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LOU

Louisville 34 at Florida International 3

FIU
2014 · Week 4 · Sep 20, 2014 · FIU Stadium
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Win probability · FIU
modelFIU aheadLOU aheadconfidence bandkey playFIU scoreLOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 12:21 · Jose Laphitzondo punt for 40 yds , James Quick returns for 19 yds to the Lvile 32
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 153Pregame prior−14.4Home team on offense−50.1Score differential−37.3Garbage-time factor−19.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−9.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:33: Gerod Holliman 32 Yd Interception Return (John Wallace Kick) — LOU win probability +3.6 pts (now 92%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:07: James Quick 74 Yd pass from Will Gardner (John Wallace Kick) — LOU win probability +4.0 pts (now 96%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:33: Will Gardner pass complete to James Quick for 9 yds to the FlaIn 37 — LOU win probability +1.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:22: James Quick 37 Yd pass from Will Gardner (John Wallace Kick) — LOU win probability +1.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 6:02: John Wallace 33 Yd Field Goal — FIU win probability +0.6 pts (now 2%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FIU made the numbers' call on 7 of 11LOU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 13:33LOU 4th & 7 at FIU 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    94.0%−<0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    94.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:25FIU 4th & 2 at LOU 47, down 7
    Close callPunted · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.9%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:48LOU 4th & 18 at LOU 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.3%−0.3
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:20FIU 4th & 5 at FIU 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.5%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:28LOU 4th & 10 at FIU 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.9%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:18FIU 4th & 12 at LOU 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%−0.3
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    10.0%−0.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:35FIU 4th & 3 at FIU 25, down 7
    Close callPunted · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:12LOU 4th & 16 at LOU 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.9%−1.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:13LOU 4th & 13 at FIU 46, up 14
    Close callWent for it · 91.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.2%−0.4
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    91.1%−0.4
    23% to make
    Punt
    91.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:31FIU 4th & 10 at FIU 47, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.8%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:38FIU 4th & 10 at FIU 14, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:57FIU 4th & 5 at FIU 30, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:42FIU 4th & 7 at LOU 29, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.4%
    58% to make
    Punt
    1.0%−0.3
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:32LOU 4th & 6 at FIU 38, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    98.7%−0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 6:02LOU 4th & 11 at FIU 16, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.8%
    81% to make
    Punt
    98.3%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q3 1:57FIU 4th & 16 at LOU 34, down 31
    Close callWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%
    47% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:51LOU 4th & 14 at LOU 18, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
  18. Q4 12:21FIU 4th & 3 at FIU 47, down 31
    Close callPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 10:33LOU 4th & 7 at LOU 35, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  20. Q4 3:54LOU 4th & 20 at LOU 46, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:39FIU 4th & 5 at FIU 23, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LOU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 11:28LOU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:33LOU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:07LOU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:22LOU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LOUDrive 1TD
11 plays · 58 yds · 3:1194% → 94%
Q1 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+18
5.7%
Dominique Brown run for 18 yds to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
5.7%
Michael Dyer run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 7
OPP 37
0
5.8%
Will Gardner pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:53
3RD & 7
OPP 37
0
5.9%
Will Gardner pass incomplete to Eli RogersSimilar
Q1 13:33
4TH & 7
OPP 37
+9
6.0%
Will Gardner pass complete to Dominique Brown for 9 yds to the FlaIn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
6.0%
Michael Dyer run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 19Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 1
OPP 19
+6
6.2%
Brandon Radcliff run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+9
6.3%
Will Gardner pass complete to James Quick for 9 yds to the FlaIn 4Similar
Q1 11:35
2ND & 1
OPP 4
+3
6.5%
Dominique Brown run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
6.2%
L.J. Scott 1 Yd Run (John Wallace Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:287% → 7%
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-13
6.6%
Alex McGough sacked by Pio Vatuvei for a loss of 13 yards to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 23
OWN 32
+15
6.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Alex Gardner for 15 yds to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q1 10:05
3RD & 8
OWN 47
+6
6.7%
Alex McGough run for 6 yds to the Lvile 47Similar
Q1 9:25
4TH & 2
OPP 47
0
6.9%
Jose Laphitzondo punt for 33 yds , James Quick returns for no gain to the Lvile 47 LOUISVILLE Penalty, Illegal Block (7 Yards) to the Lvile 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 2:3193% → 92%
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
6.9%
Will Gardner pass incomplete to James QuickSimilar
Q1 9:19
2ND & 10
OWN 7
-4
6.9%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, False Start (Ryan Mack) to the Lvile 3Similar
Q1 9:10
2ND & 14
OWN 3
+1
6.9%
Dominique Brown run for 1 yd to the Lvile 4Similar
Q1 8:23
3RD & 13
OWN 4
+27
7.1%
Will Gardner pass complete to Gerald Christian for 27 yds to the Lvile 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
7.0%
Will Gardner pass complete to Eli Rogers for 4 yds to the Lvile 35Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 6
OWN 35
-12
7.1%
Will Gardner sacked by Giovani Francois for a loss of 12 yards to the Lvile 23Similar
Q1 7:01
3RD & 18
OWN 23
0
7.4%
Will Gardner pass incomplete to James QuickSimilar
Q1 6:48
4TH & 18
OWN 23
+2
7.6%
Ryan Johnson punt for 38 yds , Clinton Taylor returns for 2 yds to the FlaIn 25 FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the FlaIn 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:598% → 8%
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
7.6%
Alex Gardner run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q1 6:03
2ND & 6
OWN 35
0
7.8%
Alex McGough run for no gain to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q1 5:11
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+7
7.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Glenn Coleman for 7 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
8.2%
Alex Gardner run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+1
8.6%
Alex McGough run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q1 3:32
3RD & 5
OWN 47
0
8.6%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Jonnu Smith, broken up by Charles GainesSimilar
Q1 3:20
4TH & 5
OWN 47
+24
8.4%
Jose Laphitzondo punt for 38 yds , James Quick returns for 24 yds to the Lvile 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 2:4292% → 91%
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
8.1%
Michael Dyer run for 8 yds to the Lvile 47Similar
Q1 2:38
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+1
8.1%
Michael Dyer run for 1 yd to the Lvile 48Similar
Q1 2:07
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+3
8.3%
Michael Dyer run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
8.3%
Will Gardner pass complete to Eli Rogers for 2 yds to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q1 1:11
2ND & 8
OPP 47
-2
8.4%
Michael Dyer run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 49Similar
Q1 0:36
3RD & 10
OPP 49
0
8.7%
Will Gardner pass incomplete to Matt Milton, broken up by Justin HalleySimilar
Q1 0:28
4TH & 10
OPP 49
0
9.0%
Joshua Appleby punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 6PUNT
11 plays · 36 yds · 3:429% → 10%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
9.3%
Alex McGough pass complete to Ya'Keem Griner for 8 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+1
9.6%
Anthon Samuel run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q2 14:15
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+1
9.5%
Alex McGough run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+17
9.6%
Anthon Samuel run for 17 yds to the FlaIn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
10.3%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 6 yds to the Lvile 47Similar
Q2 13:08
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+5
10.6%
Anthon Samuel run for 5 yds to the Lvile 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
10.8%
Alex McGough run for no gain to the Lvile 42Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+3
10.9%
Anthon Samuel run for 3 yds to the Lvile 39Similar
Q2 11:26
3RD & 7
OPP 39
0
11.2%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to T.J. LowderSimilar
Q2 11:26
4TH & 7
OPP 39
-5
10.6%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 44Similar
Q2 11:18
4TH & 12
OPP 44
0
10.2%
Jose Laphitzondo punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 7FUMBLE
7 plays · 62 yds · 2:0590% → 90%
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
10.3%
Will Gardner pass incomplete to Gerald ChristianSimilar
Q2 11:03
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+6
10.4%
Dominique Brown run for 6 yds to the Lvile 26Similar
Q2 10:15
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+28
10.7%
Will Gardner pass complete to Eli Rogers for 28 yds to the FlaIn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+39
10.0%
Will Gardner pass complete to James Quick for 39 yds to the FlaIn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
9.9%
Dominique Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 8Similar
Q2 9:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
10.0%
Will Gardner pass incomplete to Eli RogersSimilar
Q2 9:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-8
10.2%
Will Gardner sacked by Michael Wakefield for a loss of 8 yards to the FlaIn 18 Will Gardner fumbled, forced by Michael Wakefield, recovered by FlaIn Denzell Perine , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2811% → 11%
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
11.1%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Lamarq CaldwellSimilar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+4
11.1%
Alex Gardner run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q2 8:15
3RD & 6
OWN 22
+3
11.0%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q2 7:35
4TH & 3
OWN 25
-2
10.7%
Jose Laphitzondo punt for 40 yds , James Quick returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:4889% → 88%
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-6
10.8%
Corvin Lamb run for a loss of 6 yards to the Lvile 27Similar
Q2 6:58
2ND & 16
OWN 27
0
11.3%
Will Gardner pass incomplete to Eli RogersSimilar
Q2 6:40
3RD & 16
OWN 27
0
11.6%
Will Gardner run for no gain to the Lvile 27Similar
Q2 6:12
4TH & 16
OWN 27
+1
12.1%
Joshua Appleby punt for 42 yds , Clinton Taylor returns for 1 yd to the FlaIn 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 10INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:2712% → 8%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
11.9%
Anthon Samuel run for no gain to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q2 5:33
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+32
8.3%
Gerod Holliman 32 Yd Interception Return (John Wallace Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 11INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
8.2%
Alex McGough pass intercepted Gerod Holliman return for no gain to the FlaIn 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 12DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:3792% → 92%
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-5
7.7%
Michael Dyer run for a loss of 5 yards to the FlaIn 48Similar
Q2 4:42
2ND & 15
OPP 48
+2
7.8%
Will Gardner pass complete to James Quick for 2 yds to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q2 4:22
3RD & 13
OPP 46
0
8.0%
Will Gardner pass incomplete to Michael DyerSimilar
Q2 4:13
4TH & 13
OPP 46
+11
8.4%
Will Gardner pass complete to Gerald Christian for 11 yds to the FlaIn 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:349% → 8%
Q2 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
8.6%
Alex Gardner run for 12 yds to the FlaIn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
9.2%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Jonnu SmithSimilar
Q2 3:49
2ND & 10
OWN 47
0
9.1%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to T.J. LowderSimilar
Q2 3:43
3RD & 10
OWN 47
0
8.5%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Glenn ColemanSimilar
Q2 3:31
4TH & 10
OWN 47
-2
8.4%
Jose Laphitzondo punt for 42 yds , James Quick returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 14TD
4 plays · 91 yds · 1:1192% → 96%
Q2 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
8.3%
Dominique Brown run for 1 yd to the Lvile 10Similar
Q2 2:54
2ND & 9
OWN 10
+6
8.3%
Will Gardner pass complete to Dominique Brown for 6 yds to the Lvile 16Similar
Q2 2:32
3RD & 3
OWN 16
+10
8.5%
Will Gardner run for 10 yds to the Lvile 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+74
4.5%
James Quick 74 Yd pass from Will Gardner (John Wallace Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 0 yds · 0:165% → 6%
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
5.3%
Lamarq Caldwell run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 15Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 9
OWN 15
-2
5.3%
Anthon Samuel run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 13Similar
Q2 1:44
3RD & 11
OWN 13
+1
5.8%
Anthon Samuel run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 14Similar
Q2 1:38
4TH & 10
OWN 14
0
6.1%
Jose Laphitzondo punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaIn 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 16TD
2 plays · 46 yds · 0:1196% → 97%
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
4.2%
Will Gardner pass complete to James Quick for 9 yds to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 1
OPP 37
+37
3.2%
James Quick 37 Yd pass from Will Gardner (John Wallace Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 17END OF HALF
9 plays · 54 yds · 1:153% → 2%
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
2.5%
Anthon Samuel run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+26
2.3%
Alex McGough run for 26 yds to the Lvile 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+18
1.6%
Alex McGough run for 18 yds to the Lvile 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+11
1.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 11 yds to the Lvile 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
1.6%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+28
1.5%
Austin Taylor 28 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18FUMBLE
4 plays · -16 yds · 1:122% → 1%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
1.5%
Alex McGough sacked by Sheldon Rankins for a loss of 6 yards to the FlaIn 19Similar
Q3 14:13
2ND & 16
OWN 19
-4
1.1%
Alex Gardner run for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaIn 15Similar
Q3 13:28
3RD & 20
OWN 15
-7
1.2%
Alex McGough sacked by Deiontrez Mount for a loss of 7 yards to the FlaIn 9 Alex McGough fumbled, forced by Deiontrez Mount, recovered by Lvile B.J. Dubose , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 19FG
4 plays · -14 yds · 0:5798% → 98%
Q3 13:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
1.6%
Michael Dyer run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 10Similar
Q3 12:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
1.6%
Will Gardner pass incomplete to Dominique BrownSimilar
Q3 12:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
-13
1.5%
Will Gardner sacked by Michael Wakefield for a loss of 13 yards to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q3 12:03
4TH & 0
OPP 23
+40
2.1%
John Wallace 40 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:382% → 2%
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
2.4%
E.J. Hilliard pass complete to Glenn Coleman for 5 yds to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q3 11:16
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
2.3%
E.J. Hilliard pass incomplete to Dennis TurnerSimilar
Q3 11:12
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
2.2%
E.J. Hilliard pass incomplete to Alex GardnerSimilar
Q3 10:57
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+19
2.2%
Jose Laphitzondo punt for 46 yds , James Quick returns for 19 yds to the Lvile 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 21FUMBLE
1 play · -11 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-11
2.0%
Will Gardner run for a loss of 11 yards to the Lvile 32 Will Gardner fumbled, recovered by FlaIn Anthony WintSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 22MISSED FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:483% → 2%
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-7
2.8%
E.J. Hilliard run for a loss of 7 yards to the Lvile 39 E.J. Hilliard fumbled, recovered by FlaIn E.J. HilliardSimilar
Q3 10:05
2ND & 17
OPP 39
+4
2.5%
E.J. Hilliard pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 4 yds to the Lvile 35Similar
Q3 10:03
3RD & 13
OPP 35
+6
2.5%
E.J. Hilliard pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 6 yds to the Lvile 29Similar
Q3 9:42
4TH & 7
OPP 29
+46
2.4%
Austin Taylor 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 23FG
14 plays · 55 yds · 3:2498% → 98%
Q3 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
1.9%
L.J. Scott run for 3 yds to the Lvile 32Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+26
1.6%
Will Gardner pass complete to Eli Rogers for 26 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
1.6%
Will Gardner pass incomplete to Eli RogersSimilar
Q3 8:35
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
1.5%
L.J. Scott run for no gain to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q3 7:50
3RD & 10
OPP 42
+4
1.5%
Will Gardner pass complete to Michaelee Harris for 4 yds to the FlaIn 38Similar
Q3 7:32
4TH & 6
OPP 38
+8
1.7%
Will Gardner pass complete to Keith Towbridge for 8 yds to the FlaIn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
1.4%
Brandon Radcliff run for no gain to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q3 6:58
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
1.4%
Will Gardner pass incomplete to Eli RogersSimilar
Q3 6:53
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+15
1.5%
Gardner, Will pass incomplete to Christian, Gerald, PENALTY FLAINTL roughing passer (Williams, Treyvon) 15 yards to the FLAINTL15, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LOUISVILLE. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
1.4%
Brett Nelson pass incomplete to Eli RogersSimilar
Q3 6:47
2ND & 10
OPP 15
-5
1.4%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, False Start (Chris Acosta) to the FlaIn 20Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 15
OPP 20
+4
1.3%
Brett Nelson pass complete to James Quick for 4 yds to the FlaIn 16Similar
Q3 6:07
3RD & 11
OPP 16
0
1.2%
Brett Nelson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:02
4TH & 11
OPP 16
+33
1.8%
John Wallace 33 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 24DOWNS
11 plays · 53 yds · 3:531% → 1%
Q3 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
1.3%
Glenn Coleman run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q3 5:15
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+11
1.2%
E.J. Hilliard pass complete to Dennis Turner for 11 yds to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
1.2%
E.J. Hilliard run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q3 4:28
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+4
1.2%
Anthon Samuel run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q3 3:35
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+25
1.2%
E.J. Hilliard pass complete to Glenn Coleman for 25 yds to the Lvile 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:25
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
1.3%
E.J. Hilliard run for 7 yds to the Lvile 21Similar
Q3 2:55
2ND & 3
OPP 21
+2
1.1%
Anthon Samuel run for 2 yds to the Lvile 19Similar
Q3 2:30
3RD & 1
OPP 19
-15
1.1%
Samuel, Anthon rush for no gain to the LOUISVILLE19, PENALTY FLAINTL illegal block 15 yards to the LOUISVILLE34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:17
3RD & 16
OPP 34
0
1.1%
E.J. Hilliard pass incomplete to Akil Dan-FodioSimilar
Q3 1:57
4TH & 16
OPP 34
+12
1.0%
E.J. Hilliard run for 12 yds to the Lvile 22 FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Defensive Holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:5999% → 99%
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
0.7%
TEAM run for no gain to the Lvile 21 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Lvile Brett NelsonSimilar
Q3 1:00
2ND & 11
OWN 21
+5
0.6%
Brandon Radcliff run for 5 yds to the Lvile 26Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 26
-8
0.5%
Brett Nelson sacked by Davison Colimon for a loss of 8 yards to the Lvile 18Similar
Q4 14:51
4TH & 14
OWN 18
0
0.6%
Joshua Appleby punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Richard Leonard at the FlaIn 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:251% → 0%
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-6
0.6%
E.J. Hilliard sacked by Trevon Young for a loss of 6 yards to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 16
OWN 34
+1
0.4%
E.J. Hilliard pass complete to Dennis Turner for 1 yd to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q4 13:35
3RD & 15
OWN 35
+5
0.4%
Hilliard, E.J. pass sacked for loss of 5 yards to the FLAINTL30 (Mount, Deiontrez), PENALTY LOUISVILLE offside (Mount, Deiontrez) 5 yards to the FLAINTL40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+7
0.3%
E.J. Hilliard pass complete to Ya'Keem Griner for 7 yds to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q4 12:21
4TH & 3
OWN 47
+19
0.3%
Jose Laphitzondo punt for 40 yds , James Quick returns for 19 yds to the Lvile 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:27100% → 100%
Q4 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
0.4%
Brandon Radcliff run for 4 yds to the Lvile 36Similar
Q4 11:40
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+4
0.4%
Brandon Radcliff run for 4 yds to the Lvile 40Similar
Q4 11:10
3RD & 2
OWN 40
-5
0.3%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, False Start (Ryan Mack) to the Lvile 35Similar
Q4 10:41
3RD & 7
OWN 35
0
0.4%
Kyle Bolin pass incomplete to Matt MiltonSimilar
Q4 10:33
4TH & 7
OWN 35
0
0.3%
Joshua Appleby punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Richard Leonard at the FlaIn 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 28PUNT
8 plays · 0 yds · 3:240% → 0%
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+13
0.2%
Anthon Samuel run for 13 yds to the FlaIn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
0.2%
Anthon Samuel run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 34Similar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+11
0.2%
E.J. Hilliard pass complete to Glenn Coleman for 11 yds to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q4 9:00
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+5
0.2%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, Defensive Offside (Trevon Young) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
50
-3
0.2%
Anthon Samuel run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q4 7:48
2ND & 13
OWN 47
0
0.2%
E.J. Hilliard pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:30
3RD & 13
OWN 47
-24
0.2%
E.J. Hilliard sacked by Keith Kelsey for a loss of 24 yards to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q4 6:51
4TH & 37
OWN 23
+3
0.2%
Jose Laphitzondo punt for 39 yds , Eli Rogers returns for 3 yds to the Lvile 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 29PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 2:26100% → 100%
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
0.2%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Keith Towbridge for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 1
50
+6
0.2%
Brandon Radcliff run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-9
0.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 9 yards to the Lvile 45 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Lvile Brandon Radcliff at the Lvile 45Similar
Q4 4:50
2ND & 21
OWN 45
0
0.2%
Kyle Bolin pass incomplete to James QuickSimilar
Q4 4:30
3RD & 21
OWN 45
+1
0.2%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Eli Rogers for 1 yd to the Lvile 46Similar
Q4 3:54
4TH & 20
OWN 46
0
0.2%
Joshua Appleby punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Clinton Taylor at the FlaIn 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 30PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 2:150% → 0%
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-5
0.1%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, False Start (Jordan White) to the FlaIn 13Similar
Q4 3:30
1ST & 15
OWN 13
+1
0.1%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 14Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 14
OWN 14
+5
0.1%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 19Similar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 9
OWN 19
+4
0.1%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q4 1:39
4TH & 5
OWN 23
+3
0.1%
Jose Laphitzondo punt for 49 yds , James Quick returns for 3 yds to the Lvile 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 31END OF GAME
3 plays · 16 yds · 1:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
0.1%
Brandon Radcliff run for 1 yd to the Lvile 32Similar
Q4 0:40
2ND & 9
OWN 32
0
0.1%
Brandon Radcliff run for no gain to the Lvile 32Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 32
+15
0.1%
Kyle Bolin pass complete to Keith Towbridge for 15 yds to the Lvile 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:07
James Quick 74 Yd pass from Will Gardner (John Wallace Kick)
-4
TD · Q2 5:33
Gerod Holliman 32 Yd Interception Return (John Wallace Kick)
-3.6
KEY PLAY · Q2 1:33
Will Gardner pass complete to James Quick for 9 yds to the FlaIn 37
-1.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com