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UVA

Virginia 10 at Georgia Tech 35

GT
2014 · Week 10 · Nov 1, 2014 · Bobby Dodd Stadium
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Win probability · GT
modelGT aheadUVA aheadconfidence bandkey playGT scoreUVA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:15 · Tim Byerly run for 2 yds to the Virg 11 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout marginScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 164Home team on offense+35.7Score differential+21.0Garbage-time factor+14.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+13.1Blowout margin+12.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+12.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:04: Justin Thomas pass complete to DeAndre Smelter for 18 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK) — GT win probability +4.8 pts (now 63%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:10: Greyson Lambert pass complete to Zachary Swanson for 13 yds for a TD, (Ian Frye KICK) — UVA win probability +5.0 pts (now 44%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 14:53: Justin Thomas pass complete to Darren Waller for 11 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK) — GT win probability +5.2 pts (now 66%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:28: Synjyn Days run for 4 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK) — GT win probability +10.9 pts (now 91%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q3 6:07: Synjyn Days run for 1 yd to the GTech 43 — GT win probability +5.6 pts (now 93%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GT made the numbers' call on 4 of 6UVA made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 12:54UVA 4th & 16 at UVA 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.4%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:04UVA 4th & 8 at UVA 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.6%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.8%
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:42UVA 4th & 7 at UVA 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.0%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:06GT 4th & 11 at UVA 27, up 14
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.1 ptsWent for it · 73.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    72.4%−1.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    73.5%
    62% to make
    Punt
    68.3%−5.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:28UVA 4th & 14 at GT 38, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.0%−0.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    26.6%−0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    26.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:18UVA 4th & 4 at GT 4, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 25.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.6%−0.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    20.1%−4.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:45GT 4th & 23 at UVA 43, up 11
    Close callPunted · 75.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.4%−1.0
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    75.4%
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    75.1%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:31GT 4th & 1 at UVA 6, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.5%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    77.1%−2.4
    91% to make
    Punt
    70.6%−8.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:04GT 4th & 23 at GT 29, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.8%−1.3
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:22UVA 4th & 1 at UVA 43, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.6%−1.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:36UVA 4th & 8 at GT 10, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.4%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    6.0%
    88% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−5.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:11GT 4th & 7 at GT 23, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%−0.7
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:40UVA 4th & 13 at UVA 14, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−1.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:40UVA 4th & 5 at GT 41, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%−0.1
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%
    32% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:15GT 4th & 1 at UVA 13, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GT made the numbers' call on 5 of 5UVA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:11GT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:04GT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:10UVA Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:53GT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:28GT Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:01GT Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UVADrive 1FUMBLE
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:3648% → 48%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-10
52.1%
TEAM sacked by Paul Davis for a loss of 10 yards to the Virg 11Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 20
OWN 11
+2
52.2%
Kevin Parks run for 2 yds to the Virg 13Similar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 18
OWN 13
+2
52.2%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Kevin Parks for 2 yds to the Virg 15Similar
Q1 12:54
4TH & 16
OWN 15
0
52.5%
Alec Vozenilek punt for 27 yds , Jamal Golden returns for no gain to the Virg 42 Jamal Golden fumbled, recovered by GTech Jamal GoldenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 2TD
7 plays · 42 yds · 2:1953% → 55%
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
52.8%
Synjyn Days run for 7 yds to the Virg 35Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 3
OPP 35
-5
53.0%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Virg 40Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 8
OPP 40
0
53.0%
Synjyn Days run for no gain to the Virg 40Similar
Q1 11:15
3RD & 8
OPP 40
+15
53.0%
Justin Thomas run for 15 yds to the Virg 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
53.3%
Broderick Snoddy run for 1 yd to the Virg 24Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+10
53.4%
Justin Thomas pass complete to DeAndre Smelter for 10 yds to the Virg 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
55.2%
Deon Hill run for 14 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:5646% → 44%
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
54.5%
Kevin Parks run for no gain to the Virg 25Similar
Q1 9:26
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-10
54.9%
Lambert, Greyson pass incomplete, PENALTY VIRGINIA holding 10 yards to the VIRGINIA15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:14
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+4
55.1%
Darius Jennings run for 4 yds to the Virg 19Similar
Q1 8:35
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+8
55.6%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Kevin Parks for 8 yds to the Virg 27Similar
Q1 8:04
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
56.1%
Alec Vozenilek punt for 51 yds, downed at the GTech 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 4TD
10 plays · 78 yds · 3:4156% → 63%
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
55.8%
Synjyn Days run for 5 yds to the GTech 27Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+24
56.0%
Broderick Snoddy run for 24 yds to the Virg 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
56.9%
Dennis Andrews run for 4 yds to the Virg 45Similar
Q1 6:30
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+10
57.3%
Tony Zenon run for 10 yds to the Virg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
57.6%
Justin Thomas run for 4 yds to the Virg 31Similar
Q1 5:23
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+10
58.0%
Broderick Snoddy run for 10 yds to the Virg 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
58.2%
Synjyn Days run for 3 yds to the Virg 18Similar
Q1 4:32
2ND & 7
OPP 18
0
58.5%
Dennis Andrews run for no gain to the Virg 18Similar
Q1 4:04
3RD & 7
OPP 18
+18
62.9%
Justin Thomas pass complete to DeAndre Smelter for 18 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 5TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:2538% → 44%
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
61.8%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Canaan Severin for 5 yds to the Virg 30Similar
Q1 3:22
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
61.5%
Greyson Lambert pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:16
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
61.8%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Taquan Mizzell for 6 yds to the Virg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
62.1%
Khalek Shepherd run for 7 yds to the Virg 43Similar
Q1 2:19
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+13
61.3%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Darius Jennings for 13 yds to the GTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+28
61.1%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Canaan Severin for 28 yds to the GTech 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
60.6%
Khalek Shepherd run for 3 yds to the GTech 13Similar
Q1 1:10
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+13
55.6%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Zachary Swanson for 13 yds for a TD, (Ian Frye KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 6TD
5 plays · 71 yds · 0:5559% → 66%
Q1 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+65
58.7%
Justin Thomas pass complete to DeAndre Smelter for 65 yds to the Virg 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
60.4%
Synjyn Days run for no gain to the Virg 6Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
60.6%
Dennis Andrews run for a loss of 5 yards to the Virg 11Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
65.8%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Darren Waller for 11 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:5836% → 35%
Q2 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
63.9%
Greyson Lambert pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:23
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+3
64.1%
Kevin Parks run for 3 yds to the Virg 27Similar
Q2 13:52
3RD & 7
OWN 27
0
64.9%
Greyson Lambert pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:42
4TH & 7
OWN 27
+1
65.4%
Alec Vozenilek punt for 37 yds , Jamal Golden returns for 1 yd to the Virg 28 VIRGINIA Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (-15 Yards) to the Virg 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 8DOWNS
8 plays · 21 yds · 3:2468% → 69%
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
67.5%
Synjyn Days run for 8 yds to the Virg 40Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+3
67.9%
Synjyn Days run for 3 yds to the Virg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
68.5%
Deon Hill run for 3 yds to the Virg 34Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+8
68.9%
Synjyn Days run for 8 yds to the Virg 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
69.2%
Synjyn Days run for 3 yds to the Virg 23Similar
Q2 10:37
2ND & 7
OPP 23
-4
69.9%
Tony Zenon run for a loss of 4 yards to the Virg 27Similar
Q2 10:12
3RD & 11
OPP 27
0
69.7%
Justin Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:06
4TH & 11
OPP 27
0
68.9%
Justin Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 35 yds · 1:3333% → 31%
Q2 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
66.8%
Greyson Lambert pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:56
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
67.6%
Greyson Lambert pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:49
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+21
68.0%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Darius Jennings for 21 yds to the Virg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+18
66.6%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Keeon Johnson for 18 yds to the GTech 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
65.7%
Greyson Lambert run for 1 yd to the GTech 33Similar
Q2 9:05
2ND & 9
OPP 33
0
65.8%
Greyson Lambert pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:58
3RD & 9
OPP 33
-5
66.6%
VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the GTech 38Similar
Q2 8:45
3RD & 14
OPP 38
0
68.1%
Greyson Lambert pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:28
4TH & 14
OPP 38
0
68.9%
TEAM punt for 28 yds, downed at the GTech 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 10INT
5 plays · 5 yds · 2:1070% → 70%
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
69.8%
Synjyn Days run for 4 yds to the GTech 14Similar
Q2 7:38
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+6
69.5%
Broderick Snoddy run for 6 yds to the GTech 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
69.7%
Synjyn Days run for 2 yds to the GTech 22Similar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-7
70.2%
Justin Thomas run for a loss of 7 yards to the GTech 15Similar
Q2 6:09
3RD & 15
OWN 15
-1
69.5%
Justin Thomas pass intercepted Anthony Harris return for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 11FG
6 plays · 21 yds · 1:4633% → 32%
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
67.4%
Greyson Lambert pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+20
68.1%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Taquan Mizzell for 20 yds to the GTech 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
67.8%
Taquan Mizzell run for no gain to the GTech 5Similar
Q2 5:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
68.0%
Kevin Parks run for 1 yd to the GTech 4Similar
Q2 4:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
69.2%
Greyson Lambert pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
68.3%
Ian Frye 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 12FUMBLE
9 plays · 32 yds · 3:1570% → 72%
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
69.6%
Synjyn Days run for 6 yds to the GTech 31Similar
Q2 3:11
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-3
70.5%
Justin Thomas run for a loss of 3 yards to the GTech 28Similar
Q2 2:55
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+11
69.4%
Thomas, Justin pass incomplete, PENALTY VIRGINIA holding 11 yards to the GATECH39, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GATECH. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+31
72.3%
Synjyn Days run for 31 yds to the Virg 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-3
73.2%
Justin Thomas run for a loss of 3 yards to the Virg 33Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 13
OPP 33
-10
74.3%
Justin Thomas run for a loss of 10 yards to the Virg 43 Justin Thomas fumbled, recovered by GTechSimilar
Q2 0:54
3RD & 23
OPP 43
0
73.0%
Justin Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:45
4TH & 23
OPP 43
+1
71.9%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 27 yds , Khalek Shepherd returns for 1 yd to the Virg 17 Khalek Shepherd fumbled, recovered by VirgSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 13END OF HALF
5 plays · 28 yds · 0:3528% → 28%
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+22
72.2%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Canaan Severin for 22 yds to the Virg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
70.9%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to David Watford for 7 yds to the Virg 46Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+5
70.0%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Kevin Parks for 5 yds to the GTech 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-6
72.4%
Greyson Lambert sacked by KeShun Freeman for a loss of 6 yards to the Virg 45 Greyson Lambert fumbled, recovered by VirgSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 14TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 6:1274% → 91%
Q3 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
74.0%
Broderick Snoddy run for 1 yd to the GTech 26Similar
Q3 14:08
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
74.3%
Justin Thomas run for 6 yds to the GTech 32Similar
Q3 13:35
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+6
74.2%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Darren Waller for 6 yds to the GTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
76.3%
Justin Thomas run for no gain to the GTech 38Similar
Q3 12:31
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+14
76.0%
Justin Thomas pass complete to DeAndre Smelter for 14 yds to the Virg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+33
77.4%
Synjyn Days run for 33 yds to the Virg 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
77.6%
Synjyn Days run for 2 yds to the Virg 13Similar
Q3 10:46
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+3
77.9%
Synjyn Days run for 3 yds to the Virg 10Similar
Q3 9:57
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+4
77.9%
Tony Zenon run for 4 yds to the Virg 6Similar
Q3 9:31
4TH & 1
OPP 6
+1
76.6%
Synjyn Days run for 1 yd to the Virg 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
78.7%
Justin Thomas run for 1 yd to the Virg 4Similar
Q3 8:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
91.1%
Synjyn Days run for 4 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 15INT
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:0013% → 13%
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
86.7%
Greyson Lambert pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:03
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+7
86.9%
Kevin Parks run for 7 yds to the Virg 45Similar
Q3 7:45
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+5
87.2%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Taquan Mizzell for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:04
1ST & 10
50
+5
87.1%
Taquan Mizzell run for 5 yds to the GTech 45Similar
Q3 6:39
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+6
86.8%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Canaan Severin for 6 yds to the GTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
87.2%
Greyson Lambert pass intercepted Adam Gotsis return for no gain to the GTech 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · -13 yds · 2:0393% → 93%
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
92.8%
Synjyn Days run for 1 yd to the GTech 43Similar
Q3 5:20
2ND & 9
OWN 43
-15
94.5%
Zenon, Tony rush for 1 yard to the GATECH44, PENALTY GATECH personal foul 15 yards to the GATECH28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 24
OWN 28
0
94.3%
Justin Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:30
3RD & 24
OWN 28
+6
94.5%
Broderick Snoddy run for 6 yds to the GTech 34Similar
Q3 4:30
4TH & 18
OWN 34
-5
94.0%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the GTech 29Similar
Q3 4:04
4TH & 23
OWN 29
+1
93.4%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 38 yds , Khalek Shepherd returns for 1 yd to the Virg 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 17INT
9 plays · 56 yds · 3:0610% → 8%
Q3 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
90.3%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Kevin Parks for 1 yd to the Virg 35Similar
Q3 3:22
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+5
90.5%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Khalek Shepherd for 5 yds to the Virg 40Similar
Q3 2:55
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+3
90.7%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Canaan Severin for 3 yds to the Virg 43Similar
Q3 2:22
4TH & 1
OWN 43
+3
90.9%
Khalek Shepherd run for 3 yds to the Virg 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+42
90.9%
Greyson Lambert pass complete to Darius Jennings for 42 yds to the GTech 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
89.7%
Khalek Shepherd run for 2 yds to the GTech 10Similar
Q3 1:11
2ND & 8
OPP 10
0
89.8%
Greyson Lambert run for no gain to the GTech 10Similar
Q3 0:43
3RD & 8
OPP 10
0
91.6%
Greyson Lambert pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:36
4TH & 8
OPP 10
0
92.2%
Greyson Lambert pass intercepted, touchback. Jamal Golden return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 18FUMBLE
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4997% → 98%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
96.9%
Broderick Snoddy run for 4 yds to the GTech 24Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
97.0%
Justin Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:39
3RD & 6
OWN 24
-1
97.0%
Justin Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 23Similar
Q4 14:11
4TH & 7
OWN 23
-6
97.5%
Ryan Rodwell punt for 54 yds , Khalek Shepherd returns for a loss of 6 yards to the Virg 17 Khalek Shepherd fumbled, recovered by VirgSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:196% → 5%
Q4 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
94.0%
Matt Johns pass complete to Taquan Mizzell for 2 yds to the Virg 19Similar
Q4 13:27
2ND & 8
OWN 19
0
94.2%
Matt Johns pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:13
3RD & 8
OWN 19
-5
94.4%
Johns, Matt pass complete to Johnson, Keeon for 20 yards to the VIRGINIA39, PENALTY VIRGINIA illegal shift 5 yards to the VIRGINIA14, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:49
3RD & 13
OWN 14
0
94.7%
Matt Johns pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:40
4TH & 13
OWN 14
0
94.8%
Alec Vozenilek punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Virg 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 20TD
10 plays · 37 yds · 5:1798% → 100%
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
98.3%
Synjyn Days run for 6 yds to the Virg 31Similar
Q4 11:45
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+3
98.3%
Synjyn Days run for 3 yds to the Virg 28Similar
Q4 11:16
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+3
98.2%
Justin Thomas run for 3 yds to the Virg 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
98.4%
Synjyn Days run for 6 yds to the Virg 19Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+2
98.4%
Justin Thomas run for 2 yds to the Virg 17Similar
Q4 9:03
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+4
98.5%
Synjyn Days run for 4 yds to the Virg 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-3
98.7%
Justin Thomas run for a loss of 3 yards to the Virg 16Similar
Q4 8:01
2ND & 13
OPP 16
+4
98.8%
Synjyn Days run for 4 yds to the Virg 12Similar
Q4 7:16
3RD & 9
OPP 12
-5
98.9%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Virg 17Similar
Q4 7:01
3RD & 14
OPP 17
+17
99.7%
Justin Thomas pass complete to Synjyn Days for 17 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 21DOWNS
7 plays · 30 yds · 1:051% → 1%
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+13
99.1%
Matt Johns pass complete to Keeon Johnson for 13 yds to the Virg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
99.0%
Matt Johns pass complete to Zachary Swanson for 12 yds to the GTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
99.1%
Matt Johns pass complete to Keeon Johnson for 5 yds to the GTech 41Similar
Q4 5:53
2ND & 5
OPP 41
0
99.1%
Matt Johns pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:48
3RD & 5
OPP 41
0
99.2%
Matt Johns pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:40
4TH & 5
OPP 41
0
99.2%
Matt Johns pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 22END OF GAME
14 plays · 54 yds · 5:32100% → 100%
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
99.7%
Tim Byerly run for 2 yds to the GTech 43Similar
Q4 5:26
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+5
99.8%
Matt Connors run for 5 yds to the GTech 48Similar
Q4 5:15
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+15
99.9%
Byerly, Tim pass incomplete, PENALTY VIRGINIA pass interference 15 yards to the VIRGINIA37, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN GATECH. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
99.9%
Tim Byerly run for 4 yds to the Virg 33Similar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+1
99.9%
Matt Connors run for 1 yd to the Virg 32Similar
Q4 3:53
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+10
99.9%
Tim Byerly run for 10 yds to the Virg 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:56
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.9%
Matt Connors run for no gain to the Virg 22Similar
Q4 2:41
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+7
99.9%
Tim Byerly run for 7 yds to the Virg 15Similar
Q4 2:04
3RD & 3
OPP 15
+2
99.9%
Tim Byerly run for 2 yds to the Virg 13Similar
Q4 1:15
4TH & 1
OPP 13
+2
99.9%
Tim Byerly run for 2 yds to the Virg 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
99.9%
Tim Byerly run for 5 yds to the Virg 6Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+1
99.9%
Matt Connors run for 1 yd to the Virg 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:28
Synjyn Days run for 4 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)
+10.9
KEY PLAY · Q3 6:07
Synjyn Days run for 1 yd to the GTech 43
+5.6
TD · Q2 14:53
Justin Thomas pass complete to Darren Waller for 11 yds for a TD, (Harrison Butker KICK)
+5.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com