Try the model
SYR

Syracuse 40 at Central Michigan 3

CMU
2014 · Week 3 · Sep 13, 2014 · Kelly/Shorts Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · CMU
modelCMU aheadSYR aheadconfidence bandkey playCMU scoreSYR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDSAFETYTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD-0.1CMU 0.1%Terrel Hunt run for 1 yd for a TD,(Ryan Norton KICK)AWAY 40 - HOME 3 · Q4 0:59
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:59 · Terrel Hunt run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ryan Norton KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+59.0+29.50−29.5−59.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 173Home team on offense−58.6Score differential−39.3Pregame prior−0.4Garbage-time factor−20.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−13.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−6.5
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 7:43: Brian Eavey 26 yd FG GOOD — CMU win probability +4.3 pts (now 33%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:43: Marqez Hodge 36 Yd Fumble Return (Ryan Norton Kick) — SYR win probability +5.6 pts (now 70%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:43: Timeout CENTRAL MICH, clock 10:43 — SYR win probability +9.3 pts (now 79%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:52: Terrel Hunt pass complete to Brisly Estime for 4 yds for a TD, (Ryan Norton KICK) — SYR win probability +1.5 pts (now 83%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:43: Terrel Hunt run for 1 yd for a TD — SYR win probability +8.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CMU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9SYR made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00CMU 4th & 2 at SYR 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    32.2%−0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    31.9%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:43CMU 4th & 9 at SYR 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.4%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.6%
    89% to make
    Punt
    34.6%−1.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:12SYR 4th & 6 at CMU 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.6%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.6%
    66% to make
    Punt
    60.9%−1.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:12CMU 4th & 7 at CMU 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.7%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:06SYR 4th & 5 at CMU 5, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.8%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.8%
    92% to make
    Punt
    56.5%−3.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:52CMU 4th & 25 at CMU 39, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−1.8
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:32SYR 4th & 1 at CMU 11, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    75.3%−2.0
    87% to make
    Punt
    69.7%−7.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:52CMU 4th & 10 at CMU 47, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00SYR 4th & 10 at CMU 41, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.2%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    78.8%−0.8
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    79.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:47SYR 4th & 12 at CMU 42, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.0%−0.8
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    82.9%−0.8
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    83.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:23CMU 4th & 1 at CMU 29, down 16
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsPunted · 17.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.9%−2.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00CMU 4th & 6 at SYR 27, down 30
    Close callWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%
    62% to make
    Punt
    -0.5%−1.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:54SYR 4th & 3 at SYR 45, up 30
    Close callPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:11CMU 4th & 7 at CMU 11, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:58SYR 4th & 3 at CMU 28, up 30
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.6%−0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:58CMU 4th & 8 at midfield, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:59SYR 4th & 1 at CMU 1, up 30
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SYR made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 10:43SYR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 3:10SYR Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 0:59SYR Touchdown, up 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CMUDrive 1FG
16 plays · 66 yds · 7:1728% → 33%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
28.3%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 16 yds to the CMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
28.3%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Courtney Williams for 5 yds to the CMich 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+6
28.3%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Devon Spalding for 6 yds to the Syrac 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-7
28.3%
Devon Spalding run for a loss of 7 yards to the CMich 47 Devon Spalding fumbled, forced by Dyshawn Davis, recovered by CMich N/ASimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 47
+19
28.3%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 19 yds to the Syrac 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
28.3%
Saylor Lavallii run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 35
0
28.3%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete, broken up by Ron ThompsonSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 35
+9
28.3%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Saylor Lavallii for 9 yds to the Syrac 26Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 26
+6
28.3%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Ben McCord for 6 yds to the Syrac 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+8
28.3%
Jesse Kroll run for 8 yds to the Syrac 12Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 12
+5
28.3%
Devon Spalding run for 5 yds to the Syrac 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
28.3%
Devon Spalding run for no gain to the Syrac 7Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-2
28.3%
Cooper Rush sacked by Ron Thompson and Cameron Lynch for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 9Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
28.3%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Courtney WilliamsSimilar
Q1 7:43
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
32.6%
Brian Eavey 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 2MISSED FG
9 plays · 55 yds · 2:3167% → 66%
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
32.6%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, personal foul (N/A) to the Syrac 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+20
32.4%
Terrel Hunt run for 20 yds to the CMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
31.9%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for 2 yds to the CMich 43Similar
Q1 7:43
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+14
31.9%
Terrel Hunt pass complete to Ashton Broyld for 14 yds to the CMich 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-3
31.6%
Adrian Flemming run for a loss of 3 yards to the CMich 32Similar
Q1 7:43
2ND & 13
OPP 32
+7
31.8%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for 7 yds to the CMich 25Similar
Q1 7:43
3RD & 6
OPP 25
0
31.8%
Terrel Hunt pass incomplete to Prince-Tyson GulleySimilar
Q1 5:12
4TH & 6
OPP 25
+42
33.8%
Ryan Norton 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0034% → 33%
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
33.8%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
33.7%
Martez Walker run for 3 yds to the CMich 28Similar
Q1 5:12
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
33.4%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Jesse KrollSimilar
Q1 5:12
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
33.1%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 41 yds, downed at the Syrac 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 4FG
14 plays · 64 yds · 5:0766% → 66%
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
34.5%
Jamal Custis run for 1 yd to the Syrac 32Similar
Q1 4:13
2ND & 9
OWN 32
0
34.5%
Terrel Hunt pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 4:13
3RD & 9
OWN 32
+12
35.0%
Terrel Hunt pass complete to Brisly Estime for 12 yds to the Syrac 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
33.8%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for 1 yd to the Syrac 45Similar
Q1 4:13
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+8
33.9%
Terrel Hunt pass complete to Ashton Broyld for 8 yds to the CMich 47Similar
Q1 4:13
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+4
33.6%
Adonis Ameen-Moore run for 4 yds to the CMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
33.6%
Adonis Ameen-Moore run for 6 yds to the CMich 37Similar
Q1 4:13
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+4
33.5%
Adonis Ameen-Moore run for 4 yds to the CMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
33.2%
Adonis Ameen-Moore run for 7 yds to the CMich 26Similar
Q1 4:13
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+16
33.1%
Terrel Hunt pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 16 yds to the CMich 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
33.1%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for 2 yds to the CMich 8Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
34.7%
Terrel Hunt run for 3 yds to the CMich 5Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 0
OPP 5
0
34.9%
Hunt, T. pass incomplete, PENALTY SU illegal touching 0 yards to the CMU5, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:06
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
34.2%
Ryan Norton 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 5FUMBLE RETURN TD
8 plays · 8 yds · 3:2336% → 31%
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
36.1%
LAVALLII, S. rush for 2 yards to the CMU30, PENALTY SU offside 5 yards to the CMU33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:06
1ST & 5
OWN 33
+3
36.9%
Saylor Lavallii run for 3 yds to the CMich 36Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 2
OWN 36
0
37.1%
Devon Spalding run for no gain to the CMich 36Similar
Q2 14:06
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+11
36.4%
Devon Spalding run for 11 yds to the CMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-10
37.3%
RUSH, Cooper pass incomplete to KINVILLE, Mike, QB hurry by Thompson, R., PENALTY CMU holding (PHILLIPS, Andy) 10 yards to the CMU37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:06
1ST & 20
OWN 37
+3
36.1%
Devon Spalding run for 3 yds to the CMich 40Similar
Q2 10:43
2ND & 17
OWN 40
-36
30.5%
Marqez Hodge 36 Yd Fumble Return (Ryan Norton Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 7PUNT
10 plays · 13 yds · 0:5123% → 23%
Q2 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
22.9%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for 6 yds to the CMich 32Similar
Q2 9:52
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+10
22.9%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 10 yds to the CMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
23.5%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for 7 yds to the CMich 49Similar
Q2 9:52
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+5
23.7%
Maurice Shoemaker-Gilmore run for 5 yds to the Syrac 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
23.8%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Courtney WilliamsSimilar
Q2 9:52
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-7
23.7%
Cooper Rush sacked by Luke Arciniega for a loss of 7 yards to the CMich 47Similar
Q2 9:52
3RD & 17
OWN 47
-8
22.9%
Cooper Rush sacked by Cameron Lynch for a loss of 8 yards to the CMich 39 CENTRAL MICH Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 9:52
4TH & 25
OWN 39
+12
22.5%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 42 yds , Brisly Estime returns for 12 yds to the Syrac 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 8TD
15 plays · 69 yds · 5:2380% → 83%
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+12
20.5%
Terrel Hunt pass complete to Kendall Moore for 12 yds to the CMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
20.3%
Terrel Hunt pass complete to Adrian Flemming for 15 yds to the CMich 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
20.2%
George Morris II run for 8 yds to the CMich 22Similar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+2
20.1%
George Morris II run for 2 yds to the CMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
20.1%
Terrel Hunt pass complete to Jamal Custis for 3 yds to the CMich 17Similar
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
21.2%
Terrel Hunt pass complete to Devante McFarlane for 9 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+3
20.6%
Devante McFarlane run for 3 yds to the Syrac 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+3
20.1%
Terrel Hunt run for 3 yds to the CMich 14Similar
Q2 3:32
3RD & 4
OPP 14
+3
19.0%
Terrel Hunt pass complete to Ben Lewis for 3 yds to the CMich 11Similar
Q2 3:32
4TH & 1
OPP 11
+3
20.0%
Devante McFarlane run for 3 yds to the CMich 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:32
1ST & 0
OPP 8
+4
18.2%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Brandon Greer) to the CMich 4Similar
Q2 3:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
18.8%
George Morris II run for no gain to the CMich 4Similar
Q2 3:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
18.8%
Terrel Hunt pass incomplete to Brisly EstimeSimilar
Q2 1:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
17.3%
Terrel Hunt pass complete to Brisly Estime for 4 yds for a TD, (Ryan Norton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+10
19.9%
RUSH, Cooper pass complete to KROLL, Jesse for 8 yards to the CMU31 (Morgan, W.), PENALTY SU holding (Morgan, W.) 10 yards to the CMU33, 1ST DOWN CMU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
20.0%
Saylor Lavallii run for 8 yds to the CMich 41Similar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+6
21.0%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 6 yds to the CMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
21.4%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Deon ButlerSimilar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
21.2%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Jesse KrollSimilar
Q2 1:52
3RD & 10
OWN 47
0
20.5%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Courtney WilliamsSimilar
Q2 1:52
4TH & 10
OWN 47
+48
20.3%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Ritchy Desir at the CENTMICH 10 SYRACUSE Penalty, delay of game (Ritchy Desir) to the Syrac 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 10END OF HALF
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:1582% → 82%
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-3
18.1%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 2Similar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 13
OWN 2
-1
17.9%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (-1 Yards) to the Syrac 1Similar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 14
OWN 1
+3
17.9%
Terrel Hunt run for 3 yds to the Syrac 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
18.8%
Terrel Hunt pass complete to Prince-Tyson Gulley for 3 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-5
18.8%
Gulley, P-T rush for 5 yards to the SU33 (FRAZIER, Kavon), PENALTY SU illegal formation 5 yards to the SU23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+36
19.0%
Terrel Hunt run for 36 yds to the CMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
17.6%
Terrel Hunt pass incomplete to Prince-Tyson GulleySimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+5
17.6%
Adonis Ameen-Moore run for 5 yds to the CMich 36Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 36
0
17.8%
Terrel Hunt pass incomplete to Adonis Ameen-MooreSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 36
-5
18.7%
SYRACUSE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the CMich 41Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 10
OPP 41
0
18.9%
Riley Dixon punt for 38 yds, downed at the CMich 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 12SF
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:0918% → 17%
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
18.3%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Jesse Kroll, broken up by Dyshawn DavisSimilar
Q3 12:47
2ND & 10
OWN 3
-3
17.1%
Team SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+20
14.9%
Terrel Hunt pass complete to Brisly Estime for 20 yds to the Syrac 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
14.1%
Devante McFarlane run for no gain to the Syrac 48Similar
Q3 12:47
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+4
14.1%
Terrel Hunt pass complete to Kendall Moore for 4 yds to the CMich 48Similar
Q3 12:47
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+8
14.2%
Terrel Hunt run for 8 yds to the CMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
14.0%
Terrel Hunt pass incomplete to Ashton BroyldSimilar
Q3 12:47
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-2
14.0%
George Morris II run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 42Similar
Q3 12:47
3RD & 12
OPP 42
0
14.3%
Terrel Hunt pass incomplete to Jamal CustisSimilar
Q3 12:47
4TH & 12
OPP 42
0
15.3%
Riley Dixon punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Saylor Lavallii at the CMich 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q3 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
15.9%
Devon Spalding run for no gain to the CMich 9Similar
Q3 10:23
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+11
15.8%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Mike Kinville for 11 yds to the CMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
16.0%
Maurice Shoemaker-Gilmore run for 3 yds to the CMich 23Similar
Q3 10:23
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
15.9%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Courtney WilliamsSimilar
Q3 10:23
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+6
15.6%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Corey Willis for 6 yds to the CMich 29Similar
Q3 10:23
4TH & 1
OWN 29
-2
16.1%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 43 yds , Ritchy Desir returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 15TD
13 plays · 74 yds · 4:0487% → 97%
Q3 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
13.1%
Ervin Philips run for 1 yd to the Syrac 27Similar
Q3 7:47
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+9
13.2%
Ervin Philips run for 9 yds to the Syrac 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
12.7%
Ervin Philips run for 12 yds to the Syrac 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
12.2%
Ervin Philips run for 4 yds to the CMich 48Similar
Q3 7:47
2ND & 6
OPP 48
0
12.2%
Terrel Hunt pass incomplete to Adrian Flemming, broken up by Chris KantzavelosSimilar
Q3 7:47
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+8
12.3%
Terrel Hunt run for 8 yds to the CMich 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
12.1%
Ervin Philips run for 3 yds to the CMich 37Similar
Q3 7:47
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+1
12.1%
Terrel Hunt run for 1 yd to the CMich 36Similar
Q3 7:47
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+14
12.3%
Terrel Hunt pass complete to Ashton Broyld for 14 yds to the CMich 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+12
11.7%
Ervin Philips run for 12 yds to the CMich 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+9
11.7%
Ervin Philips run for 9 yds to the CMich 1Similar
Q3 3:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
3.0%
Terrel Hunt run for 1 yd for a TDSimilar
Q3 3:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
2.8%
Terrel Hunt 1 Yd Run (Ryan Norton Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 17TD
3 plays · 19 yds · 0:3397% → 98%
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
2.8%
Terrel Hunt pass incomplete to Brisly EstimeSimilar
Q3 3:43
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+16
2.8%
Terrel Hunt pass complete to Alvin Cornelius for 16 yds to the CMich 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
1.8%
Terrel Hunt run for 3 yds for a TD, (Ryan Norton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 18DOWNS
9 plays · 38 yds · 3:102% → 1%
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
1.9%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Maurice Shoemaker-Gilmore for 10 yds to the CMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
2.0%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Corey Willis for 4 yds to the CMich 49Similar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+20
2.0%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Deon Butler for 20 yds to the Syrac 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
2.2%
Saylor Lavallii run for 5 yds to the Syrac 26Similar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 5
OPP 26
0
2.2%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Deon ButlerSimilar
Q3 3:10
3RD & 5
OPP 26
+4
2.1%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Maurice Shoemaker-Gilmore for 4 yds to the Syrac 22Similar
Q3 3:10
4TH & 1
OPP 22
-5
2.0%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, false start (Ramadan Ahmeti) to the Syrac 27Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 27
0
0.9%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete, broken up by Micah RobinsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
0.8%
Devante McFarlane run for 7 yds to the Syrac 34Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+2
0.7%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for 2 yds to the Syrac 36Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 1
OWN 36
+2
0.7%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for 2 yds to the Syrac 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
0.7%
Terrel Hunt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+1
0.8%
Terrel Hunt pass complete to Ervin Philips for 1 yd to the Syrac 39Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+6
0.8%
Terrel Hunt pass complete to Jamal Custis for 6 yds to the Syrac 45Similar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 3
OWN 45
0
0.8%
Riley Dixon punt for 47 yds , Saylor Lavallii returns for no gain to the CMich 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
0.4%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Courtney Williams, broken up by Zaire FranklinSimilar
Q4 12:11
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+3
0.4%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Martez Walker for 3 yds to the CMich 11Similar
Q4 12:11
3RD & 7
OWN 11
0
0.4%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete, broken up by Zaire FranklinSimilar
Q4 12:11
4TH & 7
OWN 11
0
0.4%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 36 yds, downed at the CMich 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 21MISSED FG
8 plays · 19 yds · 4:15100% → 100%
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
0.5%
George Morris II run for 4 yds to the CMich 43Similar
Q4 11:13
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+2
0.5%
Terrel Hunt run for 2 yds to the CMich 41Similar
Q4 11:13
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+6
0.5%
Terrel Hunt pass complete to Ashton Broyld for 6 yds to the CMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-2
0.5%
Ervin Philips run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 37Similar
Q4 11:13
2ND & 12
OPP 37
+7
0.5%
Ervin Philips run for 7 yds to the CMich 30Similar
Q4 11:13
3RD & 5
OPP 30
-5
0.5%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the CMich 35Similar
Q4 11:13
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+7
0.5%
Terrel Hunt pass complete to Ben Lewis for 7 yds to the CMich 28Similar
Q4 6:58
4TH & 3
OPP 28
+45
0.3%
Ryan Norton 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-15
0.2%
LAVALLII, S. rush for 6 yards to the CMU34 (Desir, R.), PENALTY CMU illegal block (BEAMISH, Nick) 15 yards to the CMU13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:58
1ST & 25
OWN 13
+35
0.2%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Jesse Kroll for 35 yds to the CMich 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
0.2%
Maurice Shoemaker-Gilmore run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:58
2ND & 8
50
0
0.2%
Cooper Rush pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:58
3RD & 8
50
0
0.2%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Courtney WilliamsSimilar
Q4 6:58
4TH & 8
50
0
0.2%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 36 yds, downed at the Syrac 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 23TD
7 plays · 86 yds · 3:52100% → 100%
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+23
0.2%
Adonis Ameen-Moore run for 23 yds to the Syrac 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
0.2%
Terrel Hunt pass complete to Jamal Custis for 2 yds to the Syrac 39Similar
Q4 4:51
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+53
0.2%
Adonis Ameen-Moore run for 53 yds to the CMich 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
0.2%
Terrel Hunt run for 3 yds to the CMich 5Similar
Q4 4:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
0.2%
Adonis Ameen-Moore run for 3 yds to the CMich 2Similar
Q4 4:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
0.2%
Adonis Ameen-Moore run for 1 yd to the CMich 1Similar
Q4 0:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.1%
Terrel Hunt run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ryan Norton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 24END OF GAME
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
0.1%
Martez Walker run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 23Similar
Q4 0:59
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+10
0.1%
Martez Walker run for 10 yds to the CMich 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:43
Timeout CENTRAL MICH, clock 10:43
-9.3
TD · Q3 3:43
Terrel Hunt run for 1 yd for a TD
-8.8
TD · Q2 10:43
Marqez Hodge 36 Yd Fumble Return (Ryan Norton Kick)
-5.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com