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MD

Maryland 34 at Syracuse 20

SYR
2014 · Week 4 · Sep 20, 2014 · JMA Wireless Dome
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Win probability · SYR
modelSYR aheadMD aheadconfidence bandkey playSYR scoreMD score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 13:06 · Nathan Renfro punt for 53 yds , Brisly Estime returns for 8 yds to the Syrac 11
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+50.5+25.30−25.3−50.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 111Home team on offense−22.8Score differential−12.0Garbage-time factor−5.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.1Pregame prior+2.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:35: C.J. Brown pass complete to Brandon Ross for 90 yds for a TD, (Brad Craddock KICK) — MD win probability +3.0 pts (now 49%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:56: Terrel Hunt run for 8 yds for a TD, (Ryan Norton KICK) — SYR win probability +6.8 pts (now 57%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 6:13: Jacquille Veii run for 4 yds for a TD, (Brad Craddock KICK) — MD win probability +8.2 pts (now 61%) (top driver: MD has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:37: Terrel Hunt pass intercepted for a TD William Likely return for 88 yds for a TD, (Brad Craddock KICK) — MD win probability +9.4 pts (now 68%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:48: Terrel Hunt run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ryan Norton KICK), (Cole Murphy KICK) — SYR win probability +2.4 pts (now 4%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SYR made the numbers' call on 7 of 9MD made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 11:37SYR 4th & 8 at MD 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.1%
    79% to make
    Punt
    55.6%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:22SYR 4th & 14 at MD 45, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.2%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    54.2%−0.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    54.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:48SYR 4th & 13 at MD 32, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.5%−0.3
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.8%
    51% to make
    Punt
    50.5%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:14MD 4th & 13 at MD 22, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.3%−1.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:38MD 4th & 13 at SYR 13, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.2%−0.9
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.1%
    85% to make
    Punt
    41.7%−3.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:52SYR 4th & 3 at midfield, down 4
    Close callPunted · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.3%−0.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:00MD 4th & 2 at midfield, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 48.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.3%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:48SYR 4th & 6 at SYR 40, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.5%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:06MD 4th & 10 at MD 44, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.0%−1.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:11SYR 4th & 6 at MD 32, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    20.2%−0.3
    51% to make
    Punt
    19.1%−1.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:27MD 4th & 2 at SYR 41, up 18
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsPunted · 84.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    81.8%−2.7
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    82.4%−2.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:39SYR 4th & 2 at MD 46, down 18
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsPunted · 17.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    14.0%−4.4
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    16.3%−2.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:43MD 4th & 8 at MD 22, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.7%−2.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.8%
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:35SYR 4th & 14 at SYR 40, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.9%−2.4
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:59MD 4th & 16 at MD 43, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.0%−1.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:40SYR 4th & 7 at SYR 44, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%−0.5
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:00MD 4th & 8 at MD 37, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.5%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.8%
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:17MD 4th & 13 at SYR 26, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%−0.6
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.7%
    64% to make
    Punt
    95.9%−1.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SYR made the numbers' call on 1 of 2MD made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 9:39MD Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:35MD Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:56SYR Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:13MD Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:37MD Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:48SYR Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.4%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SYRDrive 1FG
12 plays · 59 yds · 3:0854% → 55%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
54.4%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for 4 yds to the Syrac 27Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+1
54.5%
Terrel Hunt run for 1 yd to the Syrac 28Similar
Q1 13:48
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+20
54.5%
Terrel Hunt pass complete to Ben Lewis for 20 yds to the Syrac 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
54.8%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for 3 yds to the Mary 49Similar
Q1 13:12
2ND & 7
OPP 49
0
54.8%
Terrel Hunt pass incomplete to Ashton BroyldSimilar
Q1 12:54
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+10
54.8%
Terrel Hunt run for 10 yds to the Mary 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+19
55.0%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for 19 yds to the Mary 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
55.1%
Terrel Hunt pass incomplete to Brisly EstimeSimilar
Q1 11:51
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+2
55.3%
Adonis Ameen-Moore run for 2 yds to the Mary 18Similar
Q1 11:42
3RD & 8
OPP 18
0
55.2%
Terrel Hunt pass incomplete to Steve IshmaelSimilar
Q1 11:37
4TH & 8
OPP 18
+35
55.3%
Ryan Norton 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 2TD
6 plays · 59 yds · 1:0745% → 47%
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
55.0%
Brandon Ross run for 4 yds to the Mary 45Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 6
OWN 45
0
54.9%
C.J. Brown run for no gain to the Mary 45Similar
Q1 10:35
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+20
55.0%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Stefon Diggs for 20 yds to the Syrac 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+10
54.7%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Marcus Leak for 10 yds to the Syrac 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
53.4%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Marcus Leak for 25 yds for a TD, (Brad Craddock KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 30 yds · 1:4354% → 53%
Q1 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
54.1%
Terrel Hunt run for 9 yds to the Syrac 34Similar
Q1 9:05
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+25
54.5%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for 10 yds to the Mary 44 for a 1ST down MARYLAND Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Mary 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-6
54.6%
Ervin Philips run for a loss of 6 yards to the Mary 47Similar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 16
OPP 47
+2
54.2%
Terrel Hunt pass complete to Ashton Broyld for 2 yds to the Mary 45Similar
Q1 8:50
3RD & 14
OPP 45
0
53.9%
Terrel Hunt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:22
4TH & 14
OPP 45
0
53.3%
Riley Dixon punt for 35 yds, fair catch by William Likely at the Mary 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 4TD
2 plays · 90 yds · 0:4546% → 49%
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
53.7%
Brandon Ross run for no gain to the Mary 10Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+90
50.7%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Brandon Ross for 90 yds for a TD, (Brad Craddock KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 5FG
10 plays · 44 yds · 2:1151% → 50%
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
51.1%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for 4 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
Q1 5:53
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+15
51.2%
MARYLAND Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Syrac 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
51.4%
Terrel Hunt pass complete to Jamal Custis for 4 yds to the Syrac 47Similar
Q1 5:04
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+24
51.6%
Terrel Hunt pass complete to Ashton Broyld for 24 yds to the Mary 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-5
51.9%
Adonis Ameen-Moore run for a loss of 5 yards to the Mary 34Similar
Q1 4:20
2ND & 15
OPP 34
+7
51.5%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for 7 yds to the Mary 27Similar
Q1 4:15
3RD & 8
OPP 27
0
51.3%
Terrel Hunt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:10
4TH & 8
OPP 27
-5
50.4%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Mary 32Similar
Q1 3:48
4TH & 13
OPP 32
+49
49.7%
Cole Murphy 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 1:2850% → 50%
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
49.8%
C.J. Brown pass incomplete to Stefon DiggsSimilar
Q1 3:14
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
49.5%
Brandon Ross run for 2 yds to the Mary 27Similar
Q1 2:26
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-5
49.3%
C.J. Brown sacked by Cameron Lynch for a loss of 5 yards to the Mary 22Similar
Q1 2:14
4TH & 13
OWN 22
+13
49.8%
Nathan Renfro punt for 38 yds , Brisly Estime returns for 13 yds to the Mary 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 7TD
7 plays · 47 yds · 1:5550% → 57%
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+14
49.8%
Terrel Hunt pass complete to Jarrod West for 14 yds to the Mary 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
50.3%
Terrel Hunt run for 3 yds to the Mary 30Similar
Q1 0:56
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+4
50.1%
Adonis Ameen-Moore run for 4 yds to the Mary 26Similar
Q1 0:38
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+5
49.3%
Terrel Hunt run for 5 yds to the Mary 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
49.9%
Terrel Hunt run for 1 yd to the Mary 20Similar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+12
49.8%
Adonis Ameen-Moore run for 12 yds to the Mary 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
56.6%
Terrel Hunt run for 8 yds for a TD, (Ryan Norton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 8FG
12 plays · 63 yds · 2:0847% → 48%
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
53.5%
C.J. Brown pass incomplete to Deon LongSimilar
Q2 14:38
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+13
53.6%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Deon Long for 13 yds to the Mary 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+46
52.8%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Marcus Leak for 46 yds to the Syrac 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+10
51.0%
Jacquille Veii run for 10 yds to the Syrac 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:34
1ST & 0
OPP 7
+4
50.4%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (4 Yards) to the Syrac 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
51.0%
C.J. Brown pass incomplete to Deon LongSimilar
Q2 13:31
2ND & 0
OPP 3
-5
50.4%
MARYLAND Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 8Similar
Q2 13:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
50.9%
C.J. Brown run for a loss of 5 yards to the Syrac 13Similar
Q2 12:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
0
52.2%
C.J. Brown pass incomplete to Stefon DiggsSimilar
Q2 12:38
4TH & GOAL
OPP 13
+31
51.8%
Brad Craddock 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 1:1952% → 53%
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
52.4%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for 7 yds to the Syrac 34Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+9
53.6%
Terrel Hunt run for 9 yds to the Syrac 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
53.9%
Terrel Hunt pass incomplete to Brisly EstimeSimilar
Q2 11:31
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+7
53.1%
Terrel Hunt run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 10:58
3RD & 3
50
0
53.9%
Terrel Hunt pass incomplete to Brisly EstimeSimilar
Q2 10:52
4TH & 3
50
0
53.0%
Riley Dixon punt for 38 yds, fair catch by William Likely at the Mary 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 38 yds · 1:4548% → 49%
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+15
52.0%
C.J. Brown run for 15 yds to the Mary 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
51.3%
Jacquille Veii run for 15 yds to the Mary 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
49.7%
C.J. Brown run for 4 yds to the Mary 46Similar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+4
49.7%
C.J. Brown run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 9:07
3RD & 2
50
0
49.6%
C.J. Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:00
4TH & 2
50
0
50.6%
Nathan Renfro punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:5451% → 50%
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
51.3%
Terrel Hunt pass complete to Ben Lewis for 16 yds to the Syrac 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
52.2%
Terrel Hunt run for 4 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
Q2 7:59
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
52.5%
Terrel Hunt pass incomplete to Devante McFarlaneSimilar
Q2 7:54
3RD & 6
OWN 40
0
50.7%
Terrel Hunt pass incomplete to Brisly EstimeSimilar
Q2 7:48
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
49.8%
Riley Dixon punt blocked by Anthony Nixon blocked by Anthony NixonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 12TD
4 plays · 28 yds · 1:0953% → 61%
Q2 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+12
47.1%
Stefon Diggs run for 12 yds to the Syrac 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
47.0%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Wes Brown for 7 yds to the Syrac 9Similar
Q2 6:36
2ND & 3
OPP 9
+5
46.8%
Jacquille Veii run for 5 yds to the Syrac 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
38.6%
Jacquille Veii run for 4 yds for a TD, (Brad Craddock KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 13INT TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 2:2039% → 32%
Q2 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-1
38.7%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 10Similar
Q2 5:20
2ND & 11
OWN 10
+20
38.3%
Terrel Hunt pass complete to Brisly Estime for 20 yds to the Syrac 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
38.7%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for no gain to the Syrac 30Similar
Q2 4:28
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+51
37.6%
Terrel Hunt pass complete to Jarrod West for 51 yds to the Mary 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
41.1%
George Morris II run for 2 yds to the Mary 17Similar
Q2 3:37
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+88
31.7%
Terrel Hunt pass intercepted for a TD William Likely return for 88 yds for a TD, (Brad Craddock KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 14DOWNS
12 plays · 67 yds · 3:1528% → 25%
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+39
27.6%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for 39 yds to the Mary 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
29.4%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for 3 yds to the Mary 33Similar
Q2 2:31
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+25
29.9%
Terrel Hunt pass complete to Brisly Estime for 25 yds to the Mary 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:03
1ST & 0
OPP 8
-5
31.9%
Gulley, Prince-Tyson rush for 2 yards to the MARYLAND6, PENALTY SYRACUSE illegal shift 5 yards to the MARYLAND13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:53
1ST & 0
OPP 13
-10
31.7%
Hunt, Terrel rush for 13 yards to the MARYLAND0, PENALTY SYRACUSE holding 10 yards to the MARYLAND23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:37
1ST & 0
OPP 23
+4
30.6%
Terrel Hunt run for 4 yds to the Mary 19Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 0
OPP 19
-10
30.4%
Hunt, Terrel pass incomplete to Estime, Brisly, PENALTY SYRACUSE holding 10 yards to the MARYLAND29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:06
2ND & 0
OPP 29
+15
28.2%
Adonis Ameen-Moore run for 15 yds to the Mary 14Similar
Q2 0:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 14
+6
25.0%
Terrel Hunt pass complete to Prince-Tyson Gulley for 6 yds to the Mary 8Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 0
OPP 8
+25
25.0%
Ryan Norton 25 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 1:3980% → 80%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
20.5%
C.J. Brown run for 3 yds to the Mary 29Similar
Q3 13:57
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+3
19.9%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Andrew Isaacs for 3 yds to the Mary 32Similar
Q3 13:42
3RD & 4
OWN 32
+12
20.7%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Marcus Leak for 12 yds to the Mary 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
19.1%
C.J. Brown pass incomplete to Marcus LeakSimilar
Q3 13:24
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
18.6%
C.J. Brown pass incomplete to Deon LongSimilar
Q3 13:19
3RD & 10
OWN 44
0
18.9%
C.J. Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:06
4TH & 10
OWN 44
+8
19.7%
Nathan Renfro punt for 53 yds , Brisly Estime returns for 8 yds to the Syrac 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 16DOWNS
8 plays · 50 yds · 2:3121% → 20%
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+12
20.6%
Terrel Hunt run for 12 yds to the Syrac 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+21
20.7%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for 21 yds to the Syrac 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+20
21.8%
Terrel Hunt run for 20 yds to the Mary 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
21.9%
Adonis Ameen-Moore run for 4 yds to the Mary 32Similar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 6
OPP 32
0
22.4%
Terrel Hunt pass incomplete to Alvin CorneliusSimilar
Q3 10:51
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+5
21.4%
Terrel Hunt run for 5 yds to the Mary 27Similar
Q3 10:40
4TH & 1
OPP 27
-5
21.5%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Mary 32Similar
Q3 10:11
4TH & 6
OPP 32
-7
20.2%
Terrel Hunt sacked by Andre Monroe for a loss of 7 yards to the Mary 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 1:3384% → 85%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
15.6%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Stefon Diggs for 12 yds to the Syrac 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
15.1%
MARYLAND Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Mary 46Similar
Q3 9:21
1ST & 15
OWN 46
+6
15.1%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Stefon Diggs for 6 yds to the Syrac 48Similar
Q3 8:39
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+7
14.5%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Brandon Ross for 7 yds to the Syrac 41Similar
Q3 8:34
3RD & 2
OPP 41
0
13.7%
C.J. Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:27
4TH & 2
OPP 41
0
15.1%
Nathan Renfro punt for 36 yds, downed at the Syrac 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 49 yds · 2:2617% → 17%
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+13
16.9%
Adonis Ameen-Moore run for 13 yds to the Syrac 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
17.0%
George Morris II run for 8 yds to the Syrac 26Similar
Q3 7:33
2ND & 2
OWN 26
+20
17.5%
Terrel Hunt run for 20 yds to the Syrac 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
18.2%
Terrel Hunt pass complete to Ben Lewis for 2 yds to the Syrac 48Similar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+6
17.6%
Terrel Hunt run for 6 yds to the Mary 46Similar
Q3 5:52
3RD & 2
OPP 46
0
17.6%
George Morris II run for no gain to the Mary 46Similar
Q3 5:39
4TH & 2
OPP 46
0
17.0%
Riley Dixon punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:4488% → 89%
Q3 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
11.7%
Kenneth Goins Jr. run for no gain to the Mary 20Similar
Q3 4:33
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-8
10.9%
C.J. Brown sacked by Micah Robinson for a loss of 8 yards to the Mary 12Similar
Q3 4:03
3RD & 18
OWN 12
+10
11.4%
C.J. Brown run for 10 yds to the Mary 22Similar
Q3 3:43
4TH & 8
OWN 22
+4
10.9%
Nathan Renfro punt for 38 yds , Brisly Estime returns for 4 yds to the Syrac 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:5215% → 12%
Q3 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-15
15.3%
Gulley, Prince-Tyson rush for 1 yard to the SYRACUSE45, PENALTY SYRACUSE personal foul 15 yards to the SYRACUSE29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:24
1ST & 25
OWN 29
0
13.9%
Terrel Hunt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:20
2ND & 25
OWN 29
0
13.6%
Terrel Hunt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 25
OWN 29
+11
13.3%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for 11 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
Q3 2:35
4TH & 14
OWN 40
0
12.3%
Riley Dixon punt for 35 yds, fair catch by William Likely at the Mary 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 21PUNT
10 plays · 18 yds · 4:3292% → 94%
Q3 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
7.8%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Stefon Diggs for 2 yds to the Mary 27Similar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+11
7.4%
C.J. Brown pass complete to P.J. Gallo for 11 yds to the Mary 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
6.5%
Jacquille Veii run for 6 yds to the Mary 44Similar
Q3 1:08
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+2
6.4%
Jacquille Veii run for 2 yds to the Mary 46Similar
Q3 0:30
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+3
6.2%
C.J. Brown run for 3 yds to the Mary 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
5.8%
C.J. Brown run for no gain to the Mary 49Similar
Q4 13:56
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-3
5.4%
C.J. Brown sacked by Marqez Hodge for a loss of 3 yards to the Mary 46Similar
Q4 12:59
3RD & 13
OWN 46
+7
5.2%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Stefon Diggs for 7 yds to the Syrac 47Similar
Q4 12:59
4TH & 6
OPP 47
-10
5.5%
MARYLAND Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Mary 43Similar
Q4 12:59
4TH & 16
OWN 43
+22
5.7%
Nathan Renfro punt for 53 yds , Brisly Estime returns for 22 yds to the SYRACUSE 35 MARYLAND Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Syrac 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:107% → 6%
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
7.4%
Terrel Hunt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+4
7.2%
Devante McFarlane run for 4 yds to the Syrac 45Similar
Q4 12:40
3RD & 6
OPP 45
-4
7.5%
Terrel Hunt run for 11 yds to the SYRACUSE 44 SYRACUSE Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Syrac 41Similar
Q4 12:35
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+3
7.0%
Terrel Hunt run for 3 yds to the Syrac 44Similar
Q4 11:40
4TH & 7
OWN 44
0
6.3%
Riley Dixon punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 4:3595% → 97%
Q4 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
4.7%
William Likely run for 2 yds to the Mary 22Similar
Q4 11:30
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+4
4.7%
William Likely run for 4 yds to the Mary 26Similar
Q4 11:25
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+9
4.7%
C.J. Brown pass complete to Stefon Diggs for 9 yds to the Mary 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
4.5%
Kenneth Goins Jr. run for 2 yds to the Mary 37Similar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
4.4%
Jacquille Veii run for no gain to the Mary 37Similar
Q4 11:10
3RD & 8
OWN 37
-5
4.5%
MARYLAND Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Mary 32Similar
Q4 11:05
3RD & 13
OWN 32
+5
4.7%
C.J. Brown run for 5 yds to the Mary 37Similar
Q4 7:00
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
3.0%
Nathan Renfro punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Syrac 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 24FUMBLE
1 play · 0 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
3.9%
Terrel Hunt run for 5 yds to the Syrac 23 Terrel Hunt fumbled, recovered by MarySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 25FG
5 plays · -3 yds · 2:0898% → 99%
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
2.4%
C.J. Brown run for 2 yds to the Syrac 21Similar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 8
OPP 21
0
2.4%
Jacquille Veii run for no gain to the Syrac 21Similar
Q4 6:15
3RD & 8
OPP 21
-5
2.5%
MARYLAND Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 26Similar
Q4 6:10
3RD & 13
OPP 26
0
2.5%
C.J. Brown pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:17
4TH & 13
OPP 26
+44
0.9%
Brad Craddock 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 26TD
11 plays · 89 yds · 3:221% → 4%
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+19
1.1%
Terrel Hunt pass complete to Prince-Tyson Gulley for 19 yds to the Syrac 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
1.1%
Terrel Hunt pass complete to Jarrod West for 9 yds to the Syrac 39Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+7
1.1%
Terrel Hunt pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 7 yds to the Syrac 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+17
1.1%
Terrel Hunt run for 17 yds to the Mary 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:50
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+11
1.2%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for 11 yds to the Mary 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+19
1.4%
Adonis Ameen-Moore run for 19 yds to the Mary 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
1.4%
Adonis Ameen-Moore run for 4 yds to the Mary 3Similar
Q4 3:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
1.5%
Terrel Hunt run for 2 yds to the Mary 1Similar
Q4 0:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
3.5%
Terrel Hunt run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ryan Norton KICK), (Cole Murphy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MDDrive 27END OF GAME
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:3098% → 98%
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-2
1.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 45Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 45
-2
1.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:37
Terrel Hunt pass intercepted for a TD William Likely return for 88 yds for a TD, (Brad Craddock KICK)
-9.4
TD · Q2 6:13
Jacquille Veii run for 4 yds for a TD, (Brad Craddock KICK)
-8.2
TD · Q2 14:56
Terrel Hunt run for 8 yds for a TD, (Ryan Norton KICK)
+6.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com