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LOU

Louisville 28 at Syracuse 6

SYR
2014 · Week 6 · Oct 3, 2014 · JMA Wireless Dome
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Win probability · SYR
modelSYR aheadLOU aheadconfidence bandkey playSYR scoreLOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDSAFETYFGFGTDTDSAFETYEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:59 · Riley Dixon punt for 39 yds, fair catch by James Quick at the Lvile 48
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+54.5+27.30−27.3−54.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 162Home team on offense−42.6Score differential−23.3Garbage-time factor−15.8Pregame prior−0.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−5.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:05: Brandon Radcliff run for 4 yds for a TD, (John Wallace KICK) — LOU win probability +4.0 pts (now 58%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  2. SAFETY · Q2 11:59: Team Safety — LOU win probability +2.6 pts (now 59%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 11:14: Cole Murphy 24 yd FG GOOD — SYR win probability +6.0 pts (now 41%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:27: Brandon Radcliff run for 14 yds for a TD, (John Wallace KICK) — LOU win probability +13.7 pts (now 83%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:45: Reggie Bonnafon pass complete to Gerald Christian for 4 yds for a TD, (John Wallace KICK) — LOU win probability +3.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SYR made the numbers' call on 6 of 8LOU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 12:37LOU 4th & 14 at SYR 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.9%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    56.9%−<0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    57.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:09SYR 4th & 1 at SYR 29, tied
    Close callPunted · 43.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.2%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:10SYR 4th & 4 at LOU 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.8%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    43.5%−1.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:50SYR 4th & 6 at SYR 20, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.4%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:09LOU 4th & 29 at SYR 45, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.5%−1.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    55.1%−0.8
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    56.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:54LOU 4th & 5 at LOU 39, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.6%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:42LOU 4th & 17 at SYR 34, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.3%−1.4
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.6%
    47% to make
    Punt
    60.6%−1.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:38SYR 4th & 12 at SYR 25, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.8%−1.7
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:50LOU 4th & 3 at LOU 42, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.2%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:14SYR 4th & 6 at LOU 6, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    23.5%−9.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:43LOU 4th & 15 at LOU 28, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.6%−3.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:48SYR 4th & 12 at SYR 17, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.4%−3.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:16LOU 4th & 10 at LOU 46, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.9%−1.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:36SYR 4th & 20 at SYR 39, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.3%−1.5
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.8%
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:59SYR 4th & 25 at SYR 13, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.7
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:23LOU 4th & 5 at SYR 47, up 20
    Close callPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.4%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LOU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 2:05LOU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 5:27LOU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 7:45LOU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.5%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LOUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 2:0756% → 55%
Q1 14:44
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
44.1%
Reggie Bonnafon pass complete to Matt Milton for 6 yds to the Syrac 31Similar
Q1 13:58
2ND & 4
OPP 31
-2
44.1%
Brandon Radcliff run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 33Similar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 6
OPP 33
-8
44.4%
Reggie Bonnafon sacked by Marqez Hodge for a loss of 8 yards to the Syrac 41Similar
Q1 12:37
4TH & 14
OPP 41
0
44.7%
Ryan Johnson punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:2345% → 45%
Q1 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
44.7%
Terrel Hunt pass incomplete to Ben LewisSimilar
Q1 12:18
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+7
44.8%
Terrel Hunt pass complete to Jarrod West for 7 yds to the Syrac 27Similar
Q1 11:49
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+2
44.8%
Terrel Hunt pass complete to Adrian Flemming for 2 yds to the Syrac 29Similar
Q1 11:09
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+5
44.9%
Riley Dixon punt for 49 yds , James Quick returns for 5 yds to the Lvile 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 3INT
3 plays · 11 yds · 1:1055% → 55%
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
45.0%
Brandon Radcliff run for 6 yds to the Lvile 33Similar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+5
44.9%
Michael Dyer run for 5 yds to the Lvile 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
45.1%
Reggie Bonnafon pass intercepted Julian Whigham return for no gain to the Lvile 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 4FG
9 plays · 41 yds · 2:2646% → 47%
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
46.2%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for 3 yds to the Lvile 42Similar
Q1 9:07
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+3
46.4%
Terrel Hunt pass complete to Josh Parris for 3 yds to the Lvile 39Similar
Q1 8:42
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+12
46.2%
Terrel Hunt pass complete to Josh Parris for 12 yds to the Lvile 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+22
46.7%
Terrel Hunt pass complete to Steve Ishmael for 22 yds to the Lvile 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
46.9%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for 1 yd to the Lvile 4Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
47.0%
Terrel Hunt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
46.6%
Terrel Hunt pass incomplete to Ben LewisSimilar
Q1 7:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
47.0%
Cole Murphy 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 5TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 4:5053% → 58%
Q1 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
46.8%
Reggie Bonnafon pass incomplete to Charles StandberrySimilar
Q1 6:22
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+4
47.1%
Brandon Radcliff run for 4 yds to the Lvile 39 Brandon Radcliff fumbled, recovered by Lvile Brandon RadcliffSimilar
Q1 6:02
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+7
47.0%
Reggie Bonnafon run for 7 yds to the Lvile 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
46.6%
Reggie Bonnafon run for 1 yd to the Lvile 47Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+21
46.9%
Reggie Bonnafon pass complete to James Quick for 21 yds to the Syrac 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+10
46.3%
L.J. Scott run for 10 yds to the Syrac 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
46.3%
Brandon Radcliff run for 6 yds to the Syrac 16Similar
Q1 3:15
2ND & 4
OPP 16
+3
46.4%
Brandon Radcliff run for 3 yds to the Syrac 13Similar
Q1 2:37
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+9
46.5%
Brandon Radcliff run for 9 yds to the Syrac 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
42.5%
Brandon Radcliff run for 4 yds for a TD, (John Wallace KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:0145% → 44%
Q1 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-4
44.5%
Terrel Hunt run for a loss of 4 yards to the Syrac 12Similar
Q1 1:13
2ND & 14
OWN 12
+8
44.3%
Terrel Hunt pass complete to Jarrod West for 8 yds to the Syrac 20Similar
Q1 0:58
3RD & 6
OWN 20
0
43.8%
Terrel Hunt pass incomplete to Sean AvantSimilar
Q1 0:50
4TH & 6
OWN 20
0
43.5%
Riley Dixon punt for 49 yds, fair catch by James Quick at the Lvile 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 7PUNT
14 plays · 24 yds · 3:3556% → 55%
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+19
44.0%
Reggie Bonnafon pass complete to Michaelee Harris for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:25
1ST & 10
50
0
43.0%
Reggie Bonnafon pass incomplete to Brandon RadcliffSimilar
Q1 0:15
2ND & 10
50
+6
43.0%
Brandon Radcliff run for 6 yds to the Syrac 44Similar
Q2 14:47
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+7
43.0%
Reggie Bonnafon pass complete to James Quick for 7 yds to the Syrac 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:35
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-5
42.7%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, False Start (John Miller) to the Syrac 42Similar
Q2 14:02
1ST & 15
OPP 42
+16
43.0%
Reggie Bonnafon run for 16 yds to the Syrac 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
41.8%
Dominique Brown run for 1 yd to the Syrac 25Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 9
OPP 25
0
42.0%
Reggie Bonnafon pass incomplete to Eli RogersSimilar
Q2 12:59
3RD & 9
OPP 25
-5
42.8%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 30Similar
Q2 12:51
3RD & 14
OPP 30
-10
43.2%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Keith Towbridge) to the Syrac 40Similar
Q2 12:29
3RD & 24
OPP 40
0
43.5%
Reggie Bonnafon pass incomplete to Brandon RadcliffSimilar
Q2 12:20
4TH & 24
OPP 40
-5
44.5%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 45Similar
Q2 12:09
4TH & 29
OPP 45
0
44.6%
Ryan Johnson punt for 44 yds, downed at the Syrac 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 8SF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0543% → 41%
Q2 12:04
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
43.2%
Terrel Hunt pass incomplete to Jarrod WestSimilar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 10
OWN 1
0
40.6%
Team SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:5360% → 60%
Q2 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-10
40.5%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Lvile 23Similar
Q2 11:00
1ST & 20
OWN 23
+5
41.4%
Brandon Radcliff run for 5 yds to the Lvile 28Similar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 16
OWN 28
0
41.4%
Brandon Radcliff run for no gain to the Lvile 28Similar
Q2 10:09
3RD & 16
OWN 28
+11
41.8%
Brandon Radcliff run for 11 yds to the Lvile 39Similar
Q2 9:54
4TH & 5
OWN 39
0
40.3%
Ryan Johnson punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Ritchy Desir at the Syrac 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 10INT
8 plays · 27 yds · 3:4640% → 39%
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
40.0%
George Morris II run for 6 yds to the Syrac 15Similar
Q2 9:18
2ND & 4
OWN 15
+4
40.2%
Terrel Hunt run for 4 yds to the Syrac 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
40.2%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for 4 yds to the Syrac 23Similar
Q2 8:15
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+3
40.4%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for 3 yds to the Syrac 26Similar
Q2 7:30
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+6
38.7%
Terrel Hunt pass complete to Josh Parris for 6 yds to the Syrac 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
39.5%
Ervin Philips run for 3 yds to the Syrac 35Similar
Q2 6:36
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+1
39.4%
Terrel Hunt pass complete to Ervin Philips for 1 yd to the Syrac 36Similar
Q2 5:59
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+24
38.8%
Terrel Hunt pass intercepted James Sample return for 24 yds to the Syrac 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 11FG
5 plays · -7 yds · 2:1065% → 65%
Q2 5:52
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
35.1%
Michael Dyer run for 5 yds to the Syrac 22Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 5
OPP 22
-5
34.9%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 27Similar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 10
OPP 27
-4
34.9%
Reggie Bonnafon sacked by Eric Crume for a loss of 4 yards to the Syrac 31Similar
Q2 4:01
3RD & 14
OPP 31
-3
35.8%
Michael Dyer run for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 34Similar
Q2 3:42
4TH & 17
OPP 34
+51
35.4%
John Wallace 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 10 yds · 1:3534% → 32%
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
33.6%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for 7 yds to the Syrac 22Similar
Q2 2:55
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+2
33.9%
Terrel Hunt pass complete to Adrian Flemming for 2 yds to the Syrac 24Similar
Q2 2:25
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+3
33.0%
George Morris II run for 3 yds to the Syrac 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
33.3%
Terrel Hunt pass incomplete to George Morris IISimilar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
33.1%
Terrel Hunt pass incomplete to Josh ParrisSimilar
Q2 1:51
3RD & 10
OWN 27
-2
32.5%
George Morris II run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 25Similar
Q2 1:38
4TH & 12
OWN 25
+5
32.2%
Riley Dixon punt for 45 yds , James Quick returns for 5 yds to the Lvile 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:3867% → 67%
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
33.1%
Michael Dyer run for 1 yd to the Lvile 36Similar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
32.8%
Reggie Bonnafon pass incomplete to Eli RogersSimilar
Q2 1:01
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+6
33.3%
Reggie Bonnafon pass complete to Eli Rogers for 6 yds to the Lvile 42Similar
Q2 0:50
4TH & 3
OWN 42
+27
32.6%
Ryan Johnson punt for 36 yds , Prince-Tyson Gulley returns for 27 yds to the Syrac 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 14END OF HALF
6 plays · 49 yds · 0:3734% → 35%
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
33.8%
Terrel Hunt pass complete to Josh Parris for 5 yds to the Lvile 46Similar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 5
OPP 46
0
34.1%
Terrel Hunt pass incomplete to Jarrod WestSimilar
Q2 0:17
3RD & 5
OPP 46
+5
33.9%
Terrel Hunt run for 5 yds to the Lvile 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
34.1%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:02
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+39
33.6%
Terrel Hunt pass complete to Jarrod West for 39 yds to the Lvile 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
35.3%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 15FG
11 plays · 69 yds · 3:2734% → 41%
Q3 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
34.2%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for 4 yds to the Syrac 29 for a 1ST down LOUISVILLE Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Syrac 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
35.8%
Terrel Hunt pass complete to Ben Lewis for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 4
50
+1
36.8%
Terrel Hunt pass complete to Ervin Philips for 1 yd to the Lvile 49Similar
Q3 13:33
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+48
36.4%
Terrel Hunt pass complete to Ben Lewis for 48 yds to the Lvile 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
38.1%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for a loss of 3 yards to the Lvile 4Similar
Q3 12:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
37.6%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Omari Palmer) to the Lvile 9Similar
Q3 12:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-10
37.6%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive Holding (Rob Trudo) to the Lvile 19Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 19
0
36.6%
Jarrod West pass incomplete to Ben LewisSimilar
Q3 11:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 19
+13
34.5%
Terrel Hunt pass complete to Jarrod West for 13 yds to the Lvile 6Similar
Q3 11:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
40.5%
Cole Murphy 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · -5 yds · 2:2165% → 62%
Q3 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-15
35.5%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, Clipping (Keith Towbridge) to the Lvile 18Similar
Q3 10:25
1ST & 25
OWN 18
+18
36.8%
Reggie Bonnafon pass complete to James Quick for 18 yds to the Lvile 36Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+2
34.6%
Brandon Radcliff run for 2 yds to the Lvile 38Similar
Q3 9:08
3RD & 5
OWN 38
-10
33.5%
Reggie Bonnafon sacked by Cameron Lynch for a loss of 10 yards to the Lvile 28Similar
Q3 8:43
4TH & 15
OWN 28
+2
37.8%
Ryan Johnson punt for 45 yds , Prince-Tyson Gulley returns for 2 yds to the Syrac 30 SYRACUSE Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Syrac 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:4740% → 38%
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-2
39.7%
Adonis Ameen-Moore run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 17Similar
Q3 8:02
2ND & 12
OWN 17
0
39.3%
Terrel Hunt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:56
3RD & 12
OWN 17
0
38.0%
Terrel Hunt pass incomplete to Jarrod WestSimilar
Q3 7:48
4TH & 12
OWN 17
0
37.5%
Riley Dixon punt for 44 yds, fair catch by James Quick at the Lvile 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 18TD
6 plays · 61 yds · 2:1267% → 83%
Q3 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
32.9%
Reggie Bonnafon pass complete to James Quick for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 37Similar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 12
OWN 37
+45
34.8%
Reggie Bonnafon pass complete to Matt Milton for 45 yds to the Syrac 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
31.1%
Brandon Radcliff run for no gain to the Syrac 18Similar
Q3 6:21
2ND & 10
OPP 18
-5
31.1%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, False Start (Ryan Mack) to the Syrac 23Similar
Q3 5:54
2ND & 15
OPP 23
+9
31.1%
Reggie Bonnafon run for 9 yds to the Syrac 14Similar
Q3 5:27
3RD & 6
OPP 14
+14
17.4%
Brandon Radcliff run for 14 yds for a TD, (John Wallace KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 35 yds · 1:5023% → 24%
Q3 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
22.7%
Terrel Hunt run for 18 yds to the Syrac 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
23.4%
Prince-Tyson Gulley run for 3 yds to the Syrac 46Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+8
23.4%
Terrel Hunt pass complete to Josh Parris for 8 yds to the Lvile 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
24.4%
Terrel Hunt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:53
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+6
23.7%
Adonis Ameen-Moore run for 6 yds to the Lvile 40Similar
Q3 3:18
3RD & 4
OPP 40
0
23.8%
Terrel Hunt pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 20FUMBLE
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:1083% → 85%
Q3 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
16.7%
Brandon Radcliff run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 19Similar
Q3 2:31
2ND & 11
OWN 19
0
16.7%
Reggie Bonnafon pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:31
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+5
17.1%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Lvile 24Similar
Q3 2:26
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+8
16.7%
Brandon Radcliff run for 8 yds to the Lvile 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
16.2%
Brandon Radcliff run for 4 yds to the Lvile 36Similar
Q3 1:29
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+1
14.7%
Brandon Radcliff run for 1 yd to the Lvile 37Similar
Q3 0:51
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+6
14.6%
Reggie Bonnafon pass complete to Gerald Christian for 6 yds Gerald Christian fumbled, forced by Cameron Lynch, recovered by Syrac Wayne WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 21INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q3 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
21.4%
Terrel Hunt pass intercepted Gerod Holliman return for no gain to the Lvile 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 2:1785% → 88%
Q3 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
14.8%
Brandon Radcliff run for 4 yds to the Lvile 39Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+7
13.7%
Dominique Brown run for 7 yds to the Lvile 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
13.8%
Brandon Radcliff run for 1 yd to the Lvile 47Similar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 9
OWN 47
-1
13.2%
Reggie Bonnafon run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 46 Reggie Bonnafon fumbled, recovered by LvileSimilar
Q4 13:27
3RD & 10
OWN 46
0
11.0%
Reggie Bonnafon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:16
4TH & 10
OWN 46
+2
11.9%
Ryan Johnson punt for 37 yds , Prince-Tyson Gulley returns for 2 yds to the Syrac 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:3417% → 16%
Q4 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+11
17.3%
Adonis Ameen-Moore run for 11 yds to the Syrac 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+19
17.8%
Adonis Ameen-Moore run for 19 yds to the Syrac 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-10
18.6%
Terrel Hunt sacked by Keith Kelsey for a loss of 10 yards to the Syrac 39Similar
Q4 11:52
2ND & 20
OWN 39
0
16.9%
Austin Wilson pass incomplete to Ben LewisSimilar
Q4 11:49
3RD & 20
OWN 39
0
16.3%
Terrel Hunt pass incomplete to Josh ParrisSimilar
Q4 11:36
4TH & 20
OWN 39
+11
16.1%
Riley Dixon punt for 45 yds , James Quick returns for 11 yds to the Lvile 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 24TD
9 plays · 73 yds · 3:3590% → 99%
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+18
9.6%
Brandon Radcliff run for 18 yds to the Lvile 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
8.5%
Reggie Bonnafon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:47
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+4
8.6%
Brandon Radcliff run for 4 yds to the Lvile 49Similar
Q4 10:01
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+29
7.9%
Reggie Bonnafon pass complete to Brandon Radcliff for 29 yds to the Syrac 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
7.3%
Brandon Radcliff run for 3 yds to the Syrac 19Similar
Q4 8:56
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+15
7.1%
Reggie Bonnafon pass complete to Eli Rogers for 15 yds to the Syrac 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
4.8%
Dominique Brown run for no gain to the Syrac 4Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
0.9%
Reggie Bonnafon pass complete to Gerald Christian for 4 yds for a TD, (John Wallace KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:362% → 2%
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+13
2.4%
Terrel Hunt pass complete to Jarrod West for 13 yds to the Syrac 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-15
2.3%
Terrel Hunt sacked by Deiontrez Mount for a loss of 15 yards to the Syrac 13 SYRACUSE Penalty, Intentional Grounding ( Yards) to the Syrac 13Similar
Q4 7:11
2ND & 25
OWN 13
0
2.2%
Austin Wilson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:05
3RD & 25
OWN 13
0
2.2%
Austin Wilson pass incomplete to Ben LewisSimilar
Q4 6:59
4TH & 25
OWN 13
0
2.2%
Riley Dixon punt for 39 yds, fair catch by James Quick at the Lvile 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:2799% → 99%
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
1.0%
Dominique Brown run for 4 yds to the Syrac 48Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+1
0.8%
Dominique Brown run for 1 yd to the Syrac 47Similar
Q4 5:31
3RD & 5
OPP 47
0
0.9%
Reggie Bonnafon pass incomplete to Eli RogersSimilar
Q4 5:23
4TH & 5
OPP 47
0
1.0%
Ryan Johnson punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Ritchy Desir at the Syrac 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 27SF
3 plays · -14 yds · 0:451% → 1%
Q4 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
1.3%
Ervin Philips run for 1 yd to the Syrac 15Similar
Q4 4:44
2ND & 9
OWN 15
0
1.3%
Ervin Philips run for no gain to the Syrac 15Similar
Q4 4:17
3RD & 9
OWN 15
0
1.0%
Austin Wilson sacked by TEAM for a loss of 5 yards for a SAFETY Austin Wilson fumbled, recovered by SyracSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 28END OF GAME
8 plays · 42 yds · 3:1099% → 100%
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
0.7%
Dominique Brown run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 5
50
+23
0.7%
Dominique Brown run for 8 yds to the SYRACUSE 42 for a 1ST down SYRACUSE Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Syrac 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
0.6%
Dominique Brown run for 5 yds to the Syrac 22Similar
Q4 2:16
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+2
0.6%
Dominique Brown run for 2 yds to the Syrac 20Similar
Q4 1:40
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+4
0.5%
Dominique Brown run for 4 yds to the Syrac 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
0.4%
Dominique Brown run for 4 yds to the Syrac 12Similar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 6
OPP 12
-1
0.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:27
Brandon Radcliff run for 14 yds for a TD, (John Wallace KICK)
-13.7
FG · Q3 11:14
Cole Murphy 24 yd FG GOOD
+6
TD · Q1 2:05
Brandon Radcliff run for 4 yds for a TD, (John Wallace KICK)
-4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com