Try the model
FAMU

Florida A&M 7 at Miami 41

MIA
2014 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2014 · Hard Rock Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · MIA
modelMIA aheadFAMU aheadconfidence bandkey playMIA scoreFAMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFUMBLETDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:06 · Colby Blanton punt for 34 yds, downed at the MiaFl 38
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 71Pregame prior+40.0Home team on offense+25.7Score differential+21.8Garbage-time factor+3.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.2Blowout margin+10.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:49: Duke Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Goudis KICK) — MIA win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:11: Gus Edwards run for 15 yds for a TD, (Matt Goudis KICK) — MIA win probability +0.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:02: Brad Kaaya pass complete to Phillip Dorsett for 32 yds for a TD, (Matt Goudis KICK) — MIA win probability +0.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  4. FUMBLE · Q2 0:23: TEAM run for no gain TEAM fumbled, recovered by FlaAM John Boston for a TD — FAMU win probability +0.5 pts (now 1%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:17: Trayone Gray run for 10 yds for a TD, (Matt Goudis KICK) — MIA win probability +0.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIA made the numbers' call on 4 of 9FAMU made the numbers' call on 12 of 12
  1. Q1 15:00FAMU 4th & 7 at FAMU 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:27FAMU 4th & 12 at FAMU 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00FAMU 4th & 1 at MIA 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%−0.2
    27% to make
    Punt
    1.2%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00FAMU 4th & 14 at MIA 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    1.3%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:11FAMU 4th & 10 at FAMU 21, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:15MIA 4th & 11 at FAMU 28, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.1%
    60% to make
    Punt
    98.8%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:15FAMU 4th & 7 at FAMU 32, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:06FAMU 4th & 7 at FAMU 28, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:23MIA 4th & 10 at MIA 38, up 28
    Close callWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.7%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:23MIA 4th & 10 at MIA 38, up 21
    Close callWent for it · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.9%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:38FAMU 4th & 20 at MIA 31, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.0%
    54% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:38MIA 4th & 12 at FAMU 31, up 21
    Close callWent for it · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.9%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    99.0%
    54% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:11MIA 4th & 3 at FAMU 3, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.0%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    98.3%−0.9
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:11FAMU 4th & 8 at FAMU 19, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:12MIA 4th & 6 at FAMU 15, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.4%
    83% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:12FAMU 4th & 6 at FAMU 24, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:48MIA 4th & 1 at MIA 43, up 24
    Close callPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%−0.1
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:41FAMU 4th & 15 at FAMU 9, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  19. Q4 6:25MIA 4th & 5 at FAMU 37, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%−0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 2:31MIA 4th & 6 at FAMU 6, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  21. Q4 2:31FAMU 4th & 4 at FAMU 31, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIA made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 11:27MIA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:49MIA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:11MIA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:02MIA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:17MIA Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FAMUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
99.6%
Gerald Hearns run for 1 yd to the FlaAM 12Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 12
0
99.6%
Damien Fleming pass incomplete to Brandon NorwoodSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 12
+2
99.6%
Gerald Hearns run for 2 yds to the FlaAM 14Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 14
+3
99.6%
Colby Blanton punt for 38 yds , Stacy Coley returns for 3 yds to the FlaAM 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 2TD
6 plays · 49 yds · 1:56100% → 100%
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+16
99.6%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Herb Waters for 16 yds to the FlaAM 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
99.6%
Brad Kaaya pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 13:23
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+16
99.6%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Clive Walford for 16 yds to the FlaAM 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+13
99.6%
Duke Johnson run for 13 yds to the FlaAM 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.6%
Brad Kaaya pass incomplete to N/A, broken up by Devonte JohnsonSimilar
Q1 11:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.5%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Phillip Dorsett for 4 yds for a TD, (Matt Goudis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
99.5%
Gerald Hearns run for no gain to the FlaAM 19Similar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+3
99.5%
Gerald Hearns run for 3 yds to the FlaAM 22Similar
Q1 11:27
3RD & 7
OWN 22
-5
99.5%
FLEMING,Damien pass complete to WILLIAMS,Montav for 21 yards to the FAMU43 (Tracy Howard), PENALTY FAMU IR 5 yards to the FAMU17, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:27
3RD & 12
OWN 17
0
99.5%
Damien Fleming run for no gain to the FlaAM 17Similar
Q1 11:27
4TH & 12
OWN 17
0
99.5%
Colby Blanton punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaAM 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 4INT
4 plays · 20 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
99.4%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Braxton Berrios for 5 yds to the FlaAM 44Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+3
99.4%
Duke Johnson run for 3 yds to the FlaAM 41Similar
Q1 8:42
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+12
99.4%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Braxton Berrios for 12 yds to the FlaAM 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
99.4%
Brad Kaaya pass intercepted, touchback. Darren Parker return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 5FUMBLE
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.3%
Tysean Holloway run for 5 yds to the FlaAM 25Similar
Q1 6:21
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+7
99.3%
Damien Fleming pass complete to Casey Glines for 7 yds to the FlaAM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
99.3%
Tysean Holloway run for 1 yd to the FlaAM 33Similar
Q1 6:21
2ND & 9
OWN 33
0
99.3%
Damien Fleming run for no gain to the FlaAM 33Similar
Q1 6:21
3RD & 9
OWN 33
-17
99.3%
Damien Fleming sacked by Thurston Armbrister for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaAM 13 Damien Fleming fumbled, recovered by MiaFl Anthony Chickillo , return for 0 yards FLORIDA A&M Penalty, personal foul (N/A) to the FlaAM 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 6TD
2 plays · 13 yds · 0:3999% → 99%
Q1 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+12
99.2%
Duke Johnson run for 12 yds to the FlaAM 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.3%
Duke Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Matt Goudis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 7PUNT
12 plays · 39 yds · 2:491% → 1%
Q1 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
99.3%
Tysean Holloway run for 1 yd to the FlaAM 17Similar
Q1 2:49
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+30
99.3%
Damien Fleming pass complete to Brandon Norwood for 30 yds to the FlaAM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
99.2%
Damien Fleming pass complete to Brandon Norwood for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 2:49
2ND & 7
50
+6
99.2%
Tysean Holloway run for 6 yds to the MiaFl 44Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 44
0
99.1%
Damien Fleming run for no gain to the MiaFl 44Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 44
+3
99.1%
Tysean Holloway run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
99.1%
Tysean Holloway run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 40
0
99.1%
Damien Fleming pass incomplete to Brandon NorwoodSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 40
-5
99.1%
HOLLOWAY,Tysean rush for 21 yards to the UM19, out-of-bounds (Denzel Perryman), PENALTY FAMU illegal motion (WILLIAMS,Montav) 5 yards to the UM45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 14
OPP 45
0
99.1%
Damien Fleming pass incomplete to Tysean Holloway, broken up by Anthony ChickilloSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 14
OPP 45
0
99.1%
Colby Blanton punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaFl 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 8TD
6 plays · 83 yds · 2:2199% → 99%
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+55
99.1%
Duke Johnson run for 55 yds to the FlaAM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-10
99.1%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Clive Walford for 8 yards to the FAMU20, out-of-bounds (TULLOCH,Peter), PENALTY UM holding (Taylor Gadbois) 10 yards to the FAMU38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:19
1ST & 20
OPP 38
+16
99.0%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Malcolm Lewis for 16 yds to the FlaAM 22Similar
Q2 11:19
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+7
99.0%
Gus Edwards run for 7 yds to the FlaAM 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
99.4%
Gus Edwards run for 15 yds for a TD, (Matt Goudis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-3
99.4%
Damien Fleming pass complete to Montavius Williams for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaAM 18Similar
Q2 10:11
2ND & 13
OWN 18
0
99.4%
Damien Fleming pass incomplete to Gerald HearnsSimilar
Q2 10:11
3RD & 13
OWN 18
+3
99.4%
Gerald Hearns run for 3 yds to the FlaAM 21Similar
Q2 10:11
4TH & 10
OWN 21
+29
99.4%
Colby Blanton punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaAM 27 , Stacy Coley returns for 29 yds to the FlaAM 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 10MISSED FG
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:01100% → 99%
Q2 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
99.5%
Brad Kaaya pass incomplete to Clive Walford, broken up by Jules DornevilSimilar
Q2 8:16
2ND & 10
OPP 27
-1
99.5%
Duke Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaAM 28Similar
Q2 7:26
3RD & 11
OPP 28
0
99.5%
Brad Kaaya pass incomplete to Duke JohnsonSimilar
Q2 7:15
4TH & 11
OPP 28
+45
99.4%
Matt Goudis 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
99.3%
Tysean Holloway run for 2 yds to the FlaAM 31Similar
Q2 7:15
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+2
99.3%
Tysean Holloway run for 2 yds to the FlaAM 33Similar
Q2 7:15
3RD & 6
OWN 33
-1
99.3%
Tysean Holloway run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaAM 32Similar
Q2 7:15
4TH & 7
OWN 32
+16
99.3%
Colby Blanton punt for 38 yds , Stacy Coley returns for 16 yds to the MiaFl 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 12TD
5 plays · 54 yds · 3:02100% → 100%
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
99.5%
Duke Johnson run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 49Similar
Q2 5:04
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+2
99.5%
Duke Johnson run for 2 yds to the FlaAM 49Similar
Q2 5:04
3RD & 5
OPP 49
+8
99.5%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Phillip Dorsett for 8 yds to the FlaAM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
99.5%
Duke Johnson run for 9 yds to the FlaAM 32Similar
Q2 2:02
2ND & 1
OPP 32
+32
99.8%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Phillip Dorsett for 32 yds for a TD, (Matt Goudis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:560% → 0%
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.8%
Gerald Hearns run for 3 yds to the FlaAM 28Similar
Q2 2:02
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
99.8%
Gerald Hearns run for no gain to the FlaAM 28Similar
Q2 1:06
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
99.8%
Damien Fleming pass incomplete to Gerald HearnsSimilar
Q2 1:06
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
99.8%
Colby Blanton punt for 34 yds, downed at the MiaFl 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 14FUMBLE TD
5 plays · -38 yds · 0:27100% → 99%
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.8%
Brad Kaaya pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
99.8%
Brad Kaaya pass incomplete to Braxton Berrios, broken up by Jacques BryantSimilar
Q2 0:50
3RD & 10
OWN 38
0
99.8%
Brad Kaaya pass incomplete to Phillip DorsettSimilar
Q2 0:23
4TH & 10
OWN 38
0
99.3%
TEAM run for no gain TEAM fumbled, recovered by FlaAM John Boston for a TDSimilar
Q2 0:23
4TH & 10
OWN 38
0
99.3%
John Boston 0 Yd Fumble Return (Chase Varnadore Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · 15 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.4%
Joseph Yearby run for 15 yds to the MiaFl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 16INT
7 plays · 46 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.4%
Joseph Yearby run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 37Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+11
99.4%
Joseph Yearby run for 11 yds to the MiaFl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
99.4%
Joseph Yearby run for 6 yds to the FlaAM 46Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+22
99.4%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Herb Waters for 22 yds to the FlaAM 24 for a 1ST down FLORIDA A&M Penalty, OFF ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
99.4%
Joseph Yearby run for 5 yds to the FlaAM 19Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+22
99.4%
Brad Kaaya pass intercepted Jacques Bryant return for 22 yds to the FlaAM 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 17MISSED FG
10 plays · 44 yds · 4:171% → 1%
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.2%
Gerald Hearns run for no gain to the FlaAM 25Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.2%
Damien Fleming pass incomplete to Brandon NorwoodSimilar
Q3 11:55
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+41
99.2%
Damien Fleming pass complete to Brandon Norwood for 41 yds to the MiaFl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
99.0%
Damien Fleming pass incomplete to Brandon NorwoodSimilar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+2
99.0%
Tysean Holloway run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 32Similar
Q3 11:55
3RD & 8
OPP 32
+11
99.1%
Damien Fleming pass complete to Casey Glines for 11 yds to the MiaFl 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
99.0%
Damien Fleming run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 17Similar
Q3 11:55
2ND & 6
OPP 17
0
99.0%
Damien Fleming pass incomplete to Casey GlinesSimilar
Q3 11:55
3RD & 6
OPP 17
-14
99.1%
Damien Fleming sacked by Thurston Armbrister for a loss of 14 yards to the MiaFl 31Similar
Q3 7:38
4TH & 20
OPP 31
+48
99.2%
Chase Varnadore 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 18FG
12 plays · 66 yds · 5:2799% → 99%
Q3 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+30
99.3%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Clive Walford for 15 yds to the FlaAM 46 for a 1ST down FLORIDA A&M Penalty, personal foul (N/A) to the FlaAM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
99.3%
Joseph Yearby run for 4 yds to the FlaAM 35Similar
Q3 7:38
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+6
99.3%
Joseph Yearby run for 6 yds to the FlaAM 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
99.3%
Joseph Yearby run for 4 yds to the FlaAM 25Similar
Q3 7:38
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+5
99.3%
Joseph Yearby run for 5 yds to the FlaAM 20Similar
Q3 7:38
3RD & 1
OPP 20
-10
99.3%
Brad Kaaya pass incomplete to Malcolm Lewis, PENALTY UM holding (KC McDermott) 10 yards to the FAMU30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:38
3RD & 11
OPP 30
-1
99.3%
Brad Kaaya sacked by Elijah Price for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaAM 31Similar
Q3 7:38
4TH & 12
OPP 31
+22
99.2%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Braxton Berrios for 22 yds to the FlaAM 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-3
99.3%
Gus Edwards run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaAM 12Similar
Q3 7:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
0
99.3%
Brad Kaaya pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q3 7:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+9
99.3%
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Malcolm Lewis for 9 yds to the FlaAM 3Similar
Q3 2:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
99.4%
Matt Goudis 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
99.4%
Vasty Paul run for 2 yds to the FlaAM 19Similar
Q3 2:11
2ND & 8
OWN 19
0
99.4%
Carson Royal pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q3 2:11
3RD & 8
OWN 19
0
99.4%
Vasty Paul run for no gain to the FlaAM 19Similar
Q3 2:11
4TH & 8
OWN 19
0
99.4%
Colby Blanton punt for 31 yds , Braxton Berrios returns for no gain to the 50 yard line Braxton Berrios fumbled, recovered by MiaFl Braxton Berrios , return to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 20MISSED FG
6 plays · 35 yds · 2:21100% → 100%
Q3 0:33
1ST & 10
50
+14
99.5%
Joseph Yearby run for 14 yds to the FlaAM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+17
99.5%
Jake Heaps pass complete to Braxton Berrios for 17 yds to the FlaAM 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
99.5%
Jake Heaps pass complete to Braxton Berrios for no gain to the FlaAM 19Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+4
99.5%
Joseph Yearby run for 4 yds to the FlaAM 15Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 15
0
99.5%
Jake Heaps pass incomplete to Braxton Berrios, broken up by Kashawn ButlerSimilar
Q4 13:12
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+32
99.5%
Matt Goudis 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.5%
Tysean Holloway run for 5 yds to the FlaAM 25Similar
Q4 13:12
2ND & 5
OWN 25
-1
99.4%
Tysean Holloway run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaAM 24Similar
Q4 13:12
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
99.5%
Carson Royal pass incomplete to Casey GlinesSimilar
Q4 13:12
4TH & 6
OWN 24
+7
99.5%
Colby Blanton punt for 49 yds , Braxton Berrios returns for 7 yds to the MiaFl 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:44100% → 100%
Q4 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
99.5%
Joseph Yearby run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 38Similar
Q4 11:32
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+1
99.5%
Jake Heaps run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 39Similar
Q4 11:32
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+4
99.5%
Jake Heaps pass complete to Herb Waters for 4 yds to the MiaFl 43Similar
Q4 9:48
4TH & 1
OWN 43
0
99.5%
Justin Vogel punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Devonte Johnson at the FlaAM 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:001% → 0%
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-2
99.5%
Gerald Hearns run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaAM 12Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 12
OWN 12
0
99.5%
Carson Royal pass incomplete to Montavius WilliamsSimilar
Q4 9:41
3RD & 12
OWN 12
-3
99.5%
Carson Royal sacked by TEAM for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaAM 9Similar
Q4 9:41
4TH & 15
OWN 9
+14
99.6%
Colby Blanton punt for 47 yds , Braxton Berrios returns for 14 yds to the FlaAM 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 24TD
9 plays · 42 yds · 3:48100% → 100%
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
99.6%
Jake Heaps pass incomplete to Tyre BradySimilar
Q4 8:05
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+7
99.6%
Joseph Yearby run for 7 yds to the FlaAM 35Similar
Q4 8:05
3RD & 3
OPP 35
-15
99.6%
Joe Yearby rush for 5 yards to the FAMU30 (BUTLER,Kashawn), PENALTY UM personal foul (Trevor Darling) 15 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:05
3RD & 18
50
+13
99.6%
Jake Heaps pass complete to D'Mauri Jones for 13 yds to the FlaAM 37Similar
Q4 6:25
4TH & 5
OPP 37
+7
99.6%
Jake Heaps pass complete to Braxton Berrios for 7 yds to the FlaAM 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
99.7%
Joseph Yearby run for 8 yds to the FlaAM 22Similar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+12
99.7%
Gus Edwards run for 12 yds to the FlaAM 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
100.0%
Trayone Gray run for 10 yds for a TD, (Matt Goudis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 26FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:36100% → 100%
Q4 4:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-3
100.0%
Trayone Gray run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaAM 12Similar
Q4 4:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+6
100.0%
Trayone Gray run for 6 yds to the FlaAM 6Similar
Q4 4:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
100.0%
Jake Heaps pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q4 2:31
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
100.0%
Matt Goudis 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAMUDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Tysean Holloway run for 2 yds to the FlaAM 27Similar
Q4 2:31
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
100.0%
Tysean Holloway run for no gain to the FlaAM 27Similar
Q4 2:31
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+4
100.0%
Tysean Holloway run for 4 yds to the FlaAM 31Similar
Q4 2:31
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
100.0%
Colby Blanton punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaFl 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FUMBLE · Q2 0:23
TEAM run for no gain TEAM fumbled, recovered by FlaAM John Boston for a TD
-0.5
TD · Q2 10:11
Gus Edwards run for 15 yds for a TD, (Matt Goudis KICK)
+0.4
TD · Q2 2:02
Brad Kaaya pass complete to Phillip Dorsett for 32 yds for a TD, (Matt Goudis KICK)
+0.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com