christian ReevesSimilar
Q2 3:16
4TH & 14
OWN 31
+12
92.3%
Hunter Windmuller punt for 59 yds , Kyshoen Jarrett returns for 12 yds to the VTech 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 10FG
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:3891% → 93%
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
91.4%
Shai McKenzie run for 4 yds to the VTech 26Similar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+7
91.3%
Shai McKenzie run for 7 yds to the VTech 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
91.8%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 7 yds to the VTech 40Similar
Q2 2:10
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+17
92.3%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Willie Byrn for 17 yds to the WmMry 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+38
92.1%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Demitri Knowles for 38 yds to the WmMry 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
92.4%
J.C. Coleman run for 2 yds to the WmMry 3Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
92.4%
J.C. Coleman run for no gain to the WmMry 3Similar
Q2 0:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
91.9%
Michael Brewer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:38
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
93.0%
Joey Slye 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 11END OF HALF
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:387% → 7%
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
92.9%
Mikal Abdul-Saboor run for 4 yds to the WmMry 29Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
92.8%
Mikal Abdul-Saboor run for 4 yds to the WmMry 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 12FG
17 plays · 74 yds · 7:0192% → 94%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
92.1%
J.C. Coleman run for no gain to the VTech 16Similar
Q3 14:17
2ND & 10
OWN 16
-5
91.9%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Caleb Farris) to the VTech 11Similar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 15
OWN 11
0
91.9%
Michael Brewer pass complete to J.C. Coleman for no gain to the VTech 11Similar
Q3 12:58
3RD & 15
OWN 11
+10
91.4%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Cam Phillips for 10 yds to the VTech 21Similar
Q3 12:38
4TH & 5
OWN 21
+5
91.0%
Hughes, A.J. punt 50 yards to the WILLMMARY29, out-of-bounds, PENALTY WILLMMARY running into kicker 5 yards to the VATECH26, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN VATECH. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
91.9%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 5 yds to the VTech 31Similar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+8
92.0%
Marshawn Williams run for 8 yds to the VTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
92.2%
Marshawn Williams run for 2 yds to the VTech 41Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+21
92.2%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Ryan Malleck for 21 yds to the WmMry 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
92.3%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Ryan Malleck for 9 yds to the WmMry 29Similar
Q3 9:47
2ND & 1
OPP 29
+1
92.4%
Marshawn Williams run for 1 yd to the WmMry 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+10
92.3%
Marshawn Williams run for 10 yds to the WmMry 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
92.4%
Marshawn Williams run for 4 yds to the WmMry 14Similar
Q3 8:31
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+4
92.2%
Shai McKenzie run for 4 yds to the WmMry 10Similar
Q3 8:03
3RD & 2
OPP 10
0
91.9%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Ryan MalleckSimilar
Q3 7:59
4TH & 2
OPP 10
+27
93.9%
Joey Slye 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:017% → 6%
Q3 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
93.3%
Steve Cluley run for 1 yd to the WmMry 26Similar
Q3 7:17
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
93.3%
Steve Cluley pass incomplete to Tre McBride, broken up by Chase WilliamsSimilar
Q3 7:11
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
93.5%
Steve Cluley pass incomplete to Christian ReevesSimilar
Q3 6:58
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+13
93.6%
Hunter Windmuller punt for 52 yds , Kyshoen Jarrett returns for 13 yds to the VTech 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 14FUMBLE
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:3895% → 95%
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
94.5%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 6 yds to the VTech 41Similar
Q3 6:20
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+5
94.7%
J.C. Coleman run for 3 yds to the VTech 39 J.C. Coleman fumbled, forced by Marcus Harvey, recovered by WmMry Airek Green , return for 5 yds to the VTech 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 15FG
6 plays · 11 yds · 2:028% → 9%
Q3 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-8
92.2%
Steve Cluley sacked by Dadi Nicolas for a loss of 8 yards to the VTech 47Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 18
OPP 47
+15
92.9%
Cluley, Steve pass sacked for loss of 7 yards to the WILLMMARY46 (Maddy, Luther), PENALTY VATECH face mask (Maddy, Luther) 15 yards to the VATECH32, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WILLMMARY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
91.7%
Steve Cluley pass incomplete to DeVonte Dedmon, broken up by Kendall FullerSimilar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+4
92.0%
Kendell Anderson run for 4 yds to the VTech 28Similar
Q3 4:23
3RD & 6
OPP 28
0
92.3%
Steve Cluley pass incomplete to Kendell AndersonSimilar
Q3 4:18
4TH & 6
OPP 28
+44
90.6%
John Carpenter 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 16TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 1:3192% → 97%
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
91.7%
Shai McKenzie run for 15 yds to the VTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+20
91.7%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 20 yds to the WmMry 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
92.4%
Shai McKenzie run for 6 yds to the WmMry 39Similar
Q3 2:47
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+39
97.3%
Shai McKenzie run for 39 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:454% → 3%
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
96.5%
DeVonte Dedmon run for no gain to the WmMry 22Similar
Q3 1:57
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
96.6%
Steve Cluley pass incomplete to Sean BallardSimilar
Q3 1:42
3RD & 10
OWN 22
-2
96.7%
Steve Cluley sacked by Kendall Fuller for a loss of 2 yards to the WmMry 20Similar
Q3 1:02
4TH & 12
OWN 20
0
96.9%
Hunter Windmuller punt for 57 yds, downed at the VTech 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 18FUMBLE
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:5797% → 98%
Q3 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
97.3%
Marshawn Williams run for 4 yds to the VTech 27Similar
Q3 0:13
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+3
97.6%
Marshawn Williams run for 3 yds to the VTech 30Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+2
97.6%
Marshawn Williams run for 2 yds to the VTech 32Similar
Q4 14:05
4TH & 1
OWN 32
+4
97.8%
A.J. Hughes punt for 44 yds , Trey Reed returns for 4 yds to the WmMry 28 Trey Reed fumbled, recovered by VTech Donovan RileySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 19TD
2 plays · 28 yds · 0:2598% → 100%
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+26
98.0%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Willie Byrn for 26 yds to the WmMry 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.6%
J.C. Coleman run for 2 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 20MISSED FG
13 plays · 58 yds · 4:311% → 0%
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+19
99.3%
Steve Cluley pass complete to Sean Ballard for 19 yds to the WmMry 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
99.3%
Steve Cluley pass complete to Kendell Anderson for 11 yds to the VTech 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+20
99.3%
Mikal Abdul-Saboor run for 20 yds to the VTech 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+13
99.2%
Steve Cluley pass complete to DeVonte Dedmon for 13 yds to the VTech 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
99.2%
Steve Cluley pass incomplete to Sean BallardSimilar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 10
OPP 16
-2
99.5%
Mikal Abdul-Saboor run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 18Similar
Q4 10:12
3RD & 12
OPP 18
0
99.6%
Steve Cluley pass incomplete to Christian ReevesSimilar
Q4 10:12
4TH & 12
OPP 18
+9
99.6%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Roughing Holder (Deon Clarke) to the VTech 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.5%
Steve Cluley pass incomplete to Sean BallardSimilar
Q4 9:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.5%
Steve Cluley pass incomplete to Christian ReevesSimilar
Q4 9:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
-12
99.6%
Steve Cluley sacked by Chase Williams for a loss of 12 yards to the VTech 21Similar
Q4 9:09
4TH & 0
OPP 21
+38
99.6%
John Carpenter 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 31 yds · 2:58100% → 100%
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+11
99.7%
Shai McKenzie run for 11 yds to the VTech 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+14
99.7%
Shai McKenzie run for 14 yds to the VTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
99.7%
Shai McKenzie run for 6 yds to the WmMry 48Similar
Q4 7:54
2ND & 4
OPP 48
-10
99.8%
Williams, Marshawn rush for 3 yards to the WILLMMARY45, PENALTY VATECH holding (Hansen, Wade) 10 yards to the VATECH42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:23
2ND & 14
OWN 42
+5
99.7%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 5 yds to the VTech 47Similar
Q4 6:50
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+5
99.8%
Michael Brewer run for 5 yds to the WmMry 48Similar
Q4 6:11
4TH & 4
OPP 48
0
99.8%
A.J. Hughes punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 3:210% → 0%
Q4 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
99.7%
Jarrell Cooper run for 3 yds to the WmMry 23Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+3
99.7%
Jarrell Cooper run for 3 yds to the WmMry 26Similar
Q4 4:46
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+9
99.7%
Christian Brumbaugh pass complete to Christian Reeves for 9 yds to the WmMry 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.7%
Keith McBride run for no gain to the WmMry 35Similar
Q4 3:39
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
99.7%
Christian Brumbaugh pass incomplete to Christian ReevesSimilar
Q4 3:29
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+6
99.8%
Keith McBride run for 6 yds to the WmMry 41Similar
Q4 2:50
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
99.8%
Hunter Windmuller punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Greg Stroman at the VTech 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 23END OF GAME
7 plays · 34 yds · 2:41100% → 100%
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
99.8%
Joel Caleb run for 4 yds to the VTech 30Similar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+2
99.8%
Joel Caleb run for 2 yds to the VTech 32Similar
Q4 1:47
3RD & 4
OWN 32
+6
99.9%
Joel Caleb run for 6 yds to the VTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
99.9%
Joel Caleb run for 5 yds to the VTech 43Similar
Q4 0:55
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+2
99.9%
Joel Caleb run for 2 yds to the VTech 45Similar
Q4 0:24
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+15
99.9%
Mark Leal pass complete to Greg Gadell for 15 yds to the WmMry 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
99.9%
Daniel Dyer run for no gain to the WmMry 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:47
Shai McKenzie run for 39 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)
+4.9
FG · Q3 7:59
Joey Slye 27 yd FG GOOD
+2.1
TD · Q2 5:40
Michael Brewer pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 8 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)
+2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com