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VT

Virginia Tech 16 at Pittsburgh 21

PITT
2014 · Week 8 · Oct 16, 2014 · Acrisure Stadium
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Win probability · PITT
modelPITT aheadVT aheadconfidence bandkey playPITT scoreVT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:17 · Ryan Winslow punt for 47 yds , Kyshoen Jarrett returns for a loss of 4 yards to the VTech 5
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+25.0+12.50−12.5−25.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 104Home team on offense+7.1Pregame prior−3.2Garbage-time factor+2.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7Score differential+0.6Blowout margin−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:39: James Conner run for 15 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK) — PITT win probability +10.5 pts (now 68%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:00: Joey Slye 24 yd FG GOOD — VT win probability +4.4 pts (now 35%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:07: James Conner run for 13 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK) — PITT win probability +17.9 pts (now 91%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:52: Michael Brewer pass complete to Cam Phillips for 14 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK) — VT win probability +18.3 pts (now 24%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 4:52: Mitchell Ludwig kickoff for 64 yds , Avonte Maddox return for 18 yds to the Pitt 19 — PITT win probability +5.8 pts (now 82%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PITT made the numbers' call on 5 of 8VT made the numbers' call on 8 of 12
  1. Q1 9:58VT 4th & 4 at PITT 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 54.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.0%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:30VT 4th & 20 at VT 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.1%−0.8
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:11PITT 4th & 25 at VT 37, up 7
    Close callPunted · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.6%−0.8
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    52.4%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    52.3%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:42VT 4th & 9 at VT 2, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.3%−1.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:04PITT 4th & 16 at VT 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.4%−0.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    53.8%−0.3
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    54.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:02VT 4th & 8 at VT 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.7%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:20PITT 4th & 13 at PITT 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.2%−1.8
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:44VT 4th & 3 at PITT 25, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 43.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.0%−0.7
    66% to make
    Punt
    38.0%−5.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:09PITT 4th & 1 at PITT 39, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsPunted · 54.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.2%−1.3
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:01VT 4th & 7 at VT 28, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.4%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.8%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:00VT 4th & 7 at PITT 7, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.2%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    23.6%−6.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:32VT 4th & 4 at PITT 4, down 8
    Close callKicked a field goal · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    31.8%−1.0
    93% to make
    Punt
    20.6%−12.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:17PITT 4th & 6 at PITT 44, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.0%−0.9
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:34VT 4th & 5 at VT 10, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.2%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.3%
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:13PITT 4th & 6 at VT 38, up 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.1 ptsPunted · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    65.8%−2.0
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    65.7%−2.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:44VT 4th & 2 at PITT 38, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    33.2%−4.8
    38% to make
    Punt
    33.0%−5.0
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:52VT 4th & 3 at VT 16, down 12
    Close callPunted · 11.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.1%−0.5
    average punt
  18. Q4 7:24PITT 4th & 16 at VT 20, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%−2.3
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.3%
    75% to make
    Punt
    86.1%−6.3
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:30PITT 4th & 13 at PITT 30, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.0%−3.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.2%
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:22VT 4th & 11 at VT 45, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.4%
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.9%−3.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PITT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3VT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 6:32PITT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:39PITT Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 13:07PITT Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 4:52VT Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.6%−0.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PITTDrive 1FUMBLE
8 plays · 24 yds · 3:0642% → 43%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
41.9%
Chad Voytik run for 11 yds to the Pitt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
42.0%
Chad Voytik run for 3 yds to the Pitt 39Similar
Q1 13:38
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+6
42.3%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 6 yds to the Pitt 45Similar
Q1 13:07
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+2
42.5%
James Conner run for 2 yds to the Pitt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-10
42.8%
Chad Voytik sacked by Corey Marshall for a loss of 10 yards to the Pitt 37Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 20
OWN 37
+12
42.8%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 12 yds to the Pitt 49Similar
Q1 11:24
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+4
43.0%
Chad Voytik run for 4 yds to the VTech 47 Chad Voytik fumbled, recovered by VTech Derek Di NardoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:0258% → 57%
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
42.5%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Ryan Malleck for 4 yds to the Pitt 49Similar
Q1 10:32
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+2
42.5%
Michael Brewer run for 2 yds to the Pitt 47Similar
Q1 10:07
3RD & 4
OPP 47
0
42.7%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Bucky HodgesSimilar
Q1 9:58
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
43.0%
A.J. Hughes punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Tyler Boyd at the Pitt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 3TD
7 plays · 86 yds · 3:0843% → 48%
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+16
43.4%
James Conner run for 16 yds to the Pitt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
43.7%
James Conner run for 1 yd to the Pitt 31Similar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 9
OWN 31
+8
43.5%
James Conner run for 8 yds to the Pitt 39Similar
Q1 8:16
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+4
44.1%
James Conner run for 4 yds to the Pitt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-2
44.4%
James Conner run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 41Similar
Q1 6:55
2ND & 12
OWN 41
+6
44.3%
Chad Voytik run for 6 yds to the Pitt 47Similar
Q1 6:32
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+53
48.0%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 53 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · -10 yds · 1:5453% → 50%
Q1 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
47.5%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Isaiah FordSimilar
Q1 6:01
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-7
47.8%
J.C. Coleman run for 3 yds to the VTech 28 VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Sam Rogers) to the VTech 18Similar
Q1 5:27
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+5
48.3%
Deon Newsome run for 5 yds to the VTech 23Similar
Q1 4:50
3RD & 12
OWN 23
-8
49.1%
Michael Brewer sacked by David Durham for a loss of 8 yards to the VTech 15Similar
Q1 4:30
4TH & 20
OWN 15
0
49.6%
A.J. Hughes punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Pitt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:4750% → 50%
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+29
50.3%
Tyler Boyd pass complete to Chad Voytik for 29 yds to the VTech 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-3
50.7%
Chad Voytik run for a loss of 3 yards to the VTech 25Similar
Q1 2:58
2ND & 13
OPP 25
-12
51.2%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 3 yds to the VTech 22 PITTSBURGH Penalty, Illegal Block (Alex Officer) to the VTech 37Similar
Q1 2:30
2ND & 25
OPP 37
0
51.3%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Rachid Ibrahim for no gain to the VTech 37Similar
Q1 2:22
3RD & 25
OPP 37
0
51.0%
Chad Voytik pass incomplete to Tyler Boyd, broken up by Kendall FullerSimilar
Q1 2:11
4TH & 25
OPP 37
0
50.3%
Ryan Winslow punt for 36 yds, downed at the VTech 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:0849% → 47%
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
51.3%
Joel Caleb run for 1 yd to the VTech 2Similar
Q1 1:28
2ND & 9
OWN 2
0
51.7%
Joel Caleb run for no gain to the VTech 2Similar
Q1 0:53
3RD & 9
OWN 2
0
52.6%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Isaiah FordSimilar
Q1 0:42
4TH & 9
OWN 2
+8
53.1%
A.J. Hughes punt for 41 yds , Tyler Boyd returns for 8 yds to the VTech 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:5654% → 52%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
54.1%
James Conner run for 1 yd to the VTech 34Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 9
OPP 34
0
54.1%
Chad Voytik pass incomplete to Tyler BoydSimilar
Q2 14:22
3RD & 9
OPP 34
-7
53.9%
Chad Voytik sacked by Nigel Williams for a loss of 7 yards to the VTech 41Similar
Q2 14:04
4TH & 16
OPP 41
+20
52.4%
Ryan Winslow punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Greg Stroman at the VTech 6 PITTSBURGH Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (Reggie Mitchell) to the VTech 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:5447% → 45%
Q2 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
52.9%
Joel Caleb run for no gain to the VTech 21Similar
Q2 13:08
2ND & 10
OWN 21
-5
53.5%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Jonathan McLaughlin) to the VTech 16Similar
Q2 12:33
2ND & 15
OWN 16
+7
54.1%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 7 yds to the VTech 23Similar
Q2 12:14
3RD & 8
OWN 23
0
54.6%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Bucky HodgesSimilar
Q2 12:02
4TH & 8
OWN 23
0
55.4%
A.J. Hughes punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Pitt 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:1355% → 54%
Q2 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
55.2%
Chad Voytik run for 1 yd to the Pitt 27Similar
Q2 11:00
2ND & 9
OWN 27
-4
55.3%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Tyler Boyd for a loss of 4 yards to the Pitt 23Similar
Q2 10:37
3RD & 13
OWN 23
0
54.8%
Chad Voytik pass incomplete to Jester Weah, broken up by Chuck ClarkSimilar
Q2 10:20
4TH & 13
OWN 23
+38
54.2%
Ryan Winslow punt for 47 yds , Greg Stroman returns for 38 yds to the Pitt 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 10FG
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:3148% → 49%
Q2 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-5
52.4%
Brewer, Michael pass incomplete to Phillips, Cam, PENALTY VATECH illegal formation 5 yards to the PITTSBURGH37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:47
1ST & 15
OPP 37
+5
54.6%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Cam Phillips for 5 yds to the Pitt 32Similar
Q2 9:32
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
53.0%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Willie Byrn, broken up by Ray VinopalSimilar
Q2 9:24
3RD & 10
OPP 32
+5
54.4%
Brewer, Michael pass incomplete to Phillips, Cam, PENALTY PITTSBURGH offside (Grigsby, Nicholas) 5 yards to the PITTSBURGH27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:11
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+2
54.3%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Cam Phillips for 2 yds to the Pitt 25Similar
Q2 8:44
4TH & 3
OPP 25
+42
51.3%
Joey Slye 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:5153% → 53%
Q2 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
53.2%
Chris James run for 7 yds to the Pitt 37Similar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+1
54.3%
Chris James run for 1 yd to the Pitt 38Similar
Q2 7:23
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+1
54.0%
James Conner run for 1 yd to the Pitt 39Similar
Q2 7:09
4TH & 1
OWN 39
+1
53.4%
Ryan Winslow punt for 50 yds , Greg Stroman returns for 1 yd to the VTech 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 12FUMBLE
4 plays · 10 yds · 1:0546% → 46%
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+9
53.8%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Cam Phillips for 9 yds to the VTech 21Similar
Q2 6:03
2ND & 1
OWN 21
+2
53.3%
J.C. Coleman run for 2 yds to the VTech 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
53.9%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Ryan MalleckSimilar
Q2 5:37
2ND & 10
OWN 23
-1
54.2%
J.C. Coleman run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 22 J.C. Coleman fumbled, recovered by Pitt Khaynin Mosley-SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 13TD
4 plays · 22 yds · 1:2158% → 68%
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-10
57.5%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Devon Edwards) to the VTech 32Similar
Q2 4:45
1ST & 20
OPP 32
+16
57.1%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 16 yds to the VTech 16Similar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 4
OPP 16
+1
57.9%
James Conner run for 1 yd to the VTech 15Similar
Q2 3:39
3RD & 3
OPP 15
+15
68.4%
James Conner run for 15 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:1732% → 31%
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
67.6%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Willie Byrn for 3 yds Willie Byrn fumbled, recovered by VTechSimilar
Q2 3:08
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
67.5%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Willie ByrnSimilar
Q2 3:04
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
68.3%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Willie ByrnSimilar
Q2 3:01
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
68.9%
A.J. Hughes punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Tyler Boyd at the Pitt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 15INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
69.7%
Chad Voytik pass intercepted Corey Marshall return for 7 yds to the Pitt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 16END OF HALF
13 plays · 32 yds · 2:4834% → 35%
Q2 2:48
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
66.3%
Brewer, Michael pass incomplete to Phillips, Cam, PENALTY PITTSBURGH face mask (Mitchell, Reggie) 15 yards to the PITTSBURGH24, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN VATECH. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
65.0%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete, broken up by Darryl RenderSimilar
Q2 2:32
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+11
65.6%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 11 yds to the Pitt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+8
65.4%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Ryan Malleck for 8 yds to the Pitt 5Similar
Q2 1:58
2ND & 2
OPP 5
-5
65.0%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Caleb Farris) to the Pitt 10Similar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+5
65.3%
Brewer, Michael pass pass intercepted by Mitchell, Reggie at the PITTSBURGH0, Mitchell, Reggie return 0 yards to the PITTSBURGH0, PENALTY PITTSBURGH roughing passer (Soto, Shakir) 5 yards to the PITTSBURGH5, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN VATECH. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
65.4%
Sam Rogers run for 2 yds to the Pitt 3Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
65.9%
Michael Brewer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
67.0%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Delay of Game (NA) to the Pitt 8Similar
Q2 0:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
67.0%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (NA) to the Pitt 13Similar
Q2 0:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 13
+6
69.1%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Cam Phillips for 6 yds Cam Phillips fumbled, recovered by VTech Wade HansenSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
64.7%
Joey Slye 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 17FG
10 plays · 61 yds · 3:1036% → 39%
Q3 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
64.5%
Sam Rogers run for 8 yds to the VTech 43Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+1
63.1%
Sam Rogers run for 1 yd to the VTech 44Similar
Q3 14:00
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+6
63.5%
Joel Caleb run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
50
+41
63.1%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 41 yds to the Pitt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
61.6%
Joel Caleb run for 4 yds to the Pitt 5Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
62.5%
Bucky Hodges run for 1 yd to the Pitt 4Similar
Q3 11:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
64.4%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Isaiah FordSimilar
Q3 11:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
61.0%
Joey Slye 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:3863% → 63%
Q3 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
62.6%
Chad Voytik run for 6 yds to the Pitt 34Similar
Q3 10:34
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+6
63.9%
Chad Voytik run for 6 yds to the Pitt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
64.9%
Chad Voytik pass complete to James Conner for 7 yds to the Pitt 47Similar
Q3 9:35
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+1
65.8%
Chad Voytik run for 1 yd to the Pitt 48Similar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 2
OWN 48
-4
65.1%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Rachid Ibrahim for a loss of 4 yards to the Pitt 44Similar
Q3 8:17
4TH & 6
OWN 44
-4
63.3%
Ryan Winslow punt for 47 yds , Kyshoen Jarrett returns for a loss of 4 yards to the VTech 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 19FUMBLE
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1534% → 32%
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+1
66.2%
Joel Caleb run for 1 yd to the VTech 6Similar
Q3 7:37
2ND & 9
OWN 6
+3
66.5%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Sam Rogers for 3 yds to the VTech 9Similar
Q3 7:08
3RD & 6
OWN 9
+1
67.9%
Michael Brewer run for 1 yd to the VTech 10Similar
Q3 6:34
4TH & 5
OWN 10
0
68.0%
A.J. Hughes punt for 43 yds , Tyler Boyd returns for no gain to the Pitt 47 Tyler Boyd fumbled, recovered by Pitt Tyler BoydSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 3:0868% → 68%
Q3 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
67.6%
Chris James run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 5:43
2ND & 7
50
+2
68.3%
Chris James run for 2 yds to the VTech 48Similar
Q3 5:16
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+6
68.2%
Chad Voytik run for 6 yds to the VTech 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
69.0%
Chris James run for no gain to the VTech 42Similar
Q3 4:10
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+3
69.0%
Chad Voytik run for 3 yds to the VTech 39Similar
Q3 3:38
3RD & 7
OPP 39
+1
69.5%
Chad Voytik run for 1 yd to the VTech 38Similar
Q3 3:13
4TH & 6
OPP 38
0
67.8%
Ryan Winslow punt for 29 yds, downed at the VTech 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 21DOWNS
13 plays · 53 yds · 4:1830% → 30%
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+3
69.7%
Sam Rogers run for 3 yds to the VTech 12Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 7
OWN 12
+17
69.2%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 17 yds to the VTech 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+10
68.6%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Sam Rogers for 10 yds to the VTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
67.0%
Sam Rogers run for 9 yds to the VTech 48Similar
Q3 1:14
2ND & 1
OWN 48
-5
65.0%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (Cam Phillips) to the VTech 43Similar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 6
OWN 43
-5
65.9%
Brewer, Michael pass complete to Newsome, Deon for 3 yards to the VATECH46, PENALTY VATECH illegal shift 5 yards to the VATECH38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:30
2ND & 11
OWN 38
0
68.7%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Willie Byrn for no gain to the VTech 38Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 11
OWN 38
+16
72.3%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Ryan Malleck for 16 yds to the Pitt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
67.3%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Cam PhillipsSimilar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-4
68.0%
Sam Rogers sacked by Rori Blair for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:00
3RD & 14
50
+12
72.1%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Cam Phillips for 12 yds to the Pitt 38Similar
Q4 13:44
4TH & 2
OPP 38
0
70.4%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Willie ByrnSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 22TD
2 plays · 62 yds · 0:2373% → 91%
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+49
72.8%
Chad Voytik run for 49 yds to the VTech 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
90.7%
James Conner run for 13 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:579% → 8%
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+7
91.0%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Bucky Hodges for 7 yds to the VTech 16Similar
Q4 12:18
2ND & 3
OWN 16
0
90.9%
Joel Caleb run for no gain to the VTech 16Similar
Q4 12:01
3RD & 3
OWN 16
0
91.4%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Ryan MalleckSimilar
Q4 11:52
4TH & 3
OWN 16
0
91.7%
A.J. Hughes punt for 57 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Pitt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 24MISSED FG
11 plays · 53 yds · 4:2393% → 94%
Q4 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+12
92.7%
Chad Voytik run for 12 yds to the Pitt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
93.1%
Chad Voytik pass complete to James Conner for 3 yds to the Pitt 42Similar
Q4 10:46
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+17
93.3%
Chad Voytik run for 17 yds to the VTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
93.6%
James Conner run for 4 yds to the VTech 37Similar
Q4 9:31
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+5
93.9%
James Conner run for 5 yds to the VTech 32Similar
Q4 9:14
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+18
94.0%
James Conner run for 18 yds to the VTech 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
94.3%
James Conner run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 15Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 11
OPP 15
-5
94.4%
James, Chris rush for 9 yards to the VATECH6, PENALTY PITTSBURGH illegal formation 5 yards to the VATECH20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:38
2ND & 16
OPP 20
0
94.5%
Chad Voytik pass incomplete to Manasseh GarnerSimilar
Q4 7:30
3RD & 16
OPP 20
0
94.3%
Chad Voytik pass incomplete to Kevin Weatherspoon, broken up by Chuck ClarkSimilar
Q4 7:24
4TH & 16
OPP 20
+38
93.8%
Chris Blewitt 38 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Dadi NicolasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 25TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 2:255% → 24%
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
95.1%
Michael Brewer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:07
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+11
95.1%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 11 yds to the VTech 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
94.7%
Michael Brewer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:37
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+11
95.2%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Cam Phillips for 11 yds to the VTech 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
95.2%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Sam RogersSimilar
Q4 6:01
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+19
95.3%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Isaiah Ford for 19 yds to the Pitt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
95.1%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Joel Caleb for 15 yds to the Pitt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+10
94.9%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Joel Caleb for 10 yds to the Pitt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
76.5%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Cam Phillips for 14 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 2:1586% → 88%
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+14
86.1%
Chad Voytik run for 14 yds to the Pitt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
88.8%
James Conner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 32Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 11
OWN 32
-2
89.5%
Chad Voytik run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 30Similar
Q4 2:42
3RD & 13
OWN 30
0
88.4%
Chad Voytik pass incomplete to Rachid IbrahimSimilar
Q4 2:30
4TH & 13
OWN 30
+8
87.6%
Ryan Winslow punt for 47 yds , Greg Stroman returns for 8 yds to the VTech 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 27DOWNS
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:4215% → 10%
Q4 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
85.3%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Michael Brewer for 5 yds to the VTech 36Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+10
84.1%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Willie Byrn for 10 yds to the VTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-10
83.3%
Michael Brewer sacked by Nicholas Grigsby for a loss of 10 yards to the VTech 36Similar
Q4 1:39
2ND & 20
OWN 36
0
89.1%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Bucky HodgesSimilar
Q4 1:31
3RD & 19
OWN 36
+9
90.4%
Michael Brewer pass complete to Willie Byrn for 9 yds to the VTech 45Similar
Q4 1:22
4TH & 11
OWN 45
0
90.4%
Michael Brewer pass incomplete to Cam PhillipsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 28END OF GAME
2 plays · -6 yds · 0:3095% → 95%
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-2
94.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 47Similar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 12
OPP 47
-2
95.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:52
Michael Brewer pass complete to Cam Phillips for 14 yds for a TD, (Joey Slye KICK)
-18.3
TD · Q4 13:07
James Conner run for 13 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK)
+17.9
TD · Q2 3:39
James Conner run for 15 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK)
+10.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com