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IOWA

Iowa 24 at Pittsburgh 20

PITT
2014 · Week 4 · Sep 20, 2014 · Acrisure Stadium
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Win probability · PITT
modelPITT aheadIOWA aheadconfidence bandkey playPITT scoreIOWA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 11:35 · Ryan Winslow punt for 30 yds, downed at the Iowa 6
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differential
+33.0+16.50−16.5−33.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 86Home team on offense+10.8Pregame prior+4.2Garbage-time factor+5.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.1Score differential+1.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:16: James Conner run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK) — PITT win probability +7.0 pts (now 71%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:17: Mark Weisman run for 10 yds for a TD, (Mick Ellis KICK) — IOWA win probability +14.7 pts (now 41%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. FG · Q3 4:54: Chris Blewitt 29 yd FG GOOD — PITT win probability +6.4 pts (now 73%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 0:48: Marshall Koehn 52 yd FG GOOD — IOWA win probability +5.1 pts (now 34%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:56: Mark Weisman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mick Ellis KICK) — IOWA win probability +48.3 pts (now 80%) (top driver: IOWA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PITT made the numbers' call on 3 of 7IOWA made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 10:30PITT 4th & 4 at IOWA 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    61.9%−0.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    62.1%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:22IOWA 4th & 7 at IOWA 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.9%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:58IOWA 4th & 2 at PITT 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    34.3%−0.5
    85% to make
    Punt
    31.3%−3.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:37PITT 4th & 1 at IOWA 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    61.2%−1.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    60.9%−1.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:42PITT 4th & 1 at IOWA 2, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.8%
    60% to convert
    Field goal
    59.5%−2.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    54.2%−7.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:34IOWA 4th & 3 at IOWA 30, down 7
    Close callPunted · 29.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.9%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:35PITT 4th & 7 at IOWA 36, up 10
    Close callPunted · 77.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    77.1%−0.5
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    76.7%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:54PITT 4th & 2 at IOWA 11, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 67.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.4%−1.6
    87% to make
    Punt
    55.7%−11.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:48IOWA 4th & 9 at PITT 34, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.8%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.9%
    47% to make
    Punt
    27.4%−1.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:43PITT 4th & 17 at PITT 18, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.0%−5.9
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.8%
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:33IOWA 4th & 1 at PITT 15, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    32.5%−2.5
    83% to make
    Punt
    18.9%−16.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:12IOWA 4th & 1 at PITT 4, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.6%
    65% to convert
    Field goal
    33.9%−1.7
    93% to make
    Punt
    17.9%−17.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:37PITT 4th & 10 at IOWA 29, down 4
    Numbers favored field goal by 3.7 ptsWent for it · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.8%−3.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    23.6%
    58% to make
    Punt
    10.2%−13.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:25IOWA 4th & 11 at IOWA 47, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.0%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PITT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2IOWA made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 4:15PITT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:58IOWA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:16PITT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:17IOWA Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:56IOWA Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.0%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.3%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IOWADrive 1INT
6 plays · 12 yds · 2:2740% → 40%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
59.7%
Jordan Canzeri run for 2 yds to the Iowa 27Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
59.7%
Mark Weisman run for 5 yds to the Iowa 32Similar
Q1 13:41
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
59.7%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Kevonte Martin-Manley for 4 yds to the Iowa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
59.7%
Jordan Canzeri run for 1 yd to the Iowa 37Similar
Q1 12:23
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+67
59.6%
Jake Rudock pass intercepted Lafayette Pitts return for 31 yds to the PITTSBURGH 32 PITTSBURGH Penalty, Illegal Block (36 Yards) to the Pitt 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 27 yds · 1:3060% → 60%
Q1 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+21
59.8%
James Conner run for 21 yds to the Pitt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
60.1%
James Conner run for 3 yds to the Iowa 49Similar
Q1 11:14
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+3
60.2%
James Conner run for 3 yds to the Iowa 46Similar
Q1 10:39
3RD & 4
OPP 46
0
60.2%
Chad Voytik pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:30
4TH & 4
OPP 46
0
59.9%
Ryan Winslow punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Iowa 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 1:5940% → 40%
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+3
59.7%
Jordan Canzeri run for 3 yds to the Iowa 14Similar
Q1 9:49
2ND & 7
OWN 14
+14
59.7%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Tevaun Smith for 14 yds to the Iowa 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
59.6%
Jordan Canzeri run for 3 yds to the Iowa 31Similar
Q1 8:40
2ND & 7
OWN 31
0
59.4%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Matt VandeBergSimilar
Q1 8:33
3RD & 7
OWN 31
0
59.8%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Jake DuzeySimilar
Q1 8:22
4TH & 7
OWN 31
0
60.2%
Dillon Kidd punt for 33 yds, downed at the Pitt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 4TD
8 plays · 64 yds · 3:5560% → 65%
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
60.2%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Tyler Boyd for no gain to the Pitt 36Similar
Q1 7:37
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+10
60.1%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 10 yds to the Pitt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
60.7%
James Conner run for 7 yds to the Iowa 47Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+22
61.0%
James Conner run for 22 yds to the Iowa 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
61.3%
Chad Voytik run for 3 yds to the Iowa 22Similar
Q1 5:20
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+7
61.4%
Chad Voytik run for 7 yds to the Iowa 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
61.5%
James Conner run for 1 yd to the Iowa 14Similar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+14
65.3%
Chris James run for 14 yds for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 5TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:0736% → 41%
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
63.7%
Mark Weisman run for 6 yds to the Iowa 31Similar
Q1 3:35
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
63.5%
Mark Weisman run for 4 yds to the Iowa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+44
63.8%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Matt VandeBerg for 44 yds to the Pitt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
62.5%
Jake Rudock pass incomplete to Jake DuzeySimilar
Q1 2:23
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+5
62.6%
Mark Weisman run for 5 yds to the Pitt 16Similar
Q1 1:28
3RD & 5
OPP 16
+3
63.4%
Damon Bullock run for 3 yds to the Pitt 13Similar
Q1 0:58
4TH & 2
OPP 13
+13
58.6%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Henry Krieger Coble for 13 yds for a TD, (Mick Ellis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 6TD
20 plays · 75 yds · 9:3461% → 71%
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
60.5%
James Conner run for 7 yds to the Pitt 32Similar
Q1 0:17
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
61.3%
James Conner run for 2 yds to the Pitt 34Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+11
60.8%
James Conner run for 11 yds to the Pitt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
61.8%
Chad Voytik pass complete to James Conner for 9 yds to the Iowa 46Similar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+2
62.3%
Chris James run for 2 yds to the Iowa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
62.3%
James Conner run for 5 yds to the Iowa 39Similar
Q2 12:38
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+3
62.5%
James Conner run for 3 yds to the Iowa 36Similar
Q2 12:07
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+1
62.3%
Isaac Bennett run for 1 yd to the Iowa 35Similar
Q2 11:37
4TH & 1
OPP 35
+4
61.7%
James Conner run for 4 yds to the Iowa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
63.3%
Tyler Boyd run for 6 yds to the Iowa 25Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 4
OPP 25
-12
63.4%
Chris James run for 3 yds to the Iowa 22 PITTSBURGH Penalty, Personal Foul (Tyler Boyd) to the Iowa 37Similar
Q2 9:48
2ND & 16
OPP 37
+8
62.0%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 8 yds to the Iowa 29Similar
Q2 9:16
3RD & 8
OPP 29
+18
62.9%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 18 yds to the Iowa 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+9
63.8%
James Conner run for 9 yds to the Iowa 2Similar
Q2 7:44
2ND & 1
OPP 2
-2
63.8%
James Conner run for a loss of 2 yards to the Iowa 4Similar
Q2 7:21
3RD & 3
OPP 4
+2
63.0%
James Conner run for 2 yds to the Iowa 2Similar
Q2 6:42
4TH & 1
OPP 2
+1
62.0%
James Conner run for 1 yd to the Iowa 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
70.8%
James Conner run for 1 yd for a TD, (Chris Blewitt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 2:3231% → 30%
Q2 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+9
69.0%
Mark Weisman run for 9 yds to the Iowa 18Similar
Q2 5:39
2ND & 1
OWN 18
+5
68.5%
Mark Weisman run for 5 yds to the Iowa 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
69.0%
Jake Rudock pass complete to Damon Bullock for 5 yds to the Iowa 28Similar
Q2 4:18
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+2
68.7%
Mark Weisman run for 2 yds to the Iowa 30Similar
Q2 3:43
3RD & 3
OWN 30
0
69.4%
Jake Rudock pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:34
4TH & 3
OWN 30
0
70.5%
Dillon Kidd punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Tyler Boyd at the Pitt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 8FG
15 plays · 66 yds · 3:2670% → 76%
Q2 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+11
69.7%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 11 yds to the Pitt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
70.0%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, False Start (Manasseh Garner) to the Pitt 25Similar
Q2 2:49
1ST & 15
OWN 25
-10
69.5%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Pitt 15Similar
Q2 2:24
1ST & 25
OWN 15
+3
69.7%
Chad Voytik run for 3 yds to the Pitt 18Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 22
OWN 18
+24
69.6%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 24 yds to the Pitt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
71.8%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Ronald Jones for 7 yds to the Pitt 49Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+10
72.4%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Manasseh Garner for 10 yds to the Iowa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
72.7%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Kevin Weatherspoon for 4 yds to the Iowa 37Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+6
72.0%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Manasseh Garner for 6 yds to the Iowa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-7
72.4%
Chad Voytik sacked by Drew Ott for a loss of 7 yards to the Iowa 38Similar
Q2 0:15
2ND & 17
OPP 38
0
72.4%
Chad Voytik pass incomplete to Isaac BennettSimilar
Q2 0:06
3RD & 17
OPP 38
+23
71.5%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Kevin Weatherspoon for 23 yds to the Iowa 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+33
76.4%
Chris Blewitt 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 39 yds · 3:1775% → 77%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
74.7%
James Conner run for 24 yds to the Pitt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
76.3%
James Conner run for 8 yds to the Iowa 43Similar
Q3 13:49
2ND & 2
OPP 43
0
76.7%
Chris James run for no gain to the Iowa 43Similar
Q3 13:24
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+4
76.1%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Jaymar Parrish for 4 yds to the Iowa 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
77.8%
James Conner run for 3 yds to the Iowa 36Similar
Q3 12:12
2ND & 7
OPP 36
0
77.9%
Chris James run for no gain to the Iowa 36Similar
Q3 11:38
3RD & 7
OPP 36
0
77.7%
Chad Voytik pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:35
4TH & 7
OPP 36
0
76.5%
Ryan Winslow punt for 30 yds, downed at the Iowa 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 11TD
7 plays · 94 yds · 3:1124% → 41%
Q3 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+4
76.5%
Mark Weisman run for 4 yds to the Iowa 10Similar
Q3 10:54
2ND & 6
OWN 10
+3
76.7%
Mark Weisman run for 3 yds to the Iowa 13Similar
Q3 10:20
3RD & 3
OWN 13
+7
77.7%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Kevonte Martin-Manley for 7 yds to the Iowa 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+62
77.1%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Damond Powell for 62 yds to the Pitt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
73.6%
Jordan Canzeri run for 7 yds to the Pitt 11Similar
Q3 8:55
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+1
73.7%
Jordan Canzeri run for 1 yd to the Pitt 10Similar
Q3 8:17
3RD & 3
OPP 10
+10
59.0%
Mark Weisman run for 10 yds for a TD, (Mick Ellis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 12FG
10 plays · 64 yds · 3:1565% → 73%
Q3 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+39
65.0%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 39 yds to the Iowa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
68.5%
James Conner run for 1 yd to the Iowa 35Similar
Q3 7:06
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+1
69.4%
James Conner run for 1 yd to the Iowa 34Similar
Q3 6:29
3RD & 8
OPP 34
+15
68.2%
IOWA Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Iowa 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-5
69.7%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, False Start (T.J. Clemmings) to the Iowa 24Similar
Q3 6:19
1ST & 15
OPP 24
+1
69.2%
James Conner run for 1 yd to the Iowa 23Similar
Q3 5:43
2ND & 14
OPP 23
0
68.4%
Chad Voytik pass incomplete to Tyler BoydSimilar
Q3 5:34
3RD & 14
OPP 23
+12
66.6%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Ronald Jones for 12 yds to the Iowa 11Similar
Q3 4:54
4TH & 2
OPP 11
+29
73.0%
Chris Blewitt 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 13FG
11 plays · 39 yds · 3:4431% → 34%
Q3 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
68.7%
Mark Weisman run for no gain to the Iowa 27Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+14
69.4%
Damond Powell run for 14 yds to the Iowa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
67.1%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Jake Duzey for 6 yds to the Iowa 47Similar
Q3 2:57
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+8
65.7%
Jordan Canzeri run for 8 yds to the Pitt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
65.3%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, Defensive Holding (Rori Blair) to the Pitt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
63.7%
Mark Weisman run for 1 yd to the Pitt 34Similar
Q3 1:16
2ND & 9
OPP 34
0
63.8%
C.J. Beathard pass incomplete to Matt VandeBergSimilar
Q3 1:11
3RD & 9
OPP 34
0
71.2%
Damon Bullock run for no gain to the Pitt 34Similar
Q3 0:48
4TH & 9
OPP 34
+52
66.1%
Marshall Koehn 52 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 0:5767% → 64%
Q3 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
67.2%
James Conner run for 3 yds to the Pitt 28Similar
Q3 0:02
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-10
67.6%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, Offensive Holding (Manasseh Garner) to the Pitt 18Similar
Q3 0:01
2ND & 17
OWN 18
0
66.6%
Chad Voytik run for no gain to the Pitt 18Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 17
OWN 18
0
65.2%
Chad Voytik pass incomplete to Manasseh GarnerSimilar
Q4 14:43
4TH & 17
OWN 18
+8
64.4%
Ryan Winslow punt for 42 yds , Riley McCarron returns for 8 yds to the Iowa 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 15TD
16 plays · 52 yds · 7:3836% → 80%
Q4 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
63.8%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Reggie Mitchell) to the Pitt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-2
63.1%
Jordan Canzeri run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 39Similar
Q4 13:41
2ND & 12
OPP 39
+5
64.6%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Jake Duzey for 5 yds to the Pitt 34Similar
Q4 13:03
3RD & 7
OPP 34
+10
63.7%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Ray Hamilton for 10 yds to the Pitt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
61.6%
Mark Weisman run for 1 yd to the Pitt 23Similar
Q4 11:41
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+5
61.7%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to John Kenny for 5 yds to the Pitt 18Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+3
63.5%
C.J. Beathard pass complete to Jacob Hillyer for 3 yds to the Pitt 15Similar
Q4 10:33
4TH & 1
OPP 15
+2
65.6%
C.J. Beathard run for 2 yds to the Pitt 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
61.6%
Mark Weisman run for 5 yds to the Pitt 8Similar
Q4 9:33
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+3
61.2%
Mark Weisman run for 3 yds to the Pitt 5Similar
Q4 8:43
3RD & 2
OPP 5
+1
63.2%
Mark Weisman run for 1 yd to the Pitt 4Similar
Q4 8:12
4TH & 1
OPP 4
+3
69.2%
Mark Weisman run for 3 yds to the Pitt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
68.0%
Mark Weisman run for no gain to the Pitt 1Similar
Q4 6:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
19.8%
Mark Weisman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mick Ellis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 16DOWNS
13 plays · 46 yds · 5:1238% → 27%
Q4 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
38.4%
James Conner run for 2 yds to the Pitt 27Similar
Q4 6:09
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
38.5%
Chad Voytik pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:01
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+22
35.7%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Manasseh Garner for 22 yds to the Pitt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-2
42.5%
Tyler Boyd run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 47Similar
Q4 4:42
2ND & 12
OWN 47
+12
35.6%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 12 yds to the Iowa 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
39.5%
James Conner run for 5 yds to the Iowa 36Similar
Q4 3:37
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+4
39.5%
James Conner run for 4 yds to the Iowa 32Similar
Q4 3:02
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+3
37.9%
James Conner run for 3 yds to the Iowa 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
42.2%
James Conner run for no gain to the Iowa 29Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
37.4%
Chad Voytik pass incomplete to Kevin WeatherspoonSimilar
Q4 1:44
3RD & 10
OPP 29
0
32.3%
Chad Voytik pass incomplete to Tyler BoydSimilar
Q4 1:37
4TH & 10
OPP 29
0
27.2%
Chad Voytik pass incomplete to Tyler BoydSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IOWADrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 1:0590% → 94%
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+19
10.1%
Mark Weisman run for 19 yds to the Iowa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
8.4%
Mark Weisman run for no gain to the Iowa 48Similar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+1
8.4%
Mark Weisman run for 1 yd to the Iowa 49Similar
Q4 1:09
3RD & 9
OWN 49
+3
8.2%
C.J. Beathard run for 3 yds to the Pitt 48Similar
Q4 0:30
4TH & 6
OPP 48
-5
5.6%
IOWA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Iowa 47Similar
Q4 0:25
4TH & 11
OWN 47
0
6.3%
Dillon Kidd punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Tyler Boyd at the Pitt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 18INT
4 plays · 31 yds · 0:1914% → 16%
Q4 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+16
13.8%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 16 yds to the Pitt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
14.1%
Chad Voytik pass complete to Tyler Boyd for 15 yds to the Iowa 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
16.8%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+8
16.1%
Chad Voytik pass intercepted Anthony Gair return for 8 yds to the Iowa 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:56
Mark Weisman run for 1 yd for a TD, (Mick Ellis KICK)
-48.3
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-16.1
TD · Q3 8:17
Mark Weisman run for 10 yds for a TD, (Mick Ellis KICK)
-14.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com