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KENT

Kent State 13 at Virginia 45

UVA
2014 · Week 5 · Sep 27, 2014 · Scott Stadium
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Win probability · UVA
modelUVA aheadKENT aheadconfidence bandkey playUVA scoreKENT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:29 · Daniel Hamm run for 3 yds to the KntSt 33
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:50: Colin Reardon pass complete to James Brooks for 45 yds for a TD, (Anthony Melchiori KICK) — KENT win probability +1.5 pts (now 9%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:14: Matt Johns pass complete to Khalek Shepherd for 25 yds for a TD, (Ian Frye KICK) — UVA win probability +1.5 pts (now 90%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 10:20: Ian Frye 22 yd FG GOOD — UVA win probability +1.4 pts (now 87%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:06: Kevin Parks run for 4 yds for a TD, (Ian Frye KICK) — UVA win probability +5.1 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:36: Matt Johns run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ian Frye KICK) — UVA win probability +4.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UVA made the numbers' call on 1 of 4KENT made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00KENT 4th & 2 at KENT 37, tied
    Close callPunted · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:38UVA 4th & 2 at UVA 37, tied
    Close callPunted · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:50UVA 4th & 2 at UVA 18, down 7
    Close callPunted · 88.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:48KENT 4th & 4 at UVA 13, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.8%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.7%−0.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    12.7%−1.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:14KENT 4th & 3 at KENT 32, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.0%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:17KENT 4th & 23 at KENT 47, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.5%−0.7
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:03UVA 4th & 10 at UVA 13, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.0%−1.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:20UVA 4th & 4 at KENT 4, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 83.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.5%−0.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    77.9%−5.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:06KENT 4th & 3 at KENT 22, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.7%−0.4
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:36KENT 4th & 15 at KENT 20, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:43KENT 4th & 7 at KENT 28, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:29KENT 4th & 12 at UVA 25, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    66% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UVA made the numbers' call on 6 of 6KENT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 8:50KENT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:34UVA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:14UVA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:06UVA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 2:36UVA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:43UVA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:59UVA Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KENTDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+14
93.1%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Chris Humphrey for 14 yds to the KntSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
93.1%
Eldin Anu run for 3 yds to the KntSt 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 32
-5
93.1%
KENT ST Penalty, false start (N/A) to the KntSt 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 27
-5
93.1%
KENT ST Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the KntSt 22Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 22
+15
93.1%
Colin Reardon run for 15 yds to the KntSt 37Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 37
+15
93.1%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 49 yds , Khalek Shepherd returns for 15 yds to the Virg 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 37
0
93.1%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete, broken up by Henry ColeySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
92.6%
Matt Johns pass complete to Canaan Severin for 5 yds to the Virg 34Similar
Q1 12:38
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+4
92.6%
Matt Johns pass complete to Canaan Severin for 4 yds to the Virg 38Similar
Q1 12:38
3RD & 1
OWN 38
-1
92.6%
Kevin Parks run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 37Similar
Q1 12:38
4TH & 2
OWN 37
0
92.5%
Alec Vozenilek punt for 41 yds , James Brooks returns for no gain to the KntSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 3TD
6 plays · 78 yds · 2:338% → 9%
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+16
92.2%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Chris Humphrey for 16 yds to the KntSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
92.1%
Nick Holley run for 6 yds to the KntSt 44Similar
Q1 11:23
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+13
92.1%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Nick Holley for 13 yds to the Virg 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-2
92.1%
Nick Holley run for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 45Similar
Q1 11:23
2ND & 12
OPP 45
0
92.1%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Chris HumphreySimilar
Q1 8:50
3RD & 12
OPP 45
+45
90.6%
Colin Reardon pass complete to James Brooks for 45 yds for a TD, (Anthony Melchiori KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
90.7%
Kevin Parks run for 6 yds to the Virg 16Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 4
OWN 16
+2
90.7%
Kevin Parks run for 2 yds to the Virg 18Similar
Q1 8:50
3RD & 2
OWN 18
0
90.6%
Matt Johns pass incomplete to Taquan MizzellSimilar
Q1 8:50
4TH & 2
OWN 18
0
90.6%
Alec Vozenilek punt for 41 yds, downed at the KntSt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 5INT TD
5 plays · 23 yds · 1:4810% → 10%
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
89.7%
Colin Reardon run for 2 yds to the KntSt 43Similar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+16
89.7%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Casey Pierce for 16 yds to the Virg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
89.7%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Anthony MeraySimilar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+5
89.7%
Anthony Meray run for 5 yds to the Virg 36Similar
Q1 5:34
3RD & 5
OPP 36
+69
90.1%
Maurice Canady 69 Yd Interception Return (Ian Frye Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 6FG
15 plays · 62 yds · 3:4610% → 12%
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
90.4%
Colin Reardon run for 4 yds to the KntSt 29Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-4
90.3%
Colin Reardon run for a loss of 4 yards to the KntSt 25Similar
Q1 5:34
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+22
90.5%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Ernest Calhoun for 22 yds to the KntSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
90.1%
Nick Holley run for 7 yds to the Virg 46Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+15
90.0%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Casey Pierce, PENALTY VA pass interference (Blanding, Q) 15 yards to the VA31, 1ST DOWN KENT, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
90.0%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Chris Humphrey, broken up by Demetrious NicholsonSimilar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
90.0%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Chris Humphrey, broken up by Demetrious NicholsonSimilar
Q1 5:34
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+12
90.1%
Colin Reardon pass complete to James Brooks for 12 yds to the Virg 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
89.9%
Nick Holley run for 1 yd to the Virg 18Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 9
OPP 18
0
89.9%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to James Brooks, broken up by Anthony HarrisSimilar
Q1 2:01
3RD & 9
OPP 18
+5
88.6%
VIRGINIA Penalty, offside defense (Eli Harold) to the Virg 13Similar
Q1 2:01
3RD & 4
OPP 13
0
88.6%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to James Brooks, broken up by Anthony HarrisSimilar
Q1 1:48
4TH & 4
OPP 13
+31
88.5%
Anthony Melchiori 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 7TD
8 plays · 82 yds · 2:3489% → 90%
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
88.6%
Kevin Parks run for 5 yds to the Virg 23Similar
Q1 1:48
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+14
88.7%
Matt Johns run for 14 yds to the Virg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+21
88.8%
Matt Johns pass complete to Kevin Parks for 21 yds to the KntSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
89.3%
Khalek Shepherd run for 4 yds to the KntSt 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+3
88.7%
Khalek Shepherd run for 3 yds to the KntSt 35Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+10
88.6%
Johns, M pass incomplete, PENALTY KENT pass interference (D. Monday) 10 yards to the KENT25, 1ST DOWN VA, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
90.1%
Matt Johns pass complete to Khalek Shepherd for 25 yds for a TD, (Ian Frye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0011% → 10%
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
89.5%
Anthony Meray run for 5 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
89.4%
Colin Reardon run for 2 yds to the KntSt 32Similar
Q2 14:14
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
89.5%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Chris Humphrey, broken up by Henry ColeySimilar
Q2 14:14
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
89.8%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 34 yds, downed at the Virg 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 9INT
6 plays · 49 yds · 0:0089% → 90%
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
89.1%
Taquan Mizzell run for 15 yds to the Virg 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
89.5%
Kevin Parks run for no gain to the Virg 49Similar
Q2 13:02
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+15
89.4%
Matt Johns pass complete to Miles Gooch for 15 yds to the KntSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+19
89.6%
Matt Johns pass complete to Keeon Johnson for 19 yds to the KntSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
89.8%
Kevin Parks run for no gain to the KntSt 17Similar
Q2 13:02
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+14
89.8%
Matt Johns pass intercepted Jontey Byrd return for 14 yds to the KntSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 10INT
3 plays · 20 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+19
88.2%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Casey Pierce for 19 yds to the Virg 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:26
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
87.6%
Anthony Meray run for 1 yd to the Virg 43Similar
Q2 10:26
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+10
87.6%
Colin Reardon pass intercepted Brandon Phelps return for 10 yds to the KntSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 11INT
3 plays · 32 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+30
88.7%
Matt Johns pass complete to Canaan Severin for 30 yds to the KntSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
89.0%
Khalek Shepherd run for 2 yds to the KntSt 14Similar
Q2 9:10
2ND & 8
OPP 14
0
89.0%
Matt Johns pass intercepted, touchback. Malcolm Pannell return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 12PUNT
16 plays · 27 yds · 5:4012% → 14%
Q2 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
87.8%
Nick Holley run for 1 yd to the KntSt 21Similar
Q2 7:57
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
87.8%
Nick Holley run for no gain to the KntSt 21Similar
Q2 7:57
3RD & 9
OWN 21
+15
88.2%
Nathan Strock pass incomplete, PENALTY VA pass interference (Nicholson, D) 15 yards to the KENT36, 1ST DOWN KENT, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
87.5%
Nathan Strock pass complete to Charles Chandler for 4 yds to the KntSt 40Similar
Q2 7:57
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+5
87.0%
VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive offside (David Dean) to the KntSt 45Similar
Q2 7:57
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+3
86.9%
Nathan Strock pass complete to Chris Humphrey for 3 yds to the KntSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
86.9%
Nick Holley run for 8 yds to the Virg 44Similar
Q2 7:57
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+4
86.7%
Nick Holley run for 4 yds to the Virg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
86.8%
Nathan Strock sacked by Eli Harold and Daquan Romero for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 41Similar
Q2 7:57
2ND & 11
OPP 41
-5
86.9%
KENT ST Penalty, false start (Casey Pierce) to the Virg 46Similar
Q2 7:57
2ND & 16
OPP 46
+1
87.3%
Nathan Strock run for 1 yd to the Virg 45Similar
Q2 2:24
3RD & 15
OPP 45
-3
85.9%
Nathan Strock sacked by Henry Coley for a loss of 3 yards to the Virg 48Similar
Q2 2:17
4TH & 18
OPP 48
-5
86.1%
KENT ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the KntSt 47Similar
Q2 2:17
4TH & 23
OWN 47
0
86.2%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 50 yds, downed at the Virg 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 10 yds · 0:0685% → 85%
Q2 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+4
85.4%
Matt Johns pass complete to Kevin Parks for 4 yds to the Virg 7Similar
Q2 2:03
2ND & 6
OWN 7
+6
86.2%
Matt Johns run for 6 yds to the Virg 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
86.4%
Matt Johns pass incomplete to Canaan SeverinSimilar
Q2 2:03
2ND & 10
OWN 13
0
86.3%
Matt Johns pass incomplete to Kevin ParksSimilar
Q2 2:03
3RD & 10
OWN 13
0
85.9%
Matt Johns pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 2:03
4TH & 10
OWN 13
0
85.4%
Alec Vozenilek punt for 41 yds, fair catch by James Brooks at the KntSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 14INT
6 plays · 41 yds · 0:5115% → 16%
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+21
85.4%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Nick Holley for 21 yds to the Virg 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
83.7%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to James BrooksSimilar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+19
83.7%
Colin Reardon pass complete to James Brooks for 19 yds to the Virg 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
83.5%
Nick Holley run for 1 yd to the Virg 13Similar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 9
OPP 13
0
83.7%
Colin Reardon pass intercepted, touchback. Demetrious Nicholson return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 15END OF HALF
5 plays · 31 yds · 0:1086% → 87%
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
86.1%
Matt Johns pass complete to Kevin Parks for 7 yds to the Virg 27Similar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+24
85.8%
Matt Johns pass complete to Andre Levrone for 24 yds to the KntSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
86.9%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
86.7%
Matt Johns pass incomplete to Canaan SeverinSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 16FG
13 plays · 57 yds · 4:4085% → 87%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
85.2%
Kevin Parks run for 12 yds to the KntSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
86.0%
Doni Dowling run for 2 yds to the KntSt 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 47
0
86.0%
Matt Johns pass incomplete to Andre Levrone, broken up by Demetrius MondaySimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+8
85.4%
Matt Johns pass complete to Canaan Severin for 8 yds to the KntSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
86.1%
VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the KntSt 44Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 44
+9
85.4%
Matt Johns pass complete to Taquan Mizzell for 9 yds to the KntSt 35Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+9
86.4%
Taquan Mizzell run for 9 yds to the KntSt 26 for a 1ST down KENT ST Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+17
86.4%
Kevin Parks run for 17 yds to the KntSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
86.4%
Kevin Parks run for 4 yds to the KntSt 6Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
86.4%
Khalek Shepherd run for 2 yds to the KntSt 4Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
85.8%
Matt Johns pass incomplete to Andre LevroneSimilar
Q3 10:20
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
87.2%
Ian Frye 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 17FUMBLE
7 plays · 44 yds · 0:0014% → 15%
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
86.3%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Nick HolleySimilar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
86.4%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Josh Boyle, broken up by Maurice CanadySimilar
Q3 10:20
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+16
87.0%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Chris Humphrey for 16 yds to the KntSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
85.4%
Nick Holley run for 1 yd to the KntSt 42Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+5
85.4%
Nick Holley run for 5 yds to the KntSt 47Similar
Q3 10:20
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+50
84.9%
Colin Reardon sacked by Kwontie Moore for 0 yards to the KntSt 19 Colin Reardon fumbled, recovered by Virg Daquan Romero , return for 0 yards , return for 50 yds to the KntSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 18TD
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:4089% → 94%
Q3 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
89.1%
Taquan Mizzell run for 1 yd to the KntSt 18Similar
Q3 8:46
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+12
89.1%
Matt Johns pass complete to Taquan Mizzell for 12 yds to the KntSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
89.1%
Matt Johns run for 2 yds to the KntSt 4Similar
Q3 7:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
94.2%
Kevin Parks run for 4 yds for a TD, (Ian Frye KICK)Similar
Q3 7:06
1ST & 0
OWN 35
+15
93.7%
KENT ST Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q3 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
92.6%
Nick Holley run for 5 yds to the KntSt 20Similar
Q3 7:06
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+2
92.6%
Nick Holley run for 2 yds to the KntSt 22Similar
Q3 7:06
3RD & 3
OWN 22
0
92.6%
Nathan Strock pass incomplete to Casey Pierce, broken up by Max VallesSimilar
Q3 7:06
4TH & 3
OWN 22
+6
92.9%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 55 yds , Khalek Shepherd returns for 6 yds to the Virg 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 20TD
8 plays · 71 yds · 3:0894% → 99%
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
93.8%
Kevin Parks run for 11 yds to the Virg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
94.1%
Khalek Shepherd run for 5 yds to the Virg 45Similar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+13
94.2%
Matt Johns pass complete to Canaan Severin for 13 yds to the KntSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+13
94.3%
Taquan Mizzell run for 13 yds to the KntSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
94.3%
Taquan Mizzell run for 4 yds to the KntSt 25Similar
Q3 5:44
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+15
94.3%
Johns, M pass incomplete to Dockins, K, PENALTY KENT pass interference (Casey Pierce) 15 yards to the KENT10, 1ST DOWN VA, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
94.3%
Taquan Mizzell run for 9 yds to the KntSt 1Similar
Q3 2:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.5%
Matt Johns run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ian Frye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 2:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.1%
Colin Reardon run for no gain to the KntSt 25Similar
Q3 2:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
98.1%
Colin Reardon sacked by Eli Harold for a loss of 5 yards to the KntSt 20Similar
Q3 2:36
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
98.2%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Chris HumphreySimilar
Q3 2:36
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
98.2%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 54 yds, downed at the Virg 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 22TD
7 plays · 74 yds · 2:1799% → 100%
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
98.7%
Matt Johns pass incomplete to Zachary SwansonSimilar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+1
98.7%
Kevin Parks run for 1 yd to the Virg 27Similar
Q3 1:00
3RD & 9
OWN 27
+42
98.7%
Matt Johns run for 42 yds to the KntSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
98.9%
Matt Johns pass incomplete to Darius JenningsSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+3
98.9%
Matt Johns pass complete to Taquan Mizzell for 3 yds to the KntSt 28Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 28
+17
98.9%
Matt Johns pass complete to Khalek Shepherd for 17 yds to the KntSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
99.9%
Matt Johns pass complete to Kevin Parks for 11 yds for a TD, (Ian Frye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Chris Humphrey for 6 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-3
99.9%
Nick Holley run for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 28Similar
Q4 13:43
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Casey PierceSimilar
Q4 13:43
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 36 yds, downed at the Virg 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 24FUMBLE
4 plays · 33 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
99.9%
Taquan Mizzell run for 5 yds to the Virg 41Similar
Q4 12:13
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
99.9%
David Watford pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q4 12:13
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+29
99.9%
David Watford pass complete to Andre Levrone for 29 yds to the KntSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
99.9%
Doni Dowling run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 31 Doni Dowling fumbled, forced by Jordan Italiano, recovered by KntSt Marques MooreSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 25FUMBLE
2 plays · -11 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
99.9%
VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive offside (Eli Harold) to the KntSt 36Similar
Q4 11:11
1ST & 5
OWN 36
-16
99.9%
Colin Reardon sacked by Daquan Romero for a loss of 16 yards to the KntSt 20 Colin Reardon fumbled, recovered by Virg DreQuan Hoskey , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 26TD
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:54100% → 100%
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
99.9%
Taquan Mizzell run for 4 yds to the KntSt 16Similar
Q4 10:53
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+9
99.9%
David Watford run for 9 yds to the KntSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
99.9%
David Watford run for 2 yds to the KntSt 5Similar
Q4 10:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
99.9%
Darius Jennings run for 3 yds to the KntSt 2Similar
Q4 8:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Taquan Mizzell run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ian Frye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 27FG
10 plays · 40 yds · 3:300% → 0%
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
99.9%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Calvin Tiggle for 5 yds to the KntSt 40Similar
Q4 8:59
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+6
99.9%
Anthony Meray run for 6 yds to the KntSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
99.9%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Chris Humphrey, PENALTY VA pass interference (Wahee, W) 15 yards to the VA39, 1ST DOWN KENT, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
99.9%
Anthony Meray run for a loss of 1 yard to the Virg 40Similar
Q4 8:59
2ND & 11
OPP 40
+17
99.9%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Casey Pierce for 17 yds to the Virg 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
99.9%
Anthony Meray run for no gain to the Virg 23Similar
Q4 8:59
2ND & 10
OPP 23
-2
99.9%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Anthony Meray for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 25Similar
Q4 8:59
3RD & 12
OPP 25
0
99.9%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Ernest Calhoun, broken up by D.J. HillSimilar
Q4 5:29
4TH & 12
OPP 25
+43
99.9%
Anthony Melchiori 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 28END OF GAME
12 plays · 41 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
99.9%
Daniel Hamm run for 1 yd to the Virg 27Similar
Q4 5:29
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+10
99.9%
David Watford pass complete to Daniel Hamm for 10 yds to the Virg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
99.9%
VIRGINIA Penalty, false start (N/A) to the Virg 32Similar
Q4 5:29
1ST & 15
OWN 32
+9
99.9%
Daniel Hamm run for 9 yds to the Virg 41Similar
Q4 5:29
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+5
99.9%
Daniel Hamm run for 5 yds to the Virg 46Similar
Q4 5:29
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+8
99.9%
Daniel Hamm run for 8 yds to the KntSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
99.9%
Daniel Hamm run for 8 yds to the KntSt 38Similar
Q4 5:29
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+1
99.9%
Daniel Hamm run for 1 yd to the KntSt 37Similar
Q4 5:29
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+4
99.9%
Daniel Hamm run for 4 yds to the KntSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-3
99.9%
Daniel Hamm run for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 36Similar
Q4 5:29
2ND & 13
OPP 36
+3
99.9%
Daniel Hamm run for 3 yds to the KntSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:06
Kevin Parks run for 4 yds for a TD, (Ian Frye KICK)
+5.1
TD · Q3 2:36
Matt Johns run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ian Frye KICK)
+4.2
TD · Q1 8:50
Colin Reardon pass complete to James Brooks for 45 yds for a TD, (Anthony Melchiori KICK)
-1.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com